Crude Oil Moves Down $1 but Fails to Close Below Range
Crude oil closed down $1 today. During the day, my first price target @ 48.36 was hit (I mentioned that in last night's post). Crude did hit a low of 47.73 but was unable to stay below the 48 price level, and in a something of show of strength, rebounded almost a dollar off the day's lows. The closing price of 47.73 was just 2 cents shy of the 21 day moving average.
So while the late day rally did show signs of strength, the technical indicators are still showing a more bearish outlook. First, there's the haDelta which has just printed a new magenta dot. That indicates a high probability of another downward wave. Second, the EWO indicator has been moving down since May 25 and is close to a zero line cross. Third, the Heikin-Ashi candles are red and starting to show signs of a continued downward trend.
The key levels right now are 21 day moving average and the Primary Pivot Point (orange lines). I've added the standard Pivot Point indicator to the chart and set the type to Fibonacci. The P level is currently at 48.13. A break below this level will increase the odds of a continued move down to the lower Bollinger Bands.
Crude Oil inventories come out tomorrow at 11 am EST. This is on Thursday this week due to the Monday holiday in the US. There is also other news tomorrow morning including Jobless Claims at 8:30 am EST and ISM Manufacturing PMI at 10 am EST. Expect some news generated volatility and protect your trades accordingly.
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Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
So while the late day rally did show signs of strength, the technical indicators are still showing a more bearish outlook. First, there's the haDelta which has just printed a new magenta dot. That indicates a high probability of another downward wave. Second, the EWO indicator has been moving down since May 25 and is close to a zero line cross. Third, the Heikin-Ashi candles are red and starting to show signs of a continued downward trend.
The key levels right now are 21 day moving average and the Primary Pivot Point (orange lines). I've added the standard Pivot Point indicator to the chart and set the type to Fibonacci. The P level is currently at 48.13. A break below this level will increase the odds of a continued move down to the lower Bollinger Bands.
If you like this post, please click the Like button, tell your friends, and re-Tweet!
Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is at your own risk.
