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EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?Welcome to the FX:EURUSD Analysis Report! Wishing everyone a successful and prosperous trading day! Today, we will dive deep into the trends, key news, and technical outlook to gain a clearer perspective on the EUR/USD market. On the 1H chart, we can observe that EUR/USD is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, a potential signal for a bearish reversal. Currently, the price has reached the right shoulder region and is showing signs of weakness. If this pattern is confirmed, EUR/USD may decline towards the 1.0700 - 1.0600 zone, which serves as a crucial support area to watch. However, for the price to drop significantly, the market will require a strong catalyst, which will likely come from upcoming economic data releases. Key News Impacting EUR/USD: 1. Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Investors are closely monitoring new signals from the Federal Reserve (FED) regarding potential interest rate cuts. If the FED maintains a hawkish stance and keeps rates high, the USD could strengthen further, exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD. 2. Economic Data from the U.S. & Eurozone Reports such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) from the U.S. will play a crucial role in shaping USD movement. If these indicators show a strong U.S. economy, EUR/USD may face additional selling pressure. Meanwhile, if the European Central Bank (ECB) adopts a more dovish approach, implying less aggressive monetary tightening, the Euro could weaken further. 3. Market Sentiment & Geopolitical Risks If global uncertainties or geopolitical tensions escalate, investors may turn to the USD as a safe-haven asset, further dragging EUR/USD lower. Suggested Trading Strategies: Sell (SHORT) if price confirms a neckline break: Entry: 1.0800 - 1.0830 Stop Loss: 1.0870 Take Profit: 1.0700 - 1.0600 Do you think EUR/USD will continue to drop or find support for a rebound? Share your thoughts and let's discuss!
Short
by KarinaBella
XAUUSD: Selling strategy remains the top priority!Dear traders! Gold is licking its wounds below $2,900 early Tuesday after three consecutive days of seller dominance. The market now awaits key U.S. economic data releases to gain fresh trading momentum, with the JOLTS Job Openings report set to be released later on Tuesday, followed by the critical Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Wednesday. From a technical perspective, the downtrend remains in control, especially as the price continues to trade below the crucial $2,930 - $2,895 consolidation zone. At the same time, the 34.89 EMA is converging near this area, reinforcing it as a key resistance level. Therefore, we can continue to consider SELL opportunities if the price retests this resistance zone. Additionally, keep a close watch on the $2,880 support level, where gold could either rebound or break lower, extending its decline toward the lower boundary of the trend channel. Wishing you a successful trading session with great profits!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KarinaBella
GOLD → The calm before the NFP torm! What’s next?OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within the 2926 - 2894 range, signaling a pause after its recent strong uptrend. If a false support breakdown occurs, the market could quickly revert, especially amid signs of a recovering USD. However, a weaker dollar and expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift toward easing continue to support gold demand. Despite the temporary suspension of Trump’s tariff measures, the precious metal remains in focus as a safe-haven asset. Traders are now closely watching the NFP report, which could dictate the dollar’s future trajectory and influence Fed policy decisions. In the short term, attention will be on Initial Jobless Claims data, which may provide early signals about the U.S. labor market. Technical Outlook -Gold remains within the 2926 - 2894 range, potentially testing liquidity near the 2894 support zone. -An unfilled fair value gap (FVG) below 2894 could lead to a brief dip before a rebound. -Given the bullish long-term trend in gold and the ongoing dollar weakness, the probability of a price recovery remains high. In this scenario, gold may fake out a breakdown, grab liquidity near support, and then resume its broader uptrend. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher. Here’s what to watch for: Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up. Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500. Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well. Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What’s Next?OANDA:XAUUSD is consolidating within the 2926 - 2890 range. The overall market remains bullish, but there are signs of short-selling or pre-news selling ahead of the major economic data release scheduled for Wednesday. Accordingly, the market is eagerly awaiting U.S. inflation and employment data, which could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next move. Despite a weaker dollar and rising expectations of monetary easing, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains cautious, signaling a measured approach to policy adjustments. Meanwhile, gold demand remains strongly supported by China as the country ramps up its purchases. Additionally, growing concerns over stagflation in the U.S. further strengthen gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. However, traders are keeping a close watch on upcoming economic reports and the potential impact of China's tariffs on U.S. goods, which could introduce further market volatility. The key focus now is 2926, where price action is shaping a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. If price stabilizes above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish impulse, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. However, a major challenge remains—if the price accelerates too quickly toward resistance, the risk of a false breakout increases. In such a scenario, the market may pull back to 2890 to test liquidity zones, ensuring structural confirmation before making a legitimate move back toward 2926 and beyond. What are your thoughts on gold? Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Gold price today: Unexpected dropHello everyone ! Gold continues its downward trend today, following the decline since the beginning of the week, with prices currently hovering around $2,908. The primary reasons for this drop are the rising U.S. Treasury yields and profit-taking by investors. Right now, the market's attention is focused on the upcoming U.S. jobs report and non-farm payroll data, which could provide clues about the Federal Reserve’s (FED) monetary policy stance amid escalating global trade tensions. "Unless a new catalyst emerges, the current trend could push gold even lower. If the price breaks below $2,900, it may signal further declines toward $2,880, aligning with the lower boundary of the price channel". Happy trading and best of luck !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KarinaBella
6
GBP/USD: Buyers Remain in Strong Control!Dear friends! GBP/USD is showing a strong bullish trend across almost all timeframes, with the Super Trendline indicator acting as a solid support. Additionally, the breakout above the previous resistance level at 1.2815 has played a significant role in driving further buying momentum for this pair. As long as the price remains well-supported, GBP/USD is likely to soon conquer the previous resistance at 1.3050, establishing it as a strong support level for an even larger upward move.
Long
by KarinaBella
Opening (IRA): SOXL April 17th 14 Covered Call... for a 12.95 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV. Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -81 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 19 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 12.95/share Max Profit: 1.05 ROC at Max: 8.11% 50% Max: .53 ROC at 50% Max: 4.06% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
2
Gold purchase strategy continues to prioritize. Target 500 pips!Dear friends! Gold continues to trade negatively for the second consecutive day, despite a combination of factors still acting as key drivers ahead of the crucial U.S. NFP report at the end of this Friday. Rising trade tensions continue to put pressure on investor sentiment. As mentioned on the 1-hour chart, the daily chart for XAU/USD shows little change for the second consecutive day. However, at the same time, it also records lower highs and lower lows, shifting the risk bias to the downside. Nevertheless, the short-term picture indicates that buyers are struggling to maintain control, with the 34 EMA having reversed, increasing the risk for sellers. As a result, the downside potential remains limited, with dips likely to continue attracting buyers. Key short-term levels to consider: Support: 2,894 | 2,876 Resistance: 2,911 | 2,927
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_LinaScalping
GOLD → Consolidating around 2921 — Poised for a Breakout!OANDA:XAUUSD continues its upward trajectory amid rising economic risks and a weakening dollar. The metal is currently testing resistance at 2921 and appears poised for further gains. The U.S. dollar has broken its bullish structure, driven by comments from the U.S. Treasury regarding potential rate cuts. This intervention has significantly influenced market sentiment. Theoretically, gold is unlikely to decline further due to trade war risks and expectations of a dovish Fed policy. Additionally, weak ADP employment data and PMI figures could provide further bullish momentum for gold. Key levels to watch are 2913 and 2903, which have already been tested and tapped into liquidity zones. Now, all eyes are on 2927—if this level holds, gold could retreat back to the 2913-2903 support zone. However, a breakout above 2927 could fuel further upside, with the next targets at 2942-2956. Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Dear traders! Breaking out of the bullish channel has fueled an impressive rally in EUR/USD, with the pair currently trading around 1.0806 and showing no signs of slowing down from the bulls. In the short term, to maintain its upward momentum, EUR/USD must break through the key resistance level at 1.093. A successful breakout could extend its bullish journey. Conversely, if this resistance holds firm, selling pressure may increase, causing the price to reverse and trigger a corrective move against the current trend.
by KarinaBella
Gold update: the uptrend remains strong!Gold price is sitting at one-week highs near $2,930 early Thursday, consolidating a three-day recovery while aiming for a retest of lifetime highs of $2,956 ahead of mid-tier US economic data releases. As mentioned on the chart, the uptrend remains intact, with the 34.89 EMA acting as strong support and the parallel channel effectively protecting buyers. Therefore, gold is still considered a safe investment, with a high likelihood that the upper resistance level of the trend channel will soon be confirmed. What about you? What are your thoughts on gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KarinaBella
3
Gold price breakout – What’s Next?The XAU/USD 2-hour chart reveals an exciting breakout from the previous downtrend channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA continue to provide solid support, while buyers are holding firm within the consolidation zone. Two Key Scenarios Ahead: ✅ Case 1: If gold breaks out of this consolidation box, we could see a strong bullish continuation toward $2,950 - $2,970, and possibly even higher. ⚠️ Case 2: However, if price fails to sustain above this range, a retracement to $2,880 - $2,850 is on the table. With geopolitical tensions rising and economic uncertainty driving investors toward safe-haven assets, will gold break higher, or are we in for a deeper pullback? 📉📈 What’s your outlook on gold? Bullish or bearish? 🚀👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_LinaScalping
2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level | SPX Market Analysis 05 Mar 2025 We expected roller-coaster swings this week, and the market hasn’t disappointed. The price action feels oddly familiar, reminiscent of early 2022, when a failed all-time high attempt led to a slow, choppy bear market. Right now, the market is stuck at a key decision point—dithering at the lower range like it can’t decide whether to break down or bounce back up. ADD data leans slightly bullish, suggesting a possible range-bound chop with an upward bias, unless sellers take full control and push us into the February/March correction cycle. No need to guess—I’m hedged and ready for either outcome. The only thing left to do? Wait for the market to tip its hand. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The market is moving exactly as expected—lots of noise, little commitment, and price action that mirrors early 2022, just before the slow-motion bear market began. 📌 What’s Happening Right Now? Markets failed to make new highs and are now chopping near the range lows The last time we saw this structure? Early 2022 before a major shift downward Price is hesitating, signalling traders are waiting for a catalyst 📌 Two Possible Outcomes: 1️⃣ A Range Reversal (Bullish Scenario) ADD data suggests a short-term bullish bias A grinding, sideways move with an upward tilt is likely Ideal for small, quick trades—but no trend confirmation yet 2️⃣ The February-March Correction Cycle (Bearish Scenario) If support fails, sellers could accelerate the move lower Seasonal trends often bring a correction this time of year Watching for signs of a decisive breakdown 📌 How I’m Approaching This Market: ✅ Staying hedged so that a move in either direction is fine ✅ Being patient—waiting for a strong move before committing capital ✅ Avoiding impulse trades—letting the market tell me what’s next Traders who rush in too early this week could get chopped up in the indecision, while those who wait for a clear confirmation will be in the best position to capitalize. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day percentage drop in history wasn’t 2008—it was Black Monday in 1987, when the Dow crashed 22.6% in a single day. 💡 The Lesson? Markets can collapse out of nowhere, but structured traders with hedges and a system don’t panic—they profit.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
USDJPY: Consolidating below the uptrend channel!Dear Traders! Recently, USDJPY has made a strong breakout, completely exiting the uptrend and stabilizing below a new support level, as highlighted on the 1-hour chart. The pair is currently trading around 149.20. This stability above the new support is driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have boosted risk-off sentiment and increased demand for the U.S. Dollar as a safe-haven asset. However, expectations of a BoJ rate hike and concerns over a global trade war continue to support the Japanese Yen, keeping gains limited below the lower boundary of the previous uptrend channel.
Long
by Trader_LinaScalping
GOLD → Breaks 2881. Buyers are ready…OANDA:XAUUSD breaking through the resistance threshold of the downward trend and attempting to seek gains above the critical resistance zone of 2881. A consolidation before the breakout is forming relative to 2894, signaling potential growth on the dollar's correction foundation. Previously, Trump confirmed the possibility of imposing 25% tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering retaliatory measures and increasing the risk of U.S. recession. Declining PMI and Atlanta Fed's GDP led to a sell-off on Wall Street and increased demand for gold as a protective asset. Geopolitical tensions persist as Trump suspends military aid to Ukraine, sparking European discontent. Market focus will remain on the release of detailed U.S. monthly employment information - commonly known as the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday. This crucial data will impact both USD and gold metal. Technically, the price surpassing the 2881 resistance level divides the market into two planes. A consolidation before breakthrough is forming relative to 2895. The resistance breakthrough and price consolidation above 2895 could reinforce growth. The buyers' main focus is maintaining defensive positions above 2885 - 2895. In the context of increasing economic risks and declining dollar, gold has every opportunity to continue its growth following the local trend change. The targets in this scenario are 2915, 2921, 2929. Best regards, Bentradegold!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
Gold price today: Extend the momentum!Gold prices continued their upward momentum today, hovering around the $2,910 level. The last recorded trade for gold stood at $2,928 per ounce, marking a 270-pip increase compared to early yesterday morning. Accordingly, gold prices are currently experiencing strong impacts from USD fluctuations and US tariff policies. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump continues to raise concerns by threatening to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada. These factors could determine whether gold can reach the $3,000 per ounce mark or not. Currently, investors are awaiting the US payroll report, expected to be released at the end of this week. The report's results could influence the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve (FED). On the technical chart, the precious metal has broken out of the descending price channel and made adjustments to create new highs. Bullish factors are driven by the crucial support level at 2885 and the two EMA lines at 34 and 89. All expectations are focused on gold's long-term price appreciation because any signs of US economic slowdown will support calls for Fed rate cuts and provide support for OANDA:XAUUSD .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_LinaScalping
Gold price today: Strong rebound!Dear traders! At around 6 AM on March 4, the spot gold price stood at $2,894 per ounce, marking a $36 increase from the previous day's opening price of $2,858 per ounce. The primary reason for this rise is the increased risk aversion among investors, driving higher demand for safe-haven assets like gold amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, a heated exchange between U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised concerns that efforts to end the Ukraine-Russia military conflict could reach an impasse. Additionally, U.S. trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect today, March 4, sparking fears of potential financial market instability. This uncertainty has pushed many investors toward gold as a wealth preservation asset. Meanwhile, a sudden decline in the U.S. dollar has made gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. As a result, today's gold price outlook remains positive. Keep an eye on the $2,892 resistance level, as a breakout above this point could signal further upside momentum. What are your thoughts?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_LinaScalping
1
[03/03] SPY GEX Analysis (Until Friday Expiration)Overall Sentiment: Currently, there’s a positive GEX sentiment, suggesting an optimistic start to the week following Friday’s bounce. However, the key Call resistance appears at 600, and it may not break on the first attempt. If optimism remains strong, there’s a chance SPY 0.09%↑ could still push above that zone after some initial back-and-forth. 🟢Upside Levels: 600–605 Zone: This is a major resistance area. Should SPY move decisively through 600/605, the next potential target could be 610. 610: This is currently the largest positive GEX zone for the week. Current option pricing suggests only about a 9% chance of closing at or above 610 by Friday, so it might require a particularly strong move to break through. 🔵 Transition Zone: Roughly 592–599. The gamma flip level is near 592, and staying above that keeps the market in a positive gamma range for now. 🔴 Downside Risk: If 592 Fails (or HVL climbing up during the week, and after that HVL fails…): A drop could accelerate toward 585, which may act as the first take-profit zone for bears. Below that, 580 could be in play if selling intensifies. Lower Support: 575 is the last strong support mentioned, but current option probabilities suggest about an 88% chance of finishing above that level, making a move below 575 less likely—though still possible given the higher put skew. 🟣Volatility & Skew: IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is quite high on SPY, with a notable put pricing skew (around 173.1%). This heightened put skew indicates the market is pricing in faster, more volatile downward moves compared to upside.
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
1
Time to Prepare | $SPY Options Bull & Bear Week 1 March 2025AMEX:SPY Last week's AMEX:SPY $595 Put 3/10 ran for 66% from $480 up to $1,420. The last two weeks, the market has suffered a controlled pullback. So far it has been cautious selling rather than outright panic. While fear has entered the market, it has yet to reach capitulation, where there would be significantly more potential downside. The key level to watch long-term is the 200SMA on the daily chart, currently at $568.45. This level, which hasn't been tested in 16 months, could signal a Stage 4 selloff, a more aggressive and potentially prolonged downward trend. Here are this week's AMEX:SPY Options: (15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss) 📜 $580 PUT 3/17 Entry: Breakdown and failed retest of $584.50 Target 🎯 : $580, $574, $571 📜 $590 CALL 3/17 Confirmed breakout over $584.50 Target 🎯 : $590, $591.50, $594
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois