Donchian Quest Research// =================================
Trend following strategy.
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Strategy uses two channels. One channel - for opening trades. Second channel - for closing.
Channel is similar to Donchian channel, but uses Close prices (not High/Low). That helps don't react to wicks of volatile candles (“stop hunting”). In most cases openings occur earlier than in Donchian channel. Closings occur only for real breakout.
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Strategy waits for beginning of trend - when price breakout of channel. Default length of both channels = 50 candles.
Conditions of trading:
- Open Long: If last Close = max Close for 50 closes.
- Close Long: If last Close = min Close for 50 closes.
- Open Short: If last Close = min Close for 50 closes.
- Close Short: If last Close = max Close for 50 closes.
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Color of lines:
- black - channel for opening trade.
- red - channel for closing trade.
- yellow - entry price.
- fuchsia - stoploss and breakeven.
- vertical green - go Long.
- vertical red - go Short.
- vertical gray - close in end, don't trade anymore.
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Order size calculated with ATR and volatility.
You can't trade 1 contract in BTC and 1 contract in XRP - for example. They have different price and volatility, so 1 contract BTC not equal 1 contract XRP.
Script uses universal calculation for every market. It is based on:
- Risk - USD sum you ready to loss in one trade. It calculated as percent of Equity.
- ATR indicator - measurement of volatility.
With default setting your stoploss = 0.5 percent of equity:
- If initial capital is 1000 USD and used parameter "Permit stop" - loss will be 5 USD (0.5 % of equity).
- If your Equity rises to 2000 USD and used parameter "Permit stop"- loss will be 10 USD (0.5 % of Equity).
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This Risk works only if you enable “Permit stop” parameter in Settings.
If this parameter disabled - strategy works as reversal strategy:
⁃ If close Long - channel border works as stoploss and momentarily go Short.
⁃ If close Short - channel border works as stoploss and momentarily go Long.
Channel borders changed dynamically. So sometime your loss will be greater than ‘Risk %’. Sometime - less than ‘Risk %’.
If this parameter enabled - maximum loss always equal to 'Risk %'. This parameter also include breakeven: if profit % = Risk %, then move stoploss to entry price.
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Like all trend following strategies - it works only in trend conditions. If no trend - slowly bleeding. There is no special additional indicator to filter trend/notrend. You need to trade every signal of strategy.
Strategy gives many losses:
⁃ 30 % of trades will close with profit.
⁃ 70 % of trades will close with loss.
⁃ But profit from 30% will be much greater than loss from 70 %.
Your task - patiently wait for it and don't use risky setting for position sizing.
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Recommended timeframe - Daily.
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Trend can vary in lengths. Selecting length of channels determine which trend you will be hunting:
⁃ 20/10 - from several days to several weeks.
⁃ 20/20 or 50/20 - from several weeks to several months.
⁃ 50/50 or 100/50 or 100/100 - from several months to several years.
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Inputs (Settings):
- Length: length of channel for trade opening/closing. You can choose 20/10, 20/20, 50/20, 50/50, 100/50, 100/100. Default value: 50/50.
- Permit Long / Permit short: Longs are most profitable for this strategy. You can disable Shorts and enable Longs only. Default value: permit all directions.
- Risk % of Equity: for position sizing used Equity percent. Don't use values greater than 5 % - it's risky. Default value: 0.5%.
⁃ ATR multiplier: this multiplier moves stoploss up or down. Big multiplier = small size of order, small profit, stoploss far from entry, low chance of stoploss. Small multiplier = big size of order, big profit, stop near entry, high chance of stoploss. Default value: 2.
- ATR length: number of candles to calculate ATR indicator. It used for order size and stoploss. Default value: 20.
- Close in end - to close active trade in the end (and don't trade anymore) or leave it open. You can see difference in Strategy Tester. Default value: don’t close.
- Permit stop: use stop or go reversal. Default value: without stop, reversal strategy.
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Properties (Settings):
- Initial capital - 1000 USD.
- Script don't uses 'Order size' - you need to change 'Risk %' in Inputs instead.
- Script don't uses 'Pyramiding'.
- 'Commission' 0.055 % and 'Slippage' 0 - this parameters are for crypto exchanges with perpetual contracts (for example Bybit). If use on other markets - set it accordingly to your exchange parameters.
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Big dataset used for chart - 'BITCOIN ALL TIME HISTORY INDEX'. It gives enough trades to understand logic of script. It have several good trends.
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Bänder und Kanäle
Supertrend Advance Pullback StrategyHandbook for the Supertrend Advance Strategy
1. Introduction
Purpose of the Handbook:
The main purpose of this handbook is to serve as a comprehensive guide for traders and investors who are looking to explore and harness the potential of the Supertrend Advance Strategy. In the rapidly changing financial market, having the right tools and strategies at one's disposal is crucial. Whether you're a beginner hoping to dive into the world of trading or a seasoned investor aiming to optimize and diversify your portfolio, this handbook offers the insights and methodologies you need. By the end of this guide, readers should have a clear understanding of how the Supertrend Advance Strategy works, its benefits, potential pitfalls, and practical application in various trading scenarios.
Overview of the Supertrend Advance Pullback Strategy:
At its core, the Supertrend Advance Strategy is an evolution of the popular Supertrend Indicator. Designed to generate buy and sell signals in trending markets, the Supertrend Indicator has been a favorite tool for many traders around the world. The Advance Strategy, however, builds upon this foundation by introducing enhanced mechanisms, filters, and methodologies to increase precision and reduce false signals.
1. Basic Concept:
The Supertrend Advance Strategy relies on a combination of price action and volatility to determine the potential trend direction. By assessing the average true range (ATR) in conjunction with specific price points, this strategy aims to highlight the potential starting and ending points of market trends.
2. Methodology:
Unlike the traditional Supertrend Indicator, which primarily focuses on closing prices and ATR, the Advance Strategy integrates other critical market variables, such as volume, momentum oscillators, and perhaps even fundamental data, to validate its signals. This multidimensional approach ensures that the generated signals are more reliable and are less prone to market noise.
3. Benefits:
One of the main benefits of the Supertrend Advance Strategy is its ability to filter out false breakouts and minor price fluctuations, which can often lead to premature exits or entries in the market. By waiting for a confluence of factors to align, traders using this advanced strategy can increase their chances of entering or exiting trades at optimal points.
4. Practical Applications:
The Supertrend Advance Strategy can be applied across various timeframes, from intraday trading to swing trading and even long-term investment scenarios. Furthermore, its flexible nature allows it to be tailored to different asset classes, be it stocks, commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies.
In the subsequent sections of this handbook, we will delve deeper into the intricacies of this strategy, offering step-by-step guidelines on its application, case studies, and tips for maximizing its efficacy in the volatile world of trading.
As you journey through this handbook, we encourage you to approach the Supertrend Advance Strategy with an open mind, testing and tweaking it as per your personal trading style and risk appetite. The ultimate goal is not just to provide you with a new tool but to empower you with a holistic strategy that can enhance your trading endeavors.
2. Getting Started
Navigating the financial markets can be a daunting task without the right tools. This section is dedicated to helping you set up the Supertrend Advance Strategy on one of the most popular charting platforms, TradingView. By following the steps below, you'll be able to integrate this strategy into your charts and start leveraging its insights in no time.
Setting up on TradingView:
TradingView is a web-based platform that offers a wide range of charting tools, social networking, and market data. Before you can apply the Supertrend Advance Strategy, you'll first need a TradingView account. If you haven't set one up yet, here's how:
1. Account Creation:
• Visit TradingView's official website.
• Click on the "Join for free" or "Sign up" button.
• Follow the registration process, providing the necessary details and setting up your login credentials.
2. Navigating the Dashboard:
• Once logged in, you'll be taken to your dashboard. Here, you'll see a variety of tools, including watchlists, alerts, and the main charting window.
• To begin charting, type in the name or ticker of the asset you're interested in the search bar at the top.
3. Configuring Chart Settings:
• Before integrating the Supertrend Advance Strategy, familiarize yourself with the chart settings. This can be accessed by clicking the 'gear' icon on the top right of the chart window.
• Adjust the chart type, time intervals, and other display settings to your preference.
Integrating the Strategy into a Chart:
Now that you're set up on TradingView, it's time to integrate the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
1. Accessing the Pine Script Editor:
• Located at the top-center of your screen, you'll find the "Pine Editor" tab. Click on it.
• This is where custom strategies and indicators are scripted or imported.
2. Loading the Supertrend Advance Strategy Script:
• Depending on whether you have the script or need to find it, there are two paths:
• If you have the script: Copy the Supertrend Advance Strategy script, and then paste it into the Pine Editor.
• If searching for the script: Click on the “Indicators” icon (looks like a flame) at the top of your screen, and then type “Supertrend Advance Strategy” in the search bar. If available, it will show up in the list. Simply click to add it to your chart.
3. Applying the Strategy:
• After pasting or selecting the Supertrend Advance Strategy in the Pine Editor, click on the “Add to Chart” button located at the top of the editor. This will overlay the strategy onto your main chart window.
4. Configuring Strategy Settings:
• Once the strategy is on your chart, you'll notice a small settings ('gear') icon next to its name in the top-left of the chart window. Click on this to access settings.
• Here, you can adjust various parameters of the Supertrend Advance Strategy to better fit your trading style or the specific asset you're analyzing.
5. Interpreting Signals:
• With the strategy applied, you'll now see buy/sell signals represented on your chart. Take time to familiarize yourself with how these look and behave over various timeframes and market conditions.
3. Strategy Overview
What is the Supertrend Advance Strategy?
The Supertrend Advance Strategy is a refined version of the classic Supertrend Indicator, which was developed to aid traders in spotting market trends. The strategy utilizes a combination of data points, including average true range (ATR) and price momentum, to generate buy and sell signals.
In essence, the Supertrend Advance Strategy can be visualized as a line that moves with the price. When the price is above the Supertrend line, it indicates an uptrend and suggests a potential buy position. Conversely, when the price is below the Supertrend line, it hints at a downtrend, suggesting a potential selling point.
Strategy Goals and Objectives:
1. Trend Identification: At the core of the Supertrend Advance Strategy is the goal to efficiently and consistently identify prevailing market trends. By recognizing these trends, traders can position themselves to capitalize on price movements in their favor.
2. Reducing Noise: Financial markets are often inundated with 'noise' - short-term price fluctuations that can mislead traders. The Supertrend Advance Strategy aims to filter out this noise, allowing for clearer decision-making.
3. Enhancing Risk Management: With clear buy and sell signals, traders can set more precise stop-loss and take-profit points. This leads to better risk management and potentially improved profitability.
4. Versatility: While primarily used for trend identification, the strategy can be integrated with other technical tools and indicators to create a comprehensive trading system.
Type of Assets/Markets to Apply the Strategy:
1. Equities: The Supertrend Advance Strategy is highly popular among stock traders. Its ability to capture long-term trends makes it particularly useful for those trading individual stocks or equity indices.
2. Forex: Given the 24-hour nature of the Forex market and its propensity for trends, the Supertrend Advance Strategy is a valuable tool for currency traders.
3. Commodities: Whether it's gold, oil, or agricultural products, commodities often move in extended trends. The strategy can help in identifying and capitalizing on these movements.
4. Cryptocurrencies: The volatile nature of cryptocurrencies means they can have pronounced trends. The Supertrend Advance Strategy can aid crypto traders in navigating these often tumultuous waters.
5. Futures & Options: Traders and investors in derivative markets can utilize the strategy to make more informed decisions about contract entries and exits.
It's important to note that while the Supertrend Advance Strategy can be applied across various assets and markets, its effectiveness might vary based on market conditions, timeframe, and the specific characteristics of the asset in question. As always, it's recommended to use the strategy in conjunction with other analytical tools and to backtest its effectiveness in specific scenarios before committing to trades.
4. Input Settings
Understanding and correctly configuring input settings is crucial for optimizing the Supertrend Advance Strategy for any specific market or asset. These settings, when tweaked correctly, can drastically impact the strategy's performance.
Grouping Inputs:
Before diving into individual input settings, it's important to group similar inputs. Grouping can simplify the user interface, making it easier to adjust settings related to a specific function or indicator.
Strategy Choice:
This input allows traders to select from various strategies that incorporate the Supertrend indicator. Options might include "Supertrend with RSI," "Supertrend with MACD," etc. By choosing a strategy, the associated input settings for that strategy become available.
Supertrend Settings:
1. Multiplier: Typically, a default value of 3 is used. This multiplier is used in the ATR calculation. Increasing it makes the Supertrend line further from prices, while decreasing it brings the line closer.
2. Period: The number of bars used in the ATR calculation. A common default is 7.
EMA Settings (Exponential Moving Average):
1. Period: Defines the number of previous bars used to calculate the EMA. Common periods are 9, 21, 50, and 200.
2. Source: Allows traders to choose which price (Open, Close, High, Low) to use in the EMA calculation.
RSI Settings (Relative Strength Index):
1. Length: Determines how many periods are used for RSI calculation. The standard setting is 14.
2. Overbought Level: The threshold at which the asset is considered overbought, typically set at 70.
3. Oversold Level: The threshold at which the asset is considered oversold, often at 30.
MACD Settings (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
1. Short Period: The shorter EMA, usually set to 12.
2. Long Period: The longer EMA, commonly set to 26.
3. Signal Period: Defines the EMA of the MACD line, typically set at 9.
CCI Settings (Commodity Channel Index):
1. Period: The number of bars used in the CCI calculation, often set to 20.
2. Overbought Level: Typically set at +100, denoting overbought conditions.
3. Oversold Level: Usually set at -100, indicating oversold conditions.
SL/TP Settings (Stop Loss/Take Profit):
1. SL Multiplier: Defines the multiplier for the average true range (ATR) to set the stop loss.
2. TP Multiplier: Defines the multiplier for the average true range (ATR) to set the take profit.
Filtering Conditions:
This section allows traders to set conditions to filter out certain signals. For example, one might only want to take buy signals when the RSI is below 30, ensuring they buy during oversold conditions.
Trade Direction and Backtest Period:
1. Trade Direction: Allows traders to specify whether they want to take long trades, short trades, or both.
2. Backtest Period: Specifies the time range for backtesting the strategy. Traders can choose from options like 'Last 6 months,' 'Last 1 year,' etc.
It's essential to remember that while default settings are provided for many of these tools, optimal settings can vary based on the market, timeframe, and trading style. Always backtest new settings on historical data to gauge their potential efficacy.
5. Understanding Strategy Conditions
Developing an understanding of the conditions set within a trading strategy is essential for traders to maximize its potential. Here, we delve deep into the logic behind these conditions, using the Supertrend Advance Strategy as our focal point.
Basic Logic Behind Conditions:
Every strategy is built around a set of conditions that provide buy or sell signals. The conditions are based on mathematical or statistical methods and are rooted in the study of historical price data. The fundamental idea is to recognize patterns or behaviors that have been profitable in the past and might be profitable in the future.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
1. Buy Conditions: Usually formulated around bullish signals or indicators suggesting upward price momentum.
2. Sell Conditions: Centered on bearish signals or indicators indicating downward price momentum.
Simple Strategy:
The simple strategy could involve using just the Supertrend indicator. Here:
• Buy: When price closes above the Supertrend line.
• Sell: When price closes below the Supertrend line.
Pullback Strategy:
This strategy capitalizes on price retracements:
• Buy: When the price retraces to the Supertrend line after a bullish signal and is supported by another bullish indicator.
• Sell: When the price retraces to the Supertrend line after a bearish signal and is confirmed by another bearish indicator.
Indicators Used:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
• Logic: EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price movements. A shorter-period EMA crossing above a longer-period EMA can be a bullish sign, while the opposite is bearish.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• Logic: RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to analyze overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 are typically considered overbought, and values below 30 are considered oversold.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
• Logic: MACD assesses the relationship between two EMAs of a security’s price. The MACD line crossing above the signal line can be a bullish signal, while crossing below can be bearish.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
• Logic: CCI compares a security's average price change with its average price variation. A CCI value above +100 may mean the price is overbought, while below -100 might signify an oversold condition.
And others...
As the strategy expands or contracts, more indicators might be added or removed. The crucial point is to understand the core logic behind each, ensuring they align with the strategy's objectives.
Logic Behind Each Indicator:
1. EMA: Emphasizes recent price movements; provides dynamic support and resistance levels.
2. RSI: Indicates overbought and oversold conditions based on recent price changes.
3. MACD: Showcases momentum and direction of a trend by comparing two EMAs.
4. CCI: Measures the difference between a security's price change and its average price change.
Understanding strategy conditions is not just about knowing when to buy or sell but also about comprehending the underlying market dynamics that those conditions represent. As you familiarize yourself with each condition and indicator, you'll be better prepared to adapt and evolve with the ever-changing financial markets.
6. Trade Execution and Management
Trade execution and management are crucial aspects of any trading strategy. Efficient execution can significantly impact profitability, while effective management can preserve capital during adverse market conditions. In this section, we'll explore the nuances of position entry, exit strategies, and various Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) methodologies within the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
Position Entry:
Effective trade entry revolves around:
1. Timing: Enter at a point where the risk-reward ratio is favorable. This often corresponds to confirmatory signals from multiple indicators.
2. Volume Analysis: Ensure there's adequate volume to support the movement. Volume can validate the strength of a signal.
3. Confirmation: Use multiple indicators or chart patterns to confirm the entry point. For instance, a buy signal from the Supertrend indicator can be confirmed with a bullish MACD crossover.
Position Exit Strategies:
A successful exit strategy will lock in profits and minimize losses. Here are some strategies:
1. Fixed Time Exit: Exiting after a predetermined period.
2. Percentage-based Profit Target: Exiting after a certain percentage gain.
3. Indicator-based Exit: Exiting when an indicator gives an opposing signal.
Percentage-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): Set a fixed percentage below the entry price to limit potential losses.
• Example: A 2% SL on an entry at $100 would trigger a sell at $98.
• Take Profit (TP): Set a fixed percentage above the entry price to lock in gains.
• Example: A 5% TP on an entry at $100 would trigger a sell at $105.
Supertrend-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): Position the SL at the Supertrend line. If the price breaches this line, it could indicate a trend reversal.
• Take Profit (TP): One could set the TP at a point where the Supertrend line flattens or turns, indicating a possible slowdown in momentum.
Swing high/low-based SL/TP:
• Stop Loss (SL): For a long position, set the SL just below the recent swing low. For a short position, set it just above the recent swing high.
• Take Profit (TP): For a long position, set the TP near a recent swing high or resistance. For a short position, near a swing low or support.
And other methods...
1. Trailing Stop Loss: This dynamic SL adjusts with the price movement, locking in profits as the trade moves in your favor.
2. Multiple Take Profits: Divide the position into segments and set multiple TP levels, securing profits in stages.
3. Opposite Signal Exit: Exit when another reliable indicator gives an opposite signal.
Trade execution and management are as much an art as they are a science. They require a blend of analytical skill, discipline, and intuition. Regularly reviewing and refining your strategies, especially in light of changing market conditions, is crucial to maintaining consistent trading performance.
7. Visual Representations
Visual tools are essential for traders, as they simplify complex data into an easily interpretable format. Properly analyzing and understanding the plots on a chart can provide actionable insights and a more intuitive grasp of market conditions. In this section, we’ll delve into various visual representations used in the Supertrend Advance Strategy and their significance.
Understanding Plots on the Chart:
Charts are the primary visual aids for traders. The arrangement of data points, lines, and colors on them tell a story about the market's past, present, and potential future moves.
1. Data Points: These represent individual price actions over a specific timeframe. For instance, a daily chart will have data points showing the opening, closing, high, and low prices for each day.
2. Colors: Used to indicate the nature of price movement. Commonly, green is used for bullish (upward) moves and red for bearish (downward) moves.
Trend Lines:
Trend lines are straight lines drawn on a chart that connect a series of price points. Their significance:
1. Uptrend Line: Drawn along the lows, representing support. A break below might indicate a trend reversal.
2. Downtrend Line: Drawn along the highs, indicating resistance. A break above might suggest the start of a bullish trend.
Filled Areas:
These represent a range between two values on a chart, usually shaded or colored. For instance:
1. Bollinger Bands: The area between the upper and lower band is filled, giving a visual representation of volatility.
2. Volume Profile: Can show a filled area representing the amount of trading activity at different price levels.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Lines:
These are horizontal lines representing pre-determined exit points for trades.
1. Stop Loss Line: Indicates the level at which a trade will be automatically closed to limit losses. Positioned according to the trader's risk tolerance.
2. Take Profit Line: Denotes the target level to lock in profits. Set according to potential resistance (for long trades) or support (for short trades) or other technical factors.
Trailing Stop Lines:
A trailing stop is a dynamic form of stop loss that moves with the price. On a chart:
1. For Long Trades: Starts below the entry price and moves up with the price but remains static if the price falls, ensuring profits are locked in.
2. For Short Trades: Starts above the entry price and moves down with the price but remains static if the price rises.
Visual representations offer traders a clear, organized view of market dynamics. Familiarity with these tools ensures that traders can quickly and accurately interpret chart data, leading to more informed decision-making. Always ensure that the visual aids used resonate with your trading style and strategy for the best results.
8. Backtesting
Backtesting is a fundamental process in strategy development, enabling traders to evaluate the efficacy of their strategy using historical data. It provides a snapshot of how the strategy would have performed in past market conditions, offering insights into its potential strengths and vulnerabilities. In this section, we'll explore the intricacies of setting up and analyzing backtest results and the caveats one must be aware of.
Setting Up Backtest Period:
1. Duration: Determine the timeframe for the backtest. It should be long enough to capture various market conditions (bullish, bearish, sideways). For instance, if you're testing a daily strategy, consider a period of several years.
2. Data Quality: Ensure the data source is reliable, offering high-resolution and clean data. This is vital to get accurate backtest results.
3. Segmentation: Instead of a continuous period, sometimes it's helpful to backtest over distinct market phases, like a particular bear or bull market, to see how the strategy holds up in different environments.
Analyzing Backtest Results:
1. Performance Metrics: Examine metrics like the total return, annualized return, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and others to gauge the strategy's efficiency.
2. Win Rate: It's the ratio of winning trades to total trades. A high win rate doesn't always signify a good strategy; it should be evaluated in conjunction with other metrics.
3. Risk/Reward: Understand the average profit versus the average loss per trade. A strategy might have a low win rate but still be profitable if the average gain far exceeds the average loss.
4. Drawdown Analysis: Review the periods of losses the strategy could incur and how long it takes, on average, to recover.
9. Tips and Best Practices
Successful trading requires more than just knowing how a strategy works. It necessitates an understanding of when to apply it, how to adjust it to varying market conditions, and the wisdom to recognize and avoid common pitfalls. This section offers insightful tips and best practices to enhance the application of the Supertrend Advance Strategy.
When to Use the Strategy:
1. Market Conditions: Ideally, employ the Supertrend Advance Strategy during trending market conditions. This strategy thrives when there are clear upward or downward trends. It might be less effective during consolidative or sideways markets.
2. News Events: Be cautious around significant news events, as they can cause extreme volatility. It might be wise to avoid trading immediately before and after high-impact news.
3. Liquidity: Ensure you are trading in assets/markets with sufficient liquidity. High liquidity ensures that the price movements are more reflective of genuine market sentiment and not due to thin volume.
Adjusting Settings for Different Markets/Timeframes:
1. Markets: Each market (stocks, forex, commodities) has its own characteristics. It's essential to adjust the strategy's parameters to align with the market's volatility and liquidity.
2. Timeframes: Shorter timeframes (like 1-minute or 5-minute charts) tend to have more noise. You might need to adjust the settings to filter out false signals. Conversely, for longer timeframes (like daily or weekly charts), you might need to be more responsive to genuine trend changes.
3. Customization: Regularly review and tweak the strategy's settings. Periodic adjustments can ensure the strategy remains optimized for the current market conditions.
10. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Given the complexities and nuances of the Supertrend Advance Strategy, it's only natural for traders, both new and seasoned, to have questions. This section addresses some of the most commonly asked questions regarding the strategy.
1. What exactly is the Supertrend Advance Strategy?
The Supertrend Advance Strategy is an evolved version of the traditional Supertrend indicator. It's designed to provide clearer buy and sell signals by incorporating additional indicators like EMA, RSI, MACD, CCI, etc. The strategy aims to capitalize on market trends while minimizing false signals.
2. Can I use the Supertrend Advance Strategy for all asset types?
Yes, the strategy can be applied to various asset types like stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. However, it's crucial to adjust the settings accordingly to suit the specific characteristics and volatility of each asset type.
3. Is this strategy suitable for day trading?
Absolutely! The Supertrend Advance Strategy can be adjusted to suit various timeframes, making it versatile for both day trading and long-term trading. Remember to fine-tune the settings to align with the timeframe you're trading on.
4. How do I deal with false signals?
No strategy is immune to false signals. However, by combining the Supertrend with other indicators and adhering to strict risk management protocols, you can minimize the impact of false signals. Always use stop-loss orders and consider filtering trades with additional confirmation signals.
5. Do I need any prior trading experience to use this strategy?
While the Supertrend Advance Strategy is designed to be user-friendly, having a foundational understanding of trading and market analysis can greatly enhance your ability to employ the strategy effectively. If you're a beginner, consider pairing the strategy with further education and practice on demo accounts.
6. How often should I review and adjust the strategy settings?
There's no one-size-fits-all answer. Some traders adjust settings weekly, while others might do it monthly. The key is to remain responsive to changing market conditions. Regular backtesting can give insights into potential required adjustments.
7. Can the Supertrend Advance Strategy be automated?
Yes, many traders use algorithmic trading platforms to automate their strategies, including the Supertrend Advance Strategy. However, always monitor automated systems regularly to ensure they're operating as intended.
8. Are there any markets or conditions where the strategy shouldn't be used?
The strategy might generate more false signals in markets that are consolidative or range-bound. During significant news events or times of unexpected high volatility, it's advisable to tread with caution or stay out of the market.
9. How important is backtesting with this strategy?
Backtesting is crucial as it allows traders to understand how the strategy would have performed in the past, offering insights into potential profitability and areas of improvement. Always backtest any new setting or tweak before applying it to live trades.
10. What if the strategy isn't working for me?
No strategy guarantees consistent profits. If it's not working for you, consider reviewing your settings, seeking expert advice, or complementing the Supertrend Advance Strategy with other analysis methods. Remember, continuous learning and adaptation are the keys to trading success.
Other comments
Value of combining several indicators in this script and how they work together
Diversification of Signals: Just as diversifying an investment portfolio can reduce risk, using multiple indicators can offer varied perspectives on potential price movements. Each indicator can capture a different facet of the market, ensuring that traders are not overly reliant on a single data point.
Confirmation & Reduced False Signals: A common challenge with many indicators is the potential for false signals. By requiring confirmation from multiple indicators before acting, the chances of acting on a false signal can be significantly reduced.
Flexibility Across Market Conditions: Different indicators might perform better under different market conditions. For example, while moving averages might excel in trending markets, oscillators like RSI might be more useful during sideways or range-bound conditions. A mashup strategy can potentially adapt better to varying market scenarios.
Comprehensive Analysis: With multiple indicators, traders can gauge trend strength, momentum, volatility, and potential market reversals all at once, providing a holistic view of the market.
How do the different indicators in the Supertrend Advance Strategy work together?
Supertrend: This is primarily a trend-following indicator. It provides traders with buy and sell signals based on the volatility of the price. When combined with other indicators, it can filter out noise and give more weight to strong, confirmed trends.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): EMA gives more weight to recent price data. It can be used to identify the direction and strength of a trend. When the price is above the EMA, it's generally considered bullish, and vice versa.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. By cross-referencing with other indicators like EMA or MACD, traders can spot potential reversals or confirmations of a trend.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This indicator identifies changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it can be a bullish sign, and when it crosses below, it can be bearish. Pairing MACD with Supertrend can provide dual confirmation of a trend.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Initially developed for commodities, CCI can indicate overbought or oversold conditions. It can be used in conjunction with other indicators to determine entry and exit points.
In essence, the synergy of these indicators provides a balanced, comprehensive approach to trading. Each indicator offers its unique lens into market conditions, and when they align, it can be a powerful indication of a trading opportunity. This combination not only reduces the potential drawbacks of each individual indicator but leverages their strengths, aiming for more consistent and informed trading decisions.
Backtesting and Default Settings
• This indicator has been optimized to be applied for 1 hour-charts. However, the underlying principles of this strategy are supply and demand in the financial markets and the strategy can be applied to all timeframes. Daytraders can use the 1min- or 5min charts, swing-traders can use the daily charts.
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The combination of the qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
• Default properties: RSI on (length 14, RSI buy level 50, sell level 50), EMA, RSI, MACD on, type of strategy pullback, SL/TP type: ATR (length 10, factor 3), trade direction both, quantity 5, take profit swing hl 5.1, highest / lowest lookback 2, enable ATR trail (ATR length 10, SL ATR multiplier 1.4, TP multiplier 2.1, lookback = 4, trade direction = both).
Bollinger Bands StrategyBollinger Bands Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the famous Bollinger Bands. These are constructed using a standard moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of past prices. The theory goes that 90% of the time, the price is contained between these two bands. If it were to break out, this would mean either a reversal or a continuation. However, when a reversal occurs, the movement is weak, whereas when a continuation occurs, the movement is substantial and profits can be interesting. We're going to use BB to take advantage of this strong upcoming movement, while managing our risks reasonably. There's also a money management method for reinvesting part of the profits or reducing the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
BOLLINGER BANDS :
The construction of Bollinger bands is straightforward. First, plot the SMA of the price, with a length specified by the user. Then calculate the standard deviation to measure price dispersion in relation to the mean, using this formula :
stdv = (((P1 - avg)^2 + (P2 - avg)^2 + ... + (Pn - avg)^2) / n)^1/2
To plot the two Bollinger bands, we then add a user-defined number of standard deviations to the initial SMA. The default is to add 2. The result is :
Upper_band = SMA + 2*stdv
Lower_band = SMA - 2*stdv
When the price leaves this channel defined by the bands, we obtain buy and sell signals.
PARAMETERS :
BB Length : This is the length of the Bollinger Bands, i.e. the length of the SMA used to plot the bands, and the length of the price series used to calculate the standard deviation. The default is 120.
Standard Deviation Multipler : adds or subtracts this number of times the standard deviation from the initial SMA. Default is 2.
SMA Exit Signal Length : Exit signals for winning and losing trades are triggered by another SMA. This parameter defines the length of this SMA. The default is 110.
Max Risk per trade (in %) : It's the maximum percentage the user can lose in one trade. The default is 6%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in 8h timeframe with the following parameters :
BB Length = 120
Standard Deviation Multipler = 2
SMA Exit Signal Length = 110
Max Risk per trade (in %) = 6%
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are simple:
If close > Upper_band it's a LONG signal
If close < Lower_band it's a SHORT signal
EXIT RULES :
If we are LONG and close < SMA_EXIT, position is closed
If we are SHORT and close > SMA_EXIT, the position is closed
Positions close automatically if they lose more than 6% to limit risk
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is subject to losses. We manage our risk using the exit SMA or using a SL sets to 6%. This SMA gives us exit signals when the price closes below or above, thus limiting losses. If the signal arrives too late, the position is closed after a loss of 6%.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the fixed ratio value, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 8h, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 51 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
[blackcat] L2 Fibonacci BandsThe concept of the Fibonacci Bands indicator was described by Suri Dudella in his book "Trade Chart Patterns Like the Pros" (Section 8.3, page 149). These bands are derived from Fibonacci expansions based on a fixed moving average, and they display potential areas of support and resistance. Traders can utilize the Fibonacci Bands indicator to identify key price levels and anticipate potential reversals in the market.
To calculate the Fibonacci Bands indicator, three Keltner Channels are applied. These channels help in determining the upper and lower boundaries of the bands. The default Fibonacci expansion levels used are 1.618, 2.618, and 4.236. These levels act as reference points for traders to identify significant areas of support and resistance.
When analyzing the price action, traders can focus on the extreme Fibonacci Bands, which are the upper and lower boundaries of the bands. If prices trade outside of the bands for a few bars and then return inside, it may indicate a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that the price has temporarily deviated from its usual range and could be due for a correction.
To enhance the accuracy of the Fibonacci Bands indicator, traders often use multiple time frames. By aligning short-term signals with the larger time frame scenario, traders can gain a better understanding of the overall market trend. It is generally advised to trade in the direction of the larger time frame to increase the probability of success.
In addition to identifying potential reversals, traders can also use the Fibonacci Bands indicator to determine entry and exit points. Short-term support and resistance levels can be derived from the bands, providing valuable insights for trade decision-making. These levels act as reference points for placing stop-loss orders or taking profits.
Another useful tool for analyzing the trend is the slope of the midband, which is the middle line of the Fibonacci Bands indicator. The midband's slope can indicate the strength and direction of the trend. Traders can monitor the slope to gain insights into the market's momentum and make informed trading decisions.
The Fibonacci Bands indicator is based on the concept of Fibonacci levels, which are support or resistance levels calculated using the Fibonacci sequence. The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical pattern that follows a specific formula. A central concept within the Fibonacci sequence is the Golden Ratio, represented by the numbers 1.618 and its inverse 0.618. These ratios have been found to occur frequently in nature, architecture, and art.
The Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci (1170-1250) is credited with introducing the Fibonacci sequence to the Western world. Fibonacci noticed that certain ratios could be calculated and that these ratios correspond to "divine ratios" found in various aspects of life. Traders have adopted these ratios in technical analysis to identify potential areas of support and resistance in financial markets.
In conclusion, the Fibonacci Bands indicator is a powerful tool for traders to identify potential reversals, determine entry and exit points, and analyze the overall trend. By combining the Fibonacci Bands with other technical indicators and using multiple time frames, traders can enhance their trading strategies and make more informed decisions in the market.
2Mars - MA / BB / SuperTrend
The 2Mars strategy is a trading approach that aims to improve trading efficiency by incorporating several simple order opening tactics. These tactics include moving average crossovers, Bollinger Bands, and SuperTrend.
Entering a Position with the 2Mars Strategy:
Moving Average Crossover: This method considers the crossing of moving averages as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Bollinger Bands: If the price crosses either the upper or lower Bollinger Band, it is seen as a signal to enter a position.
Price Crossing Moving Average: If the price crosses the moving average, it is also considered a signal to enter a position.
SuperTrend and Bars confirm:
The SuperTrend indicator is used to provide additional confirmation for entering positions and setting stop loss levels. "Bars confirm" is used only for entry to positions.
Moving Average Crossover Strategy:
A moving average crossover refers to the point on a chart where there is a crossover of the signal or fast moving average, above or below the basis or slow moving average. This strategy also uses moving averages for additional orders #3.
Basis Moving Average Length: Ratio * Multiplier
Signal Moving Average Length: Multiplier
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands consist of three bands: an upper band, a lower band, and a basis moving average. However, the 2Mars strategy incorporates multiple upper and lower levels for position entry and take profit.
Basis +/- StdDev * 0.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 1.618
Basis +/- StdDev * 2.618
Additional Orders:
Additional Order #1 and #2: closing price crosses above or below the Bollinger Bands.
Additional Order #3: closing price crosses above or below the basis or signal moving average.
Take Profit:
The strategy includes three levels for taking profits, which are based on the Bollinger Bands. Additionally, a percentage of the position can be chosen to close long or short positions.
Limit Orders:
The strategy allows for entering a position using a limit order. The calculation for the limit order involves the Average True Range (ATR) for a specific period.
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Multiplier
Stop Loss:
To manage risk, the strategy recommends using stop loss options. The stop loss is updated with each entry order and take-profit level 3. When using the SuperTrend Confirmation, the stop loss requires confirmation of a trend change. It allows for flexible adjustment of the stop loss when the trend changes.
There are three options for setting the stop loss:
1. ATR (Average True Range):
For long positions: Low price - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: High price + ATR * Short multiplier
2. SuperTrend + ATR:
For long positions: SuperTrend - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: SuperTrend + ATR * Short multiplier
3. StdDev:
For long positions: StdDev - ATR * Long multiplier
For short positions: StdDev + ATR * Short multiplier
Flexible Stop Loss:
There is also a flexible stop loss option for the ATR and StdDev methods. It is triggered when the SuperTrend or moving average trend changes unfavorably.
For long positions: Stop-loss price + (ATR * Long multiplier) * Multiplier
For short positions: Stop-loss price - (ATR * Short multiplier) * Multiplier
How configure:
Disable SuperTrend, take profit, stop loss, additional orders and begin setting up a strategy.
Pick soucre data
Number of bars for confirm
Pick up the ratio of the base moving average and the signal moving average.
Set up a SuperTrend
Time for set up of the Bollinger Bands and the take profit
And finaly set up of stop loss and limit orders
All done!
For OKX exchange:
t.me
RSI Box Strategy (pseudo- Grid Bot)This is a strategy intended primarily for algorithmic traders. It's a pseudo-grid bot that uses a dynamic, volume-weighted grid that only updates when the RSI meets certain conditions. It's also a breakout strategy, whereas normal grid bots are not (typical grid bots sell when a higher grid is reached, whereas this strategy sells when a lower grid is breached under specific conditions). This strategy also sells 100% of pyramiding orders on close.
In a nutshell, the strategy updates its grid to the volume-weighted highest/lowest values of your given source ("src" in the settings) each time that there is a RSI crossunder/crossover. From this range it produces an evenly-spaced grid of five lines, and uses the current source to determine which grid line is closest to the source. Then, if the source crosses over the line directly above the current line, it enters a buy order. If the source crosses under the line directly below the current line, it enters a sell order.
You can configure shorts, source, RSI length, and overbought/oversold levels in the settings.
For the strategy results below: fees are at 0.1% per trade, with order size 1% of equity and a max pyramiding value of 33. For a greater R/R profile, you can increase the order size, which will increase drawdown but potentially yield better results.
2Mars strategy [OKX]The strategy is based on the intersection of two moving averages, which requires adjusting the parameters (ratio and multiplier) for the moving average.
Basis MA length: multiplier * ratio
Signal MA length: multiplier
The SuperTrend indicator is used for additional confirmation of entry into a position.
Bollinger Bands and position reversal are used for take-profit.
About stop loss:
If activated, the stop loss price will be updated on every entry.
Basic setup:
Additional:
Alerts for OKX:
Keltner Channel Strategy with Golden CrossOnly trade with the trend.
This Keltner Channel-based strategy that will only enter into a trade if the signal of the Keltner Channel agrees with a moving average crossover as defined by the user.
Long Position Entries
2 Conditions must be present
1. There must be a Golden Cross (lower period moving average is above higher period moving average). ex 50 period MA > 200 period MA.
2. Price must cross above the Keltner Channel ATR defined by the user.
Short Position Entries
2 Conditions must be present
1. There must be a Death Cross (lower period moving average is below higher period moving average). ex 50 period MA < 200 period MA.
2. Price must cross below the Keltner Channel ATR defined by the user
Closing Trades:
The strategy closes trades as follows:
1. Price crossing the Keltner Channel's Take Profit ATR (defined by User)
2. Price crossing the Keltner Channel's Stop Loss ATR (defined by User)
IU Break of any session StrategyHow this script works:
1. This script is an intraday trading strategy script which buy and sell on the bases of user-defined intraday session range breakout and gives alert(if the alert is set) message too when the new position is open.
2. It calculate the session as per the user inputs or user defined custom session.
3. The script stores the highest and lowest value of the whole session.
4. It take a long position on the first break and close above the highest value.
5. It take a short position on the break and close below the lowest value.
6. The script takes one position in one day.
7. The stop loss for this script is the previous low(if long) or high(if short).
8. Take profit is 1:2 and it's adjustable.
9. This script work on every kind of market.
How The Useful For The User :
1. User can backtest any session range breakout he wants to trade.
2. User can get alert when the new position is open.
3. User can change the Risk to Reward in order to find the best Risk to Reward.
4. User can see the highest and lowest value of the session with respect to analyzing his trading objective.
5. This strategy script highlights which session range breakout performs best and which performs worst.
Nifty 50 5mint Strategy
The script defines a specific trading session based on user inputs. This session is specified by a time range (e.g., "1000-1510") and selected days of the week (e.g., Monday to Friday). This session definition is crucial for trading only during specific times.
Lookback and Breakout Conditions:
The script uses a lookback period and the highest high and lowest low values to determine potential breakout points. The lookback period is user-defined (default is 10 periods).
The script also uses Bollinger Bands (BB) to identify potential breakout conditions. Users can enable or disable BB crossover conditions. BB consists of an upper and lower band, with the basis.
Additionally, the script uses Dema (Double Exponential Moving Average) and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) . Users can enable or disable this condition.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
Buy conditions are met when the close price exceeds the highest high within the specified lookback period, Bollinger Bands conditions are satisfied, Dema-VWAP conditions are met, and the script is within the defined trading session.
Sell conditions are met when the close price falls below the lowest low within the lookback period, Bollinger Bands conditions are satisfied, Dema-VWAP conditions are met, and the script is within the defined trading session.
When either condition is met, it triggers a "long" or "short" position entry.
Trailing Stop Loss (TSL):
Users can choose between fixed points ( SL by points ) or trailing stop (Profit Trail).
For fixed points, users specify the number of points for the stop loss. A fixed stop loss is set at a certain distance from the entry price if a position is opened.
For Profit Trail, users can enable or disable this feature. If enabled, the script uses a "trail factor" (lookback period) to determine when to adjust the stop loss.
If the price moves in the direction of the trade and reaches a certain level (determined by the trail factor), the stop loss is adjusted, trailing behind the price to lock in profits.
If the close price falls below a certain level (lowest low within the trail factor(lookback)), and a position is open, the "long" position is closed (strategy.close("long")).
If the close price exceeds a certain level (highest high within the specified trail factor(lookback)), and a position is open, the "short" position is closed (strategy.close("short")).
Positions are also closed if they are open outside of the defined trading session.
Background Color:
The script changes the background color of the chart to indicate buy (green) and sell (red) signals, making it visually clear when the strategy conditions are met.
In summary, this script implements a breakout trading strategy with various customizable conditions, including Bollinger Bands, Dema-VWAP crossovers, and session-specific rules. It also includes options for setting stop losses and trailing stop losses to manage risk and lock in profits. The "trail factor" helps adjust trailing stops dynamically based on recent price movements. Positions are closed under certain conditions to manage risk and ensure compliance with the defined trading session.
CE=Buy, CE_SL=stoploss_buy, tCsl=Trailing Stop_buy.
PE=sell, PE_SL= stoploss_sell, tpsl=Trailing Stop_sell.
Remember that trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Exercise caution, manage risk diligently, and consider the advice of financial experts when using this script or any trading strategy.
Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
Ahsan Tufail Precise MA Crossover Filter for Reliable SignalsIntroduction:
In the ever-evolving world of Forex trading, strategies that provide a competitive edge are highly sought after. The Moving Average (MA) crossover technique is a popular long-term approach, but its vulnerability to false signals can lead to potential losses. To overcome this challenge, we introduce a game-changing MA crossover filter designed to weed out false signals and unlock the full potential of this strategy. In this article, we delve into the mechanics of this filter, providing a comprehensive analysis of its components and how it enhances the accuracy of buy and sell signals.
The Power of the MA Crossover Filter:
The essence of our MA crossover filter lies in the integration of a specialized indicator that operates on a scale of 0 to 100. This ingenious indicator dynamically measures the distance between the middle Bollinger band and either the upper or lower Bollinger band. By analyzing the values of the last 504 candlesticks, it maps the range from 50 to 100 for the largest and smallest distances between the middle and upper Bollinger bands. Similarly, for values ranging from 0 to 50, it measures the distance between the middle and lower Bollinger bands.
Unveiling the Signal Execution Process:
The brilliance of this filter is revealed in its meticulous execution of buy and sell signals, which significantly reduces false crossovers. Let's explore the process step-by-step:
Buy Signal Precision:
To initiate a buy signal, the price must be positioned above the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA).
The filter validates the crossover by checking the indicator's value, ensuring it falls below the threshold of 25.
Sell Signal Accuracy:
For a sell signal, the price must be below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA).
The filter confirms the crossover by verifying the indicator's value, which should exceed the threshold of 75.
This selective approach ensures that only high-confidence crossovers are considered, maximizing the potential for profitable trades.
Fine-Tuning the Filter for Optimal Performance:
While the MA crossover filter exhibits its prowess in GBPUSD and EURUSD currency pairs, it may require adjustments for other pairs. Currency pairs possess unique characteristics, and adapting the filter to specific behavior is crucial for its success.
To fine-tune the filter for alternative currency pairs, traders should conduct rigorous backtesting and analyze historical price data. By experimenting with indicator threshold values, traders can calibrate the filter to accurately match the dynamics of the target currency pair. This iterative process allows for customization, ultimately resulting in a finely-tuned filter that aligns with the unique behavior of the selected market.
Conclusion:
The MA crossover filter represents a paradigm shift in long-term Forex trading strategies. By intelligently filtering false signals, this precision tool unleashes the true potential of the MA crossover technique, elevating its profitability and enhancing overall trading performance. While no strategy guarantees absolute success, incorporating this filter empowers traders with a heightened level of confidence in their buy and sell signals. Embracing the power of this innovative filter can be a transformative step towards mastering Forex profits and staying ahead in the dynamic world of currency trading.
Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Strategy (Non-Repainting) Log ScaleIn the diverse world of trading strategies, the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Strategy offers a different approach. Grounded in mathematical analysis, this strategy utilizes the Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, a method traditionally employed for interpreting complex data patterns.
At the core of this strategy lies the concept of 'envelopes', which are essentially dynamic volatility bands formed around the price based on a custom Average True Range (ATR). These envelopes help provide guidance on potential market entry and exit points. The strategy suggests considering a buy when the price crosses the lower envelope and a sell when it crosses the upper envelope.
One distinctive characteristic of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Strategy is its use of a logarithmic scale, as opposed to a linear scale. The logarithmic scale can be advantageous when dealing with larger timeframes and assets with wide-ranging price movements.
The strategy is implemented using Pine Script v5, and includes several adjustable parameters such as the lookback window, relative weighting, and the regression start point, providing a level of flexibility.
However, it's important to maintain a balanced view. While the use of mathematical models like the Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression may provide insightful data analysis, no strategy can guarantee success. Thorough backtesting, understanding the mathematical principles involved, and sound risk management are always essential when applying any trading strategy.
The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope Strategy thus offers another tool for traders to consider. As with all strategies, its effectiveness will largely depend on the trader's understanding, application, and the specific market conditions.
Grid Strategy with MA0. Preface
Hello traders,
This is a strategy script that allows you to utilize a Grid Strategy using moving averages.
It is very simple, but I decided to post it because it was hard to find such shared open-source codes in Pine Script.
1. Main
This is a very simple trading method.
Based on the moving average line you set, if the price drops by a certain ATR (or percent) below it, you buy, and when it goes back up, you sell.
In basic settings, you choose the moving average line and its length, and decide how much to set the distance between each grid through the 'Band Multiplier/Percent' item.
I believe that it is advantageous to widen the bandwidth for stocks with strong upward momentum.
2. Conclusion
I have confirmed that this works better in the stock market than in the crypto market,
and that it is suitable for use on index stocks like NASDAQ because it follows trends.
In addition, through backtesting, I have confirmed that this grid strategy is more suitable for buying strategies than selling strategies, so I uploaded it as a strategy focused on buying strategies.
Personally, I have developed my own strategy by adjusting buying and selling strategies according to trends and managing risks.
I hope you can use this to create a script that suits you.
Thank you.
Powertrend - Volume Range Filter Strategy [wbburgin]The Powertrend is a range filter that is based off of volume, instead of price. This helps the range filter capture trends more accurately than a price-based range filter, because the range filter will update itself from changes in volume instead of changes in price. In certain scenarios this means that the Powertrend will be more profitable than a normal range filter.
Essentials of the Strategy
This is a breakout strategy which works best on trending assets with high volume and liquidity. It should be used on middle to higher timeframes and can be used on all assets that have volume provided by the data source (stocks, crypto, forex). It is long-only as of now. It can work on lower timeframes if you optimize the strategy filters to make less trades or if your exchange/broker is low/no fees, provided that your exchange/broker has high liquidity and volume.
The strategy enters a long position if the range filter is trending upwards and the price crosses over the upper range band, which signifies a price-volume breakout. The strategy closes the long position if the range filter is trending downwards and the price crosses under the lower range band, which signifies a breakdown. Both these conditions can be altered by the three filter options in the settings. The default trend filter is not alterable because it helps prevent false entries and exits that are against the trend.
Settings
The Length setting is the lookback period for the range smoothing.
The ADX Filter setting enables you to turn on an ADX filter, which will halt entries and exits unless the ADX of your customizable length is above a ADX VWMA of that length.
The Range Supertrend setting creates a supertrend from the top and bottom ranges, which can be used to filter entries and exits. The length is customizable. The filter can show you whether the range is making higher highs and lower lows. Below is an example of the Range Supertrend being used as a filter and plotted on-chart:
The VWMA setting halts entries if they are below a customizable length VWMA.
Both the Range Supertrend and the VWMA can also be plotted separately without actually filtering the strategy, so that you can use them independently if you wish. You can turn off the bar color, the highlighting, and the labels if you wish in the settings. A note about the bar color: if the color changes but the strategy does not signal an exit or entry this means that the crossover was against the trend. In these circumstances it may be indicative of a pullback to enter or exit or to add onto your position.
About the Strategy Results Below
A range filter is normally composed of two components - the range filter itself and a smoothing function. In the development of this script I tested both normal and volume-based varieties of the range filter and the smoothing function:
Tests Performed
Volume-based Range x VWMA smoothing
Price-based Range x VWMA smoothing
Price-based Range x EMA smoothing
Volume-based Range x EMA smoothing (final result)
The highest-performing was a volume-based range filter and a normal EMA-based smoothing function, but that does not mean that this strategy will be profitable - exits are based off of signal reversion so I strongly encourage you to develop your own take profits/stop losses for the strategy if you think it may be a good fit for you. The results below are with a commission value of 0.05% (because I built the strategy first for equities), slippage of 3, so if your exchange/broker has a higher fee schedule, I recommend adding filters and/or moving to higher timeframes for the strategy. Additionally, I used 10% of equity in each trade, while using the Range Supertrend filter (the previous upload was unrealistic because it used 100% of equity - missed a 0, apologies, and added in slippage).
BB and KC StrategyThis script is designed as a TradingView strategy that uses Bollinger Bands (BB) and Keltner Channels (KC) as the primary indicators for generating trade signals. It aims to catch potential market trends by comparing the movements of these two popular volatility measures.
Key aspects of this strategy:
1. **Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels:** Both are volatility-based indicators. The Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band (simple moving average) and two outer bands calculated based on standard deviation, which adjusts itself to market conditions. Keltner Channels are a set of bands placed above and below an exponential moving average of the price. The distance between the bands is calculated based on the Average True Range (ATR), a measure of price volatility.
2. **Entry Signals:** The strategy enters a long position when the upper KC line crosses above the upper BB line and the volume is above its moving average. Conversely, it enters a short position when the lower KC line crosses below the lower BB line and the volume is above its moving average.
3. **Exit Signals:** The strategy exits a position under two conditions. First, if the trade has been open for a certain number of bars defined by the user (default 20 bars). Second, a stop loss and trailing stop are in place to limit potential losses and lock in profits as the price moves favorably. The stop loss is set at a percentage of the entry price (default 1.5% for long and -1.5% for short), and the trailing stop is also a percentage of the entry price (default 2%).
4. **Trade Quantity:** The script allows specifying the investment amount for each trade, set to a default of 1000 currency units.
Remember, this is a strategy script, which means it is used for backtesting and not for real-time signals or live trading. It is also recommended that it is used as a tool to aid your trading, not as a standalone system. As with any strategy, it should be tested over different market conditions and used in conjunction with other aspects of technical and fundamental analysis to ensure robustness and effectiveness.
Master Supertrend Strategy [Trendoscope]Here is the strategy version of the indicator - Master Supertrend
Options and variations are same throughout.
🎲 Variations
Following variations are provided in the form of settings.
🎯 Range Type
Instead of ATR, different types of ranges can be used for stop calculation. Here is the complete list used in the script.
Plus/Minus Range* - Calculates plus range and minus range for each candle and uses them for different sides of stop calculation
Ladder ATR - Based on the existing concept of Ladder ATR defined in Supertrend-Ladder-ATR
True Range - True range derived from standard function ta.tr
Standard Deviation - Standard deviation of close prices
🎯 Applied Calculation
In standard ATR, rma of TR is used for calculations. But, the application calculation provides option to users to use different mechanisms. It can be a type of moving average or few other types of calculations.
Available values are
sma
ema
hma
rma
wma
high
median
🎯 Other options
Few other options provided are
Use Close Price - If selected stops are calculated based on the close price instead of high/low prices
Wait for Close If selected, change of supertrend direction is calculated based on close price instead of high/low prices
Diminishing Stop Distance - When selected, stop distance for the trend direction can only reduce and cannot increase. This option is useful for keeping the tight stops on strong trends.
🎯 Plus Minus Range*
One of the range type used is Plus/Minus Range. What it means and how are these ranges calculated? Let's have a look.
Plus Range is an upward movement of a candle from its last price or open price whichever is lower.
Minus Range is a downward movement of a candle from its last price or open price whichever is higher.
This divides True Range into two separate range for positive and negative side.
Note : Effectiveness on daily charts are quire visible. However, if you want to use it for lower timeframes, please play around with settings before settling on suitable configuration.
Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MA StrategyThe "Bollinger Bands, RSI and MA Strategy" is a trend-following strategy that combines the Bollinger Bands indicator, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and a moving average (MA). It aims to identify potential entry and exit points in the market based on price volatility, momentum, and trend.
The strategy uses two Bollinger Bands with different standard deviations to create price channels. The default settings for the Bollinger Bands are a length of 20 periods and a standard deviation of 2.0. The upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands serve as dynamic resistance and support levels, respectively.
The RSI indicator is employed to gauge the strength of price momentum.
The strategy also incorporates a 50-period moving average (MA) to help identify the overall trend direction. When the price is above the MA, it suggests an uptrend, and when the price is below the MA, it suggests a downtrend.
The entry conditions for long trades are when the RSI is above the overbought level and there is no contraction in the Bollinger Bands. For short trades, the entry conditions are when the RSI is below the oversold level and there is no contraction in the Bollinger Bands.
The exit conditions for long trades are when the RSI drops below the overbought level or when the price closes below the 50-period MA.
For short trades, the exit conditions are when the RSI goes above the oversold level or when the price closes above the 50-period MA.
The strategy generates alerts for potential long and short entry signals, as well as for exit signals when the specified conditions are met. These alerts can be used to receive notifications or take further actions, such as placing trades manually or using automated trading systems.
It is important to note that this strategy serves as a starting point and should be thoroughly backtested and validated with historical data before applying it to live trading. Additionally, it is recommended to consider risk management techniques, including setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels, to effectively manage trades.
Advanced Trend Detection StrategyThe Advanced Trend Detection Strategy is a sophisticated trading algorithm based on the indicator "Percent Levels From Previous Close".
This strategy is based on calculating the Pearson's correlation coefficient of logarithmic-scale linear regression channels across a range of lengths from 50 to 1000. It then selects the highest value to determine the length for the channel used in the strategy, as well as for the computation of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) that is incorporated into the strategy.
In this methodology, a script is applied to an equity in which multiple length inputs are taken into consideration. For each of these lengths, the slope, average, and intercept are calculated using logarithmic values. Deviation, the Pearson's correlation coefficient, and upper and lower deviations are also computed for each length.
The strategy then selects the length with the highest Pearson's correlation coefficient. This selected length is used in the channel of the strategy and also for the calculation of the SMA. The chosen length is ultimately the one that best fits the logarithmic regression line, as indicated by the highest Pearson's correlation coefficient.
In short, this strategy leverages the power of Pearson's correlation coefficient in a logarithmic scale linear regression framework to identify optimal trend channels across a broad range of lengths, assisting traders in making more informed decisions.
Bollinger Bands - Breakout StrategyThe Bollinger Bands - Breakout Strategy is a trend-following optimized for short-term trading in the crypto market. This strategy employs the Bollinger Bands, a widely recognized technical indicator, as its primary instrument for pinpointing potential trades. It is capable of executing both long and short positions, depending on whether the market is in a spot or futures, and is particularly effective in trending markets.
The strategy boasts a high degree of configurability, allowing users to set the Bollinger Bands period and deviation, trend filter, volatility filter, trade direction filter, rate of change filter, and date filter. Furthermore, it offers options for Take Profit, Stop Loss, and Trailing Stop for both long and short positions, ensuring a comprehensive risk management approach. The inclusion of a maximum intraday loss feature adds another layer of protection, making this strategy a valuable tool for traders seeking a professional and adaptable trading system.
Name : Bollinger Bands - Breakout Strategy
Category : Trend Follower based on Bollinger Bands
Operating mode : Long and Short on Futures or Long on Spot
Trade duration : Intraday
Timeframe : 2H, 3H, 4H, 5H
Market : Crypto
Suggested usage : Trending Markets
Entry : When the price crosses above or below the Bollinger Bands
Exit : Opposite Cross or Profit target, Trailing stop or Stop loss
Configuration :
- Bollinger Bands period and deviation
- Trend Filter
- Volatility Filter
- Trade direction filter
- Rate of Change filter
- Date Filter (for backtesting purposes)
- Take Profit, Stop Loss and Trailing Stop for long and short positions
- Risk Management: Max Intraday Loss
Backtesting :
⁃ Exchange: BINANCE
⁃ Pair: BTCUSDT.P
⁃ Timeframe: 4H
⁃ Fee: 0.025%
⁃ Slippage: 1
- Initial Capital: 10000 USDT
- Position sizing: 10% of Equity
- Start : 2019-09-19 (Out Of Sample from 2022-12-23)
- Bar magnifier: on
Credits :
- LucF of Pine Coders for f_security function to avoid repainting using security.
- QuantNomad for Monthly Table.
Disclaimer : Risk Management is crucial, so adjust stop loss to your comfort level. A tight stop loss can help minimise potential losses. Use at your own risk.
How you or we can improve? Source code is open so share your ideas!
Leave a comment and smash the boost button!
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Adaptive Price Channel StrategyThis strategy is an adaptive price channel strategy based on the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and the Average Directional Index (ADX). It aims to identify sideways markets and trends in the price movements and make trades accordingly.
The strategy uses a length parameter for the ATR and ADX indicators, which determines the length of the calculation for these indicators. The strategy also uses an ATR multiplier, which is multiplied by the ATR to determine the upper and lower bounds of the price channel.
The first step of the strategy is to calculate the highest high (HH) and lowest low (LL) over the specified length. The ATR is also calculated over the same length. Then the strategy calculates the positive directional indicator (+DI) and negative directional indicator (-DI) based on the up and down moves in the price, and uses these to calculate the ADX.
If the ADX is less than 25, the market is considered to be in a sideways phase. In this case, if the price closes above the upper bound of the price channel (HH - ATR multiplier * ATR), the strategy enters a long position, and if the price closes below the lower bound of the price channel (LL + ATR multiplier * ATR), the strategy enters a short position.
If the ADX is greater than or equal to 25 and the +DI is greater than the -DI, the market is considered to be in a bullish phase. In this case, if the price closes above the upper bound of the price channel, the strategy enters a long position. If the ADX is greater than or equal to 25 and the +DI is less than the -DI, the market is considered to be in a bearish phase. In this case, if the price closes below the lower bound of the price channel, the strategy enters a short position.
The strategy exits a position after a certain number of bars have passed since the entry, as specified by the exit_length input.
In summary, this strategy attempts to trade in accordance with the prevailing market conditions by identifying sideways markets and trends and making trades based on price movements within a dynamically-adjusted price channel.
This strategy takes a read on the market and either takes a channel strategy or trades volatility based on current trend. Works well on 2, 3 ,4, 12 hour for BTC. It’s my first attempt and creating a strategy. I am very interested in constructive criticism. I will look into better risk management, maybe a trailing stop loss. Other suggestions welcome. This is my first attempt at a strategy.
Here are the settings I used.
Inputs
Length 20
Exit 10
ATR 3.2
Dates I picked when I got into Crypto
Properties
Capital 1000
Order size 2 Contracts
Pyramiding 1
Commission .05
Volatility Range Breakout Strategy [wbburgin]The "Volatility Range Breakout Strategy" uses deviations of high-low volatility to determine bullish and bearish breakouts.
HOW IT WORKS
The volatility function uses the high-low range of a lookback period, divided by the average of that range, to determine the likelihood that price will break in a specific direction.
High and low ranges are determined by the relative volatility compared to the current closing price. The high range, for example, is the (volatility * close) added to the close, the low range is this value subtracted by the close.
A volatility-weighted moving average is taken of these high and low ranges to form high and low bands.
Finally, breakouts are identified once the price closes above or below these bands. An upwards breakout (bullish) occurs when the price breaks above the upper band, while a downwards breakout (bearish) occurs when the price breaks below the lower band. Positions can be closed either by when the price falls out of its current band ("Range Crossover" in settings under 'Exit Type') or when the price falls below or above the volatility MA (default because this allows us to catch trends for longer).
INPUTS/SETTINGS
The AVERAGE LENGTH is the period for the volatility MA and the weighted volatility bands.
The VOLATILITY LENGTH is how far the lookback should be for highs/lows for the volatility calculation.
Enjoy! Let me know if you have any questions.
Educational Strategy : TRIPLE DRAG-ON SYSTEM V.1The Triple Dragon System is a technical trading strategy that uses a combination of three different indicators to identify potential buy and sell signals in the market. The three indicators used in this strategy are the Extended Price Volume Trend (EPVT), the Donchian Channels, and the Parabolic SAR. Each of these indicators provides different types of information about the market, and by combining them, we can create a more comprehensive trading system.
The EPVT is used to identify potential trend changes and measure the strength of a trend. The Donchian Channels are used to identify the direction of the trend, while the Parabolic SAR is used to provide additional confirmation of trend changes and help determine potential entry and exit points.
In this strategy, we first use the EPVT and Donchian Channels to identify the direction of the trend. When the EPVT is above its baseline and the price is above the upper Donchian Channel, it suggests an uptrend. Conversely, when the EPVT is below its baseline and the price is below the lower Donchian Channel, it suggests a downtrend.
Once we have identified the trend direction, we use the Parabolic SAR to help determine potential entry and exit points. When the Parabolic SAR is below the price and flips to above the price, it suggests a potential buy signal. Conversely, when the Parabolic SAR is above the price and flips to below the price, it suggests a potential sell signal.
To further refine our trading signals, we use multiple timeframes to confirm the trend direction and ensure that we are not entering the market during a period of high volatility. We also use multiple take-profit levels to lock in profits and manage risk.
Overall, the Triple Dragon System is a comprehensive technical trading strategy that combines multiple indicators to provide clear entry and exit signals. By using a combination of trend-following and momentum indicators, we can identify potential trading opportunities while minimizing risk. Please note that this strategy is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice.
