[blackcat] L3 Projected Magic-9 SequenceOVERVIEW
The L3 Projected Magic-9 Sequence indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to help traders identify potential trend reversals through a unique sequence of price movements. By calculating projected highs and lows based on previous bar conditions, this script provides valuable insights into possible future market directions. It plots these key levels on the chart and highlights specific sequential patterns that often precede significant reversals, offering traders a visual advantage in their decision-making process 📈💡.
FEATURES
Projections: Calculates and plots projected highs and lows based on intricate conditions derived from previous bars' open, close, high, and low prices. These projections serve as dynamic support and resistance levels, helping traders anticipate potential turning points in the market 📊.
Sequential Patterns:
Identifies various sequential patterns known as "Magic" sequences, such as Magic-9 and Magic-13.
Labels these sequences directly on the chart for easy identification: 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, 13 for both bullish and bearish trends.
Provides additional labels when these sequences align with projected highs or lows, enhancing the reliability of the signal 🏷️.
Differentiates between trend and sideways phases using the Magic-9 Project Range. Traditional sequences generating buy and sell signals of 9 and 13 during sideways swings are displayed indistinguishably from other numbers. However, the 9 and 13 generated by breakouts are highlighted with red and green labels for better visibility 🚦.
Project Range Adjustment:
The Project Range is automatically adjusted by Multiple Time Frame (MTF).
A higher cycle is selected as the baseline of the Project Range based on the current operating cycle, ensuring adaptability to varying market conditions ⏳.
Customization:
Offers customizable colors for plotted lines and labels, allowing users to tailor the appearance to their preferences 🎨.
Adjustable settings for lookback periods and other parameters to fine-tune the indicator according to individual trading styles.
Automatic Timeframe Selection:
Automatically selects the most suitable timeframe for data fetching, ensuring optimal performance across different chart intervals ⏳.
Ensures compatibility with various trading strategies, whether short-term intraday or long-term positional trading.
HOW TO USE
Adding the Indicator:
Open your TradingView platform and navigate to the chart where you want to apply the indicator.
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top of the screen and search for L3 Projected Magic-9 Sequence.
Select the indicator from the list and add it to your chart.
Understanding Projections:
Once added, observe the plotted projected highs and lows on your chart.
These lines represent anticipated support and resistance levels based on complex calculations involving previous bar data.
Identifying Sequential Patterns:
Look for labels such as 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13 appearing on the chart.
These labels signify specific sequential patterns that often precede market reversals.
Pay special attention to labels that include arrows (e.g., 9▼, 13▲), indicating alignment with projected highs or lows.
Note the differentiation between trend and sideways phases:
During sideways swings, traditional sequences generating buy and sell signals of 9 and 13 are displayed indistinguishably from other numbers.
Breakout-generated 9 and 13 are highlighted with red and green labels for clear identification.
Combining with Other Tools:
While the L3 Projected Magic-9 Sequence offers powerful insights, it is essential to combine its signals with other technical analysis tools.
Use moving averages, volume indicators, or candlestick patterns to confirm the validity of the identified sequences before executing trades.
LIMITATIONS
Market Conditions: The indicator performs best in trending markets but may generate false signals during periods of consolidation or range-bound movement 🌐.
Complexity: Due to its reliance on specific sequential patterns, some traders might find the concept challenging to grasp initially. Thorough testing and understanding are crucial before deploying it in live trading environments.
Data Dependency: Accurate projections depend on having sufficient historical data. Insufficient data may lead to less reliable results.
NOTES
Backtesting: Before implementing the indicator in real-time trading, conduct extensive backtesting to evaluate its effectiveness under various market conditions.
Risk Management: Always adhere to proper risk management principles, even when relying on robust indicators like this one. Set stop-loss orders and position sizes accordingly to protect your capital 🛡️.
Continuous Learning: Stay updated with the latest developments and adjustments made to the indicator by following community discussions and official updates from the author.
In den Scripts nach "backtest" suchen
BIN Based Support and Resistance [SS]This indicator presents a version of an alternative way to determine support and resistance, using a method called "Bins".
Bins provide for a flexible and interesting way to determine support and resistance levels.
First off, let's discuss BINS:
Bins are ranges or containers into which your data points can be sorted. For example, if you're grouping ages, you might have bins like 0–18, 19–35, 36–50, and 51+. Any data point within these intervals gets placed in the corresponding bin.
Binning simplifies complex data sets by grouping values into categories. This is useful for such things as
Visualizing data in histograms or bar charts.
Reducing noise and highlighting trends.
This indicator groups the price action into 10 separate bins. It determines the Support / Resistance level by averaging the values in the Bins to find an iteration of the "central tendency" or average reoccurring value.
Pros and Cons
Since this is a different approach to support and resistance, I think its important to highlight some of the pros and advantages, but also be open about the cons.
First off the PROS
Bin Based Support and Resistance Levels dynamically adjust to ranges as opposed to hard / fast peaks and valleys. This makes them better at analyzing price action vs simply drawing lines at random peaks and valleys.
Because Bins are analyzing ALL PA within a period's max and min range, Bin Support and Resistance can actually be used similar to Volume profile, where you are able to identify a pseudo-POC, or areas where price tends to consolidate. Take a look at this example on SPY:
You can see these 2 SR lines are close together. This represents that this general price range is an area where price likes to accumulate/consolidate. You can see the SPY ended up coming back to this range and consolidating there for a bit.
This is a strength of using a BIN based approach to calculating support and resistance, because as indicated before, it looks at price action vs peaks and valleys.
As a tip, these areas are areas you want to wait for a break in one direction or the other.
The indicator provides for backtest results of the support and resistance lines, to see how many times certain areas acted as resistance or support. Because this is analyzing and distributing PA evenly throughout the period's max and min, the indicator can tell you which areas tend to have higher rejection zones and which have higher support zones.
Now the CONS
Because bin based SR take an average approach, the SR lines can sometimes be slightly broken before the ticker finds rejection:
To combat this, make sure there is confirmed support. How the indicator actually backtests these lines is by waiting to see if the ticker has 3 consecutive closes above the support line or below the resistance line. So these are things to be mindful of.
It doesn't consider pivots. Most support and resistance indicators either identify max and min peaks and valleys or use pivot points. Pivot points are a great way to identify peaks and valleys and thus by extension support and resistance. However, this is also somewhat of a strength, as using BINS forces the indicator to consider ALL price action and not just the extremes (highs and lows).
Can be slightly skewed in highly volatile environments. Any time there is a massive drop or rally, it can skew the indicator to give extreme ranges to both ends. For example, the Tariff news collapse on ES1!:
Owning to limitations in lookback length, sometimes the min and max range can be exceeded and other traditional areas of support / resistance is where a ticker will find support.
Using the indicator
Here are some basic use/functionalities of the indicator:
Selecting display of backtest results: You can select to have the backtest results shown in a table:
Or directly on the lines:
Inversely, you can toggle them off completely:
You can modify the lookback length. The suggested lookback length is between 250 to 500 candles on smaller timeframes. I also suggest 252 on daily timeframes (which represents 1 trading year).
And that's the indicator!
It is very easy to use, so you should pick it up in no time!
Enjoy and as always, 🚀🚀 safe trades! 🚀🚀
Auto Fib Retracement with Buy/SellKey Features of the Advanced Script:
Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Analysis:
We added an input for the higher timeframe (higher_tf), where the trend is checked on a higher timeframe to confirm the primary trend direction.
Complex Trend Detection:
The trend is determined not only by the current timeframe but also by the trend on the higher timeframe, giving a more comprehensive and reliable signal.
Dynamic Fibonacci Levels:
Fibonacci lines are plotted dynamically, extending them based on price movement, with the Fibonacci retracement drawn only when a trend is identified.
Background Color & Labels:
A background color is added to give a clear indication of the trend direction. Green for uptrend, red for downtrend. It makes it visually easier to understand the current market structure.
"Buy" or "Sell" labels are shown directly on the chart to mark possible entry points.
Strategy and Backtesting:
The script includes strategy commands (strategy.entry and strategy.exit), which allow for backtesting the strategy in TradingView.
Stop loss and take profit conditions are added (loss=100, profit=200), which can be adjusted according to your preferences.
Next Steps:
Test with different timeframes: Try changing the higher_tf to different timeframes (like "60" or "240") and see how it affects the trend detection.
Adjust Fibonacci settings: Modify how the Fibonacci levels are calculated or add more Fibonacci levels like 38.2%, 61.8%, etc.
Optimize Strategy Parameters: Fine-tune the entry/exit logic by adjusting stop loss, take profit, and other strategy parameters.
This should give you a robust foundation for creating advanced trend detection strategies
Custom Buy and Sell Signal with Body Ratio and RSI
Indicator Overview:
Name: Custom Buy and Sell Signal with Body Ratio and RSI
Description: This indicator is designed to detect buy and sell opportunities by analyzing the body size and wicks of candles in combination with the RSI indicator and volume. It helps identify trend reversals under high-volume market conditions, which enhances the reliability of the signals.
Indicator Features:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI indicator is used to assess oversold (RSI < 40) or overbought (RSI > 60) conditions. These zones signal potential reversals when combined with other technical signals.
Candle Body Analysis:
The indicator compares the size of the current and previous candles to validate signals.
For a buy signal, the current candle must be bullish and have a body size proportional to that of the previous bearish candle.
Similarly, for a sell signal, the current candle must be bearish with a body size comparable to the previous bullish candle.
Wick Validation:
The indicator analyzes the wick length to reinforce or exclude signals.
For a buy signal, the lower wick of the bullish candle must be shorter than that of the previous bearish candle.
For a sell signal, the upper wick of the bearish candle must be shorter than that of the previous bullish candle and smaller than 30% of the candle's body.
High Volume:
Signals are only generated when the volume exceeds a certain threshold, ensuring that signals are issued in active market conditions.
The minimum volume should be adjusted based on the asset. For example, for gold, a minimum volume of 9000 is recommended.
Trading Strategy:
Buy Signals:
A bearish (red) candle is followed by a bullish (green) candle with a body size that is comparable to the previous candle (0.9 to 3 times the body size).
The lower wick of the bullish candle is shorter than that of the previous bearish candle, confirming the validity of the signal.
The RSI must be below 40, indicating an oversold condition.
The volume must exceed the defined threshold (e.g., > 9000 for gold) to confirm an active market.
Sell Signals:
A bullish (green) candle is followed by a bearish (red) candle with a comparable body size.
The upper wick of the bearish candle must be shorter than that of the previous bullish candle and must not exceed 30% of the body size.
The RSI must be above 60, indicating an overbought condition.
The volume must also exceed the minimum threshold for a valid signal.
Usage Guidelines:
Volume Adjustment: It is crucial to adjust the volume threshold depending on the asset you're trading. For example, for assets like gold, a minimum volume of 9000 is recommended to filter out weak signals. Each asset has a different volume dynamic, so test different thresholds on historical data to find the optimal setting.
Time Frame:
It is recommended to use this indicator on a 1-hour (1H) chart for the best signal relevance. This time frame provides a good balance between reactivity and filtering false signals.
Confluence:
Combine the signals from this indicator with other tools like support and resistance levels, moving averages, or chart patterns to increase your chances of success. Confluence of indicators improves the reliability of signals.
Risk Management:
Implement strict risk management. Use stop-losses based on volatility, such as ATR (Average True Range), or the wick size to determine exit points.
Backtesting:
Before using it live, conduct backtesting on various assets to fine-tune the parameters, especially the volume threshold, and to verify performance across different market conditions.
This indicator is an excellent tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals based on solid technical criteria such as RSI, candle structure, and volume. It is particularly effective on volatile assets with precise volume adjustment.
Multi-Moving Average Buy/Sell IndicatorThis Multi-Moving Average Buy/Sell Indicator is a powerful and customizable tool designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell signals based on the interaction between price and multiple moving averages. Whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator provides clear visual cues and alerts to help you make informed trading decisions.
Key Features
1. Multiple Moving Averages
The indicator calculates four key moving averages:
9-period MA
20-period MA
50-period MA
180-period MA
You can choose the type of moving average:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
2. Custom Timeframe
Select a custom timeframe from a user-friendly dropdown menu:
1 Minute
5 Minutes
15 Minutes
30 Minutes
1 Hour
4 Hours
Daily
Weekly
The indicator dynamically adjusts to the selected timeframe, making it suitable for all trading styles.
3. Buy/Sell Signals
Buy Signal: Triggered when the price crosses above any of the moving averages.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the price crosses below any of the moving averages.
Signals are displayed as labels on the chart:
Green "BUY" Label: Below the bar when a buy signal is triggered.
Red "SELL" Label: Above the bar when a sell signal is triggered.
4. Visualization
Toggle the visibility of all moving averages using the showAllMAs input.
Moving averages are plotted with distinct colors for easy identification:
9 MA: Blue
20 MA: Orange
50 MA: Purple
180 MA: Teal
5. Alerts
The indicator generates alerts for buy and sell signals, which can be used for notifications or automated trading.
How to Use
Add the Indicator:
Open TradingView and go to the Pine Script Editor.
Copy and paste the script into the editor.
Click Add to Chart.
Configure Inputs:
maType: Choose the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA).
timeframe: Select a custom timeframe (e.g., "1 Minute", "Daily").
showSignals: Toggle to show or hide buy/sell signals.
showAllMAs: Toggle to show or hide all moving averages.
Interpret the Signals:
Look for green "BUY" labels below the bars for potential buy opportunities.
Look for red "SELL" labels above the bars for potential sell opportunities.
Set Alerts:
Use the built-in alert system to get notified when buy or sell signals are triggered.
Example Use Cases
Day Trading
Use a 1-minute or 5-minute timeframe with an EMA for quick signals.
Example Inputs:
maType = "EMA"
timeframe = "5 Minutes"
showAllMAs = true
Swing Trading
Use a daily timeframe with an SMA for longer-term signals.
Example Inputs:
maType = "SMA"
timeframe = "Daily"
showAllMAs = false
Why Use This Indicator?
Versatility: Suitable for all trading styles and timeframes.
Customization: Choose your preferred moving average type and timeframe.
Clear Signals: Easy-to-read buy/sell labels and moving averages.
Alerts: Never miss a trading opportunity with built-in alerts.
Limitations
False Signals:
The indicator may generate false signals in choppy or sideways markets. Always combine it with other tools (e.g., RSI, volume analysis) for better accuracy.
Timeframe Dependency:
The effectiveness of the signals depends on the selected timeframe. Shorter timeframes may produce more signals but with higher noise.
No Backtesting:
The script does not include backtesting functionality. Test the strategy manually on historical data.
Customization Options
Add More Moving Averages: Modify the script to include additional moving averages (e.g., 200 MA).
Change Signal Logic: Adjust the conditions for buy/sell signals (e.g., require confirmation from multiple moving averages).
Add Alerts for Specific MAs: Create separate alerts for signals based on specific moving averages (e.g., only 9 MA or 50 MA).
High-Probability IndicatorExplanation of the Code
Trend Filter (EMA):
A 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is used to determine the overall trend.
trendUp is true when the price is above the EMA.
trendDown is true when the price is below the EMA.
Momentum Filter (RSI):
A 14-period RSI is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
oversold is true when RSI ≤ 30.
overbought is true when RSI ≥ 70.
Volatility Filter (ATR):
A 14-period Average True Range (ATR) is used to measure volatility.
ATR is multiplied by a user-defined multiplier (default: 2.0) to set a volatility threshold.
Ensures trades are only taken during periods of sufficient volatility.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: Price is above the EMA (uptrend), RSI is oversold, and the candle range exceeds the ATR threshold.
Short Entry: Price is below the EMA (downtrend), RSI is overbought, and the candle range exceeds the ATR threshold.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: A fixed percentage above/below the entry price.
Stop Loss: A fixed percentage below/above the entry price.
Visualization:
The EMA is plotted on the chart.
Background colors highlight uptrends and downtrends.
Buy and sell signals are displayed as labels on the chart.
Alerts:
Alerts are triggered for buy and sell signals.
How to Use the Indicator
Trend Filter:
Only take trades in the direction of the trend (e.g., long in an uptrend, short in a downtrend).
Momentum Filter:
Look for oversold conditions in an uptrend for long entries.
Look for overbought conditions in a downtrend for short entries.
Volatility Filter:
Ensure the candle range exceeds the ATR threshold to avoid low-volatility trades.
Risk Management:
Use the built-in take profit and stop loss levels to manage risk.
Optimization Tips
Backtesting:
Test the indicator on multiple timeframes and assets to evaluate its performance.
Adjust the input parameters (e.g., EMA length, RSI length, ATR multiplier) to optimize for specific markets.
Combination with Other Strategies:
Add additional filters, such as volume analysis or support/resistance levels, to improve accuracy.
Risk Management:
Use proper position sizing and risk-reward ratios to maximize profitability.
Disclaimer
No indicator can guarantee an 85% win ratio due to the inherent unpredictability of financial markets. This script is provided for educational purposes only. Always conduct thorough backtesting and paper trading before using any strategy in live trading.
Let me know if you need further assistance or enhancements!
PDF MA For Loop [BackQuant]PDF MA For Loop
Introducing the PDF MA For Loop, an innovative trading indicator that combines Probability Density Function (PDF) smoothing with a dynamic for-loop scoring mechanism. This advanced tool provides traders with precise trend-following signals, helping to identify long and short opportunities with improved clarity and adaptability to market conditions.
If you would like to check out the stand alone PDF Moving Average:
Core Concept: Probability Density Function (PDF) Smoothing
The PDF smoothing method is a unique approach that applies adaptive weights to price data based on a Probability Density Function. This ensures that recent data points receive appropriate emphasis while maintaining a smooth transition across the data set. The result is a moving average that is not only smoother but also more responsive to market changes.
Key parameters in PDF smoothing:
Variance : Controls the spread of the PDF, where a higher value results in broader smoothing and a lower value makes the moving average more sensitive.
Mean : Centers the PDF around a specific value, influencing the weighting and responsiveness of the smoothing process.
By combining PDF smoothing with traditional moving averages (EMA or SMA), the indicator creates a hybrid signal that balances responsiveness and reliability.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
At the heart of this indicator is the for-loop scoring mechanism, which evaluates the smoothed PDF moving average over a defined range of historical data points. This process assigns a score to the current market condition based on whether the PDF moving average is greater than or less than previous values.
Long Signal: A long signal is generated when the score exceeds the Long Threshold (default set at 40), indicating upward momentum.
Short Signal: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), suggesting potential downward momentum.
This dynamic scoring system ensures that the indicator remains adaptive, capturing trends and shifts in market sentiment effectively.
Customization Options
The PDF MA For Loop includes a variety of customizable settings to fit different trading styles and strategies:
Calculation Settings
Price Source : Select the input price for the calculation (default is the close price).
Smoothing Method : Choose between EMA or SMA for the additional smoothing layer, providing flexibility to adapt to market conditions.
Smoothing Period : Adjust the lookback period for the smoothing function, with shorter periods providing more sensitivity and longer periods offering greater stability.
Variance & Mean : Fine-tune the PDF function parameters to control the weighting of the smoothing process.
Signal Settings
Thresholds : Customize the upper and lower thresholds to define the sensitivity of the long and short signals.
For Loop Range : Set the range of historical data points analyzed by the for-loop, influencing the depth of the scoring mechanism.
UI Settings
Signal Line Width: Adjust the thickness of the plotted signal line for better visibility.
Candle Coloring: Enable or disable the coloring of candlesticks based on trend direction (green for long, red for short, gray for neutral).
Background Coloring: Add background shading to highlight long and short signals for an enhanced visual experience.
Alerts and Automation
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions to notify traders of important market events:
Long Signal Alert: Notifies when the score exceeds the upper threshold, indicating a bullish trend.
Short Signal Alert: Notifies when the score crosses below the lower threshold, signaling a bearish trend.
These alerts can be configured for real-time notifications, allowing traders to respond quickly to market changes without constant chart monitoring.
Trading Applications
The PDF MA For Loop is versatile and can be applied across various trading strategies and market conditions:
Trend Following: The PDF smoothing method combined with for-loop scoring makes this indicator particularly effective for identifying and following trends.
Reversal Trading: By observing the thresholds and score, traders can anticipate potential reversals when the trend shifts from long to short (or vice versa).
Risk Management: The dynamic thresholds and scoring provide clear signals, allowing traders to enter and exit trades with greater confidence and precision.
Final Thoughts
The PDF MA For Loopis merges advanced mathematical concepts with practical trading tools. By leveraging Probability Density Function smoothing and a dynamic for-loop scoring system, it provides traders with clear, actionable signals while adapting to market conditions.
Whether you’re looking for an edge in trend-following strategies or seeking precision in identifying reversals, this indicator offers the flexibility and power to enhance your trading decisions
As always, backtesting and integrating the PDF MA For Loop into a comprehensive trading strategy is recommended for optimal performance, as no single indicator should be used in isolation.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
FS Scorpion TailKey Features & Components:
1. Custom Date & Chart-Based Controls
The software allows users to define whether they want signals to start on a specific date (useSpecificDate) or base calculations on the visible chart’s range (useRelativeScreenSumLeft and useRelativeScreenSumRight).
Users can input the number of stocks to buy/sell per signal and decide whether to sell only for profit.
2. Technical Indicators Used
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Users can define the length of the EMA and specify if buy/sell signals should occur when the EMA is rising or falling.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD crossovers, slopes of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram are used for generating buy/sell signals.
ATR (Average True Range): Signals are generated based on rising or falling ATR.
Aroon Indicator: Buy and sell signals are based on the behavior of the Aroon upper and lower lines.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Tracks whether the RSI and its moving average are rising or falling to generate signals.
Bollinger Bands: Buy/sell signals depend on the basis, upper, and lower band behavior (rising or falling).
3. Signal Detection
The software creates arrays for each indicator to store conditions for buy/sell signals.
The allTrue() function checks whether all conditions for buy/sell signals are true, ensuring that only valid signals are plotted.
Signals are differentiated between buy-only, sell-only, and both buy and sell (dual signal).
4. Visual Indicators
Vertical Lines: When buy, sell, or dual signals are detected, vertical lines are drawn at the corresponding bar with configurable colors (green for buy, red for sell, silver for dual).
Buy/Sell Labels: Visual labels are plotted directly on the chart to denote buy or sell signals, allowing for clear interpretation of the strategy.
5. Cash Flow & Metrics Display
The software maintains an internal ledger of how many stocks are bought/sold, their prices, and whether a profit is being made.
A table is displayed at the bottom right of the chart, showing:
Initial investment
Current stocks owned
Last buy price
Market stake
Net profit
The table background turns green for profit and red for loss.
6. Dynamic Decision Making
Buy Condition: If a valid buy signal is generated, the software decrements the cash balance and adds stocks to the inventory.
Sell Condition: If the sell signal is valid (and meets the profit requirement), stocks are sold, and cash is incremented.
A fallback check ensures the sell logic prevents selling more stocks than are available and adjusts stock holding appropriately (e.g., sell half).
Customization and Usage
Indicator Adjustments: The user can choose which indicators to activate (e.g., EMA, MACD, RSI) via input controls. Each indicator has specific customizable parameters such as lengths, slopes, and conditions.
Signal Flexibility: The user can adjust conditions for buying and selling based on various technical indicators, which adds flexibility in implementing trading strategies. For example, users may require the RSI to be higher than its moving average or trigger sales only when MACD crosses under the signal line.
Profit Sensitivity: The software allows the option to sell only when a profit is assured by checking if the current price is higher than the last buy price.
Summary of Usage:
Indicator Selection: Enable or disable technical indicators like EMA, MACD, RSI, Aroon, ATR, and Bollinger Bands to fit your trading strategy.
Custom Date/Chart Settings: Choose whether to calculate based on specific time ranges or visible portions of the chart.
Dynamic Signal Plotting: Once buy or sell conditions are met, the software will visually plot signals on your chart, giving clear entry and exit points.
Investment Tracking: Real-time tracking of stock quantities, investments, and profit ensures a clear view of your trading performance.
Backtesting: Use this software for backtesting your strategy by analyzing how buy and sell signals would have performed historically based on the chosen indicators.
Conclusion
The FS Scorpion Tail software is a robust and flexible trading tool, allowing traders to develop custom strategies based on multiple well-known technical indicators. Its visual aid, coupled with real-time investment tracking, makes it valuable for systematic traders looking to automate or refine their trading approach.
Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI [BackQuant]Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI
Introducing BackQuant's Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI, a cutting-edge indicator that enhances the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) by applying both a Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter to provide smoother and more reliable signals. This advanced approach helps reduce noise and captures true momentum trends with greater precision. Let’s break down how the indicator works, the features it offers, and how it can improve your trading strategy.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with levels above 70 typically indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions. However, the standard RSI can sometimes generate noisy signals, especially in volatile markets, making it challenging to identify reliable entry and exit points.
To improve upon the traditional RSI, this indicator introduces two powerful filters: the Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter.
Savitzky-Golay Filter: Smoothing with Precision
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a digital filtering technique used to smooth data while preserving important features, such as peaks and trends. Unlike simple moving averages that can distort important price data, the Savitzky-Golay filter uses polynomial regression to fit the data, providing a more accurate and less lagging result.
In this script, the Savitzky-Golay filter is applied to the RSI values to smooth out short-term fluctuations and provide a more reliable signal. By using a window size of 5 and a polynomial degree of 2, the filter effectively reduces noise without compromising the integrity of the underlying price movements.
Median Filter: Reducing Outliers
After applying the Savitzky-Golay filter, the median filter is applied to the smoothed RSI values. The median filter is particularly effective at removing short-lived outliers, further enhancing the accuracy of the RSI by reducing the impact of sudden and temporary price spikes or drops. This combination of filters creates an ultra-smooth RSI that is better suited for detecting true market trends.
Long and Short Signals
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI generates long and short signals based on user-defined threshold levels:
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the filtered RSI exceeds the Long Threshold (default set at 176). This indicates that momentum is shifting upward, and it may present a good buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is generated when the filtered RSI falls below the Short Threshold (default set at 162). This suggests that momentum is weakening, potentially signaling a selling opportunity or exit from a long position.
These threshold levels can be adjusted to suit different market conditions and timeframes, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI comes with several customization options, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Calculation Source: Select the price source for the RSI calculation (default is OHLC4, but it can be changed to close, open, high, or low prices).
RSI Period: Adjust the lookback period for the RSI calculation (default is 14).
Median Filter Length: Control the length of the median filter applied to the smoothed RSI, affecting how much noise is removed from the signal.
Threshold Levels: Customize the long and short thresholds to define the sensitivity for generating buy and sell signals.
UI Settings: Choose whether to display the RSI and thresholds on the chart, color the bars according to trend direction, and adjust the line width and colors used for long and short signals.
Visual Feedback: Color-Coded Signals and Thresholds
To make the signals easier to interpret, the indicator offers visual feedback by coloring the price bars and the RSI plot according to the current market trend:
Green Bars indicate long signals when momentum is bullish.
Red Bars indicate short signals when momentum is bearish.
Gray Bars indicate neutral or undecided conditions when no clear signal is present.
In addition, the Long and Short Thresholds can be plotted directly on the chart to provide a clear reference for when signals are triggered, allowing traders to visually gauge the strength of the RSI relative to its thresholds.
Alerts for Automation
For traders who prefer automated notifications, the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI includes built-in alert conditions for long and short signals. You can configure these alerts to notify you when a buy or sell condition is met, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Trading Applications
This indicator is versatile and can be used in a variety of trading strategies:
Trend Following: The combination of Savitzky-Golay and median filtering makes this RSI particularly useful for identifying strong trends without being misled by short-term noise. Traders can use the long and short signals to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Reversal Trading: By adjusting the threshold levels, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversals. When the RSI moves from overbought to oversold levels (or vice versa), it may signal a shift in market direction.
Swing Trading: The smoothed RSI provides a clear signal for short to medium-term price movements, making it an excellent tool for swing traders looking to capitalize on momentum shifts.
Risk Management: The filtered RSI can be used as part of a broader risk management strategy, helping traders avoid false signals and stay in trades only when the momentum is strong.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI takes the classic RSI to the next level by applying advanced smoothing techniques that reduce noise and improve signal reliability. Whether you’re a trend follower, swing trader, or reversal trader, this indicator provides a more refined approach to momentum analysis, helping you make better-informed trading decisions.
As with all indicators, it is important to backtest thoroughly and incorporate sound risk management strategies when using the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI in your trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Chande Momentum Oscillator StrategyThe Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Trading Strategy is based on the momentum oscillator developed by Tushar Chande in 1994. The CMO measures the momentum of a security by calculating the difference between the sum of recent gains and losses over a defined period. The indicator offers a means to identify overbought and oversold conditions, making it suitable for developing mean-reversion trading strategies (Chande, 1997).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO formula considers both positive and negative price changes over a defined period (commonly set to 9 days) and computes the net momentum as a percentage.
The formula is as follows:
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)
This approach distinguishes the CMO from other oscillators like the RSI by using both price gains and losses in the numerator, providing a more symmetrical measurement of momentum (Chande, 1997).
Entry Condition:
The strategy opens a long position when the CMO value falls below -50, signaling an oversold condition where the price may revert to the mean. Research in mean-reversion, such as by Poterba and Summers (1988), supports this approach, highlighting that prices often revert after sharp movements due to overreaction in the markets.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy closes the long position when:
The CMO rises above 50, indicating that the price may have become overbought and may not provide further upside potential.
Alternatively, the position is closed 5 days after the buy signal is triggered, regardless of the CMO value, to ensure a timely exit even if the momentum signal does not reach the predefined level.
This exit strategy aligns with the concept of time-based exits, reducing the risk of prolonged exposure to adverse price movements (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages the well-known phenomenon of mean-reversion in financial markets. According to research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), prices tend to revert to their mean over short periods following strong movements, creating opportunities for traders to profit from temporary deviations.
The CMO captures this mean-reversion behavior by monitoring extreme price conditions. When the CMO reaches oversold levels (below -50), it signals potential buying opportunities, whereas crossing overbought levels (above 50) indicates conditions for selling.
Market Efficiency and Overreaction:
The strategy takes advantage of behavioral inefficiencies and overreactions, which are often the drivers behind sharp price movements (Shiller, 2003). By identifying these extreme conditions with the CMO, the strategy aims to capitalize on the market’s tendency to correct itself when price deviations become too large.
Optimization and Parameter Selection:
The 9-day period used for the CMO calculation is a widely accepted timeframe that balances responsiveness and noise reduction, making it suitable for capturing short-term price fluctuations. Studies in technical analysis suggest that oscillators optimized over such periods are effective in detecting reversals (Murphy, 1999).
Performance and Backtesting:
The strategy's effectiveness is confirmed through backtesting, which shows that using the CMO as a mean-reversion tool yields profitable opportunities. The use of time-based exits alongside momentum-based signals enhances the reliability of the strategy by ensuring that trades are closed even when the momentum signal alone does not materialize.
Conclusion:
The Chande Momentum Oscillator Trading Strategy combines the principles of momentum measurement and mean-reversion to identify and capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. By using a widely tested oscillator like the CMO and integrating a systematic exit approach, the strategy effectively addresses both entry and exit conditions, providing a robust method for trading in diverse market environments.
References:
Chande, T. S. (1997). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Volume-Supported Linear Regression Trend TableThe "Volume-Supported Linear Regression Trend Table" (VSLRT Table) script helps traders identify buy and sell opportunities by analyzing price trends and volume dynamics across multiple timeframes. It uses linear regression to calculate the trend direction and volume strength, visually representing this data with color-coded signals on the chart and in a table. Green signals indicate buying opportunities, while red signals suggest selling, with volume acting as confirmation of trend strength. Traders can use these signals for both short and long positions, with additional risk management and multi-timeframe validation to enhance the strategy.
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To use the "Volume-Supported Linear Regression Trend Table" (VSLRT Table) script in a trading strategy, you would incorporate it into your decision-making process to identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the trend and volume dynamics. Here’s how you could apply it for trading:
1. Understanding the Key Elements:
Trend Direction (Slope of Price): The script uses linear regression to assess the trend direction of the price. If the price slope is positive, the asset is likely in an uptrend; if it's negative, the asset is in a downtrend.
Volume-Backed Signals: The buy or sell signal is not only based on the price trend but also on volume. Volume is crucial in validating the strength of a trend; large volume often indicates strong interest in a direction.
2. Interpreting the Table and Signals:
The table displayed at the bottom-right of your TradingView chart gives you a clear overview of the trends across different timeframes:
Trend Colors:
Green hues (e.g., ccol11, ccol12, etc.): Indicate a buying trend supported by volume.
Red hues (e.g., ccol21, ccol22, etc.): Indicate a selling trend supported by volume.
Gray: Indicates weak or unclear trends where no decisive direction is present.
Buy/Sell Signals:
The script plots triangles on the chart:
Upward triangle below the bar signals a potential buy.
Downward triangle above the bar signals a potential sell.
3. Building a Trading Strategy:
Here’s how you can incorporate the script’s information into a trading strategy:
Buy Signal (Long Entry):
Look for green triangles (indicating a buy signal) below a bar.
Confirm that the trend color in the table for the relevant timeframe is green, which shows that the buy signal is supported by strong volume.
Ensure that the price is in an uptrend (positive slope) and that volume is increasing on upward moves, as this indicates buying interest.
Execute a long position when these conditions align.
Sell Signal (Short Entry):
Look for red triangles (indicating a sell signal) above a bar.
Confirm that the trend color in the table for the relevant timeframe is red, which shows that the sell signal is supported by strong volume.
Ensure that the price is in a downtrend (negative slope) and that volume is increasing on downward moves, indicating selling pressure.
Execute a short position when these conditions align.
Exiting the Trade:
Exit a long position when a sell signal (red triangle) appears, or when the trend color in the table shifts to red.
Exit a short position when a buy signal (green triangle) appears, or when the trend color in the table shifts to green.
4. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
The script provides trends across multiple timeframes (tf1, tf2, tf3), which can help in validating your trade:
Short-Term Trading: Use shorter timeframes (e.g., 3, 5 minutes) for intraday trades. If both short and medium timeframes align in trend direction (e.g., both showing green), it strengthens the signal.
Longer-Term Trading: If you are trading on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily or weekly), confirm that the lower timeframes align with your intended trade direction.
5. Adding Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Place stop-losses below recent lows (for long trades) or above recent highs (for short trades) to minimize risk.
Take Profit: Consider taking profit at key support/resistance levels or based on a fixed risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 2:1).
Example Strategy Flow:
For Long (Buy) Trade:
Signal: A green triangle appears below a candle (Buy signal).
Trend Confirmation: Check that the color in the table for your selected timeframe is green, confirming the trend is supported by volume.
Execute Long: Enter a long trade if the price is trending upward (positive price slope).
Exit Long: Exit when a red triangle appears above a candle (Sell signal) or if the trend color shifts to red in the table.
For Short (Sell) Trade:
Signal: A red triangle appears above a candle (Sell signal).
Trend Confirmation: Check that the color in the table for your selected timeframe is red, confirming the trend is supported by volume.
Execute Short: Enter a short trade if the price is trending downward (negative price slope).
Exit Short: Exit when a green triangle appears below a candle (Buy signal) or if the trend color shifts to green in the table.
6. Fine-Tuning:
Backtesting: Before trading live, use TradingView’s backtesting features to test the strategy on historical data and optimize the settings (e.g., length of linear regression, timeframe).
Combine with Other Indicators: Use this strategy alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for better confirmation.
In summary, the script helps identify trends with volume support, giving more confidence in buy/sell decisions. Combining these signals with risk management and multi-timeframe analysis can create a solid trading strategy.
Two Pole Butterworth For Loop [BackQuant]Two Pole Butterworth For Loop
PLEASE read the following carefully, as understanding the underlying concepts and logic behind the indicator is key to incorporating it into your trading system in a sound and methodical manner.
Introducing BackQuant's Two Pole Butterworth For Loop (2P BW FL) — an advanced indicator that fuses the power of the Two Pole Butterworth filter with a dynamic for-loop scoring mechanism. This unique approach is designed to extract actionable trading signals by smoothing out price data and then analyzing it using a comparative scoring method. Let's delve into how this indicator works, why it was created, and how it can be used in various trading scenarios.
Understanding the Two Pole Butterworth Filter
The Butterworth filter is a signal processing tool known for its smooth response and minimal distortion. It's often used in electronic and communication systems to filter out unwanted noise. In trading, the Butterworth filter can be applied to price data to smooth out the volatility, providing traders with a clearer view of underlying trends without the whipsaws often associated with market noise.
The Two Pole Butterworth variant further enhances this effect by applying the filter with two poles, effectively creating a sharper transition between the passband and stopband. In simple terms, this allows the filter to follow the price action more closely, reacting to changes while maintaining smoothness.
In this script, the Two Pole Butterworth filter is applied to the Calculation Source (default is set to the closing price), creating a smoothed price series that serves as the foundation for further analysis.
Why Use a Two Pole Butterworth Filter?
The Two Pole Butterworth filter is chosen for its ability to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth output. This makes it an ideal choice for traders who want to capture trends without being misled by short-term volatility or market noise. By filtering the price data, the Two Pole Butterworth enables traders to focus on the broader market movements and avoid false signals.
The For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
In addition to the Butterworth filter, this script uses a for-loop scoring system to evaluate the smoothed price data. The for-loop compares the current value of the filtered price (referred to as "subject") to previous values over a defined range (set by the start and end input). The score is calculated based on whether the subject is higher or lower than the previous points, and the cumulative score is used to determine the strength of the trend.
Long and Short Signal Logic
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40). This suggests that the price has built sufficient upward momentum, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses under the Short Threshold (default set at -10). This indicates weakening price action or a potential downtrend, signaling a possible selling or shorting opportunity.
By utilizing this scoring system, the indicator identifies moments when the price momentum is shifting, helping traders enter positions at opportune times.
Customization and Visualization Options
One of the strengths of this indicator is its flexibility. Traders can customize various settings to fit their personal trading style or adapt it to different markets and timeframes:
Calculation Periods: Adjust the lookback period for the Butterworth filter, allowing for shorter or longer smoothing depending on the desired sensitivity.
Threshold Levels: Set the long and short thresholds to define when signals should be triggered, giving you control over the balance between sensitivity and specificity.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the visual presentation of the indicator on the chart, including the width of the signal line and the colors used for long and short conditions.
Candlestick and Background Colors: If desired, the indicator can color the candlesticks or the background according to the detected trend, offering additional clarity at a glance.
Trading Applications
This Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator is versatile and can be adapted to various market conditions and trading strategies. Here are a few use cases where this indicator shines:
Trend Following: The Butterworth filter smooths the price data, making it easier to follow trends and identify when they are gaining or losing strength. The for-loop scoring system enhances this by providing a clear indication of how strong the current trend is compared to recent history.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to identify potential reversals, the indicator’s ability to compare the filtered price to previous values over a range of periods allows it to spot moments when the trend may be losing steam, potentially signaling a reversal.
Swing Trading: The combination of smoothing and scoring allows swing traders to capture short to medium-term price movements by filtering out the noise and focusing on significant shifts in momentum.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals, this indicator helps traders manage their risk by offering well-defined entry and exit points. The smooth nature of the Butterworth filter also reduces the risk of getting caught in false signals due to market noise.
Final Thoughts
The Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator offers traders a powerful combination of smoothing and scoring to detect meaningful trends and shifts in price momentum. Whether you are a trend follower, swing trader, or someone looking to refine your entry and exit points, this indicator provides the tools to make more informed trading decisions.
As always, it's essential to backtest the indicator on historical data and tailor the settings to your specific trading style and market. While the Butterworth filter helps reduce noise and smooth trends, no indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty, so it should be used in conjunction with other tools and sound risk management practices.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Bitcoin CME-Spot Z-Spread - Strategy [presentTrading]This time is a swing trading strategy! It measures the sentiment of the Bitcoin market through the spread of CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread, the strategy seeks to capture mean-reversion opportunities when prices deviate significantly from their historical norms
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is designed to capture mean-reversion opportunities by exploiting the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. The strategy uses Bollinger Bands to detect when the spread between these two correlated assets has deviated significantly from its historical norm, signaling potential overbought or oversold conditions.
What sets this strategy apart is its focus on spread trading between futures and spot markets rather than price-based indicators. By applying Bollinger Bands to the spread rather than individual prices, the strategy identifies price inefficiencies across markets, allowing traders to take advantage of the natural reversion to the mean that often occurs in these correlated assets.
BTCUSD 8hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The strategy relies on Bollinger Bands to assess the volatility and relative deviation of the spread between CME Bitcoin Futures and Bitfinex BTCUSD Spot prices. Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bands, which help measure how much the spread deviates from its historical mean.
🔶 Spread Calculation:
The spread is calculated by subtracting the Bitfinex spot price from the CME Bitcoin futures price:
Spread = CME Price - Bitfinex Price
This spread represents the difference between the futures and spot markets, which may widen or narrow based on supply and demand dynamics in each market. By analyzing the spread, the strategy can detect when prices are too far apart (potentially overbought or oversold), indicating a trading opportunity.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
The Bollinger Bands for the spread are calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the spread over a defined period.
1. Moving Average (SMA):
The simple moving average of the spread (mu_S) over a specified period P is calculated as:
mu_S = (1/P) * sum(S_i from i=1 to P)
Where S_i represents the spread at time i, and P is the lookback period (default is 200 bars). The moving average provides a baseline for the normal spread behavior.
2. Standard Deviation:
The standard deviation (sigma_S) of the spread is calculated to measure the volatility of the spread:
sigma_S = sqrt((1/P) * sum((S_i - mu_S)^2 from i=1 to P))
3. Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands:
The upper and lower Bollinger Bands are derived by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation from the moving average. The number of standard deviations is determined by a user-defined parameter k (default is 2.618).
- Upper Band:
Upper Band = mu_S + (k * sigma_S)
- Lower Band:
Lower Band = mu_S - (k * sigma_S)
These bands provide a dynamic range within which the spread typically fluctuates. When the spread moves outside of these bands, it is considered overbought or oversold, potentially offering trading opportunities.
Local view
🔶 Entry Conditions:
- Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become oversold and is likely to revert upward.
Spread < Lower Band
- Short Entry: A short position is triggered when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the spread has become overbought and is likely to revert downward.
Spread > Upper Band
🔶 Risk Management and Profit-Taking:
The strategy incorporates multi-step take profits to lock in gains as the trade moves in favor. The position is gradually reduced at predefined profit levels, reducing risk while allowing part of the trade to continue running if the price keeps moving favorably.
Additionally, the strategy uses a hold period exit mechanism. If the trade does not hit any of the take-profit levels within a certain number of bars, the position is closed automatically to avoid excessive exposure to market risks.
█ Trade Direction
The trade direction is based on deviations of the spread from its historical norm:
- Long Trade: The strategy enters a long position when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling an oversold condition where the spread is expected to narrow.
- Short Trade: The strategy enters a short position when the spread crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition where the spread is expected to widen.
These entries rely on the assumption of mean reversion, where extreme deviations from the average spread are likely to revert over time.
█ Usage
The Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on price inefficiencies between Bitcoin futures and spot markets. It’s especially useful in volatile markets where large deviations between futures and spot prices occur.
- Market Conditions: This strategy is most effective in correlated markets, like CME futures and spot Bitcoin. Traders can adjust the Bollinger Bands period and standard deviation multiplier to suit different volatility regimes.
- Backtesting: Before deployment, backtesting the strategy across different market conditions and timeframes is recommended to ensure robustness. Adjust the take-profit steps and hold periods to reflect the trader’s risk tolerance and market behavior.
█ Default Settings
The default settings provide a balanced approach to spread trading using Bollinger Bands but can be adjusted depending on market conditions or personal trading preferences.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Period (200 bars):
This defines the number of bars used to calculate the moving average and standard deviation for the Bollinger Bands. A longer period smooths out short-term fluctuations and focuses on larger, more significant trends. Adjusting the period affects the responsiveness of the strategy:
- Shorter periods (e.g., 100 bars): Makes the strategy more reactive to short-term market fluctuations, potentially generating more signals but increasing the risk of false positives.
- Longer periods (e.g., 300 bars): Focuses on longer-term trends, reducing the frequency of trades and focusing only on significant deviations.
🔶 Standard Deviation Multiplier (2.618):
The multiplier controls how wide the Bollinger Bands are around the moving average. By default, the bands are set at 2.618 standard deviations away from the average, ensuring that only significant deviations trigger trades.
- Higher multipliers (e.g., 3.0): Require a more extreme deviation to trigger trades, reducing trade frequency but potentially increasing the accuracy of signals.
- Lower multipliers (e.g., 2.0): Make the bands narrower, increasing the number of trade signals but potentially decreasing their reliability.
🔶 Take-Profit Levels:
The strategy has four take-profit levels to gradually lock in profits:
- Level 1 (3%): 25% of the position is closed at a 3% profit.
- Level 2 (8%): 20% of the position is closed at an 8% profit.
- Level 3 (14%): 15% of the position is closed at a 14% profit.
- Level 4 (21%): 10% of the position is closed at a 21% profit.
Adjusting these take-profit levels affects how quickly profits are realized:
- Lower take-profit levels: Capture gains more quickly, reducing risk but potentially cutting off larger profits.
- Higher take-profit levels: Let trades run longer, aiming for bigger gains but increasing the risk of price reversals before profits are locked in.
🔶 Hold Days (20 bars):
The strategy automatically closes the position after 20 bars if none of the take-profit levels are hit. This feature prevents trades from being held indefinitely, especially if market conditions are stagnant. Adjusting this:
- Shorter hold periods: Reduce the duration of exposure, minimizing risks from market changes but potentially closing trades too early.
- Longer hold periods: Allow trades to stay open longer, increasing the chance for mean reversion but also increasing exposure to unfavorable market conditions.
By understanding how these default settings affect the strategy’s performance, traders can optimize the Bitcoin CME-Spot Bollinger Bands Strategy to their preferences, adapting it to different market environments and risk tolerances.
Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength OscillatorPersistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator
The Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator is a unique and powerful tool designed to measure the persistence of market trends over a specified rolling window. By applying the principles of persistent homology, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into the strength and stability of uptrends and downtrends, helping to inform better trading decisions.
What Makes This Indicator Original?
This indicator's originality lies in its application of persistent homology , a method from topological data analysis, to financial markets. Persistent homology examines the shape and features of data across multiple scales, identifying patterns that persist as the scale changes. By adapting this concept, the oscillator tracks the persistence of uptrends and downtrends in price data, offering a novel approach to trend analysis.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations:
Persistent Homology: This method identifies features such as clusters, holes, and voids that persist as the scale changes. In the context of this indicator, it tracks the duration and stability of price trends.
Rolling Window Analysis: The oscillator uses a specified window size to calculate the average length of uptrends and downtrends, providing a dynamic view of trend persistence over time.
Threshold-Based Trend Identification: It differentiates between uptrends and downtrends based on specified thresholds for price changes, ensuring precision in trend detection.
How It Works:
The oscillator monitors consecutive changes in closing prices to identify uptrends and downtrends.
An uptrend is detected when the closing price increase exceeds a specified positive threshold.
A downtrend is detected when the closing price decrease exceeds a specified negative threshold.
The lengths of these trends are recorded and averaged over the chosen window size.
The Trend Persistence Index is calculated as the difference between the average uptrend length and the average downtrend length, providing a measure of trend persistence.
How Traders Can Use It:
Identify Trend Strength: The Trend Persistence Index offers a clear measure of the strength and stability of uptrends and downtrends. A higher value indicates stronger and more persistent uptrends, while a lower value suggests stronger and more persistent downtrends.
Spot Trend Reversals: Significant shifts in the Trend Persistence Index can signal potential trend reversals. For instance, a transition from positive to negative values might indicate a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Confirm Trends: Use the Trend Persistence Index alongside other technical indicators to confirm the strength and duration of trends, enhancing the accuracy of your trading signals.
Manage Risk: Understanding trend persistence can help traders manage risk by identifying periods of high trend stability versus periods of potential volatility. This can be crucial for timing entries and exits.
Example Usage:
Default Settings: Start with the default settings to get a feel for the oscillator’s behavior. Observe how the Trend Persistence Index reacts to different market conditions.
Adjust Thresholds: Fine-tune the positive and negative thresholds based on the asset's volatility to improve trend detection accuracy.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Persistent Homology Based Trend Strength Oscillator in conjunction with other technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD for a comprehensive analysis.
Backtesting: Conduct backtesting to see how the oscillator would have performed in past market conditions, helping you to refine your trading strategy.
Normalised T3 Oscillator [BackQuant]Normalised T3 Oscillator
The Normalised T3 Oscillator is an technical indicator designed to provide traders with a refined measure of market momentum by normalizing the T3 Moving Average. This tool was developed to enhance trading decisions by smoothing price data and reducing market noise, allowing for clearer trend recognition and potential signal generation. Below is a detailed breakdown of the Normalised T3 Oscillator, its methodology, and its application in trading scenarios.
1. Conceptual Foundation and Definition of T3
The T3 Moving Average, originally proposed by Tim Tillson, is renowned for its smoothness and responsiveness, achieved through a combination of multiple Exponential Moving Averages and a volume factor. The Normalised T3 Oscillator extends this concept by normalizing these values to oscillate around a central zero line, which aids in highlighting overbought and oversold conditions.
2. Normalization Process
Normalization in this context refers to the adjustment of the T3 values to ensure that the oscillator provides a standard range of output. This is accomplished by calculating the lowest and highest values of the T3 over a user-defined period and scaling the output between -0.5 to +0.5. This process not only aids in standardizing the indicator across different securities and time frames but also enhances comparative analysis.
3. Integration of the Oscillator and Moving Average
A unique feature of the Normalised T3 Oscillator is the inclusion of a secondary smoothing mechanism via a moving average of the oscillator itself, selectable from various types such as SMA, EMA, and more. This moving average acts as a signal line, providing potential buy or sell triggers when the oscillator crosses this line, thus offering dual layers of analysis—momentum and trend confirmation.
4. Visualization and User Interaction
The indicator is designed with user interaction in mind, featuring customizable parameters such as the length of the T3, normalization period, and type of moving average used for signals. Additionally, the oscillator is plotted with a color-coded scheme that visually represents different strength levels of the market conditions, enhancing readability and quick decision-making.
5. Practical Applications and Strategy Integration
Traders can leverage the Normalised T3 Oscillator in various trading strategies, including trend following, counter-trend plays, and as a component of a broader trading system. It is particularly useful in identifying turning points in the market or confirming ongoing trends. The clear visualization and customizable nature of the oscillator facilitate its adaptation to different trading styles and market environments.
6. Advanced Features and Customization
Further enhancing its utility, the indicator includes options such as painting candles according to the trend, showing static levels for quick reference, and alerts for crossover and crossunder events, which can be integrated into automated trading systems. These features allow for a high degree of personalization, enabling traders to mold the tool according to their specific trading preferences and risk management requirements.
7. Theoretical Justification and Empirical Usage
The use of the T3 smoothing mechanism combined with normalization is theoretically sound, aiming to reduce lag and false signals often associated with traditional moving averages. The practical effectiveness of the Normalised T3 Oscillator should be validated through rigorous backtesting and adjustment of parameters to match historical market conditions and volatility.
8. Conclusion and Utility in Market Analysis
Overall, the Normalised T3 Oscillator by BackQuant stands as a sophisticated tool for market analysis, providing traders with a dynamic and adaptable approach to gauging market momentum. Its development is rooted in the understanding of technical nuances and the demand for a more stable, responsive, and customizable trading indicator.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Ichimoku Clouds Strategy Long and ShortOverview:
The Ichimoku Clouds Strategy leverages the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technique to offer traders a range of innovative features, enhancing market analysis and trading efficiency. This strategy is distinct in its combination of standard methodology and advanced customization, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Unique Features:
Enhanced Interpretation: The strategy introduces weak, neutral, and strong bullish/bearish signals, enabling detailed interpretation of the Ichimoku cloud and direct chart plotting.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Dual Trading Modes: Long and Short modes are available, allowing alignment with market trends.
Flexible Risk Management: Offers three styles in each mode, combining fixed risk management with dynamic indicator states for versatile trade management.
Indicator Line Plotting: Enables plotting of Ichimoku indicator lines on the chart for visual decision-making support.
Methodology:
The strategy utilizes the standard Ichimoku Kinko Hyo model, interpreting indicator values with settings adjustable through a user-friendly menu. This approach is enhanced by TradingView's built-in strategy tester for customization and market selection.
Risk Management:
Our approach to risk management is dynamic and indicator-centric. With data from the last year, we focus on dynamic indicator states interpretations to mitigate manual setting causing human factor biases. Users still have the option to set a fixed stop loss and/or take profit per position using the corresponding parameters in settings, aligning with their risk tolerance.
Backtest Results:
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.01.04. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Maximum Single Position Loss: -6.29%
Maximum Single Profit: 22.32%
Net Profit: +10 901.95 USDT (+109.02%)
Total Trades: 119 (51.26% profitability)
Profit Factor: 1.775
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 4 185.37 USDT (-22.87%)
Average Profit per Trade: 91.67 USDT (+0.7%)
Average Trade Duration: 56 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters. Backtest is calculated using deep backtest option in TradingView built-in strategy tester
How to Use:
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired chart and timeframe (optimal performance observed on the 1H chart, ForEx or cryptocurrency top-10 coins with quote asset USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
RSI Graphique and Dashboard MTFMTF RSI Indicator - User Guide
Introduction:
The MTF RSI (Multi-Timeframe Relative Strength Index) Pine Script is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the RSI (Relative Strength Index) across multiple timeframes. The script includes a primary chart displaying RSI values and a dashboard summarizing RSI trends for different time intervals.
Installation:
Copy the provided Pine Script.
Open the TradingView platform.
Create a new script.
Paste the copied code into the script editor.
Save and apply the script to your chart.
Primary Chart:
The primary chart displays RSI values for the selected timeframe (5, 15, 60, 240, 1440 minutes).
different color lines represent RSI values for different timeframes.
Overbought and Oversold Levels:
Overbought levels (70) are marked in red, while oversold levels (30) are marked in blue for different timeframes.
Dashboard:
The dashboard is a quick reference for RSI trends across multiple timeframes.
Each row represents a timeframe with corresponding RSI trend information.
Arrows (▲ for bullish, ▼ for bearish) indicate the current RSI trend.
Arrow colors represent the trend: blue for bullish, red for bearish.
Settings:
Users can customize the RSI length, background color, and other parameters.
The background color of the dashboard can be adjusted for light or dark themes.
Interpretation:
Bullish Trend: ▲ arrow and blue color.
Bearish Trend: ▼ arrow and red color.
RSI values above 70 may indicate overbought conditions, while values below 30 may indicate oversold conditions.
Practical Tips:
Timeframe Selection: Consider the trend alignment across different timeframes for comprehensive market analysis.
Confirmation: Use additional indicators or technical analysis to confirm RSI signals.
Backtesting: Before applying in live trading, conduct thorough backtesting to evaluate the script's performance.
Adjustment: Modify settings according to your trading preferences and market conditions.
Disclaimer:
This script is a tool for technical analysis and should be used in conjunction with other indicators. It is not financial advice, and users should conduct their own research before making trading decisions. Adjust settings based on personal preferences and risk tolerance. Use the script responsibly and at your own risk.
LineBreakIntroduction:
The LineBreak Indicator is a technical tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trend reversals or continuations using a unique charting method known as Line Break charts. This indicator overlays Line Break chart patterns on the main price chart and generates Buy and Sell signals based on specific price movements. In this guide, we will explore the LineBreak Indicator's functionality and how to utilize it effectively in your trading strategy.
Indicator Components:
The LineBreak Indicator comprises several components that work together to identify potential trade signals:
Line Break Chart Creation:
The script starts with an indicator declaration, "@version=5," followed by the creation of the LineBreak chart overlay on the main price chart. Line Break charts focus solely on price movements, omitting time entirely.
Line Break Chart Data Retrieval:
The indicator requests Line Break chart data using the "ticker.linebreak" function, which generates Line Break brick patterns based on a specified brick size (in this case, 3). The script then retrieves the Line Break open, high, low, and close prices for analysis.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation:
The script generates Buy and Sell signals using plotshape functions and specific conditions based on Line Break chart patterns. These patterns involve the relationship between consecutive brick prices and their opening prices.
Alert Conditions:
The script establishes alert conditions for both Buy and Sell signals. These alerts notify traders when specific Line Break chart patterns are detected, ensuring timely awareness of potential trading opportunities.
How to Use the LineBreak Indicator:
Line Break Chart Analysis:
Begin by understanding the Line Break chart patterns displayed on the main price chart. Line Break charts focus on price movements rather than time intervals. An upward Line Break brick suggests bullish momentum, while a downward brick indicates bearish momentum.
Buy Signal Interpretation:
Pay attention to Buy signals generated by the indicator. A Buy signal is triggered when specific Line Break brick conditions are met, indicating a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. This suggests a potential opportunity to enter a long (Buy) trade.
Sell Signal Interpretation:
Likewise, be attentive to Sell signals produced by the indicator. A Sell signal occurs when predefined Line Break brick conditions are fulfilled, suggesting a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. This could signal a chance to enter a short (Sell) trade.
Alert Notifications:
To ensure you stay informed, set up alert conditions for Buy and Sell signals. Alerts can be customized to your preferences and communication channels, enabling you to promptly respond to potential trade setups.
Risk Management and Considerations:
Confirmation: While the LineBreak Indicator provides valuable insights, use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to confirm signals.
Backtesting: Before deploying the indicator in live trading, perform comprehensive backtesting on historical data to assess its performance and suitability for your trading strategy.
Position Sizing: Determine appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and the signals provided by the LineBreak Indicator. Avoid overleveraging your trades.
Market Awareness: Stay aware of market conditions and news events that could influence price movements. The LineBreak Indicator is a tool to enhance your decision-making process, not a standalone strategy.
Conclusion:
The LineBreak Indicator introduces a different perspective on price movements through its unique charting method. By interpreting Line Break chart patterns and acting on generated Buy and Sell signals, traders can make informed trading decisions. Practice proper risk management and integrate the LineBreak Indicator into a comprehensive trading strategy to achieve consistent and successful trading outcomes.
Please remember that this guide provides a high-level overview of the LineBreak Indicator and its usage. It's essential to thoroughly test and validate any trading strategy before implementing it in a live trading environment.
RenkoIndicatorIntroduction:
The Renko Indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify trends and potential trade opportunities in the financial markets. This indicator overlays a Renko chart on the main price chart and generates Buy and Sell signals based on Renko brick movements. Renko charts are unique in that they focus solely on price movements, ignoring the element of time. In this guide, we will walk you through how to use the Renko Indicator effectively in your trading strategy.
Indicator Components:
The Renko Indicator consists of several components, each serving a specific purpose in aiding your trading decisions.
Market Sentiment Calculation:
At the top of the script, the indicator calculates market sentiment by analyzing recent price action. It determines whether the market sentiment is Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral based on the highest and lowest prices within specific time periods. This information provides you with a broader context for potential trading decisions.
Renko Chart Creation:
The indicator creates a Renko chart overlay on the main price chart using the Average True Range (ATR) method. ATR is used to calculate the brick size for the Renko chart, allowing you to adjust the sensitivity of the chart to price movements.
Renko Open and Close Midpoint:
The script plots the midpoint of Renko open and close prices as a line on the main chart. This visualization helps you understand the direction of Renko bricks and identify trends.
Buy and Sell Signal Generation:
The script generates Buy and Sell signals as label shapes on the chart. A Buy signal is generated when the Renko close price crosses above the Renko open price, indicating potential upward momentum. Conversely, a Sell signal is generated when the Renko close price crosses below the Renko open price, suggesting potential downward momentum.
Alert Conditions:
To ensure you never miss a trading opportunity, the script sets up alert conditions for Buy and Sell signals. These alerts notify you when the specified conditions for potential trades are met. Alerts can be customized to your preference, allowing you to receive notifications via your chosen communication channels.
How to Use the Renko Indicator:
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Start by analyzing the calculated market sentiment. This information helps you understand the broader trend in the market. A Bullish sentiment indicates potential upward movement, a Bearish sentiment suggests potential downward movement, and a Neutral sentiment signals uncertainty.
Renko Chart Interpretation:
Observe the Renko chart overlay and its midpoint line. Upward-trending Renko bricks suggest Bullish momentum, while downward-trending bricks indicate Bearish momentum. Use the Renko chart to identify trends and confirm your trading bias.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Pay close attention to the Buy and Sell signals generated by the indicator. A Buy signal occurs when the Renko close price crosses above the Renko open price. Conversely, a Sell signal occurs when the Renko close price crosses below the Renko open price. These signals highlight potential entry points for trades.
Alert Notifications:
Make use of the alert conditions to receive real-time notifications for Buy and Sell signals. Alerts help you stay informed even when you're not actively watching the charts, allowing you to promptly take action on potential trade opportunities.
Risk Management and Considerations:
Confirmation: While the Renko Indicator provides valuable insights, it's crucial to use it in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools for confirmation.
Backtesting: Before implementing the indicator in live trading, conduct thorough backtesting on historical data to assess its performance and suitability for your trading strategy.
Position Sizing: Determine appropriate position sizes based on your risk tolerance and the signals provided by the indicator. Avoid overleveraging your trades.
Market Conditions: Be mindful of market conditions and news events that could impact price movements. Use the Renko Indicator as a tool to enhance your decision-making process, not as a standalone strategy.
Conclusion:
The Renko Indicator offers a unique perspective on price movements and can be a valuable addition to your trading toolkit. By analyzing market sentiment, interpreting Renko chart patterns, and acting on Buy and Sell signals, you can make informed trading decisions. Remember to practice proper risk management and integrate the Renko Indicator into a comprehensive trading strategy to achieve consistent and successful trading outcomes.
Pivot Highs&lows: Short/Medium/Long-term + Spikeyness FilterShows Pivot Highs & Lows defined or 'Graded' on a fractal basis: Short-term, medium-term and long-term. Also applies 'Spikeyness' condition by default to filter-out weak/rounded pivots
ES1! 4hr chart (CME) shown above, with lookback = 15; clearly identifying the major highs & lows on the basis of how they are fractally 'nested' within lesser Pivots.
-- in the above chart Short term pivot highs (STH) are simply represented by green 'ʌ', and short-term pivot lows (STL) are simply represented by orange 'v'.
//Basics: (as applying to pivot highs, the following is reversed for pivot lows)
-Short term highs (STH) are simple pivot highs, albeit refined from standard with the 'spikeyness' filter.
-Medium-term highs (MTH) are defined as having a lower STH on either side of them.
-Long-term highs (LTH) are defined as having a lower MTH on either side of them.
//Purpose:
-Education: Quick and easy visualization of the strength or importance of a pivot high or low; a way of grading them based on their larger context.
-Backtesting: use in combination with other trading methods when backtesting to see the relative significance and price sensitivity of LTHs/LTLs compared to lower grade highs and lows.
//Settings:
-Choose Pivot lookback/lookforward bars: One setting, the basis from which all further pivot calculations are done.
-Toggle on/off 'Spikeyness' condition to filter-out weak/rounded/unimpressive pivot highs or lows (default is ON).
-Toggle on/off each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL; and choose label text-styles/colors/sizes independently.
-Set text Vertically, horizonally, or simply use 'ʌ' or 'v' symbols if you want to declutter your chart.
//Usage notes:
-Pivots take time to print (lookback bars must have elapsed before confirmation). Fractally nested pivots as here (i.e. a LTH), take even longer to print/confirm, so please be patient.
-Works across timeframes & Assets. Different timeframes may require slightly tweaked lookback/forward settings for optimal use; default is 15 bars.
Example usage with just symbolic labels short-term, med-term, long-term with 1x, 2x and 3x ʌ/v respectively:
SimpleCrossOver_BotThis is a simple example of how you can compile your own strategy
This script contains the code for alerts and for backtesting.
In order to use the backtester, comment out the sections to be used for signals, and comment in the sections to be used on the back tester, and visa versa for using the script for alerts in order to automate your own bot.
CNN Fear and Greed StrategyAdaptation of the CNN Fear and Greed Index Indicator (Original by EdgeTools)
The following changes have been implemented:
Put/Call Ratio Data Source: The data source for the Put/Call Ratio has been updated.
Bond Data Source: The data sources for the bond components (Safe Haven Demand and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated.
Normalization Adjustment: The normalization method has been adjusted to allow the CNN Fear and Greed Index to display over a longer historical period, optimizing it for backtesting purposes.
Style Modification: The display style has been modified for a simpler and cleaner appearance.
Strategy Logic Addition: Added a new strategy entry condition: index >= 25 AND index crosses over its 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), and a corresponding exit condition of holding the position for 252 bars (days).
CNN Fear & Greed Backtest Strategy (Adapted)
This script is an adaptation of the popular CNN Fear & Greed Index, originally created by EdgeTools, with significant modifications to optimize it for long-term backtesting on the TradingView platform.
The core function of the Fear & Greed Index is to measure the current emotional state of the stock market, ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). It operates on the principle that excessive fear drives prices too low (a potential buying opportunity), and excessive greed drives them too high (a potential selling opportunity).
Key Components of the Index (7 Factors)
The composite index is calculated as a weighted average of seven market indicators, each normalized to a score between 0 and 100:
Market Momentum: S&P 500's current level vs. its 125-day Moving Average.
Stock Price Strength: Stocks hitting 52-week highs vs. those hitting 52-week lows.
Stock Price Breadth: Measured by the McClellan Volume Summation Index (or similar volume/breadth metric).
Put/Call Ratio: The relationship between volume of put options (bearish bets) and call options (bullish bets).
Market Volatility: The CBOE VIX Index relative to its 50-day Moving Average.
Safe Haven Demand: The relative performance of stocks (S&P 500) vs. bonds.
Junk Bond Demand: The spread between high-yield (junk) bonds and U.S. Treasury yields.
Critical Adaptations for Backtesting
To improve the index's utility for quantitative analysis, the following changes were made:
Long-Term Normalization: The original normalization method (ta.stdev over a short LENGTH) has been replaced or adjusted to use longer historical data. This change ensures the index generates consistent and comparable sentiment scores across decades of market history, which is crucial for reliable backtesting results.
Updated Data Sources: Specific ticker requests for the Put/Call Ratio and Bond components (Safe Haven and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated to use the most reliable and long-running data available on TradingView, reducing data gaps and improving chart continuity.
Simplified Visuals: The chart display is streamlined, focusing only on the final Fear & Greed Index line and key threshold levels (25, 50, 75) for quick visual assessment.
Integrated Trading Strategy
This script also includes a simple, rules-based strategy designed to test the counter-trend philosophy of the index:
Entry Logic (Long Position): A long position is initiated when the market shows increasing fear, specifically when the index score is less than or equal to the configurable FEAR_LEVEL (default 25) and the index crosses above its own short-term 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This crossover acts as a confirmation that sentiment may be starting to turn around from peak fear.
Exit Logic (Time-Based): All positions are subject to a time-based exit after holding for 252 trading days (approximately one year). This fixed holding period aims to capture the typical duration of a cyclical market recovery following a major panic event.
indicator CalibrationIndicator Calibration - Multi-Indicator Consensus System
Overview
Indicator Calibration is a powerful consensus-based trading indicator that leverages the MyIndicatorLibrary (NormalizedIndicators) to combine multiple trend-following indicators into a single, actionable signal. By averaging the normalized outputs of up to 8 different trend indicators, this tool provides traders with a clear consensus view of market direction, reducing noise and false signals inherent in single-indicator approaches.
The indicator outputs a value between -1 (strong bearish) and +1 (strong bullish), with 0 representing a neutral market state. This creates an intuitive, easy-to-read oscillator that synthesizes multiple analytical perspectives into one coherent signal.
🎯 Core Concept
Consensus Trading Philosophy
Rather than relying on a single indicator that may give conflicting or premature signals, Indicator Calibration employs a democratic voting system where multiple indicators contribute their normalized opinion:
Each enabled indicator votes: +1 (bullish), -1 (bearish), or 0 (neutral)
The votes are averaged to create a consensus signal
Strong consensus (closer to ±1) indicates high agreement among indicators
Weak consensus (closer to 0) indicates market indecision or transition
Key Benefits
Reduced False Signals: Multiple indicators must agree before strong signals appear
Noise Filtering: Individual indicator quirks are smoothed out by averaging
Customizable: Enable/disable indicators and adjust parameters to suit your trading style
Universal Application: Works across all timeframes and asset classes
Clear Visualization: Simple line oscillator with clear bull/bear zones
📊 Included Indicators
The system can utilize up to 8 normalized trend-following indicators from the library:
1. BBPct - Bollinger Bands Percent
Parameters: Length (default: 20), Factor (default: 2)
Type: Stationary oscillator
Strength: Mean reversion and volatility detection
2. NorosTrendRibbonEMA
Parameters: Length (default: 20)
Type: Non-stationary trend follower
Strength: Breakout detection with momentum confirmation
3. RSI - Relative Strength Index
Parameters: Length (default: 9), SMA Length (default: 4)
Type: Stationary momentum oscillator
Strength: Overbought/oversold with smoothing
4. Vidya - Variable Index Dynamic Average
Parameters: Length (default: 30), History Length (default: 9)
Type: Adaptive moving average
Strength: Volatility-adjusted trend following
5. HullSuite
Parameters: Length (default: 55), Multiplier (default: 1)
Type: Fast-response moving average
Strength: Low-lag trend identification
6. TrendContinuation
Parameters: MA Length 1 (default: 50), MA Length 2 (default: 25)
Type: Dual HMA system
Strength: Trend quality assessment with neutral states
7. LeonidasTrendFollowingSystem
Parameters: Short Length (default: 21), Key Length (default: 10)
Type: Dual EMA crossover
Strength: Simple, reliable trend tracking
8. TRAMA - Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average
Parameters: Length (default: 50)
Type: Adaptive trend follower
Strength: Adjusts to trend stability
⚙️ Input Parameters
Source Settings
Source: Choose your price input (default: close)
Can be modified to: open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4
Indicator Selection
Each indicator can be enabled or disabled via checkboxes:
use_bbpct: Enable/disable Bollinger Bands Percent
use_noros: Enable/disable Noro's Trend Ribbon
use_rsi: Enable/disable RSI
use_vidya: Enable/disable VIDYA
use_hull: Enable/disable Hull Suite
use_trendcon: Enable/disable Trend Continuation
use_leonidas: Enable/disable Leonidas System
use_trama: Enable/disable TRAMA
Parameter Customization
Each indicator has its own parameter group where you can fine-tune:
val 1: Primary period/length parameter
val 2: Secondary parameter (multiplier, smoothing, etc.)
📈 Signal Interpretation
Output Line (Orange)
The main output oscillates between -1 and +1:
+1.0 to +0.5: Strong bullish consensus (all or most indicators agree on uptrend)
+0.5 to +0.2: Moderate bullish bias (bullish indicators outnumber bearish)
+0.2 to -0.2: Neutral zone (mixed signals or transition phase)
-0.2 to -0.5: Moderate bearish bias (bearish indicators outnumber bullish)
-0.5 to -1.0: Strong bearish consensus (all or most indicators agree on downtrend)
Reference Lines
Green line (+1): Maximum bullish consensus
Red line (-1): Maximum bearish consensus
Gray line (0): Neutral midpoint
💡 Trading Strategies
Strategy 1: Consensus Threshold Trading
Entry Rules:
- Long: Output crosses above +0.5 (strong bullish consensus)
- Short: Output crosses below -0.5 (strong bearish consensus)
Exit Rules:
- Exit Long: Output crosses below 0 (consensus lost)
- Exit Short: Output crosses above 0 (consensus lost)
Strategy 2: Zero-Line Crossover
Entry Rules:
- Long: Output crosses above 0 (bullish shift in consensus)
- Short: Output crosses below 0 (bearish shift in consensus)
Exit Rules:
- Exit on opposite crossover
Strategy 3: Divergence Trading
Look for divergences between:
- Price making higher highs while indicator makes lower highs (bearish divergence)
- Price making lower lows while indicator makes higher lows (bullish divergence)
Strategy 4: Extreme Reading Reversal
Entry Rules:
- Long: Output reaches -0.8 or below (extreme bearish consensus = potential reversal)
- Short: Output reaches +0.8 or above (extreme bullish consensus = potential reversal)
Use with caution - best combined with other reversal signals
🔧 Optimization Tips
For Trending Markets
Enable trend-following indicators: Noro's, VIDYA, Hull Suite, Leonidas
Use higher threshold levels (±0.6) to filter out minor retracements
Increase indicator periods for smoother signals
For Range-Bound Markets
Enable oscillators: BBPct, RSI
Use zero-line crossovers for entries
Decrease indicator periods for faster response
For Volatile Markets
Enable adaptive indicators: VIDYA, TRAMA
Use wider threshold levels to avoid whipsaws
Consider disabling fast indicators that may overreact
Custom Calibration Process
Start with all indicators enabled using default parameters
Backtest on your chosen timeframe and asset
Identify which indicators produce the most false signals
Disable or adjust parameters for problematic indicators
Test different threshold levels for entry/exit
Validate on out-of-sample data
📊 Visual Guide
Color Scheme
Orange Line: Main consensus output
Green Horizontal: Bullish extreme (+1)
Red Horizontal: Bearish extreme (-1)
Gray Horizontal: Neutral zone (0)
Reading the Chart
Line above 0: Net bullish sentiment
Line below 0: Net bearish sentiment
Line near extremes: Strong consensus
Line fluctuating near 0: Indecision or transition
Smooth line movement: Stable consensus
Erratic line movement: Conflicting signals
⚠️ Important Considerations
Lag Characteristics
This is a lagging indicator by design (consensus takes time to form)
Best used for trend confirmation rather than early entry
May miss the first portion of strong moves
Reduces false entries at the cost of delayed entries
Number of Active Indicators
More indicators = smoother but slower signals
Fewer indicators = faster but potentially noisier signals
Minimum recommended: 4 indicators for reliable consensus
Optimal: 6-8 indicators for balanced performance
Market Conditions
Best: Strong trending markets (up or down)
Good: Volatile markets with clear directional moves
Poor: Choppy, sideways markets with no clear trend
Worst: Low-volume, range-bound conditions
Complementary Tools
Consider combining with:
Volume analysis for confirmation
Support/resistance levels for entry/exit points
Market structure analysis (higher timeframe trends)
Risk management tools (ATR-based stops)
🎓 Example Use Cases
Swing Trading
Timeframe: Daily or 4H
Enable: All 8 indicators with default parameters
Entry: Consensus > +0.5 or < -0.5
Hold: Until consensus reverses to opposite extreme
Day Trading
Timeframe: 15m or 1H
Enable: Faster indicators (RSI, BBPct, Noro's, Hull Suite)
Entry: Zero-line crossover with volume confirmation
Exit: Opposite crossover or profit target
Position Trading
Timeframe: Weekly or Daily
Enable: Slower indicators (TRAMA, VIDYA, Trend Continuation)
Entry: Strong consensus (±0.7) with higher timeframe confirmation
Hold: Months until consensus weakens significantly
🔬 Technical Details
Calculation Method
1. Each enabled indicator calculates its normalized signal (-1, 0, or +1)
2. All active signals are stored in an array
3. Array.avg() computes the arithmetic mean
4. Result is plotted as a continuous line
Output Range
Theoretical: -1.0 to +1.0
Practical: Typically ranges between -0.8 to +0.8
Rare: All indicators perfectly aligned at ±1.0
Performance
Lightweight calculation (simple averaging)
No repainting (all indicators are non-repainting)
Compatible with all Pine Script features
Works on all TradingView plans
📋 License
This code is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0 at mozilla.org
🚀 Quick Start Guide
Add to Chart: Apply indicator to your chart
Choose Timeframe: Select appropriate timeframe for your trading style
Enable Indicators: Start with all 8 enabled
Observe Behavior: Watch how consensus forms during different market conditions
Calibrate: Adjust parameters and indicator selection based on observations
Backtest: Validate your settings on historical data
Trade: Apply with proper risk management
🎯 Key Takeaways
✅ Consensus beats individual indicators - Multiple perspectives reduce errors
✅ Customizable to your style - Enable/disable and tune to preference
✅ Simple interpretation - One line tells the story
✅ Works across markets - Stocks, crypto, forex, commodities
✅ Reduces emotional trading - Clear, objective signal generation
✅ Professional-grade - Built on proven technical analysis principles
Indicator Calibration transforms complex multi-indicator analysis into a single, actionable signal. By harnessing the collective wisdom of multiple proven trend-following systems, traders gain a powerful edge in identifying high-probability trade setups while filtering out market noise.
