Is the Dow finally going down?

Von elliott77

Aktualisiert

This looks like a head and shoulders pattern to me but we shall see. BTC following...prepare for a big drop IMO

Anmerkung

Here is an updated projection on time, target, and future path. I hardly ever get the timing right. Let's see

Anmerkung

Moving the lines...idea still stands for the time being

Anmerkung

Still my thoughts unless it busts out of the pattern which is still in tact for the time being

Anmerkung

Well we all knew it wouldn't go down without a fight ...the struggle is real.

Anmerkung

Here is a prediction...we shall see

Anmerkung

Sure seems like a BTC to Dow correlation today...BTC can't rise when the Dow is dropping. In fact BTC drops when the Dow drops. When the Dow stabilizes, BTC rises. hmm... Hypothesis - BTC can't rise when the Dow drops. We should get some relief tomorrow I'm guessing or maybe even a rise at the end of today to send BTC upward after hours. BTC rises fast however to make up for lost time which should be noted as it wants to go up IMO. I suppose we should see what futures are at 7pm EST and what BTC does thereafter. Just thoughts OK. You don't have to agree

Anmerkung

After some thought I think the the Dow will start to stabilize for the next week or so before a big drop may occur. Time to make some money? Smart money knows and who knows maybe Russian doesn't invade and somehow the market rebounds at the 32.75k level. I personally think they will invade but one never knows. We shall see

Anmerkung

more down for today IMO

Anmerkung

Small bouncing incoming ...it will be interesting how this plays out. I don't want to hone in too much on the Russia situation but at the same time it would foolish to overlook how it would affect the market given the current pattern.

Anmerkung

Is the Dow about to spring up?

Anmerkung

Will it be a little up and sideways today or will the descent begin? Let's see

Anmerkung

I wonder how long 34k will hold and when Putin will invade?

Anmerkung

Looks like a descending channel down unless somehow 34k can be broken (now resistance area) which doesn't look good IMO

Anmerkung

Is a rebound in the cards for today?

Anmerkung

Still inside the descending channel ...will it break out of it?

Anmerkung

Is DJI headed to the 32.65k area? If so what will happen when it gets there? Will we see a big drop or a rebound? There's a war going on right ...wait I mean peacekeeping tanks have pulled in so no not yet (sigh). Will the market just keep sliding down or will it shrug of the the geopolitics and start a new road upward? Inflation...interest rate hikes in March...thoughts?

Anmerkung

I'm not quite sure where we are going to head from here but here is a thought...in other words we aren't likely going straight down as the market is oversold right now IMO.

Anmerkung

Here is an idea...things are muddy to me at the moment to be honest. I'm just a spectator for now.

Anmerkung

This needs time to develop

Anmerkung

Let's just say a slow decline until the Fed March 15-16th meeting regarding interest rates...only after then can we really know where the market is going to go IMO. Good luck

Anmerkung

Is the Dow stabilizing?

Anmerkung

If it is going down sooner than later...we shall see

Anmerkung

A similar but slightly different idea...

Anmerkung

Lining up with the Fed meeting on interest rates...

Anmerkung

My thoughts ...we shall see

Anmerkung

another thought ...

Anmerkung

maybe DJI will go sideways for a bit before heading down in a few months?...an idea I have posted before. Just watching this week

Anmerkung

My current thoughts...

Anmerkung

I don't want to be close minded but also open to a reverse situation. This just needs time to play out IMO

Anmerkung

back to the bear flag idea ... let's see on Monday

Anmerkung

I've been away so I could not update. Here is my current thought. I am not sure exactly what will happen...maybe more sideways action for a few months before heading down? I probably won't be updating very often unless it starts heading down consecutive days in a row as I am showing here. Good luck

Anmerkung

I wanted to add a bullish scenario...

Anmerkung

Maybe far fetched...just a thought

Trade wurde manuell geschlossen

I'm closing this idea since it didn't reach its target...here is my last thought. Good luck to you all.

Anmerkung

been away...here is my current idea which is quite different than my previous ones

Anmerkung

Fed news on Friday caused a dump...I should I have kept my bearish path alive.

Anmerkung

We shall see...

Anmerkung

Well I didn't expect DJI to head down so quickly after touching the neckline but here comes 33.1k area. Will it recover from this area? Let's see

Anmerkung

wow ...

Anmerkung

I expanded my diamond pattern. Perhaps I should let go of the idea but I just can't for now. My instinct says DJI may recover and thus the pattern would stay alive and remain plausible. Good luck to you all.

Anmerkung

Yeah no diamond... here is what I see now. Good luck to you all

Anmerkung

the dates will change but this is the idea...will it move to the target faster or slower. This is what needs to be monitored...

Anmerkung

down a bit more ...let's see

Anmerkung

no up...it headed to its target

Anmerkung

I caught this last Friday ...didn't have time to update

Anmerkung

Big drop coming IMO...let's see

Anmerkung

the crash is coming ...we always go above the neckline here. Its overextended as one would expect ...wait for it

Anmerkung

Just my thoughts...

Anmerkung

I'm turning bullish with caution...

Anmerkung

well it just doesn't seem to want to come down...maybe it won't.

Anmerkung

updated ...

Anmerkung

I keep going back and forth between a larger drop and a smaller one ...at the moment I am thinking a deeper drop is in the cards

Anmerkung

even down a little further I think ...

Anmerkung

If and when 32,550 area is broken downward...selling will accelerate to the target IMO ..only .75% to get there...let's see if it can hold for today but I suspect tomorrow or Friday it will not

Anmerkung

Can DJI hold this level? perhaps ...let's see

Anmerkung

If DJI can hold I would expect something like this maybe until the end of the month but we shall see

Anmerkung

It looks like its holding...finally up for a bit

Anmerkung

my thoughts currently until things evolve...

Anmerkung

shaping up into something ...maybe a consolidation pattern?

Anmerkung

Look like DJI is headed to 30.5k IMO ..let's see

Anmerkung

up for a month or so IMO but we shall see

Anmerkung

lol didn't see last hour of market close ...back to down

Anmerkung

DJI finally reached my trend line! Ugh took forever. I see up now for BTC and DJI..maybe even long term but we shall see. I doubt a quick recovery but you never know. Take care!

Trade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht

I won't be updating DJI anymore... barring a huge breakdown, I expect the trend line to resume an uptrend until next year sometime. Good luck to you all

elliott77

Haftungsausschluss

Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.