CM Indicator About Indicator:-
1) This is best Indicator for trend identification.
2) This is based on 42 EMA with Upper Band and Lower bands for trend identification.
3) This should be used for Line Bar chart only.
4) Line bar chart should be used at 1 hour for 15 line breaks.
How to Use:-
1) To go with trend is best use of this indicator.
2) This is for stocks and options not for index. Indicator used for Stocks at one hour and options for 10-15 minutes line break.
3) There will be 5% profitability defined for each entry, 3 entries with profit are best posible in same continuous trend 4 and 5th entry is in riskier zone in continuous trend.
4) Loss will only happen if there is trend reversal.
5) Loss could only be one trade of profit out of three profitable trades.
6) Back tested on 200 stocks and 100 options.
Indikatoren und Strategien
cd_RSI_Divergence_CxGeneral:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator widely used by traders in price analysis. In addition to showing overbought/oversold zones, divergences between RSI and price are also tracked to identify trading opportunities.
The general consensus is that oscillators alone are not sufficient for entries and should be evaluated together with multiple confirmations.
This oscillator is designed as an additional confirmation/compatible tool for strategies that already use higher time frame (HTF) sweeps and lower time frame (LTF) confirmations such as Change in State Delivery (CISD) or Change of Character (CHOCH).
Features:
While RSI oscillators are commonly displayed in line format (classic), this indicator also offers candlestick-style visualization.
Depending on the selected source, period length, and EMA length, RSI can be displayed as lines and/or candlesticks.
Divergence detection & tracking:
Price and RSI values are monitored on the chosen higher time frame (from the menu) to determine highs and lows. For divergence display, the user can choose between two modes:
1- Alignment with HTF Sweep
2- All
1 - Alignment with HTF Sweep:
First, the price must sweep the previous high/low of the candle on the HTF (i.e., break it) but fail to continue in that direction and return inside (sweep).
If this condition is met, RSI values are checked:
If price makes a high sweep but RSI fails to make a new high → divergence is confirmed.
If price makes a low sweep but RSI fails to make a new low → divergence is confirmed.
Divergence is then displayed on the chart.
2 - All:
In this mode, sweep conditions are ignored. Divergence is confirmed if:
Price makes a new high on HTF but RSI does not.
RSI makes a new high on HTF but price does not.
Price makes a new low on HTF but RSI does not.
RSI makes a new low on HTF but price does not.
Menu & Settings:
RSI visualization (source + period length + EMA period length)
Option to choose classic/candlestick style display
Color customization
Higher time frame selection
Adjustable HTF boxes and table display
Final notes:
This oscillator is designed as an additional confirmation tool for strategies based on HTF sweep + LTF CISD/CHOCH confirmation logic. The chosen HTF in the oscillator should match the time frame where sweeps are expected.
Divergence signals from this oscillator alone will not make you profitable.
For spot trades, monitoring sweeps and divergences on higher time frames is more suitable (e.g., Daily–H1 / Weekly–H4).
My personal usage preferences:
Entry TF: 3m
HTF bias: Daily + H1
Sweep + CISD: 30m / 3m
Market Structure: 3m
RSI divergence: HTF = 30m
If all of them align bullish or bearish ( timeframe alignment ), I try to take the trade.
I’d be glad to hear your feedback and suggestions for improvement.
Happy trading!
TP/SL Dynamic (FIB,ATR,MULTIPLE,PERCENT)TP/SL Dynamic (FIB, ATR, MULTIPLE, PERCENT)
This indicator provides a flexible framework for managing Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels using multiple calculation schemes. It is designed for traders who want dynamic or rule-based levels that adapt to volatility, market type, and custom input.
The script supports four TP/SL methodologies:
Pro Standards (Auto-Select): Adapts method based on asset type and volatility.
R Multiples: Risk-based reward multiples from ATR-derived stop distance.
Fibonacci R: Fibonacci extension levels projected from recent pivots.
Percent: Fixed percentage distance from entry, adjusted by volatility.
ATR Multiples: ATR-based calculations with configurable multipliers.
Features:
Up to 3 manual entries, each with configurable time, price, and position size.
Weighted entry price calculation across multiple positions.
Single or multiple TP targets (up to 4) with automatic scaling.
Dynamic ATR option: updates SL/TP levels with live volatility or fixes them at entry.
Pivot-based logic for Fibonacci extensions.
Symbol Locking to prevent mismatches between intended pair and chart symbol.
Table display with optional R-multiples, TP/SL values, and entry details.
Visual chart elements: lines, labels, price-scale markers for SL/TP, and zebra-style info tables.
Entry markers (E1, E2, E3) for clarity.
Alerts for TP and SL triggers (both long and short).
How to Use:
Define entry prices, times, and position sizes (up to 3 entries).
Select a TP method (Pro Standards, R Multiples, Fibonacci R, Percent, or ATR Multiples).
Choose single or multiple TP mode.
Optionally enable Dynamic ATR to update levels in real time.
Check the on-chart table for all calculated levels and alerts.
Author & Credit:
Developed from the ground up by me (no external code used outside The Pine public library).
OMN Heikin Ashi Candle Direction Reversal AlertThis is a indicator to let you know once Heikin Ashi candle has changed direction compared to the candle before it. Set an alert on the indicator to get an audible alert.
RSI Oscillator fxdealBased on the Pine Script code you provided, here is a detailed description of the indicator's features and functionality.
Indicator Overview
This is the Heikin Ashi RSI Oscillator (HARSI), a custom-built indicator for TradingView. It combines the principles of Heikin Ashi candles and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to provide a smoothed, trend-focused oscillator in a separate pane below the main chart. The indicator visualizes trend strength, overbought/oversold conditions, and momentum changes using a series of configurable plots and lines.
Key Components and Features
Heikin Ashi RSI Candles: This is the core component. Instead of traditional price data, the indicator uses a custom Heikin Ashi calculation applied to the RSI values. This creates a smoothed, momentum-driven "candle" visualization that filters out market noise, making it easier to identify the direction and strength of the trend. The color of these candles changes to reflect bullish (teal) or bearish (red) momentum.
RSI Plot & Histogram: The indicator includes a standard RSI line plot and an optional histogram. The RSI can be displayed in "Smoothed Mode," which applies a Heikin Ashi-like smoothing to the RSI line itself to reduce volatility and improve trend identification. The histogram visually represents the RSI's value, with its height corresponding to the magnitude of the RSI.
Stochastic RSI: An optional Stochastic RSI is included to provide a different perspective on momentum. This is a "momentum of momentum" indicator that can be used for confirming trend changes or identifying overbought/oversold conditions within the RSI's own range. It can be plotted as either a ribbon (showing the K and D lines filled) or as individual lines.
Bollinger Bands (Stepline Style): The indicator overlays Bollinger Bands on the RSI. These bands adapt to the volatility of the RSI, providing dynamic overbought and oversold levels. The middle band is a simple moving average of the RSI. The upper and lower bands are plotted using a stepline style, giving them a distinct, staggered appearance.
Horizontal Lines: Several fixed horizontal lines are plotted to define key zones:
Overbought/Oversold (OB/OS) Zones: Customizable horizontal lines define overbought and oversold regions, with additional lines for "extreme" levels. These are based on the indicator's zero-median scale.
Traditional RSI Levels: Optional dotted horizontal lines at 70, 50, and 30 help users who are accustomed to traditional RSI readings quickly identify overbought, neutral, and oversold conditions.
Simple EMA IndicatorSimple EMA Indicator by Ashwin Kumar. Includes all prominent timeframe moving averages on a single indicator.
Justin's Bitcoin Power Law PredictorJustin's MSTR Powerlaw Price Predictor is a Pine Script v6 indicator for TradingView that adapts Giovanni Santostasi’s Bitcoin power law model to forecast MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock prices. Using the formula Price = A * (daysSinceGenesis)^B, it calculates fair, upper, and floor prices with constants A_fair = 1.16e-17, A_floor = 0.42e-17, and B = 5.82, starting from Bitcoin’s genesis (January 3, 2009). The script plots these prices, displays values in a table.
Source: www.ccn.com
Justin's MSTR Powerlaw Price PredictorJustin's MSTR Powerlaw Price Predictor is a Pine Script v6 indicator for TradingView that adapts Giovanni Santostasi’s Bitcoin power law model to forecast MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock prices. The price prediction is based on the the formula published in this article:
www.ccn.com
Simple and effective indicatorsSimple and effective indicators
Green Long
Red Short
Yellow oscillation
Positive Close RatioThe Positive Close Ratio is a simple sentiment indicator that measures the percentage of days within a chosen lookback period where the closing price finished higher than the previous day.
• Calculation:
It counts how many daily closes were positive compared to the previous day, then divides by the total number of days in the lookback window.
\text{Positive Close Ratio} = \frac{\text{Number of Up Days}}{\text{Lookback Days}} \times 100
BTC CME Gap – detector & single signals# BTC CME Gap — Detector & Single Signals (Pine v5)
**What it does**
This indicator finds the **weekend gap** on **CME Bitcoin futures** and turns it into a clean, tradable object:
* Draws a **gap zone** (Friday close ↔ Monday open) as a right-extending box.
* Fires **one-time signals** per gap:
* **ENTER** – first touch of the gap zone by price.
* **FILL** – gap is considered filled when price tags **Friday’s close**.
It works on any BTC chart (spot or futures). The gap itself is calculated from **CME\:BTC1!** daily data.
---
## How it works
1. Pulls **daily** `open`/`close` from `CME:BTC1!` (`request.security`, no lookahead).
2. On **Monday**, compares Monday **open** with previous **Friday close**:
* If different → a **gap** exists.
3. Defines the zone:
* `gapTop = max(MonOpen, FriClose)`
* `gapBot = min(MonOpen, FriClose)`
4. Renders a box + boundary lines, **extending right** until price action resolves it.
5. Signals:
* **ENTER**: the first bar that **enters** the gap zone.
* **FILL**: first bar that **touches Friday close** (gap completion).
6. Each new Monday gap **replaces** the previous box and signals.
---
## Inputs
* **CME symbol** (default `CME:BTC1!`)
* **Gap timeframe** (default `D`)
* **Colors** for the box and edges
---
## Plot & Signals
* **Box** = visual gap zone (transparent fill, outlined).
* **ENTER** = triangle up below bar.
* **FILL** = triangle down above bar.
* Optional label prints **Top / Bottom / Fill** levels.
---
## Notes on behavior
* Uses `barmerge.lookahead_off` and daily aggregation, so the gap definition **does not repaint** once Monday’s daily bar is confirmed.
* Signals are **single-shot** per gap (no clutter).
* Works on any chart timeframe; the gap logic always references **CME daily**.
---
## Practical use
* Track obvious **“magnets”** for mean-reversion, stop-runs, or liquidity grabs.
* Combine with your higher-timeframe bias (e.g., **1D trend filter**) and execution on **4H/1H**.
* Typical outcomes: quick Monday fill, staged fill after partial rejection, or delayed fill during later consolidation.
---
## Customization ideas
* Add `alertcondition(enterSignal, …)` / `alertcondition(fillSignal, …)` for automation.
* Gate trades with trend filters (EMA/SMA, Kernel regression, ADX) or session tools (VWAP/POC).
* Persist multiple historical gap boxes if you want to track **unfilled** gaps.
---
**Credits**: Built for BTC CME weekend gaps; minimal, publication-ready visualization with single-event signals to keep charts clean.
my rulesこのインジケーターは自分のルールをチャート上に表示できます！
行数やテキストも自由に設定できるので是非使ってね！！
Xのアカウントはこちら→@keito_trader
This indicator lets you display your own trading rules directly on the chart!
You can freely customize the number of lines and the text, so be sure to give it a try!!
My X account → @keito_trader
DEE's Indicator v2 — Daily Range, Averages & Previous High/Low🇺🇸 English
This indicator is designed to help traders analyze market volatility and daily price ranges.
It includes the following features:
• 5-bar analysis: Shows high-low ranges and percentage changes of the last 5 bars.
• Daily Average Range: Calculates daily average ranges based on the last 5 bars.
• Daily AVG Lines: Plots expected top and bottom range levels based on the daily average.
• Previous Day High/Low: Automatically draws lines from the previous day's high and low.
• Timeframe Separators: Adds visual separators between days, months, and years.
• Optional arrows: Displays arrow markers for the last detected bars used in the calculation.
Use cases:
● Intraday traders can quickly measure daily progress compared to the average daily range.
● Swing traders can identify support/resistance levels from previous daily highs and lows.
● Risk managers can monitor when current volatility deviates significantly from the average.
⚠️ Notes:
The script does not generate buy/sell signals; it provides analytical tools only.
All displayed information is for visual/educational purposes and should be combined with your own trading strategy.
👉 Don’t forget to adjust the settings to suit your needs.
If you are using a multi-chart layout with different timeframes and apply this indicator to each chart, the 5-bar data will be calculated separately based on each chart’s TF. However, the “Daily AVG” section will always show the same value for the 1D timeframe.
🇺🇿 O‘zbekcha
Ushbu indikator treyderlarga bozor volatilligi va kundalik narx diapazonlarini tahlil qilishda yordam berish uchun mo‘ljallangan.
Unda quyidagi funksiyalar mavjud:
• 5-bar tahlili: So‘nggi 5 ta bar diapazoni (high–low) va foiz o‘zgarishini ko‘rsatadi.
• Kundalik o‘rtacha diapazon: So‘nggi 5 ta bar asosida o‘rtacha kundalik diapazonni hisoblaydi.
• AVG Lines: Daily AVGning yuqori va pastki diapazon darajalarini chizadi.
• Oldingi kunning High/Low darajalari: Avtomatik ravishda oldingi kunning high va low darajalarini chizadi.
• Vaqt ajratgichlari: Kunlar, oylar va yillar orasiga vizual ajratgich qo‘shadi.
• Ixtiyoriy strelkalar: Hisoblash uchun foydalanilgan so‘nggi barlarda strelka belgilarini ko‘rsatadi.
Qo‘llanilishi:
● Intraday treyderlar kundalik natijani o‘rtacha kundalik diapazon bilan tezda solishtira olishadi.
● Swing treyderlar oldingi kunning high va low darajalaridan qo‘llab-quvvatlash/qarshilik darajalarini aniqlashlari mumkin.
● Risk-menejerlar hozirgi volatillik o‘rtachadan sezilarli darajada og‘ib ketganini kuzatishlari mumkin.
⚠️ Eslatma:
Ushbu indikator sotib olish/sotish signallarini bermaydi; u faqat tahliliy vosita sifatida ishlatiladi.
Ko‘rsatilgan barcha ma’lumotlar vizual/ta’limiy maqsadlarda mo‘ljallangan bo‘lib, o‘z strategiyangiz bilan birgalikda qo‘llanilishi lozim.
👉 Sozlamalarni ehtiyojlaringizga qarab moslashtirishni unutmang.
Agar siz multi-chart rejimida turli timeframelar bilan ishlasangiz va ushbu indikatorni har bir grafikda qo‘llasangiz, 5 ta bar haqidagi ma’lumotlar har bir grafikning o‘z TFiga qarab hisoblanadi. Ammo “Daily AVG” bo‘limida esa faqat 1D timeframe uchun bir xil qiymat ko‘rsatiladi.
🇷🇺 Русский
Этот индикатор предназначен для помощи трейдерам в анализе волатильности рынка и дневных ценовых диапазонов.
Он включает в себя следующие функции:
• Анализ 5 свечей: Показывает диапазон high–low и процентные изменения последних 5 свечей.
• Средний дневной диапазон: Рассчитывает средний дневной диапазон на основе последних 5 свечей.
• Линии среднего диапазона (AVG Lines): Строит ожидаемые верхние и нижние уровни диапазона на основе среднего дневного значения.
• Максимум/минимум предыдущего дня: Автоматически наносит линии с уровнями high и low предыдущего дня.
• Разделители временных интервалов: Добавляет визуальные разделители между днями, месяцами и годами.
• Опциональные стрелки: Показывает стрелки на последних свечах, использованных в расчётах.
Применение:
● Интрадей-трейдеры могут быстро измерять дневное движение по сравнению со средним дневным диапазоном.
● Свинг-трейдеры могут определять уровни поддержки/сопротивления по максимумам и минимумам предыдущего дня.
● Риск-менеджеры могут контролировать ситуации, когда текущая волатильность значительно отклоняется от среднего.
⚠️ Примечания:
Этот индикатор не генерирует сигналы на покупку/продажу; он предоставляет только аналитические инструменты.
Вся отображаемая информация предназначена для визуальных/образовательных целей и должна использоваться совместно с вашей торговой стратегией.
👉 Не забудьте настроить параметры под свои нужды.
Если вы работаете в режиме мульти-графика с разными таймфреймами и применяете этот индикатор на каждом графике, данные по 5 барам будут рассчитываться отдельно для каждого ТФ. Однако в разделе “Daily AVG” всегда отображается одно и то же значение для таймфрейма 1D.
© Dilshod Nurmatov Shuhratovich | deetradesonline | 2025
Price Heat Meter [ChartPrime]⯁ OVERVIEW
Price Heat Meter visualizes where price sits inside its recent range and turns that into an intuitive “temperature” read. Using rolling extremes, candles fade from ❄️ aqua (cold) near the lower bound to 🔥 red (hot) near the upper bound. The tool also trails recent extreme levels, tags unusually persistent extremes with a % “heat” label, and shows a bottom gauge (0–100%) with a live arrow so you can read market heat at a glance.
⯁ KEY FEATURES
Rolling Heat Map (0–100%):
The script measures where the close sits between the current Lowest Low and Highest High over the chosen Length (default 50).
Candles use a two-stage gradient: aqua → yellow (0–50%), then yellow → red (50–100%). This makes “how stretched are we?” instantly visible.
Dynamic Extremes with Time Decay:
When a new rolling High or Low is set, the script starts a faint horizontal trail at that price. Each bar that passes without a new extreme increases a counter; the line’s color gradually fades over time and fully disappears after ~100 bars, keeping the chart clean.
Persistent-Extreme Tags (Reversal Hints):
If an extreme persists for 40 bars (i.e., price hasn’t reclaimed or surpassed it), the tool stamps the original extreme pivot with its recorded Heat% at the moment the extreme formed.
• Upper extremes print a red % label (possible exhaustion/resistance context).
• Lower extremes print an aqua % label (possible exhaustion/support context).
Bottom Heat Gauge (0–100% Scale):
A compact, gradient bar renders at the bottom center showing the current Heat% with an arrow/label. ❄️ anchors the left (0%), 🔥 anchors the right (100%). The arrow adopts the same candle heat color for consistency.
Minimal Inputs, Clear Theme:
• Length (lookback window for H/L)
• Heat Color set (Cold / Mid / Hot)
The defaults give a balanced, legible gradient on most assets/timeframes.
Signal Hygiene by Design:
The meter doesn’t “call” reversals. Instead, it contextualizes price within its range and highlights the aging of extremes. That keeps it robust across regimes and assets, and ideal as a confluence layer with your existing triggers.
⯁ HOW IT WORKS (UNDER THE HOOD)
Range Model:
H = Highest(High, Length), L = Lowest(Low, Length). Heat% = 100 × (Close − L) / (H − L).
Extreme Tracking & Fade:
When High == H , we record/update the current upper extreme; same for Low == L on the lower side. If the extreme doesn’t change on the next bar, a counter increments and the plotted line’s opacity shifts along a 0→100 fade scale (visual decay).
40-Bar Persistence Labels:
On the bar after the extreme forms, the code stores the bar_index and the contemporaneous Heat% . If the extreme survives 40 bars, it places a % label at the original pivot price and index—flagging levels that were meaningfully “tested by time.”
Unified Color Logic:
Both candles and the gauge use the same two-stage gradient (Cold→Mid, then Mid→Hot), so your eye reads “heat” consistently across all elements.
⯁ USAGE
Treat >80% as “hot” and <20% as “cold” context; combine with your trigger (e.g., structure, OB, div, breakouts) instead of acting on heat alone.
Watch persistent extreme labels (40-bar marks) as reference zones for reaction or liquidity grabs.
Use the fading extreme lines as a memory map of where price last stretched—levels that slowly matter less as they decay.
Tighten Length for intraday sensitivity or increase it for swing stability.
⯁ WHY IT’S UNIQUE
Rather than another oscillator, Price Heat Meter translates simple market geometry (rolling extremes) into a readable temperature layer with time-aware extremes and a synchronized gauge . You get a continuously updated sense of stretch, persistence, and potential reversal context—without clutter or overfitting.
VWMA MACD AmanitaVWMA MACD (Volume-Weighted MACD)
This indicator modifies the standard MACD by replacing EMAs with VWMAs
(Volume-Weighted Moving Averages).
- Fast VWMA (default 12 bars)
- Slow VWMA (default 26 bars)
- MACD Line = Fast VWMA - Slow VWMA
- Signal Line = EMA of MACD (default 9 bars)
- Histogram = MACD - Signal
Compared to the standard MACD, this version emphasizes price moves that
are backed by higher trading volume, helping to filter out weak signals.
The script also lets you choose the price source (Close, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4).
Project Action LevelProject Action Level helps you instantly spot the most actionable support & resistance around current price. It auto-pulls key levels from a higher timeframe and shows up to three nearby supports and three resistances on your chart—clearly labeled and ready to use. Use it to plan entries, take profits, and place smarter stops in seconds for both intraday and swing trading.
Delta Pulse Oscillator — GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA“Delta Pulse Oscillator visualizes buy vs. sell pressure using smoothed delta %, baselines, and crossover markers.”
📌 Delta Pulse Oscillator — GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
The Delta Pulse Oscillator is a custom-built momentum tool that measures the balance between buying and selling activity and smooths it with moving averages. It provides a visual representation of percentage delta strength with dynamic coloring, baseline levels, and crossover markers.
🔎 Key Features
Delta EMA (%) Line → Shows the smoothed percentage difference between simulated buy and sell volumes.
Signal EMA Line → A shorter EMA applied on Delta EMA to highlight momentum shifts.
Baseline Levels
0 line (neutral balance of buy/sell activity).
+5 baseline (stronger positive pressure).
-5 baseline (stronger negative pressure).
Dynamic Coloring → Green when Delta EMA is above zero, red when below.
Cross Dots
Yellow dots mark when Delta EMA or Signal EMA crosses the zero line.
Orange dots appear when Delta EMA crosses the +5 or –5 baselines.
Green/Red dots highlight when both EMAs stay above +5 or below –5.
Background Fills → Visual zones for positive and negative regions.
🧩 How It Can Be Used
Helps to visualize buying vs. selling pressure in real time.
Highlights when momentum is strengthening or weakening around defined baseline levels.
Useful as a confirmation tool when combined with other forms of analysis.
⚠️ Note: This script is for educational and analytical purposes only. It is not a trading strategy and does not provide buy/sell signals. Always use with additional tools, price action, and proper risk management.
Pasrsifal.RegressionTrendStateSummary
The Parsifal.Regression.Trend.State Indicator analyzes the leading coefficients of linear and quadratic regressions of price (against time). It also considers their first- and second-order changes. These features are aggregated into a Trend-State background, shown as a gradient color. In addition, the indicator generates fast and slow signals that can be used as potential entry- or exit triggers.
This tool is designed for advanced trend-following strategies, leveraging information from multiple trendline features.
Background
Trendlines provide insight into the state of a trend or the “trendiness” of a price process. While moving averages or pivot-based lines can serve as envelopes and breakout levels, they are often too lagging for swing traders, who need tools that adapt more closely to price swings, ideally using trendlines, around which the price process swings continuously.
Regression lines address this by cutting directly through the data, making them a natural anchor for observing how price winds around a central trendline within a chosen lookback period.
Regression Trendlines
• Linear Regression:
o Minimizes distance to all closing values over the lookback period.
o The slope represents the short-term linear trend.
o The change of slope indicates trend acceleration or deceleration.
o Linear regression lags during phases of rapid market shifts.
• Quadratic Regression:
o Fits a second-degree polynomial to minimize deviation from closing prices.
o The convexity term (leading coefficient) reflects curvature:
Positive convexity → accelerating uptrend or fading downtrend.
Negative convexity → accelerating downtrend or fading uptrend.
o The change of convexity detects early shifts in momentum and often reacts faster than slope features.
Features Extracted
The indicator evaluates six features:
• Linear features: slope, first derivative of slope, second derivative of slope.
• Quadratic features: convexity term, first derivative of the convexity term, second derivative of the convexity term.
• Linear features: capture broad, background trend behavior.
• Quadratic features: detect deviations, accelerations, and smaller-scale dynamics.
Quadratic terms generally react first to market changes, while linear terms provide stability and context.
Dynamics of Market Moves as seen by linear and quadratic regressions
• At the start of a rapid move:
The change of convexity reacts first, capturing the shift in dynamics before other features. The convexity term then follows, while linear slope features lag further behind. Because convexity measures deviation from linearity, it reflects accelerating momentum more effectively than slope.
• At the end of a rapid move:
Again, the change of convexity responds first to fading momentum, signaling the transition from above-linear to below-linear dynamics. Even while a strong trend persists, the change of convexity may flip sign early, offering a warning of weakening strength. The convexity term itself adjusts more slowly but may still turn before the price process does. Linear features lag the most, typically only flipping after price has already reversed, thereby smoothing out the rapid, more sensitive reactions of quadratic terms.
________________________________________
Parsifal Regression.Trend.State Method
1. Feature Mapping:
Each feature is mapped to a range between -1 and 1, preserving zero-crossings (critical for sign interpretation).
2. Aggregation:
A heuristic linear combination*) produces a background information value, visualized as a gradient color scale:
o Deep green → strong positive trend.
o Deep red → strong negative trend.
o Yellow → neutral or transitional states.
3. Signals:
o Fast signal (oscillator): ranges from -1 to 1, reflecting short-term trend state.
o Slow signal (smoothed): moving average of the fast signal.
o Their interactions (crossovers, zero-crossings) provide actionable trading triggers.
How to Use
The Trend-State background gradient provides intuitive visual feedback on the aggregated regression features (slope, convexity, and their changes). Because these features reflect not only current trend strength but also their acceleration or deceleration, the color transitions help anticipate evolving market states:
• Solid Green: All features near their highs. Indicates a strong, accelerating uptrend. May also reflect explosive or hyperbolic upside moves (including gaps).
• Fading Solid Green: A recently strong uptrend is losing momentum. Price may shift into a slower uptrend, consolidation, or even a reversal.
• Fading Green → Yellow: Often appears as a dirty yellow or a rapidly mixing pattern of green and red. Signals that the uptrend is weakening toward neutrality or beginning to turn negative.
• Yellow → Deepening Red: Two possible scenarios:
o Coming from a strong uptrend → suggests a sharp fade, though the trend may still technically be up.
o Coming from a weaker uptrend or sideways market → suggests the start of an accelerating downtrend.
• Solid Red: All features near their lows. Indicates a strong, accelerating downtrend. May also reflect crash-type conditions or downside gaps.
• Fading Solid Red: A recently strong downtrend is losing strength. Market may move into a slower decline, consolidation, or early reversal upward.
• Fading Red → Yellow : The downtrend is weakening toward neutral, with potential for a bullish shift.
• Yellow → Increasing Green: Two possible scenarios:
o Coming from a strong downtrend, it reflects a sharp fade of bearish momentum, though the market may still technically be trending down.
o Coming from a weaker downtrend or sideways movement, it suggests the start of an accelerating uptrend.
Note: Market evolution does not always follow this neat “color cycle.” It may jump between states, skip stages, or reverse abruptly depending on market conditions. This makes the background coloring particularly valuable as a contextual map of current and evolving price dynamics.
Signal Crossovers:
Although the fast signal is very similar (but not identical) to the background coloring, it provides a numerical representation indicating a bullish interpretation for rising values and bearish for falling.
o High-confidence entries:
Fast signal rising from < -0.7 and crossing above the slow signal → potential long entry.
Fast signal falling from > +0.7 and crossing below the slow signal → potential short entry.
o Low-confidence entries:
Crossovers near zero may still provide a valid trigger but may be noisy and should be confirmed with other signals.
o Zero-crossings:
Indicate broader state changes, useful for conservative positioning or option strategies. For confirmation of a Fast signal 0-crossing, wait for the Slow signal to cross as well.
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*) Note on Aggregation
While the indicator currently uses a heuristic linear combination of features, alternatives such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) could provide a more formal aggregation. However, while in the absence of matrix algebra, the required eigenvalue decomposition can be approximated, its computational expense does not justify the marginal higher insight in this case. The current heuristic approach offers a practical balance of clarity, speed, and accuracy.
