HPAS mean reversion strategy testerTakes Krown HPAS values hardcoded and simulates longs and short with configurable standard deviation multiplier TP/SL. Best used on lower timeframes
Statistics
Pivot Fib 4H — EAStrategy uses the pivot standard to open position, it has well define entry and exit point with SL, it also has a proper money management plan, maximum 4 trades a day, each trade risk 0.5% of the account, I have it EA version of it also.
Reversal Point Dynamics - Machine Learning⇋ Reversal Point Dynamics - Machine Learning
RPD Machine Learning: Self-Adaptive Multi-Armed Bandit Trading System
RPD Machine Learning is an advanced algorithmic trading system that implements genuine machine learning through contextual multi-armed bandits, reinforcement learning, and online adaptation. Unlike traditional indicators that use fixed rules, RPD learns from every trade outcome , automatically discovers which strategies work in current market conditions, and continuously adapts without manual intervention .
Core Innovation: The system deploys six distinct trading policies (ranging from aggressive trend-following to conservative range-bound strategies) and uses LinUCB contextual bandit algorithms with Random Fourier Features to learn which policy performs best in each market regime. After the initial learning phase (50-100 trades), the system achieves autonomous adaptation , automatically shifting between policies as market conditions evolve.
Target Users: Quantitative traders, algorithmic trading developers, systematic traders, and data-driven investors who want a system that adapts over time . Suitable for stocks, futures, forex, and cryptocurrency on any liquid instrument with >100k daily volume.
The Problem This System Solves
Traditional Technical Analysis Limitations
Most trading systems suffer from three fundamental challenges :
Fixed Parameters: Static settings (like "buy when RSI < 30") work well in backtests but may struggle when markets change character. What worked in low-volatility environments may not work in high-volatility regimes.
Strategy Degradation: Manual optimization (curve-fitting) produces systems that perform well on historical data but may underperform in live trading. The system never adapts to new market conditions.
Cognitive Overload: Running multiple strategies simultaneously forces traders to manually decide which one to trust. This leads to hesitation, late entries, and inconsistent execution.
How RPD Machine Learning Addresses These Challenges
Automated Strategy Selection: Instead of requiring you to choose between trend-following and mean-reversion strategies, RPD runs all six policies simultaneously and uses machine learning to automatically select the best one for current conditions. The decision happens algorithmically, removing human hesitation.
Continuous Learning: After every trade, the system updates its understanding of which policies are working. If the market shifts from trending to ranging, RPD automatically detects this through changing performance patterns and adjusts selection accordingly.
Context-Aware Decisions: Unlike simple voting systems that treat all conditions equally, RPD analyzes market context (ADX regime, entropy levels, volatility state, volume patterns, time of day, historical performance) and learns which combinations of context features correlate with policy success.
Machine Learning Architecture: What Makes This "Real" ML
Component 1: Contextual Multi-Armed Bandits (LinUCB)
What Is a Multi-Armed Bandit Problem?
Imagine facing six slot machines, each with unknown payout rates. The exploration-exploitation dilemma asks: Should you keep pulling the machine that's worked well (exploitation) or try others that might be better (exploration)? RPD solves this for trading policies.
Academic Foundation:
RPD implements Linear Upper Confidence Bound (LinUCB) from the research paper "A Contextual-Bandit Approach to Personalized News Article Recommendation" (Li et al., 2010, WWW Conference). This algorithm is used in content recommendation and ad placement systems.
How It Works:
Each policy (AggressiveTrend, ConservativeRange, VolatilityBreakout, etc.) is treated as an "arm." The system maintains:
Reward History: Tracks wins/losses for each policy
Contextual Features: Current market state (8-10 features including ADX, entropy, volatility, volume)
Uncertainty Estimates: Confidence in each policy's performance
UCB Formula: predicted_reward + α × uncertainty
The system selects the policy with highest UCB score , balancing proven performance (predicted_reward) with potential for discovery (uncertainty bonus). Initially, all policies have high uncertainty, so the system explores broadly. After 50-100 trades, uncertainty decreases, and the system focuses on known-performing policies.
Why This Matters:
Traditional systems pick strategies based on historical backtests or user preference. RPD learns from actual outcomes in your specific market, on your timeframe, with your execution characteristics.
Component 2: Random Fourier Features (RFF)
The Non-Linearity Challenge:
Market relationships are often non-linear. High ADX may indicate favorable conditions when volatility is normal, but unfavorable when volatility spikes. Simple linear models struggle to capture these interactions.
Academic Foundation:
RPD implements Random Fourier Features from "Random Features for Large-Scale Kernel Machines" (Rahimi & Recht, 2007, NIPS). This technique approximates kernel methods (like Support Vector Machines) while maintaining computational efficiency for real-time trading.
How It Works:
The system transforms base features (ADX, entropy, volatility, etc.) into a higher-dimensional space using random projections and cosine transformations:
Input: 8 base features
Projection: Through random Gaussian weights
Transformation: cos(W×features + b)
Output: 16 RFF dimensions
This allows the bandit to learn non-linear relationships between market context and policy success. For example: "AggressiveTrend performs well when ADX >25 AND entropy <0.6 AND hour >9" becomes naturally encoded in the RFF space.
Why This Matters:
Without RFF, the system could only learn "this policy has X% historical performance." With RFF, it learns "this policy performs differently in these specific contexts" - enabling more nuanced selection.
Component 3: Reinforcement Learning Stack
Beyond bandits, RPD implements a complete RL framework :
Q-Learning: Value-based RL that learns state-action values. Maps 54 discrete market states (trend×volatility×RSI×volume combinations) to 5 actions (4 policies + no-trade). Updates via Bellman equation after each trade. Converges toward optimal policy after 100-200 trades.
TD(λ) with Eligibility Traces: Extension of Q-Learning that propagates credit backwards through time . When a trade produces an outcome, TD(λ) updates not just the final state-action but all states visited during the trade, weighted by eligibility decay (λ=0.90). This accelerates learning from multi-bar trades.
Policy Gradient (REINFORCE): Learns a stochastic policy directly from 12 continuous market features without discretization. Uses gradient ascent to increase probability of actions that led to positive outcomes. Includes baseline (average reward) for variance reduction.
Meta-Learning: The system learns how to learn by adapting its own learning rates based on feature stability and correlation with outcomes. If a feature (like volume ratio) consistently correlates with success, its learning rate increases. If unstable, rate decreases.
Why This Matters:
Q-Learning provides fast discrete decisions. Policy Gradient handles continuous features. TD(λ) accelerates learning. Meta-learning optimizes the optimization. Together, they create a robust, multi-approach learning system that adapts more quickly than any single algorithm.
Component 4: Policy Momentum Tracking (v2 Feature)
The Recency Challenge:
Standard bandits treat all historical data equally. If a policy performed well historically but struggles in current conditions due to regime shift, the system may be slow to adapt because historical success outweighs recent underperformance.
RPD's Solution:
Each policy maintains a ring buffer of the last 10 outcomes. The system calculates:
Momentum: recent_win_rate - global_win_rate (range: -1 to +1)
Confidence: consistency of recent results (1 - variance)
Policies with positive momentum (recent outperformance) get an exploration bonus. Policies with negative momentum and high confidence (consistent recent underperformance) receive a selection penalty.
Effect: When markets shift, the system detects the shift more quickly through momentum tracking, enabling faster adaptation than standard bandits.
Signal Generation: The Core Algorithm
Multi-Timeframe Fractal Detection
RPD identifies reversal points using three complementary methods :
1. Quantum State Analysis:
Divides price range into discrete states (default: 6 levels)
Peak signals require price in top states (≥ state 5)
Valley signals require price in bottom states (≤ state 1)
Prevents mid-range signals that may struggle in strong trends
2. Fractal Geometry:
Identifies swing highs/lows using configurable fractal strength
Confirms local extremum with neighboring bars
Validates reversal only if price crosses prior extreme
3. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation:
Analyzes higher timeframe (4× default) for alignment
MTF confirmation adds probability bonus
Designed to reduce false signals while preserving valid setups
Probability Scoring System
Each signal receives a dynamic probability score (40-99%) based on:
Base Components:
Trend Strength: EMA(velocity) / ATR × 30 points
Entropy Quality: (1 - entropy) × 10 points
Starting baseline: 40 points
Enhancement Bonuses:
Divergence Detection: +20 points (price/momentum divergence)
RSI Extremes: +8 points (RSI >65 for peaks, <40 for valleys)
Volume Confirmation: +5 points (volume >1.2× average)
Adaptive Momentum: +10 points (strong directional velocity)
MTF Alignment: +12 points (higher timeframe confirms)
Range Factor: (high-low)/ATR × 3 - 1.5 points (volatility adjustment)
Regime Bonus: +8 points (trending ADX >25 with directional agreement)
Penalties:
High Entropy: -5 points (entropy >0.85, chaotic price action)
Consolidation Regime: -10 points (ADX <20, no directional conviction)
Final Score: Clamped to 40-99% range, classified as ELITE (>85%), STRONG (75-85%), GOOD (65-75%), or FAIR (<65%)
Entropy-Based Quality Filter
What Is Entropy?
Entropy measures randomness in price changes . Low entropy indicates orderly, directional moves. High entropy indicates chaotic, unpredictable conditions.
Calculation:
Count up/down price changes over adaptive period
Calculate probability: p = ups / total_changes
Shannon entropy: -p×log(p) - (1-p)×log(1-p)
Normalized to 0-1 range
Application:
Entropy <0.5: Highly ordered (ELITE signals possible)
Entropy 0.5-0.75: Mixed (GOOD signals)
Entropy >0.85: Chaotic (signals blocked or heavily penalized)
Why This Matters:
Prevents trading during choppy, news-driven conditions where technical patterns may be less reliable. Automatically raises quality bar when market is unpredictable.
Regime Detection & Market Microstructure - ADX-Based Regime Classification
RPD uses Wilder's Average Directional Index to classify markets:
Bull Trend: ADX >25, +DI > -DI (directional conviction bullish)
Bear Trend: ADX >25, +DI < -DI (directional conviction bearish)
Consolidation: ADX <20 (no directional conviction)
Transitional: ADX 20-25 (forming direction, ambiguous)
Filter Logic:
Blocks all signals during Transitional regime (avoids trading during uncertain conditions)
Blocks Consolidation signals unless ADX ≥ Min Trend Strength
Adds probability bonus during strong trends (ADX >30)
Effect: Designed to reduce signal frequency while focusing on higher-quality setups.
Divergence Detection
Bearish Divergence:
Price makes higher high
Velocity (price momentum) makes lower high
Indicates weakening upward pressure → SHORT signal quality boost
Bullish Divergence:
Price makes lower low
Velocity makes higher low
Indicates weakening downward pressure → LONG signal quality boost
Bonus: Adds probability points and additional acceleration factor. Divergence signals have historically shown higher success rates in testing.
Hierarchical Policy System - The Six Trading Policies
1. AggressiveTrend (Policy 0):
Probability Threshold: 60% (trades more frequently)
Entropy Threshold: 0.70 (tolerates moderate chaos)
Stop Multiplier: 2.5× ATR (wider stops for trends)
Target Multiplier: 5.0R (larger targets)
Entry Mode: Pyramid (scales into winners)
Best For: Strong trending markets, breakouts, momentum continuation
2. ConservativeRange (Policy 1):
Probability Threshold: 75% (more selective)
Entropy Threshold: 0.60 (requires order)
Stop Multiplier: 1.8× ATR (tighter stops)
Target Multiplier: 3.0R (modest targets)
Entry Mode: Single (one-shot entries)
Best For: Range-bound markets, low volatility, mean reversion
3. VolatilityBreakout (Policy 2):
Probability Threshold: 65% (moderate)
Entropy Threshold: 0.80 (accepts high entropy)
Stop Multiplier: 3.0× ATR (wider stops)
Target Multiplier: 6.0R (larger targets)
Entry Mode: Tiered (splits entry)
Best For: Compression breakouts, post-consolidation moves, gap opens
4. EntropyScalp (Policy 3):
Probability Threshold: 80% (very selective)
Entropy Threshold: 0.40 (requires extreme order)
Stop Multiplier: 1.5× ATR (tightest stops)
Target Multiplier: 2.5R (quick targets)
Entry Mode: Single
Best For: Low-volatility grinding moves, tight ranges, highly predictable patterns
5. DivergenceHunter (Policy 4):
Probability Threshold: 70% (quality-focused)
Entropy Threshold: 0.65 (balanced)
Stop Multiplier: 2.2× ATR (moderate stops)
Target Multiplier: 4.5R (balanced targets)
Entry Mode: Tiered
Best For: Divergence-confirmed reversals, exhaustion moves, trend climax
6. AdaptiveBlend (Policy 5):
Probability Threshold: 68% (balanced)
Entropy Threshold: 0.75 (balanced)
Stop Multiplier: 2.0× ATR (standard)
Target Multiplier: 4.0R (standard)
Entry Mode: Single
Best For: Mixed conditions, general trading, fallback when no clear regime
Policy Clustering (Advanced/Extreme Modes)
Policies are grouped into three clusters based on regime affinity:
Cluster 1 (Trending): AggressiveTrend, DivergenceHunter
High regime affinity (0.8): Performs well when ADX >25
Moderate vol affinity (0.6): Works in various volatility
Cluster 2 (Ranging): ConservativeRange, AdaptiveBlend
Low regime affinity (0.3): Better suited for ADX <20
Low vol affinity (0.4): Optimized for calm markets
Cluster 3 (Breakout): VolatilityBreakout
Moderate regime affinity (0.6): Works in multiple regimes
High vol affinity (0.9): Requires high volatility for optimal characteristics
Hierarchical Selection Process:
Calculate cluster scores based on current regime and volatility
Select best-matching cluster
Run UCB selection within chosen cluster
Apply momentum boost/penalty
This two-stage process reduces learning time - instead of choosing among 6 policies from scratch, system first narrows to 1-2 policies per cluster, then optimizes within cluster.
Risk Management & Position Sizing
Dynamic Kelly Criterion Sizing (Optional)
Traditional Fixed Sizing Challenge:
Using the same position size for all signal probabilities may be suboptimal. Higher-probability signals could justify larger positions, lower-probability signals smaller positions.
Kelly Formula:
f = (p × b - q) / b
Where:
p = win probability (from signal score)
q = loss probability (1 - p)
b = win/loss ratio (average_win / average_loss)
f = fraction of capital to risk
RPD Implementation:
Uses Fractional Kelly (1/4 Kelly default) for safety. Full Kelly is theoretically optimal but can recommend large position sizes. Fractional Kelly reduces volatility while maintaining adaptive sizing benefits.
Enhancements:
Probability Bonus: Normalize(prob, 65, 95) × 0.5 multiplier
Divergence Bonus: Additional sizing on divergence signals
Regime Bonus: Additional sizing during strong trends (ADX >30)
Momentum Adjustment: Hot policies receive sizing boost, cold policies receive reduction
Safety Rails:
Minimum: 1 contract (floor)
Maximum: User-defined cap (default 10 contracts)
Portfolio Heat: Max total risk across all positions (default 4% equity)
Multi-Mode Stop Loss System
ATR Mode (Default):
Stop = entry ± (ATR × base_mult × policy_mult)
Consistent risk sizing
Ignores market structure
Best for: Futures, forex, algorithmic trading
Structural Mode:
Finds swing low (long) or high (short) over last 20 bars
Identifies fractal pivots within lookback
Places stop below/above structure + buffer (0.1× ATR)
Best for: Stocks, instruments that respect structure
Hybrid Mode (Intelligent):
Attempts structural stop first
Falls back to ATR if:
Structural level is invalid (beyond entry)
Structural stop >2× ATR away (too wide)
Best for: Mixed instruments, adaptability
Dynamic Adjustments:
Breakeven: Move stop to entry + 1 tick after 1.0R profit
Trailing: Trail stop 0.8R behind price after 1.5R profit
Timeout: Force close after 30 bars (optional)
Tiered Entry System
Challenge: Equal sizing on all signals may not optimize capital allocation relative to signal quality.
Solution:
Tier 1 (40% of size): Enters immediately on all signals
Tier 2 (60% of size): Enters only if probability ≥ Tier 2 trigger (default 75%)
Example:
Calculated optimal size: 10 contracts
Signal probability: 72%
Tier 2 trigger: 75%
Result: Enter 4 contracts only (Tier 1)
Same signal at 80% probability
Result: Enter 10 contracts (4 Tier 1 + 6 Tier 2)
Effect: Automatically scales size to signal quality, optimizing capital allocation.
Performance Optimization & Learning Curve
Warmup Phase (First 50 Trades)
Purpose: Ensure all policies get tested before system focuses on preferred strategies.
Modifications During Warmup:
Probability thresholds reduced 20% (65% becomes 52%)
Entropy thresholds increased 20% (more permissive)
Exploration rate stays high (30%)
Confidence width (α) doubled (more exploration)
Why This Matters:
Without warmup, system might commit to early-performing policy without testing alternatives. Warmup forces thorough exploration before focusing on best-performing strategies.
Curriculum Learning
Phase 1 (Trades 1-50): Exploration
Warmup active
All policies tested
High exploration (30%)
Learning fundamental patterns
Phase 2 (Trades 50-100): Refinement
Warmup ended, thresholds normalize
Exploration decaying (30% → 15%)
Policy preferences emerging
Meta-learning optimizing
Phase 3 (Trades 100-200): Specialization
Exploration low (15% → 8%)
Clear policy preferences established
Momentum tracking fully active
System focusing on learned patterns
Phase 4 (Trades 200+): Maturity
Exploration minimal (8% → 5%)
Regime-policy relationships learned
Auto-adaptation to market shifts
Stable performance expected
Convergence Indicators
System is learning well when:
Policy switch rate decreasing over time (initially ~50%, should drop to <20%)
Exploration rate decaying smoothly (30% → 5%)
One or two policies emerge with >50% selection frequency
Performance metrics stabilizing over time
Consistent behavior in similar market conditions
System may need adjustment when:
Policy switch rate >40% after 100 trades (excessive exploration)
Exploration rate not decaying (parameter issue)
All policies showing similar selection (not differentiating)
Performance declining despite relaxed thresholds (underlying signal issue)
Highly erratic behavior after learning phase
Advanced Features
Attention Mechanism (Extreme Mode)
Challenge: Not all features are equally important. Trading hour might matter more than price-volume correlation, but standard approaches treat them equally.
Solution:
Each RFF dimension has an importance weight . After each trade:
Calculate correlation: sign(feature - 0.5) × sign(reward)
Update importance: importance += correlation × 0.01
Clamp to range
Effect: Important features get amplified in RFF transformation, less important features get suppressed. System learns which features correlate with successful outcomes.
Temporal Context (Extreme Mode)
Challenge: Current market state alone may be incomplete. Historical context (was volatility rising or falling?) provides additional information.
Solution:
Includes 3-period historical context with exponential decay (0.85):
Current features (weight 1.0)
1 bar ago (weight 0.85)
2 bars ago (weight 0.72)
Effect: Captures momentum and acceleration of market features. System learns patterns like "rising volatility with falling entropy" that may precede significant moves.
Transfer Learning via Episodic Memory
Short-Term Memory (STM):
Last 20 trades
Fast adaptation to immediate regime
High learning rate
Long-Term Memory (LTM):
Condensed historical patterns
Preserved knowledge from past regimes
Low learning rate
Transfer Mechanism:
When STM fills (20 trades), patterns consolidated into LTM . When similar regime recurs later, LTM provides faster adaptation than starting from scratch.
Practical Implementation Guide - Recommended Settings by Instrument
Futures (ES, NQ, CL):
Adaptive Period: 20-25
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.5%
Stop Mode: ATR or Hybrid
Timeframe: 5-15 min
Forex Majors (EURUSD, GBPUSD):
Adaptive Period: 25-30
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.0-1.5%
Stop Mode: ATR
Timeframe: 5-30 min
Cryptocurrency (BTC, ETH):
Adaptive Period: 20-25
ML Mode: Extreme (handles non-stationarity)
RFF Dimensions: 32 (captures complexity)
Policies: 6
Base Risk: 1.0% (volatility consideration)
Stop Mode: Hybrid
Timeframe: 15 min - 4 hr
Stocks (Large Cap):
Adaptive Period: 25-30
ML Mode: Advanced
RFF Dimensions: 16
Policies: 5-6
Base Risk: 1.5-2.0%
Stop Mode: Structural or Hybrid
Timeframe: 15 min - Daily
Scaling Strategy
Phase 1 (Testing - First 50 Trades):
Max Contracts: 1-2
Goal: Validate system on your instrument
Monitor: Performance stabilization, learning progress
Phase 2 (Validation - Trades 50-100):
Max Contracts: 2-3
Goal: Confirm learning convergence
Monitor: Policy stability, exploration decay
Phase 3 (Scaling - Trades 100-200):
Max Contracts: 3-5
Enable: Kelly sizing (1/4 Kelly)
Goal: Optimize capital efficiency
Monitor: Risk-adjusted returns
Phase 4 (Full Deployment - Trades 200+):
Max Contracts: 5-10
Enable: Full momentum tracking
Goal: Sustained consistent performance
Monitor: Ongoing adaptation quality
Limitations & Disclaimers
Statistical Limitations
Learning Sample Size: System requires minimum 50-100 trades for basic convergence, 200+ trades for robust learning. Early performance (first 50 trades) may not reflect mature system behavior.
Non-Stationarity Risk: Markets change over time. A system trained on one market regime may need time to adapt when conditions shift (typically 30-50 trades for adjustment).
Overfitting Possibility: With 16-32 RFF dimensions and 6 policies, system has substantial parameter space. Small sample sizes (<200 trades) increase overfitting risk. Mitigated by regularization (λ) and fractional Kelly sizing.
Technical Limitations
Computational Complexity: Extreme mode with 32 RFF dimensions, 6 policies, and full RL stack requires significant computation. May perform slowly on lower-end systems or with many other indicators loaded.
Pine Script Constraints:
No true matrix inversion (uses diagonal approximation for LinUCB)
No cryptographic RNG (uses market data as entropy)
No proper random number generation for RFF (uses deterministic pseudo-random)
These approximations reduce mathematical precision compared to academic implementations but remain functional for trading applications.
Data Requirements: Needs clean OHLCV data. Missing bars, gaps, or low liquidity (<100k daily volume) can degrade signal quality.
Forward-Looking Bias Disclaimer
Reward Calculation Uses Future Data: The RL system evaluates trades using an 8-bar forward-looking window. This means when a position enters at bar 100, the reward calculation considers price movement through bar 108.
Why This is Disclosed:
Entry signals do NOT look ahead - decisions use only data up to entry bar
Forward data used for learning only, not signal generation
In live trading, system learns identically as bars unfold in real-time
Simulates natural learning process (outcomes are only known after trades complete)
Implication: Backtested metrics reflect this 8-bar evaluation window. Live performance may vary if:
- Positions held longer than 8 bars
- Slippage/commissions differ from backtest settings
- Market microstructure changes (wider spreads, different execution quality)
Risk Warnings
No Guarantee of Profit: All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Machine learning systems can fail if market structure fundamentally changes or during unprecedented events.
Maximum Drawdown: With 1.5% base risk and 4% max total risk, expect potential drawdowns. Historical drawdowns do not predict future drawdowns. Extreme market conditions can exceed expectations.
Black Swan Events: System has not been tested under: flash crashes, trading halts, circuit breakers, major geopolitical shocks, or other extreme events. Such events can exceed stop losses and cause significant losses.
Leverage Risk: Futures and forex involve leverage. Adverse moves combined with leverage can result in losses exceeding initial investment. Use appropriate position sizing for your risk tolerance.
System Failures: Code bugs, broker API failures, internet outages, or exchange issues can prevent proper execution. Always monitor automated systems and maintain appropriate safeguards.
Appropriate Use
This System Is:
✅ A machine learning framework for adaptive strategy selection
✅ A signal generation system with probabilistic scoring
✅ A risk management system with dynamic sizing
✅ A learning system designed to adapt over time
This System Is NOT:
❌ A price prediction system (does not forecast exact prices)
❌ A guarantee of profits (can and will experience losses)
❌ A replacement for due diligence (requires monitoring and understanding)
❌ Suitable for complete beginners (requires understanding of ML concepts, risk management, and trading fundamentals)
Recommended Use:
Paper trade for 100 signals before risking capital
Start with minimal position sizing (1-2 contracts) regardless of calculated size
Monitor learning progress via dashboard
Scale gradually over several months only after consistent results
Combine with fundamental analysis and broader market context
Set account-level risk limits (e.g., maximum drawdown threshold)
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
What Makes This System Different
RPD implements academically-derived machine learning algorithms rather than simple mathematical calculations or optimization:
✅ LinUCB Contextual Bandits - Algorithm from WWW 2010 conference (Li et al.)
✅ Random Fourier Features - Kernel approximation from NIPS 2007 (Rahimi & Recht)
✅ Q-Learning, TD(λ), REINFORCE - Standard RL algorithms from Sutton & Barto textbook
✅ Meta-Learning - Learning rate adaptation based on feature correlation
✅ Online Learning - Real-time updates from streaming data
✅ Hierarchical Policies - Two-stage selection with clustering
✅ Momentum Tracking - Recent performance analysis for faster adaptation
✅ Attention Mechanism - Feature importance weighting
✅ Transfer Learning - Episodic memory consolidation
Key Differentiators:
Actually learns from trade outcomes (not just parameter optimization)
Updates model parameters in real-time (true online learning)
Adapts to changing market regimes (not static rules)
Improves over time through reinforcement learning
Implements published ML algorithms with proper citations
Conclusion
RPD Machine Learning represents a different approach from traditional technical analysis to adaptive, self-learning systems . Instead of manually optimizing parameters (which can overfit to historical data), RPD learns behavior patterns from actual trading outcomes in your specific market.
The combination of contextual bandits, reinforcement learning, random fourier features, hierarchical policy selection, and momentum tracking creates a multi-algorithm learning system designed to handle non-stationary markets better than static approaches.
After the initial learning phase (50-100 trades), the system achieves autonomous adaptation - automatically discovering which strategies work in current conditions and shifting allocation without human intervention. This represents an approach where systems adapt over time rather than remaining static.
Use responsibly. Paper trade extensively. Scale gradually. Understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and all trading involves risk of loss.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Any Strategy BacktestA simple script for backtesting your strategies with TP and SL settings. For this to work, your indicators must have sources for long and short conditions.
Adaptive ATR Guardian PRO+ (Locked Lines)🎯 核心交易功能 / Core Trading Features
1. 智能参数配置系统 / Intelligent Parameter Configuration
多风格选择：稳健/激进/保守三种交易风格
Multi-style Selection: Conservative/Aggressive/Moderate trading styles
多时间周期：M5/M15/H1三种时间框架
Multi-timeframe: M5/M15/H1 timeframes
自适应参数：根据风格自动调整所有技术参数
Adaptive Parameters: Automatically adjusts all technical parameters based on style
2. 高级信号生成系统 / Advanced Signal Generation
双均线策略：快慢EMA交叉信号
Dual MA Strategy: Fast/Slow EMA crossover signals
趋势过滤：100周期EMA作为趋势方向过滤
Trend Filter: 100-period EMA for trend direction filtering
ADX强度确认：ADX > 最小值才确认趋势有效
ADX Strength Confirmation: ADX > minimum value for valid trend
交易时段控制：可设置交易开始和结束时间
Trading Session Control: Configurable start and end times
3. 智能风险管理 / Intelligent Risk Management
动态止损：基于ATR的智能止损计算
Dynamic Stop Loss: ATR-based intelligent stop loss calculation
分批止盈：TP1平仓50%，TP2平仓剩余50%
Partial Take Profit: TP1 closes 50%, TP2 closes remaining 50%
追踪止损：TP2部分启用追踪止损功能
Trailing Stop: TP2 portion uses trailing stop functionality
品种自适应：BTC和黄金品种特殊参数调整
Symbol Adaptation: Special parameter adjustments for BTC and Gold
4. 专业订单管理 / Professional Order Management
自动平仓：新信号自动平掉反向仓位
Auto Close: New signals automatically close opposite positions
仓位管理：基于账户权益的百分比仓位
Position Management: Percentage-based position sizing
佣金计算：包含交易佣金成本
Commission Calculation: Includes trading commission costs
📊 高级可视化功能 / Advanced Visualization Features
1. 实时交易线系统 / Real-time Trading Lines System
入场线：蓝色虚线，显示入场价格
Entry Line: Blue dashed line showing entry price
止损线：红色实线，显示止损价格
Stop Loss Line: Red solid line showing stop loss price
TP1线：青色实线，显示第一目标位
TP1 Line: Teal solid line showing first target
TP2线：青色实线，显示第二目标位
TP2 Line: Teal solid line showing second target
2. 智能标签管理 / Intelligent Label Management
动态字号：根据时间周期自动调整标签大小
Dynamic Font Size: Auto-adjusts label size based on timeframe
位置优化：标签固定在入场K线右侧3根位置
Position Optimization: Labels fixed 3 bars right of entry candle
实时更新：线条和标签随图表滚动延伸
Real-time Updates: Lines and labels extend with chart scrolling
3. 专业信息面板 / Professional Information Panel
策略状态：交易风格、时间周期、持仓方向
Strategy Status: Trading style, timeframe, position direction
指标数据：ADX强度、ATR波动率数值
Indicator Data: ADX strength, ATR volatility values
交易信息：入场价格、止损价格、止盈价格
Trade Information: Entry price, stop loss, take profit prices
实时更新：每根K线更新最新数据
Real-time Updates: Updates data on every candle
4. 模式状态标签 / Mode Status Label
顶部状态栏：显示周期、风格、ADX、ATR、持仓状态
Top Status Bar: Shows timeframe, style, ADX, ATR, position status
颜色编码：蓝色主题，专业视觉效果
Color Coding: Blue theme, professional visual appearance
⚙️ 技术特色功能 / Technical Special Features
1. 自适应波动率调整 / Adaptive Volatility Adjustment
ATR基准：基于14周期ATR计算
ATR Baseline: Based on 14-period ATR calculation
波动率调整：ATR相对于50周期均线的调整系数
Volatility Adjustment: ATR adjustment coefficient relative to 50-period MA
动态止盈：止盈距离根据波动率动态调整
Dynamic Take Profit: TP distances dynamically adjusted based on volatility
2. 多品种优化 / Multi-Symbol Optimization
BTC特殊处理：更大的止损倍数和TP2倍数
BTC Special Handling: Larger stop loss and TP2 multipliers
黄金特殊处理：适中的参数调整
Gold Special Handling: Moderate parameter adjustments
通用品种：标准参数适用于其他品种
General Symbols: Standard parameters for other symbols
3. 时间智能控制 / Intelligent Time Control
交易时段：可配置的交易时间窗口
Trading Sessions: Configurable trading time windows
时段逻辑：支持跨午夜的时间段设置
Session Logic: Supports cross-midnight time periods
时间过滤：只在交易时段内产生信号
Time Filtering: Only generates signals during trading hours
4. 内存管理优化 / Memory Management Optimization
自动清理：平仓时自动删除所有线条和标签
Auto Cleanup: Automatically deletes all lines and labels on position close
资源回收：避免图表元素堆积
Resource Recycling: Prevents chart element accumulation
性能优化：高效的实时更新机制
Performance Optimization: Efficient real-time update mechanism
🛡️ 风险控制功能 / Risk Control Features
1. 多层过滤系统 / Multi-layer Filtering System
趋势方向过滤 / Trend direction filtering
ADX强度过滤 / ADX strength filtering
交易时间过滤 / Trading time filtering
品种特性过滤 / Symbol characteristic filtering
2. 动态参数系统 / Dynamic Parameter System
快慢均线周期自适应 / Fast/slow MA period adaptation
止损倍数动态调整 / Stop loss multiplier dynamic adjustment
止盈倍数风格化配置 / Take profit multiplier style-based configuration
追踪止损灵敏度设置 / Trailing stop sensitivity settings
3. 资金管理 / Money Management
固定百分比仓位 / Fixed percentage position sizing
佣金成本计入 / Commission costs included
无金字塔加仓 / No pyramiding (no adding to positions)
自动反向平仓 / Automatic opposite position closing
📈 用户体验功能 / User Experience Features
1. 可视化定制 / Visualization Customization
交易线显示/隐藏开关 / Trading lines show/hide toggle
信息面板显示控制 / Information panel display control
线条延伸长度可调 / Line extension length adjustable
颜色方案统一管理 / Color scheme unified management
2. 实时监控 / Real-time Monitoring
持仓状态实时显示 / Real-time position status display
关键价格水平标记 / Key price level markings
指标数值动态更新 / Indicator values dynamic updates
交易统计信息 / Trading statistics information
3. 专业布局 / Professional Layout
右上角信息面板 / Top-right information panel
顶部状态标签 / Top status label
图表交易线条 / Chart trading lines
整洁的视觉层次 / Clean visual hierarchy
Vandan V2Vandan V2 is an automated trading strategy for NQ1! (E-mini Nasdaq-100) based on short-term mean reversion with dynamic risk control. It combines volatility filters and overbought/oversold signals to capture local market imbalances.
Backtested from 2015 to 2025, it achieved a +730% total return, Profit Factor of 1.40, max drawdown of only 1.61%, and over 106,000 trades. Designed for systematic scalping or intraday arbitrage with a limit of 3 simultaneous contracts.
High Accuracy Engulfing Strategy [PIPNEXUS]Title: EMA Engulfing Setup
Description:
This indicator focuses on identifying strong engulfing patterns that form around the EMA line, helping traders catch high-probability moves in line with market direction.
Concept Overview:
The idea is simple — when both the engulfing candle and the candle being engulfed have their bodies touching the EMA line, it often represents a key point of rejection or continuation. These areas can produce clean entries with strong momentum.
How to Use:
1. Wait for a valid engulfing formation near the EMA line.
Both the engulfing and the engulfed candles should have their bodies touching the EMA.
2. Enter in the direction of the engulfing candle once the pattern is confirmed.
3. For pinpoint entries, observe the market during session changes (especially in the first 3–5 minutes after a session opens).
4. For longer and more stable trades, look for the same pattern on 15-minute or 1-hour charts.
5. Always align your trades with the prevailing market structure and avoid counter-trend setups.
Note:
This indicator is designed for technical and educational use. It does not generate buy or sell signals automatically, nor does it guarantee performance. Use it alongside your own market analysis and proper risk management.
Vandan V2Vandan V2 is an automated trend-following strategy for NASDAQ E-mini Futures (NQ1!).
It uses multi-timeframe momentum and volatility filters to identify high-probability entries.
Includes dynamic risk management and trailing logic optimized for intraday trading.
Basic DCA Strategy by Wongsakon KhaisaengThe Core Principle and Philosophy Behind the Basic DCA Strategy
1. Introduction
The Basic DCA Strategy (Dollar-Cost Averaging) represents one of the most fundamental and enduring investment methodologies in the realm of systematic accumulation. The philosophy underpinning DCA is rooted not in speculation or prediction, but in disciplined participation. It assumes that the consistent act of investing a fixed amount of capital over time—regardless of short-term price volatility—can yield superior long-term outcomes through the natural smoothing effect of cost averaging.
This strategy, expressed through the Pine Script code above, formalizes the DCA concept into a fully systematic trading framework, enabling quantitative backtesting and objective evaluation of long-term accumulation efficiency.
2. Mechanism of Operation
At its technical core, the strategy executes a fixed-value buy order at every predefined interval within a specific accumulation period.
Each DCA event invests a constant “Investment Amount (USD)” irrespective of price fluctuations. When prices decline, this constant investment buys a larger quantity of the asset; when prices rise, it purchases fewer units. Over time, this behavior lowers the average cost basis of the accumulated position, effectively neutralizing short-term timing risks.
Mathematically, this is represented as:
Units Purchased = Investment Amount / Closing Price
Cost Basis = Total Invested USD / Total Units Acquired
Portfolio Value = Total Units Acquired × Current Price
The algorithm tracks cumulative investment, acquired units, and commissions dynamically, continuously recalculating key portfolio metrics such as total profit/loss (PnL), CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate), and maximum drawdown (peak-to-trough equity decline).
Furthermore, the script juxtaposes DCA results with a Buy & Hold benchmark, where the entire initial capital is invested at once. This comparison highlights the behavioral resilience and volatility resistance of the DCA method relative to market-timing strategies.
3. The Essence of DCA Philosophy
At its philosophical core, DCA is not a trading system, but a behavioral framework for rational capital deployment under uncertainty. It embodies the principle that time in the market often outweighs timing the market.
The DCA approach rejects the illusion of precision forecasting and embraces probabilistic humility—the recognition that even the most skilled investors cannot consistently predict short-term market fluctuations. Instead, it focuses on controlling what is controllable: the frequency, consistency, and size of investment actions.
This mindset reflects a broader principle of risk dispersion through temporal diversification. Rather than concentrating entry risk into a single price point (as in lump-sum investing), DCA spreads exposure across multiple time intervals, thereby converting volatility into opportunity.
In essence, volatility—often perceived as risk—is reframed as a mechanism for mean reversion advantage. The strategy thrives precisely because markets oscillate; each fluctuation provides a chance to accumulate at varied price levels, improving the weighted-average entry over time.
4. Long-Term Rationality Over Short-Term Emotion
DCA’s endurance stems from its ability to neutralize emotional biases inherent in human decision-making. Investors tend to overreact to market euphoria or panic—buying high out of greed and selling low out of fear. By automating purchases through predefined intervals, the DCA model enforces mechanical discipline, detaching decision-making from sentiment.
This transforms investing from an emotional endeavor into a systematic, algorithmic routine governed by rules rather than reactions. In doing so, DCA serves not only as a financial model but also as a psychological safeguard—aligning investor behavior with long-term compounding logic rather than short-term speculation.
5. Comparative Insight: DCA vs. Buy & Hold
While both DCA and Buy & Hold share a long-term investment horizon, they diverge in their treatment of entry timing. The Buy & Hold model assumes full deployment of capital at the beginning, maximizing exposure to growth but also to volatility. Conversely, DCA smooths the entry curve, trading off short-term returns for long-term stability and improved average entry price.
In environments characterized by volatility and cyclical corrections, DCA tends to outperform in terms of risk-adjusted returns, lower drawdowns, and improved investor adherence—since it reduces the psychological pain of entering at local peaks.
6. Conclusion
The Basic DCA Strategy exemplifies the synthesis of mathematical rigor and behavioral discipline. Its algorithmic construction in Pine Script transforms a classical investment philosophy into a quantifiable, testable, and transparent framework.
By automating fixed-amount purchases across time, the system operationalizes the central axiom of DCA: consistency over conviction. It is not concerned with predicting future prices but with ensuring persistent participation—trusting that the market’s upward bias and the power of compounding will reward patience more than precision.
Ultimately, DCA embodies the timeless principle that successful investing is less about forecasting markets, and more about designing behavior that can endure them.
Master Trend Strategy - by jake_thebossMaster Trend Strategy
This strategy combines multiple technical indicators to identify high-probability trend entries across all asset classes.
Core Signal Logic:
Entry triggered when EMA 4 crosses above/below EMA 5
Confirmation required from RSI (>50 for long, <50 for short)
Price must be above/below key moving averages: EMA 21, SMA 50, EMA 55, EMA 89, and EMA 750
Additional confirmation from Stochastic (>52 bullish, <48 bearish) or EMA 89 breakout or VWAP cross
Key Features:
VWAP filter: Only takes bullish signals above VWAP and bearish signals below VWAP
Optional pyramiding: Allows multiple entries in the same direction (up to 200 orders)
Individual stop loss and take profit management for each pyramid level
Time filter: Customizable trading hours with timezone offset
Risk management: Adjustable stop loss (default 0.3%) and take profit (default 0.6%)
Visualization:
Entry, stop loss, and take profit levels drawn as horizontal lines
Customizable signal markers (triangles) for bull/bear entries
Optional EMA overlay display
The strategy is designed for trend-following on lower timeframes, with strict multi-indicator confirmation to filter out false signals.
Rebound Sigma Pro - StrategyOverview
Rebound Sigma Pro is a mean-reversion indicator that detects statistically oversold conditions in trending markets.
It helps traders identify potential short-term rebounds based on momentum exhaustion and volatility-adjusted entry zones.
Concept
The indicator combines two quantitative components:
Short-term momentum to detect short-term exhaustion
Trend filter to ensure setups align with the long-term direction
When a stock in an uptrend becomes temporarily oversold, a limit-entry signal is plotted.
The trade is then tracked until short-term conditions normalize or a time-based exit occurs.
Visual Signals
Green Triangle: Suggests placing a limit order for the next session
Green Circle: Confirms entry was filled
Red Triangle: Signals an exit for the next session’s open
Orange Background: Pending order
Green Background: Position active
Red Background: Exit phase
Yellow Line: Entry reference price
User Inputs
Limit Entry (% below previous close) – Default 1 %
Use Limit Entry – Switch between limit or market entries
Enable Time Exit – Optional holding-period constraint
Maximum Holding Days
All other internal parameters (momentum length, filters) are pre-configured.
Alerts
Limit Order Signal: New setup detected
Entry Confirmed: Order filled
Exit Signal: Exit expected next day
Usage
Designed for liquid equities and ETFs
Works best in confirmed uptrends
Backtesting encouraged to adapt parameters per symbol and timeframe
Notes
Not an automated strategy; manual order execution required
Past behavior does not imply future performance
Always apply sound position sizing and risk management
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and analytical purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or performance assurance.
AstraAlgo BacktesterOVERVIEW
The AstraAlgo Backtester allows traders to simulate and evaluate trading strategies directly on TradingView. By simulating trades across different timeframes and markets, it provides valuable insights into win rates, drawdowns, and overall strategy effectiveness.
SIGNAL MODES
Signal Modes generate proprietary trade signals based on live price data. Users can choose between Off, Basic, Advanced, or Custom modes to evaluate strategies under different conditions and refine their trading approach.
ADJUSTABLE BACKTESTING
Parameters for historical simulations can be customized to test different market conditions and trading scenarios. This allows traders to measure strategy performance, including win rate, profit/loss, and risk/reward ratios, helping refine and optimize strategies before live execution.
BAR COLORING
Bar Coloring highlights bullish and bearish bars on historical charts, allowing traders to visually assess trend direction and trade outcomes during backtesting. This makes it easier to analyze momentum and strategy effectiveness at a glance.
ASTRA CLOUD
Astra Cloud overlays dynamic support and resistance levels on live price data. These zones adapt automatically to past market movements, helping traders identify areas where trades would have reacted, aiding strategy evaluation and optimization.
AI - Gaussian Channel Strategy AI – Gaussian Channel Strategy is a long-only swing trading strategy designed for Bitcoin and other assets on daily charts. It combines an adaptive Gaussian Channel with Supertrend and Stochastic RSI filters to identify potential bullish breakouts or pullback entries. The channel defines trend direction and volatility, while the Stochastic RSI provides momentum confirmation. Positions are opened only when the price closes above the channel’s upper band under favorable momentum conditions, and are closed when the price crosses back below the band.
This script is intended for educational and research purposes. Parameters such as poles, period length, ATR factor, and RSI settings can be adjusted to fit different markets and timeframes.
Disclaimer: This script does not guarantee profits and should not be considered financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves risk, and you are solely responsible for your own decisions and outcomes.
Lead Levels TP/SL v1.3 (close-only entries)Lead Levels — close-only signals, clean execution
Notice: Designed for BTC 15-minute charts only.
What it shows
Four reliability tiers: L1, L2, L3, L4.
A black “DON’T BET” marker for extreme conditions you should skip.
All triangles print only on bar close to avoid repaint.
How to read
▲ BUY L1–L4: higher level → stronger confidence.
▼ SELL L1–L4: higher level → stronger confidence.
DON’T BET (black): stand aside. No trade.
How to trade it
When a triangle prints, run a 1:1 target/stop:
Long: TP +1%, SL −1%.
Short: TP −1%, SL +1%.
Focus on normal conditions. Skip when the black marker appears.
One entry per signal. Keep sizing consistent.
Why traders like it
Close-only printing keeps charts honest.
Simple 1:1 playbook. No guesswork.
Median + Tendência + ATR (Yehuda Nahmias)📊 Median + Trend + ATR (By Yehuda Nahmias)
🚀 The indicator that combines Simplicity, Accuracy, and Risk Management
This script brings together three key pillars of professional trading:
✅ Dynamic Median → captures price midpoints and highlights reversal and breakout zones.
✅ Trend Filter (EMA) → ensures signals are aligned with the main market direction.
✅ Smart ADX + ATR → confirm trend strength and automatically calculate Stop Loss and Take Profit based on volatility.
🔔 How it works:
Buy/Sell Arrows: automatically appear when price crosses the median under valid trend and strength conditions (ADX).
Automatic Stops and Targets: SL and TP levels are plotted using ATR, ready for effective risk management.
3 Signal Modes:
🛡️ Conservative → fewer trades, stronger filtering.
⚖️ Standard → balance between frequency and accuracy.
⚡ Aggressive → more trades, captures shorter moves.
💡 Key Benefits:
Clear visuals: colored candles + BUY/SELL arrows.
Built-in risk management: position size is calculated based on % of equity.
Flexible: works on any asset (Forex, Crypto, Indices, Stocks).
🔑 Private access only.
If you’d like to use this strategy on your charts, contact me via my TradingView profile.
👉 Turn your analysis into objective signals and gain more confidence in your entries and exits!
KCandle Strategy 1.0# KCandle Strategy 1.0 - Trading Strategy Description
## Overview
The **KCandle Strategy** is an advanced Pine Script trading system based on bullish and bearish engulfing candlestick patterns, enhanced with sophisticated risk management and position optimization features.
## Core Logic
### Entry Signal Generation
- **Pattern Recognition**: Detects bullish and bearish engulfing candlestick formations
- **EMA Filter**: Uses a customizable EMA (default 25) to filter trades in the direction of the trend
- **Entry Levels**:
- **Long entries** at 25% of the candlestick range from the low
- **Short entries** at 75% of the candlestick range from the low
- **Signal Validation**: Orange candlesticks indicate valid setup conditions
### Risk Management System
#### 1. **Stop Loss & Take Profit**
- Configurable stop loss in pips
- Risk-reward ratio setting (default 2:1)
- Visual representation with colored lines and labels
#### 2. **Break-Even Management**
- Automatically moves stop loss to break-even when specified R:R is reached
- Customizable break-even offset for added protection
- Prevents losing trades after reaching profitability
#### 3. **Trailing Stop System**
- **Activation Trigger**: Activates when position reaches specified R:R level
- **Distance Control**: Maintains trailing stop at defined distance from entry
- **Step Management**: Moves stop loss forward in incremental R steps
- **Dynamic Protection**: Locks in profits while allowing for continued upside
### Advanced Features
#### Position Management
- **Pyramiding Support**: Optional multiple position entries with size reduction
- **Order Expiration**: Pending orders automatically cancel after specified bars
- **Position Sizing**: Percentage-based allocation with pyramid level adjustments
#### Visual Interface
- **Real-time Monitoring**: Comprehensive information panel with all strategy metrics
- **Historical Tracking**: Visual representation of past trades and levels
- **Color-coded Indicators**: Different colors for break-even, trailing, and standard stops
- **Debug Options**: Optional labels for troubleshooting and optimization
## Key Parameters
### Basic Settings
- **EMA Length**: Trend filter period
- **Stop Loss**: Risk per trade in pips
- **Risk/Reward**: Target profit ratio
- **Order Validity**: Duration of pending orders
### Risk Management
- **Break-Even R:R**: Profit level to trigger break-even
- **Trailing Activation**: R:R level to start trailing
- **Trailing Distance**: Stop distance from entry when trailing
- **Trailing Step**: Increment for stop loss advancement
## Strategy Benefits
1. **Objective Entry Signals**: Based on proven candlestick patterns
2. **Trend Alignment**: EMA filter ensures trades align with market direction
3. **Robust Risk Control**: Multiple layers of protection (SL, BE, Trailing)
4. **Profit Optimization**: Trailing stops maximize winning trade potential
5. **Flexibility**: Extensive customization options for different market conditions
6. **Visual Clarity**: Complete visual feedback for trade management
## Ideal Use Cases
- **Swing Trading**: Medium-term positions with trend-following approach
- **Breakout Trading**: Capturing momentum from engulfing patterns
- **Risk-Conscious Trading**: Suitable for traders prioritizing capital preservation
- **Multi-Timeframe**: Adaptable to various timeframes and instruments
---
*The KCandle Strategy combines traditional technical analysis with modern risk management techniques, providing traders with a comprehensive tool for systematic market participation.*
IB BreakoutIt marks the IB range (high, low, midpoint) from a chosen session window (default 9:30–10:30).
It plots the IB lines, midpoint (colored based on close), and extension levels (+/–25% and 50%).
After the IB session ends, it looks for breakouts:
Long if price closes above IB high.
Short if price closes below IB low.
Each trade targets the 25% extension in the breakout direction, with an optional stop at the opposite IB level.
It limits the number of trades per day and displays info (trades, position, IB range, next target) in a table.
Supertrend [TradingConToto]Supertrend — ADX/DI + EMA Gap + Breakout (with Mobile UI)
What makes it original
Supertrend combines trend strength (ADX/DI), multi-timeframe bias (EMA63 and EMA 200D equivalent), a structural filter based on the distance between EMA2400 and EMA4800 expressed in ATR units, and a momentum confirmation through a previous high breakout.
This is not a random mashup — it’s a sequence of filters designed to reduce trades in ranging markets and prioritize mature trends:
Direction: +DI > -DI (trend led by buyers).
Strength: ADX > mean(ADX) (avoids weak, choppy phases).
Short-term bias: Close > EMA63.
Long-term bias: Close > EMA4800 ≈ EMA200 daily on H1.
Momentum: Close > High (immediate breakout).
Structure: (EMA2400 − EMA4800) > k·ATR (ensures separation in ATR units, filters out flat phases).
Entries & exits
Entry: when all six conditions are met and no open position exists.
Exit: if +DI < -DI or Close < EMA63.
Visuals: EMA63 is painted green while in position and red otherwise, with a supertrend-style band; “BUY” labels appear below the green band and “SELL” labels above the red band.
UI: includes a compact table (mobile-friendly) showing the state of each condition.
Default parameters used in this publication
Initial capital: 10,000
Position size: 10% of equity (≤10% per trade is considered sustainable).
Commission: 0.01% per side (adjust to your broker/market).
Slippage: 1 tick
Pyramiding: 0 (only one position at a time)
Adjust commission/slippage to match your market. For US equities, commissions are often per share; for spot crypto, 0.10–0.20% total is common. I publish with 0.01% per side as a conservative example to avoid overestimating results.
Recommended backtest dataset
Timeframe: H1
Multi-cycle window (e.g. 2015–today)
Symbols with high liquidity (e.g. NASDAQ-100 large caps, or BTC/ETH spot) to generate 100+ trades. Avoid cherry-picked short windows.
Why each filter matters
+DI > -DI + ADX > mean: reduce counter-trend trades and weak signals.
Close > EMA63 + Close > EMA4800: enforce trend alignment in short and long horizons.
Breakout High : requires immediate momentum, avoids early entries.
EMA gap in ATR units: blocks flat or compressed structures where EMA200D aligns with price.
Limitations
The breakout filter may skip healthy pullbacks; the design prioritizes continuation over perfect entry price.
No fixed trailing stop/TP; exits depend on trend degradation via DI/EMA63.
Results vary with real costs (commissions, slippage, funding). Adjust defaults to your broker.
How to use
Apply it on a clean chart (no other indicators when publishing).
Keep in mind the default parameters above; if you change them, mention it in your notes and use the same values in the Strategy Tester.
Ensure your dataset produces 100+ trades for statistical validity.
AI KNN-Dual SuperTrend MTF - by Trading Pine Lab🇬🇧
The AI KNN-Dual SuperTrend MTF is a next-generation trading strategy that merges two higher-timeframe SuperTrends with dual KNN (K-Nearest Neighbors) classifiers, an ADX/DMI filter, and a Pivot Percentile bias module. This layered architecture ensures stronger signal confirmation by requiring consensus across AI models, multi-timeframe SuperTrends, and statistical filters.
Entries occur only when both SuperTrends align with bullish or bearish KNN labels, while the ADX/DMI filter validates momentum. Exits are managed dynamically with adaptive trailing stops (ST ± ATR × factor) or when market conditions flip according to percentile bias.
All parameters are fully configurable:
-Trading direction filter: Long / Short / Both.
-KNN classifiers: neighbors (K), dataset size (N), smoothing lengths.
-Dual SuperTrend: higher timeframes, ATR length, ATR factor, baseline type.
-ADX/DMI filter: customizable length and timeframe.
-Pivot Percentile module: multi-scale statistical bias.
-Visualization: AI markers, ribbons, aura lines, and per-trend coloring.
Bull-Bear Power ZScore - by Trading Pine Lab🇬🇧
The Bull-Bear Power ZScore Strategy is an advanced trading framework that integrates Bull-Bear Power (BBP) with a statistical Z-Score model.
BBP measures the relative strength of buyers vs. sellers against an EMA baseline, while the Z-Score standardizes this relationship to detect statistically significant breakouts.
This dual-layer approach provides early trend detection while reducing noise from raw momentum signals.
Entries are triggered when the Z-Score crosses above or below its threshold (long above +T, short below –T). Exits occur when the Z-Score crosses back to zero, ensuring trades close when momentum fades.
A dynamic multi-level take-profit system is integrated, using ATR-based targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) that automatically adapt to **volume context** (high/medium/low) and **percentile analysis** (distribution of price and volume).
This ensures profit targets stretch in strong environments and tighten in weaker conditions, optimizing both risk and reward.
All parameters are fully configurable:
-Bull-Bear Power Settings: EMA length, Z-Score length, Z-Score threshold.
-Take Profit Settings: enable/disable TP system, ATR period, TP1–TP3 multipliers, TP1–TP3 position sizes.
-Volume Analysis: volume MA period, high/medium/low multipliers, adjustment factors.
-Percentile Analysis: percentile lookback period, high/medium/low thresholds, adjustment factors.
ETH/BTC/XRP Strategy - Powered by BCHETH/BTC/XRP Strategy — Cross-Asset Momentum-Based Strategy
Overview
This strategy aims to identify medium-term long trade opportunities on ETH/BTC/XRP 2 or 4 hour charts by leveraging cross-asset momentum signals from Bitcoin Cash (BCH) relative to Ethereum (ETH). It integrates volatility filters, volume validation, and momentum confirmations to improve trade timing and risk management.
Key Features and Logic
Cross-Asset Momentum Filter: Enters long trades when BCH outperforms ETH in the prior candle, supporting relative strength confirmation.
Volume Confirmation: BCH volume must exceed 135% of its 20-period average, validating market interest before entry signals.
Volatility Filter: ETH price near or below 110% of the lower Bollinger Band (20 periods, 2σ) indicates oversold conditions.
Momentum Indicators: ETH RSI below 70 ensures the asset is not overbought, coupled with BCH MACD line crossing above its signal line for bullish bias.
Risk Controls: Includes trailing stop losses and take profit targets to protect gains and limit drawdowns.
Timing Constraints: Controlled cooldown periods between trades help prevent overtrading and false signals.
Usage Recommendations
Optimized for 2 or 4hour ETH/BTC/XRP USDT candles; 5-minute data optionally used for finer entries and exits.
Suitable for traders seeking dynamic timing based on multi-asset interactions rather than blind holding.
Works as a complement within diversified or rotational strategies focusing on Ethereum exposure.
Performance Summary (Backtest Jan 2023 – Jul 2025) ; ETHUSDT 2hour basis.
Total trades: 65
Win rate: 61.5%
Profit factor: 5.1
Note: The sample size is limited; results should be interpreted with caution. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Important Notes
This script represents an original combination of cross-asset momentum with volatility and volume filters tailored to ETH and BCH interaction.
Source code is protected to safeguard unique implementation details while allowing free usage without restrictions.
Use appropriate risk management, and consider these signals as part of a broader trading analysis.
No guarantees on profitability; trading involves significant risk.
