Open Interest:CME e-o-d vs CFTC e-o-wCFTC only publishes total OI on fridays, related to last Tuesday.
But what happened since last Tuesday?
CME Vol & Open Interest data is recorded&exported daily by quandl.com to tradingview
via the che CHRIS/CME datasets
www.quandl.com
Eg. Nat Gas next outstanding cntract n. 20, field n. 7(OI)
@quandl.com:
www.quandl.com
is exported @tradingview:
www.tradingview.com
Every outstanding contract's OI & vol is exported (black column), but not the total (yellow line):
tiny.cc
This script sums up all the existing outstanding contract's OI for the future (the black column), so one can have an idea of the total OI for the day (Yellow line).
As numer of outstanding contracts varies from future to future,Eg:
E-mini (ES) has 4 contracts, Gold(GC) 16 cntrcts, NatGas(NG) has 43, WTI(CL) has 38 etc
the scrips tries to guess how many exist for it and sums them up, to have the total OI for tha day
Number ofoutstanding contracts exported by quandl.com to tradingview is taken from
s3.amazonaws.com
There are 2 params you can enter on the script:
* override the ticket symbol on the chart ,if script cannot guessit or you need a different one
* enter the "preliminary" OI that is published by CME early the next day, butb not yet exported by quandl to tradingview
This script is Open so anyone can copy and modifyit for its use.
Please post comments and ideas if you find it useful
I try to keep a log of my work here:
In den Scripts nach "Futures" suchen
Colored Volume Bars All Markets: Combining Volume SourcesUsing volume in Forex is potentially misleading as we are only provided the broker volume or futures exchange volume for the currency or commodity in a decentralised market. This code combines the volumes from FXCM, Onanda and futures for the instrument being studied. The combination of the volumes could improve the reliability of the volume being considered. Using this approach other volume indicators can also be improved.
Bitmex Bitcoin BasisInspired by the Ugly Old Goat's articles about the Bitcoin basis - medium.com
with the help of @Plumptoiletduck this indicator was created to show the Bitmex futures premium or discount.
Note you need to add in the new futures ticker every 3 months.
ACM22 not repaintedДелал данный скрипт для FORTS.Идеально подойдет тем,кто использует трейлинг стопы.В основе стратегии лежит RSI.Как по мне,хорошая вещь для проверки стратегии и ее оптимизиации.На скрине 50 контрактов,так что не сильно радуйтесь,а просто делите на 50 и получите показатели на 1 контракт.
Script make for futures on MICEX.U can change paramets of RSI,traling stop and stop loss .On a ps 50 futures USDollar-russian ruble.Use for testing and optimisation.
Vertical Horizontal Filter BacktestVertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Vertical Horizontal Filter Strategy Vertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
WARNING:
- This script to change bars colors.
Vertical Horizontal Filter Vertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
BKSqueezeThis is a price volatility compression and expansion indicator that uses the ratio of the Bollinger Band and Keltner Ratio.
Red segments indicate extreme price volatility compression that can be ideal entry points for stock/futures/forex and/or options positions.
Aqua segments indicate price volatility is expanding.
Blue segments indicate price volatility is compressing - can be used as an exit point or partial scale out point.
Note that the indicator doesn't indicate direction. One suggestion is to use the DMI indicator for this purpose - really depends on how early you enter the trade.
Suggest using a time period of 15 bars for volatile stocks, such as TSLA for example, otherwise a period of 20 bars suits most stocks/futures/forex symbols.
T7 JNSARJNSAR stands for Just Nifty -0.14% Stop & Reverse. This is a Trend Following Daily Bar Trading System for NIFTY -0.14% . Original idea belongs to ILLANGO @ I coded the pine version of this system based on a request from @stocksonfire. Use it at your own risk after validation at your end. Neither me or my company is responsible for any losses you may incur using this system. Hope you like this system and enjoy trading it !!!
Updated V3 code for the T7 JNSAR system earlier published here V2 and here V1
Following updates made to the code
1. Added a 22 Period Simple moving average filter over and above the standard JNSAR value for generating trading signals. This simple filter reduces the whipsaw trades drastically along with similar improvements in the max draw down and overall profitability of the system. The SMA filter is turned ON by default but can be turned OFF by user through the settings window.
2. Backtest option is now turned ON by default.
Also am republishing the trading rules here again with some modification
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty -0.14% Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY -0.14% Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2017 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Trade with only that amount of money you can afford to loose. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY -0.14% should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Place an After Market Order @ Market Price with your broker after market close so that you get to execute the trade next trading day @ Market open to capture near similar price as the daily open price seen on the chart. This execution mode will give you the best chance to minimize the slippage and mimic the backtester results as closely as practically possible.
7. Follow all the 6 rules above religiously, as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Happy Trading !!! As always am looking out for your valuable feedback.
T7 JNSARUpdated code for the T7 JNSAR system earlier published here -
Following updates made to the code
1. Buy / Sell arrows now appear when the corresponding conditions are met.
2. Support for Heikin-Ashi Candles added
3. Different Backtesting Position Sizing Algorithms added for evaluation
Also am republishing the trading rules here again with some modification
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2016 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Trade with only that amount of money you can afford to loose. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Place an After Market Order @ Market Price with your broker after market close so that you get to execute the trade next trading day @ Market open to capture near similar price as the daily open price seen on the chart. This execution mode will give you the best chance to minimise the slippage and mimic the backtester results as closely as practically possible.
7. Follow all the 6 rules above religiously, as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Happy Trading !!! As always am looking out for your valuable feedback.
T7 JNSARJNSAR stands for Just Nifty Stop & Reverse. This is a trend following daily bar trading system for NIFTY. Original idea belongs to ILLANGO @ I coded the pine version of this system based on a request from @stocksonfire. Use it at your own risk after validation at your end. Neither me or my company is responsible for any losses you may incur using this system. Hope you like this system and enjoy trading it !!!
While trading this system you must follow these simple rules.
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2016 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Follow all the 5 rules above religiously as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Accumulation Swing Index The Accumulation Swing Index is a cumulative total of the Swing Index.
The Accumulation Swing Index was developed by Welles Wilder.
The SwingIndex function was developed to help cut through the maze of
Open, High, Low and Close prices to indicate the real strength and direction
of the market. The Swing Index function looks at the Open, High, Low and
Close values for a two-bar period. The theory is that there are four cross-bar
and one intra-bar comparisons that are strong indicators of an up or down day.
The Swing Index returns a number between -100 and 100. If the factors point toward
an up day, then the function value will be positive and vice versa. In this way,
the Swing Index gives us definite short-term swing points, and it can be used to
supplement other methods as a breakout indicator. A breakout is indicated when the
value of the Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) exceeds the ASI value on the day when a
previous significant High Swing Point was made. A downside breakout is indicated when
the value of the ASI drops below the ASI value on a day when a previous significant
low swing point was made.
Since only futures have a relative daily limit value, this function only makes sense
when applied to a futures contract. If you use this function and it only plots a zero
flat line, check the Daily Limit value.
Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) The Accumulation Swing Index is a cumulative total of the Swing Index.
The Accumulation Swing Index was developed by Welles Wilder.
The SwingIndex function was developed to help cut through the maze of
Open, High, Low and Close prices to indicate the real strength and direction
of the market. The Swing Index function looks at the Open, High, Low and
Close values for a two-bar period. The theory is that there are four cross-bar
and one intra-bar comparisons that are strong indicators of an up or down day.
The Swing Index returns a number between -100 and 100. If the factors point toward
an up day, then the function value will be positive and vice versa. In this way,
the Swing Index gives us definite short-term swing points, and it can be used to
supplement other methods as a breakout indicator. A breakout is indicated when the
value of the Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) exceeds the ASI value on the day when a
previous significant High Swing Point was made. A downside breakout is indicated when
the value of the ASI drops below the ASI value on a day when a previous significant
low swing point was made.
Since only futures have a relative daily limit value, this function only makes sense
when applied to a futures contract. If you use this function and it only plots a zero
flat line, check the Daily Limit value.
Volume Aggregated (Lite)Volume Aggregated (Lite) is a lightweight yet powerful tool designed to provide traders with a consolidated view of trading volume across major perpetual futures markets. Instead of relying solely on the volume of a single exchange, this indicator aggregates and normalizes data from multiple venues, giving a broader and more representative measure of market activity.
Supported Exchanges:
Binance (USDT.P & USDC.P)
Bybit (USDT.P & USD.P)
OKX (USDT.P & USD.P)
Bitget (USDT.P & USD.P)
Coinbase (USDC.P)
Users can toggle each exchange individually, allowing flexible customization depending on which markets they consider most relevant.
Denomination Options:
COINS: Volume expressed in the base currency (e.g., BTC, ETH).
USD: Volume normalized to USD values by multiplying with price.
Why it’s useful:
Volume is a critical component of technical analysis, reflecting market participation and conviction behind price moves. However, relying on a single exchange can create blind spots, especially in crypto where liquidity is fragmented. By combining data from multiple large exchanges, this indicator offers:
A more comprehensive measure of market interest.
A normalized comparison between exchanges with different quote currencies (e.g., USDT, USD, USDC).
A volume stream that can be used as a custom source for other indicators, strategies, or overlays within TradingView.
Practical Applications:
Trend Confirmation: Check if aggregated volume supports price direction.
Breakout Validation: Identify whether breakouts are backed by broad participation across venues.
Divergence Detection: Spot situations where price moves without sufficient cross-exchange volume.
Custom Indicator Input: Since it outputs a clean series, it can be plugged into moving averages, oscillators, or custom-built scripts.
Technical Details:
The script uses request.security() to pull volume data across exchanges and normalizes values when required (e.g., USD-quoted pairs divided by the instrument’s price). It then aggregates all valid inputs into a single stream. The result is displayed as color-coded columns (green for bullish candles, red for bearish), making it easy to interpret at a glance.
This “Lite” version keeps the focus on core functionality: aggregation, normalization, and straightforward visualization—avoiding unnecessary complexity while remaining highly adaptable for custom analysis.
Foresight Cone (HoltxF1xVWAP) [KedArc Quant]Description:
This is a time-series forecasting indicator that estimates the next bar (F1) and projects a path a few bars ahead. It also draws a confidence cone based on how accurate the recent forecasts have been. You can optionally color the projection only when price agrees with VWAP.
Why it’s different
* One clear model: Everything comes from Holt’s trend-aware forecasting method—no mix of unrelated indicators.
* Transparent visuals: You see the next-bar estimate (F1), the forward projection, and a cone that widens or narrows based on recent forecast error.
* Context, not signals: The VWAP option only changes colors. It doesn’t add trade rules.
* No look-ahead: Accuracy is measured using the forecast made on the previous bar versus the current bar.
Inputs (what they mean)
* Source: Price series to forecast (default: Close).
* Preset: Quick profiles for fast, smooth, or momentum markets (see below).
* Alpha (Level): How fast the model reacts to new prices. Higher = faster, twitchier.
* Beta (Trend): How fast the model updates the slope. Higher = faster pivots, more flips in chop.
* Horizon: How many bars ahead to project. Bigger = wider cone.
* Residual Window: How many bars to judge recent accuracy. Bigger = steadier cone.
* Confidence Z: How wide the cone should be (typical setting ≈ “95% style” width).
* Show Bands / Draw Forward Path: Turn the cone and forward lines on/off.
* Color only when aligned with VWAP: Highlights projections only when price agrees with the trend side of VWAP.
* Colors / Show Panel: Styling plus a small panel with RMSE, MAPE, and trend slope.
Presets (when to pick which)
* Scalp / Fast (1-min): Very responsive; best for quick moves. More twitch in chop.
* Smooth Intraday (1–5 min): Calmer and steadier; a good default most days.
* Momentum / Breakout: Quicker slope tracking during strong pushes; may over-react in ranges.
* Custom: Set your own values if you know exactly what you want.
What is F1 here?
F1 is the model’s next-bar fair value. Crosses of price versus F1 can hint at short-term momentum shifts or mean-reversion, especially when viewed with VWAP or the cone.
How this helps
* Gives a baseline path of where price may drift and a cone that shows normal wiggle room.
* Helps you tell routine noise (inside cone) from information (edges or breaks outside the cone).
* Keeps you aware of short-term bias via the trend slope and F1.
How to use (step by step)
1. Add to chart → choose a Preset (start with Smooth Intraday).
2. Set Horizon around 8–15 bars for intraday.
3. (Optional) Turn on VWAP alignment to color only when price agrees with the trend side of VWAP.
4. Watch where price sits relative to the cone and F1:
* Inside = normal noise.
* At edges = stretched.
* Outside = possible regime change.
5. Check the panel: if RMSE/MAPE spike, expect a wider cone; consider a smoother preset or a higher timeframe.
6. Tweak Alpha/Beta only if needed: faster for momentum, slower for chop.
7. Combine with your own plan for entries, exits, and risk.
Accuracy Panel — what it tells you
Preset & Horizon: Shows which preset you’re using and how many bars ahead the projection goes. Longer horizons mean more uncertainty.
RMSE (error in price units): A “typical miss” measured in the chart’s currency (e.g., ₹).
Lower = tighter fit and a usually narrower cone. Rising = conditions getting noisier; the cone will widen.
MAPE (error in %): The same idea as RMSE but in percent.
Good for comparing different symbols or timeframes. Sudden spikes often hint at a regime change.
Slope T: The model’s short-term trend reading.
Positive = gentle up-bias; negative = gentle down-bias; near zero = mostly flat/drifty.
How to read it at a glance
Calm & directional: RMSE/MAPE steady or falling + Slope T positive (or negative) → trends tend to respect the cone’s mid/upper (or mid/lower) area.
Choppy/uncertain: RMSE/MAPE climbing or jumping → expect more whipsaw; rely more on the cone edges and higher-TF context.
Flat tape: Slope T near zero → mean-revert behavior is common; treat cone edges as stretch zones rather than breakout zones.
Warm-up & tweaks
Warm-up: Right after adding the indicator, the panel may be blank for a short time while it gathers enough bars.
Too twitchy? Switch to Smooth Intraday or increase the Residual Window.
Too slow? Use Scalp/Fast or Momentum/Breakout to react quicker.
Timeframe tips
* 1–3 min: Scalp/Fast or Momentum/Breakout; horizon \~8–12.
* 5–15 min: Smooth Intraday; horizon \~12–15.
* 30–60 min+: Consider a larger residual window for a steadier cone.
FAQ
Q: Is this a strategy or an indicator?
A: It’s an indicator only. It does not place orders, TP/SL, or run backtests.
Q: Does it repaint?
A: The next-bar estimate (F1) and the cone are calculated using only information available at that time. The forward path is a projection drawn on the last bar and will naturally update as new bars arrive. Historical bars aren’t revised with future data.
Q: What is F1?
A: F1 is the indicator’s best guess for the next bar.
Price crossing above/below F1 can hint at short-term momentum shifts or mean-reversion.
Q: What do “Alpha” and “Beta” do?
A: Alpha controls how fast the indicator reacts to new prices
(higher = faster, twitchier). Beta controls how fast the slope updates (higher = quicker pivots, more flips in chop).
Q: Why does the cone width change?
A: It reflects recent forecast accuracy. When the market gets noisy, the cone widens. When the tape is calm, it narrows.
Q: What does the Accuracy Panel tell me?
A:
* Preset & Horizon you’re using.
* RMSE: typical forecast miss in price units.
* MAPE: typical forecast miss in percent.
* Slope T: short-term trend reading (up, down, or flat).
If RMSE/MAPE rise, expect a wider cone and more whipsaw.
Q: The panel shows “…” or looks empty. Why?
A: It needs a short warm-up to gather enough bars. This is normal after you add the indicator or change settings/timeframes.
Q: Which timeframe is best?
A:
* 1–3 min: Scalp/Fast or Momentum/Breakout, horizon \~8–12.
* 5–15 min: Smooth Intraday, horizon \~12–15.
Higher timeframes work too; consider a larger residual window for steadier cones.
Q: Which preset should I start with?
A: Start with Smooth Intraday. If the market is trending hard, try Momentum/Breakout.
For very quick tapes, use Scalp/Fast. Switch back if things get choppy.
Q: What does the VWAP option do?
A: It only changes colors (highlights when price agrees with the trend side of VWAP).
It does not add or remove signals.
Q: Are there alerts?
A: Yes—alerts for price crossing F1 (up/down). Use “Once per bar close” to reduce noise on fast charts.
Q: Can I use this on stocks, futures, crypto, or FX?
A: Yes. It works on any symbol/timeframe. You may want to adjust Horizon and the Residual Window based on volatility.
Q: Can I use it with Heikin Ashi or other non-standard bars?
A: You can, but remember you’re forecasting the synthetic series of those bars. For pure price behavior, use regular candles.
Q: The cone feels too wide/too narrow. What do I change?
A:
* Too wide: lower Alpha/Beta a bit or increase the Residual Window.
* Too narrow (misses moves): raise Alpha/Beta slightly or try Momentum/Breakout.
Q: Why do results change when I switch timeframe or symbol?
A: Different noise levels and trends. The accuracy stats reset per chart, so the cone adapts to each context.
Q: Any limits or gotchas?
A: Extremely large Horizon may hit TradingView’s line-object limits; reduce Horizon or turn
off extra visuals if needed. Big gaps or news spikes will widen errors—expect the cone to react.
Q: Can this predict exact future prices?
A: No. It provides a baseline path and context. Always combine with your own rules and risk management.
Glossary
* TS (Time Series): Data over time (prices).
* Holt’s Method: A forecasting approach that tracks a current level and a trend to predict the next bars.
* F1: The indicator’s best guess for the next bar.
* F(h): The projected value h bars ahead.
* VWAP: Volume-Weighted Average Price—used here for optional color alignment.
* RMSE: Typical forecast miss in price units (how far off, on average).
* MAPE: Typical forecast miss in percent (scale-free, easy to compare).
Notes & limitations
* The panel needs a short warm-up; stats may be blank at first.
* The cone reflects recent conditions; sudden volatility changes will widen it.
* This is a tool for context. It does not place trades and does not promise results.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and use proper risk management when applying this strategy.
COT Non-Commercial Net PositionsThis indicator displays the net position of Non-Commercial traders (speculators) in futures markets by subtracting short positions from long positions, based on CFTC COT data. It fetches the relevant COT long and short values weekly (or as per the user-selected timeframe) and plots the net positions relative to zero.
Initial Balance Breakout Signals [LuxAlgo]The Initial Balance Breakout Signals help traders identify breakouts of the Initial Balance (IB) range.
The indicator includes automatic detection of IB or can use custom sessions, highlights top and bottom IB extensions, custom Fibonacci levels, and goes further with an IB forecast with two different modes.
🔶 USAGE
The initial balance is the price range made within the first hour of the trading session. It is an intraday concept based on the idea that high volume and volatility enter the market through institutional trading at the start of the session, setting the tone for the rest of the day.
The initial balance is useful for gauging market sentiment, or, in other words, the relationship between buyers and sellers.
Bullish sentiment: Price trades above the IB range.
Mixed sentiment: Price trades within the IB range.
Bearish sentiment: Price trades below the IB range.
The initial balance high and low are important levels that many traders use to gauge sentiment. There are two main ideas behind trading around the IB range.
IB Extreme Breakout: When the price breaks and holds the IB high or low, there is a high probability that the price will continue in that direction.
IB Extreme Rejection: When the price tries to break those levels but fails, there is a high probability that it will reach the opposite IB extreme.
This indicator is a complete Initial Balance toolset with custom sessions, breakout signals, IB extensions, Fibonacci retracements, and an IB forecast. All of these features will be explained in the following sections.
🔹 Custom Sessions and Signals
By default, sessions for Initial Balance and breakout signals are in Auto mode. This means that Initial Balance takes the first hour of the trading session and shows breakout signals for the rest of the session.
With this option, traders can use the tool for open range trading, making it highly versatile. The concept behind open range (OR) is the same as that of initial balance (IB), but in OR, the range is determined by the first minute, three or five minutes, or up to the first 30 minutes of the trading session.
As shown in the image above, the top chart uses the Auto feature for the IB and Breakouts sessions. The bottom chart has the Auto feature disabled to use custom sessions for both parameters. In this case, the first three minutes of the trading session are used, turning the tool into an Open Range trading indicator.
This chart shows another example of using custom sessions to display overnight NASDAQ futures sessions.
The left chart shows a custom session from the Tokyo open to the London open, and the right chart shows a custom session from the London open to the New York open.
The chart shows both the Asian and European sessions, their top and bottom extremes, and the breakout signals from those extremes.
🔹 Initial Balance Extensions
Traders can easily extend both extremes of the Initial Balance to display their preferred targets for breakouts. Enable or disable any of them and set the IB percentage to use for the extension.
As the chart shows, the percentage selected on the settings panel directly affects the displayed levels.
Setting 25 means the tool will use a quarter of the detected initial balance range for extensions beyond the IB extremes. Setting 100 means the full IB range will be used.
Traders can use these extensions as targets for breakout signals.
🔹 Fibonacci Levels
Traders can display default or custom Fibonacci levels on the IB range to trade retracements and assess the strength of market movements. Each level can be enabled or disabled and customized by level, color, and line style.
As we can see on the chart, after the IB was completed, prices were unable to fall below the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This indicates significant bullish pressure, so it is expected that prices will rise.
Traders can use these levels as guidelines to assess the strength of the side trying to penetrate the IB. In this case, the sellers were unable to move the market beyond the first level.
🔹 Initial Balance Forecast
The tool features two different forecasting methods for the current IB. By default, it takes the average of the last ten values and applies a multiplier of one.
IB Against Previous Open: averages the difference between IB extremes and the open of the previous session.
Filter by current day of the week: averages the difference between IB extremes and the open of the current session for the same day of the week.
This feature allows traders to see the difference between the current IB and the average of the last IBs. It makes it very easy to interpret: if the current IB is higher than the average, buyers are in control; if it is lower than the average, sellers are in control.
For example, on the left side of the chart, we can see that the last day was very bullish because the IB was completely above the forecasted value. This is the IB mean of the last ten trading days.
On the right, we can see that on Monday, September 15, the IB traded slightly higher but within the forecasted value of the IB mean of the last ten Mondays. In this case, it is within expectations.
🔶 SETTINGS
Display Last X IBs: Select how many IBs to display.
Initial Balance: Choose a custom session or enable the Auto feature.
Breakouts: Enable or disable breakouts. Choose custom session or enable the Auto feature.
🔹 Extensions
Top Extension: Enable or disable the top extension and choose the percentage of IB to use.
Bottom extension: Enable or disable the bottom extension and choose the percentage of IB to use.
🔹 Fibonacci Levels
Display Fibonacci: Enable or disable Fibonacci levels.
Reverse: Reverse Fibonacci levels.
Levels, Colors & Style
Display Labels: Enable or disable labels and choose text size.
🔹 Forecast
Display Forecast: Select the forecast method.
- IB Against Previous Open: Calculates the average difference between the IB high and low and the previous day's IB open price.
- Filter by Current Day of Week: Calculates the average difference between the IB high and low and the IB open price for the same day of the week.
Forecast Memory: The number of data points used to calculate the average.
Forecast Multiplier: This multiplier will be applied to the average. Bigger numbers will result in wider predicted ranges.
Forecast Colors: Choose from a variety of colors.
Forecast Style: Choose a line style.
🔹 Style
Initial Balance Colors
Extension Transparency: Choose the extension's transparency. 0 is solid, and 100 is fully transparent.
RSI ScannerRSI Scanner
This script scans a custom list of symbols and displays their RSI values for a selected higher timeframe (default: 3M). It provides a quick way to monitor multiple markets in one place without switching charts.
Features:
Customizable timeframe for RSI calculation (default: 3M).
Adjustable RSI length and source input.
Flexible filter: display all symbols or only those with RSI above a chosen threshold.
Input your own list of symbols (stocks, forex, futures, crypto) via a text field.
Results displayed in a clean, table directly on the chart.
Automatic column split when the symbol list is long.
Table header shows selected timeframe and filter settings for clarity.
How to use:
Add the script to your chart.
Open the Inputs panel.
In Symbols List, enter the tickers you want to track, separated by commas (e.g. AAPL, TSLA, EURUSD, BTCUSD).
Set the desired Timeframe (e.g. 3M, 1M, W).
Adjust RSI Length and Source if needed.
Enable or disable filtering:
If filtering is enabled, only symbols with RSI ≥ the threshold will be shown.
If disabled, all entered symbols will be displayed.
The table in the top-right corner will update automatically on the last bar.
Use cases:
Monitor RSI across different asset classes on higher timeframes.
Quickly spot overbought symbols (e.g. RSI > 70) without switching charts.
Create a custom multi-market watchlist tailored to your strategy.
S&P500 Net Issues - Block 1Description:
This indicator calculates and plots net advancers minus decliners for 13 predefined blocks of S&P 500 stocks. Each block represents a sector or a selected subset of stocks.
Features:
Shows net issues (advancers – decliners) for each block separately.
13 blocks plotted with distinct colors for easy identification.
Fully compatible with 1-minute, intraday, or higher timeframe charts.
Ideal for identifying sector momentum and market breadth trends.
Can be used standalone or combined with other indicators such as market indices (e.g., S&P 500 futures or TICK).
Usage:
Green/red/blue/orange lines represent different blocks; positive values indicate more advancing stocks than declining, negative values indicate more declining stocks.
Best viewed on intraday charts for short-term market breadth analysis.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. Not a buy/sell signal. Use proper risk management and verify data before trading.
SuperSmoother MA OscillatorSuperSmoother MA Oscillator - Ehlers-Inspired Lag-Minimized Signal Framework
Overview
The SuperSmoother MA Oscillator is a crossover and momentum detection framework built on the pioneering work of John F. Ehlers, who introduced digital signal processing (DSP) concepts into technical analysis. Traditional moving averages such as SMA and EMA are prone to two persistent flaws: excessive lag, which delays recognition of trend shifts, and high-frequency noise, which produces unreliable whipsaw signals. Ehlers’ SuperSmoother filter was designed to specifically address these flaws by creating a low-pass filter with minimal lag and superior noise suppression, inspired by engineering methods used in communications and radar systems.
This oscillator extends Ehlers’ foundation by combining the SuperSmoother filter with multi-length moving average oscillation, ATR-based normalization, and dynamic color coding. The result is a tool that helps traders identify market momentum, detect reliable crossovers earlier than conventional methods, and contextualize volatility and phase shifts without being distracted by transient price noise.
Unlike conventional oscillators, which either oversimplify price structure or overload the chart with reactive signals, the SuperSmoother MA Oscillator is designed to balance responsiveness and stability. By preprocessing price data with the SuperSmoother filter, traders gain a signal framework that is clean, robust, and adaptable across assets and timeframes.
Theoretical Foundation
Traditional MA oscillators such as MACD or dual-EMA systems react to raw or lightly smoothed price inputs. While effective in some conditions, these signals are often distorted by high-frequency oscillations inherent in market data, leading to false crossovers and poor timing. The SuperSmoother approach modifies this dynamic: by attenuating unwanted frequencies, it preserves structural price movements while eliminating meaningless noise.
This is particularly useful for traders who need to distinguish between genuine market cycles and random short-term price flickers. In practical terms, the oscillator helps identify:
Early trend continuations (when fast averages break cleanly above/below slower averages).
Preemptive breakout setups (when compressed oscillator ranges expand).
Exhaustion phases (when oscillator swings flatten despite continued price movement).
Its multi-purpose design allows traders to apply it flexibly across scalping, day trading, swing setups, and longer-term trend positioning, without needing separate tools for each.
The oscillator’s visual system - fast/slow lines, dynamic coloration, and zero-line crossovers - is structured to provide trend clarity without hiding nuance. Strong green/red momentum confirms directional conviction, while neutral gray phases emphasize uncertainty or low conviction. This ensures traders can quickly gauge the market state without losing access to subtle structural signals.
How It Works
The SuperSmoother MA Oscillator builds signals through a layered process:
SuperSmoother Filtering (Ehlers’ Method)
At its core lies Ehlers’ two-pole recursive filter, mathematically engineered to suppress high-frequency components while introducing minimal lag. Compared to traditional EMA smoothing, the SuperSmoother achieves better spectral separation - it allows meaningful cyclical market structures to pass through, while eliminating erratic spikes and aliasing. This makes it a superior preprocessing stage for oscillator inputs.
Fast and Slow Line Construction
Within the oscillator framework, the filtered price series is used to build two internal moving averages: a fast line (short-term momentum) and a slow line (longer-term directional bias). These are not plotted directly on the chart - instead, their relationship is transformed into the oscillator values you see.
The interaction between these two internal averages - crossovers, separation, and compression - forms the backbone of trend detection:
Uptrend Signal : Fast MA rises above the slow MA with expanding distance, generating a positive oscillator swing.
Downtrend Signal : Fast MA falls below the slow MA with widening divergence, producing a negative oscillator swing.
Neutral/Transition : Lines compress, flattening the oscillator near zero and often preceding volatility expansion.
This design ensures traders receive the information content of dual-MA crossovers while keeping the chart visually clean and focused on the oscillator’s dynamics.
ATR-Based Normalization
Markets vary in volatility. To ensure the oscillator behaves consistently across assets, ATR (Average True Range) normalization scales outputs relative to prevailing volatility conditions. This prevents the oscillator from appearing overly sensitive in calm markets or too flat during high-volatility regimes.
Dynamic Color Coding
Color transitions reflect underlying market states:
Strong Green : Bullish alignment, momentum expanding.
Strong Red : Bearish alignment, momentum expanding.
These visual cues allow traders to quickly gauge trend direction and strength at a glance, with expanding colors indicating increasing conviction in the underlying momentum.
Interpretation
The oscillator offers a multi-dimensional view of price dynamics:
Trend Analysis : Fast/slow line alignment and zero-line interactions reveal trend direction and strength. Expansions indicate momentum building; contractions flag weakening conditions or potential reversals.
Momentum & Volatility : Rapid divergence between lines reflects increasing momentum. Compression highlights periods of reduced volatility and possible upcoming expansion.
Cycle Awareness : Because of Ehlers’ DSP foundation, the oscillator captures market cycles more cleanly than conventional MA systems, allowing traders to anticipate turning points before raw price action confirms them.
Divergence Detection : When oscillator momentum fades while price continues in the same direction, it signals exhaustion - a cue to tighten stops or anticipate reversals.
By focusing on filtered, volatility-adjusted signals, traders avoid overreacting to noise while gaining early access to structural changes in momentum.
Strategy Integration
The SuperSmoother MA Oscillator adapts across multiple trading approaches:
Trend Following
Enter when fast/slow alignment is strong and expanding:
A fast line crossing above the slow line with expanding green signals confirms bullish continuation.
Use ATR-normalized expansion to filter entries in line with prevailing volatility.
Breakout Trading
Periods of compression often precede breakouts:
A breakout occurs when fast lines diverge decisively from slow lines with renewed green/red strength.
Exhaustion and Reversals
Oscillator divergence signals weakening trends:
Flattening momentum while price continues trending may indicate overextension.
Traders can exit or hedge positions in anticipation of corrective phases.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Apply the oscillator on higher timeframes to confirm the directional bias.
Use lower timeframes for refined entries during compression → expansion transitions.
Technical Implementation Details
SuperSmoother Algorithm (Ehlers) : Recursive two-pole filter minimizes lag while removing high-frequency noise.
Oscillator Framework : Fast/slow MAs derived from filtered prices.
ATR Normalization : Ensures consistent amplitude across market regimes.
Dynamic Color Engine : Aligns visual cues with structural states (expansion and contraction).
Multi-Factor Analysis : Combines crossover logic, volatility context, and cycle detection for robust outputs.
This layered approach ensures the oscillator is highly responsive without overloading charts with noise.
Optimal Application Parameters
Asset-Specific Guidance:
Forex : Normalize with moderate ATR scaling; focus on slow-line confirmation.
Equities : Balance responsiveness with smoothing; useful for capturing sector rotations.
Cryptocurrency : Higher ATR multipliers recommended due to volatility.
Futures/Indices : Lower frequency settings highlight structural trends.
Timeframe Optimization:
Scalping (1-5min) : Higher sensitivity, prioritize fast-line signals.
Intraday (15m-1h) : Balance between fast/slow expansions.
Swing (4h-Daily) : Focus on slow-line momentum with fast-line timing.
Position (Daily-Weekly) : Slow lines dominate; fast lines highlight cycle shifts.
Performance Characteristics
High Effectiveness:
Trending environments with moderate-to-high volatility.
Assets with steady liquidity and clear cyclical structures.
Reduced Effectiveness:
Flat/choppy conditions with little directional bias.
Ultra-short timeframes (<1m), where noise dominates.
Integration Guidelines
Confluence : Combine with liquidity zones, order blocks, and volume-based indicators for confirmation.
Risk Management : Place stops beyond slow-line thresholds or ATR-defined zones.
Dynamic Trade Management : Use expansions/contractions to scale position sizes or tighten stops.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation : Filter lower-timeframe entries with higher-timeframe momentum states.
Disclaimer
The SuperSmoother MA Oscillator is an advanced trend and momentum analysis tool, not a guaranteed profit system. Its effectiveness depends on proper parameter settings per asset and disciplined risk management. Traders should use it as part of a broader technical framework and not in isolation.
EvoTrend-X Indicator — Evolutionary Trend Learner ExperimentalEvoTrend-X Indicator — Evolutionary Trend Learner
NOTE: This is an experimental Pine Script v6 port of a Python prototype. Pine wasn’t the original research language, so there may be small quirks—your feedback and bug reports are very welcome. The model is non-repainting, MTF-safe (lookahead_off + gaps_on), and features an adaptive (fitness-based) candidate selector, confidence gating, and a volatility filter.
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What it is
EvoTrend-X is adaptive trend indicator that learns which moving-average length best fits the current market. It maintains a small “population” of fast EMA candidates, rewards those that align with price momentum, and continuously selects the best performer. Signals are gated by a multi-factor Confidence score (fitness, strength vs. ATR, MTF agreement) and a volatility filter (ATR%). You get a clean Fast/Slow pair (for the currently best candidate), optional HTF filter, a fitness ribbon for transparency, and a themed info panel with a one-glance STATUS readout.
Core outputs
• Selected Fast/Slow EMAs (auto-chosen from candidates via fitness learning)
• Spread cross (Fast – Slow) → visual BUY/SELL markers + alert hooks
• Confidence % (0–100): Fitness ⊕ Distance vs. ATR ⊕ MTF agreement
• Gates: Trend regime (Kaufman ER), Volatility (ATR%), MTF filter (optional)
• Candidate Fitness Ribbon: shows which lengths the learner currently prefers
• Export plot: hidden series “EvoTrend-X Export (spread)” for downstream use
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Why it’s different
• Evolutionary learning (on-chart): Each candidate EMA length gets rewarded if its slope matches price change and penalized otherwise, with a gentle decay so the model forgets stale regimes. The best fitness wins the right to define the displayed Fast/Slow pair.
• Confidence gate: Signals don’t light up unless multiple conditions concur: learned fitness, spread strength vs. volatility, and (optionally) higher-timeframe trend.
• Volatility awareness: ATR% filter blocks low-energy environments that cause death-by-a-thousand-whipsaws. Your “why no signal?” answer is always visible in the STATUS.
• Preset discipline, Custom freedom: Presets set reasonable baselines for FX, equities, and crypto; Custom exposes all knobs and honors your inputs one-to-one.
• Non-repainting rigor: All MTF calls use lookahead_off + gaps_on. Decisions use confirmed bars. No forward refs. No conditional ta.* pitfalls.
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Presets (and what they do)
• FX 1H (Conservative): Medium candidates, slightly higher MinConf, modest ATR% floor. Good for macro sessions and cleaner swings.
• FX 15m (Active): Shorter candidates, looser MinConf, higher ATR% floor. Designed for intraday velocity and decisive sessions.
• Equities 1D: Longer candidates, gentler volatility floor. Suits index/large-cap trend waves.
• Crypto 1H: Mid-short candidates, higher ATR% floor for 24/7 chop, stronger MinConf to avoid noise.
• Custom: Your inputs are used directly (no override). Ideal for systematic tuning or bespoke assets.
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How the learning works (at a glance)
1. Candidates: A small set of fast EMA lengths (e.g., 8/12/16/20/26/34). Slow = Fast × multiplier (default ×2.0).
2. Reward/decay: If price change and the candidate’s Fast slope agree (both up or both down), its fitness increases; otherwise decreases. A decay constant slowly forgets the distant past.
3. Selection: The candidate with highest fitness defines the displayed Fast/Slow pair.
4. Signal engine: Crosses of the spread (Fast − Slow) across zero mark potential regime shifts. A Confidence score and gates decide whether to surface them.
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Controls & what they mean
Learning / Regime
• Slow length = Fast ×: scales the Slow EMA relative to each Fast candidate. Larger multiplier = smoother regime detection, fewer whipsaws.
• ER length / threshold: Kaufman Efficiency Ratio; above threshold = “Trending” background.
• Learning step, Decay: Larger step reacts faster to new behavior; decay sets how quickly the past is forgotten.
Confidence / Volatility gate
• Min Confidence (%): Minimum score to show signals (and fire alerts). Raising it filters noise; lowering it increases frequency.
• ATR length: The ATR window for both the ATR% filter and strength normalization. Shorter = faster, but choppier.
• Min ATR% (percent): ATR as a percentage of price. If ATR% < Min ATR% → status shows BLOCK: low vola.
MTF Trend Filter
• Use HTF filter / Timeframe / Fast & Slow: HTF Fast>Slow for longs, Fast threshold; exit when spread flips or Confidence decays below your comfort zone.
2) FX index/majors, 15m (active intraday)
• Preset: FX 15m (Active).
• Gate: MinConf 60–70; Min ATR% 0.15–0.30.
• Flow: Focus on session opens (LDN/NY). The ribbon should heat up on shorter candidates before valid crosses appear—good early warning.
3) SPY / Index futures, 1D (positioning)
• Preset: Equities 1D.
• Gate: MinConf 55–65; Min ATR% 0.05–0.12.
• Flow: Use spread crosses as regime flags; add timing from price structure. For adds, wait for ER to remain trending across several bars.
4) BTCUSD, 1H (24/7)
• Preset: Crypto 1H.
• Gate: MinConf 70–80; Min ATR% 0.20–0.35.
• Flow: Crypto chops—volatility filter is your friend. When ribbon and HTF OK agree, favor continuation entries; otherwise stand down.
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Reading the Info Panel (and fixing “no signals”)
The panel is your self-diagnostic:
• HTF OK? False means the higher-timeframe EMAs disagree with your intended side.
• Regime: If “Chop”, ER < threshold. Consider raising the threshold or waiting.
• Confidence: Heat-colored; if below MinConf, the gate blocks signals.
• ATR% vs. Min ATR%: If ATR% < Min ATR%, status shows BLOCK: low vola.
• STATUS (composite):
• BLOCK: low vola → increase Min ATR% down (i.e., allow lower vol) or wait for expansion.
• BLOCK: HTF filter → disable HTF or align with the HTF tide.
• BLOCK: confidence → lower MinConf slightly or wait for stronger alignment.
• OK → you’ll see markers on valid crosses.
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Alerts
Two static alert hooks:
• BUY cross — spread crosses up and all gates (ER, Vol, MTF, Confidence) are open.
• SELL cross — mirror of the above.
Create them once from “Add Alert” → choose the condition by name.
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Exporting to other scripts
In your other Pine indicators/strategies, add an input.source and select EvoTrend-X → “EvoTrend-X Export (spread)”. Common uses:
• Build a rule: only trade when exported spread > 0 (trend filter).
• Combine with your oscillator: oscillator oversold and spread > 0 → buy bias.
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Best practices
• Let it learn: Keep Learning step moderate (0.4–0.6) and Decay close to 1.0 (e.g., 0.99–0.997) for smooth regime memory.
• Respect volatility: Tune Min ATR% by asset and timeframe. FX 1H ≈ 0.10–0.20; crypto 1H ≈ 0.20–0.35; equities 1D ≈ 0.05–0.12.
• MTF discipline: HTF filter removes lots of “almost” trades. If you prefer aggressive entries, turn it off and rely more on Confidence.
• Confidence as throttle:
• 40–60%: exploratory; expect more signals.
• 60–75%: balanced; good daily driver.
• 75–90%: selective; catch the clean stuff.
• 90–100%: only A-setups; patient mode.
• Watch the ribbon: When shorter candidates heat up before a cross, momentum is forming. If long candidates dominate, you’re in a slower trend cycle.
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Non-repainting & safety notes
• All request.security() calls use lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off, gaps=barmerge.gaps_on.
• No forward references; decisions rely on confirmed bar data.
• EMA lengths are simple ints (no series-length errors).
• Confidence components are computed every bar (no conditional ta.* traps).
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Limitations & tips
• Chop happens: ER helps, but sideways microstructure can still flicker—use Confidence + Vol filter as brakes.
• Presets ≠ oracle: They’re sensible baselines; always tune MinConf and Min ATR% to your venue and session.
• Theme “Auto”: Pine cannot read chart theme; “Auto” defaults to a Dark-friendly palette.
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Publisher’s Screenshots Checklist
1) FX swing — EURUSD 1H
• Preset: FX 1H (Conservative)
• Params: MinConf=70, ATR Len=14, Min ATR%=0.12, MTF ON (TF=4H, 20/50)
• Show: Clear BUY cross, STATUS=OK, green regime background; Fitness Ribbon visible.
2) FX intraday — GBPUSD 15m
• Preset: FX 15m (Active)
• Params: MinConf=60, ATR Len=14, Min ATR%=0.20, MTF ON (TF=60m)
• Show: SELL cross near London session open. HTF lines enabled (translucent).
• Caption: “GBPUSD 15m • Active session sell with MTF alignment.”
3) Indices — SPY 1D
• Preset: Equities 1D
• Params: MinConf=60, ATR Len=14, Min ATR%=0.08, MTF ON (TF=1W, 20/50)
• Show: Longer trend run after BUY cross; regime shading shows persistence.
• Caption: “SPY 1D • Trend run after BUY cross; weekly filter aligned.”
4) Crypto — BINANCE:BTCUSDT 1H
• Preset: Crypto 1H
• Params: MinConf=75, ATR Len=14, Min ATR%=0.25, MTF ON (TF=4H)
• Show: BUY cross + quick follow-through; Ribbon warming (reds/yellows → greens).
• Caption: “BTCUSDT 1H • Momentum break with high confidence and ribbon turning.”
SMC BOS - Structure Breaks & Median Continuation ProjectionsThis tool shows what usually happens after a Break of Structure (BOS).
It scans past BOS events on your chart, finds the ones most similar to the latest break (using ATR to filter by volatility), and then plots the median continuation path.
Optional percentile bands (P10–P90) display the possible range of outcomes around the median.
Key features:
• Automatic detection of bullish and bearish BOS events
• Library of past BOS with adjustable size and spacing
• ATR-based similarity and recency weighting
• Median continuation projections with optional percentile bands
• Customizable colors, signals, and stats table
• Works on any market and timeframe
Use cases:
• See how price typically behaves after a BOS
• Support SMC analysis with data-driven projections
• Improve trade planning by visualizing likely continuations
• Apply across crypto, forex, stocks, and futures
Originality:
Instead of only marking BOS, this script learns from history and projects forward the median path of the most similar past cases, adjusted for volatility. It turns BOS signals into practical continuation scenarios.
Instructions:
Add the indicator to your chart. When a BOS is detected, the projection is drawn automatically.
Use the settings to adjust the library, ATR weighting, projection style, percentile bands, and the display of signals or stats.
For questions or customization, contact Julien Eche (Julien_Eche) on TradingView.
ARO Pro — Adaptive Regime OscillatorARO Pro — Adaptive Regime Oscillator (v6)
ARO Pro turns your chart into a context-aware decision system. It classifies every bar as Trending (up or down) or Ranging in real time, then switches its math to match the regime: trend strength is measured with an ATR-normalized EMA spread, while range behavior is tracked with a center-based RSI oscillator. The result is cleaner entries, fewer false signals, and faster reads on regime shifts—without repainting.
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How it works (under the hood)
1. Regime Detection (Kaufman ER):
ARO computes Kaufman’s Efficiency Ratio (ER) over a user-defined length.
- ER > threshold → Trending (direction from EMA fast vs. EMA slow)
- ER ≤ threshold → Ranging
2. Adaptive Oscillator Core:
- Trend mode: (EMA(fast) − EMA(slow)) / ATR * 100 → momentum normalized by volatility.
- Range mode: RSI(length) − 50 → mean-reversion pressure around zero.
3. Volatility Filter (optional):
Blocks signals if ATR as % of price is below a floor you set. This reduces noise in thin or quiet markets.
4. MTF Trend Filter (optional & non-repainting):
Confirms signals only if a higher timeframe EMA(fast) > EMA(slow) for longs (or < for shorts). Implemented with lookahead_off and gaps_on.
5. Confirmation & Alerts:
Signals are locked only on bar close (barstate.isconfirmed) and offered via three alert types: ARO Long, ARO Short, ARO Regime Shift.
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What you see on the chart
• Background heat:
• Green = Trending Up, Red = Trending Down, Gray = Range.
• ARO line (panel): Adaptive oscillator (trend/value colors).
• Signal markers: ▲ Long / ▼ Short on confirmed bars.
• Guide lines: Upper/Lower thresholds (±K) and zero line.
• Info Panel (table): Regime, ER, ATR %, ARO, HTF status (OK/BLOCK/OFF), and a Confidence light.
• Debug Overlay (optional): Quick view of thresholds and raw conditions for tuning.
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Inputs (quick reference)
• Signals: Fast/Slow EMA, RSI length, ER length & threshold, oscillator smoothing, signal threshold.
• Filters: ATR length, minimum ATR% (volatility floor), toggle for volatility filter.
• Visuals: Background on/off, Info Panel on/off, Debug overlay on/off.
• MTF (safe): Toggle + HTF timeframe (e.g., 240, D, W).
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Interpreting signals
• Long: Trend regime AND fast EMA > slow EMA AND ARO ≥ +threshold (confirmed bar, filters passing).
• Short: Trend regime AND fast EMA < slow EMA AND ARO ≤ −threshold (confirmed bar, filters passing).
• Regime Shift: Alert when ER moves the market from Range → Trend or flips trend direction.
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Practical use cases & examples
1) Intraday momentum alignment (scalps to day trades)
• Timeframes: 5–15m with HTF filter = 4H.
• Flow:
1. Wait for Trend Up background + HTF OK.
2. Enter on ▲ Long when ARO crosses above +threshold.
3. Stops: 1–1.5× ATR(14) below trigger bar or below last micro swing.
4. Exits: Partial at 1× ATR, trail remainder with an ATR stop or when ARO reverts to zero/Regime Shift.
• Why it works: You’re trading with the dominant higher-timeframe structure while avoiding low-volatility fakeouts.
2) Swing trend following (cleaner trend legs)
• Timeframes: 1H–4H with HTF filter = 1D.
• Flow:
1. Only act in Trend background aligned with HTF.
2. Add on subsequent ▲ signals as ARO maintains positive (or negative) territory.
3. Reduce or exit on Regime Shift (Trend → Range or direction flip) or when ARO crosses back through zero.
• Stops/targets: Initial 1.5–2× ATR; move to breakeven once the trade gains 1× ATR; trail with a multiple-ATR or structure lows/highs.
3) Range tactics (fade the extremes)
• Timeframes: 15m–1H or 1D on mean-reverting names.
• Flow:
1. Act only when background = Range.
2. Fade moves when ARO swings from ±extremes back toward zero near well-defined S/R.
3. Exit at the opposite band or zero line; abort if a Regime Shift to Trend occurs.
• Tip: Increase ER threshold (e.g., 0.35–0.40) to label more bars as Range on choppy instruments.
4) Event days & macro filters
• Approach: Raise the volatility floor (Min ATR%) on macro days (FOMC, CPI).
• Effect: You’ll ignore “fake” micro swings in the minutes leading up to releases and catch only post-event confirmed momentum.
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Parameter tuning guide
• ER Threshold:
• Lower (0.20–0.30) = more Trend bars, more signals, higher noise.
• Higher (0.35–0.45) = stricter trend confirmation, fewer but cleaner signals.
• Signal Threshold (±K):
• Raise to reduce whipsaws; lower for earlier but noisier triggers.
• Volatility Floor (ATR%):
• Thin/quiet assets benefit from a higher floor (e.g., 0.3–0.6).
• Highly liquid futures/forex can work with lower floors.
• HTF Filter:
• Keep it ON when you want higher win consistency; turn OFF for tactical counter-trend plays.
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Alerts (recommended setup)
• “ARO Long” / “ARO Short”: Entry-style alerts on confirmed signals.
• “ARO Regime Shift”: Context alert to scale in/out or switch playbooks (trend vs. range).
All alerts are non-repainting and fire only when the bar closes.
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Best practices & combinations
• Price action & S/R: Use ARO to define when to engage, and price structure to define where (breakout levels, pullback zones).
• VWAP/Session tools: In intraday trends, ▲ signals above VWAP tend to carry; avoid shorts below session VWAP in strong downtrends.
• Risk first: Size by ATR; never let a single ARO event override your max risk per trade.
• Portfolio filter: On indices/ETFs, enable HTF filter and a stricter ER threshold to ride regime legs.
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Non-repaint and implementation notes
• The script does not repaint:
• Signals are computed and locked on bar close (barstate.isconfirmed).
• All higher-timeframe data uses request.security(..., lookahead_off, gaps_on).
• No future indexing or negative offsets are used.
• The Info Panel and Debug overlay are purely visual aids and do not change signal logic.
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Limitations & tips
• Chop sensitivity: In hyper-choppy symbols, consider raising ER threshold and the signal threshold, and enable HTF filter.
• Instrument personality: EMAs/RSI lengths and volatility floor often need a quick 2–3 minute tune per asset class (FX vs. crypto vs. equities).
• No guarantees: ARO improves context and timing, but it is not a promise of profitability—always combine with risk management.
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Quick start (TL;DR)
1. Timeframes: 5–15m intraday (HTF = 4H); 1H–4H swing (HTF = 1D).
2. Use defaults, then tune ER threshold (0.25–0.40) and Signal threshold (±20).
3. Enable Volatility Floor (e.g., 0.2–0.5 ATR%) on quiet assets.
4. Trade ▲ / ▼ only in matching Trend background; fade extremes only in Range background.
5. Set alerts for Long, Short, and Regime Shift; manage risk with ATR stops.
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Author’s note: ARO Pro is designed to be clear, adaptive, and operational out of the box. If you publish variants (e.g., different ER logic, alternative trend cores), please credit the original and document any changes so users can compare behavior reliably.
