BITCOIN - Current situation & short term key points
November is historically the best performing month for Bitcoin. We’re 8 days in and already over 8% in the green. After closing above $13,000 for the first time since 2017, we’ve been in a very strong uptrend. Bitcoin market cap dominance over altcoins has risen from 59% to 64%+ since September, indicating bullish sentiment as people are converting their altcoins into Bitcoin.
In this situation there truly is not much stopping us from testing the 2017 all time high of 20k.
Not only that: the market in general has been positively going up recently. The dollar value has also been in a downtrend (when the Dollar goes down, bitcoin price usually goes up). I think this is a point that few people think about. Especially when considering 70% of Bitcoin trading is done through USD. 2nd place is the Japanese Yen at 20% (although it was over 50% a few years ago).
However even with this strong upside action, Google trends is showing that mainstream attention is nowhere near as high as it was in 2017. It is probably safe to say that we haven’t reached hysteric FOMO(fear of missing out) yet. This could mean that we still have a lot of room for growth.
---Short term price action---
After Thursday’s strong 10% leap up, we saw a Doji close and a slight bearish divergence in the RSI, signaling a possible break and downside action, which did happen. I myself took some profits around 15.6k, and am expecting a few more possible days of downward correction. For now I am looking at two zones for re-enter - 14k psychological even point, as well as ~13.4k which is the .618 fibonacci level from the 2017 high of 20k and a previous resistance.
The dollar currency index is currently at a crucial support - I am waiting to see if it bounces back up or continues down. It will be interesting to see how the market and currencies continue to react to the election and everything going on.
In this situation there truly is not much stopping us from testing the 2017 all time high of 20k.
Not only that: the market in general has been positively going up recently. The dollar value has also been in a downtrend (when the Dollar goes down, bitcoin price usually goes up). I think this is a point that few people think about. Especially when considering 70% of Bitcoin trading is done through USD. 2nd place is the Japanese Yen at 20% (although it was over 50% a few years ago).
However even with this strong upside action, Google trends is showing that mainstream attention is nowhere near as high as it was in 2017. It is probably safe to say that we haven’t reached hysteric FOMO(fear of missing out) yet. This could mean that we still have a lot of room for growth.
---Short term price action---
After Thursday’s strong 10% leap up, we saw a Doji close and a slight bearish divergence in the RSI, signaling a possible break and downside action, which did happen. I myself took some profits around 15.6k, and am expecting a few more possible days of downward correction. For now I am looking at two zones for re-enter - 14k psychological even point, as well as ~13.4k which is the .618 fibonacci level from the 2017 high of 20k and a previous resistance.
The dollar currency index is currently at a crucial support - I am waiting to see if it bounces back up or continues down. It will be interesting to see how the market and currencies continue to react to the election and everything going on.
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