Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
Volatility Stop
BTFD strategy [3min]Hello
I would like to introduce a very simple strategy to buy lows and sell with minimal profit
This strategy works very well in the markets when there is no clear trend and in other words, the trend going sideways
this strategy works very well for stable financial markets like spx500, nasdaq100 and dow jones 30
two indicators were used to determine the best time to enter the market:
volume + rsi values
volume is usually the number of stocks or contracts traded over a certain period of time. Thus, it is an important indicator of market activity and liquidity. Each transaction constitutes an individual exchange between the buyer and the seller and constitutes the trading volume of a given instrument or asset.
The RSI measures the strength of uptrends versus downtrends. The signal is the entry or exit of the indicator value of the oversold or overbought level of the market. It is assumed that a value below or equal 30 indicates an oversold level of the market, and an RSI value above or equal 70 indicates an overbought level.
the strategy uses a maximum of 5 market entries after each candle that meets the condition
uses 5 target point levels to close the position:
tp1= 0.4%
tp2= 0.6%
tp3= 0.8%
tp4= 1.0%
tp5= 1.2%
after reaching a given profit value, a piece of the position is cut off gradually, where tp5 closes 100% of the remaining position
each time you enter a position, a stop loss of 5.0% is set, which is quite a high value, however, when buying each, sometimes very active downward price movement, you need a lot of space for market decisions in which direction it wants to go
to determine the level of stop loss and target point I used a piece of code by RafaelZioni , here is the script from which a piece of code was taken
this strategy is used for automation, however, I would recommend brokers that have the lowest commission values when opening and closing positions, because the strategy generates very high commission costs
Enjoy and trade safe ;)
I11L - Risk Adjusted LeveragingThis trading system, called "I11L - Risk Adjusted Leveraging", is designed to manage trades based on the current market volatility relative to its historical average. The system calculates the target number of open trades based on the ATR (Average True Range) indicator and adjusts the leverage accordingly. The system opens and closes trades using a pyramiding approach, allowing multiple positions to be opened at the same time.
Here's a step-by-step explanation of the system:
1. Calculate the ATR with a 14-day period and normalize it by dividing it by the current closing price.
2. Calculate the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) of the normalized ATR.
3. Calculate the ratio of the normalized ATR to its 100-day SMA.
4. Determine the target leverage based on the inverse of the ratio (2 / ratio).
5. Calculate the target number of open trades by multiplying the target leverage by 5.
6. Plot the target number of open trades and the current number of open trades on the chart.
7. Check if there's an opportunity to buy (if the current number of open trades is less than the target) or close a trade (if the current number of open trades is more than the target plus 1).
8. If there's an opportunity to buy, open a long trade and add the trade's name to the openTrades array.
9. If there's an opportunity to close a trade and there are trades in the openTrades array, close the most recent trade by referencing the array and remove it from the array.
This system aims to capture trends in the market by dynamically adjusting the number of open trades and leverage based on the market's volatility. It uses an array to keep track of open trades, allowing for better control over the opening and closing of individual trades.
Volatility Stop with Vwap StrategyFirst the credits goes to @TradingView for their release of the volatility stop mtf indicator.
I have took it, and inside I have added a weekly vwap for a better trend direction and at the same time I have added a dynamic risk managment which is calculated from the distance between the volatility line to the close of the candle.
The rules for entry are simple:
For long:We enter when our close of the candle is above the volatility stop line and at the same time the close of the candle is above weekly vwap
For short we enter when our close of the candle is below the volatility stop line and at the same time the close of the candle is below weekly vwap.
We exit when we either have a reverse signal than the one we enterred, or based on the TP/SL which is calculated with the distance from vwap to the close of the candle.
If you have any questions please let me know !
CRYPTO 3EMA Strategy with Take Profit & Stop Loss based on ATRSimple 3 EMA Strategy with plotted Take Profit and Stop Loss
Entry condition:
- Middle EMA cross above the Slow EMA
- Set take profit and stop loss exit conditions based on ATR Indicator
Exit condition:
- Fast EMA cross below the Middle EMA
MACD 50x Leveraged Strategy Real Equity Simulation Hello, I wrote this script to merge the two scripts I shared before.
The aim here is to see the real value of the state of the capital as a result of leveraged transactions and to combine both long and short directions.
Scripts :
MACD Long 50x Leverage Strategy :
MACD Short 50x Leverage Strategy :
The parameters have not changed so they are the same as the previous two scripts:
Adding margin: Forbidden or not specified. (Add Margin : No)
Position Size : %1 (0.01) (For each trade)
Stop-Loss : %2 (For each trade)
Long : Crossover(delta,0) (Standard MACD)
Long Exit : Long Stop Level or Short Entry
(In the case of Long Stop, all trades are closed and no positions are opened in short direction.)
Short : Crossunder(delta,0) (Standard MACD)
Short Exit : Short Stop or Long Entry
(In the case of Short Stop, all trades are closed and no positions are opened in the long direction.)
NOTE :
This is a simulation made using standard parameters, showing the state of the balance in very simple rules with leveraged transactions only.
The nice thing here is the direct observation of the results by making modifications on the strategy parameters.
Regards.
Wilder's Volatility Trailing Stop Strategy with various MA'sFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets. This strategy is based on Wilder's Volatility System. It is an ATR trailing stop that is used for long term trends. This strategy focuses on the trailing stop alone and goes long and short only when it goes above or below the trailing line. It is similar to Donchian channels except it does not include the certain period channel breakout, only the trailing signal. This is only the trailing stop and an attempt to show how well it works standalone as Wilder described.
In his book, Wilder recommends a multiplier of 2.8-3.1 and an ATR lookback of 7 periods along with a running moving average or otherwise known as Wilder's moving average. The calculation and programming part for the trailing stop varies everywhere. I opted to keep it as simple and accurate as I could think of and interpret from the book. The variations to these types of indicators are numerous unfortunately, but Wilder seems to be the original author of ATR and this ATR-based trailing stop. In his book he says to use the significant closing price or highest/lowest closing price for the calculation part but I also included the option of choosing the highest high and lowest low, and the option to choose various moving averages in case anyone wants to experiment.
Comparing this and Donchian channels, it seems that a 2.5 multiplier is somewhat similar to the middle band of DCs and a 3.0 multiplier is somewhat similar to a double length middle band of DCs. It's hard to say which is the better trailing stop for a long term strategy. It's hard to beat the simplicity of DCs but maybe some might find a need for more inputs in a trailing stop or maybe an ATR based one like Wilder's can work better depending on what setting or strategy it's used in.
Buurmans TutorialA little Script as part of a Tutorial using Monday as entries and Friday as exits/shorts, with option to Long-Only and a rudimentary Stoploss.
outlined in detail here
can't find a better fitting Category, so bear with me
Trailing SL Strategy [QuantNomad]I'm a big fan of simple strategies.
This one is a very simple one. So it consists only from one Trailing SL. When SL is hit, the position is reversed and SL is tracked for a new position.
You can choose one of 3 types of SL:
% of your price
ATR - it is calculated as current ATR * multiplier
Absolute
As you can see even this simple strategy can show pretty good results.
BEST Trailing Stop StrategyHello traders
Here we go again.... with the second strategy snippet.
Reminder: the first snipper was a Trailing Profit strategy script
What's on the menu?
A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor.
The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount.
Trigger me I'm famous
I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop once a certain % move has been made.
On the screenshot below, the SL trigger is plotted in maroon.
Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the trailing stop level.
In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to trail the stop for at least not losing any more
All the BEST
Dave
Lancelot vstop intraday trending strategyDear all,
Free strategy again.
I found using 3 volatility stop with different settings could be very helpful when trading an intraday trending market.
With the ATR setting or 5, 10, 15, we can weed out many false break.
Vstop setting is OHLC4.
On the other hand, this strategy also utilize Renko as part of the strategy, so you could say this strategy is mainly an intraday break out trend following strategy.
Works well on BTCUSD XBTUSD, as well as other major liquid alt Pairs.
And lastly,
Save Hong Kong, the revolution of our times.
Volatility Stop trading with risk managementQuick coding of a trading system based on the Volatility Stop (VStop) indicator. In addition to that I added the possibility to calculate the position size based on the amount that you want to risk. Beware, this is the amount you want to risk per trade. The total draw-down might be higher, as you can have multiple loosing trades.
IFTS+TS Strategy OverlayInverse Fisher transform on stochastic with Hull MA and Donchian Channels with oversell/overbuy levels and dynamic trailing stop
Options:
Fixed trailing stop
Dynamic, based on ATR trailing stop
Re-enter after trailing stop
Includes Hull MA
Hull MA filtration for re-entering after trailing stop
Donchian channels, with overbuy/oversell levels
No repaints
Volatility System by Wilder [LucF]The Volatility System was created by J. Welles Wilder, Jr. It first appeared in his seminal masterpiece, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems" (1978). He describes the system on pp.23-26, in the chapter discussing the first presentation ever of the "Volatility Index", built using a novel way of calculating a value representing volatility that he named Average True Range (ATR). The latter stuck.
The system is a pure reversal system (it is always either long or short). One of its characteristics is that its stop strategy moves up and down during a trade, widening the gap from price when volatility (ATR) increases. Because of this, this strategy can suffer large drawdowns and is not for the faint of heart.
The strategy uses a length (n) to calculate an ATR. ATR(n) is then multiplied by a factor to calculate the Average Range Constant (ARC). The ARC is then added to the lowest close n bars back to form the high Stop and Reverse points (SAR), and subtracted from the highest close n bars back to calculate the low SAR. Reversals occur when price closes above the high SAR or below the low SAR.
The system is best suited to higher time frames: 12H and above. Its performance depends heavily on calibration of the length and ARC factor. Wilder proposes a length of 7 and a factor between 2.8 to 3.1. My summary tests at 12H, 1D and 3D on stocks and cryptos yield better results with values of approximately 9-10/1.8-2.5 for cryptos and 9-10/3.0-4.0 for stocks. Small changes in the values will sometimes yield large variations in results, which I don’t particularly like because it tends to imply fragility, whereas I’d expect more robustness from a system with such simple rules. Additionally, backtests at 1D on cryptos provide so little data that no solid conclusions can be drawn from them.
All in all, the system is not very useful in my opinion; I publish it more for completeness, since as far as I can tell, it did not exist on this platform before. I also publish it out of respect for Wilder’s work. His book laid the foundation for many of the building blocks used by system designers, even today. In less than a hundred pages he presented RSI, ATR, DMI, ADXR and the Parabolic SAR indicators, some of which have become built-in functions in programming languages. This is a colossal feat and has not been repeated. Wilder is a monument.
Some lesser-known facts about his book:
It sells for the exact same price it cost in 1978: 65$,
The book has always been published by Wilder himself,
The layout hasn’t changed in 40 years,
He sells >35K copies/year.
Gotta love the guy.
The strategy is shown here on BTC /USD with settings of 12/1.8 (the defaults are 9/1.8). It shows the system under its best light. Other markets will most not reproduce such results. Also, the drawdown is as scary as the results are impressive.
Features
The code is written as a strategy but can easily be converted to an indicator if you want to use the alerts it can produce. Instructions are in the code.
You can change the length and ARC factor.
You can choose to trade only long or short positions.
You can choose to display the SARs (the stops) in multiple ways.
You can show trigger markers.
A date range can be defined.
3 alerts: reversals (both long and short), longs, shorts. Remember that for the moment, strategies cannot generate alerts in TradingView, so the strategy must be converted to an indicator in order to make the alerts available.
Trailing Stops/Choose a Day of the WeekThis would be my second ever published strategy. It is almost the same as my first ever published script . I've been working primarily on UGAZ and DGAZ .
This is basically a statistical trade. It buys every morning near market open (or by choosing a "time constraint"), then immediately places a trailing stop at a specified amount in ticks (if used on UGAZ a tick = $0.01, if used on NG at tick = $0.001). I've found between 2% and 3% works well for the trailing stop (ie. if UGAZ = $75, a 3% trailing stop = $2.25)
-----What is different from my first strategy?------
You can test the trailing stop strategy one 1 day of the week. Days of the week are assigned numbers. Sunday=1, Monday=2, Tuesday=3 and so on. Just choose a number that correlates to the day of the week you want to test. The Trailing stop may go past that day, that's a good thing if it's making money.
-- Go long/Short is just that, it will buy shares/contracts or short them.
-- Trades per day. This may not be a good choice, when left on "2", it will trade once per day. If set above 2 and there is time left for another trade, an order will enter on the open of the next candle. I'm am still working on ideas for this.
-- Time constraints. When you select this check box, the strategy will limit an entry to the time specified below the "Use Time Constraints" check box. An Exit order will still continue past this window of time until it is stopped out.
---- very important ----
Due to decay, leveraged ETFs will give false results if the price gets far out of range. For example, your ETF is trading around $20 and you choose a 1 hour chart, it may back test back to a time before a reverse split. If the price gets to be too large, like $200, or $1200, the movement on the chart creates false indication of profit/loss.
--- Most important. ---
Do not trade off this strategy, you may lose lots of money. This is for educational use only.
Good luck
Trailing Stops Only - For Leveraged ETFs (UGAZ/DGAZ)Looking for Statistical trades that work. This one seems to work on some Leveraged ETFs with a lot of noise like UGAZ/DGAZ. It can also be used on Futures Contracts, but be sure to change up the type of investment from % of equity to contracts. Also one point I'm trying to make with this strategy is the trades are best made in the morning around market open. When used with Contracts, be sure to make use of the time settings. It will limit buying between the hours set. Selling will occur at any time the trailing stop is triggered.
This Strategy is best used on 5min or 15min charts.
!!!! very important !!!!
Due to decay, leveraged ETFs will give false results if the price gets far out of range. For example, your ETF is trading around $20 and you choose a 1 hour chart, it may back test back to a time before a reverse split. If the price gets to be too large, like $200, or $1200, the movement on the chart creates false indication of profit/loss.
Most important. Do not trade off this strategy, you may lose lots of money. This is for educational use only.
BitMex Trailing Stop StrategyThis script is designed for those who want to use BitMex's trailing stop. It's not meant to be used as entry exits, but rather to get an idea of how wide the trailing stop needs to be. I suggest you backtest with different values. The script can also be integrated into an existing strategy which does give entry/exits to act as its stop loss.
Simple Trailing Buy & Stop StrategyAllows you to backtest a simple percentage based trailing stop, with a trailing buy. Experiment with different percentages on different timeframes for different charts.
For BTCUSD, on daily 4.3% stop and 1.9% buy works well, while on 4hr a 1.5% stop and 1.9% buy works best.
Please comment with any other combos that work well for you on different markets or timeframes.
