ICT Daily Bias Finder [DTCC]What is This?
The ICT Daily Bias Finder uses a method called "DTCC" to identify the London and New York session's bias, bullish or bearish. This indicator should only be relied on for 5 minute, and not other timeframes.
How do I use it?
Look at the previous days two boxes (labeled DTCC Bear/DTCC Bull), if both are bullish or both are bearish it is NOT recommended to rely on DTCC for that day. If the first one is bullish and second one is bearish, the DTCC for the next day says that London session will turn ABOVE midnight opening price, while New York will turn UNDER midnight opening price (longs in London, shorts in New York). If the second one is bearish and the first is bullish, the DTCC for the next day says that London session will turn UNDER midnight opening price, while New York will turn ABOVE midnight opening price (shorts in London, longs in New York)
Emoji guide to DTCC indicator:
🟢🟢: Don't trust DTCC for that day
🔴🔴: Don't trust DTCC for that day
🟢🔴: Longs in London above Midnight Opening Price, Shorts in New York under Midnight Opening Price
🔴🟢: Shorts in London under Midnight Opening Price, Longs in New York under Midnight Opening Price
Reminder: NEVER rely solely on DTCC, DTCC can be wrong and is not right 100% of times.
Sentiment
Liquidation Ranges + Volume/OI Dots [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
Introducing a multi-faceted indicator "Liquidation Ranges + Volume Dots" - this indicator replicates the volume dot tools found on various charting platforms and populates a liquidation range on crypto assets!
Features
Volume/OI dots populated according to user settings
Size of volume/OI dots corresponds to degree of abnormality
Naked level volume dots
Fixed range capabilities for volume/OI dots
Visible time range capabilities for volume/OI dots
Lower timeframe data used to discover iceberg orders (estimated using 1-minute data)
S/R lines drawn at high volume/OI areas
Liquidation ranges for crypto assets (10x - 100x)
Liquidation ranges are calculated using a popular crypto exchange's method
# of violations of liquidation ranges are recorded and presented in table
Pertinent high volume/OI price areas are recorded and presented in table
Personalized coloring for volume/OI dots
Net shorts / net long for the price range recorded
Lines shows reflecting net short & net long increases/decreases
Configurable volume/OI heatmap (displayed between liquidation ranges)
And some more (:
Liquidation Range
The liquidation range component of the indicator uses a popular crypto exchange's calculation (for liquidation ranges) to populate the chart for where 10x - 100x leverage orders are stopped out.
The image above depicts features corresponding to net shorts and net longs.
The image above shows features corresponding to liquidation zones for the underlying coin.
The image above shows the option to display volume/oi delta at the time the corresponding grid was traded at.
The image above shows an instance of using the "fixed range" feature for the script.
*The average price of the range is calculated to project liquidation zones.
*Heatmap is calculated using OI (or volume) delta.
Huge thank you to Pine Wizard @DonovanWall for his range filter code!
Price ranges are automatically detected using his calculation (:
Volume / OI Dots
Similar to other charting platforms, the volume/OI dots component of the indicator distinguishes "abnormal" changes in volume/OI; the detected price area is subsequently identified on the chart.
The detection method uses percent rank and calculates on the last bar of the chart. The "agelessness" of detection is contingent on user settings.
The image above shows volume dots in action; the size of each volume dot corresponds to the amount of volume at the price area.
Smaller dots = lower volume
Larger dots = higher volume
The image above exemplifies the highest aggression setting for volume/OI dot detection.
The table oriented top-right shows the highest volume areas (discovered on the 1-minute chart) for the calculated period.
The open interest change and corresponding price level are also shown. Results are listed in descending order but can also be listed in order of occurrence (most relevant).
Additionally, you can use the visible time range feature to detect volume dots.
The feature shows and explains how the visible range feature works. You select how many levels you want to detect and the script will detect the selected number of levels.
For instance, if I select to show 20 levels, the script will find the 20 highest volume/OI change price areas and distinguish them.
The image above shows a narrower price range.
The image above shows the same price range; however, the script is detecting the highest OI change price areas instead of volume.
* You can also set a fixed range with this feature
* Naked levels can be used
Additionally, you can select for the script to show only the highest volume/ OI change price area for each bar. When active, the script will successively identify the highest volume / OI change price area for the most recent bars.
Naked Levels
The image above shows and explains how naked levels can be detected when using the script.
And that's pretty much it!
Of course, there're a few more features you can check out when you use the script that haven't been explained here (:
Thank you again to @DonovanWall
Thank you to @Trendoscope for his binary insertion sort library (:
Thank you to @PineCoders for their time library
Thank you for checking this out!
Historic Volume/Market ProfilesHistoric Volume/Market Profile is a Periodic Volume Profile with all of the improvements known in the original Volume/Market Profile.
VMP is a 2 in 1 Volume and Market Profile Indicator.
HVMP uses the base of VMP to offer a quick and simple view at multiple historic profiles at the same time.
This includes:
Cluster Identification for High Volume and Low Volume Areas.
Maximizing granularity by utilizing boxes and lines to get up to 1000 rows.
New Inclusions in HVMP vs VMP:
HVMP granularity is determined by the # of profiles on display. By doing this, each profile will get an even amount of allocated rows to use and granularity is scaled per-profile, to fit within the row allowance.
For Example: 1000/(# of profiles) = Maximum # of rows per profile.
HVMP introduces the "Auto-Scale" Option (on by Default), this automatically fits each profile within the defined timeframe period to provide a consistent display when switching timeframes.
Even with "Auto-Scale" enabled, "Display Size" dictates which direction the profile is displayed.
Below is a Negative Display Size (Displays from right to left, starting at the end of the period)
Below is a Positive Display Size (Displays from left to right, starting at the beginning of the period)
HVMP is only for historical data, you can get a live profile with the same Node Identification using VMP (Volume Market/Profile). The indicator that this one is based on.
Find it Here: Volume/Market Profile
Enjoy!
Indian Market Sessions for BacktestingThis indicator is designed to increase the quality of your backtesting in the Indian Market.
NSE & BSE run from 9:15 am IST to 3:30 pm IST.
Naturally different times have different kinds of volatility.
On your chart you will find premarked -
Saffron - 9:15 am to 10:30 am - Opening Session - High Volatility Observed Historically
White - 10:35 am to 2:25 pm - Middle Session - Lower Volatility Observed Historically
Green - 2:30 pm to 3:30 pm - Closing Session - Medium to High Volatility Observed Historically
You will also find the start of each session marked with an arrow.
Feel free to change the times from the input settings and the color and visibility from the style settings.
_______________
Usage:
When you backtest any strategies, say moving average crossovers, also mark the sessions in your sheet which will help you further increase accuracy.
Feel free to drop your doubts in the comments.
Yesterday's High v.17.07Yesterday’s High Breakout it is a trading system based on the analysis of yesterday's highs, it works in trend-following mode therefore it opens a long position at the breakout of yesterday's highs even if they occur several times in one day.
There are several methods for exiting a trade, each with its own unique strategy. The first method involves setting Take-Profit and Stop-Loss percentages, while the second utilizes a trailing-stop with a specified offset value. The third method calls for a conditional exit when the candle closes below a reference EMA.
Additionally, operational filters can be applied based on the volatility of the currency pair, such as calculating the percentage change from the opening or incorporating a gap to the previous day's high levels. These filters help to anticipate or delay entry into the market, mitigating the risk of false breakouts.
In the specific case of INJ, a 12% Take-Profit and a 1.5% Stop-Loss were set, with an activated trailing-stop percentage, TRL 1 and OFF 0.5.
To postpone entry and avoid false breakouts, a 1% gap was added to the price of yesterday's highs.
Name: Yesterday's High Breakout - Trend Follower Strategy
Author: @tumiza999
Category: Trend Follower, Breakout of Yesterday's High.
Operating mode: Spot or Futures (only long).
Trade duration: Intraday.
Timeframe: 30M, 1H, 2H, 4H
Market: Crypto
Suggested usage: Short-term trading, when the market is in trend and it is showing high volatility.
Entry: When there is a breakout of Yesterday's High.
Exit: Profit target or Trailing stop, Stop loss or Crossunder EMA.
Configuration:
- Gap to anticipate or postpone the entry before or after the identified level
- Rate of Change for Entry Condition
- Take Profit, Stop Loss and Trailing Stop
- EMA length
Backtesting:
⁃ Exchange: BINANCE
⁃ Pair: INJUSDT
⁃ Timeframe: 4H
- Treshold: 1
- Gap%: 1
- SL: 1.5
- TP:12
- TRL: 1
- OFF-TRL: 0.5
⁃ Fee: 0.075%
⁃ Slippage: 1
- Initial Capital: 10000 USDT
- Position sizing: 10% of Equity
- Start : 2018-07-26 (Out Of Sample from 2022-12-23)
- Bar magnifier: on
Credits: LucF for Pine Coders (f_security function to avoid repainting using security)
Disclaimer: Risk Management is crucial, so adjust stop loss to your comfort level. A tight stop loss can help minimise potential losses. Use at your own risk.
How you or we can improve? Source code is open so share your ideas!
Leave a comment and smash the boost button!
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Thange Momentum KicksTitle: Thange Momentum Kicks Indicator - Identify Strong Bullish and Bearish Candles
Description:
The Thange Momentum Kicks indicator is a small tool designed to identify strong bullish and bearish candles in a candlestick price chart. By analyzing the momentum and size of each candle, this indicator highlights potential significant price movements.
The indicator marks strong bullish candles with a "Bull Kick" label to signal their strength on price action. Similarly, strong bearish candles are identified with the "Bear Kick" label. These kicks are characterized by their size and momentum, indicating a high probability of significant price movement.
The indicator allows traders and investors to easily spot these kicks on their charts, helping them make quick decisions. It calculates the percentage momentum of each candle and compares it to the specified thresholds for bullish and bearish kicks.
Key Features:
- Identifies strong bullish and bearish candles ("Kicks") based on momentum and size.
- Customizable input parameters for setting the percentage thresholds for kicks.
- Labels and tooltips provide essential information such as momentum, percentage change, open, and close prices.
- Differentiates between bullish kicks with blue color and bearish kicks with a unique pink color.
- Plots the candles with the specified colors for easy visualization.
Instructions:
1. Look for the "Kicks" labeled candles on your chart.
2. Bullish kicks indicate strong upward momentum, while bearish kicks represent strong downward momentum.
3. Consider the size and momentum of the kicks when making trading decisions.
4. Combine the Thange Momentum Kicks indicator with other technical analysis tools for a comprehensive market analysis.
Note: The Thange Momentum Kicks indicator is most effective when used in conjunction with other indicators, chart patterns, and risk management strategies to confirm signals and optimize trade entries and exits.
Disclaimer: This indicator should be used as a tool for technical analysis and does not guarantee specific trading outcomes. Users should exercise their own discretion and risk management when making trading decisions based on this indicator.
I hope my Thange Momentum Kicks indicator enhances your trading experience and helps you identify strong bullish and bearish candles with ease. Happy trading!
Highest High and lowest low - Sachin Wakpaijan
The "Highest High and Lowest Low" indicator, created by Sachin Wakpaijan, is a powerful tool designed to identify the highest high and lowest low in a trading instrument's price history. This indicator can be used on TradingView to gain insights into significant price levels and potential trend reversals.
Inputs:
Display Emoji: This input parameter enables or disables the display of emoji symbols on the chart.
Functionality:
The indicator calculates the highest high and lowest low based on the price history. It performs the following steps:
Highest High Calculation: The indicator calculates the highest high by comparing the current high with the previously recorded highest high. If a new high is found, the highest high is updated. The lowest low is set to the highest high.
Lowest Low Calculation: The indicator calculates the lowest low based on the current low. If a new low is found, the lowest low is updated, and the highest after the low is set to the lowest low.
Checking for Highest After Low: If the current high exceeds the highest after the low, the highest after the low is updated.
Plotting: The indicator plots the highest high, highest after low, and lowest high on the chart. Additionally, it displays emoji symbols on the chart based on specific conditions, such as the highest high and the relationship between the high and the open/close prices.
Usage:
The "Highest High and Lowest Low" indicator can be applied to any trading instrument and time frame. It helps traders identify significant price levels, potential trend reversal points, and gauge the strength of price movements. The indicator's customizable input parameter allows users to adjust the visual appearance according to their preferences.
Note:
This indicator is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Traders should conduct thorough analysis and use additional indicators or techniques to validate their trading decisions.
Author:
This indicator was created by Sachin Wakpaijan. You can find more of their work on TradingView.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves risks, and it is essential to understand and acknowledge the risks associated with trading before making any investment decisions. The author do not assume any responsibility for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Price & Volume Profile (Expo)█ Overview
The Price & Volume Profile provides a holistic perspective on market dynamics by simultaneously tracking price action and trading volume across a range of price levels. So it is not only a volume-based indicator but also a price-based one. In addition to illustrating volume distribution, it quantifies how frequently the price has fallen within a particular range, thus offering a holistic perspective on market dynamics.
This unique and comprehensive approach to market analysis by considering both price action and trading volume, two crucial dimensions of market activity. Its distinctive methodology offers several advantages:
Holistic Market View: By simultaneously tracking the frequency of specific price ranges (Price Profile) and the volume traded at those ranges (Volume Profile), this indicator provides a more complete picture of market behavior. It shows not only where the market is trading but also how much it's trading, reflecting both price acceptance levels and market participation intensity.
Point of Control (POC): The POC, as highlighted by this indicator, serves as a significant reference point for traders. It identifies the price level with the highest trading activity, thus indicating a strong consensus among market participants about the asset's fair value. Observing how price interacts with the POC can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential trend reversals.
Support and Resistance Levels: Price levels with high trading activity often act as support or resistance in future price movements. The indicator visually represents these levels, enabling traders to anticipate potential price reactions.
Price Profile
Price and Volume Profile
█ Calculations
The algorithm analyzes both trade frequency and volume across different price levels. It identifies these levels within the visible chart range, then examines each bar to determine if the selected price falls within these levels. If so, it increases a counter and adds the trading volume. This process repeats across the visible range and is visualized as a horizontal histogram, each bar representing a price level and the bar length reflecting trade frequency and volume. Additionally, it calculates the Point of Control (POC), signifying the price level with the highest activity.
In summary: The histogram presents a dual perspective - not only the traded volume at each price level but also the frequency of the price hitting each range. The longer the bar, the more times the price has frequented that specific range, revealing key insights into price behavior and acceptance levels. These frequently visited areas often emerge as strong support or resistance zones, helping traders navigate market movements.
Please note that the indicator adjusts to the visible price range, making it adaptable to changing market conditions. This dynamic analysis can provide more relevant and timely information than static indicators.
█ How to use
This indicator is beneficial for traders as it offers insights into the distribution of trading activity across different price levels. It helps identify key areas of support and resistance and gives a visual representation of market sentiment and liquidity.
The point of control (POC) , which is the price level with the highest traded volume or frequency count, becomes even more crucial in this context. It marks the price at which the most trading activity occurred, signaling a strong consensus among market participants about the asset's fair value. If the market price deviates significantly from the POC, it could suggest an overbought or oversold condition, potentially leading to a price reversion.
Fair Price Areas/gaps are specific price levels or zones where an asset has spent limited time in the past. These areas are considered interesting or significant because they may have an impact on future price action.
Similar to the concept of fair value gaps, which refers to discrepancies between an asset's market price and its estimated intrinsic value, Fair Price Areas/gaps focus on price levels that have been relatively underutilized in terms of trading activity. When an asset's price reaches a Fair Price Area/gap, traders and investors pay attention because they expect the price to react in some way. The rationale behind this concept is that price tends to gravitate towards areas where it has spent less time in the past, as the market perceives them as significant levels.
█ Settings
The indicator is customizable, allowing users to define the number of price levels (rows), the offset, the data source, and whether to display volume or frequency count. It also adjusts dynamically to the visible price range on the chart, ensuring that the analysis remains relevant and timely with changing market conditions.
Source: The price to use for the calculation. Typically, this is the closing price. By considering the user-selected Source (typically the closing price), the indicator determines the frequency with which the price lands within each designated price level (row) over the selected period. In essence, the indicator provides a count of bars where the Source price falls within each range, essentially creating a "Price Profile."
Row Size: The number of price levels (rows) to divide the visible price range into.
Display: Choose whether to display the number of bars ("Counter") or the total volume ("Volume") for each price level.
Offset: The distance of the histogram from the price chart.
Point of Control (POC): If enabled, the indicator will highlight the price level with the most activity.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Developing Market Profile / TPO [Honestcowboy]The Developing Market Profile Indicator aims to broaden the horizon of Market Profile / TPO research and trading. While standard Market Profiles aim is to show where PRICE is in relation to TIME on a previous session (usually a day). Developing Market Profile will change bar by bar and display PRICE in relation to TIME for a user specified number of past bars.
What is a market profile?
"Market Profile is an intra-day charting technique (price vertical, time/activity horizontal) devised by J. Peter Steidlmayer. Steidlmayer was seeking a way to determine and to evaluate market value as it developed in the day time frame. The concept was to display price on a vertical axis against time on the horizontal, and the ensuing graphic generally is a bell shape--fatter at the middle prices, with activity trailing off and volume diminished at the extreme higher and lower prices."
For education on market profiles I recommend you search the net and study some profitable traders who use it.
Key Differences
Does not have a value area but distinguishes each column in relation to the biggest column in percentage terms.
Updates bar by bar
Does not take sessions into account
Shows historical values for each bar
While there is an entire education system build around Market Profiles they usually focus on a daily profile and in some cases how the value area develops during the day (there are indicators showing the developing value area).
The idea of trading based on a developing value area is what inspired me to build the Developing Market Profile.
🟦 CALCULATION
Think of this Developing Market Profile the same way as you would think of a moving average. On each bar it will lookback 200 bars (or as user specified) and calculate a Market Profile from those bars (range).
🔹Market Profile gets calculated using these steps:
Get the highest high and lowest low of the price range.
Separate that range into user specified amount of price zones (all spaced evenly)
Loop through the ranges bars and on each bar check in which price zones price was, then add +1 to the zones price was in (we do this using the OccurenceArray)
After it looped through all bars in the range it will draw columns for each price zone (using boxes) and make them as wide as the OccurenceArray dictates in number of bars
🔹Coloring each column:
The script will find the biggest column in the Profile and use that as a reference for all other columns. It will then decide for each column individually how big it is in % compared to the biggest column. It will use that percentage to decide which color to give it, top 20% will be red, top 40% purple, top 60% blue, top 80% green and all the rest yellow. The user is able to adjust these numbers for further customisation.
The historical display of the profiles uses plotchar() and will not only use the color of the column at that time but the % rating will also decide transparancy for further detail when analysing how the profiles developed over time. Each of those historical profiles is calculated using its own 200 past bars. This makes the script very heavy and that is why it includes optimisation settings, more info below.
🟦 USAGE
My general idea of the markets is that they are ever changing and that in studying that changing behaviour a good trader is able to distinguish new behaviour from old behaviour and adapt his approach before losing traders "weak hands" do.
A Market Profile can visually show a trader what kind of market environment we currently are in. In training this visual feedback helps traders remember past market environments and how the market behaved during these times.
Use the history shown using plotchars in colors to get an idea of how the Market Profile looked at each bar of the chart.
This history will help in studying how price moves at different stages of the Market Profile development.
I'm in no way an expert in trading Market Profiles so take this information with a grain of salt. Below an idea of how I would trade using this indicator:
🟦 SETTINGS
🔹MARKET PROFILING
Lookback: The amount of bars the Market Profile will look in the past to calculate where price has been the most in that range
Resolution: This is the amount of columns the Market Profile will have. These columns are calculated using the highest and lowest point price has been for the lookback period
Resolution is limited to a maximum of 32 because of pinescript plotting limits (64). Each plotchar() because of using variable colors takes up 2 of these slots
🔹VISUAL SETTINGS
Profile Distance From Chart: The amount of bars the market profile will be offset from the current bar
Border width (MP): The line thickness of the Market Profile column borders
Character: This is the character the history will use to show past profiles, default is a square.
Color theme: You can pick 5 colors from biggest column of the Profile to smallest column of the profile.
Numbers: these are for % to decide column color. So on default top 20% will be red, top 40% purple... Always use these in descending order
Show Market Profile: This setting will enable/disable the current Market Profile (columns on right side of current bar)
Show Profile History: This setting will enable/disable the Profile History which are the colored characters you see on each bar
🔹OPTIMISATION AND DEBUGGING
Calculate from here: The Market Profile will only start to calculate bar by bar from this point. Setting is needed to optimise loading time and quite frankly without it the script would probably exceed tradingview loading time limits.
Min Size: This setting is there to avoid visual bugs in the script. Scaling the chart there can be issues where the Market Profile extends all the way to 0. To avoid this use a minimum size bigger than the bugged bottom box
Bitcoin Economics Adaptive MultipleBEAM (Bitcoin Economics Adaptive Multiple) is an indicator that assesses the valuation of Bitcoin by dividing the current price of Bitcoin by a moving average of past prices. Its purpose is to provide insights into whether Bitcoin is under or overvalued at any given time. The thresholds for the buy and sell zones in BEAM are adjustable, allowing users to customize the indicator based on their preferences and trading strategies.
BEAM categorizes Bitcoin's valuation into two distinct zones: the green buy zone and the red sell zone.
Green Buy Zone:
The green buy zone in BEAM indicates that Bitcoin is potentially undervalued. Traders and investors may interpret this zone as a favorable buying opportunity. The threshold for the buy zone can be adjusted to suit individual preferences or trading strategies.
Red Sell Zone:
The red sell zone in BEAM suggests that Bitcoin is potentially overvalued. Traders and investors may consider selling their Bitcoin holdings during this zone to secure profits or manage risk. The threshold for the sell zone is adjustable, allowing users to adapt the indicator based on their trading preferences.
Methodology:
BEAM calculates the indicator value using the following formula:
beam = math.log(close / ta.sma(close, math.min(count, 1400))) / 2.5
The calculation involves taking the natural logarithm of the ratio between the current price of Bitcoin and a simple moving average of past prices. The moving average period used is a minimum of the specified count or 1400, providing a suitable historical reference for valuation assessment.
The resulting value of BEAM provides a standardized measure that can be compared across different time periods. By adjusting the thresholds for the buy and sell zones, users can customize BEAM to their preferred levels of undervaluation and overvaluation.
Utility:
BEAM serves as a tool for investors in the Bitcoin market, offering insights into Bitcoin's valuation and potential buying or selling opportunities. By monitoring BEAM, market participants can gauge whether Bitcoin is potentially undervalued or overvalued, helping them make informed decisions regarding their Bitcoin positions.
It is important to note that BEAM should be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to validate signals and avoid relying solely on this indicator for trading decisions. Additionally, traders and investors are encouraged to adjust the threshold values based on their specific trading strategies, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
Credit: The BEAM (Bitcoin Economics Adaptive Multiple) indicator was originally developed by BitcoinEcon
Open interest flow / quantifytools- Overview
Open interest flow detects inflows (positions opening) and outflows (positions closing) using open interest and estimates delta (net buyers/sellers) for the flows. Users are able to choose any open interest source available on Tradingview, by default set to BTCUSDT OI fetched from Binance. Using historical open interest flows, bands depicting typical magnitude of flows are formed for benchmarking intensity of flows. On the inflow side, +1 represents average inflows while +2 represents 2x above average inflows, a level considered an extreme. In a vice versa manner, -1 represents average outflows while -2 represents 2x above average outflows. Extreme inflows indicate aggressive position opening, in other words exuberance. Extreme outflows on the other hand indicate forced exiting of positions, in other words liquidations.
- Concept
Open interest flow is calculated using position of OI source relative to its moving average (by default set to SMA 10), referred to as relative open interest from hereon. When relative OI is positive (open interest is above its moving average), new positions are considered to enter the market. When relative OI is negative (open interest is below its moving average), existing positions are considered to exit the market. Open interest delta (side opening/closing positions, either net buyers/sellers) is calculated using relative price in a similar fashion to relative OI, but using close of viewed symbol as source. Price is considered to be up when relative price is positive, down when relative price is negative. Using relative OI and relative price in tandem, the following assumptions are applied:
Price up, open interest up = longs entering market
Price down, open interest up = shorts entering market
Price down, open interest down = longs exiting market
Price up, open interest down = shorts exiting market
Bands depicting magnitude of open interest flows are calculated using average turning points in relative OI. +1 and -1 represent levels where flows on average turn towards mean rather than continue to increase/decrease. These levels are then multiplied up to +2 and -2, representing two times larger deviations from the normal. When inflows are above 1, positions opening have reached a point where flows historically turn down. Therefore, anything above 1 would be abnormal amount of open interest entering, an extreme stretch being at 2 or above. Same logic applies to outflows, but in a vice versa manner (below -1 abnormal, extreme at -2)
Flow bursts further refine indications of aggressive inflows/outflows by taking into account change in open interest flows. Burst indications are activated when open interest is above its average turning point, coupled with a sufficient increase/decrease in flows simultaneously. Bursts are essentially a filtered version of abnormal flows and therefore a more reliable indication of exuberance/liquidations. Burst sensitivity can be adjusted via input menu, available in 5 settings. 1 sets OI burst requirements to loosest (more signals, more noise) while 5 sets OI burst requirements to strictest (less signals, less noise). Exact criteria applied to bursts can be viewed via input menu tooltip.
- Features
Users can opt for OI source auto-select for CRYPTO/USDT pairs. When auto-select is enabled and another chart is opened, corresponding open interest source is automatically selected as long as requirements mentioned above are met.
Open interest flows can be visualized as chart color, available separately for flow states and flow bursts.
Relative price line and flow guidelines (reminders for flow interpretation) can be enabled via input menu. All colors are customizable.
- Alerts
Available alerts are the following:
- Abnormal long inflows/outflows
- Abnormal short inflows/outflows
- Abnormal inflows/outflows from either side
- Aggressive longs/shorts (flow burst up)
- Liquidated longs/shorts (flow burst down)
- Aggressive or liquidated longs/shorts
- Practical guide
Open interest as a standalone data point does not reveal which side is likely opening/exiting positions and how extreme the participant behavior is. Using the additional data provided by open interest flows, moments of greed and fear can be detected. Smart money does not short into dips and buy into rips. When buyers or sellers have participated in a large move and continue to show interest even when efforts are not rewarded at an already overextended price, participants are asking for trouble.
Similar events can be observed when extreme outflows take place, indicating forced exits such as stop-losses triggering. When enough participants are forced out, price is likely to take the path of least resistance which is to the opposite direction.
SMMA Bounce IndicatorThis indicator Looks for continuous retracements from Smoothed Moving Average periods of the user's choosing. This can be helpful in locating reversals and pullbacks with a quick glance. With this indicator, you have plenty of options to cater to your time period of choice as well as the freedom to change to colors that best suit your chart. This script was made in whole by SirvivalFX and utilized the (Built-in Script) "Smoothed Moving Average" with inspirations from rmunoz's Engulfing Candle Indicator. *DISCLAIMER*- This should be used with a plethora of knowledge and tools to work effectively and should not be used as a surefire trading tactic. You may use and alter this script in any form you like! :)
Correlation for Major Markets This indicator plots the correlation of major markets as an indicator. The major markets covered are the following:
DXY
GC
CL
ES
RTY
ZN
The chart shows all the correlations and cross-correlations of the above instruments plotted together. The user can go in the settings and choose what correlation to see, or if multiple correlations, choose to plot the indicator a second time.
ReversalThe primary objective of this indicator is to discern candles that exhibit characteristics suggestive of potential market reversals through the application of candlestick analysis. Extensive observation across various assets and timeframes has revealed the existence of a recurrent reversal pattern. This pattern typically manifests as a sequence of one to three candles that abruptly diverge from the prevailing price action or trend, offering a distinctive signal indicating a potential reversal.
By leveraging the insights gained from this observation, the indicator aims to assist traders in identifying these noteworthy candle patterns that hold the potential to indicate significant market shifts.
The indicator operates as follows: initially, it identifies the lowest close (in the case of a bullish reversal) or the highest close (in the case of a bearish reversal) within a specified number of previous candles, as determined by user input (referred to as "Candle Lookback").
Next, the indicator examines whether the closing price surpasses the high of the previously identified lowest (bullish reversal) or highest (bearish reversal) closed candle within a designated number of candles, as specified by the user (referred to as "Confirm Within").
Currency Pair Index IndicatorHere's how it works step by step:
The indicator takes an input parameter called "length," which determines the number of bars to consider for the calculation. A higher length value will result in a smoother indicator, while a lower length value will make it more sensitive to recent price changes.
It then calculates the bullish sentiment by summing the volume multiplied by the price change (close - open) for each bar where the close price is greater than the open price. If the close price is not greater than the open price, the value for that bar is set to zero. The sum of these values is divided by the total volume for the selected bars.
Similarly, the bearish sentiment is calculated by summing the volume multiplied by the price change (open - close) for each bar where the close price is less than the open price. If the close price is not less than the open price, the value for that bar is set to zero. The sum of these values is divided by the total volume for the selected bars.
The bullish and bearish values are then plotted on the chart as separate line graphs. The bullish sentiment is represented by a green line, while the bearish sentiment is represented by a red line.
The difference between the bullish and bearish values is also plotted as a blue line. This line represents the overall sentiment of the currency pair index.
Additionally, arrow symbols are plotted below the price bars to indicate bullish or bearish signals. A green arrow is displayed when the bullish sentiment is higher than the bearish sentiment, indicating a bullish signal. A red arrow is displayed when the bearish sentiment is higher than the bullish sentiment, indicating a bearish signal.
By observing the indicator's line graphs and arrow symbols, traders can get an idea of the overall sentiment of the currency pair and identify potential bullish or bearish trading opportunities.
120x ticker screener (composite tickers)In specific circumstances, it is possible to extract data, far above the 40 `request.*()` call limit for 1 single script .
The following technique uses composite tickers . Changing tickers needs to be done in the code itself as will be explained further.
⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯
🔶 PRINCIPLE
Standard example:
c1 = request.security('MTLUSDT' , 'D', close)
This will give the close value from 1 ticker (MTLUSDT); c1 for example is 1.153
Now let's add 2 tickers to MTLUSDT; XMRUSDT and ORNUSDT with, for example, values of 1.153 (I), 143.4 (II) and 0.8242 (III) respectively.
Just adding them up 'MTLUSDT+XMRUSDT+ORNUSDT' would give 145.3772 as a result, which is not something we can use...
Let's multiply ORNUSDT by 100 -> 14340
and multiply MTLUSDT by 1000000000 -> 1153000000 (from now, 10e8 will be used instead of 1000000000)
Then we make the sum.
When we put this in a security call (just the close value) we get:
c1 = request.security('MTLUSDT*10e8+XMRUSDT*100+ORNUSDT', 'D', close)
'MTLUSDT*10e8+XMRUSDT*100+ORNUSDT' -> 1153000000 + 14340 + 0.8242 = 1153014340.8242 (a)
This (a) will be split later on, for example:
1153014330.8242 / 10e8 = 1.1530143408242 -> round -> in this case to 1.153 (I), multiply again by 10e8 -> 1153000000.00 (b)
We subtract this from the initial number:
1153014340.8242 (a)
- 1153000000.0000 (b)
–––––––––––––––––
14340.8242 (c)
Then -> 14340.8242 / 100 = 143.408242 -> round -> 143.4 (II) -> multiply -> 14340.0000 (d)
-> subtract
14340.8242 (c)
- 14340.0000 (d)
––––––––––––
0.8242 (III)
Now we have split the number again into 3 tickers: 1.153 (I), 143.4 (II) and 0.8242 (III)
⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯⎯
In this publication the function compose_3_() will make a composite ticker of 3 tickers, and the split_3_() function will split these 3 tickers again after passing 1 request.security() call.
In this example:
t46 = 'BINANCE:MTLUSDT', n46 = 10e8 , r46 = 3, t47 = 'BINANCE:XMRUSDT', n47 = 10e1, r47 = 1, t48 = 'BINANCE:ORNUSDT', r48 = 4 // T16
•••
T16= compose_3_(t48, t47, n47, t46, n46)
•••
= request.security(T16, res, )
•••
= split_3_(c16, n46, r46, n47, r47, r48)
🔶 CHANGING TICKERS
If you need to change tickers, you only have to change the first part of the script, USER DEFINED TICKERS
Back to our example, at line 26 in the code, you'll find:
t46 = 'BINANCE:MTLUSDT', n46 = 10e8 , r46 = 3, t47 = 'BINANCE:XMRUSDT', n47 = 10e1, r47 = 1, t48 = 'BINANCE:ORNUSDT', r48 = 4 // T16
( t46 , T16 ,... will be explained later)
You need to figure out how much you need to multiply each ticker, and the number for rounding, to get a good result.
In this case:
'BINANCE:MTLUSDT', multiply number = 10e8, round number is 3 (example value 1.153)
'BINANCE:XMRUSDT', multiply number = 10e1, round number is 1 (example value 143.4)
'BINANCE:ORNUSDT', NO multiply number, round number is 4 (example value 0.8242)
The value with most digits after the decimal point by preference is placed to the right side (ORNUSDT)
If you want to change these 3, how would you do so?
First pick your tickers and look for the round values, for example:
'MATICUSDT', example value = 0.5876 -> round -> 4
'LTCUSDT' , example value = 77.47 -> round -> 2
'ARBUSDT' , example value = 1.0231 -> round -> 4
Value with most digits after the decimal point -> MATIC or ARB, let's pick ARB to go on the right side, LTC at the left of ARB, and MATIC at the most left side.
-> 'MATICUSDT', LTCUSDT', ARBUSDT'
Then check with how much 'LTCUSDT' and 'MATICUSDT' needs to be multiplied to get this: 5876 0 7747 0 1.0231
'MATICUSDT' -> 10e10
'LTCUSDT' -> 10e3
Replace:
t46 = 'BINANCE:MTLUSDT', n46 = 10e8 , r46 = 3, t47 = 'BINANCE:XMRUSDT', n47 = 10e1, r47 = 1, t48 = 'BINANCE:ORNUSDT', r48 = 4 // T16
->
t46 = 'BINANCE:MATICUSDT', n46 = 10e10 , r46 = 4, t47 = 'BINANCE:LTCUSDT', n47 = 10e3, r47 = 2, t48 = 'BINANCE:ARBUSDT', r48 = 4 // T16
DO NOT change anything at t46, n46,... if you don't know what you're doing!
Only
• tickers ('BINANCE:MTLUSDT', 'BINANCE:XMRUSDT', 'BINANCE:ORNUSDT', ...),
• multiply numbers (10e8, 10e1, ...) and
• round numbers (3, 1, 4, ...)
should be changed.
There you go!
🔶 LIMITATIONS
🔹 The composite ticker fails when 1 of the 3 isn't in market in the weekend, while the other 2 are.
That is the reason all tickers are crypto. I think it is possible to combine stock,... tickers, but they have to share the same market hours.
🔹 The number cannot be as large as you want, the limit lays around 15-16 digits.
This means when you have for example 123, 45.67 and 0.000000000089, you'll get issues when composing to this:
-> 123045670.000000000089 (21 digits)
Make sure the numbers are close to each other as possible, with 1 zero (or 2) in between:
-> 1.230045670089 (13 digits by doing -> (123 * 10e-3) + (45.67 * 10e-7) + 0.000000000089)
🔹 This script contains examples of calculated values, % change, SMA, RMA and RSI.
These values need to be calculated from HTF close data at current TF (timeframe).
This gives challenges. For example the SMA / %change is not a problem (same values at 1h TF from Daily data).
RMA , RSI is not so easy though...
Daily values are rather similar on a 2-3h TF, but 1h TF and lower is quite different.
At the moment I haven't figured out why, if someone has an idea, don't hesitate to share.
The main goal of this publication is 'composite tickers ~ request.security()' though.
🔹 When a ticker value changes substantially (x10, x100), the multiply number needs to be adjusted accordingly.
🔶 SETTINGS
SHOW SETS
SET
• Length : length of SMA, RMA and RSI
• HTF : Higher TimeFrame (default Daily)
TABLE
• Size table : \ _ Self-explanatory
• Include exchange name : /
• Sort : If exchange names are shown, the exchanges will be sorted first
COLOURS
• CH%
• RSI
• SMA (RMA)
DEBUG
Remember t46 , T16 ,... ?
This can be used for debugging/checking
ALWAYS DISABLE " sort " when doing so.
Example:
Set string -> T1 (tickers FIL, CAKE, SOL)
(Numbers are slightly different due to time passing by between screen captures)
Placing your tickers at the side panel makes it easy to compare with the printed label below the table (right side, 332201415014.45 ),
together with the line T1 in the script:
t1 = 'BINANCE:FILUSDT' , n1 = 10e10, r1 = 4, t2 = 'BINANCE:CAKEUSDT' , n2 = 10e5 , r2 = 3, t3 = 'BINANCE:SOLUSDT' , r3 = 2 // T1
FIL : 3.322
CAKE: 1.415
SOL : 14.56
Now it is easy to check whether the tickers are placed close enough to each other, with 1-2 zero's in between.
If you want to check a specific ticker, use " Show Ticker" , see out initial example:
Set string -> T16
Show ticker -> 46 (in the code -> t46 = 'BINANCE:MTLUSDT')
(Set at 0 to disable " check string " and NONE to disable " Set string ")
-> Debug/check/set away! 😀
🔶 OTHER TECHNIQUES
• REGEX ( Regular expression ) and str.match() is used to delete the exchange name from the ticker, in other words, everything before ":" is deleted by following regex:
exch(t) => incl_exch ? t : str.match(t, "(?<=:) +")
• To sort, array.sort_indices() is used (line 675 in the code), just as in my first "sort" publication Sort array alphabetically - educational
aSort = arrT.copy()
sort_Indices = array.sort_indices(id= aSort, order= order.ascending)
• Numbers and text colour will adjust automatically when switching between light/dark mode by using chart.fg_color / chart.bg_color
🔹 DISCLAIMER
Please don't ask me for custom screeners, thank you.
AIAE IndicatorAggregate (or Average) Investor Allocation to Equities.
When it comes to predicting long-term equity returns, several well-known indicators come to mind—for example, the CAPE ratio, Tobin’s Q, and Market Cap to GDP, to name a few.
Yet there is another indicator without nearly as high of a profile that has outperformed the aforementioned indicators significantly when it comes to both forecasting and tactical asset allocation.
That indicator, known as the Aggregate (or Average) Investor Allocation to Equities (AIAE), was developed by the pseudonymous financial pundit, Jesse Livermore, and published on his blog in 2013.
In an essay titled, “The Single Greatest Predictor of Future Stock Market Returns,” Livermore makes the case that the primary driver of long-term equity returns is not valuation, but rather the supply of equities relative to the combined supply of bonds and cash.
Accordingly, the AIAE is computed by taking the total market value of equities and dividing by the sum of a) the total market value of equities, b) the total market value of bonds, and c) the total amount of cash available to investors (i.e., that in circulation plus bank deposits):
This ratio gives the market-wide allocation to equities (or, equivalently, the average investor allocation to equities weighted by portfolio size). (Note that every share of stock, every bond, and every unit of cash in existence must be held in some portfolio somewhere at all times.)
Livermore explains that, in practice, the total market value of bonds plus cash can be estimated by the total liabilities held by the five classes of economic borrowers: Households, Non-Financial Corporations, State and Local Governments, the Federal Government, and the Rest of the World.
This follows from the fact that if these entities borrow directly from investors, new bonds are created. Whereas, if they borrow directly from banks, new bank deposits (cash) are created.
As the economy grows, the supply of bonds and cash steadily increases. Historically, the rate of increase of the supply of bonds and cash has been about 7.5% per annum. Consequently, if the market portfolio is to maintain the same allocation to equities, the supply of equities must increase at the exact same rate.
The supply of equities can increase either by new equity issuance or by price increases. Historically, net new equity issuance has been negligible (with issuances being offset by buybacks and acquisitions). Thus, in order for equities not to become an ever-smaller portion of the average investor’s portfolio, the price of stocks must rise over the long-term.
While we often hear that stock prices follow earnings, in the 1980s earnings fell slightly from the beginning of the decade to the end of the decade, yet stocks rose at an annualized rate of 17% during that time. How could this be?
Well, at the beginning of the decade the average investor’s portfolio had a 25% allocation to equities. During the decade, the supply of bonds and cash rose strongly. If the price of equities had not risen, the average investor’s allocation to equities would have fallen to a mere 13% (as the supply of cash and bonds grew). Thus, equities had no choice but to rise despite the fall in earnings.
US Market SentimentThe "US Market Sentiment" indicator is designed to provide insights into the sentiment of the US market. It is based on the calculation of an oscillator using data from the High Yield Ratio. This indicator can be helpful in assessing the overall sentiment and potential market trends.
Key Features:
Trend Direction: The indicator helps identify the general trend direction of market sentiment. Positive values indicate a bullish sentiment, while negative values indicate a bearish sentiment. Traders and investors can use this information to understand the prevailing market sentiment.
Overbought and Oversold Levels: The indicator can highlight overbought and oversold conditions in the market. When the oscillator reaches high positive levels, it suggests excessive optimism and a potential downside correction. Conversely, high negative levels indicate excessive pessimism and the possibility of an upside rebound.
Divergence Analysis: The indicator can reveal divergences between the sentiment oscillator and price movements. Divergences occur when the price reaches new highs or lows, but the sentiment oscillator fails to confirm the move. This can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening of the current trend.
Confirmation of Trading Signals: The "US Market Sentiment" indicator can be used to confirm other trading signals or indicators. For instance, if a momentum indicator generates a bullish signal, a positive reversal in the sentiment oscillator can provide additional confirmation for the trade.
Usage and Interpretation:
Positive values of the "US Market Sentiment" indicate a bullish sentiment, suggesting potential buying opportunities.
Negative values suggest a bearish sentiment, indicating potential selling or shorting opportunities.
Extreme positive or negative values may signal overbought or oversold conditions, respectively, and could precede a market reversal.
Divergences between the sentiment oscillator and price trends may suggest a potential change in the current market direction.
Traders and investors can combine the "US Market Sentiment" indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance their decision-making process and gain deeper insights into the US market sentiment.
Cumulative TICK [Pt]Cumulative TICK Indicator, shown as the bottom indicator, is a robust tool designed to provide traders with insights into market trends using TICK data. This indicator visualizes the cumulative TICK trend in the form of colored columns on a separate chart below the main price chart.
Here's an overview of the key features of the Cumulative TICK Indicator:
1. Selectable TICK Source 🔄: The indicator allows users to choose from four different TICK data sources, namely USI:TICK , USI:TICKQ , USI:TICKI , and $USI:TICKA.
2. TICK Data Type Selection 🎚️: Users can select the type of TICK data to be used. The options include: Close, Open, hl2, ohlc4, hlc3.
3. Optional Simple Moving Average (SMA) 📊: The indicator offers an option to apply an SMA to the Cumulative TICK values, with a customizable length.
4. After-hour Background Color 🌙: The background color changes during after-hours to provide a clear distinction between regular and after-hour trading sessions.
🛠️ How it Works:
The Cumulative TICK Indicator uses TICK data accumulated during the regular market hours (9:30-16:00) as per the New York time zone. At the start of a new session or at the end of the regular session, this cumulative TICK value is reset.
The calculated Cumulative TICK is plotted in a column-style graph. If the SMA is applied, the SMA values are used for the column plots instead. The columns are colored green when the Cumulative TICK is positive and red when it is negative. The shades of green and red vary based on whether the Cumulative TICK is increasing or decreasing compared to the previous value.
This is a simple yet powerful tool to track market sentiment throughout the day using TICK data. Please note that this indicator is intended to be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy. Always ensure you are managing risk appropriately and consulting various data sources to make informed trading decisions.
Bank nifty puller and Dragger Hello Guys
using the below script you can check the nifty bank puller and draggers at live
how to use it?
it's straightforward
in the table, we will see the points contribution by each bank to Bank nifty
graph shows the overall strength of the buyers and sellers
using graphs also you can trade
but If you want to use a graph please note these important points
1:when the evergreen line cut the red line from below to top (cross-over) it says that buyers are strong but sometimes cross-over may fail and fall again
2: same things happen with the red line also
3: sometimes the graph shows that's a big difference between the red line and the green line that the market opened gap up gap down ( its difficult to define ) will update soon
4:when the market consolidates red and green lines will be very near to each other
5: when the green line is upper side the buyers are strong when the red line is upside sellers are strong (but sometimes it may mislead please be careful )
using the table you can check the overall view of all important banks
according to the time frame, data will be shown
this image shows the break out at 12.45 pm
2nd image shows the consolidation face of the market
this image shows that directly after opening the market sellers became stronger
this is how you can use the indicator
you can use graph or you can use table to get the over all view of the Bank nifty
Biddles OIWAP-Price SpreadThis indicator is the companion to my OIWAP (Open Interested-Weighted Average price) open source indicator.
In observing the OIWAP, what seemed most interesting was the distance between price and OIWAP.
This indicator plots that spread in a histogram.
It seems when price is too high above all OIWAPs, it's locally overbought (sentiment is overly bullish), and vice versa when it's too far below all OIWAPs (sentiment is overly bearish).
But I think there are more unique observations to be made beyond that - I am still in discovery phase myself.
For example: Looking at the SPX while using the ticker override to display BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P OI-Price spread data.
It works on any asset that Tradingview has OI data for. But it's also interesting to view correlated assets by using ticker override in the indicator settings (open the correlated asset w/o OI data in your chart, then set ticker override to a symbol with OI data, like the SPX example above).
>> If you find any interesting observations using it, have suggestions for improving the script, etc., hit me up on Twitter!
>>> @thalamu_
Initial Balance Panel Strategy for BitcoinInitial Balance Strategy
Initial Balance Strategy uses a source code of "Initial Balance Monitoring Panel" that build from "Initial Balance Markets Time Zones - Overall Highest and Lowest".
Initial Balance is based on the highest and lowest price action within the first 60 minutes of trading. Reading online this can depict which way the market can trend for the session. More information about Initial Balance Panel you can read at the end of the article.
Strategy idea
The main idea is to catch the trend move when most of the 16 Crypto pairs break the Low or High levels together. I found good results when 15 of 16 pairs is break that levels and after we manage the trade within some trail stop indicator, I choose Volatility Stop for this strategy.
Additional Strategy idea
The second one idea that was not made is to catch the pullback after fully green/red zones in Initial Balance Panel become white. That mean the main trend can be finished and we can try to catch good pullback in opposite direction.
Binance Crypto pairs
The strategy use the 16 default Crypto currencies pairs from the Binance. As additional variations of the strategy can be changing the currencies pairs and their number.
List of default pairs:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT, BINANCE:ETHUSDT, BINANCE:EOSUSDT, BINANCE:LTCUSDT, BINANCE:XRPUSDT, BINANCE:DASHUSDT, BINANCE:IOTAUSDT, BINANCE:NEOUSDT, BINANCE:QTUMUSDT, BINANCE:XMRUSDT, BINANCE:ZECUSDT, BINANCE:ETCUSDT, BINANCE:ADAUSDT, BINANCE:XTZUSDT, BINANCE:LINKUSDT, BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Summary
The strategy works very well for a buy trades with settings 15 crypto pairs of 16 that follow the trend with breaking the long initial balance level.
Initial Balance Monitoring Panel
Allows you to have an instant view of 16 Crypto pairs within a monitoring panel, monitoring Initial Balance (Asia, London, New York Stock Exchanges).
The code can easily be changed to suit the crypto pairs you are trading.
The setup of my chart would also include this indicator and the "Initial Balance Markets Time Zones - Overall Highest and Lowest" (with all IBs enabled) as shown above.
Initial Balance is based on the highest and lowest price action within the first 60 minutes of trading. Reading online this can depict which way the market can trend for the session.
The indicator has been coded for Crypto (so other symbols may not work as expected).
Though Initial Balance is based off the first 60 minutes of the trading markets opening, but Crypto is 24/7, this indicator looks at how Asia, London and New York Stock Exchanges opening trading can affect Crypto price action.
Source: Initial Balance Monitoring Panel
ICT Donchian Smart Money Structure (Expo)█ Concept Overview
The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology is focused on understanding the actions and implications of the so-called "smart money" - large institutions and professional traders who often influence market movements. Key to this is the concept of market structure and how it can provide insights into potential price moves.
Over time, however, there has been a notable shift in how some traders interpret and apply this methodology. Initially, it was designed with a focus on the fractal nature of markets. Fractals are recurring patterns in price action that are self-similar across different time scales, providing a nuanced and dynamic understanding of market structure.
However, as the ICT methodology has grown in popularity, there has been a drift away from this fractal-based perspective. Instead, many traders have started to focus more on pivot points as their primary tool for understanding market structure.
Pivot points provide static levels of potential support and resistance. While they can be useful in some contexts, relying heavily on them could provide a skewed perspective of market structure. They offer a static, backward-looking view that may not accurately reflect real-time changes in market sentiment or the dynamic nature of markets.
This shift from a fractal-based perspective to a pivot point perspective has significant implications. It can lead traders to misinterpret market structure and potentially make incorrect trading decisions.
To highlight this issue, you've developed a Donchian Structure indicator that mirrors the use of pivot points. The Donchian Channels are formed by the highest high and the lowest low over a certain period, providing another representation of potential market extremes. The fact that the Donchian Structure indicator produces the same results as pivot points underscores the inherent limitations of relying too heavily on these tools.
While the Donchian Structure indicator or pivot points can be useful tools, they should not replace the original, fractal-based perspective of the ICT methodology. These tools can provide a broad overview of market structure but may not capture the intricate dynamics and real-time changes that a fractal-based approach can offer.
It's essential for traders to understand these differences and to apply these tools correctly within the broader context of the ICT methodology and the Smart Money Concept Structure. A well-rounded approach that incorporates fractals, along with other tools and forms of analysis, is likely to provide a more accurate and comprehensive understanding of market structure.
█ Smart Money Concept - Misunderstandings
The Smart Money Concept is a popular concept among traders, and it's based on the idea that the "smart money" - typically large institutional investors, market makers, and professional traders - have superior knowledge or information, and their actions can provide valuable insight for other traders.
One of the biggest misunderstandings with this concept is the belief that tracking smart money activity can guarantee profitable trading.
█ Here are a few common misconceptions:
Following Smart Money Equals Guaranteed Success: Many traders believe that if they can follow the smart money, they will be successful. However, tracking the activity of large institutional investors and other professionals isn't easy, as they use complex strategies, have access to information not available to the public, and often intentionally hide their moves to prevent others from detecting their strategies.
Instantaneous Reaction and Results: Another misconception is that market movements will reflect smart money actions immediately. However, large institutions often slowly accumulate or distribute positions over time to avoid moving the market drastically. As a result, their actions might not produce an immediate noticeable effect on the market.
Smart Money Always Wins: It's not accurate to assume that smart money always makes the right decisions. Even the most experienced institutional investors and professional traders make mistakes, misjudge market conditions, or are affected by unpredictable events.
Smart Money Activity is Transparent: Understanding what constitutes smart money activity can be quite challenging. There are many indicators and metrics that traders use to try and track smart money, such as the COT (Commitments of Traders) reports, Level II market data, block trades, etc. However, these can be difficult to interpret correctly and are often misleading.
Assuming Uniformity Among Smart Money: 'Smart Money' is not a monolithic entity. Different institutional investors and professional traders have different strategies, risk tolerances, and investment horizons. What might be a good trade for a long-term institutional investor might not be a good trade for a short-term professional trader, and vice versa.
█ Market Structure
The Smart Money Concept Structure deals with the interpretation of price action that forms the market structure, focusing on understanding key shifts or changes in the market that may indicate where 'smart money' (large institutional investors and professional traders) might be moving in the market.
█ Three common concepts in this regard are Change of Character (CHoCH), and Shift in Market Structure (SMS), Break of Structure (BMS/BoS).
Change of Character (CHoCH): This refers to a noticeable change in the behavior of price movement, which could suggest that a shift in the market might be about to occur. This might be signaled by a sudden increase in volatility, a break of a trendline, or a change in volume, among other things.
Shift in Market Structure (SMS): This is when the overall structure of the market changes, suggesting a potential new trend. It usually involves a sequence of lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend, or higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend.
Break of Structure (BMS/BoS): This is when a previously defined trend or pattern in the price structure is broken, which may suggest a trend continuation.
A key component of this approach is the use of fractals, which are repeating patterns in price action that can give insights into potential market reversals. They appear at all scales of a price chart, reflecting the self-similar nature of markets.
█ Market Structure - Misunderstandings
One of the biggest misunderstandings about the ICT approach is the over-reliance or incorrect application of pivot points. Pivot points are a popular tool among traders due to their simplicity and easy-to-understand nature. However, when it comes to the Smart Money Concept and trying to follow the steps of professional traders or large institutions, relying heavily on pivot points can create misconceptions and lead to confusion. Here's why:
Delayed and Static Information: Pivot points are inherently backward-looking because they're calculated based on the previous period's data. As such, they may not reflect real-time market dynamics or sudden changes in market sentiment. Furthermore, they present a static view of market structure, delineating pre-defined levels of support and resistance. This static nature can be misleading because markets are fundamentally dynamic and constantly changing due to countless variables.
Inadequate Representation of Market Complexity: Markets are influenced by a myriad of factors, including economic indicators, geopolitical events, institutional actions, and market sentiment, among others. Relying on pivot points alone for reading market structure oversimplifies this complexity and can lead to a myopic understanding of market dynamics.
False Signals and Misinterpretations: Pivot points can often give false signals, especially in volatile markets. Prices might react to these levels temporarily but then continue in the original direction, leading to potential misinterpretation of market structure and sentiment. Also, a trader might wrongly perceive a break of a pivot point as a significant market event, when in fact, it could be due to random price fluctuations or temporary volatility.
Over-simplification: Viewing market structure only through the lens of pivot points simplifies the market to static levels of support and resistance, which can lead to misinterpretation of market dynamics. For instance, a trader might view a break of a pivot point as a definite sign of a trend, when it could just be a temporary price spike.
Ignoring the Fractal Nature of Markets: In the context of the Smart Money Concept Structure, understanding the fractal nature of markets is crucial. Fractals are self-similar patterns that repeat at all scales and provide a more dynamic and nuanced understanding of market structure. They can help traders identify shifts in market sentiment or direction in real-time, providing more relevant and timely information compared to pivot points.
The key takeaway here is not that pivot points should be entirely avoided or that they're useless. They can provide valuable insights and serve as a useful tool in a trader's toolbox when used correctly. However, they should not be the sole or primary method for understanding the market structure, especially in the context of the Smart Money Concept Structure.
█ Fractals
Instead, traders should aim for a comprehensive understanding of markets that incorporates a range of tools and concepts, including but not limited to fractals, order flow, volume analysis, fundamental analysis, and, yes, even pivot points. Fractals offer a more dynamic and nuanced view of the market. They reflect the recursive nature of markets and can provide valuable insights into potential market reversals. Because they appear at all scales of a price chart, they can provide a more holistic and real-time understanding of market structure.
In contrast, the Smart Money Concept Structure, focusing on fractals and comprehensive market analysis, aims to capture a more holistic and real-time view of the market. Fractals, being self-similar patterns that repeat at different scales, offer a dynamic understanding of market structure. As a result, they can help to identify shifts in market sentiment or direction as they happen, providing a more detailed and timely perspective.
Furthermore, a comprehensive market analysis would consider a broader set of factors, including order flow, volume analysis, and fundamental analysis, which could provide additional insights into 'smart money' actions.
█ Donchian Structure
Donchian Channels are a type of indicator used in technical analysis to identify potential price breakouts and trends, and they may also serve as a tool for understanding market structure. The channels are formed by taking the highest high and the lowest low over a certain number of periods, creating an envelope of price action.
Donchian Channels (or pivot points) can be useful tools for providing a general view of market structure, and they may not capture the intricate dynamics associated with the Smart Money Concept Structure. A more nuanced approach, centered on real-time fractals and a comprehensive analysis of various market factors, offers a more accurate understanding of 'smart money' actions and market structure.
█ Here is why Donchian Structure may be misleading:
Lack of Nuance: Donchian Channels, like pivot points, provide a simplified view of market structure. They don't take into account the nuanced behaviors of price action or the complex dynamics between buyers and sellers that can be critical in the Smart Money Concept Structure.
Limited Insights into 'Smart Money' Actions: While Donchian Channels can highlight potential breakout points and trends, they don't necessarily provide insights into the actions of 'smart money'. These large institutional traders often use sophisticated strategies that can't be easily inferred from price action alone.
█ Indicator Overview
We have built this Donchian Structure indicator to show that it returns the same results as using pivot points. The Donchian Structure indicator can be a useful tool for market analysis. However, it should not be seen as a direct replacement or equivalent to the original Smart Money concept, nor should any indicator based on pivot points. The indicator highlights the importance of understanding what kind of trading tools we use and how they can affect our decisions.
The Donchian Structure Indicator displays CHoCH, SMS, BoS/BMS, as well as premium and discount areas. This indicator plots everything in real-time and allows for easy backtesting on any market and timeframe. A unique candle coloring has been added to make it more engaging and visually appealing when identifying new trading setups and strategies. This candle coloring is "leading," meaning it can signal a structural change before it actually happens, giving traders ample time to plan their next trade accordingly.
█ How to use
The indicator is great for traders who want to simplify their view on the market structure and easily backtest Smart Money Concept Strategies. The added candle coloring function serves as a heads-up for structure change or can be used as trend confirmation. This new candle coloring feature can generate many new Smart Money Concepts strategies.
█ Features
Market Structure
The market structure is based on the Donchian channel, to which we have added what we call 'Structure Response'. This addition makes the indicator more useful, especially in trending markets. The core concept involves traders buying at a discount and selling or shorting at a premium, depending on the order flow. Structure response enables traders to determine the order flow more clearly. Consequently, more trading opportunities will appear in trending markets.
Structure Candles
Structure Candles highlight the current order flow and are significantly more responsive to structural changes. They can provide traders with a heads-up before a break in structure occurs
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Disclaimer
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