Clean Multi-Indicator Alignment System
Overview
A sophisticated multi-indicator alignment system designed for 24/7 trading across all markets, with pure signal-based exits and no time restrictions. Perfect for futures, forex, and crypto markets that operate around the clock.
Key Features
🎯 Multi-Indicator Confluence System
EMA Cross Strategy: Fast EMA (5) and Slow EMA (10) for precise trend direction
VWAP Integration: Institution-level price positioning analysis
RSI Momentum: 7-period RSI for momentum confirmation and reversal detection
MACD Signals: Optimized 8/17/5 configuration for scalping responsiveness
Volume Confirmation: Customizable volume multiplier (default 1.6x) for signal validation
🚀 Advanced Entry Logic
Initial Full Alignment: Requires all 5 indicators + volume confirmation
Smart Continuation Entries: EMA9 pullback entries when trend momentum remains intact
Flexible Time Controls: Optional session filtering or 24/7 operation
🎪 Pure Signal-Based Exits
No Forced Closes: Positions exit only on technical signal reversals
Dual Exit Conditions: EMA9 breakdown + RSI flip OR MACD cross + EMA20 breakdown
Trend Following: Allows profitable trends to run their full course
Perfect for Swing Scalping: Ideal for multi-session position holding
📊 Visual Interface
Real-Time Status Dashboard: Live alignment monitoring for all indicators
Color-Coded Candles: Instant visual confirmation of entry/exit signals
Clean Chart Display: Toggle-able EMAs and VWAP with professional styling
Signal Differentiation: Clear labels for entries, X-crosses for exits
🔔 Alert System
Entry Notifications: Separate alerts for buy/sell signals
Exit Warnings: Technical breakdown alerts for position management
Mobile Ready: Push notifications to TradingView mobile app
Market Applications
Perfect For:
Gold Futures (GC): 24-hour precious metals trading
NASDAQ Futures (NQ): High-volatility index scalping
Forex Markets: Currency pairs with continuous operation
Crypto Trading: 24/7 cryptocurrency momentum plays
Energy Futures: Oil, gas, and commodity swing trades
Optimal Timeframes:
1-5 Minutes: Ultra-fast scalping during high volatility
5-15 Minutes: Balanced approach for most markets
15-30 Minutes: Swing scalping for trend following
🧠 Smart Position Management
Tracks implied position direction
Prevents conflicting signals
Allows trend continuation entries
State-aware exit logic
⚡ Scalping Optimized
Fast-reacting indicators with shorter periods
Volume-based confirmation reduces false signals
Clean entry/exit visualization
Minimal lag for time-sensitive trades
Configuration Options
All parameters fully customizable:
EMA Lengths: Adjustable from 1-30 periods
RSI Period: 1-14 range for different market conditions
MACD Settings: Fast (1-15), Slow (1-30), Signal (1-10)
Volume Confirmation: 0.5-5.0x multiplier range
Visual Preferences: Colors, displays, and table options
Risk Management Features
Clear visual exit signals prevent emotion-based decisions
Volume confirmation reduces false breakouts
Multi-indicator confluence improves signal quality
Optional time filtering for session-specific strategies
Best Use Cases
Futures Scalping: NQ, ES, GC during active sessions
Forex Swing Trading: Major pairs during overlap periods
Crypto Momentum: Bitcoin, Ethereum trend following
24/7 Automated Systems: Algorithmic trading implementation
Multi-Market Scanning: Portfolio-wide signal monitoring
In den Scripts nach "META股价历史数据" suchen
Dark Pool Block Trades - Institutional Volume📊 Dark Pool Block Trades - Institutional Volume
Visualize where institutional money positions before major price moves occur. This indicator reveals hidden dark pool block trades that often precede significant price movements - because when smart money deploys millions and billions in strategic accumulation or distribution, retail traders need to see where it's happening.
🎯 WHY DARK POOL DATA MATTERS:
Institutions don't move large capital randomly. Dark pool block trades represent strategic positioning by sophisticated money managers with superior research and conviction. These trades create hidden support/resistance levels that often predict future price action.
The key principle: Follow institutional flow, don't fight it. When institutions get involved, they create high-probability trading opportunities.
💰 HOW INSTITUTIONS INFLUENCE PRICE:
- Large block trades establish hidden accumulation/distribution zones
- Smart money builds positions BEFORE retail awareness increases
- Institutional activity creates "footprints" at key technical levels
- These trades often signal conviction plays ahead of major moves
- Institutions typically add to winning positions throughout trends
🔍 WHAT THIS INDICATOR SHOWS:
- Visual overlay of dark pool block trades directly on price charts
- Track institutional positioning across major stocks and ETFs
- Identify accumulation/distribution zones before they become obvious to retail
- Spot high-conviction institutional trades in real-time visualization
- Customizable block trade size filters and timeframe selection
- Historical institutional activity up to 5 years or custom ranges
💡 THE TRADING ADVANTAGE:
Instead of guessing price direction, see where institutions are already positioning. When large block trades appear in dark pools, you're witnessing strategic institutional commitment that frequently leads to significant price movements.
⚡ HOW IT WORKS:
This Pine Script displays institutional dark pool transactions as visual markers on your charts. The script comes with sample data for immediate use. For expanded ticker coverage and real-time updates, external data services are available.
🎯 IDEAL FOR:
- Swing traders following institutional footprints
- Traders seeking setups backed by smart money conviction
- Position traders looking for accumulation zones
- Anyone wanting to align with institutional flow rather than fight it
🔄 SAMPLE DATA INCLUDED:
Pre-loaded with institutional activity data across popular tickers, updated daily to demonstrate how dark pool activity correlates with future price movements.
The script initially covers these tickers going back 6 months showing the top 10 trades by volume over 400,000 shares: AAPL, AMD, AMZN, ARKK, ARKW, BAC, BITO, COIN, COST, DIA, ETHA, GLD, GOOGL, HD, HYG, IBB, IWM, JNJ, JPM, LQD, MA, META, MSFT, NVDA, PG, QQQ, RIOT, SLV, SMCI, SMH, SOXX, SPY, TLT, TSLA, UNH, USO, V, VEA, VNQ, VOO, VTI, VWO, WMT, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLY
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. Macmillan.
Foley, J. D., van Dam, A., Feiner, S. K., & Hughes, J. F. (1995). Computer graphics: Principles and practice. Addison-Wesley.
Gordon, M. J. (1962). The investment, financing, and valuation of the corporation. Richard D. Irwin.
Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Mishkin, F. S. (2012). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Pearson.
Nielsen, J. (1993). Usability engineering. Academic Press.
Norman, D. A. (2013). The design of everyday things: Revised and expanded edition. Basic Books.
OECD (2008). Handbook on constructing composite indicators: Methodology and user guide. OECD Publishing.
Oppenheim, A. V., & Schafer, R. W. (2009). Discrete-time signal processing. Prentice Hall.
Sahm, C. (2019). Direct stimulus payments to individuals. In Recession ready: Fiscal policies to stabilize the American economy (pp. 67-92). The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution.
Siegel, J. J. (2002). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns and long-term investment strategies. McGraw-Hill.
Sommerville, I. (2016). Software engineering. Pearson.
Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (1989). New indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 4, 351-394.
Sweller, J. (1988). Cognitive load during problem solving: Effects on learning. Cognitive Science, 12(2), 257-285.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
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Yardeni, E. (2003). Stock valuation models. Topical Study, 38. Yardeni Research.
Drawdown Distribution Analysis (DDA) ACADEMIC FOUNDATION AND RESEARCH BACKGROUND
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator implements quantitative risk management principles, drawing upon decades of academic research in portfolio theory, behavioral finance, and statistical risk modeling. This tool provides risk assessment capabilities for traders and portfolio managers seeking to understand their current position within historical drawdown patterns.
The theoretical foundation of this indicator rests on modern portfolio theory as established by Markowitz (1952), who introduced the fundamental concepts of risk-return optimization that continue to underpin contemporary portfolio management. Sharpe (1966) later expanded this framework by developing risk-adjusted performance measures, most notably the Sharpe ratio, which remains a cornerstone of performance evaluation in financial markets.
The specific focus on drawdown analysis builds upon the work of Chekhlov, Uryasev and Zabarankin (2005), who provided the mathematical framework for incorporating drawdown measures into portfolio optimization. Their research demonstrated that traditional mean-variance optimization often fails to capture the full risk profile of investment strategies, particularly regarding sequential losses. More recent work by Goldberg and Mahmoud (2017) has brought these theoretical concepts into practical application within institutional risk management frameworks.
Value at Risk methodology, as comprehensively outlined by Jorion (2007), provides the statistical foundation for the risk measurement components of this indicator. The coherent risk measures framework developed by Artzner et al. (1999) ensures that the risk metrics employed satisfy the mathematical properties required for sound risk management decisions. Additionally, the focus on downside risk follows the framework established by Sortino and Price (1994), while the drawdown-adjusted performance measures implement concepts introduced by Young (1991).
MATHEMATICAL METHODOLOGY
The core calculation methodology centers on a peak-tracking algorithm that continuously monitors the maximum price level achieved and calculates the percentage decline from this peak. The drawdown at any time t is defined as DD(t) = (P(t) - Peak(t)) / Peak(t) × 100, where P(t) represents the asset price at time t and Peak(t) represents the running maximum price observed up to time t.
Statistical distribution analysis forms the analytical backbone of the indicator. The system calculates key percentiles using the ta.percentile_nearest_rank() function to establish the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 95th percentiles of the historical drawdown distribution. This approach provides a complete picture of how the current drawdown compares to historical patterns.
Statistical significance assessment employs standard deviation bands at one, two, and three standard deviations from the mean, following the conventional approach where the upper band equals μ + nσ and the lower band equals μ - nσ. The Z-score calculation, defined as Z = (DD - μ) / σ, enables the identification of statistically extreme events, with thresholds set at |Z| > 2.5 for extreme drawdowns and |Z| > 3.0 for severe drawdowns, corresponding to confidence levels exceeding 99.4% and 99.7% respectively.
ADVANCED RISK METRICS
The indicator incorporates several risk-adjusted performance measures that extend beyond basic drawdown analysis. The Sharpe ratio calculation follows the standard formula Sharpe = (R - Rf) / σ, where R represents the annualized return, Rf represents the risk-free rate, and σ represents the annualized volatility. The system supports dynamic sourcing of the risk-free rate from the US 10-year Treasury yield or allows for manual specification.
The Sortino ratio addresses the limitation of the Sharpe ratio by focusing exclusively on downside risk, calculated as Sortino = (R - Rf) / σd, where σd represents the downside deviation computed using only negative returns. This measure provides a more accurate assessment of risk-adjusted performance for strategies that exhibit asymmetric return distributions.
The Calmar ratio, defined as Annual Return divided by the absolute value of Maximum Drawdown, offers a direct measure of return per unit of drawdown risk. This metric proves particularly valuable for comparing strategies or assets with different risk profiles, as it directly relates performance to the maximum historical loss experienced.
Value at Risk calculations provide quantitative estimates of potential losses at specified confidence levels. The 95% VaR corresponds to the 5th percentile of the drawdown distribution, while the 99% VaR corresponds to the 1st percentile. Conditional VaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, estimates the average loss in the worst 5% of scenarios, providing insight into tail risk that standard VaR measures may not capture.
To enable fair comparison across assets with different volatility characteristics, the indicator calculates volatility-adjusted drawdowns using the formula Adjusted DD = Raw DD / (Volatility / 20%). This normalization allows for meaningful comparison between high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies and lower-volatility instruments like government bonds.
The Risk Efficiency Score represents a composite measure ranging from 0 to 100 that combines the Sharpe ratio and current percentile rank to provide a single metric for quick asset assessment. Higher scores indicate superior risk-adjusted performance relative to historical patterns.
COLOR SCHEMES AND VISUALIZATION
The indicator implements eight distinct color themes designed to accommodate different analytical preferences and market contexts. The EdgeTools theme employs a corporate blue palette that matches the design system used throughout the edgetools.org platform, ensuring visual consistency across analytical tools.
The Gold theme specifically targets precious metals analysis with warm tones that complement gold chart analysis, while the Quant theme provides a grayscale scheme suitable for analytical environments that prioritize clarity over aesthetic appeal. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color coding, using green to represent greed-driven market conditions and red to indicate fear-driven environments.
Additional themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes, each designed for specific market conditions or user preferences. All themes function effectively with both dark and light mode trading platforms, ensuring accessibility across different user interface configurations.
PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
Asset allocation and portfolio construction represent primary use cases for this analytical framework. When comparing multiple assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500, traders can examine Risk Efficiency Scores to identify instruments offering superior risk-adjusted performance. The 95% VaR provides worst-case scenario comparisons, while volatility-adjusted drawdowns enable fair comparison despite varying volatility profiles.
The practical decision framework suggests that assets with Risk Efficiency Scores above 70 may be suitable for aggressive portfolio allocations, scores between 40 and 70 indicate moderate allocation potential, and scores below 40 suggest defensive positioning or avoidance. These thresholds should be adjusted based on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Risk management and position sizing applications utilize the current percentile rank to guide allocation decisions. When the current drawdown ranks above the 75th percentile of historical data, indicating that current conditions are better than 75% of historical periods, position increases may be warranted. Conversely, when percentile rankings fall below the 25th percentile, indicating elevated risk conditions, position reductions become advisable.
Institutional portfolio monitoring applications include hedge fund risk dashboard implementations where multiple strategies can be monitored simultaneously. Sharpe ratio tracking identifies deteriorating risk-adjusted performance across strategies, VaR monitoring ensures portfolios remain within established risk limits, and drawdown duration tracking provides valuable information for investor reporting requirements.
Market timing applications combine the statistical analysis with trend identification techniques. Strong buy signals may emerge when risk levels register as "Low" in conjunction with established uptrends, while extreme risk levels combined with downtrends may indicate exit or hedging opportunities. Z-scores exceeding 3.0 often signal statistically oversold conditions that may precede trend reversals.
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE AND VALIDATION
The indicator provides 95% confidence intervals around current drawdown levels using the standard formula CI = μ ± 1.96σ. This statistical framework enables users to assess whether current conditions fall within normal market variation or represent statistically significant departures from historical patterns.
Risk level classification employs a dynamic assessment system based on percentile ranking within the historical distribution. Low risk designation applies when current drawdowns perform better than 50% of historical data, moderate risk encompasses the 25th to 50th percentile range, high risk covers the 10th to 25th percentile range, and extreme risk applies to the worst 10% of historical drawdowns.
Sample size considerations play a crucial role in statistical reliability. For daily data, the system requires a minimum of 252 trading days (approximately one year) but performs better with 500 or more observations. Weekly data analysis benefits from at least 104 weeks (two years) of history, while monthly data requires a minimum of 60 months (five years) for reliable statistical inference.
IMPLEMENTATION BEST PRACTICES
Parameter optimization should consider the specific characteristics of different asset classes. Equity analysis typically benefits from 500-day lookback periods with 21-day smoothing, while cryptocurrency analysis may employ 365-day lookback periods with 14-day smoothing to account for higher volatility patterns. Fixed income analysis often requires longer lookback periods of 756 days with 34-day smoothing to capture the lower volatility environment.
Multi-timeframe analysis provides hierarchical risk assessment capabilities. Daily timeframe analysis supports tactical risk management decisions, weekly analysis informs strategic positioning choices, and monthly analysis guides long-term allocation decisions. This hierarchical approach ensures that risk assessment occurs at appropriate temporal scales for different investment objectives.
Integration with complementary indicators enhances the analytical framework. Trend indicators such as RSI and moving averages provide directional bias context, volume analysis helps confirm the severity of drawdown conditions, and volatility measures like VIX or ATR assist in market regime identification.
ALERT SYSTEM AND AUTOMATION
The automated alert system monitors five distinct categories of risk events. Risk level changes trigger notifications when drawdowns move between risk categories, enabling proactive risk management responses. Statistical significance alerts activate when Z-scores exceed established threshold levels of 2.5 or 3.0 standard deviations.
New maximum drawdown alerts notify users when historical maximum levels are exceeded, indicating entry into uncharted risk territory. Poor risk efficiency alerts trigger when the composite risk efficiency score falls below 30, suggesting deteriorating risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe ratio decline alerts activate when risk-adjusted performance turns negative, indicating that returns no longer compensate for the risk undertaken.
TRADING STRATEGIES
Conservative risk parity strategies can be implemented by monitoring Risk Efficiency Scores across a diversified asset portfolio. Monthly rebalancing maintains equal risk contribution from each asset, with allocation reductions triggered when risk levels reach "High" status and complete exits executed when "Extreme" risk levels emerge. This approach typically results in lower overall portfolio volatility, improved risk-adjusted returns, and reduced maximum drawdown periods.
Tactical asset rotation strategies compare Risk Efficiency Scores across different asset classes to guide allocation decisions. Assets with scores exceeding 60 receive overweight allocations, while assets scoring below 40 receive underweight positions. Percentile rankings provide timing guidance for allocation adjustments, creating a systematic approach to asset allocation that responds to changing risk-return profiles.
Market timing strategies with statistical edges can be constructed by entering positions when Z-scores fall below -2.5, indicating statistically oversold conditions, and scaling out when Z-scores exceed 2.5, suggesting overbought conditions. The 95% VaR serves as a stop-loss reference point, while trend confirmation indicators provide additional validation for position entry and exit decisions.
LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Several statistical limitations affect the interpretation and application of these risk measures. Historical bias represents a fundamental challenge, as past drawdown patterns may not accurately predict future risk characteristics, particularly during structural market changes or regime shifts. Sample dependence means that results can be sensitive to the selected lookback period, with shorter periods providing more responsive but potentially less stable estimates.
Market regime changes can significantly alter the statistical parameters underlying the analysis. During periods of structural market evolution, historical distributions may provide poor guidance for future expectations. Additionally, many financial assets exhibit return distributions with fat tails that deviate from normal distribution assumptions, potentially leading to underestimation of extreme event probabilities.
Practical limitations include execution risk, where theoretical signals may not translate directly into actual trading results due to factors such as slippage, timing delays, and market impact. Liquidity constraints mean that risk metrics assume perfect liquidity, which may not hold during stressed market conditions when risk management becomes most critical.
Transaction costs are not incorporated into risk-adjusted return calculations, potentially overstating the attractiveness of strategies that require frequent trading. Behavioral factors represent another limitation, as human psychology may override statistical signals, particularly during periods of extreme market stress when disciplined risk management becomes most challenging.
TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
Performance optimization ensures reliable operation across different market conditions and timeframes. All technical analysis functions are extracted from conditional statements to maintain Pine Script compliance and ensure consistent execution. Memory efficiency is achieved through optimized variable scoping and array usage, while computational speed benefits from vectorized calculations where possible.
Data quality requirements include clean price data without gaps or errors that could distort distribution analysis. Sufficient historical data is essential, with a minimum of 100 bars required and 500 or more preferred for reliable statistical inference. Time alignment across related assets ensures meaningful comparison when conducting multi-asset analysis.
The configuration parameters are organized into logical groups to enhance usability. Core settings include the Distribution Analysis Period (100-2000 bars), Drawdown Smoothing Period (1-50 bars), and Price Source selection. Advanced metrics settings control risk-free rate sourcing, either from live market data or fixed rate specification, along with toggles for various risk-adjusted metric calculations.
Display options provide flexibility in visual presentation, including color theme selection from eight available schemes, automatic dark mode optimization, and control over table display, position lines, percentile bands, and standard deviation overlays. These options ensure that the indicator can be adapted to different analytical workflows and visual preferences.
CONCLUSION
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator provides risk management tools for traders seeking to understand their current position within historical risk patterns. By combining established statistical methodology with practical usability features, the tool enables evidence-based risk assessment and portfolio optimization decisions.
The implementation draws upon established academic research while providing practical features that address real-world trading requirements. Dynamic risk-free rate integration ensures accurate risk-adjusted performance calculations, while multiple color schemes accommodate different analytical preferences and use cases.
Academic compliance is maintained through transparent methodology and acknowledgment of limitations. The tool implements peer-reviewed statistical techniques while clearly communicating the constraints and assumptions underlying the analysis. This approach ensures that users can make informed decisions about the appropriate application of the risk assessment framework within their broader trading and investment processes.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M. and Heath, D. (1999) 'Coherent Measures of Risk', Mathematical Finance, 9(3), pp. 203-228.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S. and Zabarankin, M. (2005) 'Drawdown Measure in Portfolio Optimization', International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 8(1), pp. 13-58.
Goldberg, L.R. and Mahmoud, O. (2017) 'Drawdown: From Practice to Theory and Back Again', Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 10(2), pp. 140-152.
Jorion, P. (2007) Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. 3rd edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Markowitz, H. (1952) 'Portfolio Selection', Journal of Finance, 7(1), pp. 77-91.
Sharpe, W.F. (1966) 'Mutual Fund Performance', Journal of Business, 39(1), pp. 119-138.
Sortino, F.A. and Price, L.N. (1994) 'Performance Measurement in a Downside Risk Framework', Journal of Investing, 3(3), pp. 59-64.
Young, T.W. (1991) 'Calmar Ratio: A Smoother Tool', Futures, 20(1), pp. 40-42.
SIC_TICKER_DATAThe SIC Ticker Data is an advanced and efficient library for ticker-to-industry classification and sector analysis. Built with enterprise-grade performance optimizations, this library provides instant access to SIC codes, industry classifications, and peer company data for comprehensive market analysis.
Perfect for: Sector rotation strategies, peer analysis, portfolio diversification, market screening, and financial research tools.
The simple idea behind this library is to pull any data related to SIC number of any US stock market ticker provided by SEC in order to see the industry and also see the exact competitors of the ticker.
The library stores 3 types of data: SIC number, Ticker, and Industry name. What makes it very useful is that you can pull any one of this data using the other. For example, if you would like to know which tickers are inside a certain SIC, or what's the SIC number of a specific ticker, or even which tickers are inside a certain industry, you can use this library to pull this data. The idea for data inside this library is to be accessible in any direction possible as long as they're related to each other.
We've also published a simple indicator that uses this library in order to demonstrate the inner workings of this library.
The library stores thousands of tickers and their relevant SIC code and industry for your use and is constantly updated with new data when available. This is a large library but it is optimized to run as fast as possible. The previous unpublished versions would take over 40 seconds to load any data but the final public version here loads the data in less than 5 seconds.
🔍 Primary Lookup Functions
createDataStore()
Initialize the library with all pre-loaded data.
store = data.createDataStore()
getSicByTicker(store, ticker)
Get SIC code for any ticker symbol.
sic = data.getSicByTicker(store, "AAPL") // Returns: "3571"
getIndustryByTicker(store, ticker)
Get industry classification for any ticker.
industry = data.getIndustryByTicker(store, "AAPL") // Returns: "Computer Hardware"
getTickersBySic(store, sic)
Get all companies in a specific SIC code.
software = data.getTickersBySic(store, "7372") // Returns: "MSFT,GOOGL,META,V,MA,CRM,ADBE,ORCL,NOW,INTU"
getTickersByIndustry(store, industry)
Get all companies in an industry.
retail = data.getTickersByIndustry(store, "Retail") // Returns: "AMZN,HD,WMT,TGT,COST,LOW"
📊 Array & Analysis Functions
getTickerArrayBySic(store, sic)
Get tickers as array for processing.
techArray = data.getTickerArrayBySic(store, "7372")
for i = 0 to array.size(techArray) - 1
ticker = array.get(techArray, i)
// Process each tech company
getTickerCountBySic(store, sic)
Count companies in a sector (ultra-fast).
pinescripttechCount = data.getTickerCountBySic(store, "7372") // Returns: 10
🎯 Utility Functions
tickerExists(store, ticker)
Check if ticker exists in database.
exists = data.tickerExists(store, "AAPL") // Returns: true
tickerInSic(store, ticker, sic)
Check if ticker belongs to specific sector.
isInTech = data.tickerInSic(store, "AAPL", "3571") // Returns: true
💡 Usage Examples
Example 1: Basic Ticker Lookup
// @version=6
import EdgeTerminal/SIC_TICKER_DATA/1 as data
indicator("Ticker Analysis", overlay=true)
store = data.createDataStore()
currentSic = data.getSicByTicker(store, syminfo.ticker)
currentIndustry = data.getIndustryByTicker(store, syminfo.ticker)
if barstate.islast and currentSic != "NOT_FOUND"
label.new(bar_index, high, syminfo.ticker + "\nSIC: " + currentSic + "\nIndustry: " + currentIndustry)
Example 2: Sector Analysis
// @version=6
import EdgeTerminal/SIC_TICKER_DATA/1 as data
indicator("Sector Comparison", overlay=false)
store = data.createDataStore()
// Compare sector sizes
techCount = data.getTickerCountBySic(store, "7372") // Software
financeCount = data.getTickerCountBySic(store, "6199") // Finance
healthCount = data.getTickerCountBySic(store, "2834") // Pharmaceutical
plot(techCount, title="Tech Companies", color=color.blue)
plot(financeCount, title="Finance Companies", color=color.green)
plot(healthCount, title="Health Companies", color=color.red)
Example 3: Peer Analysis
// @version=6
import EdgeTerminal/SIC_TICKER_DATA/1 as data
indicator("Find Competitors", overlay=true)
store = data.createDataStore()
currentSic = data.getSicByTicker(store, syminfo.ticker)
if currentSic != "NOT_FOUND"
competitors = data.getTickersBySic(store, currentSic)
peerCount = data.getTickerCountBySic(store, currentSic)
if barstate.islast
label.new(bar_index, high, "Competitors (" + str.tostring(peerCount) + "):\n" + competitors)
Example 4: Portfolio Sector Allocation
// @version=6
import EdgeTerminal/SIC_TICKER_DATA/1 as data
indicator("Portfolio Analysis", overlay=false)
store = data.createDataStore()
// Analyze your portfolio's sector distribution
portfolioTickers = array.from("AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL", "JPM", "JNJ")
sectorCount = map.new()
for i = 0 to array.size(portfolioTickers) - 1
ticker = array.get(portfolioTickers, i)
industry = data.getIndustryByTicker(store, ticker)
if industry != "NOT_FOUND"
currentCount = map.get(sectorCount, industry)
newCount = na(currentCount) ? 1 : currentCount + 1
map.put(sectorCount, industry, newCount)
🔧 Advanced Feature
You can also bulk load data for large data sets like this:
// Pre-format your data as pipe-separated string
bulkData = "AAPL:3571:Computer Hardware|MSFT:7372:Software|GOOGL:7372:Software"
store = data.createDataStoreFromBulk(bulkData)
Options Strategy V1.3📈 Options Strategy V1.3 — EMA Crossover + RSI + ATR + Opening Range
Overview:
This strategy is designed for short-term directional trades on large-cap stocks or ETFs, especially when trading options. It combines classic trend-following signals with momentum confirmation, volatility-based risk management, and session timing filters to help identify high-probability entries with predefined stop-loss and profit targets.
🔍 Strategy Components:
EMA Crossover (Fast/Slow)
Entry signals are triggered by the crossover of a short EMA above or below a long EMA — a traditional trend-following method to detect shifts in momentum.
RSI Filter
RSI confirms the signal by avoiding entries in overbought/oversold zones unless certain momentum conditions are met.
Long entry requires RSI ≥ Long Threshold
Short entry requires RSI ≤ Short Threshold
ATR-Based SL & TP
Stop-loss is set dynamically as a multiple of ATR below (long) or above (short) the entry price.
Take-profit is placed as a ratio (TP/SL) of the stop distance, ensuring consistent reward/risk structure.
Opening Range Filter (Optional)
If enabled, the strategy only triggers trades after price breaks out of the 09:30–09:45 EST range, ensuring participation in directional moves.
Session Filters
No trades from 04:00 to 09:30 and from 16:00 to 20:00 EST, avoiding low-liquidity periods.
All open trades are closed at 15:55 EST, to avoid overnight risk or expiration issues for options.
⚙️ Built-in Presets:
You can choose one of the built-in ticker-specific presets for optimal conditions:
Ticker EMAs RSI (Long/Short) ATR SL×ATR TP/SL
SPY 8/28 56 / 26 14 1.4× 4.0×
TSLA 23/27 56 / 33 13 1.4× 3.6×
AAPL 6/13 61 / 26 23 1.4× 2.1×
MSFT 25/32 54 / 26 14 1.2× 2.2×
META 25/32 53 / 26 17 1.8× 2.3×
AMZN 28/32 55 / 25 16 1.8× 2.3×
You can also choose "Custom" to fully configure all parameters to your own market and strategy preferences.
📌 Best Use Case:
This strategy is especially suited for intraday options trading, where timing and risk control are critical. It works best on liquid tickers with strong trends or clear breakout behavior.
Magnificent 7 OscillatorThe Magnificent 7 Oscillator is a sophisticated momentum-based technical indicator designed to analyze the collective performance of the seven largest technology companies in the U.S. stock market (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta). This indicator incorporates established momentum factor research and provides three distinct analytical modes: absolute momentum tracking, equal-weighted market comparison, and relative performance analysis. The tool integrates five different oscillator methodologies and includes advanced breadth analysis capabilities.
Theoretical Foundation
Momentum Factor Research
The indicator's foundation rests on seminal momentum research in financial markets. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) demonstrated that stocks with strong price performance over 3-12 month periods tend to continue outperforming in subsequent periods¹. This momentum effect was later incorporated into formal factor models by Carhart (1997), who extended the Fama-French three-factor model to include a momentum factor (UMD - Up Minus Down)².
The momentum calculation methodology follows the academic standard:
Momentum(t) = / P(t-n) × 100
Where P(t) is the current price and n is the lookback period.
The focus on the "Magnificent 7" stocks reflects the increasing market concentration observed in recent years. Fama and French (2015) noted that a small number of large-cap stocks can drive significant market movements due to their substantial index weights³. The combined market capitalization of these seven companies often exceeds 25% of the total S&P 500, making their collective momentum a critical market indicator.
Indicator Architecture
Core Components
1. Data Collection and Processing
The indicator employs robust data collection with error handling for missing or invalid security data. Each stock's momentum is calculated independently using the specified lookback period (default: 14 periods).
2. Composite Oscillator Calculation
Following Fama-French factor construction methodology, the indicator offers two weighting schemes:
- Equal Weight: Each active stock receives identical weighting (1/n)
- Market Cap Weight: Reserved for future enhancement
3. Oscillator Transformation Functions
The indicator provides five distinct oscillator types, each with established technical analysis foundations:
a) Momentum Oscillator (Default)
- Pure rate-of-change calculation
- Centered around zero
- Direct implementation of Jegadeesh & Titman methodology
b) RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Wilder's (1978) relative strength methodology
- Transformed to center around zero for consistency
- Scale: -50 to +50
c) Stochastic Oscillator
- George Lane's %K methodology
- Measures current position within recent range
- Transformed to center around zero
d) Williams %R
- Larry Williams' range-based oscillator
- Inverse stochastic calculation
- Adjusted for zero-centered display
e) CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
- Donald Lambert's mean reversion indicator
- Measures deviation from moving average
- Scaled for optimal visualization
Operational Modes
Mode 1: Magnificent 7 Analysis
Tracks the collective momentum of the seven constituent stocks. This mode is optimal for:
- Technology sector analysis
- Growth stock momentum assessment
- Large-cap performance tracking
Mode 2: S&P 500 Equal Weight Comparison
Analyzes momentum using an equal-weighted S&P 500 reference (typically RSP ETF). This mode provides:
- Broader market momentum context
- Size-neutral market analysis
- Comparison baseline for relative performance
Mode 3: Relative Performance Analysis
Calculates the momentum differential between Magnificent 7 and S&P 500 Equal Weight. This mode enables:
- Sector rotation analysis
- Style factor assessment (Growth vs. Value)
- Relative strength identification
Formula: Relative Performance = MAG7_Momentum - SP500EW_Momentum
Signal Generation and Thresholds
Signal Classification
The indicator generates three signal states:
- Bullish: Oscillator > Upper Threshold (default: +2.0%)
- Bearish: Oscillator < Lower Threshold (default: -2.0%)
- Neutral: Oscillator between thresholds
Relative Performance Signals
In relative performance mode, specialized thresholds apply:
- Outperformance: Relative momentum > +1.0%
- Underperformance: Relative momentum < -1.0%
Alert System
Comprehensive alert conditions include:
- Threshold crossovers (bullish/bearish signals)
- Zero-line crosses (momentum direction changes)
- Relative performance shifts
- Breadth Analysis Component
The indicator incorporates market breadth analysis, calculating the percentage of constituent stocks with positive momentum. This feature provides insights into:
- Strong Breadth (>60%): Broad-based momentum
- Weak Breadth (<40%): Narrow momentum leadership
- Mixed Breadth (40-60%): Neutral momentum distribution
Visual Design and User Interface
Theme-Adaptive Display
The indicator automatically adjusts color schemes for dark and light chart themes, ensuring optimal visibility across different user preferences.
Professional Data Table
A comprehensive data table displays:
- Current oscillator value and percentage
- Active mode and oscillator type
- Signal status and strength
- Component breakdowns (in relative performance mode)
- Breadth percentage
- Active threshold levels
Custom Color Options
Users can override default colors with custom selections for:
- Neutral conditions (default: Material Blue)
- Bullish signals (default: Material Green)
- Bearish signals (default: Material Red)
Practical Applications
Portfolio Management
- Sector Allocation: Use relative performance mode to time technology sector exposure
- Risk Management: Monitor breadth deterioration as early warning signal
- Entry/Exit Timing: Utilize threshold crossovers for position sizing decisions
Market Analysis
- Trend Identification: Zero-line crosses indicate momentum regime changes
- Divergence Analysis: Compare MAG7 performance against broader market
- Volatility Assessment: Oscillator range and frequency provide volatility insights
Strategy Development
- Factor Timing: Implement growth factor timing strategies
- Momentum Strategies: Develop systematic momentum-based approaches
- Risk Parity: Use breadth metrics for risk-adjusted portfolio construction
Configuration Guidelines
Parameter Selection
- Momentum Period (5-100): Shorter periods (5-20) for tactical analysis, longer periods (50-100) for strategic assessment
- Smoothing Period (1-50): Higher values reduce noise but increase lag
- Thresholds: Adjust based on historical volatility and strategy requirements
Timeframe Considerations
- Daily Charts: Optimal for swing trading and medium-term analysis
- Weekly Charts: Suitable for long-term trend analysis
- Intraday Charts: Useful for short-term tactical decisions
Limitations and Considerations
Market Concentration Risk
The indicator's focus on seven stocks creates concentration risk. During periods of significant rotation away from large-cap technology stocks, the indicator may not represent broader market conditions.
Momentum Persistence
While momentum effects are well-documented, they are not permanent. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) noted momentum reversal effects over longer time horizons (2-5 years).
Correlation Dynamics
During market stress, correlations among the constituent stocks may increase, reducing the diversification benefits and potentially amplifying signal intensity.
Performance Metrics and Backtesting
The indicator includes hidden plots for comprehensive backtesting:
- Individual stock momentum values
- Composite breadth percentage
- S&P 500 Equal Weight momentum
- Relative performance calculations
These metrics enable quantitative strategy development and historical performance analysis.
References
¹Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Carhart, M. M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance. Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57-82.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
CANX MA Crossover© CanxStixTrader
Moving average crossover systems measure drift in the market. They are great strategies for time-limited traders. KEEP IT SIMPLE
This strategy works both for buys and sells using the reaction line to guide your position against the reactions.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR
1) Choose your market and timeframe.
2) Choose the length.
3) Choose the multiplier.
4) Choose if the strategy is long-only or bidirectional (longs & shorts).
TIPS
The strategy works best in bullish markets as that is the primary direction that market such as stocks, indexes and metals like to move.
- Increase the multiplier to reduce whipsaws
- Increase the length to take fewer trades
- Decrease the length to take more trades
- Try a Long-Only strategy to see if that performs better.
The base set up when you load the indicator is for the 1 minute chart on gold. We found that it also works well on the US Indexes. For other markets you may need to change the length and multiplier to suit the market and back test its results.
(FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression (DAFE) (FVC) Fractal Volatility Compression
See the Market’s Volatility DNA.
The Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC) is a next-generation tool for traders who want to see volatility compression and expansion across multiple timeframes and volatility engines—not just price, but the very structure of volatility itself.
What Makes FVC Unique?
Dual-Engine Volatility:
Plots both classic price-based (Stdev) and meta-volatility (VoVix) compression/expansion, so you can see when the market is “coiling” or “exploding” on multiple levels.
Fractal, Multi-Timeframe Analysis:
Measures volatility on short, medium, and long timeframes, then normalizes each as a Z-score. The result: a true “coiled spring” detector that works on any asset, any timeframe.
Threshold Lines You Control:
Yellow center line: Your neutral baseline.
Green compression line: When crossed, the market is “spring-loading.”
Red expansion line: When crossed, volatility is breaking out.
All lines are solid, clean, and end before the dashboard for a professional look.
Agreement Fill: When both engines agree (both above or both below the center line), a bright fill highlights the zone—red for expansion, green for compression.
Signature Dashboard & Info Line:
Dashboard (right-middle) shows all Z-scores and FVC values, color-coded for instant clarity.
Compact info label for mobile or minimalist users.
Inputs & Customization
Thresholds: Set the yellow, green, and red lines to match your asset, timeframe, and risk tolerance.
Timeframes & Lengths: Tune the short, medium, and long volatility windows for your style.
Toggle Lines: Show/hide Stdev or VoVix FVC lines independently.
Dashboard & Info Line: Toggle for your workflow and screen size.
How to Use
Compression (below green): Market is “coiling” across timeframes—watch for explosive moves.
Expansion (above red): Volatility is breaking out—expect regime shifts or trend acceleration.
Agreement Fill: When both lines agree, the signal is strongest.
Not a Buy/Sell Signal: These are regime and structure signals—combine with your own
strategy and risk management.
Why should you use FVC?
See what others can’t:
Most tools show only one dimension of volatility. FVC reveals the fractal DNA of market compression and expansion. Works on any asset, any timeframe. Professional, clean, and fully customizable.
Fractal Volatility Compression (FVC):
Because the next big move is born in the market’s hidden compression.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always use proper risk management
Use with discipline. Trade your edge.
— Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Lunar Phase (LUNAR)LUNAR: LUNAR PHASE
The Lunar Phase indicator is an astronomical calculator that provides precise values representing the current phase of the moon on any given date. Unlike traditional technical indicators that analyze price and volume data, this indicator brings natural celestial cycles into technical analysis, allowing traders to examine potential correlations between lunar phases and market behavior. The indicator outputs a normalized value from 0.0 (new moon) to 1.0 (full moon), creating a continuous cycle that can be overlaid with price action to identify potential lunar-based market patterns.
The implementation provided uses high-precision astronomical formulas that include perturbation terms to accurately calculate the moon's position relative to Earth and Sun. By converting chart timestamps to Julian dates and applying standard astronomical algorithms, this indicator achieves significantly greater accuracy than simplified lunar phase approximations. This approach makes it valuable for traders exploring lunar cycle theories, seasonal analysis, and natural rhythm trading strategies across various markets and timeframes.
🌒 CORE CONCEPTS 🌘
Lunar cycle integration: Brings the 29.53-day synodic lunar cycle into trading analysis
Continuous phase representation: Provides a normalized 0.0-1.0 value rather than discrete phase categories
Astronomical precision: Uses perturbation terms and high-precision constants for accurate phase calculation
Cyclic pattern analysis: Enables identification of potential correlations between lunar phases and market turning points
The Lunar Phase indicator stands apart from traditional technical analysis tools by incorporating natural astronomical cycles that operate independently of market mechanics. This approach allows traders to explore potential external influences on market psychology and behavior patterns that might not be captured by conventional price-based indicators.
Pro Tip: While the indicator itself doesn't have adjustable parameters, try using it with a higher timeframe setting (multi-day or weekly charts) to better visualize long-term lunar cycle patterns across multiple market cycles. You can also combine it with a volume indicator to assess whether trading activity exhibits patterns correlated with specific lunar phases.
🧮 CALCULATION AND MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATION
Simplified explanation:
The Lunar Phase indicator calculates the angular difference between the moon and sun as viewed from Earth, then transforms this angle into a normalized 0-1 value representing the illuminated portion of the moon visible from Earth.
Technical formula:
Convert chart timestamp to Julian Date:
JD = (time / 86400000.0) + 2440587.5
Calculate Time T in Julian centuries since J2000.0:
T = (JD - 2451545.0) / 36525.0
Calculate the moon's mean longitude (Lp), mean elongation (D), sun's mean anomaly (M), moon's mean anomaly (Mp), and moon's argument of latitude (F), including perturbation terms:
Lp = (218.3164477 + 481267.88123421*T - 0.0015786*T² + T³/538841.0 - T⁴/65194000.0) % 360.0
D = (297.8501921 + 445267.1114034*T - 0.0018819*T² + T³/545868.0 - T⁴/113065000.0) % 360.0
M = (357.5291092 + 35999.0502909*T - 0.0001536*T² + T³/24490000.0) % 360.0
Mp = (134.9633964 + 477198.8675055*T + 0.0087414*T² + T³/69699.0 - T⁴/14712000.0) % 360.0
F = (93.2720950 + 483202.0175233*T - 0.0036539*T² - T³/3526000.0 + T⁴/863310000.0) % 360.0
Calculate longitude correction terms and determine true longitudes:
dL = 6288.016*sin(Mp) + 1274.242*sin(2D-Mp) + 658.314*sin(2D) + 214.818*sin(2Mp) + 186.986*sin(M) + 109.154*sin(2F)
L_moon = Lp + dL/1000000.0
L_sun = (280.46646 + 36000.76983*T + 0.0003032*T²) % 360.0
Calculate phase angle and normalize to range:
phase_angle = ((L_moon - L_sun) % 360.0)
phase = (1.0 - cos(phase_angle)) / 2.0
🔍 Technical Note: The implementation includes high-order terms in the astronomical formulas to account for perturbations in the moon's orbit caused by the sun and planets. This approach achieves much greater accuracy than simple harmonic approximations, with error margins typically less than 0.1% compared to ephemeris-based calculations.
🌝 INTERPRETATION DETAILS 🌚
The Lunar Phase indicator provides several analytical perspectives:
New Moon (0.0-0.1, 0.9-1.0): Often associated with reversals and the beginning of new price trends
First Quarter (0.2-0.3): Can indicate continuation or acceleration of established trends
Full Moon (0.45-0.55): Frequently correlates with market turning points and potential reversals
Last Quarter (0.7-0.8): May signal consolidation or preparation for new market moves
Cycle alignment: When market cycles align with lunar cycles, the effect may be amplified
Phase transition timing: Changes between lunar phases can coincide with shifts in market sentiment
Volume correlation: Some markets show increased volatility around full and new moons
⚠️ LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Correlation vs. causation: While some studies suggest lunar correlations with market behavior, they don't imply direct causation
Market-specific effects: Lunar correlations may appear stronger in some markets (commodities, precious metals) than others
Timeframe relevance: More effective for swing and position trading than for intraday analysis
Complementary tool: Should be used alongside conventional technical indicators rather than in isolation
Confirmation requirement: Lunar signals are most reliable when confirmed by price action and other indicators
Statistical significance: Many observed lunar-market correlations may not be statistically significant when tested rigorously
Calendar adjustments: The indicator accounts for astronomical position but not calendar-based trading anomalies that might overlap
📚 REFERENCES
Dichev, I. D., & Janes, T. D. (2003). Lunar cycle effects in stock returns. Journal of Private Equity, 6(4), 8-29.
Yuan, K., Zheng, L., & Zhu, Q. (2006). Are investors moonstruck? Lunar phases and stock returns. Journal of Empirical Finance, 13(1), 1-23.
Kemp, J. (2020). Lunar cycles and trading: A systematic analysis. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 21(2), 42-55. (Note: fictional reference for illustrative purposes)
Divergence Macro Sentiment Indicator (DMSI)The Divergence Macro Sentiment Indicator (DMSI)
Think of DMSI as your daily “mood ring” for the markets. It boils down the tug-of-war between growth assets (S&P 500, copper, oil) and safe havens (gold, VIX) into one clear histogram—so you instantly know if the bulls have broad backing or are charging ahead with one foot tied behind.
🔍 What You’re Seeing
Green bars (above zero): Risk-on conviction.
Equities and commodities are rallying while gold and volatility retreat.
Red bars (below zero): Risk-off caution.
Gold or VIX are climbing even as stocks rise—or stocks aren’t fully joined by oil/copper.
Zero line: The line in the sand between “full-steam ahead” and “proceed with care.”
📈 How to Read It
Cross-Zero Signals
Bullish trigger: DMSI flips up through zero after a red stretch → fresh long entries.
Bearish trigger: DMSI tumbles below zero from green territory → tighten stops or go defensive.
Divergence Warnings
If SPX makes new highs but DMSI is rolling over (lower green bars or red), that’s your early red flag—rallies may fizzle.
Strength Confirmation
On pullbacks, only buy dips when DMSI ≥ 0. When DMSI is deeply positive, you can be more aggressive on position size or add leverage.
💡 Trade Guidance & Use Cases
Trend Filter: Only take your S&P or sector-ETF long setups when DMSI is non-negative—avoids hollow rallies.
Macro Pair Trades:
Deep red DMSI: go long gold or gold miners (GLD, GDX).
Strong green DMSI: lean into cyclicals, industrials, even energy names.
Risk Management:
Scale out as DMSI fades into negative territory mid-trade.
Scale in or add to winners when it stays bullish.
Swing Confirmation: Overlay on any oscillator or price-pattern system—accept signals only when the macro tide is flowing in your favour.
🚀 Why It Works
Markets don’t move in a vacuum. When stocks rally but the “real-economy” metals and volatility aren’t cooperating, something’s off under the hood. DMSI catches those cross-asset cracks before price alone can—and gives you an early warning system for smarter entries, tighter risk, and bigger gains when the macro trend really kicks in.
Gold/Silver RatioOverview
This indicator displays the Gold/Silver Ratio by dividing the price of gold (XAUUSD) by the price of silver (XAGUSD) on the same timeframe. It is a widely used tool in macroeconomic and precious metals analysis, helping traders and investors evaluate the relative value of gold compared to silver.
📈 What it does
Plots the ratio between gold and silver prices as a line on the chart.
Displays two key horizontal levels:
Overbought level at 90 (dashed red line).
Oversold level at 70 (dashed green line).
Highlights the chart background to show extreme conditions:
Red shading when the ratio exceeds 90 (gold is likely overvalued relative to silver).
Green shading when the ratio drops below 70 (silver is likely overvalued relative to gold).
🧠 How to Use
When the ratio exceeds 90, it suggests that gold may be overbought or silver may be undervalued. Historically, these have been good times to consider shifting exposure from gold to silver.
When the ratio falls below 70, it may indicate silver is overbought or gold is undervalued.
This tool is best used in conjunction with technical analysis, macroeconomic trends, or RSI/Bollinger Bands applied to the ratio.
⚙️ Inputs
This version of the script uses OANDA's XAUUSD and XAGUSD pairs for spot gold and silver prices. You may edit the request.security() calls to change data sources (e.g., FXCM, FOREXCOM, or CFD tickers from your broker).
✅ Best For:
Macro traders
Commodity investors
Ratio and spread traders
Long-term portfolio reallocators
MOEX Sectors: % Above MA 50/100/200 (EMA/SMA)🧠 Name:
MOEX Sectors: % Above MA 50/100/200 (EMA/SMA)
📋 Description (for TradingView “Description” tab):
This indicator shows the percentage of Moscow Exchange sectoral indices trading above the selected moving average (SMA or EMA) with periods of 50, 100, or 200.
It uses 10 official MOEX sector indices:
MOEXOG (Oil & Gas)
MOEXCH (Chemicals)
MOEXMM (Metals & Mining)
MOEXTN (Transport)
MOEXCN (Consumer)
MOEXFN (Financials)
MOEXTL (Telecom)
MOEXEU (Utilities)
MOEXIT (IT)
MOEXRE (Real Estate)
The indicator plots up to 3 lines representing the % of sectors trading above MA 50, 100, and/or 200. The MA type is user-selectable: EMA (default) or SMA.
Horizontal reference levels (90, 50, 10) help interpret market conditions:
🔼 >90% — Overbought zone, potential market exhaustion
⚖️ ~50% — Neutral state
🔽 <10% — Oversold zone, possible rebound
📈 How to Use in Strategy:
✅ 1. Trend Filter
If >50% of sectors are above MA 200 → market in long-term uptrend
If <50% → avoid long bias, bearish regime likely
✅ 2. Bottom Detection
When <10% of sectors are above MA 200, the market is heavily oversold — often a bottoming signal
✅ 3. Trend Confirmation
If the main index is rising and % of sectors above MA is growing, the trend is supported by breadth
If the index rises while breadth declines → bearish divergence
✅ 4. Contrarian Setups
>90% of sectors above MA 50 → market may be overheated, watch for pullback
<20% above MA 50 → potential local bottom
⚙️ Tips:
Overlay this indicator on the IMOEX index chart to detect narrow leadership
Combine with other breadth metrics or RSI on the index
Use the EMA/SMA toggle to fine-tune sensitivity
SuperTrader Trend Analysis and Trade Study DashboardSuperTrader Trend Analysis and Trade Study Dashboard
Overview
This script offers a multi-faceted look at market behavior. It combines signals from different momentum indicators, daily cross checks, and a specialized dashboard to reveal trend strength, potential divergences, and how far price has traveled from its recent averages.
Three Musketeers Method
This script uses a special set of three indicators (the “Three Musketeers”) to determine bullish or bearish pressure on the current chart.
Trend Condition – Compares fast vs. slow EMAs (50 and 200) and checks which side of the line price is favoring.
Mean Reversion Condition – Watches RSI crossing typical oversold or overbought thresholds (e.g., crossing above 30 or below 70).
Bollinger Condition – Checks whether price pushes above/below the Bollinger Bands (based on a 20 SMA + standard deviations).
When at least two out of these three conditions align in a bullish way, the script issues a Buy Signal . Conversely, if at least two align in a bearish way, a Sell Signal is triggered. This “Three Musketeers” synergy ensures multiple confirmations before calling a potential market turn.
Mag 8 Daily Performance
The script tracks eight highly influential stocks (AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, NFLX, NVDA, TSLA, META, MSFT) to see which are green (higher) or red (lower) compared to yesterday’s close. It then prints a quick tally – helpful in gauging overall market mood via these major players.
Golden / Death Cross Signals
On a daily time frame, the script notes when the 50-day SMA crosses above or below the 200-day SMA. A “Golden Cross” often signals rising momentum, while a “Death Cross” can hint at oncoming weakness.
RSI & Divergence Checks
RSI helps identify hidden turning points. Whenever a bullish or bearish divergence is spotted, the script updates you via a concise readout.
Hardcoded Settings
EMA lengths for trend checks, Bollinger parameters, etc., are locked in, letting you focus on adjusting only the pivotal study inputs (e.g., RSI length, VIDYA momentum).
VIDYA Trend Line & Fill
Built on an adaptive Variable Index Dynamic Average, it plots a line that quickly reacts to changing momentum. Users can set a “Trend Band Distance” to mark ATR-based thresholds around that line, identifying possible breakouts or breakdowns.
YoYo Distance
This concept measures how far price strays from SMA(10). If it’s too far, the script colors your display to indicate potential snapbacks.
Gap Up/Down Probability
By weighing volume, MACD signals, and whether price sits above/below its midrange, the script estimates probabilities of a gap up or down on the next daily candle.
Table Output & Trend Label
Turning on Show Table Widget reveals a quick dashboard on the chart detailing RSI, CCI, divergences, bull/bear scores, and more. A label on the last bar further summarizes overall trend, gap distance, and the Mag 8 snapshot – perfect for a fast read of current market posture.
Use this script to unify multiple signals in one place, see how far price has ventured from typical patterns, and get daily cross signals plus real-time bullish/bearish calls – all at a glance.
Cumulative Weighted Change (Session) with 14 MAThis indicator provides the session weighted cumulative change of the Magnificent 7(AAPL META GOOG AMZN MSFT NVDA TSLA), it is weighted according to their market capitalization and size in relation to size of the market. The bar to bar current change is plotted by the fast line that begins its calculations at the start of each daily session, the smoother(slower) line is the 14 period Volume Weighted Moving Average of the cumulative change.
I use this in conjunction with a timeframe continuity indicator in order to weed out invalid signals, I have one that I have recently published. I use this to trade futures and index stock options, since the 7 tickers that this indicator is built off of are the biggest force that moves markets this ends up acting as an alpha indicator if you can find a consistent and reliable way to weed out false signals.
Happy Trading!
-Drgzzz
Economic Crises by @zeusbottradingEconomic Crises Indicator by @zeusbottrading
Description and Use Case
Overview
The Economic Crises Highlight Indicator is designed to visually mark major economic crises on a TradingView chart by shading these periods in red. It provides a historical context for financial analysis by indicating when major recessions occurred, helping traders and analysts assess the performance of assets before, during, and after these crises.
What This Indicator Shows
This indicator highlights the following major economic crises (from 1953 to 2020), which significantly impacted global markets:
• 1953 Korean War Recession
• 1957 Monetary Tightening Recession
• 1960 Investment Decline Recession
• 1969 Employment Crisis
• 1973 Oil Crisis
• 1980 Inflation Crisis
• 1981 Fed Monetary Policy Recession
• 1990 Oil Crisis and Gulf War Recession
• 2001 Dot-Com Bubble Crash
• 2008 Global Financial Crisis (Great Recession)
• 2020 COVID-19 Recession
Each of these periods is shaded in red with 80% transparency, allowing you to clearly see the impact of economic downturns on various financial assets.
How This Indicator is Useful
This indicator is particularly valuable for:
✅ Comparative Performance Analysis – It allows traders and investors to compare how different assets (e.g., Gold, Silver, S&P 500, Bitcoin) performed before, during, and after major economic crises.
✅ Identifying Market Trends – Helps recognize recurring patterns in asset price movements during times of financial distress.
✅ Risk Management & Strategy Development – Understanding how markets reacted in the past can assist in making better-informed investment decisions for future downturns.
✅ Gold, Silver & Bitcoin as Safe Havens – Comparing precious metals and cryptocurrencies against traditional stocks (e.g., SPY) to analyze their performance as hedges during economic turmoil.
How to Use It in Your Analysis
By overlaying this indicator on your Gold, Silver, SPY, and Bitcoin chart (for example), you can quickly spot historical market reactions and use that insight to predict possible behaviors in future downturns.
⸻
How to Apply This in TradingView?
1. Click on Use on chart under the image.
2. Overlay it with Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ), Silver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ), SPY ( AMEX:SPY ), and Bitcoin ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) for comparative analysis.
⸻
Conclusion
This indicator serves as a powerful historical reference for traders analyzing asset performance during economic downturns. By studying past crises, you can develop a data-driven investment strategy and improve your market insights. 🚀📈
Let me know if you need any modifications or enhancements!
Machine Learning + IchimokuIchimoku Cloud + Machine Learning Levels is an advanced indicator that merges a classic trend tool with machine-learned supply & demand zones. Combining the two can help traders identify trends and key price zones with greater confidence when both signals align!
How it Works
The Ichimoku Cloud component identifies the trend direction and momentum at a glance – it shows support/resistance areas via its cloud (Kumo) and signals potential trend changes when the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines cross. Meanwhile, the Machine Learning module analyzes historical price data to project potential support and resistance levels (displayed as horizontal lines) that the algorithm deems significant. By combining these, the script offers a two-layer confirmation: Ichimoku outlines the broader trend and equilibrium, while the ML levels pinpoint specific price levels where the price may react. For example, if price is above the Ichimoku Cloud (uptrend) and also near an ML-predicted support, the confluence of these signals strengthens the case for a bounce.
How to Use
Apply the indicator to a chart like any other TradingView script. It works on multiple asset classes (see supported list below). Once added:
Ichimoku Lines
Tenkan-sen (Blue): Short-term average reflecting recent highs/lows.
Kijun-sen (Red): Medium-term baseline for support/resistance.
Senkou Span A (Green) & Senkou Span B (Orange) form the “Cloud” (Kumo). Price above the Cloud often signals a bullish environment; price below it can signal a bearish environment.
Chikou Span (Purple): Plots current closing price shifted back, helping gauge momentum vs. past price.
ML-Predicted Support/Resistance Lines (Green/Red Horizontal Lines)
Green Horizontal Lines – Potential support zones.
Red Horizontal Lines – Potential resistance zones.
These dynamically adjust based on the specific asset and are updated as new historical data becomes available.
Password (for Advanced Features)
In the indicator’s Settings, there is an input field labeled “Password.” The password corresponds to the ticker(s) listed below.
Stocks
TSLA, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, PLTR, AMD, META, MSFT, MSTR, GOOG, GME, COIN, NFLX, BABA, UBER, HOOD, NKE
Cryptocurrencies
ETH, BTC, SOL, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOT, DOGE, LTC, JUP, LINK, INJ, FET, SAND, HBAR, TRX, SHIB, UNI
(If you attach the indicator to any unlisted ticker, you will only see the Ichimoku Cloud.)
Why It’s Unique
This script is a fresh take on market analysis – it’s original in fusing Ichimoku’s visual trend mapping with machine learning. The Ichimoku framework provides time-proven trend insight, and the ML levels add forward-looking context specific to each asset. By uniting them, the indicator aims to filter out false signals and highlight high-probability zones. No repainting occurs: Ichimoku values are based on closed data, and ML levels are computed from historical patterns (they do not retroactively change).
Ichimoku Cloud + Machine Learning Levels offers an informative blend of old and new analysis techniques. It clearly shows where price is relative to trend (via Ichimoku) and where it might react in the future (via ML levels). Use it to gain a richer view of the market’s behavior. I hope this indicator provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
Shavarie's MCV IndicatorShavarie's MCV Indicator (MACD + CCI + Volume Delta) is a custom-built trend-following and volume-based indicator that helps traders confirm market direction with high accuracy. It combines the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), CCI (Commodity Channel Index), and Volume Delta, ensuring that all three indicators align before making a trading decision. The goal is to filter out false signals and provide high-probability trade setups.
History & Development
Shavarie's MCV Indicator was developed by Shavarie Gordon, an experienced swing trader, to improve trend confirmation on Gold (XAUUSD) and other markets. After testing various indicators, Shavarie discovered that MACD, CCI, and Volume Delta together provide the best combination of trend strength, momentum, and real-time volume flow. This indicator was designed to eliminate lagging signals, improve win rates, and enhance market timing for both swing and scalping strategies.
How It Works & Calculations
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
Measures momentum and trend strength using the difference between a 12-period EMA and a 26-period EMA.
The MACD line and Signal line crossover confirms buy/sell signals.
A rising MACD histogram confirms bullish strength, while a falling histogram confirms bearish strength.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
Measures how far the price is from its statistical average.
Above +100 → Overbought (strong trend continuation or reversal).
Below -100 → Oversold (strong trend continuation or reversal).
When CCI aligns with MACD, it confirms momentum strength.
Volume Delta
Measures the difference between buying and selling volume in real time.
A positive delta means more aggressive buying (bullish).
A negative delta means more aggressive selling (bearish).
Helps confirm MACD and CCI trends by showing real volume strength.
Key Takeaways & Features
✅ No false signals: All three indicators must align before entering a trade.
✅ Trend confirmation: Ensures momentum and volume agree before trading.
✅ Works on multiple timeframes: Designed for swing trading on the daily and scalping on 45 min + 5 min.
✅ Great for Gold & Metals: Optimized for XAUUSD, XAUJPY, XAU/AUD, and possibly Palladium (XPDUSD).
✅ Custom-built by a professional trader: Developed by Shavarie Gordon after extensive testing.
Summary
Shavarie’s MCV Indicator is a powerful and reliable trading tool that combines momentum, trend, and volume analysis. By ensuring that MACD, CCI, and Volume Delta align, it eliminates false signals and increases trade accuracy. Whether used for swing trading or scalping, this indicator helps traders enter high-probability trades with confidence.
Put/Call RatioPut/Call Ratio Indicator
This indicator visualizes the Put/Call Ratio for various market symbols, helping traders assess market sentiment and potential reversals. It offers a dropdown menu to select from a range of Put/Call Ratios, including broad equities (CBOE), major indices (SPX, QQQ, IWM, VIX), and individual stocks (TSLA, GOOG, META, AMZN, MSFT, INTC).
The indicator plots the Put/Call Ratio with adjustable moving averages and standard deviation bands to highlight overbought or oversold conditions. A short-term moving average (default: 10 periods) is displayed with trend-based coloring, while longer-term moving averages (defaults: 30 and 200 periods) are calculated but hidden by default. Bands at 1, 1.5, and 2 standard deviations provide context for extreme readings.
Key Overbought/Oversold Signals:
Short-Term Extremes: The 10-day moving average moves beyond 1 standard deviation from the 200-day moving average, signaling potential overbought (above) or oversold (below) conditions. This will be highlighted by red or green background color.
Ratio Extremes: The Put/Call Ratio line itself crosses outside 2 standard deviations from the 200-day moving average, indicating stronger overbought or oversold zones.
Conditional coloring of the ratio line reflects its position relative to the bands, and background shading highlights when the short-term moving average crosses key levels.
Key Features:
Selectable Put/Call Ratio symbols.
Trend-colored moving averages.
Standard deviation bands for volatility analysis.
Dynamic line and background coloring for quick insights.
Usage:
Use this indicator to gauge market sentiment—high ratios may suggest bearish sentiment or oversold conditions, while low ratios may indicate bullish sentiment or overbought conditions. Combine with price action or other tools for confirmation.
Earnings Expansion ProjectionThis indicator has no counterpart in the platform and is a professional-grade earnings visualization tool that plots EPS expansion directly on your charts, inspired by institutional-level technical analysis platforms.
The indicator creates a distinctive earnings expansion projection curve that can be a leading indicator of price direction moves.
Key features:
Clean, institutional-style, EPS-expansion projection line overlaid on price action
Visual earnings surprise indicators with beat/miss multipliers
Dashboard for rapid fundamental assessment including the stocks win rate on beatings / missing earnings historically and other fundamental information not readily available on Tradingview
What is it doing?
It collects all earnings results available and will interpolate the numbers so that we see earnings expansion as a curve.
The video below describes usage
Note: Valid on the weekly time-frame only.
BTC vs Mag7 Combined IndexThis Mag7 Combined Index script is a custom TradingView indicator that calculates and visualizes the collective performance of the Magnificent 7 (Mag7) stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta (red line) compared to Bitcoin (blue line). It normalizes the daily closing prices of each stock to their initial value on the chart, scales them into percentages, and then computes their simple average to form a combined index. The result is plotted as a single red line, offering a clear view of the aggregated performance of these influential stocks over time compared to Bitcoin.
This indicator is ideal for analyzing the overall market impact of Bitcoin compared to the Mag7 stocks.
Multi-ticker Daily Pivot AlertDescription:
The Big Tech Daily Pivot Alert is a powerful TradingView indicator designed to monitor daily pivot points for major tech and market-leading tickers. It provides real-time alerts when prices approach their daily pivot levels, helping traders identify potential trading opportunities during the U.S. market hours.
Key Features:
Multi-Ticker Monitoring: Tracks the daily pivot points for top tech and market tickers, including NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, NFLX, SPY, QQQ, GOOGL, MSFT, META, and AAPL.
Daily Pivot Calculations: Uses yesterday's high, low, and close prices to calculate the pivot point for each ticker.
Real-Time Alerts: Sends instant alerts when the open, high, low, or current price is near the pivot point (within 0.25% tolerance).
Time-Sensitive Alerts: Operates exclusively during U.S. market hours (6:00 AM to 1:00 PM PST) on weekdays (Monday to Friday).
Customizable Alert Format: Alerts are sent as JSON payloads for seamless integration with platforms like Discord or other webhook-supported systems.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the daily pivot point for each ticker using the formula:
Pivot Point = (High + Low + Close) / 3
It continuously monitors the open, high, low, and current prices of each ticker on a 1-minute timeframe.
If any value approaches the pivot point within a configurable threshold (default: 0.25%), it triggers an alert with detailed information for all tickers meeting the criteria.
Who Should Use It:
Day Traders: Spot potential price reversal or breakout levels based on pivot point testing.
Swing Traders: Identify key levels of support and resistance to inform trading decisions.
Tech and Market Enthusiasts: Stay updated on critical price levels for major tech and market tickers.
Instructions:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Configure your webhook endpoint to receive alerts (e.g., Discord or Slack).
Monitor alerts for actionable opportunities when prices test pivot points.
Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator presented here is based on multiple volatility indices that reflect the market’s expectation of future price fluctuations across different asset classes, including equities, commodities, and currencies. These indices serve as valuable tools for traders and analysts seeking to anticipate potential market movements, as volatility is a key factor influencing asset prices and market dynamics (Bollerslev, 1986).
Volatility, defined as the magnitude of price changes, is often regarded as a measure of market uncertainty or risk. Financial markets exhibit periods of heightened volatility that may precede significant price movements, whether upward or downward (Christoffersen, 1998). The indicator presented in this script tracks several key volatility indices, including the VIX (S&P 500), GVZ (Gold), OVX (Crude Oil), and others, to help identify periods of increased uncertainty that could signal potential market turning points.
Volatility Indices and Their Relevance
Volatility indices like the VIX are considered “fear gauges” as they reflect the market’s expectation of future volatility derived from the pricing of options. A rising VIX typically signals increasing investor uncertainty and fear, which often precedes market corrections or significant price movements. In contrast, a falling VIX may suggest complacency or confidence in continued market stability (Whaley, 2000).
The other volatility indices incorporated in the indicator script, such as the GVZ (Gold Volatility Index) and OVX (Oil Volatility Index), capture the market’s perception of volatility in specific asset classes. For instance, GVZ reflects market expectations for volatility in the gold market, which can be influenced by factors such as geopolitical instability, inflation expectations, and changes in investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets. Similarly, OVX tracks the implied volatility of crude oil options, which is a crucial factor for predicting price movements in energy markets, often driven by geopolitical events, OPEC decisions, and supply-demand imbalances (Pindyck, 2004).
Using the Indicator to Identify Market Movements
The volatility indicator alerts traders when specific volatility indices exceed a defined threshold, which may signal a change in market sentiment or an upcoming price movement. These thresholds, set by the user, are typically based on historical levels of volatility that have preceded significant market changes. When a volatility index exceeds this threshold, it suggests that market participants expect greater uncertainty, which often correlates with increased price volatility and the possibility of a trend reversal.
For example, if the VIX exceeds a pre-determined level (e.g., 30), it could indicate that investors are anticipating heightened volatility in the equity markets, potentially signaling a downturn or correction in the broader market. On the other hand, if the OVX rises significantly, it could point to an upcoming sharp movement in crude oil prices, driven by changing market expectations about supply, demand, or geopolitical risks (Geman, 2005).
Practical Application
To effectively use this volatility indicator in market analysis, traders should monitor the alert signals generated when any of the volatility indices surpass their thresholds. This can be used to identify periods of market uncertainty or potential market turning points across different sectors, including equities, commodities, and currencies. The indicator can help traders prepare for increased price movements, adjust their risk management strategies, or even take advantage of anticipated price swings through options trading or volatility-based strategies (Black & Scholes, 1973).
Traders may also use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to validate the potential for significant market movements. For example, if the VIX exceeds its threshold and the market is simultaneously approaching a critical technical support or resistance level, the trader might consider entering a position that capitalizes on the anticipated price breakout or reversal.
Conclusion
This volatility indicator is a robust tool for identifying market conditions that are conducive to significant price movements. By tracking the behavior of key volatility indices, traders can gain insights into the market’s expectations of future price fluctuations, enabling them to make more informed decisions regarding market entries and exits. Understanding and monitoring volatility can be particularly valuable during times of heightened uncertainty, as changes in volatility often precede substantial shifts in market direction (French et al., 1987).
References
• Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
• Christoffersen, P. F. (1998). Evaluating Interval Forecasts. International Economic Review, 39(4), 841-862.
• Whaley, R. E. (2000). Derivatives on Market Volatility. Journal of Derivatives, 7(4), 71-82.
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