Hey traders,
✅ Altcoin Season Index
Currently at 47, a neutral zone — not yet favoring altcoins
True altseason usually begins when the index rises above 75, showing consistent altcoin outperformance
Historically, transitions from this level to full altseason take around 1–3 months, assuming BTC dominance declines
✅ Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
BTC dominance is rebounding from strong support near 61%, now around 62.25%
As long as Bitcoin holds dominance, capital remains concentrated, delaying altcoin rallies
If BTC dominance tops out near current levels and begins trending lower, it could trigger broad altcoin strength
✅ Macro Insight: Fed & Liquidity Outlook
Based on current macro conditions, I anticipate that the Federal Reserve may introduce rate cuts as early as September
A rate cut would inject more liquidity into markets, increase risk appetite, and historically benefit altcoins more than BTC
This potential shift in monetary policy aligns well with the technical setup for altseason acceleration
🧠 My Timeline Projection
If BTC dominance reverses within the next few weeks, altseason could begin around September–October 2025
If dominance remains strong or climbs above 63–64%, the shift may be delayed into late Q4 2025
📌 Final Thoughts
Altseason isn’t here yet, but multiple signals are aligning: a mid-level index, a possible BTC dominance top, and a favorable macro window.
Share your thoughts in the comments box.
✅ Altcoin Season Index
Currently at 47, a neutral zone — not yet favoring altcoins
True altseason usually begins when the index rises above 75, showing consistent altcoin outperformance
Historically, transitions from this level to full altseason take around 1–3 months, assuming BTC dominance declines
✅ Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
BTC dominance is rebounding from strong support near 61%, now around 62.25%
As long as Bitcoin holds dominance, capital remains concentrated, delaying altcoin rallies
If BTC dominance tops out near current levels and begins trending lower, it could trigger broad altcoin strength
✅ Macro Insight: Fed & Liquidity Outlook
Based on current macro conditions, I anticipate that the Federal Reserve may introduce rate cuts as early as September
A rate cut would inject more liquidity into markets, increase risk appetite, and historically benefit altcoins more than BTC
This potential shift in monetary policy aligns well with the technical setup for altseason acceleration
🧠 My Timeline Projection
If BTC dominance reverses within the next few weeks, altseason could begin around September–October 2025
If dominance remains strong or climbs above 63–64%, the shift may be delayed into late Q4 2025
📌 Final Thoughts
Altseason isn’t here yet, but multiple signals are aligning: a mid-level index, a possible BTC dominance top, and a favorable macro window.
Share your thoughts in the comments box.
Haftungsausschluss
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Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.