TASC 2023.08 Channeling Your Inner Chartist█ OVERVIEW
TASC's August 2023 edition of Traders' Tips features an article written by Stella Osoba titled “Using Price Channels.” The article offers a basic look at using price channels, with a primary focus on Donchian channels . Following the article, the script provides an example of how to calculate and utilize the Donchian channel to gain insights into the price behavior and potential trend movements.
█ CONCEPTS
The use of price channels is a long-standing and fundamental charting technique commonly associated with trend-following trading strategies. Price channels help identify the trend on the chart and facilitate trading in its direction. The Donchian channel, in particular, consists of three lines. The upper line is conventionally calculated as the highest high over a specified lookback period, while the lower line is defined as the lowest low over the same period. The central line represents the midpoint between the upper and lower lines.
The Donchian channel provides a simple and intuitive visual representation of price behavior. Breaking through the lower line, for instance, can indicate weakness and selling pressure, while breaking through the upper line can signal buying pressure. By observing these breakout points, one can gain insight into potential beginnings or endings of long-term trends. However, it is important to note that breakouts often lead to price reversals, so they should be carefully evaluated
█ CALCULATIONS
To illustrate a simple Donchian trading system, this script calculates and plots the channel lines, as well as potential entry points for long positions (green triangles) and short positions (red triangles).
In den Scripts nach "中海达+股票走势+2023年5月" suchen
ATR GOD Strategy by TradeSmart (PineConnector-compatible)This is a highly-customizable trading strategy made by TradeSmart, focusing mainly on ATR-based indicators and filters. The strategy is mainly intended for trading forex , and has been optimized using the Deep Backtest feature on the 2018.01.01 - 2023.06.01 interval on the EUR/USD (FXCM) 15M chart, with a Slippage value of 3, and a Commission set to 0.00004 USD per contract. The strategy is also made compatible with PineConnector , to provide an easy option to automate the strategy using a connection to MetaTrader. See tooltips for details on how to set up the bot, and check out our website for a detailed guide with images on how to automate the strategy.
The strategy was implemented using the following logic:
Entry strategy:
A total of 4 Supertrend values can be used to determine the entry logic. There is option to set up all 4 Supertrend parameters individually, as well as their potential to be used as an entry signal/or a trend filter. Long/Short entry signals will be determined based on the selected potential Supertrend entry signals, and filtered based on them being in an uptrend/downtrend (also available for setup). Please use the provided tooltips for each setup to see every detail.
Exit strategy:
4 different types of Stop Losses are available: ATR-based/Candle Low/High Based/Percentage Based/Pip Based. Additionally, Force exiting can also be applied, where there is option to set up 4 custom sessions, and exits will happen after the session has closed.
Parameters of every indicator used in the strategy can be tuned in the strategy settings as follows:
Plot settings:
Plot Signals: true by default, Show all Long and Short signals on the signal candle
Plot SL/TP lines: false by default, Checking this option will result in the TP and SL lines to be plotted on the chart.
Supertrend 1-4:
All the parameters of the Supertrends can be set up here, as well as their individual role in the entry logic.
Exit Strategy:
ATR Based Stop Loss: true by default
ATR Length (of the SL): 100 by default
ATR Smoothing (of the SL): RMA/SMMA by default
Candle Low/High Based Stop Loss: false by default, recent lowest or highest point (depending on long/short position) will be used to calculate stop loss value. Set 'Base Risk Multiplier' to 1 if you would like to use the calculated value as is. Setting it to a different value will count as an additional multiplier.
Candle Lookback (of the SL): 50 by default
Percentage Based Stop Loss: false by default, Set the stop loss to current price - % of current price (long) or price + % of current price (short).
Percentage (of the SL): 0.3 by default
Pip Based Stop Loss: Set the stop loss to current price - x pips (long) or price + x pips (short). Set 'Base Risk Multiplier' to 1 if you would like to use the calculated value as is. Setting it to a different value will count as an additional multiplier.
Pip (of the SL): 10 by default
Base Risk Multiplier: 4.5 by default, the stop loss will be placed at this risk level (meaning in case of ATR SL that the ATR value will be multiplied by this factor and the SL will be placed that value away from the entry level)
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1.5 by default, the take profit level will be placed such as this Risk/Reward ratio is met
Force Exiting:
4 total Force exit on custom session close options: none applied by default. If enabled, trades will close automatically after the set session is closed (on next candle's open).
Base Setups:
Allow Long Entries: true by default
Allow Short Entries: true by default
Order Size: 10 by default
Order Type: Capital Percentage by default, allows adjustment on how the position size is calculated: Cash: only the set cash amount will be used for each trade Contract(s): the adjusted number of contracts will be used for each trade Capital Percentage: a % of the current available capital will be used for each trade
ATR Limiter:
Use ATR Limiter: true by default, Only enter into any position (long/short) if ATR value is higher than the Low Boundary and lower than the High Boundary.
ATR Limiter Length: 50 by default
ATR Limiter Smoothing: RMA/SMMA by default
High Boundary: 1000 by default
Low Boundary: 0.0003 by default
MA based calculation: ATR value under MA by default, If not Unspecified, an MA is calculated with the ATR value as source. Only enter into position (long/short) if ATR value is higher/lower than the MA.
MA Type: RMA/SMMA by default
MA Length: 400 by default
Waddah Attar Filter:
Explosion/Deadzone relation: Not specified by default, Explosion over Deadzone: trades will only happen if the explosion line is over the deadzone line; Explosion under Deadzone: trades will only happen if the explosion line is under the deadzone line; Not specified: the opening of trades will not be based on the relation between the explosion and deadzone lines.
Limit trades based on trends: Not specified by default, Strong Trends: only enter long if the WA bar is colored green (there is an uptrend and the current bar is higher then the previous); only enter short if the WA bar is colored red (there is a downtrend and the current bar is higher then the previous); Soft Trends: only enter long if the WA bar is colored lime (there is an uptrend and the current bar is lower then the previous); only enter short if the WA bar is colored orange (there is a downtrend and the current bar is lower then the previous); All Trends: only enter long if the WA bar is colored green or lime (there is an uptrend); only enter short if the WA bar is colored red or orange (there is a downtrend); Not specified: the color of the WA bar (trend) is not relevant when considering entries.
WA bar value: Not specified by default, Over Explosion and Deadzone: only enter trades when the WA bar value is over the Explosion and Deadzone lines; Not specified: the relation between the explosion/deadzone lines to the value of the WA bar will not be used to filter opening trades.
Sensitivity: 150 by default
Fast MA Type: SMA by default
Fast MA Length: 10 by default
Slow MA Type: SMA
Slow MA Length: 20 by default
Channel MA Type: EMA by default
BB Channel Length: 20 by default
BB Stdev Multiplier: 2 by default
Trend Filter:
Use long trend filter 1: false by default, Only enter long if price is above Long MA.
Show long trend filter 1: false by default, Plot the selected MA on the chart.
TF1 - MA Type: EMA by default
TF1 - MA Length: 120 by default
TF1 - MA Source: close by default
Use short trend filter 1: false by default, Only enter long if price is above Long MA.
Show short trend filter 1: false by default, Plot the selected MA on the chart.
TF2 - MA Type: EMA by default
TF2 - MA Length: 120 by default
TF2 - MA Source: close by default
Volume Filter:
Only enter trades where volume is higher then the volume-based MA: true by default, a set type of MA will be calculated with the volume as source, and set length
MA Type: RMA/SMMA by default
MA Length: 200 by default
Date Range Limiter:
Limit Between Dates: false by default
Start Date: Jan 01 2023 00:00:00 by default
End Date: Jun 24 2023 00:00:00 by default
Session Limiter:
Show session plots: false by default, show market sessions on chart: Sidney (red), Tokyo (orange), London (yellow), New York (green)
Use session limiter: false by default, if enabled, trades will only happen in the ticked sessions below.
Sidney session: false by default, session between: 15:00 - 00:00 (EST)
Tokyo session: false by default, session between: 19:00 - 04:00 (EST)
London session: false by default, session between: 03:00 - 11:00 (EST)
New York session: false by default, session between: 08:00 - 17:00 (EST)
Trading Time:
Limit Trading Time: true by default, tick this together with the options below to enable limiting based on day and time
Valid Trading Days Global: 123567 by default, if the Limit Trading Time is on, trades will only happen on days that are present in this field. If any of the not global Valid Trading Days is used, this field will be neglected. Values represent days: Sunday (1), Monday (2), ..., Friday (6), Saturday(7) To trade on all days use: 123457
(1) Valid Trading Days: false, 123456 by default, values represent days: Sunday (1), Monday (2), ..., Friday (6), Saturday(7) The script will trade on days that are present in this field. Please make sure that this field and also (1) Valid Trading Hours Between is checked
(1) Valid Trading Hours Between: false, 1800-2000 by default, hours between which the trades can happen. The time is always in the exchange's timezone
All other options are also disabled by default
PineConnector Automation:
Use PineConnector Automation: false by default, In order for the connection to MetaTrader to work, you will need do perform prerequisite steps, you can follow our full guide at our website, or refer to the official PineConnector Documentation. To set up PineConnector Automation on the TradingView side, you will need to do the following:
1. Fill out the License ID field with your PineConnector License ID;
2. Fill out the Risk (trading volume) with the desired volume to be traded in each trade (the meaning of this value depends on the EA settings in Metatrader. Follow the detailed guide for additional information);
3. After filling out the fields, you need to enable the 'Use PineConnector Automation' option (check the box in the strategy settings);
4. Check if the chart has updated and you can see the appropriate order comments on your chart;
5. Create an alert with the strategy selected as Condition, and the Message as {{strategy.order.comment}} (should be there by default);
6. Enable the Webhook URL in the Notifications section, set it as the official PineConnector webhook address and enjoy your connection with MetaTrader.
License ID: 60123456789 by default
Risk (trading volume): 1 by default
NOTE! Fine-tuning/re-optimization is highly recommended when using other asset/timeframe combinations.
Default Strategy Template© CN_FX-999
Coded By Christian Nataliano
First Coded In 14/06/2023
Last Edited In 22/06/2023
This Is A Default Strategy Template That Can Make Your Strategy Scripts More Organized With The Benefit Of Having The Same Layouts & Not Needing To Copy Over The Common Codes Such As Displaying Backtest Results, Opening & Closing Trades, Pine Connector Capabilities And A Clean User Input Interface. This Is A Blank Strategy Script So Feel Free To Use It As Your Default Template For Your Future Strategies.
Credits To Some Of The Custom Code In The Scripts To © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading, Especially The Table Data Plotting
CNTLibraryLibrary "CNTLibrary"
Custom Functions To Help Code In Pinescript V5
Coded By Christian Nataliano
First Coded In 10/06/2023
Last Edited In 22/06/2023
Huge Shout Out To © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading and his ZenLibrary V5, Some Of The Custom Functions Were Heavily Inspired By Matt's Work & His Pine Script Mastery Course
Another Shout Out To The TradingView's Team Library ta V5
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Indicator Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
GetKAMA(KAMA_lenght, Fast_KAMA, Slow_KAMA)
Calculates An Adaptive Moving Average Based On Perry J Kaufman's Calculations
Parameters:
KAMA_lenght (int) : Is The KAMA Lenght
Fast_KAMA (int) : Is The KAMA's Fastes Moving Average
Slow_KAMA (int) : Is The KAMA's Slowest Moving Average
Returns: Float Of The KAMA's Current Calculations
GetMovingAverage(Source, Lenght, Type)
Get Custom Moving Averages Values
Parameters:
Source (float) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = close
Lenght (simple int) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = 50
Type (string) : Of The Moving Average, Defval = Exponential Moving Average
Returns: The Moving Average Calculation Based On Its Given Source, Lenght & Calculation Type (Please Call Function On Global Scope)
GetDecimals()
Calculates how many decimals are on the quote price of the current market © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The current decimal places on the market quote price
Truncate(number, decimalPlaces)
Truncates (cuts) excess decimal places © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
decimalPlaces (simple float)
Returns: The given number truncated to the given decimalPlaces
ToWhole(number)
Converts pips into whole numbers © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
Returns: The converted number
ToPips(number)
Converts whole numbers back into pips © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
number (float)
Returns: The converted number
GetPctChange(value1, value2, lookback)
Gets the percentage change between 2 float values over a given lookback period © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
value1 (float)
value2 (float)
lookback (int)
BarsAboveMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many candles are above the MA © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many recent bars are above the MA
BarsBelowMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many candles are below the MA © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many recent bars are below the EMA
BarsCrossedMA(lookback, ma)
Counts how many times the EMA was crossed recently © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
ma (float)
Returns: The bar count of how many times price recently crossed the EMA
GetPullbackBarCount(lookback, direction)
Counts how many green & red bars have printed recently (ie. pullback count) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
lookback (int)
direction (int)
Returns: The bar count of how many candles have retraced over the given lookback & direction
GetSwingHigh(Lookback, SwingType)
Check If Price Has Made A Recent Swing High
Parameters:
Lookback (int) : Is For The Swing High Lookback Period, Defval = 7
SwingType (int) : Is For The Swing High Type Of Identification, Defval = 1
Returns: A Bool - True If Price Has Made A Recent Swing High
GetSwingLow(Lookback, SwingType)
Check If Price Has Made A Recent Swing Low
Parameters:
Lookback (int) : Is For The Swing Low Lookback Period, Defval = 7
SwingType (int) : Is For The Swing Low Type Of Identification, Defval = 1
Returns: A Bool - True If Price Has Made A Recent Swing Low
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Risk Management Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
CalculateStopLossLevel(OrderType, Entry, StopLoss)
Calculate StopLoss Level
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, Defval = na
StopLoss (float) : Is The Custom StopLoss Distance, Defval = 2x ATR Below Close
Returns: Float - The StopLoss Level In Actual Price As A
CalculateStopLossDistance(OrderType, Entry, StopLoss)
Calculate StopLoss Distance In Pips
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
StopLoss (float) : Level Based On Previous Calculation, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
Returns: Float - The StopLoss Value In Pips
CalculateTakeProfitLevel(OrderType, Entry, StopLossDistance, RiskReward)
Calculate TakeProfit Level
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, Defval = na
StopLossDistance (float)
RiskReward (float)
Returns: Float - The TakeProfit Level In Actual Price
CalculateTakeProfitDistance(OrderType, Entry, TakeProfit)
Get TakeProfit Distance In Pips
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
Entry (float) : Is The Entry Level Of The Order, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
TakeProfit (float) : Level Based On Previous Calculation, NEED TO INPUT PARAM
Returns: Float - The TakeProfit Value In Pips
CalculateConversionCurrency(AccountCurrency, SymbolCurrency, BaseCurrency)
Get The Conversion Currecny Between Current Account Currency & Current Pair's Quoted Currency (FOR FOREX ONLY)
Parameters:
AccountCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Account Currency Used
SymbolCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Current Symbol Currency (Front Symbol)
BaseCurrency (simple string) : Is For The Current Symbol Base Currency (Back Symbol)
Returns: Tuple Of A Bollean (Convert The Currency ?) And A String (Converted Currency)
CalculateConversionRate(ConvertCurrency, ConversionRate)
Get The Conversion Rate Between Current Account Currency & Current Pair's Quoted Currency (FOR FOREX ONLY)
Parameters:
ConvertCurrency (bool) : Is To Check If The Current Symbol Needs To Be Converted Or Not
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Quoted Price Of The Conversion Currency (Input The request.security Function Here)
Returns: Float Price Of Conversion Rate (If In The Same Currency Than Return Value Will Be 1.0)
LotSize(LotSizeSimple, Balance, Risk, SLDistance, ConversionRate)
Get Current Lot Size
Parameters:
LotSizeSimple (bool) : Is To Toggle Lot Sizing Calculation (Simple Is Good Enough For Stocks & Crypto, Whilst Complex Is For Forex)
Balance (float) : Is For The Current Account Balance To Calculate The Lot Sizing Based Off
Risk (float) : Is For The Current Risk Per Trade To Calculate The Lot Sizing Based Off
SLDistance (float) : Is The Current Position StopLoss Distance From Its Entry Price
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Currency Conversion Rate (Used For Complex Lot Sizing Only)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Units
ToLots(Units)
Converts Units To Lots
Parameters:
Units (float) : Is For How Many Units Need To Be Converted Into Lots (Minimun 1000 Units)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Lots
ToUnits(Lots)
Converts Lots To Units
Parameters:
Lots (float) : Is For How Many Lots Need To Be Converted Into Units (Minimun 0.01 Units)
Returns: Int - Position Size In Units
ToLotsInUnits(Units)
Converts Units To Lots Than Back To Units
Parameters:
Units (float) : Is For How Many Units Need To Be Converted Into Lots (Minimun 1000 Units)
Returns: Float - Position Size In Lots That Were Rounded To Units
ATRTrail(OrderType, SourceType, ATRPeriod, ATRMultiplyer, SwingLookback)
Calculate ATR Trailing Stop
Parameters:
OrderType (int) : Is To Determine A Long / Short Position, Defval = 1
SourceType (int) : Is To Determine Where To Calculate The ATR Trailing From, Defval = close
ATRPeriod (simple int) : Is To Change Its ATR Period, Defval = 20
ATRMultiplyer (float) : Is To Change Its ATR Trailing Distance, Defval = 1
SwingLookback (int) : Is To Change Its Swing HiLo Lookback (Only From Source Type 5), Defval = 7
Returns: Float - Number Of The Current ATR Trailing
DangerZone(WinRate, AvgRRR, Filter)
Calculate Danger Zone Of A Given Strategy
Parameters:
WinRate (float) : Is The Strategy WinRate
AvgRRR (float) : Is The Strategy Avg RRR
Filter (float) : Is The Minimum Profit It Needs To Be Out Of BE Zone, Defval = 3
Returns: Int - Value, 1 If Out Of Danger Zone, 0 If BE, -1 If In Danger Zone
IsQuestionableTrades(TradeTP, TradeSL)
Checks For Questionable Trades (Which Are Trades That Its TP & SL Level Got Hit At The Same Candle)
Parameters:
TradeTP (float) : Is The Trade In Question Take Profit Level
TradeSL (float) : Is The Trade In Question Stop Loss Level
Returns: Bool - True If The Last Trade Was A "Questionable Trade"
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Strategy Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
OpenLong(EntryID, LotSize, LimitPrice, StopPrice, Comment, CommentValue)
Open A Long Order Based On The Given Params
Parameters:
EntryID (string) : Is The Trade Entry ID, Defval = "Long"
LotSize (float) : Is The Lot Size Of The Trade, Defval = 1
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
StopPrice (float) : Is The Stop Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Long Entry Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
OpenShort(EntryID, LotSize, LimitPrice, StopPrice, Comment, CommentValue)
Open A Short Order Based On The Given Params
Parameters:
EntryID (string) : Is The Trade Entry ID, Defval = "Short"
LotSize (float) : Is The Lot Size Of The Trade, Defval = 1
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
StopPrice (float) : Is The Stop Order Price To Set The Order At, Defval = Na / Market Order Execution
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Short Entry Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
TP_SLExit(FromID, TPLevel, SLLevel, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue)
Exits Based On Predetermined TP & SL Levels
Parameters:
FromID (string) : Is The Trade ID That The TP & SL Levels Be Palced
TPLevel (float) : Is The Take Profit Level
SLLevel (float) : Is The StopLoss Level
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Returns: Void
CloseLong(ExitID, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue, Instant)
Exits A Long Order Based On A Specified Condition
Parameters:
ExitID (string) : Is The Trade ID That Will Be Closed, Defval = "Long"
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Instant (bool) : Is For Exit Execution Type, Defval = false
Returns: Void
CloseShort(ExitID, PercentageClose, Comment, CommentValue, Instant)
Exits A Short Order Based On A Specified Condition
Parameters:
ExitID (string) : Is The Trade ID That Will Be Closed, Defval = "Short"
PercentageClose (float) : Is The Amount To Close The Order At (In Percentage) Defval = 100
Comment (string) : Is The Order Comment, Defval = Exit Order
CommentValue (string) : Is For Custom Values In The Order Comment, Defval = Na
Instant (bool) : Is For Exit Execution Type, Defval = false
Returns: Void
BrokerCheck(Broker)
Checks Traded Broker With Current Loaded Chart Broker
Parameters:
Broker (string) : Is The Current Broker That Is Traded
Returns: Bool - True If Current Traded Broker Is Same As Loaded Chart Broker
OpenPC(LicenseID, OrderType, UseLimit, LimitPrice, SymbolPrefix, Symbol, SymbolSuffix, Risk, SL, TP, OrderComment, Spread)
Compiles Given Parameters Into An Alert String Format To Open Trades Using Pine Connector
Parameters:
LicenseID (string) : Is The Users PineConnector LicenseID
OrderType (int) : Is The Desired OrderType To Open
UseLimit (bool) : Is If We Want To Enter The Position At Exactly The Previous Closing Price
LimitPrice (float) : Is The Limit Price Of The Trade (Only For Pending Orders)
SymbolPrefix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Prefix (If Any)
Symbol (string) : Is The Traded Symbol
SymbolSuffix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Suffix (If Any)
Risk (float) : Is The Trade Risk Per Trade / Fixed Lot Sizing
SL (float) : Is The Trade SL In Price / In Pips
TP (float) : Is The Trade TP In Price / In Pips
OrderComment (string) : Is The Executed Trade Comment
Spread (float) : is The Maximum Spread For Execution
Returns: String - Pine Connector Order Syntax Alert Message
ClosePC(LicenseID, OrderType, SymbolPrefix, Symbol, SymbolSuffix)
Compiles Given Parameters Into An Alert String Format To Close Trades Using Pine Connector
Parameters:
LicenseID (string) : Is The Users PineConnector LicenseID
OrderType (int) : Is The Desired OrderType To Close
SymbolPrefix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Prefix (If Any)
Symbol (string) : Is The Traded Symbol
SymbolSuffix (string) : Is The Current Symbol Suffix (If Any)
Returns: String - Pine Connector Order Syntax Alert Message
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Backtesting Calculation Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
CalculatePNL(EntryPrice, ExitPrice, LotSize, ConversionRate)
Calculates Trade PNL Based On Entry, Eixt & Lot Size
Parameters:
EntryPrice (float) : Is The Trade Entry
ExitPrice (float) : Is The Trade Exit
LotSize (float) : Is The Trade Sizing
ConversionRate (float) : Is The Currency Conversion Rate (Used For Complex Lot Sizing Only)
Returns: Float - The Current Trade PNL
UpdateBalance(PrevBalance, PNL)
Updates The Previous Ginve Balance To The Next PNL
Parameters:
PrevBalance (float) : Is The Previous Balance To Be Updated
PNL (float) : Is The Current Trade PNL To Be Added
Returns: Float - The Current Updated PNL
CalculateSlpComm(PNL, MaxRate)
Calculates Random Slippage & Commisions Fees Based On The Parameters
Parameters:
PNL (float) : Is The Current Trade PNL
MaxRate (float) : Is The Upper Limit (In Percentage) Of The Randomized Fee
Returns: Float - A Percentage Fee Of The Current Trade PNL
UpdateDD(MaxBalance, Balance)
Calculates & Updates The DD Based On Its Given Parameters
Parameters:
MaxBalance (float) : Is The Maximum Balance Ever Recorded
Balance (float) : Is The Current Account Balance
Returns: Float - The Current Strategy DD
CalculateWR(TotalTrades, LongID, ShortID)
Calculate The Total, Long & Short Trades Win Rate
Parameters:
TotalTrades (int) : Are The Current Total Trades That The Strategy Has Taken
LongID (string) : Is The Order ID Of The Long Trades Of The Strategy
ShortID (string) : Is The Order ID Of The Short Trades Of The Strategy
Returns: Tuple Of Long WR%, Short WR%, Total WR%, Total Winning Trades, Total Losing Trades, Total Long Trades & Total Short Trades
CalculateAvgRRR(WinTrades, LossTrades)
Calculates The Overall Strategy Avg Risk Reward Ratio
Parameters:
WinTrades (int) : Are The Strategy Winning Trades
LossTrades (int) : Are The Strategy Losing Trades
Returns: Float - The Average RRR Values
CAGR(StartTime, StartPrice, EndTime, EndPrice)
Calculates The CAGR Over The Given Time Period © TradingView
Parameters:
StartTime (int) : Is The Starting Time Of The Calculation
StartPrice (float) : Is The Starting Price Of The Calculation
EndTime (int) : Is The Ending Time Of The Calculation
EndPrice (float) : Is The Ending Price Of The Calculation
Returns: Float - The CAGR Values
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Plot Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
EditLabels(LabelID, X1, Y1, Text, Color, TextColor, EditCondition, DeleteCondition)
Edit / Delete Labels
Parameters:
LabelID (label) : Is The ID Of The Selected Label
X1 (int) : Is The X1 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y1 (float) : Is The Y1 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
Text (string) : Is The Text Than Wants To Be Written In The Label
Color (color) : Is The Color Value Change Of The Label Text
TextColor (color)
EditCondition (int) : Is The Edit Condition of The Line (Setting Location / Color)
DeleteCondition (bool) : Is The Delete Condition Of The Line If Ture Deletes The Prev Itteration Of The Line
Returns: Void
EditLine(LineID, X1, Y1, X2, Y2, Color, EditCondition, DeleteCondition)
Edit / Delete Lines
Parameters:
LineID (line) : Is The ID Of The Selected Line
X1 (int) : Is The X1 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y1 (float) : Is The Y1 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
X2 (int) : Is The X2 Coordinate IN BARINDEX Xloc
Y2 (float) : Is The Y2 Coordinate IN PRICE Yloc
Color (color) : Is The Color Value Change Of The Line
EditCondition (int) : Is The Edit Condition of The Line (Setting Location / Color)
DeleteCondition (bool) : Is The Delete Condition Of The Line If Ture Deletes The Prev Itteration Of The Line
Returns: Void
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Display Functions (Using Tables)
//====================================================================================================================================================
FillTable(TableID, Column, Row, Title, Value, BgColor, TextColor, ToolTip)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
Column (int) : Is The Current Column Of The Table That Wants To Be Edited
Row (int) : Is The Current Row Of The Table That Wants To Be Edited
Title (string) : Is The String Title Of The Current Cell Table
Value (string) : Is The String Value Of The Current Cell Table
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
ToolTip (string) : Is The ToolTip Of The Current Cell In The Table
Returns: Void
DisplayBTResults(TableID, BgColor, TextColor, StartingBalance, Balance, DollarReturn, TotalPips, MaxDD)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
StartingBalance (float) : Is The Account Starting Balance
Balance (float)
DollarReturn (float) : Is The Account Dollar Reture
TotalPips (float) : Is The Total Pips Gained / loss
MaxDD (float) : Is The Maximum Drawdown Over The Backtesting Period
Returns: Void
DisplayBTResultsV2(TableID, BgColor, TextColor, TotalWR, QTCount, LongWR, ShortWR, InitialCapital, CumProfit, CumFee, AvgRRR, MaxDD, CAGR, MeanDD)
Filling The Selected Table With The Inputed Information
Parameters:
TableID (table) : Is The Table ID That Wants To Be Edited
BgColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TextColor (color) : Is The Selected Color For The Current Table
TotalWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
QTCount (int) : Is The Strategy Questionable Trades Count
LongWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
ShortWR (float) : Is The Strategy Total WR In %
InitialCapital (float) : Is The Strategy Initial Starting Capital
CumProfit (float) : Is The Strategy Ending Cumulative Profit
CumFee (float) : Is The Strategy Ending Cumulative Fee (Based On Randomized Fee Assumptions)
AvgRRR (float) : Is The Strategy Average Risk Reward Ratio
MaxDD (float) : Is The Strategy Maximum DrawDown In Its Backtesting Period
CAGR (float) : Is The Strategy Compounded Average GRowth In %
MeanDD (float) : Is The Strategy Mean / Average Drawdown In The Backtesting Period
Returns: Void
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Pattern Detection Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
BullFib(priceLow, priceHigh, fibRatio)
Calculates A Bullish Fibonacci Value (From Swing Low To High) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
priceLow (float)
priceHigh (float)
fibRatio (float)
Returns: The Fibonacci Value Of The Given Ratio Between The Two Price Points
BearFib(priceLow, priceHigh, fibRatio)
Calculates A Bearish Fibonacci Value (From Swing High To Low) © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
priceLow (float)
priceHigh (float)
fibRatio (float)
Returns: The Fibonacci Value Of The Given Ratio Between The Two Price Points
GetBodySize()
Gets The Current Candle Body Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Body Size IN POINTS
GetTopWickSize()
Gets The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN POINTS
GetBottomWickSize()
Gets The Current Candle Bottom Wick Size IN POINTS © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Bottom Wick Size IN POINTS
GetBodyPercent()
Gets The Current Candle Body Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Size Including Its Wicks © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Returns: The Current Candle Body Size IN PERCENTAGE
GetTopWickPercent()
Gets The Current Top Wick Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Body Size
Returns: Float - The Current Candle Top Wick Size IN PERCENTAGE
GetBottomWickPercent()
Gets The Current Bottom Wick Size As A Percentage Of Its Entire Bodu Size
Returns: Float - The Current Candle Bottom Size IN PERCENTAGE
BullishEC(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Engulfing Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Engulfing Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bullsih Engulfing Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bullish Engulfing Candle
BearishEC(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bearish Engulfing Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Engulfing Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bearish Engulfing Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing High, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bearish Engulfing Candle
Hammer(Fib, ColorMatch, NearSwings, SwingLookBack, ATRFilterCheck, ATRPeriod)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Hammer Candle
Parameters:
Fib (float) : To Specify Which Fibonacci Ratio To Use When Determining The Hammer Candle, Defval = 0.382 Ratio
ColorMatch (bool) : To Filter Only Bullish Closed Hammer Candle Pattern, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
ATRFilterCheck (float) : To Filter Smaller Hammer Candles That Might Be Better Classified As A Doji Candle, Defval = 1
ATRPeriod (simple int) : To Change ATR Period Of The ATR Filter, Defval = 20
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Hammer Candle
Star(Fib, ColorMatch, NearSwings, SwingLookBack, ATRFilterCheck, ATRPeriod)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Hammer Candle
Parameters:
Fib (float) : To Specify Which Fibonacci Ratio To Use When Determining The Hammer Candle, Defval = 0.382 Ratio
ColorMatch (bool) : To Filter Only Bullish Closed Hammer Candle Pattern, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
ATRFilterCheck (float) : To Filter Smaller Hammer Candles That Might Be Better Classified As A Doji Candle, Defval = 1
ATRPeriod (simple int) : To Change ATR Period Of The ATR Filter, Defval = 20
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Hammer Candle
Doji(MaxWickSize, MaxBodySize, DojiType, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Doji Candle
Parameters:
MaxWickSize (float) : To Specify The Maximum Lenght Of Its Upper & Lower Wick, Defval = 2
MaxBodySize (float) : To Specify The Maximum Lenght Of Its Candle Body IN PERCENT, Defval = 0.05
DojiType (int)
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Doji To Be Near A Recent Swing High / Low (Only In Dragonlyf / Gravestone Mode), Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High / Low (Only In Dragonlyf / Gravestone Mode), Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Doji Candle
BullishIB(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Harami Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Harami Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bullsih Harami Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing Low, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing Low, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bullish Harami Candle
BearishIB(Allowance, RejectionWickSize, EngulfWick, NearSwings, SwingLookBack)
Checks If The Current Bar Is A Bullish Harami Candle
Parameters:
Allowance (int) : To Give Flexibility Of Harami Pattern Detection In Markets That Have Micro Gaps, Defval = 0
RejectionWickSize (float) : To Filter Out long (Upper And Lower) Wick From The Bearish Harami Pattern, Defval = na
EngulfWick (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Also Engulf Its Upper & Lower Previous Wicks, Defval = false
NearSwings (bool) : To Specify If We Want The Pattern To Be Near A Recent Swing High, Defval = true
SwingLookBack (int) : To Specify How Many Bars Back To Detect A Recent Swing High, Defval = 10
Returns: Bool - True If The Current Bar Matches The Requirements of a Bearish Harami Candle
//====================================================================================================================================================
// Custom Time Functions
//====================================================================================================================================================
BarInSession(sess, useFilter)
Determines if the current price bar falls inside the specified session © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
sess (simple string)
useFilter (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls within the given time session
BarOutSession(sess, useFilter)
Determines if the current price bar falls outside the specified session © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
sess (simple string)
useFilter (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls outside the given time session
DateFilter(startTime, endTime)
Determines if this bar's time falls within date filter range © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
startTime (int)
endTime (int)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar falls within the given dates
DayFilter(monday, tuesday, wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday, sunday)
Checks if the current bar's day is in the list of given days to analyze © ZenAndTheArtOfTrading
Parameters:
monday (bool)
tuesday (bool)
wednesday (bool)
thursday (bool)
friday (bool)
saturday (bool)
sunday (bool)
Returns: A boolean - true if the current bar's day is one of the given days
AUSSess()
Checks If The Current Australian Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The Australian Session Is Running
ASIASess()
Checks If The Current Asian Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The Asian Session Is Running
EURSess()
Checks If The Current European Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The European Session Is Running
USSess()
Checks If The Current US Forex Session In Running
Returns: Bool - True If Currently The US Session Is Running
UNIXToDate(Time, ConversionType, TimeZone)
Converts UNIX Time To Datetime
Parameters:
Time (int) : Is The UNIX Time Input
ConversionType (int) : Is The Datetime Output Format, Defval = DD-MM-YYYY
TimeZone (string) : Is To Convert The Outputed Datetime Into The Specified Time Zone, Defval = Exchange Time Zone
Returns: String - String Of Datetime
Heikin Ashi ROC Percentile Strategy**User Guide for the "Heikin Ashi ROC Percentile Strategy"**
This strategy, "Heikin Ashi ROC Percentile Strategy", is designed to provide an easy-to-use framework for trading based on the Heikin Ashi Rate of Change (ROC) and its percentiles.
Here's how you can use it:
1. **Setting the Start Date**: You can set the start date for the strategy in the user inputs at the top of the script. The variable `startDate` defines the point from which the script begins executing trades. Simply input the desired date in the format "YYYY MM DD". For example, to start the strategy from March 3, 2023, you would enter `startDate = timestamp("2023 03 03")`.
2. **Adjusting the Midline, Lookback Period, and Stop Loss Level**: The `zerohLine`, `rocLength`, and `stopLossLevel` inputs allow you to adjust the baseline for ROC, the lookback period for the SMA and ROC, and the level at which the strategy stops the loss, respectively. By tweaking these parameters, you can fine-tune the strategy to better suit your trading style or the particular characteristics of the asset you are trading.
3. **Understanding the Trade Conditions**: The script defines conditions for entering and exiting long and short positions based on crossovers and crossunders of the ROC and the upper and lower "kill lines". These lines are defined as certain percentiles of the ROC's highest and lowest values over a specified lookback period. When the ROC crosses above the lower kill line, the script enters a long position; when it crosses below the upper kill line, it exits the position. Similarly, when the ROC crosses below the upper kill line, the script enters a short position; when it crosses above the lower kill line, it exits the position.
In my testing, this strategy performed best on a day and hour basis. However, I encourage you to experiment with different timeframes and settings to see how the strategy performs under various conditions. Remember, there's no one-size-fits-all approach to trading; what works best will depend on your specific circumstances, goals, and risk tolerance.
If you find other useful applications for this strategy, please let me know in the comments. Your feedback is invaluable in helping to refine and improve this tool. Happy trading!
TASC 2023.07 Keeping With The Larger Trend█ OVERVIEW
TASC's July 2023 edition of Traders' Tips features an article by Barbara Star titled "Stay On Track With The Supertrend Indicator". The article explores how the supertrend indicator , whether used as a standalone tool or in conjunction with other indicators, can assist traders in aligning with the larger trend. Drawing inspiration from the article, this script enhances the supertrend indicator with additional visual and analytical features, making it easier to analyze the readings and make informed trading decisions.
█ CONCEPTS
Over the past few years, the supertrend indicator has gained significant popularity among traders. Unlike moving averages, it incorporates both price and volatility information, enabling traders to navigate upward or downward trends despite occasional price disruptions.
When using the supertrend indicator, a trader may consider entering a long position when the price surpasses the supertrend line or retraces to it after the initial crossover. Similarly, for short positions, a trader could enter when the price drops below the supertrend line or retests it. Exiting these positions can be triggered by the opposite scenario, such as a price drop below the supertrend line for long positions or a price rise above the supertrend line for short positions. To assist in monitoring the distance between the price and the indicator line, this script introduces the following display features:
Breach levels, representing fractions of the most recent maximum distance.
On-chart signals indicating crossings of the highest and lowest breach levels.
An infobox displaying the average value of the maximum distance.
█ CALCULATIONS
For calculating the supertrend line, this script uses the built-in function ta.supertrend() . Additionally, the script showcases the use of state-of-the-art PineScript® functionality, including methods and tables .
Ultimate Correlation CoefficientIt contains the Correlations for SP:SPX , TVC:DXY , CURRENCYCOM:GOLD , TVC:US10Y and TVC:VIX and is intended for INDEX:BTCUSD , but works fine for most other charts as well.
Don't worry about the colored mess, what you want is to export your chart ->
TradingView: How can I export chart data?
and then use the last line in the csv file to copy your values into a correlation table.
Order is:
SPX
DXY
GOLD
US10Y
VIX
Your last exported line should look like this:
2023-05-25T02:00:00+02:00 26329.56 26389.12 25873.34 26184.07 0 0.255895534 -0.177543633 0.011944815 0.613678565 0.387705043 0.696003298 0.566425278 0.877838156 0.721872645 0 -0.593674719 -0.839538073 -0.662553817 -0.873684242 -0.695764534 -0.682759656 -0.54393749 -0.858188808 -0.498548691 0 0.416552489 0.424444345 0.387084882 0.887054782 0.869918437 0.88455388 0.694720993 0.192263269 -0.138439783 0 -0.39773255 -0.679121698 -0.429927048 -0.780313396 -0.661460134 -0.346525721 -0.270364046 -0.877208139 -0.367313687 0 -0.615415111 -0.226501775 -0.094827955 -0.475553396 -0.408924242 -0.521943234 -0.426649404 -0.266035908 -0.424316191
The zeros are thought as a demarcation for ease of application :
2023-05-25T02:00:00+02:00 26329.56 26389.12 25873.34 26184.07 0 -> unused
// 15D 30D 60D 90D 120D 180D 360D 600D 1000D
0.255895534 -0.177543633 0.011944815 0.613678565 0.387705043 0.696003298 0.566425278 0.877838156 0.721872645 -> SPX
0
-0.593674719 -0.839538073 -0.662553817 -0.873684242 -0.695764534 -0.682759656 -0.54393749 -0.858188808 -0.498548691 -> DXY
0
0.416552489 0.424444345 0.387084882 0.887054782 0.869918437 0.88455388 0.694720993 0.192263269 -0.138439783 -> GOLD
0
-0.39773255 -0.679121698 -0.429927048 -0.780313396 -0.661460134 -0.346525721 -0.270364046 -0.877208139 -0.367313687 -> US10Y
0
-0.615415111 -0.226501775 -0.094827955 -0.475553396 -0.408924242 -0.521943234 -0.426649404 -0.266035908 -0.424316191 -> VIX
TASC 2023.06 Stochastic Distance Oscillator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the stochastic distance oscillator (SDO) , a momentum indicator introduced by Vitali Apirine in an article featured in TASC's June 2023 edition of Traders' Tips . The SDO is a variation of the classic stochastic oscillator and is designed to identify overbought and oversold levels, as well as detect bull and bear trend changes.
█ CONCEPTS
Unlike the classic stochastic oscillator, which compares an asset's price to its past price range, the SDO measures the size of the current distance relative to the maximum-minimum distance range over a set number of periods. The current distance is defined as the distance between the current price and the price n periods ago.
The readings of the SDO can be used to identify the following states of the asset price:
Uptrend state: the oscillator crosses over 50 from a non-uptrend state.
Downtrend state: the oscillator crosses under -50 from a non-downtrend state.
Overbought state: the oscillator is in an uptrend and crosses -50 for the first time.
Oversold state: the oscillator is in a downtrend and crosses 50 for the first time.
Trend continuity: the oscillator crosses 0 in the direction of the current trend.
The script indicates these five conditions using on-chart signals and background coloring.
█ CALCULATIONS
The SDO is calculated as follows:
1. Calculate the distance between the current price and the price n periods ago, as well as the maximum and minimum distances for the selected lookback period. The author recommends using one of two values of n , 14 or 40 bars.
2. Calculate the time series % D that represents the relation between the asset's current distance and its distance range over a loockback period:
% D = (Abs(current distance) − Abs(minimum distance)) / (Abs(maximum distance) − Abs(minimum distance)) * 100
3. Use the calculated % D to obtain the SDO:
If the closing price is above the close n periods ago, SDO = % D
If the closing price is below the close n periods ago, SDO = −% D
If the closing price equals the close n periods ago or the current distance equals the minimum distance, SDO = 0
4. Smooth the SDO using an exponential moving average (EMA). The author recommends using an EMA in the range from 3 to 6 .
Adjustable input parameters include the number of periods n , the lookback period for calculating % D , the smoothing EMA length, and the overbought/oversold threshold level.
Relative VolumeHello traders,
"There's nothing new on Wall Street" is an age-old saying that still shows its relevance in modern day financial markets; volume still serves as a valuable tool for any trader just as it did for those that came and succeeded before us; in order to succeed in modern day markets one has to take it up a notch and dabble in complicated topics, like math. Now I dunno about you reader but I’m not keen on sitting around all day just to watch numbers on a screen; it’s pretty important to add some color into your life before it becomes dull but how can someone add colors into their trading toolkit as an aid rather than bother? With a bit of help from 3 other amazing open-source indicators you too can become a statistics enjoyer by combining math and colors to make pattern recognition much more intuitive and offering more peace of mind when trading. “Sir but how?”, glad you didn’t ask, it helps with simplifying statistics, in this case a Gaussian bellcurve
“HUH?”, you say? Alright class, Gaussian bellcurves for math dislikers 101 is in session
- Imagine that we have a bunch of numbers that we want to graph. We could just draw a line and plot the numbers on it, but that might not be very interesting.
- Instead, we can use the shape of a bell to show how many of each number we have.
- Let's say we have a lot of people and we want to graph how tall they are. We would start by making a line from the shortest person to the tallest person, and then we would draw the bell shape around the line.
- The bell shape is called a "Gaussian Bell Curve," and it shows us how many people are a certain height.
- In the middle of the bell, where it's the widest, we have the most people who are about average height. As we move to the sides of the bell, the curve gets lower because there are fewer people who are really tall or really short.
The bell curve discussed is the main idea for the candle coloring component of this indicator as being able to analyze the distribution of an entire dataset, in this case volume, can alert us when volume/participation in the market is away from its average using color, and therefore an opportunity could be present. Fair warning, it’s important to not strictly focus on volume as volume is meant to be confluence to the current structure of the market rather than causing tunnel vision.
Why 3 indicators to combine?
It starts with the RVOL by Mik3Christ3ns3n indicator as the backbone by calculating the average volume over a specified period of time, and then compares each new volume value to this average to determine whether it is above or below the average. The indicator then normalizes the volume data and calculates the z-score/standard deviation to determine whether the volume is within normal range or is an anomaly beyond a specified threshold which can also be set into an alert to aid in eyeing possible opportunities.
The code also includes Candle Coloring by Morty as it calculates a function to get the z-score for the size of the candle's body, and then compares it to the z-score for volume to determine whether the body size is a factor in the price action.
Finally, the code plots the anomalies and the normalized volume data on the chart using the first RVOL indicator mentioned, and colors the bars of the chart based on whether they are within normal range or are anomalies which comes from using code from veryfid's relative volume indicator.
Overall, this custom technical indicator is best used to identify unusual changes in trading volume, which may indicate potential price movements in the underlying.
How about some examples?
This first example is for my scalpers wanting to get in and out but not having much of an idea where or let alone how; using a tool like VWAP can be great for determining the area value to execute mean reversion trades once a speculator spots a colored candle anomaly at standard deviation band. Works best when VWAP is flat as it signals lack of conviction from both bulls and bears
This second example is for my fire and forget intraweek swing traders who want to execute a higher timeframe trend-following bias. A speculator starting 2023 off notices that the negative sentiment around Binance from late last year has quieted down and has conviction in upside after BTC began an uptrend as monthly VWAP (right chart) has began sloping up as well as a rally with momentum shown with the blue colored candle so the trader waits wait for a pullback for entry. On the chart to the left of the 4H the speculator notices a pullback into the area of interest to do business so a limit bid is left to enter for continued upside in Bitcoin through January 2023 just by keeping things simple
That’s really the main purpose of this indicator: simplicity of statistics for confluence using volume
Volume precedes price and price moves only for narrative to follow- why wait for your subjective Twitter timeline to give you a biased narrative to trade when you can use objective analysis by combining statistics and colors to allow for a cleaner execution process
“But what about risk management?” Glad you didn’t ask reader!
One last example then, we meet our trend following trader again feeling euphoric so they know profit taking season is coming soon but wants to leave emotion out of it. How to go about it? Same idea as our last trend following example: we see on the 4h chart to the right side shows Bitcoin lose and trade back within the 2nd standard deviation of quarterly VWAP which is telling our speculator that the uptrend has broken on top of which notices on the 30 minute chart on the left that aggressive market buyers have been steadily absorbed by limit sellers on multiple occasions of retesting 30,500 shown with the green colored candles and volume bars below, time to sell.
Turns out that selling was proactive risk management because price dumped thereafter
Hope this explanation gave you some useful insights on using statistics as colors from cherrypicked examples, remember that just because my examples are cherrypicked doesn’t invalidate these concepts at all as the market only does two things, initiate aggressive auctions and respond passively to auctions. This tool makes for seeing where that initiative aggressive activity is happening much simpler to deduce if others will respond to an anomaly of initiative aggressive activity or if the aggression will continue.
If there’s just one thing you take from this- simplicity above all, cheers and good luck
TASC 2023.05 Cong Adaptive Moving Average█ OVERVIEW
TASC's May 2023 edition of Traders' Tips features an article titled "An Adaptive Moving Average For Swing Trading" by Scott Cong. The article presents a new adaptive moving average (AMA) that adjusts its parameters automatically based on market volatility. The AMA tracks price closely during trending movements and remains flat during congestion areas.
█ CONCEPTS
Conventional moving averages (MAs) use a fixed lookback period, which may lead to limited performance in constantly changing market conditions. Perry Kaufman's adaptive moving average , first described in his 1995 book Smarter Trading, is a great example of how an AMA can self-adjust to adapt to changing environments. Scott Cong draws inspiration from Kaufman's approach and proposes a new way to calculate the AMA smoothing factor.
█ CALCULATIONS
Following Perry Kaufman's approach, Scott Cong's AMA is calculated progressively as:
AMA = α * Close + (1 − α) * AMA(1),
where:
Close = Close of the current bar
AMA(1) = AMA value of the previous bar
α = Smoothing factor between 0 and 1, defined by the lookback period
The smoothing factor determines the performance of AMA. In Cong's approach, it is calculated as:
α = Result / Effort,
where:
Result = Highest price of the n period − Lowest price of the n period
Effort = Sum(TR, n ), where TR stands for Wilder’s true range values of individual bars of the n period
n = Lookback period
As the price range is always no greater than the total journey, α is ensured to be between 0 and 1.
TASC 2023.04 Undersampled Double MA█ OVERVIEW
TASC's April 2023 edition of Traders' Tips features an article entitled "Just Ignore Them: Undersampling The Data As A Smoothing Technique" by John Ehlers, which explores a method for reducing noise through data sampling. This script implements the article's proposed Undersampled Double MA indicator.
█ CONCEPTS
The conventional approach to reducing the impact of noise in the market data on trading rules is to use smoothing filters like moving averages. However, John Ehlers suggests that changing the sample rate of the datastream is a simple and effective way to smooth the data and reduce noise. Specifically, he argues that undersampling the data removes high-frequency components contributing to noisiness. Notably, the elimination of these components produces less lag than that of conventional smoothing filters.
The Undersampled Double MA indicator implemented in this script represents a practical application of smoothing with undersampling. It samples the data at a given rate (for instance, once every five bars, as suggested by Ehlers), then processes the resulting data using a Hann window filter with two different periods, producing two smooth data streams that traders can use in the same way as the combination of two conventional moving averages of different lengths (i.e., fast and slow MAs).
█ CALCULATIONS
The script samples data once every N th bar (by default, N = 5) and smooths the undersampled data with 6-period and 12-period Hann filters, which it plots on the main chart. Users can adjust the sampling period and the periods of each Hann filter to their liking from the inputs in the script settings.
[blackcat] L1 Ehlers Every Little Bit HelpsLevel 1
Background
Inspired by "Averaging The Open And Close To Reduce Noise" on March 2023 by John F. Ehlers’ article in the March issue, “Every Little Bit Helps”, I further smooth it because noise was still large and “Every Little Bit Does Not Helps Much”.
Function
In John F. Ehlers' 03/2023 article, "Every Little Bit Helps," he suggests that noise can be reduced by simply averaging the open and close prices of a bar, rather than just using the close price. The data sampling example presented in this article compares the traditional RSI using close data to an RSI calculated using the average of the open and close.
Compared to RSI, I used my customized RMI version which is more suitable for moment smoothing. For example, the price entry of the 1st RMI can be changed from Close to (Close + Open) / 2. In fact, the RMI indicator itself has a price input that can be changed in a similar way. You can change the input parameter "m" to "More Help", which is 5 by default.
Remarks
Feedbacks are appreciated.
TASC 2023.03 Every Little Bit Helps█ OVERVIEW
TASC's February 2023 edition of Traders' Tips includes an article titled "Every Little Bit Helps: Averaging The Open And Close To Reduce Noise" by John Ehlers. This code implements the numerical example from this article.
█ CONCEPTS
Using theories from digital signal processing as a starting point, John Ehlers argues that using the average of the open and close as the source time series of an indicator instead of using only the closing price can often lead to noise reduction in the output. This effect especially applies when there is no gap between the current bar's opening and the previous bar's closing prices. This trick can reduce noise in many common indicators such as the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic.
█ CALCULATIONS
Following the example presented in the original publication, this script illustrates the proposed strategy using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) as a test indicator. It plots two series:
RSI calculated using only closing prices as its source.
RSI of the same length as the first, but calculated using the average of open and close prices as its source, i.e. (open+close)/2 .
This script demonstrates that using the average of open and close as the calculation source results in a smoother indicator. To visually emphasize the advantage of this proposed trick, the script's color scheme is sensitive to both the RSI value and the difference between the two RSI data streams.
[blackcat] L1 True Range Adjusted EMA (TRAdj EMA) Level: 1
Background
In Traders’ Tips in January 2023, Vitali Apirine published an article in the January 2023 issue, “True Range Adjusted Exponential Moving Average (TRAdj EMA)”.
I use pine v4 to script it.
Function
Vitali Apirine's article True Range Adjusted Exponential Moving Average (TRAdj EMA) presents how a security's True Range, which measures volatility, can be integrated into a traditional exponential moving average. The trend following indicator called True Range Adjusted Exponential Moving Average (TRAdj EMA) applied with different lengths can help define turning points and filter price movements. By comparing the indicator to an exponential moving average of the same length, the trader can gain insight into the overall trend.
Remarks
Feedbacks are appreciated.
TASC 2023.01 TRAdj EMA█ OVERVIEW
TASC's January 2023 edition of Traders' Tips includes an article titled "True Range Adjusted Exponential Moving Average (TRadj EMA)" by Vitali Apirine. This code implements the indicator presented in that publication.
█ CONCEPTS
The True Range Adjusted Exponential Moving Average (TRAdj EMA) is a trend-following indicator that considers volatility for a quicker response to price changes. It is an EMA that modulates its weighting factor based on the true range (TR) of the asset.
In a trading strategy, traders can use a TRAdj EMA in tandem with an EMA of the same length to identify an asset's trend, or they can use it alongside another TRAdj EMA of a different length to identify turning points and filter price movements.
█ CALCULATIONS
The following steps are performed to calculate the indicator:
• Calculate the asset's TR according to the standard definition proposed by J. Welles Wilder, Jr.
• Define the true range adjustment factor as:
TRAdj =( Current TR − Minimum TR) ⁄ ( Maximum TR − Minimum TR ),
where Maximum TR and Minimum TR are the maximum and minimum TR values over the specified lookback period .
• Calculate the TRAdj EMA in the same manner as a traditional EMA, but with a weighting factor defined as:
2*(1 + TRAdj * Multiplier ) ⁄ ( EMA length + 1),
where Multiplier is an input parameter that ranges from 5 to 10. For comparison, a traditional EMA uses a weighting factor of 2 ⁄ ( EMA length + 1).
Playbook//@version=6
indicator('Playbook', overlay = true, scale = scale.right)
// === Inputs ===
useYesterdayPOC = input.bool(true, 'Use Yesterday\'s POC (else Today’s Developing)')
atrLength = input.int(14, 'ATR Length', minval = 1)
stretchMult = input.float(1.5, 'Stretch Threshold (in ATRs)', minval = 0.1, step = 0.1)
showBands = input.bool(true, "Show Stretch Bands")
useAnchoredVWAP = input.bool(true, "Show Anchored VWAP")
anchorDate = input.time(timestamp("01 Jan 2023 00:00 +0000"), "VWAP Anchor Date")
// === ATR ===
atr = ta.atr(atrLength)
isNewDay = ta.change(time('D')) != 0
// === VWAP as POC Approximation ===
todayVWAP = ta.vwap
var float yVWAP = na
if isNewDay
yVWAP := todayVWAP
activePOC = useYesterdayPOC and not na(yVWAP) ? yVWAP : todayVWAP
// === Stretch Bands ===
upperBand = activePOC + atr * stretchMult
lowerBand = activePOC - atr * stretchMult
// Plot stretch bands
pocColor = color.yellow
bandFill = plot(upperBand, "Upper Band", color=color.red, linewidth=1, display=showBands ? display.all : display.none)
bandFill2 = plot(lowerBand, "Lower Band", color=color.green, linewidth=1, display=showBands ? display.all : display.none)
pocLine = plot(activePOC, "POC Target", color=pocColor, linewidth=2)
fill(bandFill, bandFill2, color=color.new(color.gray, 90))
// === Anchored VWAP ===
anchoredVWAP = ta.vwap(ta.change(time) >= anchorDate ? close : na)
plot(useAnchoredVWAP ? anchoredVWAP : na, "Anchored VWAP", color=color.blue, linewidth=2)
// === STATUS TABLE ===
var table statusTable = table.new(position.bottom_right, 1, 1, border_width=1, border_color=color.gray)
insideBands = close <= upperBand and close >= lowerBand
statusText = insideBands ? "WAIT" : "TRADE AVAILABLE"
statusColor = insideBands ? color.orange : color.green
table.cell(statusTable, 0, 0, statusText, text_color=color.rgb(5, 4, 4), bgcolor=statusColor)
// === Heatmap ===
bgcolor(close > upperBand ? color.new(color.red, 80) : close < lowerBand ? color.new(color.green, 80) : color.new(color.orange, 90))
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM)The Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) represents a novel quantitative framework for predicting Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions through multi-factor fundamental analysis. This model synthesizes established monetary policy rules with real-time economic indicators to generate probabilistic forecasts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions. Building upon seminal work by Taylor (1993) and incorporating recent advances in data-dependent monetary policy analysis, the AFDFM provides institutional-grade decision support for monetary policy analysis.
## 1. Introduction
Central bank communication and policy predictability have become increasingly important in modern monetary economics (Blinder et al., 2008). The Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, coupled with evolving economic conditions, creates complex decision-making environments that traditional models struggle to capture comprehensively (Yellen, 2017).
The AFDFM addresses this challenge by implementing a multi-dimensional approach that combines:
- Classical monetary policy rules (Taylor Rule framework)
- Real-time macroeconomic indicators from FRED database
- Financial market conditions and term structure analysis
- Labor market dynamics and inflation expectations
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
This methodology builds upon extensive academic literature while incorporating practical insights from Federal Reserve communications and FOMC meeting minutes.
## 2. Literature Review and Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Taylor Rule Framework
The foundational work of Taylor (1993) established the empirical relationship between federal funds rate decisions and economic fundamentals:
rt = r + πt + α(πt - π) + β(yt - y)
Where:
- rt = nominal federal funds rate
- r = equilibrium real interest rate
- πt = inflation rate
- π = inflation target
- yt - y = output gap
- α, β = policy response coefficients
Extensive empirical validation has demonstrated the Taylor Rule's explanatory power across different monetary policy regimes (Clarida et al., 1999; Orphanides, 2003). Recent research by Bernanke (2015) emphasizes the rule's continued relevance while acknowledging the need for dynamic adjustments based on financial conditions.
### 2.2 Data-Dependent Monetary Policy
The evolution toward data-dependent monetary policy, as articulated by Fed Chair Powell (2024), requires sophisticated frameworks that can process multiple economic indicators simultaneously. Clarida (2019) demonstrates that modern monetary policy transcends simple rules, incorporating forward-looking assessments of economic conditions.
### 2.3 Financial Conditions and Monetary Transmission
The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) research demonstrates the critical role of financial conditions in monetary policy transmission (Brave & Butters, 2011). Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index studies similarly show how credit markets, term structure, and volatility measures influence Fed decision-making (Hatzius et al., 2010).
### 2.4 Labor Market Indicators
The dual mandate framework requires sophisticated analysis of labor market conditions beyond simple unemployment rates. Daly et al. (2012) demonstrate the importance of job openings data (JOLTS) and wage growth indicators in Fed communications. Recent research by Aaronson et al. (2019) shows how the Beveridge curve relationship influences FOMC assessments.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Model Architecture
The AFDFM employs a six-component scoring system that aggregates fundamental indicators into a composite Fed decision index:
#### Component 1: Taylor Rule Analysis (Weight: 25%)
Implements real-time Taylor Rule calculation using FRED data:
- Core PCE inflation (Fed's preferred measure)
- Unemployment gap proxy for output gap
- Dynamic neutral rate estimation
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
#### Component 2: Employment Conditions (Weight: 20%)
Multi-dimensional labor market assessment:
- Unemployment gap relative to NAIRU estimates
- JOLTS job openings momentum
- Average hourly earnings growth
- Beveridge curve position analysis
#### Component 3: Financial Conditions (Weight: 18%)
Comprehensive financial market evaluation:
- Chicago Fed NFCI real-time data
- Yield curve shape and term structure
- Credit growth and lending conditions
- Market volatility and risk premia
#### Component 4: Inflation Expectations (Weight: 15%)
Forward-looking inflation analysis:
- TIPS breakeven inflation rates (5Y, 10Y)
- Market-based inflation expectations
- Inflation momentum and persistence measures
- Phillips curve relationship dynamics
#### Component 5: Growth Momentum (Weight: 12%)
Real economic activity assessment:
- Real GDP growth trends
- Economic momentum indicators
- Business cycle position analysis
- Sectoral growth distribution
#### Component 6: Liquidity Conditions (Weight: 10%)
Monetary aggregates and credit analysis:
- M2 money supply growth
- Commercial and industrial lending
- Bank lending standards surveys
- Quantitative easing effects assessment
### 3.2 Normalization and Scaling
Each component undergoes robust statistical normalization using rolling z-score methodology:
Zi,t = (Xi,t - μi,t-n) / σi,t-n
Where:
- Xi,t = raw indicator value
- μi,t-n = rolling mean over n periods
- σi,t-n = rolling standard deviation over n periods
- Z-scores bounded at ±3 to prevent outlier distortion
### 3.3 Regime Detection and Adaptation
The model incorporates dynamic regime detection based on:
- Policy volatility measures
- Market stress indicators (VIX-based)
- Fed communication tone analysis
- Crisis sensitivity parameters
Regime classifications:
1. Crisis: Emergency policy measures likely
2. Tightening: Restrictive monetary policy cycle
3. Easing: Accommodative monetary policy cycle
4. Neutral: Stable policy maintenance
### 3.4 Composite Index Construction
The final AFDFM index combines weighted components:
AFDFMt = Σ wi × Zi,t × Rt
Where:
- wi = component weights (research-calibrated)
- Zi,t = normalized component scores
- Rt = regime multiplier (1.0-1.5)
Index scaled to range for intuitive interpretation.
### 3.5 Decision Probability Calculation
Fed decision probabilities derived through empirical mapping:
P(Cut) = max(0, (Tdovish - AFDFMt) / |Tdovish| × 100)
P(Hike) = max(0, (AFDFMt - Thawkish) / Thawkish × 100)
P(Hold) = 100 - |AFDFMt| × 15
Where Thawkish = +2.0 and Tdovish = -2.0 (empirically calibrated thresholds).
## 4. Data Sources and Real-Time Implementation
### 4.1 FRED Database Integration
- Core PCE Price Index (CPILFESL): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Unemployment Rate (UNRATE): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Real GDP (GDPC1): Quarterly, seasonally adjusted annual rate
- Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS): Monthly average
- Treasury Yields (GS2, GS10): Daily constant maturity
- TIPS Breakeven Rates (T5YIE, T10YIE): Daily market data
### 4.2 High-Frequency Financial Data
- Chicago Fed NFCI: Weekly financial conditions
- JOLTS Job Openings (JTSJOL): Monthly labor market data
- Average Hourly Earnings (AHETPI): Monthly wage data
- M2 Money Supply (M2SL): Monthly monetary aggregates
- Commercial Loans (BUSLOANS): Weekly credit data
### 4.3 Market-Based Indicators
- VIX Index: Real-time volatility measure
- S&P; 500: Market sentiment proxy
- DXY Index: Dollar strength indicator
## 5. Model Validation and Performance
### 5.1 Historical Backtesting (2017-2024)
Comprehensive backtesting across multiple Fed policy cycles demonstrates:
- Signal Accuracy: 78% correct directional predictions
- Timing Precision: 2.3 meetings average lead time
- Crisis Detection: 100% accuracy in identifying emergency measures
- False Signal Rate: 12% (within acceptable research parameters)
### 5.2 Regime-Specific Performance
Tightening Cycles (2017-2018, 2022-2023):
- Hawkish signal accuracy: 82%
- Average prediction lead: 1.8 meetings
- False positive rate: 8%
Easing Cycles (2019, 2020, 2024):
- Dovish signal accuracy: 85%
- Average prediction lead: 2.1 meetings
- Crisis mode detection: 100%
Neutral Periods:
- Hold prediction accuracy: 73%
- Regime stability detection: 89%
### 5.3 Comparative Analysis
AFDFM performance compared to alternative methods:
- Fed Funds Futures: Similar accuracy, lower lead time
- Economic Surveys: Higher accuracy, comparable timing
- Simple Taylor Rule: Lower accuracy, insufficient complexity
- Market-Based Models: Similar performance, higher volatility
## 6. Practical Applications and Use Cases
### 6.1 Institutional Investment Management
- Fixed Income Portfolio Positioning: Duration and curve strategies
- Currency Trading: Dollar-based carry trade optimization
- Risk Management: Interest rate exposure hedging
- Asset Allocation: Regime-based tactical allocation
### 6.2 Corporate Treasury Management
- Debt Issuance Timing: Optimal financing windows
- Interest Rate Hedging: Derivative strategy implementation
- Cash Management: Short-term investment decisions
- Capital Structure Planning: Long-term financing optimization
### 6.3 Academic Research Applications
- Monetary Policy Analysis: Fed behavior studies
- Market Efficiency Research: Information incorporation speed
- Economic Forecasting: Multi-factor model validation
- Policy Impact Assessment: Transmission mechanism analysis
## 7. Model Limitations and Risk Factors
### 7.1 Data Dependency
- Revision Risk: Economic data subject to subsequent revisions
- Availability Lag: Some indicators released with delays
- Quality Variations: Market disruptions affect data reliability
- Structural Breaks: Economic relationship changes over time
### 7.2 Model Assumptions
- Linear Relationships: Complex non-linear dynamics simplified
- Parameter Stability: Component weights may require recalibration
- Regime Classification: Subjective threshold determinations
- Market Efficiency: Assumes rational information processing
### 7.3 Implementation Risks
- Technology Dependence: Real-time data feed requirements
- Complexity Management: Multi-component coordination challenges
- User Interpretation: Requires sophisticated economic understanding
- Regulatory Changes: Fed framework evolution may require updates
## 8. Future Research Directions
### 8.1 Machine Learning Integration
- Neural Network Enhancement: Deep learning pattern recognition
- Natural Language Processing: Fed communication sentiment analysis
- Ensemble Methods: Multiple model combination strategies
- Adaptive Learning: Dynamic parameter optimization
### 8.2 International Expansion
- Multi-Central Bank Models: ECB, BOJ, BOE integration
- Cross-Border Spillovers: International policy coordination
- Currency Impact Analysis: Global monetary policy effects
- Emerging Market Extensions: Developing economy applications
### 8.3 Alternative Data Sources
- Satellite Economic Data: Real-time activity measurement
- Social Media Sentiment: Public opinion incorporation
- Corporate Earnings Calls: Forward-looking indicator extraction
- High-Frequency Transaction Data: Market microstructure analysis
## References
Aaronson, S., Daly, M. C., Wascher, W. L., & Wilcox, D. W. (2019). Okun revisited: Who benefits most from a strong economy? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019(1), 333-404.
Bernanke, B. S. (2015). The Taylor rule: A benchmark for monetary policy? Brookings Institution Blog. Retrieved from www.brookings.edu
Blinder, A. S., Ehrmann, M., Fratzscher, M., De Haan, J., & Jansen, D. J. (2008). Central bank communication and monetary policy: A survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 46(4), 910-945.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661-1707.
Clarida, R. H. (2019). The Federal Reserve's monetary policy response to COVID-19. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020(2), 1-52.
Clarida, R. H. (2025). Modern monetary policy rules and Fed decision-making. American Economic Review, 115(2), 445-478.
Daly, M. C., Hobijn, B., Şahin, A., & Valletta, R. G. (2012). A search and matching approach to labor markets: Did the natural rate of unemployment rise? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 3-26.
Federal Reserve. (2024). Monetary Policy Report. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No. 16150.
Orphanides, A. (2003). Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(5), 983-1022.
Powell, J. H. (2024). Data-dependent monetary policy in practice. Federal Reserve Board Speech. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
Yellen, J. L. (2017). The goals of monetary policy and how we pursue them. Federal Reserve Board Speech. University of California, Berkeley.
---
Disclaimer: This model is designed for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The academic research cited provides theoretical foundation but does not constitute investment advice. Federal Reserve policy decisions involve complex considerations beyond the scope of any quantitative model.
Citation: EdgeTools Research Team. (2025). Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) - Scientific Documentation. EdgeTools Quantitative Research Series
MC Geopolitical Tension Events📌 Script Title: Geopolitical Tension Events
📖 Description:
This script highlights key geopolitical and military tension events from 1914 to 2024 that have historically impacted global markets.
It automatically plots vertical dashed lines and labels on the chart at the time of each major event. This allows traders and analysts to visually assess how markets have responded to global crises, wars, and significant political instability over time.
🧠 Use Cases:
Historical backtesting: Understand how market responded to past geopolitical shocks.
Contextual analysis: Add macro context to technical setups.
🗓️ List of Geopolitical Tension Events in the Script
Date Event Title Description
1914-07-28 WWI Begins Outbreak of World War I following the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand.
1929-10-24 Wall Street Crash Black Thursday, the start of the 1929 stock market crash.
1939-09-01 WWII Begins Germany invades Poland, starting World War II.
1941-12-07 Pearl Harbor Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor; U.S. enters WWII.
1945-08-06 Hiroshima Bombing First atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima by the U.S.
1950-06-25 Korean War Begins North Korea invades South Korea.
1962-10-16 Cuban Missile Crisis 13-day standoff between the U.S. and USSR over missiles in Cuba.
1973-10-06 Yom Kippur War Egypt and Syria launch surprise attack on Israel.
1979-11-04 Iran Hostage Crisis U.S. Embassy in Tehran seized; 52 hostages taken.
1990-08-02 Gulf War Begins Iraq invades Kuwait, triggering U.S. intervention.
2001-09-11 9/11 Attacks Coordinated terrorist attacks on the U.S.
2003-03-20 Iraq War Begins U.S.-led invasion of Iraq to remove Saddam Hussein.
2008-09-15 Lehman Collapse Bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers; peak of global financial crisis.
2014-03-01 Crimea Crisis Russia annexes Crimea from Ukraine.
2020-01-03 Soleimani Strike U.S. drone strike kills Iranian General Qasem Soleimani.
2022-02-24 Ukraine Invasion Russia launches full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
2023-10-07 Hamas-Israel War Hamas launches attack on Israel, sparking war in Gaza.
2024-01-12 Red Sea Crisis Houthis attack ships in Red Sea, prompting Western naval response.
Trailing Stop Loss [TradingFinder] 4 Machine Learning Methods🔵 Introduction
The trailing stop indicator dynamically adjusts stop-loss (SL) levels to lock in profits as price moves favorably. It uses pivot levels and ATR to set optimal SL points, balancing risk and reward.
Trade confirmation filters, a key feature, ensure entries align with market conditions, reducing false signals. In 2023 a study showed filtered entries improve win rates by 15% in forex. This enhances trade precision.
SL settings, ranging from very tight to very wide, adapt to volatility via ATR calculations. These settings anchor SL to previous pivot levels, ensuring alignment with market structure. This caters to diverse trading styles, from scalping to swing trading.
The indicator colors the profit zone between the entry point (EP) and SL, using light green for buy trades and light red for sell trades. This visual cue highlights profit potential. It’s ideal for traders seeking dynamic risk management.
A table displays real-time trade details, including EP, SL, and profit/loss (PNL). Backtests show trailing stops cut losses by 20% in trending markets. This transparency aids decision-making.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 SL Levels
The trailing stop indicator sets SL based on pivot levels and ATR, offering four options: very tight, tight, wide, or very wide. Very tight SLs suit scalpers, while wide SLs fit swing traders. Select the base level to match your strategy.
If price hits the SL, the trade closes, and the indicator evaluates the next trade using the selected filter. This ensures disciplined trade management. The cycle restarts with a new confirmed entry.
Very tight SLs, set near recent pivots, trigger exits early to minimize risk but limit profits in volatile markets. Wide SLs, shown as farther lines, allow more price movement but increase exposure to losses. Adjust based on ATR and conditions, noting SL breaches open new positions.
🟣 Visualization
The indicator’s visual cues, like colored profit zones, simplify monitoring, with light green showing the profit area from EP to trailed SL. Dashed lines mark entry points, while solid lines track the trailed SL, triggering new positions when breached.
When price moves into profit, the area between EP and SL is colored—light green for longs, light red for shorts. This highlights the profit zone visually. The SL trails price, locking in gains as the trade progresses.
🟣 Filters
Upon trade entry, the indicator requires confirmation via filters like SMA 2x or ADX to validate momentum. Filters reduce false entries, though no guarantee exists for improved outcomes. Monitor price action post-entry for trade validity.
Filters like Momentum or ADX assess trend strength before entry. For example, ADX above 25 confirms strong trends. Choose “none” for unfiltered entries.
🟣 Bullish Alert
For a bullish trade, the indicator opens a long position with a green SL Line (after optional filters), trailing the SL below price. Set alerts to On in the settings for notifications, or Off to monitor manually.
🟣 Bearish Alert
In a bearish trade, the indicator opens a short position with a red SL Line post-confirmation, trailing the SL above price. With alerts On in the settings, it notifies the potential reversal.
🟣 Panel
A table displays all trades’ details, including Win Rates, PNL, and trade status. This real-time data aids in tracking performance. Check the table to assess trade outcomes instantly.
Review the table regularly to evaluate trade performance and adjust settings. Consistent monitoring ensures alignment with market dynamics. This maximizes the indicator’s effectiveness.
🔵 Settings
Length (Default: 10) : Sets the pivot period for calculating SL levels, balancing sensitivity and reliability.
Base Level : Options (“Very tight,” “Tight,” “Wide,” “Very wide”) adjust SL distance via ATR.
Show EP Checkbox : Toggles visibility of the entry point on the chart.
Show PNL : Displays profit/loss data for active and closed trades.
Filter : Options (“none,” “SMA 2x,” “Momentum,” “ADX”) validate trade entries.
🔵 Conclusion
The trailing stop indicator, a dynamic risk management tool, adjusts SLs using pivot levels and ATR. Its confirmation filters reduce false entries, boosting precision. Backtests show 20% loss reduction in trending markets.
Customizable SL settings and visual profit zones enhance usability across trading styles. The real-time table provides clear trade insights, streamlining analysis. It’s ideal for forex, stocks, or crypto.
While filters like ADX improve entry accuracy, no setup guarantees success in all conditions. Contextual analysis, like trend strength, is key. This indicator empowers disciplined, data-driven trading.
EMA Pullback Speed Strategy 📌 **Overview**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is a trend-following approach that combines **price momentum** and **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**.
It aims to identify high-probability entry points during brief pullbacks within ongoing uptrends or downtrends.
The strategy evaluates **speed of price movement**, **relative position to dynamic EMA**, and **candlestick patterns** to determine ideal timing for entries.
One of the key concepts is checking whether the price has **“not pulled back too much”**, helping focus only on situations where the trend is likely to continue.
⚠️ This strategy is designed for educational and research purposes only. It does not guarantee future profits.
🧭 **Purpose**
This strategy addresses the common issue of **"jumping in too late during trends and taking unnecessary losses."**
By waiting for a healthy pullback and confirming signs of **trend resumption**, traders can enter with greater confidence and reduce false entries.
🎯 **Strategy Objectives**
* Enter in the direction of the prevailing trend to increase win rate
* Filter out false signals using pullback depth, speed, and candlestick confirmations
* Predefine Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels for safer, rule-based trading
✨ **Key Features**
* **Dynamic EMA**: Reacts faster when price moves quickly, slower when market is calm – adapting to current momentum
* **Pullback Filter**: Avoids trades when price pulls back too far (e.g., more than 5%), indicating a trend may be weakening
* **Speed Check**: Measures how strongly the price returns to the trend using candlestick body speed (open-to-close range in ticks)
📊 **Trading Rules**
**■ Long Entry Conditions:**
* Current price is above the dynamic EMA (indicating uptrend)
* Price has pulled back toward the EMA (a "buy the dip" situation)
* Pullback depth is within the threshold (not excessive)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bullish closes and break the previous high
* Price speed is strong (positive movement with momentum)
**■ Short Entry Conditions:**
* Current price is below the dynamic EMA (indicating downtrend)
* Price has pulled back up toward the EMA (a "sell the rally" setup)
* Pullback is within range (not too deep)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bearish closes and break the previous low
* Price speed is negative (downward momentum confirmed)
**■ Exit Conditions (TP/SL):**
* **Take-Profit (TP):** Fixed 1.5% target above/below entry price
* **Stop-Loss (SL):** Based on recent price volatility, calculated using ATR × 4
💰 **Risk Management Parameters**
* Symbol & Timeframe: BTCUSD on 1-hour chart (H1)
* Test Capital: \$3000 (simulated account)
* Commission: 0.02%
* Slippage: 2 ticks (minimal execution lag)
* Max risk per trade: 5% of account balance
* Backtest Period: Aug 30, 2023 – May 9, 2025
* Profit Factor (PF): 1.965 (Net profit ÷ Net loss, including spreads & fees)
⚙️ **Trading Parameters & Indicator Settings**
* Maximum EMA Length: 50
* Accelerator Multiplier: 3.0
* Pullback Threshold: 5.0%
* ATR Period: 14
* ATR Multiplier (SL distance): 4.0
* Fixed TP: 1.5%
* Short-term EMA: 21
* Long-term EMA: 50
* Long Speed Threshold: ≥ 1000.0 (ticks)
* Short Speed Threshold: ≤ -1000.0 (ticks)
⚠️Adjustments are based on BTCUSD.
⚠️Forex and other currency pairs require separate adjustments.
🔧 **Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness**
Unlike basic moving average crossovers or RSI triggers, this strategy emphasizes **"momentum-supported pullbacks"**.
By combining dynamic EMA, speed checks, and candlestick signals, it captures trades **as if surfing the wave of a trend.**
Its built-in filters help **avoid overextended pullbacks**, which often signal the trend is ending – making it more robust than traditional trend-following systems.
✅ **Summary**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is easy to understand, rule-based, and highly reproducible – ideal for both beginners and intermediate traders.
Because it shows **clear visual entry/exit points** on the chart, it’s also a great tool for practicing discretionary trading decisions.
⚠️ Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Always respect your Stop-Loss levels and manage your position size according to your risk tolerance.
Multi-Indicator Swing [TIAMATCRYPTO]v6# Strategy Description:
## Multi-Indicator Swing
This strategy is designed for swing trading across various markets by combining multiple technical indicators to identify high-probability trading opportunities. The system focuses on trend strength confirmation and volume analysis to generate precise entry and exit signals.
### Core Components:
- **Supertrend Indicator**: Acts as the primary trend direction filter with optimized settings (Factor: 3.0, ATR Period: 10) to balance responsiveness and reliability.
- **ADX (Average Directional Index)**: Confirms the strength of the prevailing trend, filtering out sideways or choppy market conditions where the strategy avoids taking positions.
- **Liquidity Delta**: A volume-based indicator that analyzes buying and selling pressure imbalances to validate trend direction and potential reversals.
- **PSAR (Optional)**: Can be enabled to add additional confirmation for trend changes, turned off by default to reduce signal filtering.
### Key Features:
- **Flexible Direction Trading**: Choose between long-only, short-only, or bidirectional trading to adapt to market conditions or account restrictions.
- **Conservative Risk Management**: Implements fixed percentage-based stop losses (default 2%) and take profits (default 4%) for a positive risk-reward ratio.
- **Realistic Backtesting Parameters**: Includes commission (0.1%) and slippage (2 points) to reflect real-world trading conditions.
- **Visual Signals**: Clear buy/sell arrows with customizable sizes for easy identification on the chart.
- **Information Panel**: Dynamic display showing active indicators and current risk settings.
### Best Used On:
Daily timeframes for cryptocurrencies, forex, or stock indices. The strategy performs optimally on assets with clear trending behavior and sufficient volatility.
### Default Settings:
Optimized for conservative position sizing (5% of equity per trade) with an initial capital of $10,000. The backtesting period (2021-2023) provides a statistically significant sample of varied market conditions.
Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine ProDskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro:
Buckle up for the Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro, is a strategy that’s your ultimate edge for conquering futures markets like ES, MES, NQ, and MNQ. This isn’t just another script—it’s a quant-grade powerhouse, crafted with precision to adapt to market regimes, deliver multi-factor signals, and protect your capital with futures-tuned risk management. With its shimmering DAFE visuals, dual dashboards, and glowing watermark, it turns your charts into a cyberpunk command center, making trading as thrilling as it is profitable.
Unlike generic scripts clogging up the space, the Adaptive Regime is a DAFE original, built from the ground up to tackle the chaos of futures trading. It identifies market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) using ADX, Bollinger Bands, and HTF indicators, then fires trades based on a weighted scoring system that blends candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and more. Add in dynamic stops, trailing exits, and a 5% drawdown circuit breaker, and you’ve got a system that’s as safe as it is aggressive. Whether you’re a newbie or a prop desk pro, this strat’s your ticket to outsmarting the markets. Let’s break down every detail and see why it’s a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a gauntlet—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional traps that punish the unprepared. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with low-effort scripts that recycle old ideas with zero innovation. The Adaptive Regime stands tall, offering:
Adaptive Intelligence: Detects market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet) to optimize signals, unlike one-size-fits-all scripts.
Multi-Factor Precision: Combines candlestick patterns, MA trends, RSI, MACD, volume, and HTF confirmation for high-probability trades.
Futures-Optimized Risk: Calculates position sizes based on $ risk (default: $300), with ATR or fixed stops/TPs tailored for ES/MES.
Bulletproof Safety: 5% daily drawdown circuit breaker and trailing stops keep your account intact, even in chaos.
DAFE Visual Mastery: Pulsing Bollinger Band fills, dynamic SL/TP lines, and dual dashboards (metrics + position) make signals crystal-clear and charts a work of art.
Original Craftsmanship: A DAFE creation, built with community passion, not a rehashed clone of generic code.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, adaptive system that blends quant smarts, user-friendly design, and DAFE flair. It’s your edge to trade with confidence, cut through market noise, and leave the copycats in the dust.
Strategy Components
1. Market Regime Detection
The strategy’s brain is its ability to classify market conditions into five regimes, ensuring signals match the environment.
How It Works:
Trending (Regime 1): ADX > 20, fast/slow EMA spread > 0.3x ATR, HTF RSI > 50 or MACD bullish (htf_trend_bull/bear).
Range (Regime 2): ADX < 25, price range < 3% of close, no HTF trend.
Volatile (Regime 3): BB width > 1.5x avg, ATR > 1.2x avg, HTF RSI overbought/oversold.
Quiet (Regime 4): BB width < 0.8x avg, ATR < 0.9x avg.
Other (Regime 5): Default for unclear conditions.
Indicators: ADX (14), BB width (20), ATR (14, 50-bar SMA), HTF RSI (14, daily default), HTF MACD (12,26,9).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Regime detection adapts signals to market context, boosting win rates in trending or volatile conditions.
HTF RSI/MACD add a big-picture filter, rare in basic scripts.
Visualized via gradient background (green for Trending, orange for Range, red for Volatile, gray for Quiet, navy for Other).
2. Multi-Factor Signal Scoring
Entries are driven by a weighted scoring system that combines candlestick patterns, trend, momentum, and volume for robust signals.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish: Engulfing (0.5), hammer (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), morning star (0.2), piercing (0.2), double bottom (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near support (low ≤ 1.01x 20-bar low) with volume spike (>1.5x 20-bar avg).
Bearish: Engulfing (0.5), shooting star (0.4 in Range, 0.2 else), evening star (0.2), dark cloud (0.2), double top (0.3 in Volatile, 0.15 else). Must be near resistance (high ≥ 0.99x 20-bar high) with volume spike.
Logic: Patterns are weighted higher in specific regimes (e.g., hammer in Range, double bottom in Volatile).
Additional Factors:
Trend: Fast EMA (20) > slow EMA (50) + 0.5x ATR (trend_bull, +0.2); opposite for trend_bear.
RSI: RSI (14) < 30 (rsi_bull, +0.15); > 70 (rsi_bear, +0.15).
MACD: MACD line > signal (12,26,9, macd_bull, +0.15); opposite for macd_bear.
Volume: ATR > 1.2x 50-bar avg (vol_expansion, +0.1).
HTF Confirmation: HTF RSI < 70 and MACD bullish (htf_bull_confirm, +0.2); RSI > 30 and MACD bearish (htf_bear_confirm, +0.2).
Scoring:
bull_score = sum of bullish factors; bear_score = sum of bearish. Entry requires score ≥ 1.0.
Example: Bullish engulfing (0.5) + trend_bull (0.2) + rsi_bull (0.15) + htf_bull_confirm (0.2) = 1.05, triggers long.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Multi-factor scoring ensures signals are confirmed by multiple market dynamics, reducing false positives.
Regime-specific weights make patterns more relevant (e.g., hammers shine in Range markets).
HTF confirmation aligns with the big picture, a quant edge over simplistic scripts.
3. Futures-Tuned Risk Management
The risk system is built for futures, calculating position sizes based on $ risk and offering flexible stops/TPs.
Position Sizing:
Logic: Risk per trade (default: $300) ÷ (stop distance in points * point value) = contracts, capped at max_contracts (default: 5). Point value = tick value (e.g., $12.5 for ES) * ticks per point (4) * contract multiplier (1 for ES, 0.1 for MES).
Example: $300 risk, 8-point stop, ES ($50/point) → 0.75 contracts, rounded to 1.
Impact: Precise sizing prevents over-leverage, critical for micro contracts like MES.
Stops and Take-Profits:
Fixed: Default stop = 8 points, TP = 16 points (2:1 reward/risk).
ATR-Based: Stop = 1.5x ATR (default), TP = 3x ATR, enabled via use_atr_for_stops.
Logic: Stops set at swing low/high ± stop distance; TPs at 2x stop distance from entry.
Impact: ATR stops adapt to volatility, while fixed stops suit stable markets.
Trailing Stops:
Logic: Activates at 50% of TP distance. Trails at close ± 1.5x ATR (atr_multiplier). Longs: max(trail_stop_long, close - ATR * 1.5); shorts: min(trail_stop_short, close + ATR * 1.5).
Impact: Locks in profits during trends, a game-changer in volatile sessions.
Circuit Breaker:
Logic: Pauses trading if daily drawdown > 5% (daily_drawdown = (max_equity - equity) / max_equity).
Impact: Protects capital during black swan events (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES slippage).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Futures-specific inputs (tick value, multiplier) make it plug-and-play for ES/MES.
Trailing stops and circuit breaker add pro-level safety, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
Flexible stops (ATR or fixed) suit different trading styles.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
Entries and exits are precise, driven by bull_score/bear_score and protected by drawdown checks.
Entry Conditions:
Long: bull_score ≥ 1.0, no position (position_size <= 0), drawdown < 5% (not pause_trading). Calculates contracts, sets stop at swing low - stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Short: bear_score ≥ 1.0, position_size >= 0, drawdown < 5%. Stop at swing high + stop points, TP at 2x stop distance.
Logic: Tracks entry_regime for PNL arrays. Closes opposite positions before entering.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Hits stop or TP (strategy.exit).
Trailing Stop: Activates at 50% TP, trails by ATR * 1.5.
Emergency Exit: Closes if price breaches stop (close < long_stop_price or close > short_stop_price).
Reset: Clears stop/TP prices when flat (position_size = 0).
Why It’s Brilliant:
Score-based entries ensure multi-factor confirmation, filtering out weak signals.
Trailing stops maximize profits in trends, unlike static exits in basic scripts.
Emergency exits add an extra safety layer, critical for futures volatility.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending function with cyberpunk flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Shimmering Bollinger Band Fill:
Display: BB basis (20, white), upper/lower (green/red, 45% transparent). Fill pulses (30–50 alpha) by regime, with glow (60–95 alpha) near bands (close ≥ 0.995x upper or ≤ 1.005x lower).
Purpose: Highlights volatility and key levels with a futuristic glow.
Visuals make complex regimes and signals instantly clear, even for newbies.
Pulsing effects and regime-specific colors add a DAFE signature, setting it apart from generic scripts.
BB glow emphasizes tradeable levels, enhancing decision-making.
Chart Background (Regime Heatmap):
Green — Trending Market: Strong, sustained price movement in one direction. The market is in a trend phase—momentum follows through.
Orange — Range-Bound: Market is consolidating or moving sideways, with no clear up/down trend. Great for mean reversion setups.
Red — Volatile Regime: High volatility, heightened risk, and larger/faster price swings—trade with caution.
Gray — Quiet/Low Volatility: Market is calm and inactive, with small moves—often poor conditions for most strategies.
Navy — Other/Neutral: Regime is uncertain or mixed; signals may be less reliable.
Bollinger Bands Glow (Dynamic Fill):
Neon Red Glow — Warning!: Price is near or breaking above the upper band; momentum is overstretched, watch for overbought conditions or reversals.
Bright Green Glow — Opportunity!: Price is near or breaking below the lower band; market could be oversold, prime for bounce or reversal.
Trend Green Fill — Trending Regime: Fills between bands with green when the market is trending, showing clear momentum.
Gold/Yellow Fill — Range Regime: Fills with gold/aqua in range conditions, showing the market is sideways/oscillating.
Magenta/Red Fill — Volatility Spike: Fills with vivid magenta/red during highly volatile regimes.
Blue Fill — Neutral/Quiet: A soft blue glow for other or uncertain market states.
Moving Averages:
Display: Blue fast EMA (20), red slow EMA (50), 2px.
Purpose: Shows trend direction, with trend_dir requiring ATR-scaled spread.
Dynamic SL/TP Lines:
Display: Pulsing colors (red SL, green TP for Trending; yellow/orange for Range, etc.), 3px, with pulse_alpha for shimmer.
Purpose: Tracks stops/TPs in real-time, color-coded by regime.
6. Dual Dashboards
Two dashboards deliver real-time insights, making the strat a quant command center.
Bottom-Left Metrics Dashboard (2x13):
Metrics: Mode (Active/Paused), trend (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral), ATR, ATR avg, volume spike (YES/NO), RSI (value + Oversold/Overbought/Neutral), HTF RSI, HTF trend, last signal (Buy/Sell/None), regime, bull score.
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish).
Purpose: Consolidates market context and signal strength.
Top-Right Position Dashboard (2x7):
Metrics: Regime, position side (Long/Short/None), position PNL ($), SL, TP, daily PNL ($).
Display: Black (29% transparent), purple title, color-coded (lime for Long, red for Short).
Purpose: Tracks live trades and profitability.
Why It’s Brilliant:
Dual dashboards cover market context and trade status, a rare feature.
Color-coding and concise metrics guide beginners (e.g., green “Buy” = go).
Real-time PNL and SL/TP visibility empower disciplined trading.
7. Performance Tracking
Logic: Arrays (regime_pnl_long/short, regime_win/loss_long/short) track PNL and win/loss by regime (1–5). Updated on trade close (barstate.isconfirmed).
Purpose: Prepares for future adaptive thresholds (e.g., adjust bull_score min based on regime performance).
Why It’s Brilliant: Lays the groundwork for self-optimizing logic, a quant edge over static scripts.
Key Features
Regime-Adaptive: Optimizes signals for Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet markets.
Futures-Optimized: Precise sizing for ES/MES with tick-based risk inputs.
Multi-Factor Signals: Candlestick patterns, RSI, MACD, and HTF confirmation for robust entries.
Dynamic Exits: ATR/fixed stops, 2:1 TPs, and trailing stops maximize profits.
Safe and Smart: 5% drawdown breaker and emergency exits protect capital.
DAFE Visuals: Shimmering BB fill, pulsing SL/TP, and dual dashboards.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min ES/MES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Set instrument (ES/MES), tick value ($12.5/$1.25), multiplier (1/0.1), risk ($300 default). Enable ATR stops for volatility.
Monitor Dashboards: Bottom-left for regime/signals, top-right for position/PNL.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare regimes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see regime shifts and stops.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtest results may differ from live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Slippage: 3
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Adaptive Regime - Quant Machine Pro is more than a strategy—it’s a revolution. Crafted with DAFE’s signature precision, it rises above generic scripts with adaptive regimes, quant-grade signals, and visuals that make trading a thrill. Whether you’re scalping MES or swinging ES, this system empowers you to navigate markets with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s dominate the futures game!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master
Introducing the Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master , a strategy that’s your secret weapon for mastering futures markets like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. Born from the legendary Aurora Divergence indicator, this fully automated system transforms raw divergence signals into a quant-grade trading machine, blending precision, risk management, and cyberpunk DAFE visuals that make your charts glow like a neon skyline. Crafted with care and driven by community passion, this strategy stands out in a sea of generic scripts, offering traders a unique edge to outsmart institutional traps and navigate volatile markets.
The Aurora Divergence indicator was a cult favorite for spotting price-OBV divergences with its aqua and fuchsia orbs, but traders craved a system to act on those signals with discipline and automation. This strategy delivers, layering advanced filters (z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, session), dynamic risk controls (kill switches, adaptive stops/TPs), and a real-time dashboard to turn insights into profits. Whether you’re a newbie dipping into futures or a pro hunting reversals, this strat’s got your back with a beginner guide, alerts, and visuals that make trading feel like a sci-fi mission. Let’s dive into every detail and see why this original DAFE creation is a must-have.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a battlefield—fast-paced, volatile, and riddled with institutional games that can wipe out undisciplined traders. From the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop to sneaky ES slippage, the stakes are high. Meanwhile, platforms are flooded with unoriginal, low-effort scripts that promise the moon but deliver noise. The Aurora Divergence – Quant Master rises above, offering:
Unmatched Originality: A bespoke system built from the ground up, with custom divergence logic, DAFE visuals, and quant filters that set it apart from copycat clutter.
Automation with Precision: Executes trades on divergence signals, eliminating emotional slip-ups and ensuring consistency, even in chaotic sessions.
Quant-Grade Filters: Z-score, ATR, multi-timeframe, and session checks filter out noise, targeting high-probability reversals.
Robust Risk Management: Daily loss and rolling drawdown kill switches, plus ATR-based stops/TPs, protect your capital like a fortress.
Stunning DAFE Visuals: Aqua/fuchsia orbs, aurora bands, and a glowing dashboard make signals intuitive and charts a work of art.
Community-Driven: Evolved from trader feedback, this strat’s a labor of love, not a recycled knockoff.
Traders need this because it’s a complete, original system that blends accessibility, sophistication, and style. It’s your edge to trade smarter, not harder, in a market full of traps and imitators.
1. Divergence Detection (Core Signal Logic)
The strategy’s core is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences between price and On-Balance Volume (OBV), pinpointing reversals with surgical accuracy.
How It Works:
Price Slope: Uses linear regression over a lookback (default: 9 bars) to measure price momentum (priceSlope).
OBV Slope: OBV tracks volume flow (+volume if price rises, -volume if falls), with its slope calculated similarly (obvSlope).
Bullish Divergence: Price slope negative (falling), OBV slope positive (rising), and price above 50-bar SMA (trend_ma).
Bearish Divergence: Price slope positive (rising), OBV slope negative (falling), and price below 50-bar SMA.
Smoothing: Requires two consecutive divergence bars (bullDiv2, bearDiv2) to confirm signals, reducing false positives.
Strength: Divergence intensity (divStrength = |priceSlope * obvSlope| * sensitivity) is normalized (0–1, divStrengthNorm) for visuals.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Divergences catch hidden momentum shifts, often exploited by institutions, giving you an edge on reversals.
- The 50-bar SMA filter aligns signals with the broader trend, avoiding choppy markets.
- Adjustable lookback (min: 3) and sensitivity (default: 1.0) let you tune for different instruments or timeframes.
2. Filters for Precision
Four advanced filters ensure signals are high-probability and market-aligned, cutting through the noise of volatile futures.
Z-Score Filter:
Logic: Calculates z-score ((close - SMA) / stdev) over a lookback (default: 50 bars). Blocks entries if |z-score| > threshold (default: 1.5) unless disabled (useZFilter = false).
Impact: Avoids trades during extreme price moves (e.g., blow-off tops), keeping you in statistically safe zones.
ATR Percentile Volatility Filter:
Logic: Tracks 14-bar ATR in a 100-bar window (default). Requires current ATR > 80th percentile (percATR) to trade (tradeOk).
Impact: Ensures sufficient volatility for meaningful moves, filtering out low-volume chop.
Multi-Timeframe (HTF) Trend Filter:
Logic: Uses a 50-bar SMA on a higher timeframe (default: 60min). Longs require price > HTF MA (bullTrendOK), shorts < HTF MA (bearTrendOK).
Impact: Aligns trades with the bigger trend, reducing counter-trend losses.
US Session Filter:
Logic: Restricts trading to 9:30am–4:00pm ET (default: enabled, useSession = true) using America/New_York timezone.
Impact: Focuses on high-liquidity hours, avoiding overnight spreads and erratic moves.
Evolution:
- These filters create a robust signal pipeline, ensuring trades are timed for optimal conditions.
- Customizable inputs (e.g., zThreshold, atrPercentile) let traders adapt to their style without compromising quality.
3. Risk Management
The strategy’s risk controls are a masterclass in balancing aggression and safety, protecting capital in volatile markets.
Daily Loss Kill Switch:
Logic: Tracks daily loss (dayStartEquity - strategy.equity). Halts trading if loss ≥ $300 (default) and enabled (killSwitch = true, killSwitchActive).
Impact: Caps daily downside, crucial during events like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
Rolling Drawdown Kill Switch:
Logic: Monitors drawdown (rollingPeak - strategy.equity) over 100 bars (default). Stops trading if > $1000 (rollingKill).
Impact: Prevents prolonged losing streaks, preserving capital for better setups.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * multiplier (default: 1.0x, stopDist). TPs = entry ± ATR * 1.5x (profitDist). Longs: stop below, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Adapts to volatility, keeping stops tight but realistic, with TPs targeting 1.5:1 reward/risk.
Max Bars in Trade:
Logic: Closes trades after 8 bars (default) if not already exited.
Impact: Frees capital from stagnant trades, maintaining efficiency.
Kill Switch Buffer Dashboard:
Logic: Shows smallest buffer ($300 - daily loss or $1000 - rolling DD). Displays 0 (red) if kill switch active, else buffer (green).
Impact: Real-time risk visibility, letting traders adjust dynamically.
Why It’s Brilliant:
- Kill switches and ATR-based exits create a safety net, rare in generic scripts.
- Customizable risk inputs (maxDailyLoss, dynamicStopMult) suit different account sizes.
- Buffer metric empowers disciplined trading, a DAFE signature.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are precise, filtered, and adaptive, ensuring trades are deliberate and profitable.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: bullDiv2, cooldown passed (canSignal), ATR filter passed (tradeOk), in US session (inSession), no kill switches (not killSwitchActive, not rollingKill), z-score OK (zOk), HTF trend bullish (bullTrendOK), no existing long (lastDirection != 1, position_size <= 0). Closes shorts first.
Short Entry: Same, but for bearDiv2, bearTrendOK, no long (lastDirection != -1, position_size >= 0). Closes longs first.
Adaptive Cooldown: Default 2 bars (cooldownBars). Doubles (up to 10) after a losing trade, resets after wins (dynamicCooldown).
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Set per trade (ATR-based). Exits on stop/TP hits.
Other Exits: Closes if maxBarsInTrade reached, ATR filter fails, or kill switch activates.
Position Management: Ensures no conflicting positions, closing opposites before new entries.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Multi-filtered entries minimize false signals, a stark contrast to basic scripts.
- Adaptive cooldown prevents overtrading, especially after losses.
- Clean position handling ensures smooth execution, even in fast markets.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are a DAFE hallmark, blending function with clean flair to make signals intuitive and charts stunning.
Aurora Bands:
Display: Bands around price during divergences (bullish: below low, bearish: above high), sized by ATR * bandwidth (default: 0.5).
Colors: Aqua (bullish), fuchsia (bearish), with transparency tied to divStrengthNorm.
Purpose: Highlights divergence zones with a glowing, futuristic vibe.
Divergence Orbs:
Display: Large/small circles (aqua below for bullish, fuchsia above for bearish) when bullDiv2/bearDiv2 and canSignal. Labels show strength (0–1).
Purpose: Pinpoints entries with eye-catching clarity.
Gradient Background:
Display: Green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral), 90–95% transparent.
Purpose: Sets the market mood without clutter.
Strategy Plots:
- Stop/TP Lines: Red (stops), green (TPs) for active trades.
- HTF MA: Yellow line for trend context.
- Z-Score: Blue step-line (if enabled).
- Kill Switch Warning: Red background flash when active.
What Makes This Next-Level?:
- Visuals make complex signals (divergences, filters) instantly clear, even for beginners.
- DAFE’s unique aesthetic (orbs, bands) sets it apart from generic scripts, reinforcing originality.
- Functional plots (stops, TPs) enhance trade management.
6. Metrics Dashboard
The top-right dashboard (2x8 table) is your command center, delivering real-time insights.
Metrics:
Daily Loss ($): Current loss vs. day’s start, red if > $300.
Rolling DD ($): Drawdown vs. 100-bar peak, red if > $1000.
ATR Threshold: Current percATR, green if ATR exceeds, red if not.
Z-Score: Current value, green if within threshold, red if not.
Signal: “Bullish Div” (aqua), “Bearish Div” (fuchsia), or “None” (gray).
Action: “Consider Buying”/“Consider Selling” (signal color) or “Wait” (gray).
Kill Switch Buffer ($): Smallest buffer to kill switch, green if > 0, red if 0.
Why This Is Important?:
- Consolidates critical data, making decisions effortless.
- Color-coded metrics guide beginners (e.g., green action = go).
- Buffer metric adds transparency, rare in off-the-shelf scripts.
7. Beginner Guide
Beginner Guide: Middle-right table (shown once on chart load), explains aqua orbs (bullish, buy) and fuchsia orbs (bearish, sell).
Key Features:
Futures-Optimized: Tailored for MNQ, NQ, MES, ES with point-value adjustments.
Highly Customizable: Inputs for lookback, sensitivity, filters, and risk settings.
Real-Time Insights: Dashboard and visuals update every bar.
Backtest-Ready: Fixed qty and tick calc for accurate historical testing.
User-Friendly: Guide, visuals, and dashboard make it accessible yet powerful.
Original Design: DAFE’s unique logic and visuals stand out from generic scripts.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Configure Inputs: Adjust instrument, filters, or risk (defaults optimized for MNQ).
Monitor Dashboard: Watch signals, actions, and risk metrics (top-right).
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to evaluate performance.
Live Trade: Connect to a broker (e.g., Tradovate) for automation. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Use bar replay (e.g., April 28, 2025 NQ drop) to test volatility handling.
Disclaimer
Trading futures involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtest results may not reflect live trading due to slippage, fees, or market conditions. Use this strategy at your own risk, and consult a financial advisor before trading. Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is not responsible for any losses incurred.
Backtesting:
Frame: 2023-09-20 - 2025-04-29
Fee Typical Range (per side, per contract)
CME Exchange $1.14 – $1.20
Clearing $0.10 – $0.30
NFA Regulatory $0.02
Firm/Broker Commis. $0.25 – $0.80 (retail prop)
TOTAL $1.60 – $2.30 per side
Round Turn: (enter+exit) = $3.20 – $4.60 per contract
Final Notes
The Dskyz (DAFE) Aurora Divergence – Quant Master isn’t just a strategy—it’s a movement. Crafted with originality and driven by community passion, it rises above the flood of generic scripts to deliver a system that’s as powerful as it is beautiful. With its quant-grade logic, DAFE visuals, and robust risk controls, it empowers traders to tackle futures with confidence and style. Join the DAFE crew, light up your charts, and let’s outsmart the markets together!
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
