$MSFT earnings? Could we see another drop to $370?

Short

Microsoft Corp. (BATS:MSFT)

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BATS:MSFT Microsoft Corp.

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META had a negative reaction to earnings yesterday. I was originally thinking that MSFT's earning reaction would be positive but as I look at the chart and options flows, I'm starting to think we're going to see a negative reaction.

I think most likely outcome is that we drop from here to around the $370 level, if that level can hold there's potential for one more rally into May to the $454 level. Otherwise if it can't, we risk seeing more downside to the lower levels.

Let's see what happens after the market closes.

Kommentar:

Welp, looks like the original idea was right. Initial reaction was up.

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Be careful here. Looks like a H&S top is forming. I think we see lower.

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I bought 400P for 5/31 today. Extremely risky, I'd likely take Sep puts for safety if you want to play the downside.

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Closed my position. Going to reopen next week. Think the move down likely happens next Thursday. Chop until then.