OwensAssetFund

$EURUSD Breakout or Breakdown!

Long
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OANDA:EURUSD   Euro / US-Dollar
9
The EUR/USD has opened this week’s trading just under monthly highs found at 1.0774. Technically this point remains significant as the EUR/USD is again trending higher in the short term. If the pair successfully rallies above this point, traders may then look for a bullish breakout to carry the EUR/USD towards 1.0829 and then 1.0854. A move above 1.0854 would suggest a longer term trend change, as the EUR/USD would be trading back above its 200 day MVA (simple moving average) for the first since October 2016.

However in the event that the EUR/USD turns lower this week, traders should first look for the pair to first challenge its 10 day EMA (exponential moving average) at 1.0700. This line is currently acting as a value of support, and a bearish breakout here would suggest a change in short term momentum for the pair. A broader bearish decline may expose other values of support, which includes the March 14th low at 1.0600 and the March 9th swing low at 1.0525.
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