$NKE | Seasonal Reversal Cycle Loading…

🧭 NKE | Seasonal Reversal Cycle Loading…

NKE has historically shown strong Q4–Q1 recoveries following multi-quarter downtrends — a pattern tied to consumer rotation and holiday-season demand.
Current structure shows a breakout from the 2-year falling channel, with the next cyclical wave aiming toward $164 resistance.

🟢 Bullish Case:

Breakout + retest of the 0.786 Fib zone

Seasonality aligns with Nike’s strongest sales quarter (Oct–Feb)

Long accumulation zone between $68–$75 acting as springboard

🔴 Bearish Risk:

Failure to hold above $68–$70 channel midpoint could revisit $56–$60

EPS weakness or margin compression could delay recovery

📅 Historical pattern:
Past 5 years → avg. +14–18% return from Oct–Jan
Trend suggests cyclical rally ahead if retail sentiment holds.

🎯 Targets:

Short-term: $92–$108

Mid-term: $135

Long-term cyclical magnet: $164

#NKE #Seasonality #VolanX #AITrading #WaverVanir