BTC 15m VWAP Structure Breakout [ALERT]BTC 15m VWAP Structure Breakout Strategy (Alert Only)
This strategy is designed for BTC on the 15-minute timeframe.
It focuses on identifying high-probability structural breakouts within an established trend, not predicting tops or bottoms.
The script is alert-only.
Entries are taken manually, based on confirmation after the alert.
🎯 Core Idea
The main question this strategy answers is:
“Is this breakout occurring with the trend,
or is it just a fake move inside a ranging market?”
To solve this, the strategy combines:
VWAP (institutional average price)
EMA20 (short-term trend filter)
Market structure breakout
📈 Indicators Used
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Represents the market’s fair value and institutional bias.
EMA20
Defines short-term trend direction and momentum.
Structure High / Low (last 25 candles)
Identifies meaningful resistance and support levels.
🧭 Market Bias Filter
🔵 Bullish Bias (Long Setup Allowed)
Price closes above VWAP
EMA20 is rising (higher than 2 candles ago)
This confirms a valid bullish environment before looking for breakouts.
🔴 Bearish Bias (Short Setup Allowed)
Price closes below VWAP
EMA20 is falling (lower than 2 candles ago)
This confirms a valid bearish environment.
🚀 Breakout Signal Conditions
✅ Long Breakout Alert
A LONG alert is triggered when all conditions are met:
Bullish market bias
Price closes above EMA20
Price breaks above the previous 25-candle high
by at least 0.15%
➡️ This captures true continuation breakouts, not random spikes.
❌ Short Breakdown Alert
A SHORT alert is triggered when all conditions are met:
Bearish market bias
Price closes below EMA20
Price breaks below the previous 25-candle low
by at least 0.15%
➡️ This captures trend-aligned support breakdowns.
🔔 How to Use the Alerts (Important)
These alerts are NOT automatic entry signals.
When an alert fires, check:
Volume expansion
Breakout confirmation or pullback-and-reclaim
Higher-timeframe trend alignment
👉 Alert = “Market is ready, pay attention”
🧠 Best Market Conditions
✔ Trending BTC markets
✔ Breakout or expansion phases
✔ Works in all sessions (no session filter)
❌ Choppy or low-volatility ranging markets
👍 Who This Strategy Is For
Traders who can’t watch charts all day
Traders who want to reduce emotional entries
Traders who prefer probability and structure over prediction
Manual traders using alerts as decision triggers
📌 Final Thoughts
This strategy:
❌ does NOT try to catch bottoms or tops
✅ reacts only when structure confirms a real move
Let the market show strength first —
then decide how to trade it.
In den Scripts nach "top" suchen
Dow Theory Cockpit [Analytics Pro]1. Overview and Key Features
The core philosophy of this tool is to "Eliminate market noise and pinpoint high-probability trade setups.
🤖 Triple-Logic Engine: Automatically detects three distinct strategies: Trend Following
(Breakout), Retracement (Dip), and Reversal (Sniper).
🛡️ Ironclad Protection: Features an ATR-based dynamic Stop Loss (SL). It automatically
positions your SL at levels resistant to "stop hunting" or market noise.
💰 Automatic Risk Management: The tool calculates and displays the optimal lot size based
on your SL distance, ensuring your risk amount remains constant regardless of market
volatility.
📊 Performance Visualization: Real-time Win Rate panel displaying data for "Today," "This
Month," "This Year," and "All Time.
🌍 Global Market Insights: Monitor not just your active chart, but also Gold, JPY, BTC, and
critical US/JP economic indicators (Interest Rates, Inflation, etc.) simultaneously.
2. Three Entry Signals
The tool automatically toggles between three optimized logics depending on market conditions
Signal Type Target & Strategy 🎯
SNIPER Reversal Captures "Tops and Bottoms." Detects RSI exhaustion + Bollinger
Band mean reversion to catch the start of a reversal.
DIP Trend Following Captures "Pullbacks." Picks up entries when price touches MAs or
retraces during a strong uptrend.
BREAK Trend Following Captures "Breakouts." Rides the momentum the moment price
breaks recent Highs or Lows.
💡 Pro Tip: When multiple conditions align, signals merge (e.g., "SNIPER & DIP") to keep
your chart clean and highlight high-conviction setups.
3. Dashboard Guide
The dual-panel interface is fully customizable in terms of visibility and placement.
① Main Analysis Panel (Default: Top Right)
In-depth analysis of the current currency pair.
・MAIN: Displays the pair and volatility status (HIGH VOL / NORMAL).
・Target RR: Your target Risk:Reward ratio (e.g., 1:1.5).
・🌊 Trend Monitor: Instantly check trend directions across 15M, 1H, 4H, and Daily timeframes.
・Strategic Note: When all timeframes align (Full Alignment), the signal is considered a "high-
probability" setup.
・📊 Win Rate: Tracks success rates and trade counts across four periods (Day, Mo, Yr, All).
・Risk: Shows current risk settings, spread, and account type.
② Market Scanner Panel (Default: Bottom Right)
Multi-market and fundamental surveillance.
・SCANNER: Constant monitoring of Gold, USDJPY, and Bitcoin. It alerts you immediately when
a trend or signal forms on these major assets.
・US/JP ECONOMY: Side-by-side comparison of essential fundamental data:
・Rate: Policy Interest Rates
・Inf%: Inflation (CPI)
・GDP: Economic Growth Rate
・Job: Unemployment / Payrolls
4. Trading Workflow
Follow these steps for the highest success rate:
１．STEP 1: Wait for SignalWait for the audio alert or the "BUY/SELL" label to appear.
Important: Never entry while the candle is still moving.
２．STEP 2: Filter ConfirmationJust before the candle closes, verify:
・MTF Panel: Are the 1H and 4H colors aligned with the signal? (Green for Buy, Red for Sell)
・MA Ribbon: Is the ribbon showing a clean, healthy spread?
３．STEP 3: Execution (At Candle Close)If the signal remains after the candle closes, enter at
the open of the next candle. Use the "Lot: X.XX" value shown on the blue label—this is your
safety-calculated lot size.
４．STEP 4: Exit Strategy (TP/SL)Immediately set your orders based on the lines on the chart:
・🟥 Red Line (SL): Positioned at 3x ATR to withstand noise.
・🟩 Green Line (TP): Optimized for consistent win rates.
5. Customization
・ : Set your Risk(%) per trade (Recommended: 1.0–2.0%). Adjust the SL Buffer (Default 3.0) to balance win rate versus lot size.
・ : Adjust font size (Tiny/Small/Normal) and panel width to fit your screen resolution.
・ : Customize colors and thickness to match your visual preference.
Stacked 3 Stochastics [Wonniewant]Stacked 3 Stochastics
This indicator is designed for traders who need multi-timeframe momentum analysis in a single, compact view. Instead of cluttering your screen with three separate oscillator panes, this script stacks three Stochastic Oscillators vertically within one panel using an offset technique.
It provides a clear hierarchy of market momentum, from slow trends to fast execution signals, without overlapping lines.
Key Features:
Triple Layered View (Stacked):
Top Layer (Slow): Default 20-12-12. Best for identifying major trend direction and reversals.
Middle Layer (Medium): Default 10-6-6. Acts as a bridge between the trend and entry signals.
Bottom Layer (Fast): Default 5-3-3. Ideal for pinpointing precise entry and exit timing.
Clean Visualization:
Each Stochastic has its own dedicated zone (0-100, 125-225, 250-350), so the lines never get messy or confused.
Reference Lines: Clearly marked 80 (Overbought) and 20 (Oversold) levels for each individual layer directly on the chart.
Separators: Distinct white lines separate the layers for better readability.
Full Customization:
Toggle visibility for any layer.
Customize K & D Lengths, Smoothness, Colors, and Line Widths for each Stochastic independently via the settings menu.
How to Use:
Top Layer (Slow): Watch for crosses in the overbought/oversold zones to gauge the overall market sentiment.
Bottom Layer (Fast): Use for short-term trade execution when aligned with the upper layers.
Divergence: Compare the three layers to spot momentum divergence across different time horizons.
Author: Wonniewant
MDZ Strategy v4.2 - Multi-factor trend strategyWhat This Strategy Does
MDZ (Momentum Divergence Zones) v4.2 is a trend-following strategy that enters long positions when multiple momentum and trend indicators align. It's designed for swing trading on higher timeframes (2H-4H) and uses ATR-based position management.
The strategy waits for strong trend confirmation before entry, requiring agreement across five different filters. This reduces trade frequency but aims to improve signal quality.
Entry Logic
A long entry triggers when ALL of the following conditions are true:
1. EMA Stack (Trend Structure)
Price > EMA 20 > EMA 50 > EMA 200
This "stacked" alignment indicates a strong established uptrend
2. RSI Filter (Momentum Window)
RSI between 45-75 (default)
Confirms momentum without entering overbought territory
3. ADX Filter (Trend Strength)
ADX > 20 (default)
Ensures the trend has sufficient strength, not a ranging market
4. MACD Confirmation
MACD line above signal line
Histogram increasing (momentum accelerating)
5. Directional Movement
+DI > -DI
Confirms bullish directional pressure
Exit Logic
Positions are managed with ATR-based levels:
ParameterDefaultDescriptionStop Loss2.5 × ATRBelow entry priceTake Profit6.0 × ATRAbove entry priceTrailing Stop2.0 × ATROptional, activates after entry
The default configuration produces a 1:2.4 risk-reward ratio.
Presets
The strategy includes optimized presets based on historical testing:
PresetTimeframeNotes1H Standard1 HourMore frequent signals2H Low DD2 HourConservative settings3H Optimized3 HourBalanced approach4H Swing4 HourWider stops for swing tradesCustomAnyFull manual control
Select "Custom" to adjust all parameters manually.
Inputs Explained
EMAs
Fast EMA (20): Short-term trend
Slow EMA (50): Medium-term trend
Trend EMA (200): Long-term trend filter
RSI
Length: Lookback period (default 14)
Min/Max: Entry window to avoid extremes
ADX
Min ADX: Minimum trend strength threshold
Risk
Stop Loss ATR: Multiplier for stop distance
Take Profit ATR: Multiplier for target distance
Trail ATR: Trailing stop distance (if enabled)
Session (Optional)
Filter entries by time of day
Recommended OFF for 3H+ timeframes
What's Displayed
Info Panel (Top Right)
Current preset
Trend status (Strong/Wait)
ADX, RSI, MACD readings
Position status
Risk-reward ratio
Stats Panel (Top Left)
Net P&L %
Total trades
Win rate
Profit factor
Maximum drawdown
Chart
EMA lines (20 blue, 50 orange, 200 purple)
Green background during strong uptrend
Triangle markers on entry signals
Important Notes
⚠️ This is a long-only strategy. It does not take short positions.
⚠️ Historical results do not guarantee future performance. Backtests show what would have happened in the past under specific conditions. Markets change, and any strategy can experience drawdowns or extended losing periods.
⚠️ Risk management is your responsibility. The default settings risk 100% of equity per trade for backtesting purposes. In live trading, appropriate position sizing based on your risk tolerance is essential.
⚠️ Slippage and commissions matter. The backtest includes 0.02% commission and 1 tick slippage, but actual execution costs vary by broker and market conditions.
Best Practices
Test on your specific market — Results vary significantly across different instruments
Use appropriate position sizing — Never risk more than you can afford to lose
Combine with your own analysis — No indicator replaces understanding market context
Paper trade first — Validate the strategy matches your trading style before risking capital
Alerts
Two alerts are available:
MDZ Long Entry: Fires when all entry conditions are met
Uptrend Started: Fires when EMA stack first aligns bullish
Methodology
This strategy is based on the principle that trend continuation has better odds than reversal when multiple timeframe momentum indicators agree. By requiring five independent confirmations, it filters out weak setups at the cost of fewer total signals.
The ATR-based exits adapt to current volatility rather than using fixed pip/point targets, which helps the strategy adjust to different market conditions.
Questions? Leave a comment below.
Volume Cluster Profile [VCP] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Volume Cluster Profile (Zeiierman) is a volume profile tool that builds cluster-enhanced volume-by-price maps for both the current market window and prior swing segments.
Instead of treating the profile as a raw histogram only, VCP detects the dominant volume peaks (clusters) inside the profile, then uses a Gaussian spread model to “radiate” those peaks into surrounding price bins. This produces a smoother, more context-aware profile that highlights where volume is most meaningfully concentrated, not just where it happened to print.
On top of the live profile, VCP automatically records historical swing profiles between pivots, wraps each segment for clarity, and can project the most recent segment’s High/Low Value extensions (VA/LV) forward to the current bar to keep key structure visible as price evolves.
█ How It Works
⚪ 1) Profile Construction (Volume-by-Price)
VCP builds a volume profile histogram over a chosen window (current lookback, or a swing segment):
Range Scan
The script finds the full min → max price range inside the window.
Bin the Range
That range is divided into a user-defined number of Price Bins (rows). More bins = finer detail, but heavier computation.
Accumulate Volume into Bins
For each bar inside the window, the script takes the bar’s close price, determines which price bin it belongs to, and adds the bar’s volume to that bin.
float step = (maxPrice - minPrice) / binsCount
for i = 0 to barsToUse - 1
int b = f_clamp(int(math.floor((close - minPrice) / step)), 0, binsCount - 1)
volBins += volume
Result: volBins becomes a standard volume-by-price histogram (close-based binning).
⚪ 2) Cluster Detection (Finding Dominant Peaks)
Once the raw histogram is built, VCP identifies cluster centers as the most meaningful volume “hills”:
Local Peak Test
A bin becomes a cluster candidate if its volume is greater than or equal to its immediate neighbors (left/right).
Filter Weak Peaks
Peaks must also be above a basic activity threshold (relative to the average bin volume) to avoid noise.
bool isPeak = v >= left and v >= right
if isPeak and v > avgVol
array.push(clusterIdxs, b)
Keep the Best Peaks Only
If too many peaks exist, the script keeps only the strongest ones, capped by: Max Cluster Centers
Result: clusterIdxs = the set of dominant profile peaks (cluster centers).
⚪ 3) Cluster Enhancement (Gaussian Spread Model)
This is what makes VCP different from a raw profile.
Instead of using volBins directly, the script builds an enhanced profile where each cluster center influences nearby price bins using a Gaussian curve:
Distance from each bin to each cluster center is computed in “bin units”
A Gaussian weight is applied so that bins near the center receive stronger influence, while bins farther away decay smoothly.
Cluster Spread (sigma) controls how wide this influence reaches: low sigma produces tight, sharp clusters, while high sigma results in wider, smoother structure zones.
enhanced += centerV * math.exp(-(dist*dist) / (2.0 * clusterSigma * clusterSigma))
volBinsAI := enhanced / szClFinal
Result: volBinsAI = the cluster-enhanced volume value for each bin.
In practice, VCP turns the profile into a structure map of dominant volume concentrations, rather than a simple “where volume printed” histogram.
⚪ 4) POC from the Enhanced Profile
After enhancement:
The bin with the highest volBinsAI becomes the POC (Point of Control)
POC is plotted at the midpoint price of that bin
if volBinsAI > maxVol
maxVol := volBinsAI , pocBin := b
So the POC reflects the cluster-enhanced profile rather than the raw histogram.
█ How to Use
⚪ Read Cluster Structure (Default = 2 Clusters)
By default, the Volume Cluster Profile (VCP) is configured to detect up to 2 dominant volume clusters within the profile. These clusters represent price zones where the market accepted trading activity, not just where volume printed randomly.
⚪ When TWO Clusters Appear
When VCP detects two distinct clusters, it usually indicates:
Two competing areas of value
Ongoing auction between higher and lower acceptance zones
Treat each cluster as an acceptance zone
Expect slower price action and rotation inside clusters
Expect faster movement in the low-volume space between clusters
Use cluster-to-cluster movement as:
rotation targets
range boundaries
acceptance vs rejection tests
Typical behavior:
Price enters a cluster → stalls, consolidates, rotates
Price rejects at cluster edge → moves toward the opposite cluster
⚪ When ONLY ONE Cluster Appears
If VCP detects only one cluster, or if two clusters visually merge into one:
Volume is no longer split
The market has formed a single dominant value area
Price consensus is strong
Treat the cluster as the primary value anchor
Expect pullbacks and reactions around this zone
Bias becomes directional:
Above the cluster → bullish context
Below the cluster → bearish context
Inside the cluster → balance/chop
This structure often appears during clean trends or stable equilibria.
⚪ VA/LV Extensions
VCP projects two zones from the end of the most recent swing segment:
VA extension = the segment’s highest enhanced-volume bin (dominant zone)
LV extension = the segment’s lowest enhanced-volume bin (thin/weak zone)
A breakout of the VA extension signals acceptance and potential continuation. A retest of the VA or LV extension is used to confirm acceptance or rejection, while rejection from either zone often leads to rotation back toward value.
█ Settings
Cluster Volume Profile
Lookback Bars – how many recent bars build the current profile
Price Bins – profile resolution (more bins = more detail, heavier CPU)
Cluster Spread – Gaussian sigma; higher values widen/smooth cluster influence
Max Cluster Centers – cap on detected peaks used in enhancement
Historical Swing Cluster Volume Profile
Pivot Length – swing sensitivity (larger = fewer, broader segments)
Max Profiles – how many historical segments to retain
Profile Width – thickness of each historical profile
High & Low Value Area
Profile VA/LV – extend the last segment’s top-bin and low-bin zones forward
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
Smart Trader,Episode 1, by Ata Sabanci | Unified Matrix⚠️ **CRITICAL: READ BEFORE USING** ⚠️
This strategy is **100% VOLUME-BASED** and requires **Lower Timeframe (LTF) intrabar data** for accurate calculations. Please understand the following limitations before using:
**📊 DATA ACCURACY LEVELS:**
• **1T (Tick)** — Most accurate, real volume distribution per tick
• **1S (1 Second)** — Reasonably accurate approximation
• **15S (15 Seconds)** — Good approximation, longer historical data available
• **1M (1 Minute)** — Rough approximation, maximum historical data range
**⚠️ BACKTEST & REPLAY LIMITATIONS:**
• TradingView's Strategy Tester uses historical LTF data which may be limited depending on your subscription plan
• Replay mode results may differ from live trading due to data availability
• For longer backtest periods, use higher LTF settings (15S or 1M)
• Not all symbols/exchanges support tick-level data
• Crypto and Forex typically have better LTF data availability than stocks
**💡 A NOTE ON TOOLS:**
Successful trading requires proper tools. Higher TradingView plans provide access to more historical intrabar data, which directly impacts the accuracy of volume-based calculations. More precise volume data leads to more reliable signals. Consider this when evaluating your trading infrastructure.
**WHY "EPISODE 1"?**
This strategy is titled "Episode 1" because it focuses exclusively on **Highest Buyers (HB)** — a single but powerful concept in volume analysis.
**The Philosophy:**
A single high-volume buying event can tell us a story about market psychology:
• Where did the biggest buyers enter?
• How much of their power remains?
• Are sellers consuming their advantage?
• At what rate is the balance shifting?
By focusing on just ONE aspect of volume analysis, traders can deeply understand how a buying surge affects future price action before moving to more complex multi-factor analysis.
**The Reality:**
This script alone is approximately **2000 lines of code** — and it only analyzes buyers. A comprehensive system covering all aspects (sellers, combined analysis, multi-timeframe correlation) would be significantly larger and computationally heavier. Breaking this into focused modules allows for:
• Deeper understanding of each component
• Lighter, more responsive scripts
• Educational progression from simple to complex
**OVERVIEW**
Smart Trader EP1 is a volume-based trading strategy that tracks the balance of power between buyers and sellers through the lens of the **Highest Buyers event**. Unlike traditional indicators that rely on price patterns or mathematical formulas, this strategy analyzes *actual volume flow* to identify who is in control of the market.
The core philosophy is simple: **markets move when one side (buyers or sellers) exhausts their power while the opposing side accumulates strength.** By measuring this power shift in real-time, the strategy identifies high-probability entry and exit points.
**HOW IT WORKS**
**1. Volume Engine**
The strategy splits each candle's volume into buying volume and selling volume using intrabar data. In *Intrabar (Precise)* mode, it uses actual tick-by-tick or second-by-second data to calculate the exact buy/sell distribution. In *Geometry* mode, it approximates based on candle structure (close position within the range).
**2. Event Detection**
Within the lookback window, the strategy identifies key events:
• **HB (Highest Buyers)** — The candle with maximum buying volume (potential resistance when exhausted)
• **HS (Highest Sellers)** — The candle with maximum selling volume (potential support when exhausted)
• **LB (Lowest Buyers)** — The candle with minimum buying volume (buyer absence)
• **LS (Lowest Sellers)** — The candle with minimum selling volume (seller absence)
These events create dynamic support and resistance levels based on actual volume, not arbitrary price levels.
**3. Power Tracking (Attrition Model)**
For the Highest Buyers event (HB), the strategy tracks:
• **Start Power (X)** — The initial buying volume at the HB event
• **Consumed Power (Y)** — How much selling volume has accumulated since the event
• **Remaining Power (Z)** — Start Power minus Consumed Power (X - Y)
• **Opponent Dominance** — When Remaining Power goes negative (Z < 0), sellers have overtaken buyers
Think of it like a battle: buyers establish a position (HB), and sellers gradually consume their power. When buyers' power is exhausted (Remaining Power ≤ 0), sellers have taken control.
**4. Depletion Markers**
Visual markers appear on the chart when power reaches critical thresholds:
• **🔋** — Buyers consumed 100% (Remaining = 0)
• **🚨** — Buyers consumed 200% (Opponent Dominance = 100%)
• **🪫** — Sellers consumed 100%
• **⚠️** — Sellers consumed 200%
**5. Cumulative Delta**
Beyond tracking power at specific events, the strategy calculates the cumulative buy volume minus sell volume since the HB event. This shows the *net flow* of money:
• **Positive Delta** — More buying than selling since HB (bullish pressure)
• **Negative Delta** — More selling than buying since HB (bearish pressure)
**6. Trend Channel**
A 5-point linear regression channel identifies the current trend:
• **UPTREND** — Both upper and lower channel lines slope upward
• **DOWNTREND** — Both lines slope downward
• **RANGING** — Mixed or flat slopes
The strategy also tracks where the HB event occurred within this channel (TOP, UPPER, MIDDLE, LOWER, BOTTOM) to contextualize the signal.
**7. Nearest Event Analysis**
The strategy identifies which event is closest to the current candle and analyzes the price action *after* that event:
• How many bullish vs bearish candles followed?
• Does post-event momentum confirm or contradict the event type?
This prevents false signals when, for example, a bearish event occurs but is immediately followed by strong bullish candles.
**SIGNAL LOGIC**
**🟢 LONG Signal Conditions:**
• Uptrend with positive cumulative delta and buyers accumulating
• At channel bottom/lower with strong buyer power remaining
• After a bearish event (HS) with bullish post-event momentum (reversal signal)
• Ranging market with positive delta and strong power
**🔴 SHORT Signal Conditions:**
• Downtrend with negative cumulative delta and sellers in control
• Opponent Dominance (buyer power exhausted) with bearish momentum
• Buyer Trap: HB at TOP in uptrend but power exhausted and delta negative
• After a bullish event (HB) with bearish post-event momentum (trap signal)
**⏳ NO_TRADE Conditions:**
• Conflicting signals (e.g., bearish event but bullish post-momentum)
• Ranging market without clear direction
• Mixed power readings
• Price position contradicts signal direction
**STRATEGY EXECUTION**
**Entry Rules:**
• Enter LONG when signal is "LONG" and conditions are valid
• Enter SHORT when signal is "SHORT" and conditions are valid
• **Pyramid**: Up to 2 entries allowed in the same direction (configurable)
• Each entry uses 10% of equity by default
• Only one entry per confirmed candle (prevents multiple fills)
**Stop Loss (Event Line Based):**
• **LONG positions**: Stop Loss placed below the HS line (seller support level)
• **SHORT positions**: Stop Loss placed above the HB line (buyer resistance level)
• A small buffer percentage is added to prevent premature stops
**Take Profit (Event Line Based):**
• **LONG positions**: Take Profit near the HB line (buyer resistance target)
• **SHORT positions**: Take Profit near the HS line (seller support target)
• A small buffer percentage ensures realistic fill expectations
**Exit Rules:**
• Exit LONG when signal changes to SHORT
• Exit SHORT when signal changes to LONG
• **NO_TRADE signal = HOLD** (do not exit, wait for clear direction)
• SL/TP orders remain active regardless of signal changes
**SETTINGS GUIDE**
**⚙️ General Settings:**
• *Calculation Method* — Choose between Intrabar (Precise) or Geometry (approximation)
• *Intrabar Resolution* — LTF for volume data (1T, 1S, 15S, 1M)
• *Lookback Length* — Window for scanning events (10-150 bars)
• *Timezone Offset* — Adjust clock display to your local time
**📊 Matrix Display Settings:**
• *Show Unified Matrix* — Toggle the information dashboard
• *Show Event Lines* — Toggle horizontal lines at event prices
• *Panel Size/Position* — Customize dashboard appearance
• *Projection Bars* — Extend event lines into the future
• *Depletion Threshold* — Percentage for depletion markers (default: 100%)
**🏷️ Rank Labels Settings:**
• *Show Rank Labels (HB/HS)* — Display labels on highest volume candles
• *Show Low Labels (LB/LS)* — Display labels on lowest volume candles
• *Ranks Count* — Number of rankings to display (1-5)
**📐 Trend Channel Settings:**
• *Show Trend Channel* — Toggle the 5-point regression channel
• *Line Color/Fill/Width/Style* — Customize channel appearance
**🎯 Trade Signal Settings:**
• *Long: Min Remaining Power %* — Minimum buyer power for LONG signal (default: 50%)
• *Short: Max Remaining Power %* — Maximum power for SHORT signal (default: 30%)
• *Opponent Dominance Threshold* — When to consider power "exhausted" (default: 0%)
• *Max Decay Angle* — Maximum consumption rate for valid entries (default: 60°)
**📈 Strategy Execution Settings:**
• *Enable Strategy* — Turn automatic trading on/off
• *Allow LONG/SHORT* — Enable or disable specific directions
• *Max Pyramid Entries* — Maximum entries in same direction (1-3)
• *SL Buffer %* — Distance below/above event line for stop loss (default: 0.15%)
• *TP Buffer %* — Distance from event line for take profit (default: 0.05%)
**VISUAL ELEMENTS**
**Chart Labels:**
• **#1 HB** — Highest Buyers (rank label on candle high)
• **#1 HS** — Highest Sellers (rank label on candle low)
• **#1 LB** — Lowest Buyers (rank label on candle high)
• **#1 LS** — Lowest Sellers (rank label on candle low)
• **🔋 / 🚨** — Buyer power depletion markers
• **🪫 / ⚠️** — Seller power depletion markers
**Event Lines:**
• **Blue horizontal lines** — HB price levels (buyer entry points)
• **Red horizontal lines** — HS price levels (seller entry points)
• **Cyan lines** — LB price levels
• **Orange lines** — LS price levels
• **Dashed extensions** — Projected levels into future bars
**Trend Channel:**
• **Orange lines** — Upper and lower channel boundaries (5-point regression)
• **Orange fill** — Channel area (90% transparency)
**Matrix Dashboard (6 rows):**
• Row 1: Header with symbol, LTF setting, and local clock
• Row 2: Volume snapshot (Total, Buy, Sell, Delta)
• Row 3: Column headers
• Row 4: Highest Buyers data (Age, Start Power, Consumed, Remaining, Decay, ETA)
• Row 5: Highest Sellers data
• Row 6: Signal Evaluation (Trend, Zone, Nearest Event, Signal, Reason)
**Strategy Markers:**
• **Green triangle up** — LONG entry
• **Red triangle down** — SHORT entry
• **Faded triangles** — Pyramid entries
• **Colored lines** — SL (red) and TP (green) levels when in position
**BEST PRACTICES**
**For Maximum Accuracy:**
1. Use **1T (tick)** or **1S** intrabar resolution when available
2. Trade liquid markets with good volume data (crypto majors, forex majors, high-volume stocks)
3. Use smaller lookback length (20-30) to ensure all bars have valid LTF data
4. Monitor the "Intrabar Valid Bars" counter in the matrix header
5. If you see data warnings, reduce lookback or increase LTF resolution
**For Longer Backtests:**
1. Use **15S or 1M** intrabar resolution for more historical data
2. Increase lookback length if needed
3. Understand that accuracy decreases with higher LTF settings
4. Consider using Geometry mode for very long backtests (approximation but always available)
**Understanding the Signals:**
• Pay attention to the signal *reasoning* shown in the matrix — it explains WHY
• **NO_TRADE** means the system sees conflicting factors — respect this caution
• Event lines act as dynamic S/R — they update as new volume events occur
• Cumulative Delta (Δ) often provides early warning of trend changes
**Risk Management:**
• The default 10% per entry with max 2 pyramids = 20% maximum exposure
• Event-line-based SL/TP provides logical levels based on actual volume events
• Always verify signals with your own analysis before trading
**INTERPRETING THE MATRIX**
**Power Status Examples:**
• *Remaining Power: 75%* — Buyers still have most of their strength
• *Remaining Power: 25%* — Buyers nearly exhausted, watch for reversal
• *Opponent Dominance: -50%* — Sellers have consumed 150% of buyer power (strong bearish)
**Decay Angle:**
• *Low angle (0-30°)* — Slow consumption, power lasting longer
• *High angle (60-90°)* — Rapid consumption, expect quick exhaustion
**ETA to Parity:**
• Shows estimated bars until Remaining Power reaches zero
• *"Overtaken"* with 🚨 means sellers have already dominated
**LIMITATIONS & DISCLAIMER**
**Technical Limitations:**
• Requires sufficient historical LTF data (varies by TradingView plan and symbol)
• Intrabar (Precise) mode may show invalid data warnings on symbols with limited history
• Strategy tester may not have access to the same LTF data as live trading
• Maximum 500 lines and 500 labels (TradingView platform limits)
**Important Notes:**
• This strategy focuses on **Highest Buyers only** — it does not analyze all market factors
• Past performance does not guarantee future results
• Volume data quality varies significantly between symbols and exchanges
• The strategy's signals are analytical tools, not trading recommendations
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This strategy is provided for **educational and informational purposes only**. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
• Always use proper risk management
• Never risk more than you can afford to lose
• Backtest results may differ significantly from live trading
• You are solely responsible for your trading decisions
**TECHNICAL SPECIFICATIONS**
• Pine Script Version: 6
• Calculation: calc_on_every_tick=true, use_bar_magnifier=true
• Default Capital: 10,000
• Default Position Size: 10% of equity
• Maximum Lines: 500
• Maximum Labels: 500
• External Library: TradingView/ta/10 (for requestUpAndDownVolume)
*Smart Trader EP1 — Understanding Volume, One Event at a Time*
SPX Iron Fly Session TrackerOverview
This indicator provides visual tracking for iron fly option structures designed for SPX 0-day-to-expiration (0DTE) intraday trading. It implements a two-phase position management system that adapts to different market conditions throughout the trading day.
This is a visualization and tracking tool only. It does not execute trades, access real options data, or calculate actual profit and loss. All displayed positions are theoretical representations based on underlying price movement.
Strategy Goal and Context
The Core Objective:
The strategy aims to have SPX price expire within your iron fly positions at end of day. When price expires inside a fly's profit zone (between the wings), that position captures maximum premium. The challenge is that price moves throughout the day, so static positioning rarely succeeds.
The Solution: Active Management
Rather than setting positions and hoping price cooperates, this approach continuously manages and repositions flies to keep price centered within your profit zones. As SPX drifts during the trading session, you add new flies at current price levels and close flies that price has moved away from.
The Goal: Multiple Profitable Expirations
By session end, you want as many flies as possible to have price expire within their center zones. This requires:
Adding new flies as price moves away from existing positions
Closing flies when price crosses beyond their optimal range
Building layered coverage in the afternoon to increase probability of capture
Adapting wing widths to time of day and volatility
The Reality: Capital and Time Intensive
This is not a passive strategy. Successful implementation requires:
Substantial capital (each fly requires margin, multiple flies compound this)
Active monitoring throughout trading sessions
Quick decision-making as positions trigger
Multiple position adjustments per session
Disciplined adherence to management rules
How This Indicator Helps:
For backtesting:
Use replay mode to study how positions would have managed on historical sessions
Test different parameter combinations to find optimal settings
Observe position behavior during various market conditions
Understand timing and frequency of position adds and closes
Validate whether your capital can support the required position count
For live session support:
Real-time visual tracking shows current position coverage
Alerts notify you immediately when new positions should be added
Position closure alerts help you manage exits promptly
Reference strike tracking shows where you're measuring movement from
History table provides audit trail of all position activity
The indicator handles the complex tracking and rule application, allowing you to focus on execution and risk management.
Key Use Cases
1. Replay Mode - Backtest and Study
Use TradingView's replay feature to validate the strategy on historical sessions:
Step through past SPX sessions bar-by-bar
See exactly when positions would have opened and closed
Count how many flies would have expired profitably
Analyze different parameter settings on the same historical data
Study position behavior during trending vs ranging conditions
Calculate approximate capital requirements for your setup
Refine your parameters before risking real capital
2. Live Session Alerts
Set up real-time notifications for active trading sessions:
Get alerted immediately when new positions trigger
Receive notifications when positions close
Alerts include strike level, wing width, and closure reason
Works on mobile, desktop, email, or webhook
Never miss a position signal during active trading
Maintain awareness even when away from screens briefly
3. Fully Customizable Parameters
Adapt every aspect to your risk tolerance and capital:
Adjust trigger distances for more or fewer position adds
Modify wing widths for different volatility environments
Change session timing to match your trading schedule
Set maximum concurrent positions to your capital limits
Fine-tune spacing to match available strike increments
Iron Fly Structure
An iron fly is a neutral options strategy with four legs:
- Short 1 ATM Call
- Short 1 ATM Put
- Long 1 OTM Call (upper wing protection)
- Long 1 OTM Put (lower wing protection)
The structure creates a defined risk zone. Maximum profit occurs when price expires at the center strike. Loss increases as price moves toward the wings (breakeven points). Maximum loss is defined and occurs beyond the wings.
Expiration Goal:
You want SPX to close inside the fly's wings. If SPX expires at the strike, you capture maximum premium. If SPX expires between the strike and either wing, you still profit (reduced). If SPX expires beyond the wings, you realize a loss (but it's defined and limited by the wings).
Two-Phase Management System
The indicator tracks positions across two distinct trading phases with different management rules:
Phase 1: TWO_GLASS - Morning Session (Default 10am-1pm ET)
Conservative positioning with active repositioning:
- Trigger new positions when price moves 7.5 points from reference strike (configurable)
- Maintain maximum 2 concurrent positions (configurable)
- 10-point spacing between position strikes (configurable)
- 40-point wing width (configurable)
- Exit rule: When two positions are active and price crosses to one strike level, close the OTHER position
This phase uses a "follow the price" approach. You're not trying to stack multiple positions yet - you're maintaining one or two flies centered on wherever price currently is. As price drifts, you add a new fly at the current level and close the old one when price moves too far away.
Phase 2: THREE_GLASS - Afternoon Session (Default 1pm-4pm ET)
Accumulation mode with layered coverage:
- Trigger new positions every 2.5 points of price movement (configurable)
- Maintain maximum 6 concurrent positions (configurable)
- 5-point spacing between strikes (configurable)
- 20-point wings early, reducing to 10 points after 3pm (configurable)
- Exit rule: Positions only close when price reaches wing extremes
This phase builds a stacked profit zone. Instead of swapping positions, you accumulate multiple flies as price moves. The goal is to have several flies active at expiration, creating a wider net to capture price. Tighter spacing and more frequent triggers create this layered coverage.
Why Two Different Phases?
Morning (Phase 1):
Earlier in the day, price has more time to move substantially. Maintaining many concurrent positions is riskier because price could trend and hit multiple wings. The strategy uses selective positioning with wider wings and active replacement.
Afternoon (Phase 2):
Closer to expiration, price movements typically compress. Time for large moves decreases. The strategy shifts to accumulation, building a net of positions to increase probability that final expiration price falls within at least one (ideally several) of your flies. Tighter wings and more positions become appropriate.
Exit Mechanisms
Strike Cross Exit (Phase 1 Only)
When two positions are active, if price moves to or beyond one position's strike level, the OTHER position closes. This keeps your coverage centered on current price action rather than maintaining positions price has moved away from.
Example: Flies at 5900 and 5910 are open. Price moves to 5910. The fly at 5900 closes because price has moved to the 5910 level. You're now positioned at current price (5910) rather than maintaining coverage at old price (5900).
Wing Extreme Exit (Both Phases)
Any position closes immediately when price touches its upper or lower wing boundary. This represents the breakeven/maximum loss point, so the position is closed to prevent further deterioration.
Dynamic Wing Adjustment
Wing widths automatically adjust based on time of day:
- Phase 1 (Morning): 40 points (customizable)
- Phase 2 Early (1pm-3pm): 20 points (customizable)
- Phase 2 Late (3pm-4pm): 10 points (customizable)
This progressive tightening reflects decreasing price movement potential as expiration approaches. Wider wings earlier provide more protection when price could move substantially. Tighter wings later allow more precise positioning when price movements typically compress.
All values are fully adjustable to match your risk parameters and observed market volatility.
Customization Guide
Every parameter can be modified to suit your trading style, risk tolerance, and capital:
Session Timing
- TWO_GLASS Start Hour: When Phase 1 begins (default: 10am ET)
- THREE_GLASS Start Hour: When Phase 2 begins (default: 1pm ET)
- Wing Width Change Hour: When wings tighten (default: 3pm ET)
- Session End Hour: When tracking stops (default: 4pm ET)
Phase 1 Parameters (Fully Adjustable)
- Trigger Distance: How far price must move from reference strike to add new position (default: 7.5, range: 0.1+)
- Fly Spacing: Distance between position strikes (default: 10, range: 1.0+)
- Wing Width: Distance from strike to wings (default: 40, range: 5.0+)
- Max Flies: Maximum concurrent positions (default: 2, range: 1-10)
Phase 2 Early Parameters (Fully Adjustable)
- Trigger Distance: Movement needed to add new position (default: 2.5, range: 0.1+)
- Fly Spacing: Distance between strikes (default: 5, range: 1.0+)
- Wing Width: Strike to wing distance (default: 20, range: 5.0+)
- Max Flies: Maximum concurrent positions (default: 6, range: 1-20)
Phase 2 Late Parameters
- Wing Width: Reduced width after 3pm (default: 10, range: 5.0+)
General Settings
- Strike Rounding: Round strikes to nearest multiple (default: 5.0, range: 1.0+)
- Bars Before Check: Bars to wait before allowing closure (default: 2, prevents premature exits)
Display Options
- Show History Table: Toggle detailed position log (default: on)
- History Table Rows: Number of positions displayed (default: 15, range: 5-30)
Alert Settings
- Enable Alerts: Toggle notifications for opens/closes (default: on)
How to Use
For Backtesting in Replay Mode:
Select a historical SPX trading session
Apply indicator to 1-5 minute timeframe
Configure your preferred parameters
Activate TradingView's replay feature
Play through the session (step-by-step or continuous)
Observe when positions open (green boxes appear)
Watch position closures (boxes turn gray)
Count how many flies would have expired with price inside (green at session end)
Note total number of position adds throughout session
Calculate approximate capital needed (positions × margin per fly)
Test different parameter combinations on same historical data
Study position behavior during trending vs ranging sessions
For Live Trading Sessions:
Apply indicator to SPX on 1-5 minute timeframe
Configure parameters based on your backtest results
Create alerts for "Iron Fly Opened" and "Iron Fly Closed"
Set alert frequency to "Once Per Bar Close"
Choose notification method (popup, mobile app, email, webhook)
Monitor the status table (top-right) for current session and reference strike
Review history table (bottom-right) for position log with timestamps
When alert triggers, use visual cues to manually place actual option orders
Execute position adds and closes as indicated by the tracker
Visual Interpretation:
Green boxes = Active positions (theoretical profit zones)
White lines (Phase 1) / Aqua lines (Phase 2) = Strike levels
Red/Blue dotted lines = Wing boundaries (breakeven/risk limits)
Gray boxes = Closed positions (historical reference)
Current SPX price line = Shows where price is relative to positions
Top-right table = Current session status, reference strike, open/closed counts
Bottom-right table = Complete position history with open/close timestamps
Alert System Details
The indicator generates detailed alert messages for position management:
Position Opened:
- Strike level where fly should be placed
- Wing width (±points from strike)
- Session phase (Phase 1 or Phase 2)
- Alert format example: "Iron Fly OPENED | Strike: 5900 | Wings: ±40 | Session: TWO_GLASS"
Position Closed:
- Strike level of fly being closed
- Closure reason (strike cross, wing extreme, etc.)
- Session phase
- Alert format example: "Iron Fly CLOSED | Strike: 5900 | Reason: Price crossed to lower fly | Session: TWO_GLASS"
Configure alerts once before market open, then receive automatic notifications as positions trigger throughout the trading session.
Parameter Optimization Suggestions
For Higher Volatility Environments:
- Increase trigger distances (e.g., Phase 1: 10-15 points, Phase 2: 3-5 points)
- Widen wing widths (e.g., Phase 1: 50-60 points, Phase 2: 25-30 points early, 15-20 late)
- Increase strike spacing to reduce position frequency
For Lower Volatility Environments:
- Decrease trigger distances (e.g., Phase 1: 5-7 points, Phase 2: 1.5-2 points)
- Tighten wing widths (e.g., Phase 1: 30-35 points, Phase 2: 15-18 points early, 8-10 late)
- Reduce strike spacing for more granular coverage
For Conservative Risk Management:
- Reduce maximum concurrent positions (Phase 1: 1, Phase 2: 3-4)
- Widen wing widths for more breathing room
- Increase bars before check to avoid whipsaws
- Use wider trigger distances to reduce position frequency
For Aggressive Positioning:
- Increase maximum concurrent positions (Phase 2: 8-10)
- Tighten trigger distances for more frequent adds
- Reduce bars before check for faster responses
- Use tighter spacing to create denser coverage
Capital Considerations:
Remember that each fly requires margin. If Phase 2 allows 6 concurrent flies and each requires $10,000 margin, you need $60,000 in available capital just for position requirements, plus additional cushion for adverse movement.
Use replay mode to count maximum concurrent positions that would have occurred on historical sessions with your parameters, then calculate total capital needed.
Practical Application
This tool provides visual guidance and management support. To implement the strategy:
Backtest thoroughly in replay mode first
Validate capital requirements for your parameter settings
Confirm you can actively monitor positions during trading hours
Use displayed positions as reference for manual order placement
Match indicator parameters to your actual option contracts
Account for real-world factors: commissions, slippage, bid-ask spreads, option availability
Implement proper position sizing based on available capital
Set up alerts before market open to catch all signals
Execute actual trades manually in your brokerage platform
Track actual results versus indicator expectations
Important Limitations
Theoretical tracking only - not an automated trading system
No access to real option prices, Greeks, or implied volatility
No profit/loss calculations or risk metrics
Does not account for time decay (theta), delta, gamma, vega changes
Assumes continuous price action - gaps or halts not handled
Designed for 0DTE SPX options - not suitable for other timeframes or instruments
Assumes option availability at all strike levels - may not reflect reality
Does not model actual option bid/ask spreads or liquidity
Assumes instant execution at desired strikes - slippage not considered
Historical replay shows theoretical behavior only - actual market conditions may differ
Does not adjust for changing implied volatility throughout session
Position count and timing may not match what's executable in real markets
Capital and Time Requirements
This strategy is resource-intensive:
Capital Requirements:
Each iron fly requires margin (varies by broker and strike width)
Multiple concurrent positions multiply capital needs
Example: 6 flies at $10,000 each = $60,000 minimum
Additional cushion needed for adverse movement
Pattern Day Trader rules may apply (requires $25,000 minimum)
Time Requirements:
Active monitoring during trading hours (typically 10am-4pm ET)
Quick response to position add/close signals
Multiple position adjustments per session possible
Cannot be passive or set-and-forget
Requires ability to place orders promptly when alerted
Use replay mode to understand the commitment level before attempting live implementation.
Risk Considerations
Iron fly trading involves substantial risk. This indicator provides visualization and management support only - it does not constitute financial advice or trading recommendations.
Options trading can result in total loss of capital. The indicator's theoretical positions do not reflect actual trading results. Backtest analysis and historical visualization do not guarantee similar future outcomes. Multiple concurrent positions multiply both profit potential and loss risk.
Always conduct independent research, understand all risks, validate capital requirements, and never trade with funds you cannot afford to lose. Consider starting with paper trading to validate execution capability before risking real capital.
Technical Notes
The indicator uses price-based triggers only. It does not:
Connect to options data feeds
Calculate theoretical option values or Greeks
Execute trades automatically
Provide specific trading signals or recommendations
Account for option-specific factors (implied volatility, time decay, bid/ask spreads)
All displayed information represents theoretical position placement based solely on underlying SPX price movement and user-configured parameters. The tool helps visualize the management framework but requires the trader to handle all actual execution and risk management decisions.
This is an educational and analytical tool for understanding iron fly position management concepts. It requires active interpretation, backtesting validation, and manual implementation by the user.
Wyckoff v1.3: Effort vs ResultThis script helps a trader know the actions of smart money - clearly differentiating between valid and in-valid price moves. It is a not script that'll give you buy/sell signals, but in a very Wyckoff way give you the essentials of tape reading of the current chart.
Code Algo: From current candle to previous N candles (N is variable), it calculates a parameter called R = (high-low)/volume; for each candle, hence forming a distribution of R's. Hence, parameter R takes into account the price-volume relationship together, combined which is paramount for Wyckoff reading. Then it calculates mean (M) and standard deviation (sigma) of all those R's. Hence, M denotes the regular price movements expected from a given volume, which will also be a 'valid' move. Then we calculate ranges M-x*sigma and M+x*sigma (where x is a constant) for 3 values of x: 0.5, 1.5 and 2.2. These ranges give us deviations from M, split into 3 different levels. 1st range (E1) is closer to M, 2nd range (E2) is slightly more deviated from M, 3rd range (E3) includes large deviations and 4th range (E4) gives us largest deviations (highest Wyckoff invalidation). Henceforth, we can assess the current candles R value and check which range does it fall into. This gives us the validation degree of this current candle's move in perspective of how the market behaved previously. We assign symbol '+' for this current candle if R>M (hence showing exhaustion) or '-' if R
Crypto Professional Suite V2.0 [R2D2]Here is the complete professional documentation and strategy guide for your Crypto Pro Suite indicator. This guide is designed to help you install the tool correctly, understand its features, and utilize it to maximize your trading returns.
Crypto Pro Suite: The Professional Crypto Trader's All-In-One Toolkit
1. Introduction
The Crypto Pro Suite is a high-performance TradingView indicator designed to consolidate the five most critical technical analysis tools into a single, clean overlay.
Instead of cluttering your screen with multiple sub-charts (panes), this suite integrates Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci Levels directly onto the price action. It transforms "oscillator" data (RSI and MACD) into actionable Buy/Sell signals on your candles and a real-time Status Dashboard.
Key Features:
Zero Clutter: No bottom panes required; maximizes screen real estate for price analysis.
Real-Time Dashboard: Instant readout of Trend, RSI status, and MACD momentum.
Dynamic Overlay: Indicators move fluidly with your candles.
2. Installation Instructions
Follow these steps precisely to ensure the "Overlay" feature functions correctly.
Clean Slate: If you have any previous version of this script on your chart, remove it now (click the 'X' next to the indicator name).
Open Editor: Click the Pine Editor tab at the bottom of your TradingView screen.
Paste Code: Delete any existing text and paste the Final Polished Script provided in the previous response.
Save & Add: Click Save, then click Add to chart.
Note: By adding it fresh, TradingView forces the script to lock onto the price candles rather than a separate pane.
Verify: You should see colored lines (MAs, Bollinger Bands) directly on top of your candlesticks and a Dashboard in the top right.
3. Using the Script: Settings & Customization
Access the settings by clicking the Gear Icon next to the indicator name.
Dashboard: You can toggle the info panel On/Off or change its size (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
Toggle Control: Each of the 5 indicators has a "Show" checkbox. You can turn off noise (e.g., hide Bollinger Bands) when you only want to focus on Trend (MAs).
Inputs:
MAs: Defaults are 50/200 (Classic Golden Cross setup).
RSI: Default is 14 length, 70/30 limits.
Fibs: Default lookback is 200 bars. Increase this number to find Support/Resistance over a longer timeframe.
4. Maximizing Returns: Strategy & Examples
To maximize returns, professionals do not use indicators in isolation. They look for Confluence—where multiple indicators signal the same direction simultaneously.
A. Moving Averages (Trend Filter)
The Setup: The script plots a Fast MA (Yellow) and Slow MA (Blue).
Strategy:
Golden Cross (Buy): When the Yellow line crosses above the Blue line. This signals the start of a long-term bull trend.
Death Cross (Sell): When the Yellow line crosses below the Blue line.
Pro Tip: Never go long (Buy) if price is significantly below the Blue (Slow) MA.
B. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Setup: Instead of a line graph, you will see labels on the candles: "RSI Buy" (Green) or "RSI Sell" (Red).
Strategy:
Mean Reversion: If you see an "RSI Sell" label, the asset is Overbought. This is often a signal to take profit, not necessarily to short.
The Dip Buy: Look for an "RSI Buy" label occurring during a general uptrend (price above Slow MA). This indicates a healthy pullback that is ready to bounce.
C. MACD (Momentum)
The Setup: Green Triangles (Buy) and Red Triangles (Sell) appear above/below candles.
Strategy:
Trend Confirmation: Use MACD to confirm the Moving Average. If price crosses above the MA and you get a Green MACD Triangle, the breakout has high momentum and is likely to succeed.
Exit Signal: If you are in a Long trade and see a Red MACD Triangle, momentum is fading. Consider tightening your stop-loss.
D. Bollinger Bands (Volatility)
The Setup: A shaded teal channel surrounding the price.
Strategy:
The Squeeze: When the bands get very narrow, a massive move is coming. Wait for the breakout.
Walking the Bands: In a strong crypto bull run, price will hug the Upper Band. If price closes outside the band and then immediately closes inside it, it is a reversal signal (Sell).
E. Fibonacci Retracement (Support/Resistance)
The Setup: Dynamic horizontal lines (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%) based on recent highs/lows.
Strategy:
The Golden Pocket: The most powerful buy zone in crypto is between the 0.5 and 0.618 lines.
Execution: If price falls to the 0.618 line and you see an "RSI Buy" or MACD Green Triangle appear at that exact level, this is a high-probability entry.
5. The "Perfect Trade" Example
Putting it all together for maximum profit.
Context: The Dashboard says "MA Trend: Bullish."
Trigger: Price pulls back down and touches the 0.618 Fibonacci line.
Confirmation 1: Price is also touching the Lower Bollinger Band (acting as dynamic support).
Confirmation 2: An "RSI Buy" label appears on the candle.
Action: BUY.
Stop Loss: Place just below the 100% Fib line.
Take Profit: Sell half at the 0% Fib line (recent high) and let the rest ride.
Crypto Swing Pro [All-in-One] v2 [R2D2]1. Introduction
Crypto Swing Pro (CSP) is a professional-grade technical analysis suite designed for high-volatility cryptocurrency markets. It consolidates the top five institutional-grade indicators—RSI, EMAs, OBV, MACD, and Bollinger Bands—into a single overlay.
New in v2.0: The script now includes a fully integrated Alert System. You no longer need to stare at the chart all day. You can set the script to email you or ping your phone exactly when a MACD Cross occurs or when Volatility Squeezes, ensuring you never miss a move.
2. Installation
1. Open TradingView: Go to your chart.
2. Open Pine Editor: Click the tab at the bottom of the screen.
3. Paste Code: Delete existing code and paste the v2.0 script above.
4. Save: Name it CSP v2.
5. Add to Chart: Click "Add to Chart".
3. How to Set Up Alerts
This is the most powerful feature of v2.0. You can set alerts for specific conditions without needing to write code.
1. Click the "Alert" Button: Located on the top menu bar of TradingView (looks like an alarm clock).
2. Condition: In the "Condition" dropdown menu, select CSP v2.
3. Select Trigger: A second dropdown will appear. Choose the specific signal you want to track:
MACD Buy Signal: Triggers when MACD crosses bullish.
RSI Oversold (<30): Triggers when price is mathematically cheap.
Volatility Squeeze: Triggers when a big move is imminent.
Price Cross Over 200 EMA: Triggers on major trend reversals.
4. Options: Select "Once Per Bar Close" (Recommended to avoid false signals during the candle fluctuation).
5. Notify: Check "Notify in App" or "Send Email".
6. Create: Click Create. You will now be notified even if you are asleep.
4. The Dashboard (HUD)
The on-screen table gives you an instant "Health Check" of the asset.
Indicator Status Meaning
RSI (14) Green (<30) Oversold. Look for long entries.
Red (>70) Overbought. Look to take profit.
MACD BULLISH Momentum is up.
TREND UPTREND Price is above the 200 EMA (White Line).
VOLATILITY SQUEEZE CRITICAL: Market is coiling. A breakout is coming soon.
VOLUME ACCUMULATION Whales are buying (OBV is rising).
5. Configuration & Visuals
Hover over the indicator name on the chart and click the Settings (Gear) icon.
Toggle Indicators: Uncheck any indicator (like Bollinger Bands or EMA 20) to hide them if you want a cleaner view. The Dashboard will still calculate them in the background.
Dashboard Position: Move the table to any corner or turn it off entirely if it blocks your price view.
Color Themes: Adjust the RSI background colors or EMA colors to fit your chart theme (Light/Dark mode).
6. Best Practices
The "Squeeze" Play: If you get a Volatility Squeeze alert, do not enter immediately. Wait for the price to break out of the Bollinger Bands. The squeeze is the "Get Ready" signal; the breakout is the "Go" signal.
The "Trend" Filter: If the 200 EMA (White Line) is above the price (Downtrend), ignore all "MACD Buy" alerts. Trade with the macro trend, not against it.
Evil's Two Legged IndicatorA pullback strategy indicator designed for scalping. This attempts to Identify classic 2-leg pullback patterns and filters out signals during choppy market conditions for better signals.
How It Works:
The indicator detects when price forms two pullback legs (swing lows in an uptrend or swing highs in a downtrend) near key support/resistance zones, then signals when reversal confirmation occurs. Equal-level pullbacks (double bottoms/tops) are marked as stronger signals.
Features:
Channel Options: Donchian (default), Linear Regression, or ATR Bands
Configurable EMA: For trend confirmation (default 21)
Adjustable Leg Detection: Swing lookback period for different timeframes
Equal Level Detection: Highlights stronger setups where both legs terminate at similar prices
Three Chop Filters (can be combined):
ADX Filter — suppresses signals when ADX is below threshold (default 25)
EMA Slope Filter — suppresses signals when EMA is flat
Chop Index Filter — suppresses signals when Chop Index indicates ranging conditions
Signal Types:
Standard signals: 2-leg pullback detected with trend confirmation
Strong signals (highlighted): 2-leg pullback with equal highs/lows — higher probability setup
Recommended Use:
Best suited for scalping on 1-5 minute chart. Designed for 1.5:1 risk/reward setups.
Settings Guide:
Increase "Swing Lookback" for fewer, higher-quality signals
Adjust "Equal Level Threshold" to fine-tune what counts as a double bottom/top
Enable/disable chop filters based on your market and timeframe
Use "Show Strong Signals Only" to filter for highest conviction setups
StrategyMatrixLibLibrary "StrategyMatrixLib"
render_matrix(posStr, digits, bgCol, headBg, headTxt, valCol, valTxt)
Renders a strategy performance matrix (table) using strategy.* and strategy.closedtrades.*
Parameters:
posStr (string) : Table anchor position: "Top Left" | "Top Right" | "Bottom Left" | "Bottom Right"
digits (int) : Decimal places for numeric formatting
bgCol (color) : Background color for non-header cells
headBg (color) : Background for header rows
headTxt (color) : Text color for header rows
valCol (color) : Background for value cells
valTxt (color) : Text color for value cells
Returns: table id The created/updated table ID
Supply & Demand (10-MTF) | StableThe Supply & Demand (10-MTF) indicator is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify high-probability institutional "buy" and "sell" zones across ten different timeframes simultaneously.
Core Functionality
The indicator works by scanning for displacement—sharp, aggressive price movements that leave behind "unfilled orders."
Zone Identification: It identifies a "Base" (the candle before the move) and a "Leg-out" (the momentum candles). If the leg-out meets your momentum strength requirements, a zone is drawn.
Multi-Timeframe Aggregation: Instead of switching between charts, a trader can see 1H Supply, 4H Demand, and Daily Supply zones all layered on a 5-minute chart.
Real-Time Invalidation: The indicator tracks whether price has "mitigated" (broken) a zone. Once a zone is breached by a wick or a close (depending on your settings), it can be hidden or marked as historic.
Why It’s Useful for Traders
1. Confluence Mapping (The "Nest" Strategy)
The most powerful use of this tool is finding Nested Zones. When a 15-minute Demand zone resides inside a 4-hour Demand zone, the probability of a reversal is significantly higher. This indicator makes these high-confluence areas visually obvious.
2. Institutional Footprint Tracking
Institutions do not buy or sell everything at once; they leave footprints in the form of supply and demand imbalances. This tool helps retail traders avoid "buying the top" or "selling the bottom" by showing where the big money actually entered the market.
3. Dynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit
Stop Loss: Traders can place stops just outside the structural boundary of a zone.
Take Profit: Traders can use the opposing HTF (Higher Timeframe) supply zone as a natural target for a long trade.
4. Time Efficiency
Managing 10 timeframes manually is mentally exhausting. This indicator automates the "top-down analysis" process, allowing you to focus on execution rather than chart flipping.
EMA Slope - RSI Indicator# EMA Slope - RSI Indicator
## Script Description (for Publishing Page)
**EMA Slope - RSI Indicator** combines normalized EMA slope momentum analysis with RSI divergence detection and momentum comparison to create a visual signal indicator with five distinct signal types. The indicator's originality lies in its unique "No Trade Zone" (NTZ) concept applied to slope momentum, combined with centered RSI format for direct comparison, and multiple complementary signal methods that work together to identify both trend-following and reversal opportunities across different market conditions.
**Core Concept - EMA Slope Normalization:** Calculates rate of change of long MA (default 160 EMA) by comparing current value to N bars ago (default 3 bars). Raw slope difference normalized to -100 to +100 scale using 500-bar rolling range: normalizedSlope = 100 * (longMA - longMA ) / (highest(maDF, 500) - lowest(maDF, 500)). Creates consistent momentum oscillator comparable across price levels and timeframes.
**No Trade Zone (NTZ) Logic:** NTZ (±8 default) creates neutral zone where slope momentum is too weak for reliable signals. Indicator only triggers NTZ Cross signals when slope crosses out of threshold zone, ensuring signals occur only when momentum is sufficiently strong.
**Centered RSI Format (RSI-50):** Traditional RSI (0-100 range) difficult to compare with slope. This indicator uses centered RSI = (RSI - 50), creating -50 to +50 range zero-centered on same scale as normalized slope. Enables direct visual and mathematical comparison between RSI and slope momentum, enabling Slope-RSI exhaustion detection and RSI-Slope Oscillator signals.
**Component Integration:** Five signal types target different market conditions. NTZ Cross and Acceleration target trend-following when momentum strong. RSI Divergence and Slope-RSI Divergence target reversals when price/momentum diverge. RSI-Slope Oscillator targets momentum alignment when RSI and slope converge. Multi-method approach provides signals across trending, reversing, and ranging markets.
### 📊 Technical Calculations
**Slope Normalization:** maDF = longMA - longMA , normalized: maDf = 100 * maDF / (highest(maDF, 500) - lowest(maDF, 500)), ranges -100 to +100.
**Acceleration Detection:** maAcce = abs(maDf - maDf ) * smoothBars * 2, normalized: maAcc = 50 * maAcce / highest(maAcce, 200). Values above threshold (35 display, 40 signals) indicate sudden momentum shifts. Visualized as colored circles: cyan (bullish), red (bearish).
**RSI Calculation:** rsi = sma(rsi(source, length), smoothing), centered: cRsi = rsi - 50 (ranges -50 to +50). Smoothed using SMA (default 3 bars) to reduce noise.
**RSI Divergence:** Uses pivot high/low detection on smoothed RSI. Pivot lookback = 16 - sensitivityInput (inverse: sensitivity 6 = 10-bar lookback, sensitivity 10 = 6-bar lookback). Compares price pivots (actual high/low including wicks) against RSI pivots. Bullish: priceLowerLow AND rsiHigherLow. Bearish: priceHigherHigh AND rsiLowerHigh. Stores multiple previous pivots (default 8 max) for comparison.
**Slope-RSI Exhaustion:** Compares normalized slope against centered RSI on same scale. Bearish: slope accelerating up (delta > 0, slope > NTZ) BUT RSI declining (cRsi < cRsi AND cRsi < cRsi ). Bullish: slope accelerating down (delta < 0, slope < -NTZ) BUT RSI rising. Gap threshold (default 10.0 points) filters noise. Visualized with dashed lines and gap labels.
**RSI-Slope Oscillator:** State machine tracks cross events (rsiSlopeCrossUp = cRsi > maDf AND cRsi <= maDf ), waits for confirmation: both RSI and slope heading same direction. Long: RSI crosses above slope AND both heading UP. Short: RSI crosses below slope AND both heading DOWN. Useful for range-bound markets.
**Stretch Filter:** maPercentDiff = (longMA - shortMA) / shortMA * 100. Blocks long signals if longMA > shortMA by threshold (overextended up). Blocks short signals if shortMA > longMA by threshold (overextended down). Default 0.45% prevents signals when MAs too far apart.
**Delta Calculation:** Measures change in normalized slope between bars. Timeframe mode: compares current confirmed slope with previous confirmed (more reliable, slight delay). Standard mode: compares current with previous bar (faster, may use unconfirmed). Minimum threshold (default 3.4) filters weak momentum changes.
**Trailing Stop (Blackflag FTS Swingarm):** Uses Wilder's MA of true range. Modified mode: trueRange = max(HiLo, HRef, LRef) with enhanced gap handling. Unmodified: standard true range. Trailing stop calculated based on ATR factor and price trend direction. Separate settings for divergence signals (wider stops, grace periods).
### 🚀 Signal Types and Conditions
**1. NTZ Cross Signals:** Long: Slope crosses above +NTZ (default +8) AND positive delta ≥ threshold (default 3.4) AND stretch filter allows AND optional trend confirmation (short MA > long MA). Short: Slope crosses below -NTZ AND negative delta ≥ threshold AND filters allow. Exit: Slope re-enters NTZ OR reverses direction for confirmation bars OR trailing stop.
**2. Acceleration Signals:** Long: Acceleration ≥ threshold (default 40) AND slope above NTZ AND positive delta sufficient AND filters allow. Short: Acceleration ≥ threshold AND slope below -NTZ AND negative delta sufficient AND filters allow. Visual: Colored circles (cyan bullish, red bearish). Works independently to catch sudden momentum bursts.
**3. RSI Divergence Signals:** Bullish: Price lower low while smoothed RSI higher low, detected via pivot comparison (default up to 8 pivots). Bearish: Price higher high while RSI lower high. Optional Slope-RSI confirmation. Visual: Purple lines (bearish), lime lines (bullish). Exit: Divergence-specific trailing stop (wider ATR, grace period).
**4. Slope-RSI Divergence Signals:** Bullish: Slope accelerating down (negative delta, slope < -NTZ) BUT RSI rising over lookback AND gap exceeds threshold (default 10.0 points). Bearish: Slope accelerating up (positive delta, slope > NTZ) BUT RSI declining AND gap exceeds threshold. Visual: Orange triangles (bullish exhaustion), yellow triangles (bearish exhaustion) with dashed lines. Exit: Divergence-specific trailing stop.
**5. RSI-Slope Oscillator Signals:** Long: RSI crosses above slope AND both heading upward. Short: RSI crosses below slope AND both heading downward. State machine tracks cross then confirms direction. Exit: Opposite oscillator condition (allows reversal) OR trailing stop after grace period.
### 📖 How to Use
**Adding to Chart:** TradingView → Indicators → Search "EMA Slope - RSI Indicator" → Add (displays in separate pane below price).
**Visual Elements:** Colored area = normalized EMA slope (Green = bullish above NTZ, Red = bearish below -NTZ, Gray = NTZ zone). Blue line = Centered RSI (-50 to +50). Colored circles = Acceleration (Cyan = bullish, Red = bearish). Green triangles (↑) = Long signals (bottom). Red triangles (↓) = Short signals (top). Orange X = Exit signals. Dashed lines = NTZ boundaries. Purple/Lime lines = RSI divergences. Orange/Yellow triangles = Slope-RSI exhaustion. Table (top-right) = Current Slope, RSI, Gap values.
**Parameter Configuration:** MA Settings: Short 40 (stretch filter), Long 160 (slope), Types: SMA/EMA/DEMA/TEMA/WMA/VWMA/SMWMA/SWMA/HMA. Ratios: 20/80 (fast), 40/160 (standard), 50/200 (slow). Core: NTZ Threshold 8 (5-6 more signals, 10-12 stronger), Min Delta 3.4 (5-10 stronger, 1-3 sensitive), Max Stretch 0.45% (0.3% conservative, 1.0% permissive, 0 disable), Use Timeframe Delta true (confirmed bar vs previous bar). RSI: Length 14, Smoothing 3, Source close. Divergence: Sensitivity 6 (higher = more sensitive, 6 = 10-bar lookback, 10 = 6-bar lookback), Max Peaks 8 (2-15 range), Show Divergences true. Slope-RSI: Lookback 4 (2-10, higher = conservative), Min Gap 10.0 pts (0-100, higher = strong only, 0 disable), Show Exhaustion true. Signal Enables: NTZ Cross true, Acceleration true, RSI Divergence false, Slope-RSI Divergence true, RSI-Slope Oscillator true, Require Slope-RSI Confirmation false. Exit: Confirmation Bars 4 (0-10, 0 immediate, 2-4 filters false), Show Trailing Stop true, Trail Type Modified/Unmodified, ATR Period 10, ATR Factor 4.0 (2-3 tight, 4 standard, 5-6 wide), Divergence Grace 3 bars, Divergence ATR 4.0 (recommend 5-8), Oscillator Grace 3 bars, Oscillator ATR 4.0.
**Alerts:** Right-click indicator pane → Add Alert → Choose condition (Long/Short Entry/Exit) → Configure notifications.
**Interpreting Signals:** Trending Markets: Focus NTZ Cross and Acceleration, higher NTZ (10-12) for stronger signals, use trend confirmation. Reversal Opportunities: Enable RSI Divergence and Slope-RSI Divergence, look for exhaustion markers and divergence lines, use wider stops. Range-Bound: Enable RSI-Slope Oscillator, signals when RSI and slope align, allows position reversal. Multi-Timeframe: Higher TF for trend, lower TF for timing, stronger when aligned. Market Adjustments: Crypto 20/80 MA, NTZ 6-7, Delta 4-5 | Forex 40/160 MA, NTZ 8, Delta 3.4 | Stocks 50/200 MA, NTZ 10-12, Delta 2-3.
### 📈 Use Cases
Day Trading (5m-15m, fast MAs 20/80), Swing Trading (1h-4h, standard 40/160), Position Trading (4h-Daily, slow 50/200), Trend Following (NTZ Cross/Acceleration in trends), Reversal Trading (RSI Divergence/Slope-RSI at reversals), Range Trading (RSI-Slope Oscillator in choppy markets), Momentum Analysis (Centered RSI and normalized slope comparison), Trend Exhaustion Detection (Slope-RSI exhaustion markers).
### ⚠️ Important Disclaimer
**THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE**
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. No guarantee of accuracy - signals may be false. Not professional financial advice - consult a qualified advisor. Use only as part of comprehensive analysis. Always use proper risk management. Combine with other analysis techniques before making trading decisions. Indicator signals don't guarantee profitable trades. You are solely responsible for trading decisions and risk management. By using this indicator, you acknowledge understanding the risks and that you use it at your own risk. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Works on all markets: Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Commodities, Futures
## Short Description (for Script Header - 200-300 chars)
Visual signal indicator combining normalized EMA slope momentum (No Trade Zone concept) with centered RSI format for direct comparison. Five signal types: NTZ momentum crosses, acceleration bursts, price-RSI divergences, slope-RSI exhaustion reversals, and RSI-slope oscillator alignment. Includes stretch filter, exit confirmation bars, and trailing stop exits with separate settings per signal type.
## Tags (for Publishing)
EMA, Moving Average, Slope, Momentum, No Trade Zone, NTZ, Indicator, Technical Analysis, RSI, Relative Strength Index, Centered RSI, RSI-50, Divergence, Slope-RSI, Exhaustion, RSI-Slope Oscillator, Normalized Comparison, Stretch Filter, Trend Confirmation, Exit Confirmation, Trailing Stop, Alerts, Signals, Visual Signals, Entry Signals, Exit Signals, Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Futures, Swing Trading, Day Trading, Reversal Trading, Range Trading, Momentum Analysis
## Category
**Indicators** → **Momentum**
VMDivergences◈ DIVERGENCE DETECTION SYSTEM ◈
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀
█ 🎯 OVERVIEW █
▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄▄
VMDiv is a professional-grade divergence detection system built on a unique
hybrid oscillator that combines the best of momentum analysis and mean-reversion
theory. Unlike standard divergence indicators that rely on RSI or MACD, this
system uses a custom Volume Momentum oscillator with adjustable characteristics.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🔧 THE VM OSCILLATOR ENGINE
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
The core innovation is a hybrid oscillator combining TWO analytical approaches:
┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ COMPONENT 1: EMA MOMENTUM │
│ ════════════════════════ │
│ • Fast EMA minus Slow EMA (similar to MACD) │
│ • Normalized by standard deviation for consistency │
│ • Captures trend strength and directional momentum │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ COMPONENT 2: BOLLINGER BAND DISTANCE │
│ ════════════════════════════════════ │
│ • Price distance from Bollinger Band midline │
│ • Normalized to show position within bands (-1 to +1 typically) │
│ • Captures overextension and mean-reversion potential │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ THE BLEND │
│ ════════════ │
│ • "Momentum Blend" parameter controls the mix │
│ • 1.0 = Pure momentum oscillator │
│ • 0.0 = Pure mean-reversion oscillator │
│ • 0.5 = Balanced hybrid (often optimal) │
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
📊 DIVERGENCE TYPES DETECTED
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
This indicator detects SIX types of divergence patterns:
┌───────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ 🔴 REGULAR BEARISH DIVERGENCE │
│ ══════════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Makes HIGHER HIGH ↗ │
│ Oscillator: Makes LOWER HIGH ↘ │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Momentum is weakening despite higher prices. │
│ Signal: Potential reversal to the DOWNSIDE │
│ Reliability: HIGH - Classic reversal signal at tops │
├────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🟢 REGULAR BULLISH DIVERGENCE │
│ ══════════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Makes LOWER LOW ↘ │
│ Oscillator: Makes HIGHER LOW ↗ │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Momentum is strengthening despite lower prices. │
│ Signal: Potential reversal to the UPSIDE │
│ Reliability: HIGH - Classic reversal signal at bottoms │
├──────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🟠 HIDDEN BEARISH DIVERGENCE │
│ ════════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Makes LOWER HIGH ↘ │
│ Oscillator: Makes HIGHER HIGH ↗ │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Downtrend showing internal strength. │
│ Signal: Trend CONTINUATION - expect further downside │
│ Best used: During confirmed downtrends │
├──────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🟡 HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE │
│ ════════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Makes HIGHER LOW ↗ │
│ Oscillator: Makes LOWER LOW ↘ │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Uptrend showing internal strength. │
│ Signal: Trend CONTINUATION - expect further upside │
│ Best used: During confirmed uptrends │
├───────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🟣 DOUBLE TOP DIVERGENCE │
│ ═════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Two SIMILAR HIGHS (within ATR tolerance) │
│ Oscillator: Second high LOWER than first │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Resistance tested twice with weakening momentum. │
│ Signal: Strong reversal setup - HIGH PROBABILITY bearish │
│ Best used: At major resistance levels │
├───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│ 🔵 DOUBLE BOTTOM DIVERGENCE │
│ ═══════════════════════════ │
│ Price: Two SIMILAR LOWS (within ATR tolerance) │
│ Oscillator: Second low HIGHER than first │
│ │
│ Interpretation: Support tested twice with strengthening momentum. │
│ Signal: Strong reversal setup - HIGH PROBABILITY bullish │
│ Best used: At major support levels │
└──────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
Smart Candlestick Pattern Filter [MarkitTick]💡 This Script is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify, grade, and display over 40 distinct candlestick formations based on a proprietary strength and context filtering system. Unlike standard pattern finders that often clutter charts with conflicting signals, this script utilizes a hierarchy logic to display only the most significant pattern detected on any given candle, ensuring chart clarity and actionable data.
● Originality and Utility
The primary utility of this script lies in its filtering engine. Standard indicators often flag every minor Doji or Spinning Top, creating noise. This indicator categorizes patterns into five distinct levels of strength, ranging from simple indecision to very strong reversal or continuation signals.
Furthermore, it incorporates a Trend Context filter, which checks the relationship between price and a Simple Moving Average (SMA). This ensures that reversal patterns (like Hammers) are prioritized during downtrends, while continuation patterns are highlighted during established moves, reducing false positives.
● Methodology
The indicator evaluates price action using specific ratios between the Open, High, Low, and Close, alongside the body size relative to the total range. It assigns a strength score to each detected pattern.
• Pattern Strength Grading
Strength 1 (Indecision): Includes patterns like Doji, Spinning Tops, Dragonfly, and Gravestone Dojis. These signal a pause in momentum.
Strength 2 (Weak): Includes patterns like Hanging Man, Inverted Hammer, Belt Holds, and In-Neck lines. These suggest potential movement but often require confirmation.
Strength 3 (Moderate): Includes classic reversals like Hammers, Shooting Stars, Haramis, Dark Cloud Cover, and Piercing Lines.
Strength 4 (Strong): Includes major signals like Engulfing patterns, Morning/Evening Stars, and Marubozu candles.
Strength 5 (Very Strong): Reserved for rare, high-probability multi-candle formations like Three White Soldiers, Three Black Crows, Rising/Falling Three Methods, and Breakaway gaps.
The script calculates all potential patterns for the current bar and then compares their strength scores. Only the pattern with the highest strength is displayed. If the Show Trend Context option is enabled, the script further validates the pattern against the current market direction (determined by the SMA and slope) before plotting.
● How to Use
Traders can use this tool to identify potential entry and exit points based on the strength of the signal.
• Visual Signals
Patterns are labeled directly on the chart:
Green Labels/Text: Indicate Bullish patterns.
Red Labels/Text: Indicate Bearish patterns.
Gray/White Labels: Indicate Indecision or Weak patterns.
Hovering over any label provides the full name of the pattern and its strength rating (e.g., "Bullish Engulfing - Strength: Strong").
• Trading Logic
High Strength Signals (Levels 4-5): These can be used as primary triggers for trend reversals or strong continuations.
Moderate Signals (Level 3): Useful for adding confluence to existing analysis or anticipating a setup.
Indecision (Level 1): Often useful for taking profits or tightening stop-losses, as they indicate the current trend may be stalling.
● Settings
Show Only Strong Patterns: When enabled, filters out Strength 1, 2, and 3, showing only the most significant signals (Strength >= 4).
Max Patterns to Display: Limits the number of historical labels to prevent chart clutter.
Max Candles to Check Engulfing: Adjusts how far back the script looks to validate the size of an engulfing candle.
Trend Detection Period: Sets the length of the SMA used to determine the background trend context.
Show Only Trend-Appropriate Patterns: If checked, bullish reversals are only shown in downtrends, and bearish reversals in uptrends.
● Disclaimer
All provided scripts and indicators are strictly for educational exploration and must not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to execute trades. I expressly disclaim all liability for any financial losses or damages that may result, directly or indirectly, from the reliance on or application of these tools. Market participation carries inherent risk where past performance never guarantees future returns, leaving all investment decisions and due diligence solely at your own discretion.
EY DashboardThe Easy Portfolio Dashboard is a high-performance, real-time monitoring tool designed for traders managing multiple positions. Unlike standard tables, this script is optimized using User-Defined Types (UDT) and Array-based rendering to ensure the lowest possible latency and 100% compliance with TradingView’s security-call limits. It allows you to track up to 24 symbols simultaneously, showing price action, volatility (ATR), relative volume, and upcoming earnings.
Key Features
Automatic Ticker Formatting: Strips exchange prefixes (e.g., BATS:, NASDAQ:) to keep your UI clean and focused on the ticker name.
Intelligent P&L Tracking: Real-time calculation of daily profit/loss based on your specific share quantities.
Volatility Alerts (ATR %): Visual color-coding (Green/Yellow/Red) based on the stock's current ATR relative to its price.
Earnings Countdown: Highlighted countdown timer for upcoming earnings reports, with red alerts when an event is less than 7 days away.
Net Worth Engine: A dedicated summary section that combines your current equity with a manual Cash (USD) input to track total account value.
How to Use
Ticker Input: Enter your symbols (e.g., AAPL, TSLA) and the number of shares you own in the Inputs tab.
Cash Settings: Enter your current uninvested cash balance in the Cash Settings section to calculate your total Net Worth.
UI Customization:
Position: Choose between 9 different screen locations (Top Right, Bottom Center, etc.).
Minimal Mode: Toggle this to hide the detailed ticker list and show only the P&L and Net Worth summary.
Toggle Columns: Enable or disable columns for ATR, Volume, and Earnings as needed.
Technical Methodology
Data Sourcing: All data is fetched using request.security on a Daily ("D") timeframe.
Security Handling: The script uses a "Global Fetch" architecture. This satisfies the compiler requirement that security calls must be at the top level, while the UI is handled by a dynamic loop for efficiency.
ATR Calculation: Calculated as (ATR(14) / Price) * 100 to show the "expected move" as a percentage of the stock price.
Volume Analysis: Compares current volume to a 20-period SMA of volume to identify unusual activity.
Settings Glossary
ATR Red Threshold: The percentage at which the ATR emoji turns Red (High volatility/risk).
ATR Yellow Threshold: The percentage at which the ATR emoji turns Yellow (Moderate volatility).
Next ER: Displays the days remaining until the next Earnings Report. Cells turn red when an ER is imminent (within 1 week).
FX Master Confluence v39 (Restored MAs) TDDHow to read your new Dashboard:
Top Row (The Boss): This is your 8-Hour WaveTrend status.
DARK GREEN: Strong Bull (Bias is Up & Above Zero). Aggressively look for buys.
LIGHT GREEN: Weak Bull (Bias is Up but Below Zero). Be cautious, could be a deep pullback.
DARK RED: Strong Bear (Bias is Down & Below Zero). Aggressively look for sells.
LTF Rows (15m - 6h):
"GOLDEN ZERO": This is the Holy Grail signal you asked for. The LTF WaveTrend just crossed the Zero line in agreement with the 8H Boss.
"REV SETUP": Standard reversal signal (useful, but lower confidence than Golden).
"TREND UP/DOWN": No signal right now, but tells you the flow of that specific timeframe.
Now you have a "Traffic Light" system. If the Top Row is RED, you ignore everything until you see a RED "GOLDEN ZERO" on your 15m or 1H chart.
4H Candle Curves4H Candle Curves - Detailed User Guide
OVERVIEW
This indicator reveals curve vs continuation behavior in NQ Futures by analyzing how price responds after breaking the first-hour range. Based on 10+ years of statistical analysis (2013-2025, 3,136+ trading days), it identifies which 4-hour sessions exhibit mean reversion (curve) behavior versus trend continuation when Q2 (second hour) breaks Q1 (first hour) extremes.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: This indicator is specifically designed for NQ FUTURES ONLY. All curve probabilities and statistics were derived from a decade-long dataset of NQ 1-minute bars. Using this on other instruments will produce inaccurate results.
CORE CONCEPT: THE CURVE
What is a "Curve"?
A curve occurs when price breaks out of the first hour's range in Q2 (hour 2), but then reverses direction in the second half (Q3+Q4) to make a new extreme on the opposite side.
Curve Example (Upside Break → Downside Reversal):
Q1 (Hour 1): Price establishes range 25,000 - 25,050
Q2 (Hour 2): Price breaks ABOVE Q1 high, reaches 25,100
Q3+Q4 (Hours 3-4): Price curves back down, makes new LOW below 25,000
Result: Q2 broke high, but second half curved back to make new low below Q1 = CURVE
What is "Continuation"?
Continuation occurs when Q2 breaks Q1 range and the second half extends further in the same direction.
Continuation Example (Upside Break → Further Upside):
Q1 (Hour 1): Price establishes range 25,000 - 25,050
Q2 (Hour 2): Price breaks ABOVE Q1 high, reaches 25,100
Q3+Q4 (Hours 3-4): Price continues higher, makes new HIGH above 25,100
Result: Q2 broke high, second half made new high above Q2 = CONTINUATION
THE CRITICAL DISCOVERY: 6AM IS THE CURVE SESSION
Curve Probabilities by Session:
When Q2 Breaks Q1 HIGH:
6AM: 60.6% curve (new low below Q1) | 38.5% continuation
2AM: 38.4% curve | 46.7% continuation (balanced)
10AM: 17.2% curve | 60.4% continuation ← STRONG continuation bias
6PM: 29.6% curve | 59.0% continuation
10PM: 27.5% curve | 55.1% continuation
When Q2 Breaks Q1 LOW:
6AM: 64.4% curve (new high above Q1) | 35.0% continuation ← HIGHEST curve
2AM: 42.8% curve | 43.3% continuation (balanced)
10AM: 16.7% curve | 51.6% continuation ← STRONG continuation bias
6PM: 33.7% curve | 51.1% continuation
10PM: 33.1% curve | 48.6% continuation
Key Insight:
6AM is THE ONLY SESSION with >60% curve probability in both directions. This makes it a uniquely exploitable mean reversion session. When Q2 breaks Q1 range during 6AM, expect the second half to curve back 60-64% of the time.
10AM shows the opposite: Strong continuation bias (60% when Q2 breaks high, 52% when Q2 breaks low). 10AM breakouts tend to follow through.
HOW IT WORKS: THE QUARTER SYSTEM
The Six 4-Hour Candles (EST):
Each trading day (6pm-5pm) is divided into six 4-hour periods:
6PM (18:00-22:00) - Evening/Globex open | Blue box
10PM (22:00-02:00) - Asia session | Purple box
2AM (02:00-06:00) - Early London | Orange box
6AM (06:00-10:00) - Late London + NY Open | Green box ← THE CURVE SESSION
10AM (10:00-14:00) - NY Morning | Red box ← THE CONTINUATION SESSION
2PM (14:00-17:00) - NY Afternoon | Yellow box (3 hours only)
The Four Quarters:
Each 4-hour candle (except 2PM) is divided into four 1-hour quarters:
Q1 (Hour 1, minutes 0-60): Establishes initial range
Q2 (Hour 2, minutes 60-120): Tests Q1 range - breaks or holds?
Q3 (Hour 3, minutes 120-180): Second half begins
Q4 (Hour 4, minutes 180-240): Second half completes
2PM candle only has 3 hours (14:00-17:00), so quarters are adjusted accordingly.
The Three-Step Analysis:
STEP 1: Q1 Establishes Range
The first hour sets the high and low for the session. This becomes the reference range.
STEP 2: Q2 Break Detection
The indicator monitors whether Q2 (hour 2) breaks above Q1 high or below Q1 low.
STEP 3: Second Half Response
Once Q2 breaks Q1 range, the indicator tracks what happens in Q3+Q4:
Does price CURVE back to make new extreme on opposite side?
Does price CONTINUE to make new extreme in same direction?
Or does price stay within the established range?
VISUAL ELEMENTS EXPLAINED
1. 4-Hour Candle Boxes
Colored boxes display the high-to-low range of each 4H candle:
Blue = 6PM (evening session start)
Purple = 10PM (Asia session)
Orange = 2AM (early London)
Green = 6AM ← THE CURVE SESSION (watch for mean reversion)
Red = 10AM ← THE CONTINUATION SESSION (trend follow-through)
Yellow = 2PM (afternoon close, 3 hours only)
2. Quarter Separator Lines
Vertical dotted lines mark the boundaries between quarters (1H, 2H, 3H marks). This helps you see:
When Q1 ends (after 1 hour)
When Q2 ends / second half begins (after 2 hours)
When Q3 ends (after 3 hours)
3. Candle Name Labels
At the 2-hour mark (Q2/Q3 boundary), a label shows:
Candle name (e.g., "6am")
Directional indicator:
🔼 = Q2 broke Q1 HIGH
🔽 = Q2 broke Q1 LOW
⚠️ = Q2 broke BOTH Q1 high and low (extended range)
No symbol = Q2 stayed within Q1 range
THE LIVE STATUS TABLE
Located in your chosen corner (default: bottom-right), this table shows real-time analysis of the current 4H candle.
Header Row:
"LIVE: CANDLE" - Shows which 4H session you're currently in
Quarter Row:
"Quarter: Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 (Hour X)" - Shows which quarter you're currently forming
STATUS Section:
The status updates dynamically based on what has happened:
During Q1-Q2 (First Half):
"⏳ Q1 Building..." - First hour forming, range being established
"⏳ Q2 Building..." - Second hour in progress, Q2 within Q1 range so far
"🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH" - Q2 has broken above Q1 high
"🔽 Q2 Broke Q1 LOW" - Q2 has broken below Q1 low
"⚠️ Q2 Broke BOTH Q1 Extremes" - Q2 extended range in both directions
During Q3-Q4 (Second Half):
"✓ CURVE CONFIRMED" - Q2 broke one direction, second half reversed to opposite side
"✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED" - Q2 broke one direction, second half extended further same direction
"⏳ 2nd Half In Progress" - Q2 broke Q1, waiting to see if curve or continuation
"📊 No Q2 Break Occurred" - Q2 stayed within Q1 range (no curve/continuation setup)
EXPECTATION Section:
Shows the probabilities based on the current state:
When Q2 breaks Q1 high in 6AM:
EXPECT 2nd half:
CURVE (low < Q1): 60.6%
CONT (high > Q2): 38.5%
This tells you there's a 60.6% chance the second half will curve back to make a new low below Q1, versus 38.5% chance it continues higher above Q2.
When curve/continuation is confirmed:
Q2 broke high → 2nd half made new LOW below Q1
Curve: 60.6%
Shows what actually happened and the historical probability.
Color Coding:
Purple background = Curve confirmed (mean reversion occurred)
Green background = Continuation confirmed (upside extension)
Red background = Continuation confirmed (downside extension)
Blue background = Second half in progress, watching
Yellow background = No Q2 break (no setup)
Gray background = Still in first half, building
THE CURVE REFERENCE TABLE
Located in your chosen corner (default: bottom-left), this table provides a quick reference for all sessions.
Table Structure:
TOP SECTION: "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 HIGH"
BOTTOM SECTION: "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 LOW"
How to Read:
"Curve" column = % of time second half makes new extreme on OPPOSITE side
"Cont" column = % of time second half makes new extreme in SAME direction
"Winner" column = Which behavior is more likely
Purple highlight = Curve is the winner (higher %)
Blue highlight = Continuation is the winner
🔥 symbol = Strong edge (>60%)
Quick Reference Usage:
You're in 10AM session, Q2 just broke Q1 high. Look at top section, 10AM row:
Curve: 17.2%
Cont: 60.4%
Winner: CONT
Interpretation: 10AM breakouts tend to follow through. Only 17% chance of curving back. Trade with the break, not against it.
PRACTICAL TRADING EXAMPLES
Example 1: Perfect 6AM Curve Setup
Scenario:
6AM candle in progress
7:00 AM: Q1 ends, range is 18,000 - 18,050
7:30 AM: Price breaks above 18,050, reaches 18,075 (Q2 broke Q1 high)
Live table shows: "🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH"
Expectation: "CURVE (low < Q1): 60.6%"
Trading Decision:
Even though price broke to new highs, the 60.6% curve probability suggests looking for short opportunities expecting price to curve back below 18,000 in Q3-Q4.
Typical Outcome:
8:15 AM (Q3): Price starts declining
9:15 AM (Q4): Price makes new low at 17,990
Result: ✓ CURVE CONFIRMED
Example 2: 10AM Continuation Signal
Scenario:
10AM candle in progress
11:00 AM: Q1 ends, range is 18,100 - 18,150
11:45 AM: Price breaks above 18,150, reaches 18,180 (Q2 broke Q1 high)
Live table shows: "🔼 Q2 Broke Q1 HIGH"
Expectation: "CONT (high > Q2): 60.4%"
Trading Decision:
With 60.4% continuation probability, breakout likely to follow through. Look for long opportunities expecting extension above 18,180 in Q3-Q4.
Typical Outcome:
12:30 PM (Q3): Price continues higher to 18,200
1:15 PM (Q4): Price makes new high at 18,225
Result: ✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED
Example 3: Using Reference Table During Live Trading
You see Q2 breaking Q1 low during 2AM session:
Quick reference check:
2AM row, "When Q2 BREAKS Q1 LOW" section
Curve: 42.8% | Cont: 43.3% | Winner: Balanced
Interpretation: This is a coin flip - 2AM session is balanced when Q2 breaks low. Don't force a directional bias. Wait for second half price action confirmation or skip the setup.
Example 4: No Setup Scenario
Scenario:
6AM candle, Q2 ends at 8:00 AM
Q2 stayed within Q1 range (no break above or below)
Live table shows: "📊 No Q2 Break Occurred"
Trading Decision:
No curve/continuation setup exists. This analysis only applies when Q2 breaks Q1 range. Monitor for different strategies or wait for next 4H candle.
UNDERSTANDING THE UNDERLYING METHODOLOGY
Data Foundation:
Instrument: NQ Futures (E-mini NASDAQ-100)
Timeframe: 1-minute bars for precise quarter tracking
Period: January 2013 - December 2025
Sample: 3,136+ complete trading days
Total 4H Candles Analyzed: ~18,800+ individual sessions
Analysis Process:
For each 4H candle in the dataset:
Calculate Q1 high and low (first hour range)
Track whether Q2 breaks Q1 high, Q1 low, both, or neither
When Q2 breaks Q1 range, measure second half response:
Did Q3+Q4 make new low below Q1? (curve when Q2 broke high)
Did Q3+Q4 make new high above Q1? (curve when Q2 broke low)
Did Q3+Q4 make new high above Q2? (continuation when Q2 broke high)
Did Q3+Q4 make new low below Q2? (continuation when Q2 broke low)
Calculate percentages for each session
Why NQ-Specific?
Different futures contracts exhibit different intraday personality:
NQ (NASDAQ):
Tech-heavy, volatility-prone
6AM shows extreme curve behavior (60-64%) due to NY Open reversal tendency
10AM shows strong continuation (60%) as trends establish
ES (S&P 500) would show different probabilities because:
Lower volatility than NQ
Different institutional participation patterns
Different response to macro events
The indicator's probabilities are calibrated specifically to NQ behavior patterns. Using it on ES, RTY, or other instruments will produce misleading signals.
ORIGINALITY & INNOVATION
What Makes This Indicator Unique:
Quarter-Based Curve Analysis: Unlike traditional indicators that only identify breakouts, this tracks what happens after the breakout. The curve vs continuation framework is novel and provides directional edge.
Session-Specific Behavior: Recognizes that 6AM behaves fundamentally differently than 10AM. Most indicators apply the same logic across all sessions. This indicator provides session-specific probabilities.
Statistical Validation: Every probability shown is backed by 10+ years of data (2,900+ candles per session). Not based on theory or discretionary observation.
Real-Time Quarter Tracking: Precisely identifies which quarter you're in and what stage of the pattern is forming. Provides forward-looking probabilities based on current state.
The 6AM Discovery: The 60-64% curve probability in 6AM is a quantified, repeatable edge that contradicts traditional "breakout = continuation" assumptions. This session exhibits mean reversion characteristics that most traders miss.
Dual-Direction Analysis: Tracks both upside breaks (Q2 > Q1 high) and downside breaks (Q2 < Q1 low) separately, as they can have different probabilities.
Visual Quarter System: The combination of colored boxes, quarter separators, and real-time labels provides instant visual understanding of pattern stage and expected behavior.
HOW TO USE THIS INDICATOR
Step 1: Identify Current 4H Candle
Check which colored box you're in and what session it represents.
Step 2: Wait for Q2 to Complete
The setup doesn't exist until Q2 (hour 2) breaks Q1 range. Monitor the live table.
Step 3: Check Q2 Break Status
Did Q2 break Q1 high? Q1 low? Both? Or neither?
Step 4: Consult Reference Table
Look up current session in curve reference table. What's the probability?
Step 5: Apply Session-Specific Strategy
For 6AM (60-64% curve):
Q2 breaks high → Expect curve back for new low
Q2 breaks low → Expect curve back for new high
Strategy: FADE the Q2 break, look for reversal entries in Q3-Q4
For 10AM (52-60% continuation):
Q2 breaks high → Expect continuation higher
Q2 breaks low → Expect continuation lower
Strategy: TRADE WITH the Q2 break, look for continuation entries in Q3-Q4
For 2AM (38-43% curve, 43-47% continuation):
Balanced probabilities
Strategy: Wait for Q3 price action to confirm direction, or skip
For 6PM/10PM (50-59% continuation):
Moderate continuation bias
Strategy: Lean with the break but use tight stops
Step 6: Monitor Live Status
Watch the live table for confirmation:
"✓ CURVE CONFIRMED" = Mean reversion occurred
"✓ CONTINUATION CONFIRMED" = Follow-through occurred
"⏳ 2nd Half In Progress" = Still developing
BEST PRACTICES
Focus on 6AM for curve trades - This is THE high-probability mean reversion session
Focus on 10AM for continuation trades - This is THE high-probability breakout session
Be cautious with 2AM - Balanced probabilities mean lower edge
Use quarter separators - Enter trades early in Q3 after Q2 break, don't wait for Q4
Combine with price action - Don't blindly fade 6AM or follow 10AM; wait for confirming price structure
Respect the 60% rule - 6AM curve happens 60% of time, which means 40% it doesn't. Manage risk accordingly
Watch for "No Q2 Break" - If Q2 doesn't break Q1, this analysis doesn't apply
Consider overnight context - If 6AM opens with huge gap, curve probability may be affected
SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION
Display Settings:
Show 4H Candle Boxes - Toggle colored range boxes
Box Colors - Customize color for each session
Show Quarter Separators - Show/hide 1H, 2H, 3H lines
Show Candle Name Labels - Show/hide session labels at 2H mark
Separator Line Style - Solid/Dashed/Dotted
Max Historical Candles - How many past 4H candles to display (1-50)
Table Settings:
Show Live Status Table - Toggle real-time analysis table
Show Curve Reference Table - Toggle probability reference table
Table Positions - Place tables in any corner
Table Text Size - Tiny/Small/Normal
LIMITATIONS & DISCLAIMERS
NQ FUTURES ONLY - All probabilities are NQ-specific, do not use on other instruments
Requires Q2 break - No curve/continuation setup exists if Q2 stays within Q1 range
Probabilities, not certainties - 60% means it happens 6 out of 10 times, not every time
Lower timeframe noise - 1-minute tracking can be choppy, consider using 5min+ for entries
Gap days - Large overnight gaps may affect curve/continuation probabilities
Not standalone - Use as confluence with your strategy, not as sole decision factor
Historical performance - Past statistics don't guarantee future results
WHY THE CURVE CONCEPT MATTERS
Traditional trading wisdom says: "Breakout = Continuation"
This indicator proves that's not always true. Specifically, during the 6AM session (late London + NY Open), when Q2 breaks the Q1 range, price curves back to the opposite extreme 60-64% of the time.
This creates a unique exploitable edge:
Most breakout traders go LONG when Q2 breaks Q1 high
But in 6AM, 60.6% of the time, price curves back down for new low
Shorting the breakout (counter-intuitive) is the higher-probability trade
The 10AM session shows the opposite:
Breakouts in 10AM tend to follow through (52-60%)
Traditional "trade the breakout" strategy works better here
By knowing which session you're in, you can adapt your strategy to match the session's personality.
FINAL NOTES
This indicator distills 10+ years of NQ intraday behavior into actionable, session-specific probabilities. The discovery that 6AM exhibits 60-64% curve behavior while 10AM exhibits 52-60% continuation behavior provides a statistical edge for mean reversion and trend-following traders respectively.
The highest-probability setups:
6AM Q2 break → FADE (60-64% edge for curve)
10AM Q2 break → FOLLOW (52-60% edge for continuation)
2AM = SKIP (balanced probabilities, no clear edge)
Master the 6AM curve and 10AM continuation first. These two sessions provide the clearest statistical edges.
Remember: Trade with proper risk management. This tool provides probabilities based on historical behavior, not predictions of future performance.
Dimensional Support ResistanceDimensional Support Resistance
Overview
Dimensional Support Resistance is an open-source overlay indicator that automatically detects and displays clean, non-overlapping support and resistance levels using pivot-based analysis with intelligent filtering. It identifies significant swing highs and lows, filters them by minimum distance to prevent visual clutter, and provides volume-confirmed bounce signals.
What This Indicator Does
The indicator calculates and displays:
Dynamic Pivot Levels - Automatically detected swing highs and lows based on configurable pivot strength
Distance Filtering - Ensures levels are spaced apart by a minimum percentage to prevent overlap
S/R Zones - Visual zones around each level showing the price area of significance
Bounce Detection - Identifies when price reverses at support or resistance levels
Volume Confirmation - Strong signals require above-average volume for confirmation
How It Works
Pivot detection scans for swing highs and lows using a configurable strength parameter. A pivot low requires the low to be lower than all surrounding bars within the strength period.
Signal Generation
The indicator generates bounce signals using TradingView's built-in pivot detection combined with candle reversal confirmation:
Support Bounce: Pivot low forms with bullish close (close > open)
Resistance Bounce: Pivot high forms with bearish close (close < open)
Strong Bounce: Bounce occurs with volume 1.5x above 20-period average
A cooldown period of 15 bars prevents signal spam.
Dashboard Panel
A compact dashboard displays:
Support - Count of active support levels
Resistance - Count of active resistance levels
Dashboard position is configurable (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right).
Visual Elements
Support Lines - Green horizontal lines at support levels
Resistance Lines - Red horizontal lines at resistance levels
S/R Zones - Semi-transparent boxes around levels showing zone width
Price Labels - S: and R: labels showing exact price of nearest levels
BOUNCE Markers - Triangle shapes with text when price bounces at a level
STRONG Markers - Label shapes when bounce occurs with high volume
Input Parameters
Lookback Period (default: 100) - Historical bars to scan for pivots
Pivot Strength (default: 8) - Bars on each side required for valid pivot (higher = fewer but stronger levels)
Max Levels Each Side (default: 2) - Maximum support and resistance levels displayed
Zone Width % (default: 0.15) - Width of zones around each level as percentage of price
Min Distance Between Levels % (default: 1.0) - Minimum spacing between levels to prevent overlap
Show S/R Zones (default: true) - Toggle zone visualization
Show Bounce Signals (default: true) - Toggle signal markers
Support Color (default: #00ff88) - Color for support elements
Resistance Color (default: #ff3366) - Color for resistance elements
Suggested Use Cases
Identify key support and resistance levels for entry and exit planning
Use bounce signals as potential reversal confirmation
Combine with other indicators for confluence-based trading decisions
Monitor strong signals for high-probability setups with volume confirmation
Timeframe Recommendations
Works on all timeframes. Higher timeframes (4H, Daily) provide more significant levels with fewer signals. Lower timeframes show more granular structure but may produce more noise.
Limitations
Pivot detection requires lookback bars, so very recent pivots may not be immediately visible
Bounce signals are based on pivot formation and may lag by the pivot strength period
Levels are recalculated on each bar, so they may shift as new pivots form
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own analysis before trading.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Dynamic Stoch200+MACD+Gann Confluence (Cardinal + Ordinal)If you're scrolling through hundreds of indicators on TradingView looking for a reliable edge, here's why this one stands out and deserves a spot on your chart:Ultra-High-Conviction Reversal Signals (Rare but Powerful)
Most indicators spam signals and repaint. This one requires four independent confluences to fire:Hidden bullish/bearish divergences on a very long-period Stochastic (200) – catches major cycle turns, not noise.Matching hidden divergences on MACD histogram – confirms momentum shift.A strong directional candle (close in top/bottom 20% of range) – filters weak wicks.
Price within ~1.75% of a dynamic Gann Square of 9 level (cardinal + ordinal angles).
Because it demands all four at once, signals are extremely rare — often only a handful per year on daily/weekly timeframes. When they appear, they frequently mark significant tops and bottoms.Fully Adaptive Gann Levels (No Static Lines)
Unlike most Gann scripts with fixed levels that quickly become irrelevant, this one:Automatically anchors to the most recent significant pivot low or high.
Calculates authentic Square of 9 rotations (45°, 90°, 135°, 180°, 225°, 270°, 315°, 360°).
Updates dynamically as new swings form — works on any timeframe and any market (BTC, stocks, forex, indices).
Clean & Customizable Toggle cardinal (strong) vs ordinal (intermediate) levels for plotting and signal checks.
Adjustable pivot sensitivity and proximity tolerance.
Minimal chart clutter: bold lines for major levels, subtle for intermediates, plus clear large triangles for entries.
Best For
Swing traders and position traders seeking high-probability reversal zones rather than frequent scalps. Excellent for Bitcoin and volatile assets where geometric levels + extreme momentum divergences often align at cycle extremes.In short: If you want an indicator that stays quiet most of the time but screams when a real reversal is likely — this is it. Add it, watch the Gann levels adapt, and wait patiently for the rare multi-confluence setups. Quality over quantity.
Nested MA Envelopes HarmonicThe Nested MA Envelopes Harmonic is a custom TradingView Pine Script indicator that overlays a series of nested envelopes around exponentially increasing simple moving averages (SMAs). These SMAs use lengths that double successively (e.g., 25, 50, 100, 200, up to 3200, starting from a user-defined power-of-2 base). Each envelope is offset by deviations that follow a harmonic/octave structure (multipliers of ×1, ×2, ×4, ×8, ×16, ×32, ×64, ×128).The deviation can be set in fixed points or as a true percentage of price, with an optional auto-calibration mode that dynamically adjusts the multiplier based on historical price behavior and ATR to target a specified percentage of bars staying within the innermost envelope. The envelopes feature customizable colors, shaded zones between levels, touch counters, cycle number labels on band touches (with cooldown), and optional centering.This creates a visually layered "harmonic" channel system resembling octave bands, helping identify multi-scale support/resistance zones.
Use CaseTraders use this indicator to visualize price action across multiple time scales simultaneously, treating the nested bands as harmonic levels of volatility or mean reversion zones. Inner envelopes (levels 1–3) capture short-term fluctuations and potential overbought/oversold conditions.
Outer envelopes (levels 6–8) act as major support/resistance during strong trends or reversals.
The cycle labels mark significant touches of higher-level bands (e.g., a "7" or "8" label signals rare extreme extensions, often preceding reversals). It suits mean-reversion strategies (buy near lower bands, sell near upper), trend confirmation (price hugging mid-levels), or breakout alerts when price pierces outer zones. The auto mode adapts to changing volatility, making it versatile for stocks, forex, crypto, or futures on various timeframes.
Personal use - set on your favorite instrument and set to auto mode. Make note of the level picked in bottom right corner. Then switch to manual mode and use the same multiplier that auto used to get you in the right sizing ballpark. The goal is to capture 95% of pricing within the smallest envelope. The what you will see is you can quantify various tops and bottoms. A 1st order (hitting the top/bottom of the smallest envelope) hit is not as important as a 2nd or 3rd order hit. Generally 1st order is informational and 2-5 is actionable. 6-8 would be a unicorn and you should act accordingly. You can use points or % for the spacing.
