DAX30-GER30 has been trading within a Complex Corrective Structure, Primary 4 (blue), as per the previously posted “GER30-DAX – SELL Set-Ups – Stock Exchange Crash” back in May 12, 2017.
On July 26, 2017 we posted the Trend Reversal from the 12000.004r5 Levels, as per the “DAX30 – Stock Exchange Crash – Full Cycle” analysis.
So far so good, we received excellent feedback from some profitable LEWA Members.
August 18, 2017 was the day when we posted the Inverted Head & Shoulders, as per the “DAX-GER30 – Bullish Retracement – Minor C” analysis.
Unfortunately, due to the fake break-out within Minor B (turquoise), our posted trade was stopped at break-even which gave us difficulties in figuring out the actual Structure. Some traders were out as well at break-even, while others took the loss due to the SL being hit. However, some remained Bullish and in the trade, which means that they are actually preparing to take a good profit on that insight.
Daily Chart (picture):
Daily Interactive Chart:
We are under the impression that DAX30-GER30 still has one more Bearish Leg to the downside, as per the Intermediate (C) (purple) (see chart) and that the current Swing to the up-side is limited at these stages. Even if the current Bullish Swing would be heading towards 13300.00 Levels, it would still need to retrace 50-61.8% before continuing higher. The reason behind this is mainly because the Corrective Structure would need to subdivide into Intermediate and Minor degrees in order to be considered as complete.
• Minor A (turquoise) commenced a 5 Swings Sequence to the up-side, limited at the previous Vibration Levels located at the Minute IV (red). • Minor B (turquoise) is showing a Fake Break-Out and a Bear Trap, caused by the Complex WXY (red) Double Three Structure. • Minor C (turquoise) is preparing to finalize its 5 Swings Structure, with a Bearish Divergence around the corner.
DAX30-GER30 – Minor C (turquoise) - Wave Analysis:
• Minute i (green) stopped at the upper Channel Trend-Line, showing a 5 Swings Sequence and determining the current Up-Trend. • Minute ii (green) Retraced 50% of Minute i (green), forming a Running Flat Structure. • Minute iii (green) breached through the Down-Trend Channel, stopping at the 100% Fibonacci Extensions of Minutes i & ii (green). • Minute iv (green) pulled back with a limitation of 38.2% Fibonacci Retracements of Minute iii (green). • Minute v (green) is forming a Bearish Divergence with its last Bullish moves, indicating the end of the entire Minor C (turquoise).
Fibonacci Measurements & Projections:
• Intermediate (B) (purple) is expected to end at the 61.8& Fibonacci Extensions of Intermediate (A) (purple). • Minor C (turquoise) would be expected to finalize at or around the 161.8% Fibonacci Extensions of Minutes i & ii (green), also the 100% Fibonacci Extensions of Minutes iii & iv (green).
• When in the green, moving SL to break-even or in profit. • If Conservative, waiting for Bearish Divergence confirmation. • If very Conservative, waiting for a Bearish Breach of the pink trend-line and looking for a Flag Formation.
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