Fibonacci Pivot | SyedFibonacci pivots combine Fibonacci retracement levels with pivot points to provide potential support and resistance levels. This tool is based on the idea that price tends to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which it often continues in the original direction.
Here’s a breakdown of Fibonacci pivots:
1. Pivot Point (PP)
The central level that acts as the main reference point for support and resistance levels. It’s calculated as the average of the high, low, and close of the previous period (typically a day).
Formula:
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3
PP=
3
(High+Low+Close)
2. Fibonacci-Based Support and Resistance Levels
These levels are derived by multiplying the range (High - Low) of the previous period with key Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, etc.), then adding or subtracting this result from the Pivot Point.
The Fibonacci ratios used in Fibonacci pivots are typically:
38.2%: A strong retracement level.
61.8%: The golden ratio, a key Fibonacci level that often acts as major support or resistance.
100%: Full retracement from the previous period's high or low.
Fibonacci Support Levels (S1, S2, S3, etc.)
These levels indicate potential areas where the price might find support:
S1 = PP - (Range * 0.382)
S2 = PP - (Range * 0.618)
S3 = PP - (Range * 1)
Fibonacci Resistance Levels (R1, R2, R3, etc.)
These are the areas where price might face resistance:
R1 = PP + (Range * 0.382)
R2 = PP + (Range * 0.618)
R3 = PP + (Range * 1)
Interpretation
R1/R2/R3: Potential resistance levels where price might face selling pressure.
S1/S2/S3: Potential support levels where price might encounter buying interest.
Pivot Point (PP): Acts as the primary level of interest. If the price is above the PP, it suggests bullish sentiment; if below, bearish sentiment.
Example
In den Scripts nach "GOLD" suchen
PERFECT PIVOT RANGE DR ABIRAM SIVPRASAD (PPR)PERFECT PIVOT RANGE (PPR) by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
The Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of key support and resistance levels based on pivot points across different timeframes. This versatile tool allows users to visualize daily, weekly, and monthly pivots along with high and low levels from previous periods, helping traders identify potential areas of price reversals or breakouts.
Features:
Multi-Timeframe Pivots:
Daily, weekly, and monthly pivot levels (Pivot Point, Support 1 & 2, Resistance 1 & 2).
Helps traders understand price levels across various timeframes, from short-term (daily) to long-term (monthly).
Previous High-Low Levels:
Displays the previous week, month, and day high-low levels to highlight key zones of historical support and resistance.
Traders can easily see areas of price action from prior periods, giving context for future price movements.
Customizable Options:
Users can choose which pivot levels and high-lows to display, allowing for flexibility based on trading preferences.
Visual settings can be toggled on and off to suit different trading strategies and timeframes.
Real-Time Data:
All pivot points and levels are dynamically calculated based on real-time price data, ensuring accurate and up-to-date information for decision-making.
How to Use:
Pivot Points: Use daily, weekly, or monthly pivot points to find potential support or resistance levels. Prices above the pivot suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearishness.
Previous High-Low: The high-low levels from previous days, weeks, or months can serve as critical zones where price may reverse or break through, indicating potential trade entries or exits.
Confluence: When pivot points or high-low levels overlap across multiple timeframes, they become even stronger levels of support or resistance.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders (scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors) looking to enhance their technical analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are three detailed trading strategies for using the Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator for options, stocks, and commodities:
1. Options Buying Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Buying Call and Put Options Based on Pivot Breakouts
Objective: To capitalize on sharp price movements when key pivot levels are breached, leading to high returns with limited risk in options trading.
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour chart for intraday option trading.
Steps:
Identify the Key Levels:
Use weekly pivots for intraday trading, as they provide more significant levels for options.
Enable the "Previous Week High-Low" to gauge support and resistance from the previous week.
Call Option Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Condition: If the price breaks above the weekly pivot point (PP) with high momentum (indicated by a strong bullish candle), it signifies potential bullishness.
Action: Buy Call Options at the breakout of the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Check if the price is sustaining above the pivot with a minimum of 1-2 candles (depending on timeframe) and the first resistance (R1) isn’t too far away.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous week’s high can be your target for exiting the trade.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the pivot point (PP) to limit risk.
Put Option Setup (Bearish Breakdown):
Condition: If the price breaks below the weekly pivot (PP) with strong bearish momentum, it’s a signal to expect a downward move.
Action: Buy Put Options on a breakdown below the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Ensure that the price is closing below the pivot, and check for declining volumes or bearish candles.
Target: The first support (S1) or the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the pivot point (PP).
Example:
Let’s say the weekly pivot point (PP) is at 1500, the price breaks above and sustains at 1510. You buy a Call Option with a strike price near 1500, and the target will be the first resistance (R1) at 1530.
2. Stock Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Swing Trading Using Pivot Points and Previous High-Low Levels
Objective: To capture mid-term stock price movements using pivot points and historical high-low levels for better trade entries and exits.
Timeframe: 1-day or 4-hour chart for swing trading.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Start by determining the overall trend of the stock using the weekly pivots. If the price is consistently above the pivot point (PP), the trend is bullish; if below, the trend is bearish.
Buy Setup (Bullish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the stock bounces off the weekly pivot point (PP) or previous week’s low, it signals a bullish reversal.
Action: Enter a long position near the pivot or previous week’s low.
Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle pattern or increasing volumes.
Target: Set your first target at the first resistance (R1) or the previous week’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the previous week’s low or support (S1).
Sell Setup (Bearish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the price hits the weekly resistance (R1) or previous week’s high and starts to reverse downwards, it’s an opportunity to short-sell the stock.
Action: Enter a short position near the resistance.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volume at the resistance.
Target: Your first target would be the weekly pivot point (PP), with the second target as the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the resistance (R1).
Use Previous High-Low Levels:
The previous week’s high and low are key levels where price reversals often occur, so use them as reference points for potential entry and exit.
Example:
Stock XYZ is trading at 200. The previous week’s low is 195, and it bounces off that level. You enter a long position with a target of 210 (previous week’s high) and place a stop-loss at 193.
3. Commodity Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Trend Continuation and Reversal in Commodities
Objective: To capitalize on the strong trends in commodities by using pivot points as key support and resistance levels for trend continuation and reversal.
Timeframe: 1-hour to 4-hour charts for commodities like Gold, Crude Oil, Silver, etc.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Use monthly pivots for long-term commodities trading since commodities often follow macroeconomic trends.
The monthly pivot point (PP) will give an idea of the long-term trend direction.
Trend Continuation Setup (Bullish Commodity):
Condition: If the price is consistently trading above the monthly pivot and pulling back towards the pivot without breaking below it, it indicates a bullish continuation.
Action: Enter a long position when the price tests the monthly pivot (PP) and starts moving up again.
Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish candle or an increase in volume to confirm the continuation.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous month’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the monthly pivot (PP).
Trend Reversal Setup (Bearish Commodity):
Condition: When the price reverses from the monthly resistance (R1) or previous month’s high, it’s a signal for a bearish reversal.
Action: Enter a short position at the resistance level.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volumes at the resistance.
Target: Set your first target as the monthly pivot (PP) or the first support (S1).
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance level.
Using Previous High-Low for Swing Trades:
The previous month’s high and low are important in commodities. They often act as barriers to price movement, so traders should look for breakouts or reversals near these levels.
Example:
Gold is trading at $1800, with a monthly pivot at $1780 and the previous month’s high at $1830. If the price pulls back to $1780 and starts moving up again, you enter a long trade with a target of $1830, placing your stop-loss below $1770.
Key Points Across All Strategies:
Multiple Timeframes: Always use a combination of timeframes for confirmation. For example, a daily chart may show a bullish setup, but the weekly pivot levels can provide a larger trend context.
Volume: Volume is key in confirming the strength of price movement. Always confirm breakouts or reversals with rising or declining volume.
Risk Management: Set tight stop-loss levels just below support or above resistance to minimize risk and lock in profits at pivot points.
Each of these strategies leverages the powerful pivot and high-low levels provided by the PPR indicator to give traders clear entry, exit, and risk management points across different markets
Cumulative Delta [TradingFinder] Volume + Periodic + EMA🔵 Introduction
To fully grasp the concept of Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), it's essential first to understand Volume Delta. In trading and technical analysis, the term "Delta" typically refers to the difference between two values or the rate of change between two data points.
Volume Delta represents the difference between buying and selling pressure, calculated for each candlestick on a chart. This difference can vary across different timeframes.
A positive delta indicates that buying volume exceeds selling volume, while a negative delta shows that selling volume is greater. When buying and selling volumes are equal, the volume delta equals zero.
🟣 What is Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)?
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is a powerful tool in technical analysis that aggregates delta values for each candlestick, creating a comprehensive indicator that helps traders assess market trends.
Unlike the standard Volume Delta, which compares delta on a candle-by-candle basis, CVD provides insight into the overall buying and selling pressure during key market swings. A downward-trending CVD suggests that selling pressure is dominating, which is typically a bearish signal.
Conversely, an upward-trending CVD indicates bullish sentiment. This analysis becomes even more significant when comparing CVD with price action and market structure, helping traders to predict asset price directions.
By evaluating market highs and lows, one can determine the market trend. A consistent rise in these points indicates an uptrend, while a consistent fall suggests a downtrend.
🔵 How to Use
Understanding how to detect trend changes using Cumulative Volume Delta is crucial for traders. Typically, CVD aligns with market structure, moving in the same direction as price trends.
However, divergences between CVD and price trends or signs of exhaustion in volume can be powerful indicators of potential market reversals. Recognizing these patterns can help traders make informed decisions and improve their trading strategies.
🟣 Identifying Trend Exhaustion with Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)
The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator is especially effective in identifying weakening trends in the market. For instance, if gold's price hits a new low, but CVD does not follow suit, this may indicate a lack of seller interest despite the new low, signaling potential seller exhaustion.
Most traders interpret this as a possible reversal from a bearish to a bullish trend. Similarly, if gold reaches a new high but CVD fails to do the same, it can suggest that buyers lack the strength to push the market higher, indicating a possible trend reversal.
🟣 Utilizing Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence in Price Trend Analysis
Another effective use of CVD is identifying divergences in price trends. For example, if CVD breaks a previous high or low while the price remains stable, this divergence often indicates that buying or selling pressure is being absorbed.
For instance, if CVD rises sharply without a corresponding increase in gold prices, it may suggest that sellers are absorbing the buying pressure, potentially leading to a strong sell-off. Conversely, if gold prices remain stable while CVD declines, it could indicate that buyers are absorbing selling pressure, likely leading to a price increase once selling subsides.
🔵 Setting
Cumulative Mode : It has three modes "Total", "Periodic" and "EMA". In "Total" mode, it collects the volume from the beginning to the end. In "Periodic" mode, it accumulates the volume periodically and in "EMA" mode, it calculates the moving average of the volume.
Period : You can set the period of " Periodic " and " EMA " modes.
Market Ultra Data : If you turn on this feature, 26 large brokers will be included in the calculation of the trading volume.
The advantage of this capability is to have more reliable volume data. You should be careful to specify the market you are in, FOREX brokers and Crypto brokers are different.
🔵 Conclusion
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) is a powerful analytical tool in financial markets that helps analysts and traders assess buying and selling pressure by aggregating and combining the volume delta for each candlestick.
CVD can indicate the strength or weakness of a market trend. When CVD moves upward, it signals that buying pressure is dominant and is considered a bullish signal; conversely, a downward movement in CVD indicates that selling pressure is stronger and is viewed as a bearish signal.
This indicator is particularly effective in identifying divergences and exhaustion in market trends. For example, if CVD does not align with price movements, it may suggest a potential trend reversal.
Traders use this information to make more informed trading decisions, especially when identifying entry and exit points in the market.
Overall, CVD is a tool that enables analysts to better understand market fluctuations and more accurately predict future market trends.
Uptrick: Adaptive Trend Strength Index (ATSI)### **Adaptive Trend Strength Index (ATSI): Trend Detection Tool**
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### Introduction
The **Adaptive Trend Strength Index (ATSI)** is a state-of-the-art indicator designed to offer traders an unparalleled view into market trends. By combining the principles of adaptive trend analysis with advanced volatility filtering, ATSI provides a powerful and visually intuitive method for identifying and following market trends. Its unique algorithm and customizable features make it an essential tool for traders across all markets—whether you're trading stocks, forex, commodities, or cryptocurrencies.
### The Purpose and Design Philosophy
At its core, the ATSI was built with the understanding that financial markets are dynamic, ever-changing entities influenced by a multitude of factors, including market sentiment, economic data, geopolitical events, and, critically, volatility. Traditional trend indicators often fall short by either over-smoothing price data (thus lagging behind the actual trend) or reacting too quickly to minor price fluctuations, resulting in false signals.
**ATSI solves this dilemma by adapting to market conditions in real-time.** It effectively filters out market noise while being sensitive enough to detect meaningful shifts in trend direction. The result is a trend line that is both responsive and smooth, providing traders with a clear, actionable view of the market's current trajectory.
### Key Features and Functionality
#### 1. **Adaptive Trend Calculation**
The heart of ATSI is its adaptive trend algorithm, which adjusts based on market conditions. It leverages a combination of price action analysis and volatility filtering to determine the strength and direction of the trend. Here’s how it works:
- **Volatility Sensitivity:** ATSI incorporates the Average True Range (ATR) to measure market volatility. This volatility measure is then adjusted by a user-defined sensitivity factor. This ensures that the indicator responds dynamically to different market environments—be it high-volatility breakouts or low-volatility consolidations.
- **Adaptive Smoothing:** The trend calculation is further enhanced by an exponential moving average (EMA) applied not just to the raw price data, but also to the resulting trend line itself. This dual-layer smoothing process helps to eliminate noise, resulting in a cleaner and more reliable trend line.
- **Real-Time Adaptation:** Unlike rigid indicators that require constant tweaking to stay relevant in changing market conditions, ATSI adapts in real-time. This adaptability makes it particularly valuable in fast-moving markets where conditions can change rapidly.
#### 2. **Visual Clarity**
In trading, visual clarity can make the difference between spotting a lucrative trend and missing out. ATSI excels in this regard by offering a clear, color-coded trend line that provides instant feedback on market conditions:
- **Thicker and Smoother Line:** ATSI’s trend line is designed to be visually prominent. By default, it is thicker than most standard indicators, making it easy to spot even in dense charts. Additionally, the smoothing applied to the line ensures that it flows smoothly, avoiding the jagged, noisy appearance that can plague other indicators.
- **Color-Coded Trends:** The trend line changes color based on the direction and strength of the trend:
- **Green Line**: Indicates a bullish trend, suggesting upward momentum in the market.
- **Red Line**: Indicates a bearish trend, signaling downward momentum.
- **Gold Line**: Represents a neutral or weak trend, where the market is consolidating or where there is no clear direction.
This color-coding is not just for aesthetics—it’s a critical feature that allows traders to quickly assess market conditions at a glance.
#### 3. **Customizable Parameters**
ATSI is built with the understanding that every trader’s strategy is unique. Whether you’re a day trader looking for short-term trends or a swing trader interested in catching longer moves, ATSI can be tailored to fit your needs:
- **Trend Length:** The length parameter controls how much historical data is considered in the trend calculation. A shorter length will make the indicator more sensitive to recent price changes, while a longer length will smooth out short-term fluctuations, focusing on the broader trend.
- **Smoothing Factor:** This parameter controls the level of smoothing applied to the trend line. A higher smoothing factor will result in a smoother, more stable trend line, while a lower factor will make the line more responsive to quick changes in price.
- **Volatility Sensitivity:** By adjusting the volatility sensitivity, you can control how reactive the indicator is to market volatility. A higher sensitivity makes the indicator more likely to detect trends in volatile markets, while a lower sensitivity helps to filter out noise in calmer markets.
- **Line Width:** ATSI allows you to adjust the thickness of the trend line, ensuring that it stands out on your chart. This is particularly useful when trading on charts with a lot of overlays or when you need a clear, bold line to guide your trading decisions.
- **Color Customization:** The colors for bullish, bearish, and neutral trends can be fully customized to match your personal preferences or to integrate seamlessly with your existing chart setup.
### Practical Applications
ATSI is a versatile indicator that can be applied to a wide range of trading strategies. Here’s how it can enhance your trading:
#### 1. **Trend Following**
For traders who thrive on catching and riding trends, ATSI is a game-changer. Its adaptive nature ensures that you stay in the trend for as long as possible without being shaken out by minor fluctuations. The clear color-coded line makes it easy to identify when a trend starts and ends, providing clear entry and exit signals.
#### 2. **Risk Management**
One of the biggest challenges in trading is managing risk, particularly in volatile markets. ATSI’s volatility sensitivity feature helps traders adjust their strategies based on current market conditions. For example, in a high-volatility environment, the indicator will become more sensitive, allowing you to tighten your stop losses or take profits earlier. Conversely, in a low-volatility market, the indicator will smooth out minor fluctuations, reducing the risk of being stopped out prematurely.
#### 3. **Trend Reversals and Consolidations**
ATSI is also highly effective in identifying trend reversals and periods of consolidation. The neutral (gold) line indicates periods where the market is undecided, which can often precede significant moves. Recognizing these periods can help you avoid getting caught in choppy markets and position yourself for the next big move.
#### 4. **Market Timing**
Timing the market is often seen as the holy grail of trading. While no indicator can predict the future with 100% accuracy, ATSI’s real-time adaptation gives you a significant edge. By responding to changes in market conditions as they happen, ATSI helps you make timely decisions, whether you’re entering a trade, exiting a position, or adjusting your risk parameters.
### Comparative Advantage
What sets ATSI apart from other trend indicators is its combination of adaptability, visual clarity, and ease of use:
- **Adaptability:** Most trend indicators are static—they apply the same calculations regardless of market conditions. ATSI, however, adapts to the market in real-time, ensuring that it remains relevant and reliable across different market environments.
- **Visual Clarity:** The thicker, smoother, color-coded line is not just aesthetically pleasing—it’s a functional design choice that helps you quickly interpret market conditions. Whether you’re glancing at your chart or conducting an in-depth analysis, the ATSI line stands out, providing immediate insight.
- **Ease of Use:** Despite its advanced features, ATSI is incredibly easy to use. The default settings are optimized for general use, but the indicator offers a high degree of customization for those who want to tailor it to their specific trading strategy.
### Conclusion
The **Adaptive Trend Strength Index (ATSI)** is more than just another trend indicator—it’s a comprehensive tool designed to give traders an edge in today’s fast-paced, volatile markets. By combining adaptive trend analysis with advanced volatility filtering, ATSI offers a unique blend of responsiveness and reliability. Its clear, color-coded visual representation of trends makes it easy to use, even for traders who are new to technical analysis, while its customizable parameters provide the flexibility that experienced traders demand.
Whether you’re looking to ride the next big trend, manage your risk more effectively, or simply get a clearer picture of the market’s current direction, ATSI is an invaluable addition to your trading toolkit. With its cutting-edge design and powerful functionality, ATSI is poised to become the go-to indicator for traders seeking to enhance their market analysis and improve their trading outcomes.
Risk On/Risk Off Williams %RThe Risk On/Risk Off Williams %R indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to gauge market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on and risk-off assets. This indicator combines the Williams %R, a momentum oscillator, with a composite index derived from various financial assets to determine the prevailing market risk sentiment.
Components:
Risk-On Assets: These are typically more volatile and are expected to perform well during bullish market conditions. The indicator uses the following risk-on assets:
SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF)
HYG (High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Risk-Off Assets: These are generally considered safer investments and are expected to outperform during bearish market conditions. The indicator includes:
TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
GLD (SPDR Gold Trust)
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
XLU (Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Calculation:
Risk-On Index: The average closing price of the risk-on assets.
Risk-Off Index: The average closing price of the risk-off assets.
The composite index is computed as:
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Williams %R: This momentum oscillator measures the current price relative to the high-low range over a specified period. It is calculated as:
\text{Williams %R} = \frac{\text{Highest High} - \text{Composite Index}}{\text{Highest High} - \text{Lowest Low}} \times -100
where "Highest High" and "Lowest Low" are the highest and lowest values of the composite index over the lookback period.
Usage:
Williams %R: A momentum oscillator that ranges from -100 to 0. Values above -50 suggest bullish conditions, while values below -50 indicate bearish conditions.
Background Color: The background color of the chart changes based on the Williams %R relative to a predefined threshold level:
Green background: When Williams %R is above the threshold level, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Red background: When Williams %R is below the threshold level, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Purpose:
The indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on versus risk-off assets. It helps traders and investors understand whether the market is leaning towards higher risk (risk-on) or safety (risk-off) based on the relative performance of these asset classes. By incorporating the Williams %R, the indicator adds a momentum-based dimension to this analysis, allowing for better decision-making in response to shifting market conditions.
Normalized Willspread IndicatorNot sure to call it as willspread or not, because i take this idea from Larry William's original willspread indicator and did some modifications which found out to be more effective in my opinion, which is by subtracting 21 and 3 ma, this indicator is found on Trade_Stocks_and_Commodities_With_the_Insiders page155. Feel free to find out.
Here's what I modified, instead of using the subtraction between two ma, I use one ma only, I find more accurate in spotting oversold and overbought value. This indicator is useful for metals. It basically compares the value between two assets, let's say u are watching gold, u can select compare it to dxy, us30Y or gold, let's say u choose to compare to dxy, and the indicator shows the the index is overvalued which is above 80 levels, then it is suggesting that gold is overvalued, the same logic apply to undervalued as well which is 20 levels. This is not a entry or exit tool but as additional confluence, u can use any entry method u want like supply and demand and use this indicator to validate your idea, not sure whether it works on forex or not, so far i think it works well on metals.
The bar colour corresponding to the index when it is overbought or oversold. U can switch off it if you dont need it. Do note that this is a repainting indicator, so u must refer to previous week close.
Butterfly Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] Harmonic Detector🔵 Introduction
The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a sophisticated and highly regarded tool in technical analysis, utilized by traders to identify potential reversal points in the financial markets. This pattern is distinguished by its reliance on Fibonacci ratios and geometric configurations, which aid in predicting price movements with remarkable precision.
The origin of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern can be traced back to the pioneering work of Bryce Gilmore, who is credited with discovering this pattern. Gilmore's extensive research and expertise in Fibonacci ratios laid the groundwork for the identification and application of this pattern in technical analysis.
The Butterfly pattern, like other harmonic patterns, is based on the principle that market movements are not random but follow specific structures and ratios.
The pattern is characterized by a distinct "M" shape in bullish scenarios and a "W" shape in bearish scenarios, each indicating a potential reversal point. These formations are identified by specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, making the Butterfly pattern a powerful tool for traders seeking to capitalize on market turning points.
The precise nature of the Butterfly pattern allows for the accurate prediction of target prices and the establishment of strategic entry and exit points, making it an indispensable component of a trader's analytical arsenal.
Bullish :
Bearish :
🔵 How to Use
Like other harmonic patterns, the Butterfly pattern is categorized based on how it forms at the end of an uptrend or downtrend. Unlike the Gartley and Bat patterns, the Butterfly pattern, similar to the Crab pattern, forms outside the wave 3 range at the end of a rally.
🟣 Types of Butterfly Harmonic Patterns
🟣 Bullish Butterfly Pattern
This pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and leads to a trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
🟣 Bearish Butterfly Pattern
In contrast to the Bullish Butterfly pattern, this pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and warns analysts of a trend reversal to a downtrend. In this case, traders are encouraged to shift their trading stance from buy trades to sell trades.
Advantages and Limitations of the Butterfly Pattern in Technical Analysis :
The Butterfly pattern is considered one of the precise and stable tools in financial market analysis. However, it is always important to pay special attention to the advantages and limitations of each pattern.
Here, we review the advantages and disadvantages of using the Butterfly harmonic pattern :
The main advantage of the Butterfly pattern is providing very accurate signals.
Using Fibonacci golden ratios and geometric rules, the Butterfly pattern identifies patterns accurately and systematically. (This high accuracy significantly helps investors in making trading decisions.)
Identifying this pattern requires expertise and experience in technical analysis.
Recognizing the Butterfly pattern might be complex for beginner traders. (Correct identification of the pattern necessitates mastery over geometric principles and Fibonacci ratios.)
The Butterfly harmonic pattern might issue false trading signals. (Traders usually combine the Butterfly pattern with other technical tools to confirm buy and sell signals.)
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Forma t: If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
Brooks 18 Bars [KintsugiTrading]Brooks 18 Bars
Overview:
This indicator allows traders to specify a time frame within each trading day and plots lines at the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period. It is particularly useful for identifying key levels of support and resistance within a specified time range.
Features:
User-Defined Time Frame: Traders can input their desired start and end times in a 24-hour format, allowing flexibility to analyze different market sessions.
High and Low Price Levels: The indicator plots lines representing the highest and lowest prices observed within the specified time frame each day.
Clear Visual Representation: The high and low lines are color-coded for easy identification, with the high & low prices in Kintsugi Trading Gold.
How to Use:
Set the Time Frame:
Adjust the "Start Time Hour" and "Start Time Minute" to define the beginning of your desired time frame.
Adjust the "End Time Hour" and "End Time Minute" to define the end of your desired time frame.
Analyze Key Levels:
Al Brooks popularized the following idea and basis for creating this indicator:
On a 5-minute chart, Bar 1 has a 20-30% chance of being the High or Low of the day.
Bar 12 has a 50% chance.
Bar 18 has an 80-90% chance.
Use the plotted lines to identify significant support and resistance levels within your specified time frame. These levels can help inform your trading decisions, such as entry and exit points.
Good luck with your trading!
Stock Value RainbowStock Valuation based on Book Value, Dividends, Cashflow, Earnings and Estimates and Money Multiplier
There are many ways to measure stock valuations: some methods are using book value, some are using dividends, some are using cashflow, some are using earnings and some using estimates data. Most of these valuation methods are based on multiplier effect which measure how many times the stock price could expand from their valuation base. This indicator attempts to unify all these measurements using just simple addition of all measurements such as: book value per share, dividend per share, cashflow per share, earning per share, and estimates of earning per share and then using multiplier effect to create beautiful rainbow to see how far the stock has growing up above or below their valuation base. The higher the stock price on rainbow spectrum means it is more expensive and the lower in the rainbow spectrum means it is cheaper. Here is the basic formula explanation:
SV = (BVPS + DPS + CFPS + EPS + EST) * MM
BVPS = Book Value Per Share (Asset - Liability)
DPS = Dividends Per Share
CFPS = Free Cash Flow Per Share
EPS = Earnings Per Share
EST = Estimates of EPS
MM = Money Multiplier (1x, 2x, ... ,10x)
- The gray line represents the stock value SV
- The rainbow above the gray line represents the multiplication factors from 1x, 2x, ..., 10x
- The rainbow below the gray line represents the division factors from 0.8x, 0.6x, ..., 0.2x
Check other script to value stock and index:
- Stock Value Rainbow: script to value stock based on book value, dividend, cash flow, earning and estimates.
- Index Value Rainbow: script to value index based on fed balance sheet and base money supply
- Gold Value Rainbow: script to value gold based on global money supply
- Stock Value US: script to check US stock value
- Stock Value EU: script to check EU stock value
- Stock Value JP: script to check JP stock value
- Stock Value CN: script to check CN stock value
PEV Price BandThe PEV Price Band shows prices calculated using the high and low P/FQ EV of the previous period. (price to enterprise value per share for the last quarter) multiplied by FQ's current EVPS (similar to comparing marketcap to enterprise value but edit equations that are close to the theory of P/E)
If the current price is lower than the minimum P/EVPS, it is considered cheap. In other words, a current price is above the maximum is considered expensive.
PEV Price Band consists of 2 parts.
- First of all, the current P/EVPS value is "green" (if the markecap is less than the enterprise value) or "red" (if the marketcap is more than the enterprise value) or "gold" (if the market value is less than the enterprise value and less than equity)
- Second, the blue line is the closing price.
Macro Risk On/Off SentimentOverview
As an Ichimoku trader, I've always found it crucial to understand the broader market sentiment before entering trades. That's why I developed this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of global market risk sentiment by analysing multiple factors across different asset classes. By combining nine key market indicators, it produces an overall risk sentiment score, giving me a clearer picture of the market's mood before I apply my Ichimoku strategy.
Rationale
While Ichimoku is powerful for identifying trends and potential entry points, I realised it doesn't always capture the broader market context. Markets don't exist in isolation—they're influenced by a myriad of factors including volatility, economic indicators, and cross-asset relationships. By creating this indicator, I aimed to fill that gap, providing myself with a macro view that complements my Ichimoku analysis.
How It Works
The indicator analyses nine different market factors:
VIX (Volatility Index): Measures market expectations of near-term volatility.
S&P 500 Performance: Represents the overall US stock market performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Indicates bond market sentiment and economic outlook.
Gold Price Movement: Often seen as a safe-haven asset.
US Dollar Index: Measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies.
Emerging Markets Performance: Represents risk appetite for higher-risk markets.
High Yield Bond Spreads: Indicates credit market risk sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio: An economic growth indicator.
Put/Call Ratio: Measures overall market sentiment based on options trading.
Each factor is assigned a score based on its z-score relative to its recent history, then weighted according to its perceived importance. The overall risk score is a weighted average of these individual scores.
How I Use It
Before applying my Ichimoku strategy, I first check this indicator to gauge the overall market sentiment:
I look at the blue line plotted on the chart, which represents the overall risk score.
I note the background colour: green for risk-on (positive score) and red for risk-off (negative score).
I check the label in the lower-left corner, which provides specific FX pair recommendations and market expectations.
In a risk-on environment (positive score):
I focus on long positions in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc.
I look for short opportunities in USD/CAD, USD/NOK, etc.
I expect commodities and yields to rise
In a risk-off environment (negative score):
I focus on long positions in USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD
I look for short opportunities in AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD
I expect increased volatility and falling yields
The strength of the sentiment is reflected in how close the score is to either 1 (strong risk-on) or -1 (strong risk-off). This helps me gauge how aggressive or conservative I should be with my Ichimoku trades.
Customisation
I've designed this indicator to be flexible. You can modify it to:
Adjust the lookback period and moving average length (both default to 30)
Change the weighting of different factors in the final score calculation
Include or exclude specific factors based on your analysis needs
By combining this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator with my Ichimoku analysis, I've found I can make more informed trading decisions, taking into account both the technical setups I see on the chart and the broader market context.
Enhanced Market Influence DashboardDescription
The "Enhanced Market Influence Dashboard" (EMID) is a sophisticated trading indicator developed in Pine Script, designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the market's influences by analyzing a diverse set of financial instruments. This script integrates various market data, calculates dynamic weights based on volatility, and combines them into a composite score to help traders identify significant market movements.
Concept and Methodology
The EMID indicator aggregates data from multiple financial instruments, including forex pairs, commodities, indices, and ETFs. By calculating the median and volatility of these instruments over user-defined timelines, it dynamically adjusts their weights to reflect current market conditions. The composite score generated from these weighted values helps traders understand the overall market influence and detect significant movements.
Key Features
Market Data Integration: The script fetches real-time data from various symbols such as USD/JPY, Gold, Dollar Index (DXY), US Treasury Rate, VIX Index, Crude Oil, EUR/USD, Emerging Market Index, QYLD ETF, and Nasdaq 100 Futures.
1. Dynamic Weight Calculation: The script calculates dynamic weights for each instrument based on their volatility relative to their simple moving average. This approach ensures that more volatile instruments have a proportionally higher impact on the composite score.
2. Median and Volatility Analysis: It uses the median value and standard deviation over specified timelines to gauge the central tendency and volatility of each instrument.
3. Composite Score Generation: By normalizing the difference between current prices and their respective medians, and applying dynamic weights, the script generates a composite score that reflects the overall market sentiment.
4. Baseline Calculation: A dynamic baseline is computed as the median of the composite score over the lookback period, providing a reference point for identifying significant deviations.
5. Alerts: The script includes alert conditions to notify traders of significant market movements, either above or below the baseline by a threshold value.
Usage
To use the EMID indicator, follow these steps:
1. Input Configuration: Adjust the input parameters to suit your trading strategy. The key inputs include:
-Median Timeline: The period for calculating the median values.
-Volatility Timeline: The period for calculating volatility.
-Base Weights: Set the base weights for each financial instrument according to their perceived influence on the market.
-Adding the Indicator: Apply the EMID indicator to your chart in TradingView. Ensure that the symbols used in the script are relevant to your trading strategy and available in your TradingView subscription.
2. Interpreting the Composite Score: The composite score plotted on the chart gives an aggregated view of market influences. Compare the composite score with the baseline to identify significant market movements.
-A composite score significantly above the baseline indicates a potential market uptrend.
-A composite score significantly below the baseline indicates a potential market downtrend.
-Setting Alerts: Use the alert conditions to set up notifications for significant market movements. These alerts help you stay informed about critical changes in market sentiment.
Underlying Calculations
1. Median Calculation: The median function is applied to each instrument's price data over the specified timeline.
2. Volatility Calculation: Volatility is calculated as the standard deviation divided by the simple moving average over the volatility timeline.
3. Dynamic Weight Application: Base weights are multiplied by the respective volatility values to get dynamic weights.
4. Normalized Scores: The script normalizes the difference between current prices and their medians, then multiplies by the dynamic weights to get individual scores.
5. Composite Score: Summing all normalized and weighted scores results in the composite score.
6. Baseline: The baseline is the median of the composite score over the median timeline.
By integrating multiple market influences and dynamically adjusting weights based on volatility, the EMID indicator provides a robust tool for traders to analyze market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Prometheus Polarized Fractal Efficiency (PFE)This indicator uses market data to calculate Polarized Fractal Efficiency (PFE) on an asset, so traders can have a better idea of which direction it may go.
Users can control the lookback length for the fractal calculation, the lookback length for the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and whether or not to display lines at the -50 and 50 level, or -25 and 25 level.
Polarized Fractal Efficiency:
The Polarized Fractal Efficiency (PFE) indicator is a value between -100 and 100 with 0 as a midpoint.
A PFE above 0 indicates the asset may trend higher, a PFE below 0 indicates the asset may trend lower.
There are many ways to trade with PFE, the intuitive trend riding as described above, or reversals.
Even when the PFE is above 0, if it gets high enough, it may also be an indication of a reversal. A PFE of 90 - 100, or -100 - -90, may indicate price is ready to revert the other direction. Furthermore, traders already in a position may look to breaks of other levels to be their take profit or stop out spot.
Calculation:
Pi = 100 x (Price - Price )2 + N2 / Summation, j= 0, to N-2 (Price - Price )2 + 1
If Close < Close Pi = -Pi
PFEi = EMA(Pi, M)
Where:
N = period of indicator
M = smoothing period
Citation: www.investopedia.com
Scenarios:
Inputs are (9, 5) and every display option is on.
Trend example
Step 1: A short trade appears as PFE crosses below -25. We reach a safe take profit as PFE crosses below -50. Traders can use these levels to exit as well as enter.
Step 2: On the cross above 25 there is a safe long. As the PFE value breaks 0 a safe, early take profit could be appropriate for this trade. No guarantee we would see 50.
Step 3: Long scenario at break of 25, straight to 50. Simple, straightforward setup.
Step 4: This long results in a stop loss. Once again entry as PFE crosses 25, but as we cross the 0 line it is for a loss.
Step 5: The last trade in this example is reminiscent of step 3. This is a short trade entry at break of 25 and exit at break of 50.
Traders have liberty to use the PFE value to determine spots to enter and exit trades, long or short. 25 and 50 were chosen arbitrarily, values like 10 and 60 may work as well, we encourage traders to use their own discretion along with tools.
Reversal example
Step 1: PFE is around -100, crossing below it at one point! Strong zone for a potential reversal.
Step 2: PFE crosses above 25 adding conviction.
Step 3: Option to exit at 70.
Step 4: Option to exit at 90.
There is no “one size fits all method”, this approach may be more intuitive for some users and is just as feasible as the first.
Longer trend example
Step 1: Using -50 and 50 this time instead of -25 and 25 to be safer on our entries we see a short here. Was a good entry and as the value gets closer to -70 we can safely close.
Step 2: On this candle we see a long for the break of 50. On the next candle we break the 0 line, but because of our safe entry at 50, we could hold this and only stop out at a break of -25. We get close but stay in it and close at 70.
Step 3: Break of 50 for a long once again. This time the break of 0 line occurs as we are in profit, not letting a green trade go red is a golden rule of trading, so an early exit here.
Step 4: Same at step 2, break of 50 to long and stay in it, not stopping out at break of 0 line. The PFE value eventually reaches 70 and there is a good exit.
Quicker Reversal example
Step 1: Notice a close with PFE below -90, enter long for the reversal. Then close for profit when the PFE crosses above 70.
Step 2: When the PFE breaks above 90 we have a short entry. Like the long closing it when it crosses below -70.
Step 3: This step is the same setup as step 2. As PFE breaks above 90 we have a short entry. Closing it when it crosses below -70.
Recap:
Described above are 4 different examples with many different trades. Both trend and reversal trades. The PFE value is an indicator that can be used by traders in many different ways and Prometheus encourages traders to use their own discretion along with tools and not follow indicators blindly.
Options:
Users can control the input for the lookback of the indicator. The default is 9.
The smoothing factor for the EMA is also changeable, default is 5.
Users have options to display lines at -50, -25, 25, and 50.
[r380]Bear & Bull Pivot Signal Indicator_(Lite))Bear & Bull Pivot Signal Indicator
Overview:
The Bear & Bull Multi Pivot Signal Indicator is a comprehensive trading tool designed to identify potential market reversal points and trend changes. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis strategies such as RSI, MACD, and pivot points to generate reliable signals. By overlapping these signals, the indicator increases the possibility of accurate trend predictions, providing traders with valuable insights for informed decision-making.
"This indicator is primarily optimized for Bitcoin on a 15-minute timeframe and is recommended for short-term trading. Reliability on other timeframes is not guaranteed."
Key Features:
Bear and Bull Signals: Clearly indicate potential market reversal points using bear and bull emojis.
Support and Resistance Signals: Indicated with sun and snowflake emojis to show critical price levels.
Overheat Cooldown Pivot: Detects market exhaustion points to signal potential reversals.
Settings:
RSI Settings: Adjust the RSI period and thresholds to match your trading strategy. Default values are optimized for short-term trading.
MACD Settings: The MACD settings are pre-configured but can be customized if needed.
Visual Settings: If excessive signals cause visual discomfort, you can selectively enable or disable features in the visual settings.
Signal Descriptions:
🐻 Bear Signal: Indicates a potential high point where the market may reverse downwards. Combines RSI and MACD conditions to provide a reliable overbought signal. When accompanied by high volume, it can indicate a strong resistance level.
🐮 Bull Signal: Indicates a potential low point where the market may reverse upwards. Uses both RSI and MACD conditions to highlight oversold situations. When accompanied by high volume, it can indicate a strong support level.
❄️ Resistance Signal: Shows a resistance level where the price has difficulty moving higher. When the price crosses below this level, it signals a potential downward movement. Combined with high volume, it can signify robust resistance.
☀️ Support Signal: Shows a support level where the price has difficulty moving lower. When the price crosses above this level, it signals a potential upward movement. Combined with high volume, it can signify strong support.
Detailed Explanation:
This indicator is not simply a combination of multiple indicators but is designed to increase the probability of detecting potential trend reversal signals by using multiple signals. If signals only appear when multiple conditions are met, how many trades can we make in a year? Because there is no 100% certainty in any situation, we need to use various signals to construct our strategy and proceed with trading. For example, if only one signal appears, the reliability of the trend reversal signal is somewhat weak, so we can strategize by betting only a portion of the capital. If multiple signals appear simultaneously, we can consider it a highly reliable trend reversal signal and increase the betting amount and stop loss accordingly. The essence of this indicator, in my view, is not to blindly trade based on signals but to use it as an auxiliary tool for strategic decision-making.
RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, and Stochastic RSI: By using various indicators to confirm trend reversal signals, bear and bull emojis are included. If the RSI reaches an oversold zone and then drops by a certain amount, while the MACD turns negative and the Stochastic RSI makes a gold or dead cross, the bear and bull signals are activated.
Pivot Points: Calculated based on the high, low, and close prices over a specific lookback period. These points are used to determine support and resistance levels. Pivot points provide a framework for assessing market sentiment and potential reversal zones. The values calculated this way activate the sun and snowflake signals.
The Overheat Cooldown Pivot: captures moments when the market shows signs of exhaustion, particularly when overbought or oversold conditions are accompanied by a drop in volume. This helps traders anticipate market turning points more effectively. These signals appear as red or green triangles indicating potential reversals. Although similar to the bear and bull signals in detecting market cool-off points, these signals rely on volume and may have slightly lower reliability.
Practical Application:
By using this indicator, traders can strategically adjust their bet sizes based on the reliability of the signals. When multiple signals coincide, it indicates a higher probability of a trend reversal, allowing for larger position sizes. Conversely, when signals occur independently, it suggests a lower probability, warranting smaller position sizes. This approach enables traders to manage their risk effectively and capitalize on high-probability trading opportunities without excessively reducing trading frequency.
Trading Method:
The basic setup is for Bitcoin on a 15-minute timeframe, and short-term trading is recommended by the creator. Upon signal activation, if only one signal appears, verify the volume and support/resistance lines, calculate the risk-reward ratio, and enter a position with a low betting ratio. If three signals activate simultaneously, enter a position with a higher betting ratio.
Reliability Order:
🐻🐮 > ❄️☀️ > 🔻🔺 (replacing green triangle emojis)
This indicator provides a powerful method for detecting multiple potential market reversals and trend continuations.
Note: Have realistic expectations and understand the limitations of technical analysis tools. This indicator is a tool to assist in your trading decisions and not a guaranteed prediction of market movements.
Warning! Do not trade solely based on this indicator.
Additionally, if you find the settings lacking, feel free to adjust them yourself! Thank you!
Korean Version
곰돌이와 송아지 멀티 피봇 시그널 인디케이터
개요:
곰돌이와 송아지 멀티 피봇 시그널 인디케이터는 잠재적 시장 반전 지점과 추세 변화를 식별하기 위해 설계된 종합 거래 도구입니다. 이 인디케이터는 RSI, MACD, 피봇 포인트 등의 여러 기술 분석 전략을 결합하여 신뢰할 수 있는 신호를 생성합니다. 이러한 신호들을 중첩함으로써 정확한 추세 예측의 가능성을 높여, 트레이더가 정보를 기반으로 결정을 내리는 데 유용한 통찰력을 제공합니다.
기본적으로 비트코인 15분봉을 기준으로 하며 매매 방법은 단타를 권장합니다. 다른 타임프레임에서의 신뢰는 보장 하지 않습니다.
주요 기능:
곰돌이와 송아지 신호: 시장의 잠재적 반전 지점을 곰돌이와 송아지 이모지로 명확하게 표시합니다.
지지 및 저항 신호: 중요한 가격 수준을 나타내기 위해 태양과 눈송이 이모지로 표시합니다.
오버히트 쿨다운 피봇: 시장 피로 지점을 감지하여 잠재적 반전 신호를 제공합니다.
세팅방법:
RSI 설정: RSI 기간과 임계값을 조정하여 자신의 거래 전략에 맞춥니다. 기본값은 단기 거래에 최적화되어 있습니다.
MACD 설정: MACD 설정은 미리 구성되어 있으며, 필요에 따라 사용자 정의가 가능합니다.
비쥬얼 세팅: 과도한 시그널 때문에 눈이 아프시다면 비쥬얼세팅에서 선택적으로 기능들을 켜거나 끌 수 있으니 참고하세요.
신호 설명:
🐻 곰돌이 신호: 시장이 하락할 가능성이 있는 고점을 나타냅니다. RSI와 MACD 조건을 결합하여 신뢰할 수 있는 과매수 신호를 제공합니다. 높은 거래량과 함께 나타나면 강한 저항 수준을 나타낼 수 있습니다.
🐮 송아지 신호: 시장이 상승할 가능성이 있는 저점을 나타냅니다. RSI와 MACD 조건을 사용하여 과매도 상황을 강조합니다. 높은 거래량과 함께 나타나면 강한 지지 수준을 나타낼 수 있습니다.
❄️ 저항 신호: 가격이 더 이상 상승하기 어려운 저항 수준을 나타냅니다. 가격이 이 수준 아래로 하락하면 잠재적 하락 움직임을 신호합니다. 높은 거래량과 함께 나타나면 강력한 저항을 의미할 수 있습니다.
☀️ 지지 신호: 가격이 더 이상 하락하기 어려운 지지 수준을 나타냅니다. 가격이 이 수준 위로 상승하면 잠재적 상승 움직임을 신호합니다. 높은 거래량과 함께 나타나면 강한 지지를 의미할 수 있습니다.
상세 설명:
이 인디케이터는 여러 인디케이터를 단순히 결합한 것이 아니라, 여러가지 시그널들을 사용해서 잠재적 추세전환 신호 감지 확률을 높이는 것에 목적이 있습니다. 단순히 여러가지 조건들이 중첩되었을때만 신호가 뜬다면 우리는 1년에 몇번이나 매매를 할 수 있을까요. 모든경우에 100% 라는 경우가 없기때문에 우리는 다양한 신호들을 활용하여 전략을 구성하고 매매를 진행 해야합니다. 예를들어 1개의 시그널만 뜬다면 추세전환 신호의 신뢰도가 다소 약하기 때문에 시드의 일부 금액만 배팅 하는 식으로 전략을 구성 할 수도 있고, 만약 여러가지 시그널들이 충접적으로 뜬다면 신뢰도 높은 추세전환의 신호로 인식하여 배팅금액을 높이고 스탑로스를 높게 잡는 방향으로 전략을 구성 할 수 있습니다. 단순히 맹목적으로 시그널이 떳다고 매매하는것이 아닌 보조 신호로써의 기능, 이것이 내가 생각하는 인디케이터의 역할이자 본질 이라고 생각합니다.
RSI (상대 강도 지수)와 MACD, 스토캐스틱 RSI: 여러가지 지표들을 기반으로 추세 반전의 신호를 확인 할 수 있는 곰돌이와 송아지를 넣었습니다. RSI 가 과매도 구간에 도달한 이후일정 수치 이상 하락하는 동시에 MACD가 음수로 변하고 스토캐스틱 RSI가 골드, 데드 크로스가 된다면 곰돌이와 송아지 신호가 활성화 됩니다.
피봇 포인트: 특정 되돌아보기 기간 동안의 최고, 최저, 종가를 기반으로 계산됩니다. 이 포인트는 지지 및 저항 수준을 결정하는 데 사용됩니다. 피봇 포인트는 시장 심리와 잠재적 반전 영역을 평가하는 프레임워크를 제공합니다. 이렇게 계산된 값을 기반으로 눈송이와 해 신호가 활성화 됩니다.
오버히트 쿨다운 피봇: 는 과매수 또는 과매도 상태에서 거래량이 감소할 때 시장 피로 지점을 포착하여 잠재적 반전 지점을 신호합니다. 이러한 피로 지점을 식별함으로써 인디케이터는 트레이더가 시장의 전환점을 보다 효과적으로 예측할 수 있도록 돕습니다. 그렇게 추세 반전의 신호로 녹색 또는 붉은색 삼각형 시그널이 뜹니다. 과열된 시장이 냉각되는 포인트를 찾는점에서는 곰돌이 송아지 신호와 비슷하지만 거래량을 기반으로 하고 있기 때문에 명백히 다른 시그널이며 신뢰도는 약간 낮을 수도 있습니다
실용적 적용:
이 인디케이터를 사용함으로써, 트레이더는 신호의 신뢰도에 따라 베팅 크기를 전략적으로 조정할 수 있습니다. 여러 신호가 동시에 나타날 때, 이는 추세 반전의 가능성이 높음을 나타내며, 더 큰 포지션 크기를 허용합니다. 반대로, 신호가 독립적으로 발생할 때는 낮은 가능성을 나타내므로 작은 포지션 크기가 적합합니다. 이 접근 방식은 트레이더가 효과적으로 리스크를 관리하고 높은 확률의 거래 기회를 활용하면서 거래 빈도를 과도하게 줄이는 것을 방지할 수 있게 합니다.
매매방법:
기본적인 세팅은 비트코인 15분 타임프레임이며 제작자는 단타를 추천합니다. 포지션 진입시 시그널이 1개가 뜬다면 거래량과 지지와 저항라인을 확인하고 손익비를 계산후 낮은 배팅 비율로 포지션에 진입합니다. 만약에 3개의 시그널이 동시에 활성화 된다면 보다 높은 비율로 포지션에 진입합니다.
신뢰도 순서:
]🐻🐮 > ❄️☀️ > 🔻🔺(초록 삼각이모지가 없기때문에 이것으로 대체)
이 지표는 여러 잠재적인 시장 반전 및 추세 지속성을 감지하는 강력한 방법을 제공합니다.
참고: 현실적인 기대를 가지고 기술 분석 도구의 한계를 이해하십시오. 이 지표는 시장 움직임을 보장하는 예측이 아니라 거래 결정을 돕기 위한 도구입니다.
경고! 절대 이 지표만을 가지고 매매하지 마십쇼.
추가적으로 제작자는 지표 세팅에 허접이라 꼬우면 당신이 세팅하십쇼! 감사합니다!
Stock Rating [TrendX_]# OVERVIEW
This Stock Rating indicator provides a thorough evaluation of a company (NON-FINANCIAL ONLY) ranging from 0 to 5. The rating is the average of six core financial metrics: efficiency, profitability, liquidity, solvency, valuation, and technical ratings. Each metric encompasses several financial measurements to ensure a robust and holistic evaluation of the stock.
## EFFICIENCY METRICS
1. Asset-to-Liability Ratio : Measures a company's ability to cover its liabilities with its assets.
2. Equity-to-Liability Ratio : Indicates the proportion of equity used to finance the company relative to liabilities.
3. Net Margin : Shows the percentage of revenue that translates into profit.
4. Operating Expense : Reflects the costs required for normal business operations.
5. Operating Expense Ratio : Compares operating expenses to total revenue.
6. Operating Profit Ratio : Measures operating profit as a percentage of revenue.
7. PE to Industry Relative PE/PB : Compares the company's PE ratio to the industry average.
## PROFITABILITY METRICS
1. ROA : Indicates how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate profit.
2. ROE : Measures profitability relative to shareholders' equity.
3. EBITDA : Reflects a company's operational profitability.
4. Free Cash Flow Margin : Shows the percentage of revenue that remains as free cash flow.
5. Revenue Growth : Measures the percentage increase in revenue over a period.
6. Gross Margin : Reflects the percentage of revenue exceeding the cost of goods sold.
7. Net Margin : Percentage of revenue that is net profit.
8. Operating Margin : Measures the percentage of revenue that is operating profit.
## LIQUIDITY METRICS
1. Current Ratio : Indicates the ability to cover short-term obligations with short-term assets.
2. Interest Coverage Ratio : Measures the ability to pay interest on outstanding debt.
3. Debt-to-EBITDA : Compares total debt to EBITDA.
4. Debt-to-Equity Ratio : Indicates the relative proportion of debt and equity financing.
## SOLVENCY METRICS
1. Altman Z-score : Predicts bankruptcy risk
2. Beneish M-score : Detects earnings manipulation.
3. Fulmer H-factor : Predicts business failure risk.
## VALUATION METRICS
1. Industry Relative PE/PB Comparison : Compares the company's PE and PB ratios to industry averages.
2. Momentum of PE, PB, and EV/EBITDA Multiples : Tracks the trends of PE, PB, and EV/EBITDA ratios over time.
## TECHNICAL METRICS
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) : Measures the speed and change of price movements.
2. Supertrend : Trend-following indicator that identifies market trends.
3. Moving Average Golden-Cross : Occurs when a short-term MA crosses above mid-term and long-term MA which are determined by half-PI increment in smoothing period.
4. On-Balance Volume Golden-Cross : Measures cumulative buying and selling pressure.
Total Cross CalculatorThe Indicator calculates the total number of the death and golden crosses in the total chart which can help the moving average user to compare the number of signals generated by the moving average pair in the given timeframe.
If Indicator is not plotting anything then right click on the indicator's scale and click on "Auto(data fits the screen)" option.
Please visit it's previous version if you want to use the indicator on the moving averages created by yourself. Link is here
