Market Extreme Zones IndexThe Market Extreme Zones Index is a new mean reversion (valuation) tool focused on catching long term oversold/overbought zones. Combining an enhanced RSI with a smoothed Z-score this indicator allows traders to find oppurtunities during highly oversold/overbought zones.
I will separate the explanation into the following parts:
1. How does it work?
2. Methodologies & Concepts
3. Use cases
How does it work?
The indicator attempts to catch highly unprobable events in either direction to capture reversal points over the long term. This is done by calculating the Z-Score of an enhanced RSI.
First we need to calculate the Enhanced RSI:
For this we need to calculate 2 additional lengths:
Length1 = user defined length
Length2 = Length1/2
Length3 = √Length
Now we need to calculate 3 different RSIs:
1st RSI => uses classic user defined source and classic user defined length.
2nd RSI => uses classic user defined source and Length 2.
3rd RSI => uses RSI 2 as source and Length 2
Now calculate the divergence:
RSI_base => 2nd RSI * 3 - 1st RSI - 3rd RSI
After this we need to calculate the median of the RSI_base over √Length and make a divergence of these 2:
RSI => RSI_base*2 - median
All that remains now is the Z-score calculations:
We need:
Average RSI value
Standard Deviation = a measure of how dispersed or spread out a set of data values are from their average
Z-score = (Current Value - Average Value) / Standard Deviation
After this we just smooth the Z-score with a Weighted Moving average with √Length
Methodology & Concepts
Mean Reversion Methodology:
The methodology behind mean reversion is the theory that asset prices will eventually return to their long-term average after deviating significantly, driven by the belief that extreme moves are temporary.
Z-Score Methodology:
A Z-score, or standard score, is a statistical measure that indicates how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean of a dataset. A positive z-score means the value is above the mean, a negative score means it's below, and a score of zero means the value is equal to the mean.
You might already be able to see where I am going with this:
Z-Score could be used for the extreme moves to capture reversal points.
By applying it to the RSI rather than the Price, we get a more accurate measurement that allow us to get a banger indicator.
Use Cases
Capturing reversal points
Trend Direction
- while the main use it for mean reversion, the values can indicate whether we are in an uptrend or a downtrend.
Advantages:
Visualization:
The indicator has many plots to ensure users can easily see what the indicator signals, such as highlighting extreme conditions with background colors.
Versatility:
This indicator works across multiple assets, including the S&P500 and more, so it is not only for crypto.
Final note:
No indicator alone is perfect.
Backtests are not indicative of future performance.
Hope you enjoy Gs!
Good luck!
Valuation
EV/FCFThis script in the 6 version of Pine brings you the most accurate multiple of "fundamental valuation" in my opinion. EV/FCF gives you a real metric of how profitable is the company in this exact moment and also if the company is overvaluated or undervaluated.
Intrinsic Value AnalyzerThe Intrinsic Value Analyzer is an all-in-one valuation tool that automatically calculates the fair value of a stock using industry-standard valuation techniques. It estimates intrinsic value through Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Enterprise Value to Revenue (EV/REV), Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), and Price to Earnings (P/EPS). The model features adjustable parameters and a built-in alert system that notifies investors in real time when valuation multiples reach predefined thresholds. It also includes a comprehensive, color-coded table that compares the company’s historical average growth rates, valuation multiples, and financial ratios with the most recent values, helping investors quickly assess how current values align with historical averages.
The model calculates the historical Compounded Annual Growth Rates (CAGR) and average valuation multiples over the selected Lookback Period. It then projects Revenue, Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA), Earnings per Share (EPS), and Free Cash Flow (FCF) for the selected Forecast Period and discounts their future values back to the present using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) or the Cost of Equity. By default, the model automatically applies the historical averages displayed in the table as the growth forecasts and target multiples. These assumptions can be modified in the menu by entering custom REV-G, EBITDA-G, EPS-G, and FCF-G growth forecasts, as well as EV/REV, EV/EBITDA, and P/EPS target multiples. When new input values are entered, the model recalculates the fair value in real time, allowing users to see how changes in these assumptions affect the company’s fair value.
DCF = (Sum of (FCF × (1 + FCF-G) ^ t ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ t) for each year t until Forecast Period + ((FCF × (1 + FCF-G) ^ Forecast Period × (1 + LT Growth)) ÷ ((WACC - LT Growth) × (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period)) + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding
EV/REV = ((Revenue × (1 + REV-G) ^ Forecast Period × EV/REV Target) ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding
EV/EBITDA = ((EBITDA × (1 + EBITDA-G) ^ Forecast Period × EV/EBITDA Target) ÷ (1 + WACC) ^ Forecast Period + Cash - Debt - Preferred Equity - Minority Interest) ÷ Shares Outstanding
P/EPS = (EPS × (1 + EPS-G) ^ Forecast Period × P/EPS Target) ÷ (1 + Cost of Equity) ^ Forecast Period
The discounted one-year average analyst price target (1Y PT) is also displayed alongside the valuation labels to provide an overview of consensus estimates. For the DCF model, the terminal long-term FCF growth rate (LT Growth) is based on the selected country to reflect expected long-term nominal GDP growth and can be modified in the menu. For metrics involving FCF, users can choose between reported FCF, calculated as Cash From Operations (CFO) - Capital Expenditures (CAPEX), or standardized FCF, calculated as Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) × (1 - Average Tax Rate) + Depreciation and Amortization - Change in Net Working Capital - CAPEX. Historical average values displayed in the left column of the table are based on Fiscal Year (FY) data, while the latest values in the right column use the most recent Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Fiscal Quarter (FQ) data. The indicator displays color-coded price labels for each fair value estimate, showing the percentage upside or downside from the current price. Green indicates undervaluation, while red indicates overvaluation. The table follows a separate color logic:
REV-G, EBITDA-G, EPS-G, FCF-G = Green indicates positive annual growth when the CAGR is positive. Red indicates negative annual growth when the CAGR is negative.
EV/REV = Green indicates undervaluation when EV/REV ÷ REV-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when EV/REV ÷ REV-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value.
EV/EBITDA = Green indicates undervaluation when EV/EBITDA ÷ EBITDA-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when EV/EBITDA ÷ EBITDA-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value.
P/EPS = Green indicates undervaluation when P/EPS ÷ EPS-G is below 1. Red indicates overvaluation when P/EPS ÷ EPS-G is above 2. Gray indicates fair value.
EBITDA% = Green indicates profitable operations when the EBITDA margin is positive. Red indicates unprofitable operations when the EBITDA margin is negative.
FCF% = Green indicates strong cash conversion when FCF/EBITDA > 50%. Red indicates unsustainable FCF when FCF/EBITDA is negative. Gray indicates normal cash conversion.
ROIC = Green indicates value creation when ROIC > WACC. Red indicates value destruction when ROIC is negative. Gray indicates positive but insufficient returns.
ND/EBITDA = Green indicates low leverage when ND/EBITDA is below 1. Red indicates high leverage when ND/EBITDA is above 3. Gray indicates moderate leverage.
YIELD = Green indicates positive shareholder return when Shareholder Yield > 1%. Red indicates negative shareholder return when Shareholder Yield < -1%.
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is calculated as EBIT × (1 - Average Tax Rate) ÷ (Average Debt + Average Equity - Average Cash). Shareholder Yield (YIELD) is calculated as the CAGR of Dividend Yield - Change in Shares Outstanding. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is displayed at the top left of the table and is derived from the current Market Cap (MC), Debt, Cost of Equity, and Cost of Debt. The Cost of Equity is calculated using the Equity Beta, Index Return, and Risk-Free Rate, which are based on the selected country. The Equity Beta (β) is calculated as the 5-year Blume-adjusted beta between the weekly logarithmic returns of the underlying stock and the selected country’s stock market index. For accurate calculations, it is recommended to use the stock ticker listed on the primary exchange corresponding to the company’s main index.
Cost of Debt = (Interest Expense on Debt ÷ Average Debt) × (1 - Average Tax Rate)
Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Equity Beta (β) × (Index Return - Risk-Free Rate)
WACC = (MC ÷ (MC + Debt)) × Cost of Equity + (Debt ÷ (MC + Debt)) × Cost of Debt
This indicator works best for operationally stable and profitable companies that are primarily valued based on fundamentals rather than speculative growth, such as those in the industrial, consumer, technology, and healthcare sectors. It is less suitable for early-stage, unprofitable, or highly cyclical companies, including energy, real estate, and financial institutions, as these often have irregular cash flows or distorted balance sheets. It is also worth noting that TradingView’s financial data provider, FactSet, standardizes financial data from official company filings to align with a consistent accounting framework. While this improves comparability across companies, industries, and countries, it may also result in differences from officially reported figures.
In summary, the Intrinsic Value Analyzer is a comprehensive valuation tool designed to help long-term investors estimate a company’s fair value while comparing historical averages with the latest values. Fair value estimates are driven by growth forecasts, target multiples, and discount rates, and should always be interpreted within the context of the underlying assumptions. By default, the model applies historical averages and current discount rates, which may not accurately reflect future conditions. Investors are therefore encouraged to adjust inputs in the menu to better understand how changes in these key assumptions influence the company’s fair value.
Quick Valuation V.1.0 (Ibo)This Pine Script indicator performs a Quick Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)-style Valuation to estimate the intrinsic value of a stock.
It calculates a projected Fair Value and a Margin of Safety based on user inputs or automatically pulled financial data from TradingView (like revenue, growth, margin, and exit P/E). It also automatically computes a Discount Rate using a modified CAPM model.
Key Features
Valuation Output: Calculates a target Fair Value and the resulting Margin of Safety.
Data Flexibility: Automatically pulls essential fundamentals (Revenue, Margins, Shares Outstanding, etc.) but allows the user to override any value (revenue, growth, P/E, shares, etc.) via the settings.
Automated Discount Rate: Calculates the Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) using the current 10-Year Real Yield and a computed or user-defined Beta.
Clear Display: Presents all input metrics, calculated values, and data sources (TradingView or User Input) in a neat table on the chart.
Greer Fair Value✅ Greer Fair Value
Greer Fair Value: Graham intrinsic value + Buffett-style DCF with auto EPS/FCF and auto growth (CAGR of FCF/share), defaulting to a simple GFV badge that color-codes opportunity at a glance.
📜 Full description
Greer Fair Value is inspired by the valuation frameworks of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. It combines Graham’s rate-adjusted intrinsic value with a two-stage, per-share DCF. The script auto-populates EPS (TTM) and Free Cash Flow per share (FY/FQ/TTM) from request.financial(), and can auto-estimate the near-term growth rate (g₁) using the CAGR of FCF/share over a user-selected lookback (with sensible caps). All assumptions remain editable.
Default view: only the GFV badge is shown to keep charts clean.
Badge color logic:
Gold — both DCF and Graham fair values are above the current price
Green — exactly one of them is above the current price
Red — the current price is above both values
Show more detail (optional):
Toggle “Show Graham Lines” and/or “Show DCF Lines” to plot fair values (and optional MoS bands) over time.
Toggle “Show Dashboard” for a compact data table of assumptions and outputs.
Optional summary label can be enabled for a quick on-chart readout.
Inputs you can customize: EPS source/manual fallback, FCF/share source (FY/FQ/TTM), g₁ auto-CAGR lookback & caps, terminal growth gT, discount rate r, MoS levels, step-style plots, table position, and decimals.
Note: TradingView’s UI controls whether “Inputs/Values in Status Line” are shown. If you prefer a clean status line, open the indicator’s settings and uncheck those options, then Save as default.
Disclaimer: For educational/informational purposes only; not financial advice. Markets involve risk—do your own research.
Adaptive Valuation [BackQuant]Adaptive Valuation
What this is
A composite, zero-centered oscillator that standardizes several classic indicators and blends them into one “valuation” line. It computes RSI, CCI, Demarker, and the Price Zone Oscillator, converts each to a rolling z-score, then forms a weighted average. Optional smoothing, dynamic overbought and oversold bands, and an on-chart table make the inputs and the final score easy to inspect.
How it works
Components
• RSI with its own lookback.
• CCI with its own lookback.
• DM (Demarker) with its own lookback.
• PZO (Price Zone Oscillator) with its own lookback.
Standardization via z-score
Each component is transformed using a rolling z-score over lookback bars:
z = (value − mean) ÷ stdev , where the mean is an EMA and the stdev is rolling.
This puts all inputs on a comparable scale measured in standard deviations.
Weighted blend
The z-scores are combined with user weights w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo to produce a single valuation series. If desired, it is then smoothed with a selected moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, RMA, DEMA, TEMA, LINREG, ALMA, T3). ALMA’s sigma input shapes its curve.
Dynamic thresholds (optional)
Two ways to set overbought and oversold:
• Static : fixed levels at ob_thres and os_thres .
• Dynamic : ±k·σ bands, where σ is the rolling standard deviation of the valuation over dynLen .
Bands can be centered at zero or around the valuation’s rolling mean ( centerZero ).
Visualization and UI
• Zero line at 0 with gradient fill that darkens as the valuation moves away from 0.
• Optional plotting of band lines and background highlights when OB or OS is active.
• Optional candle and background coloring driven by the valuation.
• Summary table showing each component’s current z-score, the final score, and a compact status.
How it can be used
• Bias filter : treat crosses above 0 as bullish bias and below 0 as bearish bias.
• Mean-reversion context : look for exhaustion when the valuation enters the OB or OS region, then watch for exits from those regions or a return toward 0.
• Signal confirmation : use the final score to confirm setups from structure or price action.
• Adaptive banding : with dynamic thresholds, OB and OS adjust to prevailing variability rather than relying on fixed lines.
• Component tuning : change weights to emphasize trend (raise DM, reduce RSI/CCI) or range behavior (raise RSI/CCI, reduce DM). PZO can help in swing environments.
Why z-score blending helps
Indicators often live on different scales. Z-scoring places them on a common, unitless axis, so a one-sigma move in RSI has comparable influence to a one-sigma move in CCI. This reduces scale bias and allows transparent weighting. It also facilitates regime-aware thresholds because the dynamic bands scale with recent dispersion.
Inputs to know
• Component lookbacks : rsilb, ccilb, dmlb, pzolb control each raw signal.
• Standardization window : lookback sets the z-score memory. Longer smooths, shorter reacts.
• Weights : w_rsi, w_cci, w_dm, w_pzo determine each component’s influence.
• Smoothing : maType, smoothP, sig govern optional post-blend smoothing.
• Dynamic bands : dyn_thres, dynLen, thres_k, centerZero configure the adaptive OB/OS logic.
• UI : toggle the plot, table, candle coloring, and threshold lines.
Reading the plot
• Above 0 : composite pressure is positive.
• Below 0 : composite pressure is negative.
• OB region : valuation above the chosen OB line. Risk of mean reversion rises and momentum continuation needs evidence.
• OS region : mirror logic on the downside.
• Band exits : leaving OB or OS can serve as a normalization cue.
Strengths
• Normalizes heterogeneous signals into one interpretable series.
• Adjustable component weights to match instrument behavior.
• Dynamic thresholds adapt to changing volatility and drift.
• Transparent diagnostics from the on-chart table.
• Flexible smoothing choices, including ALMA and T3.
Limitations and cautions
• Z-scores assume a reasonably stationary window. Sharp regime shifts can make recent bands unrepresentative.
• Highly correlated components can overweight the same effect. Consider adjusting weights to avoid double counting.
• More smoothing adds lag. Less smoothing adds noise.
• Dynamic bands recalibrate with dynLen ; if set too short, bands may swing excessively. If too long, bands can be slow to adapt.
Practical tuning tips
• Trending symbols: increase w_dm , use a modest smoother like EMA or T3, and use centerZero dynamic bands.
• Choppy symbols: increase w_rsi and w_cci , consider ALMA with a higher sigma , and widen bands with a larger thres_k .
• Multiday swing charts: lengthen lookback and dynLen to stabilize the scale.
• Lower timeframes: shorten component lookbacks slightly and reduce smoothing to keep signals timely.
Alerts
• Enter and exit of Overbought and Oversold, based on the active band choice.
• Bullish and bearish zero crosses.
Use alerts as prompts to review context rather than as stand-alone trade commands.
Final Remarks
We created this to show people a different way of making indicators & trading.
You can process normal indicators in multiple ways to enhance or change the signal, especially with this you can utilise machine learning to optimise the weights, then trade accordingly.
All of the different components were selected to give some sort of signal, its made out of simple components yet is effective. As long as the user calibrates it to their Trading/ investing style you can find good results. Do not use anything standalone, ensure you are backtesting and creating a proper system.
Economic Profit (Fixed & Labeled) — Rated + PeersFRAC (Fundamental-Rated-Asset-Calculate)
FRAC is a fundamentals-driven tool designed to measure whether a company is creating or destroying shareholder value. Unlike surface ratios, FRAC uses Economic Profit (ROIC – WACC) as its engine, showing whether a business truly outperforms its cost of capital.
🔹 What FRAC Does
Calculates ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) vs. WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital).
Shows whether a company is creating or destroying shareholder value.
Uses tiered color coding for clarity:
🔵 Superior (Aqua Blue) → Top tier; best of the best.
🟣 Elite (Purple) → Strong value creation.
🟢 Positive (Green) → Solid, creating shareholder value.
🟡 Marginal (Yellow) → Barely covering cost of capital.
🔴 Negative (Red) → Value destruction.
🔹 Composite Ranking System (1–4)
FRAC also assigns each company a Composite Rank so you can compare multiple names side by side. The rank works like this:
Rank 1 → Superior (🔵 Aqua Blue)
Best possible rating; wide gap between ROIC and WACC.
Rank 2 → Elite (🟣 Purple)
Strongly positive; above-average capital efficiency.
Rank 3 → Positive (🟢 Green)
Creating value but only moderately; not a top compounder.
Rank 4 → Marginal/Negative (🟡/🔴)
Weak or destructive; either barely covering WACC or losing money on capital.
✅ How to Use the Ranks
When comparing a set of peers (e.g., NVDA, AMD, INTC):
FRAC will display each company’s color rating + composite rank (1–4).
You can instantly see who is strongest vs. weakest in the group.
Best decisions = overweight Rank 1 & 2 companies, avoid Rank 4 names.
🔹 Key Inputs Explained
Risk-Free Asset → Typically the 10-Year US Treasury yield (US10Y).
Corporate Tax Rate → Effective tax rate for the company’s country (e.g., USCTR).
Expected Market Return → Historical average ~8–10%, adjustable.
Beta Lookback Period → Controls how far back Beta is calculated (longer = more stable, shorter = more reactive).
👉 These must be set correctly for FRAC to calculate WACC accurately.
🔹 Example Comparison
NVDA: ROIC 25% – WACC 7% = +18% → 🔵 Superior → Rank 1
AMD: ROIC 17% – WACC 8% = +9% → 🟣 Elite → Rank 2
INTC: ROIC 11% – WACC 9% = +2% → 🟢 Positive → Rank 3
FSLY: ROIC 5% – WACC 10% = –5% → 🔴 Negative → Rank 4
🔹 Why It Matters
Buffett said: “The best businesses are those that can consistently generate returns on capital above their cost of capital.”
FRAC turns that into a visual + numeric rating system (1–4), making comparisons across peers simple and actionable.
🔹 Credit
FRAC was created by Hunter Hammond (Elite x FineFir), inspired by corporate finance models of Economic Profit and Economic Value Added (EVA).
⚠️ Disclaimer: FRAC is a research framework, not financial advice. Always pair with full due diligence.
ETH Valuation Indicator╔═══════════════════════ RUBIXCUBE ════════════════════════════╗
This indicator combines multiple on-chain and market-based metrics into a single valuation score for Ethereum. It highlights periods of relative undervaluation (green zones) and overvaluation (red zones) by normalising several metrics into a 0–1 range and averaging them.
Price chart signals (top panel): Green arrows mark points where the indicator flagged historically attractive buying opportunities.
Valuation oscillator (bottom panel): Shows the combined score over time, cycling between undervalued and overvalued extremes.
Metric breakdown (side panel): Displays the contribution of each metric, their rate of change, and their current score.
This tool is designed for macro insight, not short-term trading. It helps contextualise Ethereum’s position in the market cycle and provides a data-driven framework for long-term investors.
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BTC Valuation Indicator╔═══════════════════ RUBIXCUBE ══════════════════════╗
This indicator combines multiple on-chain and market-based metrics into a single valuation score for Bitcoin. It highlights periods of relative undervaluation (green zones) and overvaluation (red zones) by normalising several metrics into a 0–1 range and averaging them.
- Price chart signals (top panel): Green arrows mark points where the indicator flagged historically attractive buying opportunities.
- Valuation oscillator (bottom panel): Shows the combined score over time, cycling between undervalued and overvalued extremes.
- Metric breakdown (side panel): Displays the contribution of each metric, their rate of change, and their current score.
This tool is designed for macro insight, not short-term trading. It helps contextualise Bitcoin’s position in the market cycle and provides a data-driven framework for long-term investors.
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BTC Power Law Valuation BandsBTC Power Law Rainbow
A long-term valuation framework for Bitcoin based on Power Law growth — designed to help identify macro accumulation and distribution zones, aligned with long-term investor behavior.
🔍 What Is a Power Law?
A Power Law is a mathematical relationship where one quantity varies as a power of another. In this model:
Price ≈ a × (Time)^b
It captures the non-linear, exponentially slowing growth of Bitcoin over time. Rather than using linear or cyclical models, this approach aligns with how complex systems, such as networks or monetary adoption curves, often grow — rapidly at first, and then more slowly, but persistently.
🧠 Why Power Law for BTC?
Bitcoin:
Has finite supply and increasing adoption.
Operates as a monetary network , where Metcalfe’s Law and power laws naturally emerge.
Exhibits exponential growth over logarithmic time when viewed on a log-log chart .
This makes it uniquely well-suited for power law modeling.
🌈 How to Use the Valuation Bands
The central white line represents the modeled fair value according to the power law.
Colored bands represent deviations from the model in logarithmic space, acting as macro zones:
🔵 Lower Bands: Deep value / Accumulation zones.
🟡 Mid Bands: Fair value.
🔴 Upper Bands: Euphoria / Risk of macro tops.
📐 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Alignment
Accumulation: Occurs when price consolidates near lower bands — often aligning with institutional positioning.
Markup: As price re-enters or ascends the bands, we often see breakout behavior and trend expansion.
Distribution: When price extends above upper bands, potential for exit liquidity creation and distribution events.
Reversion: Historically, price mean-reverts toward the model — rarely staying outside the bands for long.
This makes the model useful for:
Cycle timing
Long-term DCA strategy zones
Identifying value dislocations
Filtering short-term noise
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only . It is not financial advice. The power law model is a non-predictive, mathematical framework and does not guarantee future price movements .
Always use additional tools, risk management, and your own judgment before making trading or investment decisions.
Greer Book Value Yield📘 Script Title
Greer Book Value Yield – Valuation Insight Based on Balance Sheet Strength
🧾 Description
Greer Book Value Yield is a valuation-focused indicator in the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to evaluate how much net asset value (book value) a company provides per share relative to its current market price. This script calculates the Book Value Per Share Yield (BV%) using the formula:
Book Value Yield (%) = Book Value Per Share ÷ Stock Price × 100
This yield helps investors assess whether a stock is trading at a discount or premium to its underlying assets. It dynamically highlights when the yield is:
🟢 Above its historical average (potentially undervalued)
🔴 Below its historical average (potentially overvalued)
🔍 Use Case
Analyze valuation through asset-based metrics
Identify buy opportunities when book value yield is historically high
Combine with other scripts in the Greer Financial Toolkit:
📘 Greer Value – Tracks year-over-year growth consistency across six key metrics
📊 Greer Value Yields Dashboard – Visualizes multiple valuation-based yields
🟢 Greer BuyZone – Highlights long-term technical buy zones
🛠️ Inputs & Data
Uses Book Value Per Share (BVPS) from TradingView’s financial database (Fiscal Year)
Calculates and compares against a static average yield to assess historical valuation
Clean visual feedback via dynamic coloring and overlays
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Greer EPS Yield📘 Script Title
Greer EPS Yield – Valuation Insight Based on Earnings Productivity
🧾 Description
Greer EPS Yield is a valuation-focused indicator from the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to evaluate how efficiently a company generates earnings relative to its current stock price. This script calculates the Earnings Per Share Yield (EPS%), using the formula:
EPS Yield (%) = Earnings Per Share ÷ Stock Price × 100
This yield metric provides a quick snapshot of valuation through the lens of profitability per share. It dynamically highlights when the EPS yield is:
🟢 Above its historical average (potentially undervalued)
🔴 Below its historical average (potentially overvalued)
🔍 Use Case
Quickly assess valuation attractiveness based on earnings yield.
Identify potential buy opportunities when EPS% is above its long-term average.
Combine with other indicators in the Greer Financial Toolkit for a fundamentals-driven investment strategy:
📘 Greer Value – Tracks year-over-year growth consistency across six key metrics
📊 Greer Value Yields Dashboard – Visualizes valuation-based yield metrics
🟢 Greer BuyZone – Highlights long-term technical buy zones
🛠️ Inputs & Data
Uses fiscal year EPS data from TradingView’s built-in financial database.
Tracks a static average EPS Yield to compare current valuation to historical norms.
Clean, intuitive visual with automatic color coding.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Pristine Fundamental AnalysisThe Pristine Fundamental Analysis indicator enables users to perform comprehensive fundamental stock analysis in a fraction of the time! 🏆
For swing/position traders, fundamental analysis is essential—it informs stock selection and strengthens conviction, enabling traders to stay in positions long enough to capture larger moves. Since every ticker represents both a business and a tradable asset, fundamental analysis perfectly complements technical analysis.
💠 Fundamental Analysis Insights - Weekly Timeframe
EPS & sales trends, margins & ratios, and valuation metrics are displayed on the weekly timeframe for in-depth analysis outside market hours.
💠 Fundamental Analysis Insights - Daily Timeframe
A slimmed down version of the fundamental analysis table is displayed on the daily timeframe to provide users quick insights into the fundamentals, while allowing them to focus on technical analysis during market hours.
💠 Fundamental Analysis Metrics to Deepen Understanding of Companies!
EARNINGS & SALES TRENDS
Why does it matter? Company stock prices tend to track the growth trajectory of earnings and sales over time. By analyzing fundamentals, users can gain an edge that pure technical traders do not have. This edge is most pronounced during big market dislocations when investors are forced to liquidate their top holdings.
▪ EPS - Measures year-over-year growth, quarter-over-quarter growth, and the surprise between actuals & analyst estimates
▪ Sales Analysis - Measures year-over-year growth, quarter-over-quarter growth, and the surprise between actuals & analyst estimates
MARGIN ANALYSIS
Why does it matter? Revenue is the lifeblood of a company. Margins measure company profits and expenditures as a percentage of revenue
▪ G% - Gross margin measures the percentage of revenue a company retained after subtracting the direct costs of producing the goods or services it sells, known as the cost of goods sold (COGS)
▪ CFO% - Measures the percentage of a company's revenue that was converted to Cash flow from operations (CFO). CFO, also known as operating cash flow (OCF), is the amount of cash a company generated from its core business activities over a specific period. It reflects the actual cash inflows and outflows resulting from the company’s main operations, such as selling products or providing services, and excludes cash flows from investing and financing activities.
▪ Net% - Net margin measures the percentage of revenue that was converted to net profit
▪ ROE% - Return on Equity measures how much net income a company produced for each dollar of equity invested by shareholders
▪ R&D% - R&D margin measures how much the company invested in research & development as a percentage of revenue
▪ D/E - The Debt to Equity ratio measures how much of a company’s financing comes from creditors (debt) versus owners (equity), providing insight into the company’s financial leverage and risk profile. The indicator tracks changes in the ratio over time
VALUATION METRICS
Why does it matter? Valuation metrics provide users an understanding of the potential risk if the fundamental trajectory of the company, or the broad market, changes! The more highly valued a company is, the more downside risk is present if conditions worsen, and vice versa.
▪ PE - The Price-to-Earnings ratio measures a company’s current share price relative to its trailing twelve-month(TTM) earnings per share (EPS). It helps investors assess how much they are paying for each dollar of a company’s earnings and is often used to gauge whether a stock is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued compared to its peers or historical averages.
▪ PS - The Price-to-Sales ratio measures a company’s current share price relative to its trailing twelve-month(TTM) sales per share. It helps investors assess how much they are paying for each dollar of a company’s sales and is often used to gauge whether a stock is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly valued compared to its peers or historical averages.
▪ BB% - Buyback yield measures the annual percentage of stock repurchased by the company. Share buybacks reduce total share count, which directly increases earnings per share!
💠 What Makes This Indicator Unique
There are many fundamental dashboards, however, what makes this indicator unique is customized metrics that were used to achieve back-to-back top finishes in the US Investing Championship. The main purpose of the indicator is to highlight companies with a history of EPS and sales acceleration , rather than focusing on the values in isolation, or even the growth of the values. Our goal is further evolution of the metrics and color signals based on continued backtesting and analysis of real-time market data.
▪ Custom Margin Metrics : Several of the margin metrics are unique and offer significant value beyond EPS and sales data alone.
For example, there are plenty of companies that have negative EPS due to non-cash expenses and/or investments they are making into their business, but that does not by itself mean that the companies are not worthy of an investment. Roblox (RBLX) is a great example. The company has consistently negative EPS, but the CFO% margin is positive! That means the core business throws off significant amounts of cash, and a large amount of it is being allocated to aggressive R&D spend, which is captured by the R&D% metric. This could propel the fundamentals of the business well into the future.
▪ Color Signals Based on Thresholds : The background colors of metrics are based on historical analysis and apply relevant thresholds to help users identify companies with strong fundamentals
▪ Comprehensive Inline Documentation : All headers cells offer detailed information about the relevant calculations/metrics as well as in-depth information on color coding and how to interpret each value. This small, yet important detail, allows users to quickly identify accelerating fundamental trends
💠 Practical Use Case Examples
Analyzing fundamentals to trade a Power Earnings Gap setup 👇
In August 2023, APP reported a +467% YoY increase in EPS, 181% higher than Wall Street estimates! This sparked a generational trading opportunity.👇
After the first earnings report with stellar earnings growth, APP rallied > 1000% in 2 years, following the trajectory of sales and EPS.👇
💠 Settings and Preferences
💠 Tips and Tricks
Fundamentals drive price action during periods of fundamental transition
▪ Pre-revenue companies that are anticipated to start earning revenue
▪ Revenue-generating companies that are anticipated to flip from negative to positive EPS
▪ Revenue-generating companies that are anticipated to flip from negative cash flow to positive cash flow
▪ Major accelerations or decelerations in sales or EPS
Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator | Lyro RSArnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator
Introduction
Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator is a custom-built trend analysis tool that blends classic market oscillators with advanced normalization, advanced math functions and Arnaud Legoux smoothing. Unlike conventional indicators, 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 aggregates market momentum, volatility and trend strength.
Signal Insight
The 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 line visually reflects the aggregated directional bias. A rise above the middle line threshold signals bullish strength, while a drop below the middle line indicates bearish momentum.
Another way to interpret the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 is through overbought and oversold conditions. When the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 rises above the +0.7 threshold, it suggests an overbought market and signals a strong uptrend. Conversely, a drop below the -0.7 level indicates an oversold condition and a strong downtrend.
When the oscillator hovers near the zero line, especially within the neutral ±0.3 band, it suggests that no single directional force is dominating—common during consolidation phases or pre-breakout compression.
Real-World Example
Usually 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 is used by following the bar color for simple signals; however, like most indicators there are unique ways to use an indicator. Let’s dive deep into such ways.
The market begins with a green bar color, raising awareness for a potential long setup—but not a direct entry. In this methodology, bar coloring serves as an alert mechanism rather than a strict entry trigger.
The first long position was initiated when the 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 signal line crossed above the +0.3 threshold, suggesting a shift in directional acceleration. This entry coincided with a rising price movement, validating the trade.
As price advanced, the position was exited into cash—not reversed into a short—because the short criteria for this use case are distinct. The exit was prompted by 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossing back below the +0.3 level, signaling the potential weakening of the long trend.
Later, as 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossed below 0, attention shifted toward short opportunities. A short entry was confirmed when 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 dipped below -0.3, indicating growing downside momentum. The position was eventually closed when 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐 crossed back above the -0.3 boundary—signaling a possible deceleration of the bearish move.
This logic was consistently applied in subsequent setups, emphasizing the role of 𝓐𝓛𝓣𝓐’s thresholds in guiding both entries and exits.
Framework
The Arnaud Legoux Trend Aggregator (ALTA) combines multiple technical indicators into a single smoothed signal. It uses RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Momentum Index, and ATR.
Each indicator's output is normalized to a common scale to eliminate bias and ensure consistency. These normalized values are then transformed using a hyperbolic tangent function (Tanh).
The final score is refined with a custom Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) function, which offers responsive smoothing that adapts quickly to price changes. This results in a clear signal that reacts efficiently to shifting market conditions.
⚠️ WARNING ⚠️: THIS INDICATOR, OR ANY OTHER WE (LYRO RS) PUBLISH, IS NOT FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE. EVERY INDICATOR SHOULD BE COMBINED WITH PRICE ACTION, FUNDAMENTALS, OTHER TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TOOLS & PROPER RISK. MANAGEMENT.
S&P 500 & Normalized CAPE Z-Score AnalyzerThis macro-focused indicator visualizes the historical valuation of the U.S. equity market using the CAPE ratio (Shiller P/E), normalized over its long-term average and standard deviations. It helps traders and investors identify overvaluation and undervaluation zones over time, combining both statistical signals and historical context.
💡 Why It’s Useful
This indicator is ideal for macro traders and long-term investors looking to contextualize equity valuations across decades. It helps identify statistical extremes in valuation by referencing the standard deviation of the CAPE ratio relative to its long-term mean. The overlay of S&P 500 price with valuation zones provides a visual confirmation tool for macro decisions or timing insights.
It includes:
✅ Three display modes:
-S&P 500 (color-coded by CAPE valuation zone)
-Normalized CAPE (vs. long-term mean)
-CAPE Z-Score (standardized measure)
🎯 How to Interpret
Dynamic coloring of the S&P 500 price based on CAPE valuation:
🔴 Z > +2σ → Highly Overvalued
🟠 Z > +1σ → Overvalued
⚪ -1σ < Z < +1σ → Neutral
🟢 Z < -1σ → Undervalued
✅ Z < -2σ → Strong Buy Zone
-Live valuation label showing the current CAPE, Z-score, and zone.
-Macro event shading: major historical events (e.g. Great Depression, Oil Crisis, Dot-com Bubble, COVID Crash) are shaded on the chart for context.
✅ Built-in alerts:
CAPE > +2σ → Potential risk zone
CAPE < -2σ → Potential opportunity zone
📊 Use Cases
This indicator is ideal for:
🧠 Macro traders seeking long-term valuation extremes.
📈 Portfolio managers monitoring systemic valuation risk.
🏛️ Long-term investors timing strategic allocation shifts.
🧪 How It Works
CAPE ratio (Shiller PE) is retrieved from Quandl (MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH).
The script calculates the long-term average and standard deviation of CAPE.
The Z-score is computed as:
(CAPE - Mean) / Standard Deviation
Users can switch between:
S&P 500 chart, color-coded by CAPE valuation zones.
Normalized CAPE, centered around zero (historic mean).
CAPE Z-score, showing statistical positioning directly.
Visual bands represent +1σ, +2σ, -1σ, -2σ thresholds.
You can switch between modes using the “Display” dropdown in the settings panel.
📊 Data Sources
CAPE: MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH via Quandl
S&P 500: Monthly close prices of SPX (TradingView data)
All data updated on monthly resolution
This is not a repackaged built-in or autogenerated script. It’s a custom-built and interactive indicator designed for educational and analytical use in macroeconomic valuation studies.
FA Dashboard: Valuation, Profitability & SolvencyFundamental Analysis Dashboard: A Multi-Dimensional View of Company Quality
This script presents a structured and customizable dashboard for evaluating a company’s fundamentals across three key dimensions: Valuation, Profitability, and Solvency & Liquidity.
Unlike basic fundamental overlays, this dashboard consolidates multiple financial indicators into visual tables that update dynamically and are grouped by category. Each ratio is compared against configurable thresholds, helping traders quickly assess whether a company meets certain value investing criteria. The tables use color-coded checkmarks and fail marks (✔️ / ❌) to visually signal pass/fail evaluations.
▶️ Key Features
Valuation Ratios:
Earnings Yield: EBIT / EV
EV / EBIT and EV / FCF: Enterprise value metrics for profitability
Price-to-Book, Free Cash Flow Yield, PEG Ratio
Profitability Ratios:
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), ROE, Operating, Net & Gross Margins, Revenue Growth
Solvency & Liquidity Ratios:
Debt to Equity, Debt to EBITDA, Current Ratio, Quick Ratio, Altman Z-Score
Each of these metrics is calculated using request.financial() and can be viewed using either annual (FY) or quarterly (FQ) data, depending on user preference.
🧠 How to Use
Add the script to any stock chart.
Select your preferred data period (FY or FQ).
Adjust thresholds if desired to match your personal investing strategy.
Review the visual dashboard to see which metrics the company passes or fails.
💡 Why It’s Useful
This tool is ideal for traders or long-term investors looking to filter stocks using fundamental criteria. It draws inspiration from principles used by Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, and Joel Greenblatt, offering a fast and informative way to screen quality businesses.
This is not a repackaged built-in or autogenerated script. It’s a custom-built, interactive tool tailored for fundamental analysis using official financial data provided via Pine Script’s request.financial().
3 Way ValuationThe 3 Way Valuation (3WV) is a composite oscillator that evaluates market conditions by combining a diverse range of metrics into a single smoothed value between 0 and 1. It draws from multiple domains, including momentum, trend strength, volatility, risk-adjusted return ratios, and volume-based analytics to offer a well-rounded view of an asset’s relative positioning.
At its core, 3WV integrates three statistical approaches: Percentile Ranking to assess how current values compare to historical distributions, Z-Score Normalization to measure deviation from the average, and Empirical CDF (ECDF) to estimate the probability of observing a value based on past behavior. These methods are applied across all selected metrics, then normalized and averaged for a comprehensive market sentiment score.
Users can tailor the smoothing level and choose whether to include volume-based components for enhanced filtering. The indicator highlights potential overbought and oversold conditions with customizable thresholds, making it a versatile tool for timing entries, exits, or confirming broader strategies.
Uptrick: Universal Market ValuationIntroduction
Uptrick: Universal Market Valuation is created for traders who seek an analytical tool that brings together multiple signals in one place. Whether you focus on intraday scalping or long-term portfolio management, the indicator merges various well-known technical indicators to help gauge potential overvaluation, undervaluation, and trend direction. It is engineered to highlight different market dimensions, from immediate price momentum to extended cyclical trends.
Overview
The indicator categorizes market conditions into short-term, long-term, or a classic Z-Score style reading. Additionally, it draws on a unified trend line for directional bias. By fusing elements from traditionally separate indicators, the indicator aims to reduce “false positives” while giving a multidimensional view of price behavior. The indicator works best on cryptocurrency markets while remaining a universal valuation indicator that performs well across all timeframes. However, on lower timeframes, the Long-Term Combo input may be too long-term, so it's recommended to select the Short-Term Combo in the inputs for better adaptability.
Originality and Value
The Uptrick: Universal Market Valuation indicator is not just a simple combination of existing technical indicators—it introduces a multi-layered, adaptive valuation model that enhances signal clarity, reduces false positives, and provides traders with a more refined assessment of market conditions.
Rather than treating each included indicator as an independent signal, this script normalizes and synthesizes multiple indicators into a unified composite score, ensuring that short-term and long-term momentum, mean reversion, and trend strength are all dynamically weighted based on market behavior. It employs a proprietary weighting system that adjusts how each component contributes to the final valuation output. Instead of static threshold-based signals, the indicator integrates adaptive filtering mechanisms that account for volatility fluctuations, drawdowns, and momentum shifts, ensuring more reliable overbought/oversold readings.
Additionally, the script applies Z-Score-based deviation modeling, which refines price valuation by filtering out extreme readings that are statistically insignificant. This enhances the detection of true overvaluation and undervaluation points by comparing price behavior against a dynamically calculated standard deviation threshold rather than relying solely on traditional fixed oscillator bands. The MVRV-inspired ratio provides a unique valuation layer by incorporating historical fair-value estimations, offering deeper insight into market overextension.
The Universal Trend Line within the indicator is designed to smooth trend direction while maintaining responsiveness to market shifts. Unlike conventional trend indicators that may lag significantly or produce excessive false signals, this trend-following mechanism dynamically adjusts to changing price structures, helping traders confirm directional bias with reduced noise. This approach enables clearer trend recognition and assists in distinguishing between short-lived pullbacks and sustained market movements.
By merging momentum oscillators, trend strength indicators, volume-driven metrics, statistical deviation models, and long-term valuation principles into a single framework, this indicator eliminates the need for juggling multiple individual indicators, helping traders achieve a holistic market perspective while maintaining customization flexibility. The combination of real-time alerts, dynamic color-based valuation visualization, and customizable trend-following modes further enhances usability, making it a comprehensive tool for traders across different timeframes and asset classes.
Inputs and Features
• Calculation Window (Short-Term and Long-Term)
Defines how much historical data the indicator uses to evaluate the market. A smaller window makes the indicator more reactive, benefiting high-frequency traders. A larger window provides a steadier perspective for longer-term holders.
• Smoothing Period (Short-Term and Long-Term)
Controls how much the raw indicator outputs are “smoothed out.” Lower values reveal subtle intraday fluctuations, while higher values aim to present more robust, stable signals.
• Valuation Mechanism (Short Term Combo, Long Term Combo, Classic Z-Score)
Allows you to pick how the indicator evaluates overvaluation or undervaluation. Short Term Combo focuses on rapid oscillations, Long Term Combo assesses market health over more extended periods, and the Classic Z-Score approach highlights statistically unusual price levels.
Short-Term
• Determination Mechanism (Strict or Loose)
Governs the tolerance for labeling a market as overvalued or undervalued. Strict requires stronger confirmation; Loose begins labeling sooner, potentially catching moves earlier but risking more false signals.
Strict
Loose
• Select Color Scheme
Lets you choose the aesthetic style for your charts. Visual clarity can significantly improve reaction time, especially when multiple indicators are combined.
• Z-Score Coloring Mode (Heat or Slope)
Determines how the Classic Z-Score line and bars are colored. In Heat mode, the indicator intensifies color as readings move further from a baseline average. Slope mode changes color based on the direction of movement, making turning points more evident.
Classic Z-Score - Heat
Classic Z-Score - Slope
• Trend Following Mode (Short, Long, Extra Long, Filtered Long)
Offers various ways to compute and smooth the universal trend line. Short is more sensitive, Long and Extra Long are meant for extended time horizons, and Filtered Long applies an extra smoothing layer to help you see overarching trends rather than smaller fluctuations.
Short Term
Long Term
Extra Long Term
Filtered Long Term
• Table Display
An optional feature that places a concise summary table on the chart. It shows valuation states, trend direction, volatility condition, and other metrics, letting you observe multi-angle readings at a glance.
• Alerts
Multiple alert triggers can be set up—for crossing into overvaluation zones, for abrupt changes in trend, or for high volatility detection. Traders can stay informed without needing to watch charts continuously.
Why These Indicators Were Merged
• RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is a cornerstone momentum oscillator that interprets speed and change of price movements. It has widespread recognition among traders for detecting potential overbought or oversold conditions. Including RSI provides a tried-and-tested layer of momentum insight.
• Stochastic Oscillator
This oscillator evaluates the closing price relative to its recent price range. Its responsiveness makes it valuable for pinpointing near-term price fluctuations. Where RSI offers a broader momentum picture, Stochastic adds fine-tuned detection of short-lived rallies or pullbacks.
• MFI (Money Flow Index)
MFI assesses buying and selling pressure by incorporating volume data. Many technical tools are purely price-based, but MFI’s volume component helps address questions of liquidity and actual money flow, offering a glimpse of how robust or weak a current move might be.
• CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
CCI shows how far price lies from its statistically “typical” trend. It can spot emerging trends or warn of overextension. Using CCI alongside RSI and Stochastic further refines the valuation layer by capturing price deviation from its underlying trajectory.
• ADX (Average Directional Index)
ADX reveals the strength of a trend but does not specify its direction. This is especially useful in combination with other oscillators that focus on bullish or bearish momentum. ADX can clarify whether a market is truly trending or just moving sideways, lending deeper context to the indicator's broader signals.
• MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
MACD is known for detecting momentum shifts via the interaction of two moving averages. Its inclusion ensures the indicator can capture transitional phases in market momentum. Where RSI and Stochastic concentrate on shorter-term changes, MACD has a slightly longer horizon for identifying robust directional changes.
• Momentum and ROC (Rate of Change)
Momentum and ROC specifically measure the velocity of price moves. By indicating how quickly (or slowly) price is changing compared to previous bars, they help confirm whether a trend is gathering steam, losing it, or is in a transitional stage.
• MVRV-Inspired Ratio
Drawn loosely from the concept of comparing market value to some underlying historical or fair-value metric, an MVRV-style ratio can help identify if an asset is trading above or below a considered norm. This additional viewpoint on valuation goes beyond simple price-based oscillations.
• Z-Score
Z-Score interprets how many standard deviations current prices deviate from a central mean. This statistical measure is often used to identify extreme conditions—either overly high or abnormally low. Z-Score helps highlight potential mean reversion setups by showing when price strays far from typical levels.
By merging these distinct viewpoints—momentum oscillators, trend strength gauges, volume flow, standard deviation extremes, and fundamental-style valuation measures—the indicator aims to create a well-rounded, carefully balanced final readout. Each component serves a specialized function, and together they can mitigate the weaknesses of a single metric acting alone.
Summary
This indicator simplifies multi-indicator analysis by fusing numerous popular technical signals into one tool. You can switch between short-term and long-term valuation perspectives or adopt a classic Z-Score approach for spotting price extremes. The universal trend line clarifies direction, while user-friendly color schemes, optional tabular summaries, and customizable alerts empower traders to maintain awareness without constantly monitoring every market tick.
Disclaimer
The indicator is made for educational and informational use only, with no claims of guaranteed profitability. Past data patterns, regardless of the indicators used, never ensure future results. Always maintain diligent risk management and consider the broader market context when making trading decisions. This indicator is not personal financial advice, and Uptrick disclaims responsibility for any trading outcomes arising from its use.
VWAP Valuation Model | JeffreyTimmermansVWAP Valuation Model
This indicator provides a powerful tool for traders looking to assess the value of an asset based on the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) and the z-score. The VWAP Valuation Model is designed to give insights into the overbought or oversold condition of an asset by comparing the current price to a volume-weighted average over a defined period.
Key Features:
VWAP Baseline: The indicator calculates a volume-weighted moving average of the price, which serves as the core reference line for price analysis.
Z-Score: The z-score is calculated to determine how far the current price deviates from the mean, adjusted for volatility. This score helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Smoothing Option: Optionally, the indicator can be smoothed for better visualization, with the smoothing length being adjustable.
Real-time Data: The indicator provides real-time insights for multiple assets, such as Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Ethereum (ETHUSD), and Solana (SOLUSD), and can take the broader market performance (like the total crypto market) into account.
Z-Score Table: The indicator features an interactive table that provides valuable information on the z-scores of selected assets, allowing traders to quickly get an overview of market conditions. The table is strategically positioned above the chart for maximum visibility without interfering with the chart data.
Usage:
Overbought/Oversold: A z-score above +1.5 indicates overvaluation (overbought), while a score below -1.5 indicates undervaluation (oversold). This indicator helps in making informed trading decisions.
VWAP Range: The indicator offers a visual representation of the VWAP range, crucial for understanding price trends and market dynamics.
This indicator is ideal for investors interested in fundamental analysis while also needing technical insights to identify buy and sell opportunities. It helps to objectively assess market valuation and make well-informed decisions.
Important Note: This indicators works only in mean-reverting markets, not trending periods.
-Jeffrey
Z-Score + Valuation BTC | JeffreyTimmermansBTC Valuation Indicator with Z-Score Analysis
The BTC Valuation Indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to offer traders and analysts a deeper understanding of Bitcoin’s market valuation, empowering them to make more informed decisions. By utilizing a combination of key moving averages and a logarithmic trendline, along with advanced statistical analysis through the Z-Score Indicator, this tool provides a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s potential undervaluation or overvaluation.
Key Features:
200MA/P (200-Day Moving Average to Price Ratio)
This component compares Bitcoin’s current price to its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), offering insights into the long-term trend. A positive value signals a potential undervaluation of Bitcoin, while a negative value may indicate overvaluation.
Use case: Identifying long-term price trends to forecast potential buying or selling opportunities.
50MA/P (50-Day Moving Average to Price Ratio)
This ratio focuses on the short-term dynamics of Bitcoin’s price, comparing it to its 50-day SMA. It helps traders detect bullish or bearish trends in the immediate future.
Use case: Spotting short-term market movements and adjusting strategies accordingly.
LTL/P (Logarithmic TrendLine to Price Ratio)
This ratio incorporates Bitcoin’s historical age, using a logarithmic trendline to measure price movements against long-term expectations. A divergence from this trendline can signal potential overvaluation or undervaluation, assisting in aligning trading decisions with broader market trends.
Use case: Evaluating the overall trajectory of Bitcoin’s value over time and predicting significant market shifts.
Z-Score Indicator Integration:
The BTC Valuation Indicator utilizes the Z-Score, a powerful statistical measure, to assess how far each of the aforementioned ratios deviates from the mean. Z-Scores help standardize these ratios, allowing traders to gauge the severity of under or overvaluation compared to historical averages.
What is a Z-Score?
A Z-score measures how far a data point is from the mean in terms of standard deviations. A Z-score of 0 indicates the value is exactly at the mean, while a positive or negative score shows how much the value deviates from it. A higher Z-score signals a more significant deviation, potentially pointing to a market anomaly, while a Z-score near 0 indicates normal conditions.
For instance:
A Z-score above +2 indicates that Bitcoin may be overvalued, with the likelihood of a market correction or reversion to the mean.
A Z-score below -2 signals possible undervaluation, suggesting an upward trend may be on the horizon.
Z-Score and Market Volatility
The Z-Score Indicator can be used in conjunction with volatility measures, such as the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), to forecast potential market volatility. Just as a Z-scored VIX above +2 suggests decreasing volatility and the possibility of an upward trend, a Z-scored VIX below -2 indicates increasing volatility and a potential downward trend. This parallel can be used to predict Bitcoin’s potential movements in times of market uncertainty.
How to Use:
The BTC Valuation Indicator, when paired with the Z-Score, provides a more refined statistical framework to analyze Bitcoin’s market conditions. This integration allows traders to assess the severity of potential trends and price anomalies, assisting in the identification of profitable entry and exit points.
Important Considerations:
No Guarantee of Market Predictions: While this indicator is a valuable tool for assessing market conditions, no indicator can guarantee future performance. Always consider multiple factors and use the indicator as part of a comprehensive strategy.
Market Dynamics:
As market conditions evolve, continuously refine your approach. Historical performance may not be indicative of future results, and traders should remain vigilant to changing trends and developments.
By combining the power of moving averages, logarithmic trend lines, and Z-scores, the BTC Valuation Indicator equips investors with a robust, data-driven approach to Bitcoin valuation, enhancing decision-making and enabling a more nuanced understanding of market dynamics.
-Jeffrey
Puell Multiple BTC | JeffreyTimmermansThe Puell Multiple is a metric that assesses the relationship between mining profitability and market cycles. It is calculated by comparing the daily value of newly issued coins (USD) to the 365-day moving average of daily coin issuance (USD).
This indicator works best on the 1D BTC Chart. When interpreting the Puell Multiple, it can generally be understood as follows:
High values indicate that miner profitability is significantly higher than the yearly average. This may lead to an increased incentive for miners to sell off their holdings, putting additional selling pressure on the market.
Low values suggest that miner profitability is lower than the yearly average. In this case, miners might experience financial strain, causing some to reduce their hash power by shutting down mining rigs. This, in turn, can reduce the number of coins being sold into the market, as remaining miners need to liquidate fewer coins to maintain operations, thereby decreasing the impact on the liquid supply.
The Puell Multiple is a metric used primarily in the cryptocurrency space, specifically for Bitcoin, to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued in relation to its mining rewards. It helps to gauge the profitability of miners and, by extension, to assess market conditions.
Use:
This Puell Multiple is invented for Long-Term, Trend Following Systems.
The Puell Multiple trend can be visualized through the color of the bars, which represents the direction of the trend, while the background indicates the strength of that trend.
Bar Color: The color of the bars typically changes to reflect whether the trend is bullish or bearish. For example, green bars may indicate a strong bullish trend, while red bars signal a bearish or declining trend. The color coding helps to quickly interpret the market's overall movement in relation to mining profitability.
Background Color: The background of the chart is used to reflect the strength of the trend. A darker or more intense background may signify a stronger trend, indicating that the market conditions are more pronounced, while a lighter background can suggest a weaker or more uncertain trend, showing less certainty in the market’s direction.
Together, the combination of bar color and background provides a clearer picture of both the trend's direction and its strength, making it easier to assess potential market behavior based on miner profitability and market cycles.
Puell Multiple and Moving Average: They can be used as an extra tool to confirm the bullish or bearish trend. When the Puell Multiple is above the Moving Average, this will suggest and confirm that the trend is bullish.
How you score this for your own systems is up to you.
-Jeffrey
Puell Multiple BTC | JeffreyTimmermansThe Puell Multiple is a metric that assesses the relationship between mining profitability and market cycles. It is calculated by comparing the daily value of newly issued coins (USD) to the 365-day moving average of daily coin issuance (USD).
This indicator works best on the 1D BTC Chart. When interpreting the Puell Multiple, it can generally be understood as follows:
High values indicate that miner profitability is significantly higher than the yearly average. This may lead to an increased incentive for miners to sell off their holdings, putting additional selling pressure on the market.
Low values suggest that miner profitability is lower than the yearly average. In this case, miners might experience financial strain, causing some to reduce their hash power by shutting down mining rigs. This, in turn, can reduce the number of coins being sold into the market, as remaining miners need to liquidate fewer coins to maintain operations, thereby decreasing the impact on the liquid supply.
The Puell Multiple is a metric used primarily in the cryptocurrency space, specifically for Bitcoin, to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued in relation to its mining rewards. It helps to gauge the profitability of miners and, by extension, to assess market conditions.
Use:
This Puell Multiple is invented for Long-Term, Trend Following Systems.
The Puell Multiple trend can be visualized through the color of the bars, which represents the direction of the trend, while the background indicates the strength of that trend.
Bar Color: The color of the bars typically changes to reflect whether the trend is bullish or bearish. For example, green bars may indicate a strong bullish trend, while red bars signal a bearish or declining trend. The color coding helps to quickly interpret the market's overall movement in relation to mining profitability.
Background Color: The background of the chart is used to reflect the strength of the trend. A darker or more intense background may signify a stronger trend, indicating that the market conditions are more pronounced, while a lighter background can suggest a weaker or more uncertain trend, showing less certainty in the market’s direction.
Together, the combination of bar color and background provides a clearer picture of both the trend's direction and its strength, making it easier to assess potential market behavior based on miner profitability and market cycles.
Puell Multiple and Moving Average: They can be used as an extra tool to confirm the bullish or bearish trend. When the Puell Multiple is above the Moving Average, this will suggest and confirm that the trend is bullish.
How you score this for your own systems is up to you.
-Jeffrey
Puell Multiple BTC | JeffreyTimmermansThe Puell Multiple is a metric that assesses the relationship between mining profitability and market cycles. It is calculated by comparing the daily value of newly issued coins (USD) to the 365-day moving average of daily coin issuance (USD).
This indicator works best on the 1D BTC Chart. When interpreting the Puell Multiple, it can generally be understood as follows:
High values indicate that miner profitability is significantly higher than the yearly average. This may lead to an increased incentive for miners to sell off their holdings, putting additional selling pressure on the market.
Low values suggest that miner profitability is lower than the yearly average. In this case, miners might experience financial strain, causing some to reduce their hash power by shutting down mining rigs. This, in turn, can reduce the number of coins being sold into the market, as remaining miners need to liquidate fewer coins to maintain operations, thereby decreasing the impact on the liquid supply.
The Puell Multiple is a metric used primarily in the cryptocurrency space, specifically for Bitcoin, to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued in relation to its mining rewards. It helps to gauge the profitability of miners and, by extension, to assess market conditions.
Use:
This Puell Multiple is invented for Long-Term, Trend Following Systems.
The Puell Multiple trend can be visualized through the color of the bars, which represents the direction of the trend, while the background indicates the strength of that trend.
Bar Color: The color of the bars typically changes to reflect whether the trend is bullish or bearish. For example, green bars may indicate a strong bullish trend, while red bars signal a bearish or declining trend. The color coding helps to quickly interpret the market's overall movement in relation to mining profitability.
Background Color: The background of the chart is used to reflect the strength of the trend. A darker or more intense background may signify a stronger trend, indicating that the market conditions are more pronounced, while a lighter background can suggest a weaker or more uncertain trend, showing less certainty in the market’s direction.
Together, the combination of bar color and background provides a clearer picture of both the trend's direction and its strength, making it easier to assess potential market behavior based on miner profitability and market cycles.
Puell Multiple and Moving Average: They can be used as an extra tool to confirm the bullish or bearish trend. When the Puell Multiple is above the Moving Average, this will suggest and confirm that the trend is bullish.
How you score this for your own systems is up to you.
-Jeffrey
