Thesis: Price is pressing the 154.4–155 strong-high. I’m tracking a daily close >154.5 and a retest-hold for confirmation. Measured move points to 165 → 178–180 → 200 if momentum + volume align (Bulkowski, 2012; Edwards et al., 2013).
Key Catalysts (near-term relevance):
AI data-center CAPEX tailwind accelerating: Nvidia’s new multiyear push (up to $100B tied to AI data-center build-out) underscores demand for power/cooling infrastructure suppliers like Vertiv. (Reuters, 2025; Business Insider, 2025; WSJ, 2025).
Direct NVIDIA alignment: Vertiv highlighted 800 VDC power architecture and collaboration across the NVIDIA ecosystem—positioned for next-gen AI factories. (Vertiv IR, 2025a; NVIDIA blog, 2025).
Fundamentals still supportive: Q2’25 showed strong orders/sales/EPS with raised FY guidance, confirming secular demand. (Vertiv IR, 2025b).
Vertiv
Capital return signal: Ongoing dividend (declared Sept 3, 2025) signals confidence. (Simply Wall St., 2025).
Next checkpoint: Earnings window late Oct ’25 (est.)—sizing/hedging prudent into that event. (TipRanks; MarketChameleon).
Levels & Plan:
Trigger/confirmation: Daily close >154.5 or intraday retest-hold of 154.5 as support.
Stops: Below handle low (<148) or ATR(14)×1.5 below entry (whichever is farther).
Targets: 165 / 178–180 / 200 with scale-outs (30/40/30).
If reject: Watch 138–132 demand for a higher-low setup.
Options alt: 30–60 DTE 160/180 call debit spread or 145/135 bull put spread (defined risk).
Risk Notes: Index beta (QQQ/SOX), earnings gap risk, and headline sensitivity from AI-CAPEX cycles; avoid low-volume breakouts.
Not financial advice. For education only. Manage risk.
Key Catalysts (near-term relevance):
AI data-center CAPEX tailwind accelerating: Nvidia’s new multiyear push (up to $100B tied to AI data-center build-out) underscores demand for power/cooling infrastructure suppliers like Vertiv. (Reuters, 2025; Business Insider, 2025; WSJ, 2025).
Direct NVIDIA alignment: Vertiv highlighted 800 VDC power architecture and collaboration across the NVIDIA ecosystem—positioned for next-gen AI factories. (Vertiv IR, 2025a; NVIDIA blog, 2025).
Fundamentals still supportive: Q2’25 showed strong orders/sales/EPS with raised FY guidance, confirming secular demand. (Vertiv IR, 2025b).
Vertiv
Capital return signal: Ongoing dividend (declared Sept 3, 2025) signals confidence. (Simply Wall St., 2025).
Next checkpoint: Earnings window late Oct ’25 (est.)—sizing/hedging prudent into that event. (TipRanks; MarketChameleon).
Levels & Plan:
Trigger/confirmation: Daily close >154.5 or intraday retest-hold of 154.5 as support.
Stops: Below handle low (<148) or ATR(14)×1.5 below entry (whichever is farther).
Targets: 165 / 178–180 / 200 with scale-outs (30/40/30).
If reject: Watch 138–132 demand for a higher-low setup.
Options alt: 30–60 DTE 160/180 call debit spread or 145/135 bull put spread (defined risk).
Risk Notes: Index beta (QQQ/SOX), earnings gap risk, and headline sensitivity from AI-CAPEX cycles; avoid low-volume breakouts.
Not financial advice. For education only. Manage risk.
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WaverVanir ⚡ To grow and conquer
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.