(Early Test) Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator**. It is designed to refocus traders on essential aspects of trading, such as risk management and probabilistic returns, thereby catering to both short-term swing traders and long-term investors aiming for tax-efficient positions.
## The Motivation Behind the Indicator
### Overemphasis on Price: A Common Trading Pitfall
Many traders concentrate heavily on price charts and technical indicators, often neglecting the underlying principles of risk management and probabilistic analysis. This overemphasis on price can lead to:
- **Overtrading:** Making frequent trades based solely on price movements without considering the associated risks.
- **Poor Risk Management:** Failing to set appropriate stop-loss levels or position sizes, increasing the potential for significant losses.
- **Emotional Trading:** Letting emotions drive trading decisions rather than objective analysis, which can result in impulsive and irrational trades.
### The Need for Balanced Focus
To achieve sustained trading success, it is crucial to balance price analysis with robust risk management and probabilistic strategies. Key areas of focus include:
1. **Risk Management:** Implementing strategies to protect capital, such as setting stop-loss orders and determining appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance.
2. **Probabilistic Analysis:** Assessing the likelihood of various market outcomes to make informed trading decisions.
3. **Swing Trading Percent Returns:** Capitalizing on short- to medium-term price movements by buying assets below their average return and selling them above.
## Introducing the Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
The **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** is designed to integrate these essential elements into a comprehensive tool that aids traders in making informed, risk-aware decisions. Below, we explore the key components and functionalities of this indicator.
### Key Components of the Indicator
1. **Average Return (%)**
- **Definition:** The mean percentage return for each week across multiple years.
- **Purpose:** Serves as a benchmark to identify weeks with above or below-average performance, guiding buy and sell decisions.
2. **Positive Percentage (%)**
- **Definition:** The proportion of weeks that yielded positive returns.
- **Purpose:** Indicates the consistency of positive returns, helping traders gauge the reliability of certain weeks for trading.
3. **Volatility (%)**
- **Definition:** The standard deviation of weekly returns.
- **Purpose:** Measures the variability of returns, providing insights into the risk associated with trading during specific weeks.
4. **Kelly Ratio**
- **Definition:** A mathematical formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the logarithmic growth of capital.
- **Purpose:** Balances potential returns against risks, guiding traders on the appropriate position size to take.
5. **Adjusted Kelly Fraction**
- **Definition:** The Kelly Ratio adjusted based on user-defined risk tolerance and external factors like Federal Reserve (Fed) stance.
- **Purpose:** Personalizes the Kelly Criterion to align with individual risk preferences and market conditions, enhancing risk management.
6. **Position Size ($)**
- **Definition:** The calculated amount to invest based on the Adjusted Kelly Fraction.
- **Purpose:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with risk management strategies, preventing overexposure to any single trade.
7. **Max Drawdown (%)**
- **Definition:** The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained.
- **Purpose:** Assesses the worst-case scenario for losses, crucial for understanding potential capital erosion.
### Functionality and Benefits
- **Weekly Data Aggregation:** Aggregates weekly returns across multiple years to provide a robust statistical foundation for decision-making.
- **Quarterly Filtering:** Allows users to filter weeks based on quarters, enabling seasonality analysis and tailored strategies aligned with specific timeframes.
- **Dynamic Risk Adjustment:** Incorporates the Dynamic Kelly Criterion to adjust position sizes in real-time based on changing risk profiles and market conditions.
- **User-Friendly Visualization:** Presents all essential metrics in an organized Summary Table, facilitating quick and informed decision-making.
## The Origin of the Kelly Criterion and Addressing Its Limitations
### Understanding the Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. in 1956, is a formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the long-term growth of capital. The formula considers both the probability of winning and the payout ratio, balancing potential returns against the risk of loss.
**Kelly Formula:**
\
Where:
- \( b \) = the net odds received on the wager ("b to 1")
- \( p \) = probability of winning
- \( q \) = probability of losing ( \( q = 1 - p \) )
### The Risk of Ruin
While the Kelly Criterion is effective in optimizing growth, it carries inherent risks:
- **Overbetting:** If the input probabilities or payout ratios are misestimated, the Kelly Criterion can suggest overly aggressive position sizes, leading to significant losses.
- **Assumption of Constant Probabilities:** The criterion assumes that probabilities remain constant, which is rarely the case in dynamic markets.
- **Ignoring External Factors:** Traditional Kelly implementations do not account for external factors such as Federal Reserve rates, margin requirements, or market volatility, which can impact risk and returns.
### Addressing Traditional Limitations
Recognizing these limitations, the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** introduces enhancements to the traditional Kelly approach:
- **Incorporation of Fed Stance:** Adjusts the Kelly Fraction based on the current stance of the Federal Reserve (neutral, dovish, or hawkish), reflecting broader economic conditions that influence market behavior.
- **Margin and Leverage Considerations:** Accounts for margin rates and leverage, ensuring that position sizes remain within manageable risk parameters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Continuously updates position sizes based on real-time risk assessments and probabilistic analyses, mitigating the risk of ruin associated with static Kelly implementations.
## How the Indicator Aids Traders
### For Short-Term Swing Traders
Short-term swing traders thrive on capitalizing over weekly price movements. The indicator aids them by:
- **Identifying Favorable Weeks:** Highlights weeks with above-average returns and favorable volatility, guiding entry and exit points.
- **Optimal Position Sizing:** Utilizes the Adjusted Kelly Fraction to determine the optimal amount to invest, balancing potential returns with risk exposure.
- **Probabilistic Insights:** Provides metrics like Positive Percentage (%) and Kelly Ratio to assess the likelihood of favorable outcomes, enhancing decision-making.
### For Long-Term Tax-Free Investors
This is effectively a drop-in replacement for DCA which uses fixed position size that doesn't change based on market conditions, as a result, it's like catching multiple falling knifes by the blade and smiling with blood on your hand... I don't know about you, but I'd rather juggle by the hilt and look like an actual professional...
Long-term investors, especially those seeking tax-free positions (e.g., through retirement accounts), benefit from:
- **Consistent Risk Management:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with long-term capital preservation strategies.
- **Seasonality Analysis:** Allows for strategic positioning based on historical performance trends across different weeks and quarters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Adapts to changing market conditions, maintaining optimal risk profiles over extended investment horizons.
### Developers
Please double check the logic and functionality because I think there are a few issue and I need to crowd source solutions and be responsible about the code I publish. If you have corrections, please DM me or leave a respectful comment.
I want to publish this by the end of the year and include other things like highlighting triple witching weeks, adding columns for volume % stats, VaR and CVaR, alpha, beta (to see the seasonal alpha and beta based off a benchmark ticker and risk free rate ticker and other little goodies.
In den Scripts nach "stop loss" suchen
VCBBDOVWAPSMA By Anil ChawraHow Users Can Make Profit Using This Script:
1. Volume Representation : Each candle on the chart represents a specific time period (e.g., 1 minute, 1 hour, 1 day) and includes information about both price movement and trading volume during that period.
2. Candlestick Anatomy : A volume candle has the same components as a regular candlestick: the body (which represents the opening and closing prices) and the wicks or shadows (which indicate the highest and lowest prices reached during the period).
3. Volume Bars : Instead of just the candlestick itself, volume candles also include a bar or histogram representing the trading volume during that period. The height or length of the volume bar indicates the amount of trading activity.
4. Interpreting Volume : High volume candles typically indicate increased market interest or activity during that period. This could be due to significant buying or selling pressure.
5. Confirmation : Traders often look for confirmation from other technical indicators or price action to validate the significance of a high volume candle. For example, a high volume candle breaking through a key support or resistance level may signal a strong market move.
6. Trend Strength : Volume candles can provide insights into the strength of a trend. A series of high volume candles in the direction of the trend suggests strong momentum, while decreasing volume may indicate weakening momentum or a potential reversal.
7. Volume Patterns : Traders also analyze volume patterns, such as volume spikes or divergences, to identify potential trading opportunities or reversals.
8. Combination with Price Action: Volume analysis is often used in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators to make more informed trading decisions.
9. Confirmation and Validation: It's important to confirm the significance of volume candles with other indicators or price action signals to avoid false signals.
10. Risk Management : As with any trading strategy, proper risk management is crucial when using volume candles to make trading decisions. Set stop-loss orders and adhere to risk management principles to protect your capital.
How to script works :
1.Identify High Volume Candles: Look for candles with significantly higher volume compared to the surrounding candles. These can indicate increased market interest or activity.
2.Wait for Confirmation: Once you identify a high volume candle, wait for confirmation from subsequent candles to ensure the momentum is sustained.
3.Enter the Trade: After confirmation, consider entering a trade in the direction indicated by the high volume candle. For example, if it's a bullish candle, consider buying.
4.Set Stop Loss: Always set a stop loss to limit potential losses in case the trade goes against you.
5.Take Profit: Set a target for taking profits. This could be based on technical analysis, such as a resistance level or a certain percentage gain.
6.Monitor Volume: Continuously monitor volume to gauge the strength of the trend. Decreasing volume may signal weakening momentum and could be a sign to exit the trade.
7.Risk Management: Manage risk carefully by adjusting position sizes according to your risk tolerance and the size of your trading account.
8.Review and Adapt: Regularly review your trades and adapt your strategy based on what's working and what's not.
Remember, no trading strategy guarantees profits, and it's essential to practice proper risk management and have realistic expectations. Additionally, consider combining volume analysis with other technical indicators for a more comprehensive approach to trading.
**How Users Can Make Profit Using This Script:
**
DAYS OPEN LINE:
1.Purpose: Publishing a "Days Open Line" indicator serves to inform customers about the operational schedule of a business or service.
2.Visibility: It ensures that the information regarding the days of operation is easily accessible to current and potential customers.
3.Transparency: By making the operational schedule public, businesses demonstrate transparency and reliability to their customers.
4.Accessibility: The indicator should be published on various platforms such as the business website, social media channels, and physical locations to ensure accessibility to a wide audience.
5.Clarity: The information should be presented in a clear and concise manner, specifying the days of the week the business is open and the corresponding operating hours.
6.Updates: It's important to regularly update the "Days Open Line" indicator to reflect any changes in the operational schedule, such as holidays or special events.
7.Customer Convenience: Providing this information helps customers plan their visits accordingly, reducing inconvenience and frustration due to unexpected closures.
8.Expectation Management: Setting clear expectations regarding the business hours helps manage customer expectations and reduces the likelihood of disappointment or complaints.
9.Customer Service: Publishing the "Days Open Line" indicator demonstrates a commitment to customer service by ensuring that customers have the information they need to engage with the business.
10.Brand Image: Consistently .maintaining and updating the indicator contributes to a positive brand image, as it reflects professionalism, reliability, and a customer-centric approach.
SMA CROSS:
1.This indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two Simple Moving Averages (SMA): a shorter 3-day SMA and a longer 8-day SMA.
When the 3-day SMA crosses above the 8-day SMA, it generates a buy signal indicating a potential upward trend.
Conversely, when the 3-day SMA crosses below the 8-day SMA, it generates a sell signal indicating a potential downward trend.
Signal Interpretation:
2.Buy Signal: Generated when the 3-day SMA crosses above the 8-day SMA.
Sell Signal: Generated when the 3-day SMA crosses below the 8-day SMA.
Usage:
3.Traders can use this indicator to identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
Buy signals suggest a bullish trend, indicating a favorable time to enter or hold a long position.
4.Sell signals suggest a bearish trend, indicating a potential opportunity to exit or take a short position.
Parameters:
5.Periods: 3-day SMA and 8-day SMA.
Price: Closing price is commonly used, but users can choose other price types (open, high, low) for calculation.
Confirmation:
6.It's recommended to use additional technical analysis tools or confirmatory indicators to validate signals and minimize false signals.
Risk Management:
7.Implement proper risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to mitigate losses in case of adverse price movements.
Backtesting:
8.Before using the indicator in live trading, conduct thorough backtesting to evaluate its effectiveness under various market conditions.
Considerations:
9.While SMA crossovers can provide valuable insights, they may generate false signals during ranging or choppy markets.
Combine this indicator with other technical analysis techniques for comprehensive market analysis.
Continuous Optimization:
10.Monitor the performance of the indicator and adjust parameters or incorporate additional filters as needed to enhance accuracy over time.
BOLLINGER BAND:
1.Definition: A Bollinger Band indicator is a technical analysis tool that consists of a centerline (typically a moving average) and two bands plotted above and below it. These bands represent volatility around the moving average.
2.Purpose: Publishing a Bollinger Band indicator serves to provide traders and investors with insights into the volatility and potential price movements of a financial instrument.
3.Visualization: The indicator is typically displayed on price charts, allowing users to visualize the relationship between price movements and volatility levels.
4.Interpretation: Traders use Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, potential trend reversals, and volatility breakouts.
5.Components: The indicator consists of three main components: the upper band, lower band, and centerline (usually a simple moving average). These components are calculated based on standard deviations from the moving average.
6.Parameters: Traders can adjust the parameters of the Bollinger Bands, such as the period length and standard deviation multiplier, to customize the indicator based on their trading strategy and preferences.
7.Signals: Bollinger Bands generate signals when prices move outside the bands, indicating potential trading opportunities. For example, a price breakout above the upper band may signal a bullish trend continuation, while a breakout below the lower band may indicate a bearish trend continuation.
8.Confirmation: Traders often use other technical indicators or price action analysis to confirm signals generated by Bollinger Bands, enhancing the reliability of their trading decisions.
9.Education: Publishing Bollinger Band indicators can serve an educational purpose, helping traders learn about technical analysis concepts and how to apply them in real-world trading scenarios.
10.Risk Management: Traders should exercise proper risk management when using Bollinger Bands, as false signals and market volatility can lead to losses. Publishing educational content alongside the indicator can help users understand the importance of risk management in trading.
VWAP:
1.Calculation: VWAP is calculated by dividing the cumulative sum of price times volume traded for every transaction (price * volume) by the total volume traded.
2.Time Frame: VWAP is typically calculated for a specific time frame, such as a trading day or a session.
3.Intraday Trading: It's commonly used by intraday traders to assess the fair value of a security and to determine if the current price is above or below the average price traded during the day.
4.Execution: Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark for executing large orders, aiming to buy at prices below VWAP and sell at prices above VWAP.
5.Benchmark: It serves as a benchmark for traders to evaluate their trading performance. Trades executed below VWAP are considered good buys, while those above are considered less favorable.
6.Sensitivity: VWAP is more sensitive to price and volume changes during periods of high trading activity and less sensitive during periods of low trading activity.
7.Day's End: VWAP resets at the end of each trading day, providing a new reference point for the following trading session.
8.Volume Weighting: The weighting by volume means that prices with higher trading volumes have a greater impact on VWAP than those with lower volumes.
9.Popular with Algorithmic Traders: Algorithmic trading systems often incorporate VWAP strategies to execute trades efficiently and minimize market impact.
10.Limitations: While VWAP is a useful indicator, it's not foolproof. It may lag behind rapidly changing market conditions and may not be suitable for all trading strategies or market conditions. Additionally, it's more effective in liquid markets where there is significant trading volume.
Luxmi AI Directional Option Buying (Long Only)Introduction:
"Option premium charts typically exhibit a predisposition towards bearish sentiment in higher timeframes"
In the dynamic world of options trading, navigating through the complexities of market trends and price movements is essential for making informed decisions. Among the arsenal of tools available to traders, option premium charts stand out as a pivotal source of insight, particularly in higher timeframes. However, their inherent bearish inclination in such timeframes necessitates a keen eye for identifying bullish pullbacks, especially in lower timeframes, to optimize buying strategies effectively.
Understanding the interplay between different data points becomes paramount in this endeavor. Traders embark on a journey of analysis, delving into metrics such as Implementation Shortfall, the performance of underlying index constituents, and bullish trends observed in lower timeframes like the 1-minute and 3-minute charts. These data points serve as guiding beacons, illuminating potential opportunities amidst the market's ever-shifting landscape.
Using this indicator, we will dissect the significance of option premium charts and their nuanced portrayal of market sentiment. Furthermore, we will unveil the art of discerning bullish pullbacks in lower timeframes, leveraging a multifaceted approach that amalgamates quantitative analysis with qualitative insights. Through this holistic perspective, traders can refine their decision-making processes, striving towards efficiency and efficacy in their options trading endeavors.
Major Features:
Implementation Shortfall (IS) Candles:
Working Principle:
TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average) are both commonly used in calculating Implementation Shortfall, a metric that measures the difference between the actual execution price of a trade and the benchmark price.
TWAP calculates the average price of a security over a specified time period, giving equal weight to each interval. On the other hand, EMA places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to current market conditions.
To calculate Implementation Shortfall using TWAP, the difference between the average execution price and the benchmark price is determined over the trading period. Similarly, with EMA, the difference is calculated using the exponential moving average price instead of a simple average.
By employing TWAP and EMA, traders can gauge the effectiveness of their trading strategies and identify areas for improvement in executing trades relative to a benchmark.
Benefits of using Implementation Shortfall:
By visualizing the implementation shortfall and its comparison with the EMA on the chart, traders can quickly assess whether current trading activity is deviating from recent trends.
Green bars suggest potential buying opportunities or bullish sentiment, while red bars suggest potential selling opportunities or bearish sentiment.
Traders can use this visualization to make more informed decisions about their trading strategies, such as adjusting position sizes, entering or exiting trades, or managing risk based on the observed deviations from the moving average.
How to use this feature:
This feature calculates Implementation Shortfall (IS) and visually represents it by coloring the candles in either bullish (green) or bearish (red) hues. This color-coding system provides traders with a quick and intuitive way to assess market sentiment and potential entry points. Specifically, a long entry is signaled when both the candle color and the trend cloud color align as green, indicating a bullish market outlook. This integrated approach enables traders to make informed decisions, leveraging IS insights alongside visual cues for more effective trading strategies.
Micro Trend Candles:
Working Principle:
This feature begins by initializing variables to determine trend channel width and track price movements. Average True Range (ATR) is then calculated to measure market volatility, influencing the channel's size. Highs and lows are identified within a specified range, and trends are assessed based on price breaches, with potential changes signaled accordingly. The price channel is continually updated to adapt to market shifts, and arrows are placed to indicate potential entry points. Colors are assigned to represent bullish and bearish trends, dynamically adjusting based on current market conditions. Finally, candles on the chart are colored to visually depict the identified micro trend, offering traders an intuitive way to interpret market sentiment and potential entry opportunities.
Benefits of using Micro Trend Candles:
Traders can use these identified micro trends to spot potential short-term trading opportunities. For example:
Trend Following: Traders may decide to enter trades aligned with the prevailing micro trend. If the candles are consistently colored in a certain direction, traders may consider entering positions in that direction.
Reversals: Conversely, if the script signals a potential reversal by changing the candle colors, traders may anticipate trend reversals and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For instance, they might close existing positions or enter new positions in anticipation of a trend reversal.
It's important to note that these micro trends are short-term in nature and may not always align with broader market trends. Therefore, traders utilizing this script should consider their trading timeframes and adjust their strategies accordingly.
How to use this feature:
This feature assigns colors to candles to represent bullish and bearish trends, with adjustments made based on current market conditions. Green candles accompanied by a green trend cloud signal a potential long entry, while red candles suggest caution, indicating a bearish trend. This visual representation allows traders to interpret market sentiment intuitively, identifying optimal entry points and exercising caution during potential downtrends.
Scalping Candles (Inspired by Elliott Wave):
Working Principle:
This feature draws inspiration from the Elliot Wave method, utilizing technical analysis techniques to discern potential market trends and sentiment shifts. It begins by calculating the variance between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of closing prices, mimicking Elliot Wave's focus on wave and trend analysis. The shorter-term EMA captures immediate price momentum, while the longer-term EMA reflects broader market trends. A smoother Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line, derived from the difference between these EMAs, aids in identifying short-term trend shifts or momentum reversals.
Benefits of using Scalping Candles Inspired by Elliott Wave:
The Elliott Wave principle is a form of technical analysis that attempts to predict future price movements by identifying patterns in market charts. It suggests that markets move in repetitive waves or cycles, and traders can potentially profit by recognizing these patterns.
While this script does not explicitly analyze Elliot Wave patterns, it is inspired by the principle's emphasis on trend analysis and market sentiment. By calculating and visualizing the difference between EMAs and assigning colors to candles based on this analysis, the script aims to provide traders with insights into potential market sentiment shifts, which can align with the broader philosophy of Elliott Wave analysis.
How to use this feature:
Candlestick colors are assigned based on the relationship between the EMA line and the variance. When the variance is below or equal to the EMA line, candles are colored red, suggesting a bearish sentiment. Conversely, when the variance is above the EMA line, candles are tinted green, indicating a bullish outlook. Though not explicitly analyzing Elliot Wave patterns, the script aligns with its principles of trend analysis and market sentiment interpretation. By offering visual cues on sentiment shifts, it provides traders with insights into potential trading opportunities, echoing Elliot Wave's emphasis on pattern recognition and trend analysis.
Volume Candles:
Working Principle:
This feature introduces a custom volume calculation method tailored for bullish and bearish bars, enabling a granular analysis of volume dynamics specific to different price movements. By summing volumes over specified periods for bullish and bearish bars, traders gain insights into the intensity of buying and selling pressures during these periods, facilitating a deeper understanding of market sentiment. Subsequently, the script computes the net volume, revealing the overall balance between buying and selling pressures. Positive net volume signifies prevailing bullish sentiment, while negative net volume indicates bearish sentiment.
Benefits of Using Volume candles:
Enhanced Volume Analysis: Traders gain a deeper understanding of volume dynamics specific to bullish and bearish price movements, allowing them to assess the intensity of buying and selling pressures with greater precision.
Insight into Market Sentiment: By computing net volume and analyzing its relationship with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), traders obtain valuable insights into prevailing market sentiment. This helps in identifying potential shifts in sentiment and anticipating market movements.
Visual Representation of Sentiment: The color-coded candle bodies based on volume dynamics provide traders with a visual representation of market sentiment. This intuitive visualization helps in quickly interpreting sentiment shifts and making timely trading decisions.
How to use this feature:
This visual representation allows traders to quickly interpret market sentiment based on volume dynamics. Green candles indicate potential bullish sentiment, while red candles suggest bearish sentiment. The color-coded candle bodies help traders identify shifts in market sentiment and make informed trading decisions.
Smart Sentimeter Candles:
Working Principle:
The "Smart Sentimeter Candles" feature is a tool designed for market sentiment analysis using technical indicators. It begins by defining stock symbols from various sectors, allowing traders to select specific indices for sentiment analysis. The script then calculates the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of the High-Low midpoint, capturing short-term momentum changes in the market. It computes the difference between current and previous values to capture momentum shifts over time.
Additionally, it calculates the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of this difference to provide a smoothed representation of the prevailing trend in market momentum. Another EMA of this difference is calculated to offer an alternative perspective on longer-term momentum trends. Bar colors are determined based on the difference between current and previous values, with bullish and bearish sentiment represented by custom colors. Finally, sentiment candles are visualized on the chart, providing traders with a clear representation of market sentiment changes.
Benefits of Using Sentimeter Candles:
By analyzing index constituents, traders gain insights into the individual stocks that collectively influence the index's performance. This understanding is crucial for trading options as it helps traders tailor their strategies to specific sectors or stocks within the index.
Sector-Specific Analysis: Traders can focus on specific sectors by selecting relevant indices for sentiment analysis.
Momentum Identification: The script identifies short-term momentum changes in the market, aiding traders in spotting potential trend reversals or continuations.
Clear Visualization: Sentiment candles visually represent market sentiment changes, making it easier for traders to interpret and act upon sentiment trends.
How to use this feature:
Select Indices: Toggle the inputs to choose which indices (e.g., NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY) to analyze.
Interpret Sentiment Candles: Monitor the color of sentiment candles on the chart. Green candles indicate bullish sentiment, while red candles suggest bearish sentiment.
Observe Momentum Changes: Pay attention to momentum changes identified by the difference between EMAs and their respective EMAs. Increasing bullish momentum may present buying opportunities, while increasing bearish momentum could signal potential sell-offs.
Trend Cloud:
Working Principle:
The script utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess market momentum, identifying bullish and bearish phases based on RSI readings. It calculates two boolean variables, bullmove and bearmove, which signal shifts in momentum direction by considering changes in the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing price. When RSI indicates bullish momentum and the closing price's EMA exhibits positive changes, bullmove is triggered, signifying the start of a bullish phase. Conversely, when RSI suggests bearish momentum and the closing price's EMA shows negative changes, bearmove is activated, marking the beginning of a bearish phase. This systematic approach helps in understanding the current trend of the price. The script visually emphasizes these phases on the chart using plot shape markers, providing traders with clear indications of trend shifts.
Benefits of Using Trend Cloud:
Comprehensive Momentum Assessment: The script offers a holistic view of market momentum by incorporating RSI readings and changes in the closing price's EMA, enabling traders to identify both bullish and bearish phases effectively.
Structured Trend Recognition: With the calculation of boolean variables, the script provides a structured approach to recognizing shifts in momentum direction, enhancing traders' ability to interpret market dynamics.
Visual Clarity: Plotshape markers visually highlight the start and end of bullish and bearish phases on the chart, facilitating easy identification of trend shifts and helping traders to stay informed.
Prompt Response: Traders can promptly react to changing market conditions as the script triggers alerts when bullish or bearish phases begin, allowing them to seize potential trading opportunities swiftly.
Informed Decision-Making: By integrating various indicators and visual cues, the script enables traders to make well-informed decisions and adapt their strategies according to prevailing market sentiment, ultimately enhancing their trading performance.
How to use this feature:
The most effective way to maximize the benefits of this feature is to use it in conjunction with other key indicators and visual cues. By combining the color-coded clouds, which indicate bullish and bearish sentiment, with other features such as IS candles, microtrend candles, volume candles, and sentimeter candles, traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. For instance, aligning the color of the clouds with the trend direction indicated by IS candles, microtrend candles, and sentimeter candles can provide confirmation of trend strength or potential reversals.
Furthermore, traders can leverage the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss tool for long entries, enhancing risk management strategies. By adjusting the stop-loss level based on the color of the cloud, traders can trail their positions to capture potential profits while minimizing losses. For long entries, maintaining the position as long as the cloud remains green can help traders stay aligned with the prevailing bullish sentiment. Conversely, a shift in color from green to red serves as a signal to exit the position, indicating a potential reversal in market sentiment and minimizing potential losses. This integration of the trend cloud as a trailing stop-loss mechanism adds an additional layer of risk management to trading strategies, increasing the likelihood of successful trades while reducing exposure to adverse market movements.
Moreover, the red cloud serves as an indicator of decay in option premiums and potential theta effect, particularly relevant for options traders. When the cloud turns red, it suggests a decline in option prices and an increase in theta decay, highlighting the importance of managing options positions accordingly. Traders may consider adjusting their options strategies, such as rolling positions or closing out contracts, to mitigate the impact of theta decay and preserve capital. By incorporating this insight into options pricing dynamics, traders can make more informed decisions about their options trades.
Scalping Opportunities (UpArrow and DownArrow):
Working Principle:
The feature calculates candlestick values based on the open, high, low, and close prices of each bar. By comparing these derived candlestick values, it determines whether the current candlestick is bullish or bearish. Additionally, it signals when there is a change in the color (bullish or bearish) of the derived candlesticks compared to the previous bar, enabling traders to identify potential shifts in market sentiment. This is a long only strategy, hence the signals are plotted only when the Trend Cloud is Green (Bullish).
Benefits of using UpArrow and DownArrow:
Clear Visualization: By employing color-coded candlesticks, the script offers traders a visually intuitive representation of market sentiment, enabling quick interpretation of prevailing conditions.
Signal Identification: Its capability to detect shifts in market sentiment serves as a valuable tool for identifying potential trading opportunities, facilitating timely decision-making and execution.
Long-Only Strategy: The script selectively plots signals only when the trend cloud is green, aligning with a bullish bias and enabling traders to focus on long positions during favorable market conditions.
Up arrows indicate potential long entry points, complementing the bullish bias of the trend cloud. Conversely, down arrows signify an active pullback in progress, signaling caution and prompting traders to refrain from entering long positions during such periods.
How to use this feature:
Confirmation: Confirm bullish market conditions with the Trend Cloud indicator. Ensure alignment between trend cloud signals, candlestick colors, and arrow indicators for confident trading decisions.
Entry Signals: Look for buy signals within a green trend cloud, indicated by bullish candlestick color changes and up arrows, suggesting potential long entry points aligned with the prevailing bullish sentiment.
Wait Signals: Exercise caution when encountering down arrows, which signify wait signals or active pullbacks in progress. Avoid entering long positions during these periods to avoid potential losses.
Exit Strategy: Use trend cloud color changes as signals to exit long positions. When the trend cloud shifts color, consider closing out long positions to lock in profits or minimize losses.
Profit Management: It's important to book or lock in some profits early on in option buying. Consider taking partial profits when the trade is in your favor and trail the remaining position to maximize gains on favorable trades.
Risk Management: Implement stop-loss orders or trailing stops to manage risk effectively. Exit positions promptly if sentiment shifts or if price movements deviate from the established trend, safeguarding capital.
Up and Down Signals:
Working Principle:
This feature calculates Trailing Stoploss (TSL) using the Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically adjust the stop level based on price movements. It generates buy signals when the price crosses above the trailing stop and sell signals when it crosses below. These signals are plotted on the chart and trigger alerts, signaling potential trading opportunities. Additionally, the script selectively plots Up and Down signals only when the Implementation Shortfall Calculation identifies scalp opportunities, independent of the prevailing price trend.
Benefits of using Up and Down Signals:
Trailing Stoploss: The script employs an ATR-based trailing stop, allowing traders to adjust stop levels dynamically in response to changing market conditions, thereby maximizing profit potential and minimizing losses.
Clear Signal Generation: Buy and sell signals are generated based on price interactions with the trailing stop, providing clear indications of entry and exit points for traders to act upon.
Alert Notifications: The script triggers alerts when buy or sell signals are generated, ensuring traders remain informed of potential trading opportunities even when not actively monitoring the charts.
Scalping Opportunities: By incorporating Implementation Shortfall Calculation, the script identifies scalp opportunities, enabling traders to capitalize on short-term price movements irrespective of the prevailing trend.
How to use this feature:
Signal Interpretation: Interpret Up signals as opportunities to enter long positions when the price crosses above the trailing stop, and Down signals as cues to exit.
Alert Monitoring: Pay attention to alert notifications triggered by the script, indicating potential trading opportunities based on signal generation.
Scalping Strategy: When Up and Down signals are plotted alongside scalp opportunities identified by the Implementation Shortfall Calculation, consider scalping trades aligned with these signals for short-term profit-taking, regardless of the overall market trend.
Consideration of Trend Cloud: Remember that this feature does not account for the underlying trend provided by the Trend Cloud feature. Consequently, the take profit levels generated by the trailing stop may be smaller than those derived from trend-following strategies. It's advisable to supplement this feature with additional trend analysis to optimize profit-taking levels and enhance overall trading performance.
Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Working Principle:
This feature serves to identify and visualize support and resistance levels on the chart, primarily based on the chosen Chart Timeframe (CTF). It allows users to specify parameters such as the number of bars considered on the left and right sides of each pivot point, as well as line width and label color. Moreover, users have the option to enable or disable the display of these levels. By utilizing functions to calculate pivot highs and lows within the specified timeframe, the script determines the highest high and lowest low surrounding each pivot point.
Additionally, it defines functions to create lines and labels for each detected support and resistance level. Notably, this feature incorporates a trading method that emphasizes the concept of resistance turning into support after breakouts, thereby providing valuable insights for traders employing such strategies. These lines are drawn on the chart, with colors indicating whether the level is above or below the current close price, aiding traders in visualizing key levels and making informed trading decisions.
Benefits of Chart Timeframe Support and Resistance:
Identification of Price Levels: Support and resistance levels help traders identify significant price levels where buying (support) and selling (resistance) pressure may intensify. These levels are often formed based on historical price movements and are regarded as areas of interest for traders.
Decision Making: Support and resistance levels assist traders in making informed trading decisions. By observing price reactions near these levels, traders can gauge market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. For example, traders may choose to enter or exit positions, set stop-loss orders, or take profit targets based on price behavior around these levels.
Risk Management: Support and resistance levels aid in risk management by providing reference points for setting stop-loss orders. Traders often place stop-loss orders below support levels for long positions and above resistance levels for short positions to limit potential losses if the market moves against them.
How to use this feature:
Planning Long Positions: When considering long positions, it's advantageous to strategize when the price is in proximity to a support level identified by the script. This suggests a potential area of buying interest where traders may expect a bounce or reversal in price. Additionally, confirm the bullish bias by ensuring that the trend cloud is green, indicating favorable market conditions for long trades.
Waiting for Breakout: If long signals are generated near resistance levels detected by the script, exercise patience and wait for a breakout above the resistance. A breakout above resistance signifies potential strength in the upward momentum and may present a more opportune moment to enter long positions. This approach aligns with trading methodologies that emphasize confirmation of bullish momentum before initiating trades.
Settings:
The Index Constituent Analysis setting empowers users to input the constituents of a specific index, facilitating the analysis of market sentiments based on the performance of these individual components. An index serves as a statistical measure of changes in a portfolio of securities representing a particular market or sector, with constituents representing the individual assets or securities comprising the index.
By providing the constituent list, users gain insights into market sentiments by observing how each constituent performs within the broader index. This analysis aids traders and investors in understanding the underlying dynamics driving the index's movements, identifying trends or anomalies, and making informed decisions regarding their investment strategies.
This setting empowers users to customize their analysis based on specific indexes relevant to their trading or investment objectives, whether tracking a benchmark index, sector-specific index, or custom index. Analyzing constituent performance offers a valuable tool for market assessment and decision-making.
Example: BankNifty Index and Its Constituents
Illustratively, the BankNifty index represents the performance of the banking sector in India and includes major banks and financial institutions listed on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE). Prominent constituents of the BankNifty index include:
State Bank of India (SBIN)
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Axis Bank
IndusInd Bank
Punjab National Bank (PNB)
Yes Bank
Federal Bank
IDFC First Bank
By utilizing the Index Constituent Analysis setting and inputting these constituent stocks of the BankNifty index, traders and investors can assess the individual performance of these banking stocks within the broader banking sector index. This analysis enables them to gauge market sentiments, identify trends, and make well-informed decisions regarding their trading or investment strategies in the banking sector.
Example: NAS100 Index and Its Constituents
Similarly, the NAS100 index, known as the NASDAQ-100, tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Prominent constituents of the NAS100 index include technology and consumer discretionary stocks such as:
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
Facebook Inc. (FB)
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL)
Netflix Inc. (NFLX)
Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
By inputting these constituent stocks of the NAS100 index into the Index Constituent Analysis setting, traders and investors can analyze the individual performance of these technology and consumer discretionary stocks within the broader NASDAQ-100 index. This analysis facilitates the evaluation of market sentiments, identification of trends, and informed decision-making regarding trading or investment strategies in the technology and consumer sectors.
Example: FTSE 100 Index and Its Constituents
The FTSE 100 index represents the performance of the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) by market capitalization. Some notable constituents of the FTSE 100 index include:
HSBC Holdings plc
BP plc
GlaxoSmithKline plc
Unilever plc
Royal Dutch Shell plc
AstraZeneca plc
Diageo plc
Rio Tinto plc
British American Tobacco plc
Reckitt Benckiser Group plc
By inputting these constituent stocks of the FTSE 100 index into the Index Constituent Analysis setting, traders and investors can analyze the individual performance of these diverse companies within the broader UK market index. This analysis facilitates the evaluation of market sentiments, identification of trends, and informed decision-making regarding trading or investment strategies in the UK market.
This comprehensive approach enables users to dissect index performance effectively, providing valuable insights for investors and traders across different markets and sectors.
Index Selection - Index Selection allows traders to specify the index for Sentimeter calculations, enabling customization for Call and Put Option charts corresponding to the chosen index.
Support and Resistance Levels - Set the left and right bars to consider pivot high and low to draw Support and resistance lines. Linewidth setting to help increase the width of the Support and Resistance lines. Label Color to change the color of the labels.
Style Section Colors to allow users to customize the color scheme to their liking.
MTF HalfTrendIntroduction
A half-trend indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses moving averages and price data to find potential trend reversal and entry points in the form of graphical arrows showing market turning points.
The salient features of this indicator are:
- It uses the phenomenon of moving averages.
- It is a momentum indicator.
- It can indicate a trend change.
- It is capable of detecting a bullish or bearish trend reversal.
- It can signal to sell/buy.
- It is a real-time indicator.
Multi-Timeframe Application
A standout feature is its flexibility across timeframes. Traders have the liberty to choose any timeframe on the chart, enhancing the tool's versatility and making it suitable for both short-term and long-term analyses.
Principle of the Half Trend indicator
This indicator is based on the moving averages. The moving average is the average of the fluctuation or change in the price of an asset. These averages are taken for a time interval.
So, a half-trend indicator takes the moving averages phenomenon as its principle for working. The most commonly used moving averages in a half trend indicator are:
- Relative strength index (RSI)
- EMA (estimated moving average)
Components of a Half Trend indicator
There are two main components of a half trend indicator:
- Half trend line
- Arrows
- ATR lines
Half trend line
Half trend line represents this indicator on a candlestick chart. This line shows the trend of a chart in real-time. A half-trend line is based on the moving averages.
There are two further components of a half-trend line:
- Redline
- Blue line
A red line represents a bearish trend. When the half-trend line turns red, a trend is facing a dip. It is time for the bears to take control of the market. A bearish control of the market represents the domination of sellers in the market.
On the other hand, the blue line represents the bullish nature of the market. It tells a trader that the bullish sentiment of the market is prevailing. A bullish market means the number of buyers is significantly greater than the number of sellers.
Moreover, a trader can change these colors to his choice by customization.
Arrows
There are two types of arrows in this indicator which help a trader with the entry and exit points. These arrows are,
- Blue arrow
- Red arrow
A blue arrow signals a buying trade; on the other hand, a red arrow tells a trader about the selling of the assets. These arrows work with the moving average line to formulate a trading strategy.
The color of these arrows is changed if a trader desires so.
ATR lines
The ATR blue and red lines represent the Average True Range of the Half trend line. They may be used as stop loss or take profit levels.
Pros and Cons
Pros
- It is a very easy to eyes indicator.
- This is a very useful friendly indicator.
- It provides sufficient information to beginner traders.
- It provides sufficient information for entry points in a trade.
- A half-trend indicator provides a good exit strategy for a trader.
- It provides information about market reversals.
- It helps a trader to find a bullish and bearish sentiment in the market.
Cons
- It is a real-time indicator. So, it can lag.
- The lagging of this indicator can lead to miss opportunities.
- The most advanced and professional traders may not rely on this indicator for crucial trading decisions.
- The lagging of this indicator can predict false reversals of the market.
- It can create false signals.
- It requires the confluence of the other technical tools for a better success ratio.
Settings for Half Trend indicator
The default settings for half trend indicator are:
Amplitude = 2
Channel deviation = 2
Different markets or financial instruments may require different settings for optimal execution.
Amplitude: The degree that the Half trend line takes the internal variables into consideration. The higher the number, the fewer trades. The default value is 2.
Channel deviation: The ATR value calculation from the Half trend line. The default value is 2.
Trading strategy
It is an effective indicator in terms of strategy formation for a trading setup. The new and beginner trades can take benefit from this indicator for the formulation of a good trading setup. This indicator also helps seasoned and professional traders formulate a good trading setup with other technical tools.
The trading strategy involving a half-trend indicator is divided into three parts:
- Entry and exit
- Risk management
- Take profit
Entry and exit
It is an effective indicator that provides sufficient information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. The profit of a trader is directly proportional to the appropriate entry and exit points. So, it is a crucial step in any trading setup.
The blue and red arrows provide information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. Furthermore, the entry and exit for the bullish and bearish setups are as follows.
Entry and exit for a bullish setup
If a blue arrow appears under the half-trend line, it means the bullish sentiment of the market is getting stronger in the future. So, it is a signal for entry in a bullish setup.
As the red arrow appears on the chart, it is a signal to exit your trade. The red arrow represents a reversal in the market, so it is a good opportunity to close your trade in a bullish setup.
Entry and exit for a bearish setup
Suppose a red arrow appears above the red moving average line. It is a good opportunity to enter a trade in a bearish setup. The red line represents that sooner the sellers are going to take control and the value of the asset is about to face a dip. So it is the best time to make your move.
As the opposite arrow appears in the chart, it is time to exit from a bearish trade setup.
Re-entering a position
Bullish setup
- The half-trend line is blue.
- At least one candle closes below the blue half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes above the blue half-trend line.
Bearish setup
- The half-trend line is red.
- At least one candle closes above the red half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes below the red half-trend line.
Risk management
Risk management is an integral part of a trading setup. It is an important step to protect your potential profits and losses.
When trading in a bullish market, place the stop loss at the prior swing low. It will help you to cut your losses in case the prices move to the lower end.
In the case of a bearish market, place your stop loss above the prior swing high.
A trader may trail the stop loss using the ATR lines.
The new trader often makes mistakes in the placement of the stop loss. If you don’t place the stop loss at an appropriate point. It can drain your bank account and ruin your trading experience. Is is recommended not to risk more than 2% of your trading account, per trade.
Take profit
The blue ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bullish setup followed by the previous swing high. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
The red ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bearish setup followed by the previous swing low. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
Conclusion
A half trend indicator is a decent indicator that can transform your trading experience. It is a dual indicator that is based on the moving averages as well as helps you to form a trading strategy. If you are a new trader, this indicator can help you to learn and flourish in the trading universe. If you are a seasoned trader, I recommend you use this indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance your success ratio.
All credits go to:
- @everget the original creator of this indicator (I just added the MTF capability).
- Ali Muhammad original author of much of the description used.
Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
Alpha Candle Breakout Signal on Momentum from Support Resistance
Hello traders,
Let’s start with a brief description of what this strategy/indicator is and what it does and how we trade based on Alpha Candles.
The definition of an Alpha Candle is that it is mathematically calculated, and significantly bigger than the previous candles. This could be a green candle or a red candle, as long as the body is significantly bigger than the previous candles at the end of the calculation. All calculations are done in real time, we do NOT paint the candle sticks after the close of the candle and do not use offset values. This is extremely important. You will see the candle changing it's color as the body of the candle gets bigger with real time data feed. (Recalculate On Every Tick is ON by default). Now besides the mathematical calculations, an Alpha Candle also represents the emotion in the market for that stock in that moment. We can also say that an Alpha Candle is a change in the momentum.
Now that we’ve identified the Alpha candle, the second step is, to have a look at the chart and identify if the Alpha candle is breaking to a new high / low from a consolidation period, or from a good chart pattern (ascending / descending triangle , pennant , sideways consolidation) or a sudden direction change of the stock (bounce). Remember, the script will paint all Alpha candles regardless.
NVAX day trading example
Forex
Crypto
PLUG (Bounce example)
The script will identify the Alpha candles that are breaking to a new high / low from a user input look back period (default is 20 bars back, but this can be changed by the user input). An Alpha candle that breaks the look back period, will have a stop loss line below for Green Alpha or above for Red Alpha Candle and reward targets, like target1 or target2 (both are user input fields, can be adjusted to personal R values, default values are 2R and 3R)
A 2R means two times the reward (profit) of a 1-unit risk. If you are comfortable of loosing $50 per trade which will be considered 1-unit, then 2R means $100 reward (profit) target and a 3R is $150 reward (profit) target. Those R values will be plotted and/or labelled on the chart with dollar amounts if desired. You can change your R values from the user input area, even with decimal points, like 2.5R or 3.75R. If you shoot for at least 2R, you could be wrong 6 times out of 10, and still make 2R profit, as long as the other 4 trades give you a total of 8R. This is a basic trading concept. It will force the new traders to focus on risk/reward rather then a gambling attitude.
The script is meant to work with candle stick chart patterns only, it is NOT meant to work with ranges, line charts or point and figure charts. It will work with time frames like (seconds,1,2,3,5,10 minute or any minutes, daily, weekly). If you are trading IPOs , there might not be enough data for the script to do the calculation, so just be aware.
The script will identify the candles if they are Green Alpha (going up, bullish ) or Red Alpha (going down, bearish ). In order to see them clearly, we’ve greyed out the rest of the candles, and made Green Alpha candles white, and Red Alphas are left as red. You can change the colors from the user input area.
There is also a look back period, between 1-55 and the initial value is 20 for Green Alpha and 10 for Red Alpha. So, if the Alpha Candle breaks this look back period, it will be considered as an opportunity to take the trade. The code will put the stop loss area, possible target1 and target2 areas with a blue diamond and will draw the resistance/support lines for that Alpha candle. Depending on the individual’s risk tolerance, a label on the right side of the screen will show the risk tolerance (user input value) and the number of shares to be traded based on the risk tolerance (# of shares will be for the last Alpha Candle that is formed, it will constantly update itself with the new Alpha Candle)
For those who might be familiar with the three-bar play, we implemented something similar, so the code will find them in real time. Once an Alpha Candle is formed, if the following candle is a very small candle, also called pin bar , it will be painted to orange, so you can see it clearly. This pin bar is significantly smaller than the previous candles and formed right after an Alpha Candle.
Like anything in life, nothing is free. Meaning you have to work for it. So if you are looking to buy/sell blindly based on some indicators and signals, please do not consider this script. However, once you start using it, you will see how patterns repeat, when they repeat and how they repeat. It will identify the action, but you have to check the validity from the charts, so user discretionary is advised. As an example, if the Alpha candle is breaking from a consolidation period at $10. Let’s assume stop loss is at $9 so the 2R target will be $12, but if there is a possible resistance at $11, then the trader has to decide to take the trade for a possible 1R return, or skip the trade.
We try to approach the trading as a set of rules and processing the trades one by one, with a calculated risk and reward. This script will give you the Candle stick formation that is worth consideration and will draw the Stop Loss area (you can tweak this to your liking), will draw the 2-3R Targets, and will calculate the number of shares to be purchased based on the Risk Tolerance user entered in the user input area. The rest is to let the trade take care of it self.
Charts and patterns work better, when there is enough volume in a particular stock. If the stock is trading very low in volume , things will not work as expected. So, we must focus on the abnormal stocks, like gap gainers, volume gainer stocks, or heavily traded stocks (for intraday trading). For swing or long-term traders, one could look for a Green Alpha candle, assess the risk and possible return and trade the plan on a daily chart pattern (long term), or 15,30,60 min charts for swing trades.
If you are looking to short a stock, look for stocks that are weak (gap downs), so look for Red Alpha formations in that stock.
Once the back testing is turned on, code will generate buy/sell signals, otherwise it will work as an indicator. But please keep in mind….. For day trading, the stock has to be abnormally trading, so the chart patterns and the Alpha Candles work correctly. Volume has to be more than usual. It is the best way to have predictable results for day trading. If the volume of the stock is 2-5 times or more than the average of 20 days period (early in the morning), and even more later in the day, it is a good indication that the stock is trading on an abnormal volume with some news (pre-market abnormality is a good sign for possible abnormality for that stock).
For back testing, user can select from the user input area :
• Long or Short Trades or both or use the script as an indicator
• Close any open position if an Alpha candle forms in the opposite direction
• Pyramid the trades up to 4 levels (allow to buy/sell 4 times in the same direction every time another Alpha Candle forms)
• Breakout/breakdown look back period (every time an Alpha Candle forms and breaks this look back period, it will be a trade opportunity)
• Target Reward areas
• Stop Loss area
• Time frame (change the time frame and observe which time frame made good profit. Test the plan for future trades. Test it in as many abnormal stocks for the day they were behaving abnormal as possible). Time frame is not a user input field, just the time frame of the chart, 2,5,10 min, 1 hour etc.
• Selective date testing (between two dates/times). This is very important as most of the good opportunities comes from abnormal price action with volume . If you back test with the maximum amount of data for that abnormal stock on that day, it will produce unrealistic results, because the stock will have a normal course of trend before the news. Remember, we are looking for stocks that are trading abnormal in both price and volume or stocks like AAPL , TSLA which are trading heavily on each day. It is also a good way to learn, how and when to buy/sell, where to put stop losses by observing the chart with the Alpha Candles showing the results.
• All the above values will have an impact on the total profit / loss.
F (Ford Motors)
Now that we’ve covered what the script does, let’s plan the trade and trade the plan.
Side Note:
-------------
We started coding this as an indicator to show the Alpha Candles to find opportunities in the market. Later in the development, we implemented it as a Strategy, to be able to back test the ideas, to tweak some rules for entry/exit and see the effects on our profit/loss percentages in general. We kept the original idea being an Indicator, to show us the Alpha Candles in real time. This requires the option “Indicator Mode” is to be selected from the User Input area, and leaving the “Recalculate On Every Tick” is selected from the Properties tab of the strategy (as of Pine Script v5). Strategy is turning this “On” by default.
Disclaimer: This script is an educational and personal use only tool and should be used accordingly. User can not publish any images created with this code. Do your own due diligence, do not buy / sell stocks based on any indicator, always use stop losses. We do not make any promises as this indicator or any indicator will make you a profitable trader. Trading and technical analysis is difficult, it takes time to build confidence and experience. Study the charts and candlestick formations. Study support/resistance areas and how to identify them. This will help you to tweak the script’s stop loss areas and 2R-3R targets. Do not invest any money you are not comfortable loosing.
This is an invite only strategy. We will give ample time to test it out. After that you will need to subscribe. To get access to this strategy trader can send me an email from the links below.
All the Best
Happy Trading
Long/Short/Exit/Risk management Strategy # LongShortExit Strategy Documentation
## Overview
The LongShortExit strategy is a versatile trading system for TradingView that provides complete control over entry, exit, and risk management parameters. It features a sophisticated framework for managing long and short positions with customizable profit targets, stop-loss mechanisms, partial profit-taking, and trailing stops. The strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals for visual feedback on the current trading state.
## Key Features
### General Settings
- **Trading Direction**: Choose to trade long positions only, short positions only, or both.
- **Max Trades Per Day**: Limit the number of trades per day to prevent overtrading.
- **Bars Between Trades**: Enforce a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades.
### Session Management
- **Session Control**: Restrict trading to specific times of the day.
- **Time Zone**: Specify the time zone for session calculations.
- **Expiration**: Optionally set a date when the strategy should stop executing.
### Contract Settings
- **Contract Type**: Select from common futures contracts (MNQ, MES, NQ, ES) or custom values.
- **Point Value**: Define the dollar value per point movement.
- **Tick Size**: Set the minimum price movement for accurate calculations.
### Visual Signals
- **Continuous Position Signals**: Implement 0 to 1 visual signals to track position states.
- **Signal Plotting**: Customize color and appearance of position signals.
- **Clear Visual Feedback**: Instantly see when entry conditions are triggered.
### Risk Management
#### Stop Loss and Take Profit
- **Risk Type**: Choose between percentage-based, ATR-based, or points-based risk management.
- **Percentage Mode**: Set SL/TP as a percentage of entry price.
- **ATR Mode**: Set SL/TP as a multiple of the Average True Range.
- **Points Mode**: Set SL/TP as a fixed number of points from entry.
#### Advanced Exit Features
- **Break-Even**: Automatically move stop-loss to break-even after reaching specified profit threshold.
- **Trailing Stop**: Implement a trailing stop-loss that follows price movement at a defined distance.
- **Partial Profit Taking**: Take partial profits at predetermined price levels:
- Set first partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- Set second partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- **Time-Based Exit**: Automatically exit a position after a specified number of bars.
#### Win/Loss Streak Management
- **Streak Cutoff**: Automatically pause trading after a series of consecutive wins or losses.
- **Daily Reset**: Option to reset streak counters at the start of each day.
### Entry Conditions
- **Source and Value**: Define the exact price source and value that triggers entries.
- **Equals Condition**: Entry signals occur when the source exactly matches the specified value.
### Performance Analytics
- **Real-Time Stats**: Track important performance metrics like win rate, P&L, and largest wins/losses.
- **Visual Feedback**: On-chart markers for entries, exits, and important events.
### External Integration
- **Webhook Support**: Compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts for automated trading.
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to external trading systems and notification platforms.
- **Custom Order Execution**: Implement advanced order flows through external services.
## How to Use
### Setup Instructions
1. Add the script to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure the general settings based on your trading preferences.
3. Set session trading hours if you only want to trade specific times.
4. Select your contract specifications or customize for your instrument.
5. Configure risk parameters:
- Choose your preferred risk management approach
- Set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels
- Enable advanced features like break-even, trailing stops, or partial profit taking as needed
6. Define entry conditions:
- Select the price source (such as close, open, high, or an indicator)
- Set the specific value that should trigger entries
### Entry Condition Examples
- **Example 1**: To enter when price closes exactly at a whole number:
- Long Source: close
- Long Value: 4200 (for instance, to enter when price closes exactly at 4200)
- **Example 2**: To enter when an indicator reaches a specific value:
- Long Source: ta.rsi(close, 14)
- Long Value: 30 (triggers when RSI equals exactly 30)
### Best Practices
1. **Always backtest thoroughly** before using in live trading.
2. **Start with conservative risk settings**:
- Small position sizes
- Reasonable stop-loss distances
- Limited trades per day
3. **Monitor and adjust**:
- Use the performance table to track results
- Adjust parameters based on how the strategy performs
4. **Consider market volatility**:
- Use ATR-based stops during volatile periods
- Use fixed points during stable markets
## Continuous Position Signals Implementation
The LongShortExit strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals to provide visual feedback about the current position state. These signals can help you track when the strategy is in a long or short position.
### Adding Continuous Position Signals
Add the following code to implement continuous position signals (0 to 1):
```pine
// Continuous position signals (0 to 1)
var float longSignal = 0.0
var float shortSignal = 0.0
// Update position signals based on your indicator's conditions
longSignal := longCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := shortCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
// Plot continuous signals
plot(longSignal, title="Long Signal", color=#00FF00, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
plot(shortSignal, title="Short Signal", color=#FF0000, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
```
### Benefits of Continuous Position Signals
- Provides clear visual feedback of current position state (long/short)
- Signal values stay consistent (0 or 1) until condition changes
- Can be used for additional calculations or alert conditions
- Makes it easier to track when entry conditions are triggered
### Using with Custom Indicators
You can adapt the continuous position signals to work with any custom indicator by replacing the condition with your indicator's logic:
```pine
// Example with moving average crossover
longSignal := fastMA > slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := fastMA < slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
```
## Webhook Integration
The LongShortExit strategy is fully compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts, allowing you to connect your strategy to external trading platforms, brokers, or custom applications for automated trading execution.
### Setting Up Webhooks
1. Create an alert on your chart with the LongShortExit strategy
2. Enable the "Webhook URL" option in the alert dialog
3. Enter your webhook endpoint URL (from your broker or custom trading system)
4. Customize the alert message with relevant information using TradingView variables
### Webhook Message Format Example
```json
{
"strategy": "LongShortExit",
"action": "{{strategy.order.action}}",
"price": "{{strategy.order.price}}",
"quantity": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"time": "{{time}}",
"ticker": "{{ticker}}",
"position_size": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"position_value": "{{strategy.position_value}}",
"order_id": "{{strategy.order.id}}",
"order_comment": "{{strategy.order.comment}}"
}
```
### TradingView Alert Condition Examples
For effective webhook automation, set up these alert conditions:
#### Entry Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} != {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Exit Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} < {{strategy.position_size}} or {{strategy.position_size}} > {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Partial Take Profit Alert
```
strategy.order.comment contains "Partial TP"
```
### Benefits of Webhook Integration
- **Automated Trading**: Execute trades automatically through supported brokers
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to custom trading bots and applications
- **Real-Time Notifications**: Receive trade signals on external platforms
- **Data Collection**: Log trade data for further analysis
- **Custom Order Management**: Implement advanced order types not available in TradingView
### Compatible External Applications
- Trading bots and algorithmic trading software
- Custom order execution systems
- Discord, Telegram, or Slack notification systems
- Trade journaling applications
- Risk management platforms
### Implementation Recommendations
- Test webhook delivery using a free service like webhook.site before connecting to your actual trading system
- Include authentication tokens or API keys in your webhook URL or payload when required by your external service
- Consider implementing confirmation mechanisms to verify trade execution
- Log all webhook activities for troubleshooting and performance tracking
## Strategy Customization Tips
### For Scalping
- Set smaller profit targets (1-3 points)
- Use tighter stop-losses
- Enable break-even feature after small profit
- Set higher max trades per day
### For Day Trading
- Use moderate profit targets
- Implement partial profit taking
- Enable trailing stops
- Set reasonable session trading hours
### For Swing Trading
- Use longer-term charts
- Set wider stops (ATR-based often works well)
- Use higher profit targets
- Disable daily streak reset
## Common Troubleshooting
### Low Win Rate
- Consider widening stop-losses
- Verify that entry conditions aren't triggering too frequently
- Check if the equals condition is too restrictive; consider small tolerances
### Missing Obvious Trades
- The equals condition is extremely precise. Price must exactly match the specified value.
- Consider using floating-point precision for more reliable triggers
### Frequent Stop-Outs
- Try ATR-based stops instead of fixed points
- Increase the stop-loss distance
- Enable break-even feature to protect profits
## Important Notes
- The exact equals condition is strict and may result in fewer trade signals compared to other conditions.
- For instruments with decimal prices, exact equality might be rare. Consider the precision of your value.
- Break-even and trailing stop calculations are based on points, not percentage.
- Partial take-profit levels are defined in points distance from entry.
- The continuous position signals (0 to 1) provide valuable visual feedback but don't affect the strategy's trading logic directly.
- When implementing continuous signals, ensure they're aligned with the actual entry conditions used by the strategy.
---
*This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Always test thoroughly before using with real funds.*
magic wand STSM"Magic Wand STSM" Strategy: Trend-Following with Dynamic Risk Management
Overview:
The "Magic Wand STSM" (Supertrend & SMA Momentum) is an automated trading strategy designed to identify and capitalize on sustained trends in the market. It combines a multi-timeframe Supertrend for trend direction and potential reversal signals, along with a 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) for overall market bias. A key feature of this strategy is its dynamic position sizing based on a user-defined risk percentage per trade, and a built-in daily and monthly profit/loss tracking system to manage overall exposure and prevent overtrading.
How it Works (Underlying Concepts):
Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmation (Supertrend):
The strategy uses two Supertrend indicators: one on the current chart timeframe and another on a higher timeframe (e.g., if your chart is 5-minute, the higher timeframe Supertrend might be 15-minute).
Trend Identification: The Supertrend's direction output is crucial. A negative direction indicates a bearish trend (price below Supertrend), while a positive direction indicates a bullish trend (price above Supertrend).
Confirmation: A core principle is that trades are only considered when the Supertrend on both the current and the higher timeframe align in the same direction. This helps to filter out noise and focus on stronger, more confirmed trends. For example, for a long trade, both Supertrends must be indicating a bearish trend (price below Supertrend line, implying an uptrend context where price is expected to stay above/rebound from Supertrend). Similarly, for short trades, both must be indicating a bullish trend (price above Supertrend line, implying a downtrend context where price is expected to stay below/retest Supertrend).
Trend "Readiness": The strategy specifically looks for situations where the Supertrend has been stable for a few bars (checking barssince the last direction change).
Long-Term Market Bias (200 SMA):
A 200-period Simple Moving Average is plotted on the chart.
Filter: For long trades, the price must be above the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bullish bias. For short trades, the price must be below the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bearish bias. This acts as a macro filter, ensuring trades are taken in alignment with the broader market direction.
"Lowest/Highest Value" Pullback Entries:
The strategy employs custom functions (LowestValueAndBar, HighestValueAndBar) to identify specific price action within the recent trend:
For Long Entries: It looks for a "buy ready" condition where the price has found a recent lowest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bearish (indicating an uptrend). This suggests a potential pullback or consolidation before continuation. The entry trigger is a close above the open of this identified lowest bar, and also above the current bar's open.
For Short Entries: It looks for a "sell ready" condition where the price has found a recent highest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bullish (indicating a downtrend). This suggests a potential rally or consolidation before continuation downwards. The entry trigger is a close below the open of this identified highest bar, and also below the current bar's open.
Candle Confirmation: The strategy also incorporates a check on the candle type at the "lowest/highest value" bar (e.g., closevalue_b < openvalue_b for buy signals, meaning a bearish candle at the low, suggesting a potential reversal before a buy).
Risk Management and Position Sizing:
Dynamic Lot Sizing: The lotsvalue function calculates the appropriate position size based on your Your Equity input, the Risk to Reward ratio, and your risk percentage for your balance % input. This ensures that the capital risked per trade remains consistent as a percentage of your equity, regardless of the instrument's volatility or price. The stop loss distance is directly used in this calculation.
Fixed Risk Reward: All trades are entered with a predefined Risk to Reward ratio (default 2.0). This means for every unit of risk (stop loss distance), the target profit is rr times that distance.
Daily and Monthly Performance Monitoring:
The strategy tracks todaysWins, todaysLosses, and res (daily net result) in real-time.
A "daily profit target" is implemented (day_profit): If the daily net result is very favorable (e.g., res >= 4 with todaysLosses >= 2 or todaysWins + todaysLosses >= 8), the strategy may temporarily halt trading for the remainder of the session to "lock in" profits and prevent overtrading during volatile periods.
A "monthly stop-out" (monthly_trade) is implemented: If the lres (overall net result from all closed trades) falls below a certain threshold (e.g., -12), the strategy will stop trading for a set period (one week in this case) to protect capital during prolonged drawdowns.
Trade Execution:
Entry Triggers: Trades are entered when all buy/sell conditions (Supertrend alignment, SMA filter, "buy/sell situation" candle confirmation, and risk management checks) are met, and there are no open positions.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is dynamically placed at the upTrendValue for long trades and downTrendValue for short trades. These values are derived from the Supertrend indicator, which naturally adjusts to market volatility.
Take Profit: The take profit is calculated based on the entry price, the stop loss, and the Risk to Reward ratio (rr).
Position Locks: lock_long and lock_short variables prevent immediate re-entry into the same direction once a trade is initiated, or after a trend reversal based on Supertrend changes.
Visual Elements:
The 200 SMA is plotted in yellow.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit lines are plotted in white, red, and green respectively when a trade is active, with shaded areas between them to visually represent risk and reward.
Diamond shapes are plotted at the bottom of the chart (green for potential buy signals, red for potential sell signals) to visually indicate when the buy_sit or sell_sit conditions are met, along with other key filters.
A comprehensive trade statistics table is displayed on the chart, showing daily wins/losses, daily profit, total deals, and overall profit/loss.
A background color indicates the active trading session.
Ideal Usage:
This strategy is best applied to instruments with clear trends and sufficient liquidity. Users should carefully adjust the Your Equity, Risk to Reward, and risk percentage inputs to align with their individual risk tolerance and capital. Experimentation with different ATR Length and Factor values for the Supertrend might be beneficial depending on the asset and timeframe.
ATR Combined IndicatorHow to Use and Adjust the ATR Stop-Loss & Risk Manager Indicator in TradingView
The ATR Stop-Loss & Risk Manager indicator is designed to help traders visualize Average True Range (ATR)-based stop-loss levels and assess risk. Here's a step-by-step guide on how to use it and adjust its settings.
Adding the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and select your desired chart and time frame.
Click on the Pine Editor at the bottom of the screen.
Paste the provided script into the editor and click Add to Chart.
Once added, the indicator will appear on your chart with ATR values, stop-loss levels, and a risk table.
Indicator Outputs
ATR Line: A line representing the Average True Range (ATR) value, providing a measure of market volatility.
Stop-Loss Levels:
Stop Loss High: A green line above the current price, representing the suggested stop-loss level for long positions.
Stop Loss Low: A red line below the current price, representing the suggested stop-loss level for short positions.
Risk Table:
Displays the ATR value multiplied by a user-defined risk multiplier in a table on the chart.
Configuring the Settings
To customize the indicator for your trading strategy, click the gear icon next to the indicator’s name in the Indicators pane.
1. ATR Settings
ATR Period: Adjust the number of bars used to calculate the ATR. Common values include 14 (default) or 20. Shorter periods respond faster to price changes, while longer periods smooth volatility.
Smoothing Method:
Choose between RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA for the ATR calculation:
RMA (default): A variation of the moving average commonly used in ATR.
SMA: Simple Moving Average, giving equal weight to all bars in the calculation.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average, which gives more weight to recent bars.
WMA: Weighted Moving Average, emphasizing recent prices linearly.
2. Multipliers
ATR Multiplier for Table: Adjust this to scale the ATR value displayed in the table. For example:
Set it to 1.0 to display the exact ATR.
Increase or decrease it to align with your risk tolerance.
Stop Loss Multiplier: Adjust this to change how far the stop-loss levels are plotted from the current price. For example:
Use 1.5 (default) for moderate levels.
Increase for wider stops or decrease for tighter stops.
3. Table Customization
Table Position: Select where the table appears on the chart:
Top Right (default), Top Left, Bottom Right, Bottom Left, Middle Right, or Middle Left.
Border Color: Choose the border color for the table.
Background Color: Set the table's background color.
Text Color: Customize the table text color for better visibility.
4. Visualization
Stop-Loss High and Low Lines:
Use these lines to determine potential stop-loss levels for your trades based on the ATR and stop-loss multiplier.
Green for Stop Loss High (long positions).
Red for Stop Loss Low (short positions).
Practical Use Cases
Volatility-Based Stop Losses:
Use the stop-loss lines to set dynamic stop-loss levels based on market volatility.
Adjust the multipliers to match your trading style:
Tight stops for scalping or day trading.
Wider stops for swing or position trading.
Risk Assessment:
Use the ATR value in the table to gauge market volatility before entering trades.
Higher ATR values indicate more volatile markets, requiring wider stops.
Position Sizing:
Incorporate the ATR value into your position-sizing strategy. For example:
Divide your account risk (e.g., 1% of equity) by the ATR to calculate position size.
TDGS Dynamic Grid Trading Strategy [CoinFxPro]Advanced Dynamic Grid Trading Strategy
Logic and Working Principle:
This strategy uses a dynamic grid system to support both long and short trades. Grid trading aims to capitalize on price fluctuations within a predefined range by executing buy and sell orders systematically. The system calculates grid levels based on a base price and dynamically trades within these levels.
Grid Levels:
Grid levels are calculated based on the initial price and the user-defined grid spacing percentage.
Long Mode: Buys when the price decreases and sells when the price increases.
Short Mode: Sells when the price increases and buys when the price decreases.
Grid Updates:
Grid levels are recalculated based on the market price when the price moves by a user-defined update percentage.
For example;
In Long mode, when the price shows an upward trend, that is, when it rises by the Grid Update Percentage specified by the user, Grid levels are recreated and trades are made according to the new grid levels. While the price and grid levels are updated according to the new price, the Stop level is also updated upwards and the stop is followed with the TrailingStop logic.
In short mode, the same system operates with reverse logic. In other words, as prices decrease downwards, the grids are updated downwards when the Grid update percentage determined by the user decreases. The stop level is also updated accordingly.
The difference of the strategy from other Gridbots is that the grid levels are automatically updated and the levels are recreated with the price percentage difference determined by the user. Old levels can be tracked on the chart.
As the price updates, the self-updating grid levels are updated upwards in long mode and downwards in short mode.
The number of buying lots and selling lots are separated, allowing both trading within the position and the opportunity to collect lots and increase the position.
When trading with the grid trading logic, when buying and selling between grids, there is no repeated purchase at the same level unless there is a sale at the upper grid level. In this way, each level will be traded within itself.
For example, in a long condition, when the price is going up, after deducting the selling lot from the buying lot at each level, the remaining lots will be collected while the price is going up and an opportunity will be provided from the price rise.
Different preferences have been added to the profit taking conditions, allowing the robot to continue or stop after profit taking, if desired.
The system, which acts entirely according to user parameters, constantly updates itself as long as it moves in the direction determined by itself, and in these conditions, transactions are carried out according to profit or stop conditions.
Parameters:
Grid Parameters:
Settings such as buy lot size, sell lot size, grid count, and grid spacing percentage allow flexibility and customization.
Risk Management:
Stop loss (%) and take profit (%) levels help limit potential losses and secure profits at predefined thresholds.
Objective:
The goal of this strategy is to systematically capitalize on market price fluctuations through automated grid trading. This method is particularly effective in volatile markets where the price oscillates within a specific range.
The strategy works with a complete algorithm logic, and in appropriate instruments (especially instruments with depth and transaction volume should be preferred), buying and selling transactions are made according to the parameters determined at the beginning, and if the conditions go beyond the conditions, the stop is made, and when the profit taking conditions are met, it takes profit and prices according to the determined value. When it is updated, the values are updated again and the parameter works algorithmically.
Risk Management Recommendations:
Initial Capital: Grid trading involves frequent transactions, so sufficient initial capital is essential.
Stop Loss: Always set stop loss levels to prevent significant losses.
Grid Count and Spacing: A higher number of grids provides more trading opportunities but using grids that are too close may increase transaction costs due to small price movements.
First of all, it is important for risk management that you choose instruments that have depth and high transaction volume.
Strategy results may differ as a result of the parameters entered. Therefore, before trading in your real account, it is recommended that you start real transactions after backtesting with different parameters.
If you are stuck on something, you can mention it in the comments.
Consecutive Higher/Lower Closes with Breakout LineIndicator Description:
"Four Consecutive Higher/Lower Closes with Auto Breakout Line Timeframe" is a custom TradingView indicator designed to help traders identify key breakout points based on consecutive price action. It combines two main features:
Four Consecutive Higher/Lower Closes – Detects bullish or bearish momentum through consecutive higher or lower closing prices.
Auto Breakout Line – Plots a breakout line that adapts to the timeframe of the chart, helping to visualize potential breakout levels and trends.
Features:
Higher/Lower Close Detection: The indicator tracks and plots lines when there are four consecutive higher closes (bullish) or four consecutive lower closes (bearish). This can signal a trend or momentum in the market.
Breakout Line: It draws an adaptive breakout line that adjusts based on the selected timeframe (i.e., the chart interval), helping traders visually identify breakout levels across different timeframes.
Timeframe Adaptability: The indicator automatically adjusts the breakout line timeframe based on the chart interval (e.g., 15 minutes for lower timeframes and 1 day for higher timeframes).
Customizable Timeframe and Color: The default color for breakout lines is purple, but it is customizable. You can also enable/disable the breakout line through the settings.
How to Use This Indicator for Trading:
1. Trading with Consecutive Higher/Lower Closes:
Bullish Signal: When the indicator detects four consecutive higher closes, it signifies increasing buying momentum. Traders might consider taking long positions when this occurs, especially if the price continues to close higher.
Bearish Signal: When the indicator detects four consecutive lower closes, it signals increasing selling pressure. Traders might consider taking short positions if the price continues to close lower.
Confirmation: The fourth consecutive higher or lower close should be confirmed with additional analysis, such as candlestick patterns, support/resistance levels, or volume.
2. Using the Breakout Line:
The breakout line is designed to help traders identify potential breakout levels. When the price approaches or crosses this line, it could indicate that the market is either breaking out in the direction of the trend or failing to continue the trend.
Bullish Breakout: If the price crosses the breakout line upwards (after four consecutive higher closes), it may confirm that a bullish breakout is in progress. This can be a good opportunity to take a long position.
Bearish Breakout: If the price crosses the breakout line downwards (after four consecutive lower closes), it may confirm that a bearish breakout is occurring. This can be an opportunity to take a short position.
Avoid False Breakouts: It is important not to react to every price move crossing the breakout line. Wait for additional confirmation signals like higher volume, candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish or bearish engulfing), or other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm the breakout's validity.
How to Avoid Fake Breakouts:
A fake breakout occurs when the price moves beyond a breakout level but then quickly reverses back inside the range, trapping traders who took positions in the breakout direction.
Here are strategies to avoid fake breakouts:
1. Volume Confirmation:
A valid breakout is often supported by higher volume. If the price crosses the breakout line but the volume is low, it's more likely to be a fake breakout. Always check the volume when a breakout occurs.
Look for volume spikes that accompany the breakout. A surge in volume confirms the market's conviction in the new trend.
2. Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish/bearish engulfing patterns or Doji candles can provide important insights into potential reversals. If a breakout occurs but is immediately followed by a bearish engulfing candle, it's a sign that the breakout may be false.
Also, check for candlestick formations at key support or resistance levels for confirmation.
3. Time Confirmation:
Wait for the close of the current bar to confirm the breakout. A breakout within a single bar without closing above or below a significant level could be a false move.
Sometimes the market will test the breakout level before committing to the direction. This is common in volatile or choppy market conditions.
4. Use of Other Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An overbought or oversold condition can indicate a potential reversal after a breakout.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Watch for a MACD crossover that aligns with the breakout direction to confirm the move.
5. Use Stop Losses:
A key rule in avoiding fake breakouts is to always use stop-loss orders. Set your stop-loss just outside the breakout level to avoid excessive losses if the price reverses.
Trailing stops can also help lock in profits if the price moves in your favor but may reverse at a later point.
Summary:
The Four Consecutive Higher/Lower Closes with Auto Breakout Line Timeframe indicator is a valuable tool for identifying strong trends and potential breakouts in the market. By combining consecutive close patterns with dynamic breakout levels, it can help traders spot bullish or bearish momentum and make more informed trading decisions. However, always confirm breakouts with volume, candlestick patterns, and other technical indicators to avoid fake breakouts and reduce the risk of false signals.
By using this indicator along with prudent risk management strategies, traders can improve their chances of entering and exiting trades at the right time while avoiding unnecessary losses from false breakouts.
ADX Breakout Strategy█ OVERVIEW
The ADX Breakout strategy leverages the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify and execute breakout trades within specified trading sessions. Designed for the NQ and ES 30-minute charts, this strategy aims to capture significant price movements while managing risk through predefined stop losses and trade limits.
This strategy was taken from a strategy that was posted on YouTube. I would link the video, but I believe is is "against house rules".
█ CONCEPTS
The strategy is built upon the following key concepts:
ADX Indicator: Utilizes the ADX to gauge the strength of a trend. Trades are initiated when the ADX value is below a certain threshold, indicating potential for trend development.
Trade Session Management: Limits trading to specific hours to align with optimal market activity periods.
Risk Management: Implements a fixed dollar stop loss and restricts the number of trades per session to control exposure.
█ FEATURES
Customizable Stop Loss: Set your preferred stop loss amount to manage risk effectively.
Trade Session Configuration: Define the trading hours to focus on the most active market periods.
Entry Conditions: Enter long positions when the price breaks above the highest close in the lookback window and the ADX indicates potential trend strength.
Trade Limits: Restrict the number of trades per session to maintain disciplined trading.
Automated Exit: Automatically closes all positions at the end of the trading session to avoid overnight risk.
█ HOW TO USE
Configure Inputs :
Stop Loss ($): Set the maximum loss per trade.
Trade Session: Define the active trading hours.
Highest Lookback Window: Specify the number of bars to consider for the highest close.
Apply the Strategy :
Add the ADX Breakout strategy to your chart on TradingView.
Ensure you are using a 30-minute timeframe for optimal performance.
█ LIMITATIONS
Market Conditions: The strategy is optimized for trending markets and may underperform in sideways or highly volatile conditions.
Timeframe Specific: Designed specifically for 30-minute charts; performance may vary on different timeframes.
Single Asset Focus: Primarily tested on NQ and ES instruments; effectiveness on other symbols is not guaranteed.
█ DISCLAIMER
This ADX Breakout strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be construed as such. Trading involves significant risk, and you may incur substantial losses. Always perform your own analysis and consider your financial situation before using this or any other trading strategy. The source material for this strategy is publicly available in the comments at the beginning of the code script. This strategy has been published openly for anyone to review and verify its methodology and performance.
Fibonacci Swing Trading BotStrategy Overview for "Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot"
Strategy Name: Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot
Version: Pine Script v5
Purpose: This strategy is designed for swing traders who want to leverage Fibonacci retracement levels and candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades on higher time frames.
Key Components:
1. Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
The strategy uses a customizable timeframe for analysis. You can choose between 4hour, daily, weekly, or monthly time frames to fit your preferred trading horizon. The high and low-price data is retrieved from the selected timeframe to identify swing points.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The script calculates two key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.618: A common level where price often retraces before resuming its trend.
0.786: A deeper retracement level, often used to identify stronger support/resistance areas.
These levels are dynamically plotted on the chart based on the highest high and lowest low over the last 50 bars of the selected timeframe.
3. Candlestick Based Entry Signals:
The strategy uses candlestick patterns as the only indicator for trade entries:
Bullish Candle: A green candle (close > open) that forms between the 0.618 retracement level and the swing high.
Bearish Candle: A red candle (close < open) that forms between the 0.786 retracement level and the swing low.
When these candlestick patterns align with the Fibonacci levels, the script triggers buy or sell signals.
4. Risk Management:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 1% below the entry price for long trades and 1% above the entry price for short trades. This tight risk management ensures controlled losses.
Take Profit: The strategy uses a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The take profit is automatically calculated based on this ratio relative to the stop loss.
5. Buy/Sell Logic:
Buy Signal: Triggered when a bullish candle forms above the 0.618 retracement level and below the swing high. The bot then places a long position.
Sell Signal: Triggered when a bearish candle forms below the 0.786 retracement level and above the swing low. The bot then places a short position.
The stop loss and take profit levels are automatically managed once the trade is placed.
Strengths of This Strategy:
Swing Trading Focus: The strategy is ideal for swing traders, targeting longer-term price moves that can take days or weeks to play out.
Simple Yet Effective Indicators: By only relying on Fibonacci retracement levels and basic candlestick patterns, the strategy avoids complexity while capitalizing on well-known support and resistance zones.
Automated Risk Management: The built-in stop loss and take profit mechanism ensures trades are protected, adhering to a strict 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: The script adapts to various market conditions by allowing users to switch between different timeframes (4hour, daily, weekly, monthly), giving traders flexibility.
Strategy Use Cases:
Retracement Traders: Traders who focus on entering the market at key retracement levels (0.618 and 0.786) will find this strategy especially useful.
Trend Reversal Traders: The strategy’s reliance on candlestick formations at Fibonacci levels helps traders spot potential reversals in price trends.
Risk Conscious Traders: With its 1% risk per trade and 2:1 risk/reward ratio, the strategy is ideal for traders who prioritize risk management in their trades.
Dow Theory based Strategy (Markttechnik)What makes this script unique?
calculates two trends at the same time: a big one for the overall strong trend - and a small one to trigger a trade after a small correction within the big trend
only if both trends (the small and the big trend) are in an uptrend, a buy signal is created: this prevents a buy signal from being generated in a falling market just because an upward movement begins in a small trend
the exit strategy can be configured very flexibly and individually: use the last low as stop loss and automatically switch to a trialing stop loss as soon as the take profit is reached (instead of finishing the trade)
the take profit strategy can also be configured - e.g. use the last high, a fixed percentage or a combination of it
plots each trade in detail on the chart - e.g. inner candles or the exact progression of the stop loss over the entire duration of the trade to allow you to analyze each trade precisely
What does the script do and how?
In this strategy an intact upward trend is characterized by higher highs and lower lows only if the big trend and the small trend are in an upward trend at the same time.
The following describes how the script calculates a buy signal. Every step is drawn to the chart immediately - see example chart above:
1. the stock rises in the big trend - i.e. in a longer time frame
2. a correction takes place (the share price falls) - but does not create a new low
3. the stock rises again in the big trend and creates a new high
From now on, the big trend is in an intact upward trend (until it falls below its last low).
This is drawn to the chart as 3 bold green zigzag lines.
But we do not buy right now! Instead, we want to wait for a correction in the big trend and for the start of a small upward trend.
4. a correction takes place (not below the low from 2.)
Now, the script also starts to calculate the small trend:
5. the stock rises in the small trend - i.e. in a shorter time frame
6. a small correction takes place (not below the low from 4.)
7. the stock rises above the high from 5.: a new high in the shorter time frame
Now, both trends are in an intact upward trend.
A buy signal is created and both the minor and major trend are colored green on the chart.
Now, the trade is active and:
the stop loss is calculated and drawn for each candle
the take profit is calculated and drawn to the chart
as soon as the price reaches the take profit or the stop loss, the trade is closed
Features and functionalities
Uptrend : An intact upward trend is characterized by higher highs and lower lows. Uptrends are shown in green on the chart.
The beginning of an uptrend is numbered 1, each subsequent high is numbered 2, and each low is numbered 3.
Downtrend: An intact downtrend is characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Downtrends are displayed in red on the chart.
Note that our indicator does not show the numbering of the points of the downtrend.
Trendless phases: If there is no intact trend, we are in a trendless phase. Trendless phases are shown in blue on the chart.
This occurs after an uptrend, when a lower low or a lower high is formed. Or after a downtrend, when a higher low or a higher high is formed.
Buy signals
A buy signal is generated as soon as a new upward trend has been formed or a new high has been established in an intact upward trend.
But even before a buy signal is generated, this strategy anticipates a possible emerging trend and draws the next possible trading opportunity to the chart.
In addition to the (not yet reached) buy price, the risk-reward ratio, the StopLoss and the TakeProfit price is shown.
With this information, you can already enter a StopBuy order, which is thus triggered directly with the then created buy signal.
You can configure, if a buy signal shall be created while the big trend is an uptrend, a downtrend and/or trendless.
Exit strategy
With this strategy, you have multiple possibilities to close your position. All of them can be configured within the settings. In general, you can combine a take profit strategy with a stop loss strategy.
The take profit price will be calculated once for each trade. It will be drawn to the chart for active trade.
Depending on your configuration, this can be the last high (which is often a resistance level), a fixed percentage added to the buy price or the maximum of both.
You can also configure that a trailing stop loss is used as soon as the take profit price is reached once.
The stop loss gets recalculated with each candle and is displayed and plotted for each active and finished trade. With this, you can easily check how the stop loss changed during your trades.
The stop loss can be configured flexibly:
Use the classic "trailing stop loss" that follows the price from below.
Set the stop loss to the last low and tighten it every time the small trend marks a new local low.
Confiure that the stop loss is tightened as soon as the break even is reached. Nothing is more annoying than a trade turning from a win to a loss.
Ignore inside candles (see description below) and relax the stop loss to use the outside candle for its calculation.
Inner candles
Inner candles are created when the candle body is within the maximum values of a previous candle (the outer candle). There can be any number of consecutive inner candles. As soon as you have activated the "Check inner candles" setting, all consecutive inner candles will be highlighted in yellow on the chart.
Prices during an inner candle scenario might be irrelevant for trading and can be interpreted as fluctuations within the outside candle. For this reason, the trailing stop loss should not be aligned with inner candles. Therefore, as soon as an inner candle occurs, the stop loss is reset and the low at the time of the outside candle is used as the calculation for the trailing stop loss. This will all be plotted for you on the chart.
Display of the trades:
All active and closed trades of the last 5 years are displayed in the chart with buy signal, sell, stop loss history, inside candles and statistics.
Backtesting:
The strategy can be simulated for each stock over the period of the last 5 years. Each individual trade is recorded and can be traced and analyzed in the chart including stop loss history. Detailed evaluations and statistics are available to evaluate the performance of the strategy.
Additional Statistics
This strategy immediately displays a statistic table to the chart area giving you an overview of its performance over the last years for the given chart.
This includes:
The total win/loss in $ and %
The win/loss per year in %
The active investment time in days and % (e.g. invested 10 of 100 trading days -> 10%)
The total win/loss in %, extrapolated to 100% equity usage: Only with this value can strategies really be compared. Because you are not invested between the trades and could invest in other stocks during this time. This value indicates how much profit you would have made if you had been invested 100% of the time - or to put it another way - if you had been invested 100% of the time in stocks with exactly the same performance. Let's say you had only one trade in the last 5 years that lasted, say, only one month and made 5% profit. This would be significantly better than a strategy with which you were invested for, say, 5 years and made 10% profit.
The total profit/loss per year in %, extrapolated to 100% equity usage
Notifications (alerts):
Get alerted before a new buy signal emerges to create an order if necessary and not miss a trade. You can also be notified when the stop loss needs to be adjusted. The notification can be done in different ways, e.g. by Mail, PopUp or App-Notification. This saves them the annoying, time-consuming and error-prone "click through" all the charts.
Settings: Display Settings
With these settings, you have the possibility to:
Show the small or the big trend as a background color
Configure if the numbers (1-2-3-2-3) shall be shown at all or only for the small, the big trend or both
Settings: Trend calculation - fine tuning
Drawing trend lines on a chart is not an exact science. Some highs and lows are not very clear or significant. And so it will always happen that 2 different people would draw different trendlines for the same chart. Unfortunately, there is no exact "right" or "wrong" here.
With the options under "Trend Calculation - Fine Tuning" you have the possibility to influence the drawing in of trends and to adapt it to your personal taste.
Small Trend, Big Trend : With these settings you can influence how significant a high or low has to be to recognize them as an independent high or low. The larger the values, the more significant a high or low must be to be recognized as such.
High and low recognition : With this setting you can influence when two adjacent, almost identical highs or lows should be recognized as independent highs or lows. The higher the value, the more different "similar" highs or lows must be in order to be recognized as such.
Which default settings were selected and why
Show Trades: true - its often useful to see all recent trades in the chart
Time Frame: 1 day - most common time frame (except for day traders)
Take Profit: combined 10% - the last high is taken as take profit because the trend often changes there, but only if there is at least 10% profit to ensure we do not risk money for a tiny profit
Stop Loss: combined - the last low is used as stop loss because the trend would break there and switch to a trailing stop loss as soon as our take profit is reached to let our profits run without risking them anymore
Stop Loss distance: 3% - we are giving the price 3% air (below the last low) to avoid being stopped out due to a short price drop
Trailing Stop Loss: 2% - we have to give the stop loss some room to avoid being stopped out prematurely; this is a value that is well balanced between a certain downside distance and the profit-taking ratio
Set Stop Loss to break even: true, 2% - once we reached the break even, it is a common practice to not risk our money anymore, the value is set to the same value as the trailing stop loss
Trade Filter: Uptrend - we only start trades if the big trend is an uptrend in the expectation that it will continue after a small correction
Display settings: those will not influence the trades, feel free to change them to your needs
Trend calculation - Fine Tuning: 1/1,5/0,05; influences the internal calculation for highs and lows and how significant they need to be to be considered a new high or low; the default values will provide you nicely calculated trends in the daily time frame; if there are too many or too few lows and highs according to your taste, feel free to play around and immediately see the result drawn to the chart; read the manual for a detailed description of this values
Note that you can (and should) configure the general trading properties like your initial capital, order size, slippage and commission.
MAHA Luxmi AI Candles [Overlay]The MAHA Luxmi AI Candles trading indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities by utilizing a combination of Moving Average (MA) and Heikin-Ashi (HA) techniques, further enhanced with a custom formula. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its functionalities:
1. Integration of MA and HA Techniques
MAHA stands for Moving Average and Heikin-Ashi. This indicator modifies these traditional techniques with a unique custom formula, aiming to provide more accurate and reliable signals for traders. The combination enhances the smoothing effect of Moving Averages with the trend indication of Heikin-Ashi candles.
2. Four-Colored Candles for Trend Indication
The indicator uses a color-coded system to denote different market conditions and potential trading opportunities:
- Green Candles: These candles indicate a potential long opportunity. The appearance of a green candle suggests that the market is showing bullish tendencies, prompting traders to consider entering a long position.
- Blue Candles: These candles signify an active pullback within a bullish trend. The blue candle warns traders of a possible temporary reversal within the overall bullish trend, suggesting caution and the need for confirmation before continuing with a long position or preparing for a potential reversal.
- Red Candles: These candles represent a potential short opportunity. A red candle indicates bearish market conditions, signaling traders to consider entering a short position.
- Yellow Candles: These candles denote an active pullback within a bearish trend. The presence of a yellow candle indicates a temporary reversal within the bearish trend, urging traders to be cautious with short positions and look for signs of continuation or reversal.
3. MAHA Bars for Distance and Area of Interest
In addition to the colored candles, the MAHA Luxmi AI Candles indicator also plots MAHA bars. These bars share the same color coding and usage as the candles, providing a consistent visual representation of market conditions:
- Green Bars: Indicate a potential long opportunity, aligning with green candles.
- Blue Bars: Show an active pullback in a bullish trend, aligning with blue candles.
- Red Bars: Represent a potential short opportunity, aligning with red candles.
- Yellow Bars: Indicate an active pullback in a bearish trend, aligning with yellow candles.
The MAHA bars help traders gauge the distance between the current price and the area of interest, enhancing their understanding of how close or far the price is from key levels identified by the MAHA formula. This aids in making better decisions regarding entry and exit points.
4. Trailing Stop Loss Feature
The base of the MAHA Bars can also be used as a trailing stop loss. This feature provides a dynamic stop loss level that adjusts with the market, helping traders lock in profits and limit losses by following the trend. When the price moves favorably, the trailing stop loss adjusts accordingly, ensuring that traders can capitalize on market movements while minimizing risk.
Usage and Benefits
- Trend Identification: The color-coded system simplifies the identification of market trends and potential reversals, making it easier for traders to understand market dynamics at a glance.
- Pullback and Reversal Alerts: The blue and yellow candles/bars alert traders to potential pullbacks and reversals, providing crucial information for managing trades and avoiding false signals.
- Distance Measurement: The MAHA bars help traders measure the distance between the current price and the areas of interest, enhancing their ability to assess the risk and potential reward of trades.
- Trailing Stop Loss: The base of the MAHA Bars can be used as a trailing stop loss, providing a dynamic risk management tool that adapts to market conditions.
Overall, the MAHA Luxmi AI Candles trading indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to leverage the combined strengths of Moving Averages and Heikin-Ashi techniques. The intuitive color-coded system, additional MAHA bars, and the trailing stop loss feature make it an essential component of a trader’s toolkit for identifying trends, managing risk, and identifying trading opportunities.
BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy [presentTrading]This strategy aims to improve upon the performance of Traidngview's newly published "BB Trend" indicator by incorporating the SuperTrend for better trade execution and risk management. Enjoy :)
█Introduction and How it is Different
The "BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy " is a trading strategy designed to identify market trends using Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend indicators. What sets this strategy apart is its use of two Bollinger Bands with different lengths to capture both short-term and long-term market trends, providing a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. Additionally, the strategy includes customizable take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) settings, allowing traders to tailor their risk management according to their preferences.
BTCUSD 4h Long Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBTrend strategy employs two key indicators: Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
- Short Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a shorter period (default 20).
- Long Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a longer period (default 50).
- Bollinger Bands use the standard deviation of price data to create upper and lower bands around a moving average.
Upper Band = Middle Band + (k * Standard Deviation)
Lower Band = Middle Band - (k * Standard Deviation)
🔶 BBTrend Indicator:
- The BBTrend indicator is derived from the absolute differences between the short and long Bollinger Bands' lower and upper values.
BBTrend = (|Short Lower - Long Lower| - |Short Upper - Long Upper|) / Short Middle * 100
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier. It helps identify the market trend direction by plotting levels above and below the price, which act as dynamic support and resistance levels. * @EliCobra makes the SuperTrend Toolkit. He is GOAT.
SuperTrend Upper = HL2 + (Factor * ATR)
SuperTrend Lower = HL2 - (Factor * ATR)
The strategy determines market trends by checking if the close price is above or below the SuperTrend values:
- Uptrend: Close price is above the SuperTrend lower band.
- Downtrend: Close price is below the SuperTrend upper band.
Short: 10 Long: 20 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 4
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to choose their trading direction:
- Long: Enter long positions only.
- Short: Enter short positions only.
- Both: Enter both long and short positions based on market conditions.
█ Usage
To use the "BBTrend - Strategy " effectively:
1. Configure Inputs: Adjust the Bollinger Bands lengths, standard deviation multiplier, and SuperTrend settings.
2. Set TPSL Conditions: Choose the take profit and stop loss percentages to manage risk.
3. Choose Trade Direction: Decide whether to trade long, short, or both directions.
4. Apply Strategy: Apply the strategy to your chart and monitor the signals for potential trades.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are designed to provide a balance between sensitivity and stability:
- Short BB Length (20): Captures short-term market trends.
- Long BB Length (50): Captures long-term market trends.
- StdDev (2.0): Determines the width of the Bollinger Bands.
- SuperTrend Length (10): Period for calculating the ATR.
- SuperTrend Factor (12): Multiplier for the ATR to adjust the SuperTrend sensitivity.
- Take Profit (30%): Sets the level at which profits are taken.
- Stop Loss (20%): Sets the level at which losses are cut to manage risk.
Effect on Performance
- Short BB Length: A shorter length makes the strategy more responsive to recent price changes but can generate more false signals.
- Long BB Length: A longer length provides smoother trend signals but may be slower to react to price changes.
- StdDev: Higher values create wider bands, reducing the frequency of signals but increasing their reliability.
- SuperTrend Length and Factor: Shorter lengths and higher factors make the SuperTrend more sensitive, providing quicker signals but potentially more noise.
- Take Profit and Stop Loss: Adjusting these levels affects the risk-reward ratio. Higher take profit percentages can increase gains but may result in fewer closed trades, while higher stop loss percentages can decrease the likelihood of being stopped out but increase potential losses.
[TTI] High Volume Close (HVC) Setup📜 ––––HISTORY & CREDITS––––
The High Volume Close (HVC) Setup is a specialised indicator designed for the TradingView platform used to identify specific bar. This tool was developed with the objective of identifying a technical pattern that trades have claimed is significant trading opportunities through a unique blend of volume analysis and price action strategies. It is based on the premise that high-volume bars, when combined with specific price action criteria, can signal key market movements.
The HVC is applicable both for swing and longer term trading and as a technical tool it can be used by traders of any asset type (stocks, ETF, crypto, forex etc).
🦄 –––UNIQUENESS–––
The uniqueness of the HVC Setup lies in its flexibility to determine an important price level based on historically important bar. The idea is to identify significant bars (e.g. those who have created the HIGHEST VOLUME: Ever, Yearly, Quarterly and meet additional criteria from the settings) and plot on the chart the close on that day as a significant level as well as theoretical stop loss and target levels. This approach allows traders to discern high volume bars that are contextually significant — a method not commonly found in standard trading tools.
🎯 ––––WHAT IT DOES––––
The HVC Setup indicator performs a series of calculations to identify high volume close bars/bar (HVC bars) based on the user requirements.
These bars are determined based on the highest volume recorded within a user-inputs:
👉 Period (Ever, Yearly, Quarterly) and must meet additional criteria such as:
👉 a minimum percentage Price Change (change is calculated based on a close/close) and
👉 specific Closing Range requirements for the HVC da.
The theory is that this is a significant bar that is important to know where it is on the chart.
The script includes a comparative analysis of the HVC bar's price against historical price highs (all-time, yearly, quarterly), which provides further context and significance to the identified bars. All of these USER input requirement are then taken into account as a condition to identity the High Volume Close Bar (HVC).
The visual representation includes color-coded bar (default is yellow) and lines to delineate these key trading signals. It then draws a blue line for the place where the close ofthe bar is, a red line that would signify a stop loss and 2 target profit levels equal to 2R and 3R of the risked level (close-stop loss). Additional lines can be turned on/off with their coresponding checkboxes in the settings.
If the user chooses "Ever" for Period - the script will look at the first available bar ever in Tradingview - this is generally the IPO bar;
If the users chooses "Yearly" - the script would look at the highest available bar for a completed year;
If the users chooses "Quarterly" - it would do the same for the quarter. (works on daily timeframe only);
While we have not backtested the performance of the script, this methodology has been widely publicised.
🛠️ ––––HOW TO USE IT––––
To utilize the HVC Setup effectively:
👉Customize Input Settings: Choose the HVC period, percentage change threshold, closing range, stop loss distance, and target multiples according to your trading strategy. Use the tick boxes to enable and disable if a given condition is used within the calculation.
👉Identify HVC Bars: The script highlights HVC bars, indicating potential opportunities based on volume and price action analysis.
👉Interpret Targets and Stop Losses: Use the color-coded lines (green for targets, red for stop losses) to guide your trade entries and exits.
👉Contextual Analysis: Always consider the HVC bar signals in conjunction with overall market trends and additional technical indicators for comprehensive trading decisions.
This script is designed to assist traders in identifying high-potential trading setups by using a combination of volume and price analysis, enhancing traditional methods with a unique, algorithmically driven approach.
Contrarian DC Strategy - w Entry SL Pause and TrailingStopDonchian Channel Setup:
The strategy uses a tool called the Donchian Channel. Imagine this as two lines (bands) on a chart that show the highest and lowest prices over a certain number of past trading days (default is 20 days).
There's also a centerline, which is the average of these two bands.
Entry Conditions for Trades:
Buying (Going Long): The strategy considers buying when the price touches or falls below the lower band of the Donchian Channel. However, this only happens if there has been a pause after a previous losing trade. This pause is a number of candles where no new trades are taken.
Selling (Going Short): Similarly, the strategy considers selling when price reaches or exceeds the upper band of the Donchian Channel. Again, this is subject to a pause after a losing trade.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Each trade has a "Stop Loss" and "Take Profit" set. The Stop Loss is a preset price level where the trade will close to prevent further losses if the market moves against your position. The Take Profit does the same but locks in profit if the market moves in your favor.
The Stop Loss is set based on a percentage of the price at which you entered the trade.
The Take Profit is determined by the Risk/Reward Ratio. This ratio helps balance how much you're willing to risk versus the potential reward.
Trailing Stop Loss:
When a trade is profitable, the strategy should involve a "Trailing Stop Loss." This means the Stop Loss level moves (or trails) the price movement to lock in profits as the market moves in your favor.
For a buy trade, if the price moves above the centerline of the Donchian Channel, the Trailing Stop Loss should be adjusted in the middle between the entry price and the centerline. Viceversa for a sell trade, it should be adjusted in the same way if the price goes below the centerline.
IMPORTANT: There's no allert for the trailing stop at the moment.
Post-Stop Loss Pause:
If a trade hits the Stop Loss (i.e., it's a losing trade), the strategy takes a break before opening another trade in the same direction. This pause helps to avoid entering another trade immediately in a potentially unfavorable market.
In summary, this strategy is designed to make trades based on the Donchian Channel, with specific rules for when to enter and exit trades, and mechanisms to manage risk and protect profits. It's contrarian because it tends to buy when the price is low and sell when the price is high, which is opposite to what many traders might do.
Dynamic Trend Hunter [Quantigenics]The "Dynamic Trend Hunter” script focuses on trend identification, dynamic entry and exit signals, and effective risk management. While a standalone trading script designed for versatile application across all markets, it can also be complemented by other indicators for enhanced analysis.
Core Features:
Dynamic Trend Indicator: Central to the script, this indicator discerns market trend direction using a color-coded system. Blue indicates an uptrend, red a downtrend, and a flat line signifies a sideways market.
Buy and Sell Signals: Provides clear, on-chart buy and sell signals to assist in identifying optimal entry points in alignment with the trend.
Profit Target Exits: A key feature designed to help traders lock in profits at strategic points. This feature uses a sophisticated mechanism (outlined in more detail below) to identify potential exit points, signaling the trader to close a position and secure gains before a potential market reversal.
Dynamic Stop Loss Levels: Essential for risk management, these levels adjust automatically, providing a mechanism for trailing stop losses and safeguarding against adverse market movements.
Technical Composition:
Dynamic Trend Indicator:
Calculation Method: Utilizes a blend of the highest and lowest prices over a specified length, averaged to create a trend line. This line is helpful in identifying the overall market trend.
Color Coding: The trend line changes color based on its relation to price action. A blue line indicates an uptrend when prices are consistently above this average line, while a red line signifies a downtrend when prices stay below it.
Signal-Based Trading:
Trend Entry Signals: Generated when there's a shift in the color of the trend line, indicating a potential change in market direction.
Pullback Entries: Identified when the closing price crosses the previous high (for long entries) or low (for short entries), while also considering the current trend line position.
Dynamic Stop Loss Levels:
Calculation: Stop loss levels are dynamically determined using the highest and lowest closing prices over the 'Length' period. These levels adjust with market movements, providing a trailing stop loss mechanism.
Visualization: Depicted as colored dots on the chart, changing in response to the market's movement relative to the trend line.
Oscillator for Dynamic Exits:
Mechanism: The script employs an oscillator to identify potential exit points, signaled by yellow dots. This oscillator is based on the relative extremity of the current price action compared to recent price movements.
Alerts: Dynamic exits trigger alerts when the oscillator reaches specified threshold levels, signaling potential market reversals or exhaustion points.
Customization and Flexibility:
Length Adjustment: The primary 'Length' input parameter allows traders to modify the sensitivity of the trend line and stop levels, catering to different trading styles and market conditions.
Alert Customization: Traders can set alerts for trend line changes and dynamic exits, ensuring timely responses to market movements.
Input Parameter Settings:
Intra-Bar Order Generation (IntraBar): Enables real-time signal generation within the current bar or after its closure.
Dynamic Exits (DynamicExits): Toggles the visibility of dynamic exit signals for profit-taking.
Dynamic Trend Length: Defines the lookback period for calculating the trend line. This length, which is adjustable and set by default to 21, specifies the number of bars over which the highest and lowest prices are analyzed to determine the trend line.
Dynamic Stop Loss Levels Length: This parameter defines the lookback period for calculating stop loss levels. It sets the number of bars used to determine the highest and lowest values for stop loss positioning. Adjusting this length allows traders to customize the sensitivity and placement of stop loss levels in accordance with their trading strategy and risk tolerance. This feature is crucial for tailoring stop loss settings to different market conditions and volatility levels, ensuring more effective risk management. Note: that initial stop loss levels, and tighter stop losses, can be set behind the Dynamic Trend Line itself.
Show Trend/Pullback Entries: Controls the display of specific entry signals based on trend continuation or market pullbacks.
Alert Settings: Options for setting alerts on trend line changes and dynamic exits, enhancing trade management.
Customizable Colors: Allows personalization of stop level and trend line colors for better chart visualization.
How to Trade with the Dynamic Trend Hunter:
Trend Following: Enter trades in the direction of the trend indicated by the color-coded trend line.
Pullback Entries: Look for pullback entry signals during established trends for additional entry points.
Dynamic Exits: Use yellow dot signals and dynamic stop loss levels for determining exit points or to adjust stop losses.
Risk Management: Employ the dynamic stop loss levels to manage risk effectively and protect against significant losses.
Alerts and Notifications:
Traders can set up alerts for trend line changes and dynamic exits, ensuring they are promptly informed about critical market movements and can react accordingly.
Conclusion:
The "Dynamic Trend Hunter " is a comprehensive and adaptable trading tool, suitable for various market conditions and trading styles. Its ability to provide clear trend indications, along with dynamic entry and exit signals, makes it an invaluable asset for traders aiming to enhance their market analysis and decision-making process. While it is a standalone system, it can be used in conjunction with other indicators to further refine trading strategies.
While we believe this tool may enhances your trading strategy, we encourage thorough familiarization before live trading. Remember, trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
You can see the “Author’s instructions" below to get immediate access to Dynamic Trend Hunter & the rest of the “Quantigenics Premium Indicator Suite”.
Narrow Range StrategyNarrow Range Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the Narrow Range Day concept, implying that low volatility will generate higher volatility in the days ahead. The strategy sends us buy and sell signals with well-defined profit targets. It's a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method that allows us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
NARROW RANGE (NR) DAY :
A Narrow Range Day is a day in which price variations are included in those of a specific day some time before. The high and low of this specific day form the "reference range". In general, we compare these variations with those of 4 or 7 days ago. The mathematical formula for finding an NR4 is :
If low > low(4) and high < high(4) :
nr = true
This implies that the current low is greater than the low of 4 days ago, and the current high is smaller than the high of 4 days ago. So today's volatility is lower than that of 4 days ago, and may be a sign of high volatility to come.
PARAMETERS :
Narrow Range Length : Corresponds to the number of candles back to compare current volatility. The default is 4, allowing comparison of current volatility with that of 4 candles ago.
Stop Loss : Percentage of the reference range on which to set an exit order to limit losses. The minimum value is 0.001, while the maximum is 1. The default value is 0.35.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by an amount chosen by the user.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot was used to test NR4 and NR7 with all possible Stop Losses in order to find out which combination generates the highest return on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD while limiting the drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal with an NR4 and a SL of 35% of the reference range size in 5D timeframe.
BUY AND SHORT SIGNALS :
When an NR is spotted, we create two stop orders on the high and low of the reference range. As soon as there's a breakout from this reference range (shown in blue on the chart), we open a position. We're LONG if there's a breakout on the high and SHORT if there's a breakout on the low. Executing a stop order cancels the second stop order.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is subject to losses. We manage our risk with Stop Losses. The user is free to enter a SL as a percentage of the reference range. The maximum amount risked per trade therefore depends on the size of the range. The larger the range, the greater the risk. That's why we have set a maximum Stop Loss to 10% to limiting risks per trade.
The special feature of this strategy is that it targets a precise profit objective. This corresponds to the size of the reference range at the top of the high if you're LONG, or at the bottom of the low if you're short. In the same way, the larger the reference range, the greater the potential profits.
The risk reward remains the same for all trades and amounts to : 100/35 = 2.86. If the reference range is too high, we have set a SL to 10% of the trade value to limit losses. In that case, the risk reward is less than 2.86.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 5D, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 37 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Original Strategy - Backtest & Alerts [AlgoRider]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator simulates an efficient trading strategy developed by our team in a simple and effective way, the primary objective when designing it was to make its reading and use as simple as possible for TradingView users. The Backtesting feature has been designed to keep only the most essential information to obtain clear and precise results directly on the graph. The settings interface has also been designed for ergonomic and simplified use. The user is free to customize the parameters as he wishes and according to his trading profile by having the choice, for example, of using options to reduce the risk of loss, to increase the win rate, to optimize profits. Automation is made possible and facilitated thanks to preconfigured alert conditions.
█ CONCEPTS
How the strategy works :
When the price is close to its equilibrium (represented by an exponential moving average - EMA) and it starts to take an upward or downward direction the script will issue Long or Short entry orders. If the price turns and goes to the opposite direction, the script quickly cuts the position by issuing a Stop Loss order. When the price takes a real clear direction, this is where the script will be able to accumulate profits.
What makes this script unique is :
• That it is entirely developed by us, inspired by a strategy that is little known and little used in the trading world, in particular because it often involves a greater number of losing trades than winning trades.
• Its ease of reading and use. The backtesting feature was designed to clearly display the most important information in a data table directly on the chart. The user is not lost with dozens of superfluous data and can directly access the most essential information to see how the strategy has performed in the past.
• Its ease of configuration and customization. Once in the configuration window, again the user is not lost, because there is only one main parameter to modify, it is the length of the EMA, which will influence the timing of entries and exits trades. Then there are a few other non-mandatory parameters to fine-tune risk management and maximize profits. (Detailed description of the settings further down the page)
• Strategy automation made easy and fast thanks to several types of alerts which are differentiated for entries, for auto-exits and for Custom TP and SL. These alerts can be configured to send the messages by email or via Webhooks.
• The indicator has several custom options allowing its user to go further than the basic strategy. Several confirmations for entries are available as well as the possibility of adding or not a personalized TP and/or SL.
• There is no repaint, once an entry/exit symbol or drawing is displayed it doesn't change anymore. The Short, Long and auto-Exit signals appear only at the open of the candles, just after the signal was confirmed at the close of the previous candle. The custom TP and custom SL signals can appear when a candle is not yet finished, but once displayed they don't change.
█ HOW TO PROCEED
1 — Once the script is applied to your chart, it already works with its default settings. You can already see the performance of the strategy in the data table directly on the chart (in the top right corner by default).
2 — You can customize the strategy and influence the results/performance by modifying its parameters. 3 types of parameters are present and can be modified.
3 — This strategy is designed for the cryptocurrency market in priority, but you can also try it on other types of assets. It works on Futures but you can also try it on Spot market mainly for LONG trades.
4 — You can apply the script in every timeframe. We do not recommend using it below m30 because in most cases the statistics are unfavorable largely because of the fees. (This is not a financial advice but only for the use of the indicator)
█ FEATURES
Screenshot on BYBIT:EGLDUSDT Bybit Futures, H1, with default parameters, from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27, to show the settings window
• Settings For Backtesting
- Strategy : Choose from a drop-down list if the strategy should execute only Long trades or only Short trades or both. Default Both.
- Invest. : Choose the amount you want to invest in the simulation. Default 10000.
- Position : Choose the amount of the position (Size order) that will be used during the simulation. This will be the $ amount staked/involved for each trade entry.
Ex: If you put 20000 in position and 10000 in Invest. We consider that you use at least a leverage x2. Default 10000.
- Slipp. TP : Choose the amount in percentage of average slippage for Take Profits. This parameter makes it possible to predict a potential gap between the theoretical exit price for each TP (On the graph) and the real exit price on an exchange when implementing the strategy for real (slippage may be due to a time lag of a few seconds from execution time of the order on the exchange and/or due to the execution of a market order).
Ex: If a TP exit order of a Long trade, with entry $19000 (on BTCUSDT), is carried out in theory on the chart at $20000, in practice on the exchange the script have indeed sent an exit order at 20000 , but if the true exit price is 20050, the TP slippage is then +0.25%. Default 0.
- Slipp. SL : Choose the amount in percentage of average slippage for Stop Losses. This parameter makes it possible to predict a potential gap between the theoretical exit price for each SL (On the graph) and the real exit price on an exchange when implementing the strategy for real.
Ex: If an SL exit order of a Long trade, entry $19000 (on BTCUSDT), is carried out in theory on the chart at $18000, in practice on the exchange the script have indeed sent an exit order at 18000 $, but if the true exit price is 17950, the slippage SL is then +0.278% . Default 0.
- Fees % : Choose the percentage amount of fees applied to each trade to simulate the application of the strategy on the exchange of your choice. Applies to the entry and exit of each trade. Ex: For Binance Futures: 0.04; For Bybit futures: 0.06; For Ftx Futures: 0.075. Default 0.
- Cumulate Trades : If you check this, the Backtest will use 100% of the balance as Order Size (Position) for All or in the next X consecutive trades. Default not checked.
⚠️ Be Careful please, this option is available to show the full extent and possibilities of the algorithm when pushed to its limits thanks to the accumulation of profits (cumulative earnings), but it is a strategy that involves great risk. If a bad trade suffers a -50% loss, 50% of the account balance is lost, if the position is liquidated, the entire account balance is lost.
- All : If you check this All trades will be accumulated. Default not checked.
- Consecutive Trades : Choose the number of trades to accumulate. After X consecutive trades, the algorithm reassigns the initial order size to the current one and starts again for X consecutive trades. Minimum Value 2, Default 2.
• Settings To Optimize Performances and Risk Management
- (Main Parameter) EMA Length : Choose the length of the EMA. This value will determine the exponential moving average plot (blue line) that represents the equilibrium in this strategy. Depending on the positioning of the price around this equilibrium, the algorithm will decide to trigger Long or Short entry alerts, and exit alerts. Default 200.
- 1 - Confirm (After X Bar(s)) : If you check this, when the algorithm will detect an entry, it will wait for the number of bars you have entered to actually trigger the entry alert. Default not checked.
- Nb Bar : Enter here the number of bar you want, will be taken into account only if you check (1) Confirm (After X Bar(s)). Default 2.
- 2 - Confirm (Trend) : If you check this, when the algorithm will detect an entry, it will check that the trend is similar to the direction of the trade, if not, it will wait that the trade goes in the same direction as the trend to actually trigger the entry alert. Default not checked.
- OR/AND : This choice is taken into account only if you tick both confirmations. If you choose OR: The first of the 2 confirmations to be validated will trigger the entry alert. If you choose AND : once confirmation (1) is validated, the algorithm waits for confirmation (2) to be validated to actually trigger the entry alert. Default OR.
- Use TP / Use SL : If you check these, the algorithm will trigger personalized trade exit alerts when the price evolution has reached the amounts indicated since the trade entry. Default not Checked.
- % TP - SL : Indicate here the personalized amount in percentage that you want for your Take Profit and Stop Loss of each trade. Default 15-5.
• Settings For Appearances
- Small-size Data Table : If you check this, the data table will become smaller to free up more space on the chart to make it visually more pleasing. Default not checked.
Hide Table /
- Hide Labels / : You can check these to get a cleaner chart and focus only on what interests you in the indicator. Default not checked.
Hide Risk-Reward Areas
█ MAIN PARAMETERS TO USE
• In the default settings none of the box settings are checked. Basic strategy is made to be applied this way.
• The main parameter (the length of the EMA) is by default 200 because it is a known value that many traders rely on in many trading strategies. Moreover in this strategy it works in many cases and on different timeframes.
• To go further the user of the indicator is free to modify the parameters of the category "Leading Parameters - Risk Management" to reduce risks and to optimize profits.
• You can find below our recommendations for the EMA length value corresponding to the main timeframes.
m30 — EMA Length = 400 | 800
H1 — EMA Length = 200 | 400
H2 — EMA Length = 200 | 250
H4 — EMA Length = 100 | 200
D — EMA Length = 20 | 40
⚠️ We have chosen to recommend these settings because they will work in most cases, on most cryptoassets, but of course they will not work 100% of the time on all assets and will not always give positive results in the backtest, and they are not the most optimized parameters either. The user of the indicator is free to optimize the asset on which he wants to trade in his own way. Just as we do not give financial advice, we do not encourage to trade any asset in particular.
█ STATISTICS
The statistics presented below are an example of the results that the strategy can provide. (Reminder: These statistics are made over a past period and there is no guarantee that the same performance will reproduce in the future) .
For the demonstration we chose to apply the strategy on the Top 5 marketcap cryptos in September 2022. They are not the most favorable coins for this strategy but at least this way we don't take the most suitable assets to show wonderful and biased results. Likewise for the parameters used which are the default ones and which are not the most optimized parameters, much better results are possible. We chose Binance because it has the highest volumes and liquidity and the most historical data. We chose H1 because it is one of the most used timeframes.
BTC
Screenshot on BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H1, with default parameters (EMA : 400), from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27
ETH
Screenshot on BINANCE:ETHUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H1, with default parameters (EMA : 400), from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27
BNB
Screenshot on BINANCE:BNBUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H1, with default parameters (EMA : 400), from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27
XRP
Screenshot on BINANCE:XRPUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H1, with default parameters (EMA : 200), from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27
ADA
Screenshot on BINANCE:ADAUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H1, with default parameters (EMA : 400), from 2022-01-01 to 2022-09-27
To show the potential of the indicator and push it to its limits, here is an example of the strategy applied for about 2 years (Up to the maximum of historical data available).
⚠️ It must be taken into account that during the period of this backtest the last Bullrun took place and it was a very favorable period for the strategy and for this altcoin (FTM), nothing ensures that it will happen again. ⚠️
FTM
Screenshot on BINANCE:FTMUSDTPERP Binance Futures, H4, with default parameters ( without cumulative earnings) and EMA : 400, start on 2020/12/03 to 2022/09/27
✅ All of the above statistics are verifiable by anyone using the indicator's backtesting system.
█ LIMITATIONS
• Despite the fact that we can see good performances when we backtest the strategy, we must take into account the fact that these are results performed in the past and that in no case does this guarantee that these same performances will be repeated again in the future.
• The automation of this strategy is made possible and is facilitated by alerts, but you must be aware of the fact that if you decide to put this strategy into practice in real life, you are solely responsible for the results that you will be able to obtain and you must be aware of the possibility at all times of partial or even total losses of your invested capital.
• Keep in mind that generating profits in trading is difficult. A strategy can perform very well at one time in the past during a period that is favorable to it, then from one day to the next it can give really bad results for several months or years.
• When backtesting a strategy, there are many factors to consider, not just trade entries to which you add a Take Profit and sometimes a Stop Loss. You must at least take into account the size of the position in relation to the capital you want to invest, the trading fees, the slippages (which can be really important depending on the exchange on which you are trading and depending on the asset you are trading), trading frequency, risk management, momentum, volumes and even more.
• This indicator has been optimized for crypto, you can try to use it on other type of assets but again, at your own risk.
The information published here on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
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Important to note : our indicators with the same backtesting system are published in separate publications, because putting them together in a single script would considerably slow down the execution of the script. In addition each indicator, even when it is based on a simple technical indicator, has several options, parameters and entry/exit conditions specific to the underlying technical indicator. Finally, we want to keep the simplicity of use, configuration and understanding of our indicator by not mixing strategies that have nothing to do with each other.
Supertrend, MA 44|6, EMA FIBS 13|21|34I have this indicator based on my strategy. This indicator is based on existing functions available in the system. I haven't added anything new. This indicator uses Supertrend, MA44|6, EMA fibs 13|21|34 combining to find a profitable trade.
- Supertrend : Indicator uses supertrend strategy with default ATR period of 10 and Factor value 3. These values can be customized based on your preferences. Uptrend is denoted by green color and downtrend by red color. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
- MA 44|6: Indicator plots moving averages of 44 and 6. These values can be customized based on your preferences. Although it is highly recommended to keep 44 as is. Value 6 can be adjusted based on your preference. Default color for uptrend is green and for downtrend is red. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
- FIBS EMA 13|21|34: Indicator plots EMA of fibbonacci numbers 13, 21,34 to identify consolidation and breakout. The periods can be adjusted but it is highly recommended not to do so. Default colors for 13,21 and 34 is Aqua, Blue and Navy respectively. You can change the colors based on your preferences.
When to take trade?
To take a trade all conditions needs to be fulfilled.
Supertrend : Always take a trade in the direction of Supertrend. It is always advisable to take trade if the trend is changing or price is taking support of resistance.
MA 44|6: Moving average 44 indicates average price of 44 last candles and 6 for last 6 candles. Price crossing MA 44 indicates change in trend. It is advisable to take trade at crossing the line above or below. If many candles closing near MA 44 then it indicates consolidation. The more far the candle closes from MA44 the better. MA 6 is used to identify when to enter or exit the trade. If candle closes away from MA 6 then you can wait for candle to start near the MA 6 line. If candle closes above/below MA 6 you can exit your trade.
Fibonacci 13|21|34: When all lines are closed it indicates consolidation. When price breakouts to either direction you can take a trade in that direction with following conditions.
Bullish Trade:
When to enter?
If candle closed above MA 44, Supertrend is uptrend and EMA Fibs are moving away and are above MA 44. The price is near to MA 6 line then you can enter into bullish trade. If price is away from MA 6 then you should wait until the price/line comes near to avoid loss.
When to exit?
Price moving in opposite direction:
You should set a stop loss when you enter the trade. The stop loss can be set below the low of the previous candle or any other strategy you have. But it is really important to set the stop loss. If price moves in opposite direction then your stop loss will hit and you will be out of the trade.
Price moving in same direction:
Once you enter the trade you can exit based on two conditions whichever suits you.
1. Exit the trade if candle closes below MA6. The drawback is you may exit too early. You can also adjust the period based on your preferences.
2. Exit the trade if candle closed below low of previous candle. The drawback is you may book less profit but you can capture the movement very well.
Bearish Trade:
When to enter?
If candle closed below MA 44, Supertrend is downtrend and EMA Fibs are moving away and are below MA 44. The price is near to MA 6 line then you can enter into bearish trade. If price is away from MA 6 then you should wait until the price/line comes near to avoid loss.
When to exit?
Price moving in opposite direction:
You should set a stop loss when you enter the trade. The stop loss can be set below the low of the previous candle or any other strategy you have. But it is really important to set the stop loss. If price moves in opposite direction then your stop loss will hit and you will be out of the trade.
Price moving in same direction:
Once you enter the trade you can exit based on two conditions whichever suits you.
1. Exit the trade if candle closes below MA6. The drawback is you may exit too early. You can also adjust the period based on your preferences.
2. Exit the trade if candle closed below low of previous candle. The drawback is you may book less profit but you can capture the movement very well.
When not to take trade?
1. If MA 44 is completely horizontal and EMA Fibs are very close to each other. This indicates that the market is consolidated and if you enter the trade you may hit stop loss very often.
Note: Please note that I am not expert and I don't take any responsibility of your profits or losses. I have created this indicator based on my knowledge and it is for study purpose. Use of this indicator is totally your responsibility. Use all your knowledge and expertise and don't totally depend on the indicator. Don't forget to use stop loss and do money management.
Happy Trading!
TAS Boxes + TAS Vega + TAS Compass [TASMarketProfile]This bundle of 3 TAS Market Profile indicators provides a shaded background that reveals directional bias, colored price bars show clearly when breakout conditions are bullish (green) or bearish (red) as well as 3 real-time dotted lines that show developing commercial balance areas known as “value areas.” These TAS Boxes 3 lines are calculated in real-time and leveraged to identify trade entry zones, trailing stops and targets. The 3 indicators can be activated and applied to a chart simultaneously (as shown) or individually in the Inputs settings tab. This description contains descriptions for all 3 indicators in the order of TAS Boxes, TAS Vega and TAS Compass so you’ll need to scroll below to get to the one you want insight.
∟ ABOUT TAS BOXES:
TAS Boxes (also known as TAS Dynamic Profile) offers a dynamic representation of developing commercial balance areas known as “value areas” and are depicted with 3 colored horizontal dotted lines. Note that the thickness of the dotted lines may be adjusted in the Style settings.
Red Line- Supply / High Value Area (HVA) / Resistance
Cyan Line- Point of Control (POC)
Green Line- Demand / Low Value Area (LVA) / Support
The TAS Boxes calculate and display in real-time intrabar and are finalized at the close of the bar. The levels may dynamically update intrabar and move and this is viewed as foreshadowing of where new value areas may be attempting to appear next. When the market is between the top and bottom lines, the market is considered “in value” or “in balance.” When the market closes outside the top or bottom lines, the market is considered out of value/unbalanced and in breakout mode in that direction.
INPUT SETTINGS FOR TAS BOXES:
There are 3 inputs for TAS Boxes and below you’ll find the default settings:
MinSignal_123: 2 (only options are 1, 2, or 3)
Length: 7
MapLength: 7
MinSignal_123 -- Measures how established the commercial interest creating the balance area must be to create a new TAS Box. In other words, this input is a measure of the strength of the box.
Length –- Takes into consideration the relative “momentum” behind the move and how extended the move must be before the formation of new TAS Box levels.
MapLength –- Specifies the number of bars of data used to create the parameters of the TAS Box.
In summary, the first two inputs determine how often a new TAS Box will appear. The higher the input numbers the less often and harder it is to establish a new TAS Box, and vice versa. The last input simply determines how much data is included in the calculation of the new TAS Box.
While we recommend the default 2-7-7 as standard inputs for most traders as they work well with any tradable instrument with sufficient liquidity, other input combinations can be explored per the user’s preferences for varying sensitivity to market conditions and how recent of market conditions. Other settings to consider are 2-14-7 or 3-4-50. We invite the user to explore the cause and effect of changing the settings but doing so only after they have mastered an understanding of the strategy deployment with the defaults. The vast majority of users do not change the default settings.
WHAT MARKETS AND TIMEFRAMES CAN BE TRADED?
TAS Boxes can be displayed on Stocks, ETFs, futures, Forex and digital currencies. TAS Boxes can be applied to a chart of any time frame (e.g. 1-minute, 5-minute, 20-minute, daily, weekly, etc.) and will also function with many other style charts such as Range and Renko. Boxes displayed on longer time frames designate more significant balance areas and can be used to locate higher probability entries. Boxes on shorter time frames can be used to identify if the tradable instrument is currently in balance or breaking out, and pinpoint entries accordingly.
INTERPRETATION AND BASIC RULES:
HEIGHT OF BOXES: The height of the TAS Boxes from top line to bottom line is a measure of volatility. When taller Boxes are present and subsequent Boxes expand, this means the volatility of the market has increased. When the height of the Boxes is smaller or contracting, then we are experiencing a market in decreasing volatility or consolidating.
WIDTH OF BOXES: The width of the TAS Boxes are a measure of significance. The longer TAS Boxes have remained at the same levels, the higher the impact they will generally have as support or resistance levels, and in the instances they are breached the market may experience fast and vertical movement.
The TAS Boxes are used to identify high-probability zones for trading both inside the range of the Boxes and also when in breakout mode outside the Boxes:
>>> When price is trading within the boundaries of a normal to wide range commercial
balance area, we can consider trades within the range of the Boxes and should look for entries around the support (green line) or resistance (red line) areas with profit targets around the POC (cyan line) or opposite boundary.
>>> When taking trades near both the upper and lower boundaries, we like to see the POC
near the middle of the box’s range. This is known as a “symmetrical box” as pictured below.
>>> If the POC is plotted tightly close to or at the same price level as the green or red line, we refer to this as forming a “wall” or "plywood" and anticipate stronger commercial interest providing support or resistance in those areas.
>>> When trading above or below the current box, price is said to be in breakout/breakdown mode. During these modes, one should be getting out of any opposing positions that are not in the direction of the breakout. Not all breakout/breakdowns are created equal. Moves outside of TAS Boxes when the vertical distance from Top to Bottom is minimal will tend to have more powerful moves, especially in instances when there are recent long-range bars in the direction of the break.
>>> When markets are breaking out or down outside of Boxes, if there is sizeable space before you encounter recent historal TAS Boxes levels that is favorable for good follow through of the move. Prior TAS Boxes levels do serve as as areas the market may encounter friction and go sideways for a period of time.
MANAGING RISK WITH STOP LOSSES:
We highly recommend the use of stop losses when trading. You can place stop losses outside of the 3 lines of TAS Boxes and trail them behind the market as new Boxes appear in the direction of the trade. You may also move trailing stops among the 3 levels to suit your risk tolerance (e.g. when market is in breakout mode, trailing it from out the Boxes to outside the POC level or opposing level). You can start your initial stop outside the opposite of all 3 lines or on the other side of the POC for lower risk.
∟ ABOUT TAS VEGA:
TAS Vega changes the coloring of the price bars to provide a more meaningful interpretation of when markets are in balance (based on TAS Boxes) or in bullish/bearish breakout mode. There are four colors generated for TAS Vega:
GREEN – Bullish breakout / Don’t be short
RED – Bearish breakdown / Don’t be long
ORANGE – 1st bar back inside TAS Boxes after prior move outside.
GRAY – Balanced, each subsequent bar after the 1st bar closes inside Boxes.
INTERPRETATION AND BASIC RULES:
WHEN VEGA IS GREEN:
Don’t be short.
Consider longs only or retain existing long positions.
Entering on the bar close above the Boxes is higher probability than intrabar entry.
Many consecutive bar closes above Boxes increases probability of eventual move higher.
WHEN VEGA IS RED:
Don’t be long.
Consider shorts only or retain existing short positions.
Entering on the bar close below the Boxes is higher probability than intrabar entry.
Many consecutive bar closes below Boxes increases probability of eventual move lower.
WHEN VEGA IS ORANGE:
If orange due to closing back inside Boxes of your initial entry Box, hold.
If orange due to closing inside a new Box appearing in the direction of your trade (higher Boxes for longs, lower Boxes for short) consider this a potential 1st tier profit-taking opportunity for multi-lot/shares positions. If single units, exit is at the trader's discretion contingent on the extent of the move.
It is prudent risk management to also use the appearance of orange closed bars as a reminder to trail your stop loss behind the new TAS Boxes levels.
Many times you may see many orange bars over a series of bars (not consecutive, however) and this means the market continues to explore both sides of TAS Boxes and is indecisive about intentions. Be cautious at these times.
WHEN VEGA IS GRAY:
Gray bars simply means the bar has closed in balance within the value area of TAS Boxes.
Gray bars are not a cue to exit a position necessarily. It is just a visual that the bar has closed in the value area. Often a trending move will have many periods that the market closes back inside new Boxes that are appearing in the direction of the trend and your largest trades will require that you simply adjust your trailing stop rather than exit with gray bars.
It is prudent risk management to also use the appearance of orange closed bars as a reminder to trail your stop loss behind the new TAS Boxes levels.
Many times you may see many orange bars over a series of bars (not consecutive, however) and this means the market continues to explore both sides of TAS Boxes and is indecisive about intentions. Be cautious at these times.
The user can adjust the coloring of the TAS Vega bars in Style settings.
∟ ABOUT TAS COMPASS:
TAS Compass changes the background color of the chart to reveal the directional bias of the market. It may be applied to charts in any timeframe for stocks, ETFs, futures, Forex and digital currencies.
There are two colors generated for TAS Compass:
GREEN – Bullish directional bias
RED – Bearish directional bias
INTERPRETATION AND BASIC RULES:
The directional bias is established (or changes) when a bar closes outside of TAS Boxes levels. When a market closes above the TAS Boxes, it will establish a bullish bias (green background) and this will remain intact until there is a close below the TAS Boxes. At the time there is a bar close below the TAS Boxes, then the TAS Compass bias changes to bearish bias (red background). This sequence continues back and forth indefinitely. When using TAS Compass, one should still follow the prudent rules and best practices of TAS Boxes as there may be opportunities to exit a losing position sooner by doing so even in the instance a TAS Compass directional bias has not changed.
TAS Compass can be used as a stand-alone visual cue on a chart, but will have accentuated value when used in conjunction with TAS Boxes and TAS Vega indicators included within this bundle.
Below is an example showing TAS Compass with TAS Boxes in order to show how the closes outside of TAS Boxes is the trigger to the background color change logic.
Trade Well My Friends,
