Matic: Sell in May and go away 🐻⁉️

3. Mai 2023

📆 We can see that the month of May is a crucial month.

The range contained in the 🟥 red rectangle has already been tested several times, and in May last year we had a sharp drop.
Here we are again in the month of May, on top of that range.
Will it fall again? I don't know.

But if it drops again, I would bet on a drop to some Fibonacci region drawn on the chart, and after any reversal signals I would look for an entry.
But before that, I believe that there will be a spike in the rise, and depending on the context, it will not even fall as expected. Just having a crystal ball to know.

🔎 Doing a complementary analysis using on-chain data, we can see that Uniswap's liquidity pools suffered a relevant decrease in the month of May:


🔎 And the total trade volume on Uniswap (in USD) also has this setback:


🔎 Another item that I found interesting to point out, looking at the on-chain data, is the "New address created with non-zero starting balance" in the blockchain, which broke down an important level:


🟢 Despite everything, I remain bullish.
It's not because the last month of May was bad that we will necessarily now have a bad month too.
The last three arrows in the red rectangle indicate that there was a test in this region, and the price did not break down, which could indicate that at least we will have a rebound if there is a stronger drop.
Another thing to note is that the TVL (Total Value Locked) in blockchain seems to be showing signs of reversing:

26. Sept. 2023

Trade geschlossen: Stop wurde erreicht