$XAG vs. $USD Rests At Bullish Entrenchment; Eyes 17.564 | $SLV

FX:XAGUSD   Silber / US-Dollar

Watch for potential rally into the 17.564/17.757 range per Geo's Off-Set Rule, as price defined a higher-low structure into the bullish entrenchment - See following chart:

Look for commodity-sensitive currencies, such as $AUD, $NZD, $CNH and correlated leaders such as $XAU, $XPT charts (posted earlier this week) for supportive hints in terms of similar directional biases.

Background geometry at play is the Geo , as implied by above Off-Set Rule, whereas the Predictive/Forecasting Model remains quiet at this time.


Bullish bias to 17.564/17.757 range as Geo=based targets.


David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA


David Alcindor

Kommentar: 30 JUN 2016 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:

As price finally rose to the 17.564/17.757 range, we are now looking at a potential reversal, given the following upper and lower risks - The upper value represents the most proximal value anticipated to hit first, whereas the lower value represents the target at reversal:

Invalidation should occur with the development of a bullish impulse pushing price steadily higher. In which case, a new analysis to the upside would be required.


David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
- Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter)
Kommentar: UPDATE - $XAGUSD - 13 JUL 2017:

All proximal targets have been hit as forecast this past summer 2016:


David Alcindor
Alias: 4xForecaster
Thanx for the update, im following this idea
14 OCT 2015 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:

As price continues its ascent, it crossed and validated the once-resistance-now support level corresponding to the Geo's Off-Set Rule #3 level. Bullish forecast remains in force and intact, although the Geo's Off-Set Rule completed its highest probability target. What remains should be considered a lesser probability outcome:

David Alcindor
+1 Antworten
JoeUrgo 4xForecaster
You've nailed this one thus far David, great work. Its fascinating to see the price remain seemingly tethered to the dashed line trajectory you outlined. Would you be so kind to take a look at a smaller timeframe such as the H1 or H4 level and share your thoughts on any key structural levels that are present?
+1 Antworten
Hello @JoeUrgo - Yes, price remains close to the dashed line for the most part - The line is speculative but relies on a probability pathway offered by the Predictive/Foecasting Model. This probability weakens with lower timeframes.
+2 Antworten
09 OCT 2015 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:

Price remains bullish. Per Geo's Offset rules, #2 is complete (highest probability attainment based on 5'' validation). Original target at price level of Point-4 is now a lower probability target ever since 5' was replaced by 5'' validation, as per the same rule. Still, price remains bullish:

David Alcindor
+3 Antworten
05 OCT 2015 - Twitter/LinkedIn Update:

$XAGUSD continues to move as forecast; Geo's Off-Set Rule #2 sets target at 17.5/17.7 range:

$XAG $SLV #silver

David Alcindor
+2 Antworten
02 OCT 2015 - Chart Update / Tech-Note:

Price remains close to dashed forecast; A break above 15.414 may break bulls free to loftier target:

David Alcindor
+3 Antworten
15 SEP 2015 - Chart Update: Hit Target

Just hit a minor structural target. Expecting some delay from this resistance. However, outlook remains bullish:

David Alcindor
+4 Antworten
17 SEP 2015 - Chart update:

Price remains committed to the upside, with a high-probability attainment of price level corresponding to Point-3 (Geo's Off-Set Rule #3) as expected. Going forward, the 1-3 Line is likely to act as a springboard for further advance, as shown:

David Alcindor
+2 Antworten
4xForecaster 4xForecaster
17 SEP 2015 - Tech-Note:

As you know by now, I would rather offer the highest-probability secenario, even if this means much smaller gains that ones that could be promised, but undelivered from lesser probability scenarios. In the context of this chart, the price level of Point-3 represents the highest -probability scenario, whereas any other advance would have to prove itself in deed.

The one provable deed I would like to see is a retracement from the first RED target (small red square along the lower border of the Point-3 range, defined as 15.274) in a corrective pattern in Elliott Wave terms, as it would represent a coiling pattern preparing for a larger-degree of impulse, as well as a validation of price along the 1-3 Line.

An EARLY INVALIDATION of this can be expected IF price retrenches from the Point-3 level to a level that exceeds the origin of the impulse bars (the three most recent bars are what constitute the impulse, with an origin that stems approximately from the 3-5' Line.

I hope I have kept this clear.

+4 Antworten
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