range fill expected if lower band vwap are broken through

20. Nov.

another expression of eurgbp short trade due to correlation

Risk on, war news profit taking --> chf to weaken

various chf pairs rebounded/on major supp after war news

gbp less affected by usd news compared to euro due to less beta, euro profit taking or new joiners of eu shorts make gbp more attractive than eu.

catalyst: potential hawkishp print from U.K.’s October Employment Report

lower band vwap if broken through can long to range fill

long from lower side of bb, if regime no change, mean reversion to prosper

etc

What do you think?

20. Nov.

Anmerkung

correction: **gbp is higher beta and more volatility and have more ties with US so affect by US more in terms of volatility

didn't proofread as was managing trade

20. Nov.

Trade ist aktiv

22. Nov.

Anmerkung

cpi came in hot, gbp rallied and touched upper band, then risk off happened (fresh war news), vix spiked, s&p crashed for one day, gold rallied, chf to rally

23. Nov.

Anmerkung

cpi news hot 30 pips, then war news introductory,

eurgbp short ran more due to risk off trade

risk on trade gbpchf will ran more

fundamentals are very important for regime change!

23. Nov.

Anmerkung

scope changed back to interest rate focus after gold streak for many green days as can be seen from gbpchf and eurchf bounce, snb may be intervening