Multi-Step FlexiMA - Strategy [presentTrading]It's time to come back! hope I can not to be busy for a while.
█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The FlexiMA Variance Tracker is a unique trading strategy that calculates a series of deviations between the price (or another indicator source) and a variable-length moving average (MA). Unlike traditional strategies that use fixed-length moving averages, the length of the MA in this system varies within a defined range. The length changes dynamically based on a starting factor and an increment factor, creating a more adaptive approach to market conditions.
This strategy integrates Multi-Step Take Profit (TP) levels, allowing for partial exits at predefined price increments. It enables traders to secure profits at different stages of a trend, making it ideal for volatile markets where taking full profits at once might lead to missed opportunities if the trend continues.
BTCUSD 6hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 FlexiMA Concept
The FlexiMA (Flexible Moving Average) is at the heart of this strategy. Unlike traditional MA-based strategies where the MA length is fixed (e.g., a 50-period SMA), the FlexiMA varies its length with each iteration. This is done using a **starting factor** and an **increment factor**.
The formula for the moving average length at each iteration \(i\) is:
`MA_length_i = indicator_length * (starting_factor + i * increment_factor)`
Where:
- `indicator_length` is the user-defined base length.
- `starting_factor` is the initial multiplier of the base length.
- `increment_factor` increases the multiplier in each iteration.
Each iteration applies a **simple moving average** (SMA) to the chosen **indicator source** (e.g., HLC3) with a different length based on the above formula. The deviation between the current price and the moving average is then calculated as follows:
`deviation_i = price_current - MA_i`
These deviations are normalized using one of the following methods:
- **Max-Min normalization**:
`normalized_i = (deviation_i - min(deviations)) / range(deviations)`
- **Absolute Sum normalization**:
`normalized_i = deviation_i / sum(|deviation_i|)`
The **median** and **standard deviation (stdev)** of the normalized deviations are then calculated as follows:
`median = median(normalized deviations)`
For the standard deviation:
`stdev = sqrt((1/(N-1)) * sum((normalized_i - mean)^2))`
These values are plotted to provide a clear indication of how the price is deviating from its variable-length moving averages.
For more detail:
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit
This strategy uses a multi-step take profit system, allowing for exits at different stages of a trade based on the percentage of price movement. Three take-profit levels are defined:
- Take Profit Level 1 (TP1): A small, quick profit level (e.g., 2%).
- Take Profit Level 2 (TP2): A medium-level profit target (e.g., 8%).
- Take Profit Level 3 (TP3): A larger, more ambitious target (e.g., 18%).
At each level, a corresponding percentage of the trade is exited:
- TP Percent 1: E.g., 30% of the position.
- TP Percent 2: E.g., 20% of the position.
- TP Percent 3: E.g., 15% of the position.
This approach ensures that profits are locked in progressively, reducing the risk of market reversals wiping out potential gains.
Local
🔶 Trade Entry and Exit Conditions
The entry and exit signals are determined by the interaction between the **SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator** and the **median** value of the normalized deviations:
- Long entry: The SuperTrend turns bearish, and the median value of the deviations is positive.
- Short entry: The SuperTrend turns bullish, and the median value is negative.
Similarly, trades are exited when the SuperTrend flips direction.
* The SuperTrend Toolkit is made by @EliCobra
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows users to specify the desired trade direction:
- Long: Only long positions will be taken.
- Short: Only short positions will be taken.
- Both: Both long and short positions are allowed based on the conditions.
This flexibility allows the strategy to adapt to different market conditions and trading styles, whether you're looking to buy low and sell high, or sell high and buy low.
█ Usage
This strategy can be applied across various asset classes, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, and forex. The primary use case is to take advantage of market volatility by using a flexible moving average and multiple take-profit levels to capture profits incrementally as the market moves in your favor.
How to Use:
1. Configure the Inputs: Start by adjusting the **Indicator Length**, **Starting Factor**, and **Increment Factor** to suit your chosen asset. The defaults work well for most markets, but fine-tuning them can improve performance.
2. Set the Take Profit Levels: Adjust the three **TP levels** and their corresponding **percentages** based on your risk tolerance and the expected volatility of the market.
3. Monitor the Strategy: The SuperTrend and the FlexiMA variance tracker will provide entry and exit signals, automatically managing the positions and taking profits at the pre-set levels.
█ Default Settings
The default settings for the strategy are configured to provide a balanced approach that works across different market conditions:
Indicator Length (10):
This controls the base length for the moving average. A lower length makes the moving average more responsive to price changes, while a higher length smooths out fluctuations, making the strategy less sensitive to short-term price movements.
Starting Factor (1.0):
This determines the initial multiplier applied to the moving average length. A higher starting factor will increase the average length, making it slower to react to price changes.
Increment Factor (1.0):
This increases the moving average length in each iteration. A larger increment factor creates a wider range of moving average lengths, allowing the strategy to track both short-term and long-term trends simultaneously.
Normalization Method ('None'):
Three methods of normalization can be applied to the deviations:
- None: No normalization applied, using raw deviations.
- Max-Min: Normalizes based on the range between the maximum and minimum deviations.
- Absolute Sum: Normalizes based on the total sum of absolute deviations.
Take Profit Levels:
- TP1 (2%): A quick exit to capture small price movements.
- TP2 (8%): A medium-term profit target for stronger trends.
- TP3 (18%): A long-term target for strong price moves.
Take Profit Percentages:
- TP Percent 1 (30%): Exits 30% of the position at TP1.
- TP Percent 2 (20%): Exits 20% of the position at TP2.
- TP Percent 3 (15%): Exits 15% of the position at TP3.
Effect of Variables on Performance:
- Short Indicator Lengths: More responsive to price changes but prone to false signals.
- Higher Starting Factor: Slows down the response, useful for longer-term trend following.
- Higher Increment Factor: Widens the variability in moving average lengths, making the strategy adapt to both short-term and long-term price trends.
- Aggressive Take Profit Levels: Allows for quick profit-taking in volatile markets but may exit positions prematurely in strong trends.
The default configuration offers a moderate balance between short-term responsiveness and long-term trend capturing, suitable for most traders. However, users can adjust these variables to optimize performance based on market conditions and personal preferences.
Indikatoren und Strategien
QuantBuilder | FractalystWhat's the strategy's purpose and functionality?
QuantBuilder is designed for both traders and investors who want to utilize mathematical techniques to develop profitable strategies through backtesting on historical data.
The primary goal is to develop profitable quantitive strategies that not only outperform the underlying asset in terms of returns but also minimize drawdown.
For instance, consider Bitcoin (BTC), which has experienced significant volatility, averaging an estimated 200% annual return over the past decade, with maximum drawdowns exceeding -80%. By employing this strategy with diverse entry and exit techniques, users can potentially seek to enhance their Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) while managing risk to maintain a lower maximum drawdown.
While this strategy employs quantitative techniques, including mathematical methods such as probabilities and positive expected values, it demonstrates exceptional efficacy across all markets. It particularly excels in futures, indices, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities, leveraging their inherent trending behaviors for optimized performance.
In both trending and consolidating market conditions, QuantBuilder employs a combination of multi-timeframe probabilities, expected values, directional biases, moving averages and diverse entry models to identify and capitalize on bullish market movements.
How does the strategy perform for both investors and traders?
The strategy has two main modes, tailored for different market participants: Traders and Investors.
1. Trading:
- Designed for traders looking to capitalize on bullish markets.
- Utilizes a percentage risk per trade to manage risk and optimize returns.
- Suitable for both swing and intraday trading with a focus on probabilities and risk per trade approach.
2. Investing:
- Geared towards investors who aim to capitalize on bullish trending markets without using leverage while mitigating the asset's maximum drawdown.
- Utilizes pre-define percentage of the equity to buy, hold, and manage the asset.
- Focuses on long-term growth and capital appreciation by fully/partially investing in the asset during bullish conditions.
How does the strategy identify market structure? What are the underlying calculations?
The strategy utilizes an efficient logic with for loops to pinpoint the first swing candle featuring a pivot of 2, establishing the point at which the break of structure begins.
What entry criteria are used in this script? What are the underlying calculations?
The script utilizes two entry models: BreakOut and fractal.
Underlying Calculations:
Breakout: The script assigns the most recent swing high to a variable. When the price closes above this level and all other conditions are met, the script executes a breakout entry (conservative approach).
Fractal: The script identifies a swing low with a period of 2. Once this condition is met, the script executes the trade (aggressive approach).
How does the script calculate probabilities? What are the underlying calculations?
The script calculates probabilities by monitoring price interactions with liquidity levels. Here’s how the underlying calculations work:
Tracking Price Hits: The script counts the number of times the price taps into each liquidity side after the EQM level is activated. This data is stored in an array for further analysis.
Sample Size Consideration: The total number of price interactions serves as the sample size for calculating probabilities.
Probability Calculation: For each liquidity side, the script calculates the probability by taking the average of the recorded hits. This allows for a dynamic assessment of the likelihood that a particular side will be hit next, based on historical performance.
Dynamic Adjustment: As new price data comes in, the probabilities are recalculated, providing real-time aduptive insights into market behavior.
Note: The calculations are performed independently for each directional range. A range is considered bearish if the previous breakout was through a sellside liquidity. Conversely, a range is considered bullish if the most recent breakout was through a buyside liquidity.
How does the script calculate expected values? What are the underlying calculations?
The script calculates expected values by leveraging the probabilities of winning and losing trades, along with their respective returns. The process involves the following steps:
This quantitative methodology provides a robust framework for assessing the expected performance of trading strategies based on historical data and backtesting results.
How is the contextual bias calculated? What are the underlying calculations?
The contextual bias in the QuantBuilder script is calculated through a structured approach that assesses market structure based on swing highs and lows. Here’s how it works:
Identification of Swing Points: The script identifies significant swing points using a defined pivot logic, focusing on the first swing high and swing low. This helps establish critical levels for determining market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) Assessment:
Bullish BOS: The script recognizes a bullish break of structure when a candle closes above the first swing high, followed by at least one swing low.
Bearish BOS: Conversely, a bearish break of structure is identified when a candle closes below the first swing low, followed by at least one swing high.
Bias Assignment: Based on the identified break of structure, the script assigns directional biases:
A bullish bias is assigned if a bullish BOS is confirmed.
A bearish bias is assigned if a bearish BOS is confirmed.
Quantitative Evaluation: Each identified bias is quantitatively evaluated, allowing the script to assign numerical values representing the strength of each bias. This quantification aids in assessing the reliability of market sentiment across multiple timeframes.
What's the purpose of using moving averages in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Using moving averages is a widely-used technique to trade with the trend.
The main purpose of using moving averages in this strategy is to filter out bearish price action and to only take trades when the price is trading ABOVE specified moving averages.
The script uses different types of moving averages with user-adjustable timeframes and periods/lengths, allowing traders to try out different variations to maximize strategy performance and minimize drawdowns.
By applying these calculations, the strategy effectively identifies bullish trends and avoids market conditions that are not conducive to profitable trades.
The MA filter allows traders to choose whether they want a specific moving average above or below another one as their entry condition.
What type of stop-loss identification method are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
- Initial Stop-loss:
1. ATR Based:
The Average True Range (ATR) is a method used in technical analysis to measure volatility. It is not used to indicate the direction of price but to measure volatility, especially volatility caused by price gaps or limit moves.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ATR, the True Range (TR) first needs to be identified. The TR takes into account the most current period high/low range as well as the previous period close.
The True Range is the largest of the following:
- Current Period High minus Current Period Low
- Absolute Value of Current Period High minus Previous Period Close
- Absolute Value of Current Period Low minus Previous Period Close
- The ATR is then calculated as the moving average of the TR over a specified period. (The default period is 14)
2. ADR Based:
The Average Day Range (ADR) is an indicator that measures the volatility of an asset by showing the average movement of the price between the high and the low over the last several days.
Calculation:
- To calculate the ADR for a particular day:
- Calculate the average of the high prices over a specified number of days.
- Calculate the average of the low prices over the same number of days.
- Find the difference between these average values.
- The default period for calculating the ADR is 14 days. A shorter period may introduce more noise, while a longer period may be slower to react to new market movements.
3. PL Based:
This method places the stop-loss at the low of the previous candle.
If the current entry is based on the hunt entry strategy, the stop-loss will be placed at the low of the candle that wicks through the lower FRMA band.
Example:
If the previous candle's low is 100, then the stop-loss will be set at 100.
This method ensures the stop-loss is placed just below the most recent significant low, providing a logical and immediate level for risk management.
- Trailing Stop-Loss:
One of the key elements of this strategy is its ability to detect structural liquidity and structural invalidation levels across multiple timeframes to trail the stop-loss once the trade is in running profits.
By utilizing this approach, the strategy allows enough room for price to run.
By using these methods, the strategy dynamically adjusts the initial stop-loss based on market volatility, helping to protect against adverse price movements while allowing for enough room for trades to develop.
Each market behaves differently across various timeframes, and it is essential to test different parameters and optimizations to find out which trailing stop-loss method gives you the desired results and performance.
What type of break-even and take profit identification methods are used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
For Break-Even:
Percentage (%) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain percentage above the entry.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price * (1 + Percentage / 100)
Example:
If the entry price is $100 and the break-even percentage is 5%, the break-even level is $100 * 1.05 = $105.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Based:
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain RR ratio.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price + (Initial Risk * RR Ratio)
For TP1 (Take Profit 1):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed or 50% if the TP2 boolean is enabled.
- Similar to break-even, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP1 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
For TP2 (Take Profit 2):
- You can choose to set a take profit level at which your position gets fully closed.
- As with break-even and TP1, you can select either a percentage (%) or risk-to-reward (RR) based take profit level, allowing you to set your TP2 level as a percentage amount above the entry price or based on RR.
What's the day filter Filter, what does it do?
The day filter allows users to customize the session time and choose the specific days they want to include in the strategy session. This helps traders tailor their strategies to particular trading sessions or days of the week when they believe the market conditions are more favorable for their trading style.
Customize Session Time:
Users can define the start and end times for the trading session.
This allows the strategy to only consider trades within the specified time window, focusing on periods of higher market activity or preferred trading hours.
Select Days:
Users can select which days of the week to include in the strategy.
This feature is useful for excluding days with historically lower volatility or unfavorable trading conditions (e.g., Mondays or Fridays).
Benefits:
Focus on Optimal Trading Periods:
By customizing session times and days, traders can focus on periods when the market is more likely to present profitable opportunities.
Avoid Unfavorable Conditions:
Excluding specific days or times can help avoid trading during periods of low liquidity or high unpredictability, such as major news events or holidays.
What tables are available in this script?
- Summary: Provides a general overview, displaying key performance parameters such as Net Profit, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Average Trade, Closed Trades and more.
Total Commission: Displays the cumulative commissions incurred from all trades executed within the selected backtesting window. This value is derived by summing the commission fees for each trade on your chart.
Average Commission: Represents the average commission per trade, calculated by dividing the Total Commission by the total number of closed trades. This metric is crucial for assessing the impact of trading costs on overall profitability.
Avg Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the Net Profit by the overall number of closed trades. An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.
MaxDD: Displays the largest drawdown of losses, i.e., the maximum possible loss that the strategy could have incurred among all of the trades it has made. This value is calculated separately for every bar that the strategy spends with an open position.
Profit Factor: The amount of money a trading strategy made for every unit of money it lost (in the selected currency). This value is calculated by dividing gross profits by gross losses.
Avg RR: This is calculated by dividing the average winning trade by the average losing trade. This field is not a very meaningful value by itself because it does not take into account the ratio of the number of winning vs losing trades, and strategies can have different approaches to profitability. A strategy may trade at every possibility in order to capture many small profits, yet have an average losing trade greater than the average winning trade. The higher this value is, the better, but it should be considered together with the percentage of winning trades and the net profit.
Winrate: The percentage of winning trades generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the number of winning trades by the total number of closed trades generated by a strategy. Percent profitable is not a very reliable measure by itself. A strategy could have many small winning trades, making the percent profitable high with a small average winning trade, or a few big winning trades accounting for a low percent profitable and a big average winning trade. Most mean-reversion successful strategies have a percent profitability of 40-80% but are profitable due to risk management control.
BE Trades: Number of break-even trades, excluding commission/slippage.
Losing Trades: The total number of losing trades generated by the strategy.
Winning Trades: The total number of winning trades generated by the strategy.
Total Trades: Total number of taken traders visible your charts.
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss (in the selected currency) achieved by the trading strategy in the test period. The value is the sum of all values from the Profit column (on the List of Trades tab), taking into account the sign.
- Monthly: Displays performance data on a month-by-month basis, allowing users to analyze performance trends over each month and year.
- Weekly: Displays performance data on a week-by-week basis, helping users to understand weekly performance variations.
- UI Table: A user-friendly table that allows users to view and save the selected strategy parameters from user inputs. This table enables easy access to key settings and configurations, providing a straightforward solution for saving strategy parameters by simply taking a screenshot with Alt + S or ⌥ + S.
User-input styles and customizations:
To facilitate studying historical data, all conditions and filters can be applied to your charts. By plotting background colors on your charts, you'll be able to identify what worked and what didn't in certain market conditions.
Please note that all background colors in the style are disabled by default to enhance visualization.
How to Use This Quantitive Strategy Builder to Create a Profitable Edge and System?
Choose Your Strategy mode:
- Decide whether you are creating an investing strategy or a trading strategy.
Select a Market:
- Choose a one-sided market such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies.
Historical Data:
- Ensure the historical data covers at least 10 years of price action for robust backtesting.
Timeframe Selection:
- Choose the timeframe you are comfortable trading with. It is strongly recommended to use a timeframe above 15 minutes to minimize the impact of commissions/slippage on your profits.
Set Commission and Slippage:
- Properly set the commission and slippage in the strategy properties according to your broker/prop firm specifications.
Parameter Optimization:
- Use trial and error to test different parameters until you find the performance results you are looking for in the summary table or, preferably, through deep backtesting using the strategy tester.
Trade Count:
- Ensure the number of trades is 200 or more; the higher, the better for statistical significance.
Positive Average Trade:
- Make sure the average trade is above zero.
(An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.)
Performance Metrics:
- Look for a high profit factor, and net profit with minimum drawdown.
- Ideally, aim for a drawdown under 20-30%, depending on your risk tolerance.
Refinement and Optimization:
- Try out different markets and timeframes.
- Continue working on refining your edge using the available filters and components to further optimize your strategy.
What makes this strategy original?
QuantBuilder stands out due to its unique combination of quantitative techniques and innovative algorithms that leverage historical data for real-time trading decisions. Unlike most algorithmic strategies that work based on predefined rules, this strategy adapts to real-time market probabilities and expected values, enhancing its reliability. Key features include:
Mathematical Framework: The strategy integrates advanced mathematical concepts, such as probabilities and expected values, to assess trade viability and optimize decision-making.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: By utilizing multi-timeframe probabilities, QuantBuilder provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, enhancing the accuracy of entry and exit points.
Dynamic Market Structure Identification: The script employs a systematic approach to identify market structure changes, utilizing a blend of swing highs and lows to detect contextual/direction bias of the market.
Built-in Trailing Stop Loss: The strategy features a dynamic trailing stop loss based on multi-timeframe analysis of market structure. This allows traders to lock in profits while adapting to changing market conditions, ensuring that exits are executed at optimal levels without prematurely closing positions.
Robust Performance Metrics: With detailed performance tables and visualizations, users can easily evaluate strategy effectiveness and adjust parameters based on historical performance.
Adaptability: The strategy is designed to work across various markets and timeframes, making it versatile for different trading styles and objectives.
Suitability for Investors and Traders: QuantBuilder is ideal for both investors and traders looking to rely on mathematically proven data to create profitable strategies, ensuring that decisions are grounded in quantitative analysis.
These original elements combine to create a powerful tool that can help both traders and investors to build and refine profitable strategies based on algorithmic quantitative analysis.
Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst Unauthorized use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-based Stop Loss and Take ProfitThe "Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit" is designed to identify buying opportunities after the German and US markets open. It combines various technical indicators to filter entry signals, focusing on breakout moments following price lateralization periods.
Key Components and Their Interaction:
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Description: Uses BB with a 14-period length and standard deviation multiplier of 1.5, creating narrower bands for lower timeframes.
Role in the Strategy: Identifies low volatility phases (lateralization). The lateralization condition is met when the price is near the simple moving average of the BB, suggesting an imminent increase in volatility.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
10-period EMA: Quickly detects short-term trend direction.
200-period EMA: Filters long-term trends, ensuring entries occur in a bullish market.
Interaction: Positions are entered only if the price is above both EMAs, indicating a consolidated positive trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Description: 7-period RSI with a threshold above 30.
Role in the Strategy: Confirms the market is not oversold, supporting the validity of the buy signal.
Average Directional Index (ADX):
Description: 7-period ADX with 7-period smoothing and a threshold above 10.
Role in the Strategy: Assesses trend strength. An ADX above 10 indicates sufficient momentum to justify entry.
Average True Range (ATR) for Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Description: 14-period ATR with multipliers of 2.0 for Stop Loss and 4.0 for Take Profit.
Role in the Strategy: Adjusts exit levels based on current volatility, enhancing risk management.
Resistance Identification and Breakout:
Description: Analyzes the highs of the last 20 candles to identify resistance levels with at least two touches.
Role in the Strategy: A breakout above this level signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Time Filters and Market Conditions:
Trading Hours: Operates only during the opening of the German market (8:00 - 12:00) and US market (15:30 - 19:00).
Panic Candle: The current candle must close negative, leveraging potential emotional reactions in the market.
Avoiding Entry During Pullbacks:
Description: Checks that the two previous candles are not both bearish.
Role in the Strategy: Avoids entering during a potential pullback, improving trade success probability.
Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit
The "Post-Open Long Strategy with ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit" is designed to identify buying opportunities after the German and US markets open. It combines various technical indicators to filter entry signals, focusing on breakout moments following price lateralization periods.
Key Components and Their Interaction:
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Description: Uses BB with a 14-period length and standard deviation multiplier of 1.5, creating narrower bands for lower timeframes.
Role in the Strategy: Identifies low volatility phases (lateralization). The lateralization condition is met when the price is near the simple moving average of the BB, suggesting an imminent increase in volatility.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
10-period EMA: Quickly detects short-term trend direction.
200-period EMA: Filters long-term trends, ensuring entries occur in a bullish market.
Interaction: Positions are entered only if the price is above both EMAs, indicating a consolidated positive trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Description: 7-period RSI with a threshold above 30.
Role in the Strategy: Confirms the market is not oversold, supporting the validity of the buy signal.
Average Directional Index (ADX):
Description: 7-period ADX with 7-period smoothing and a threshold above 10.
Role in the Strategy: Assesses trend strength. An ADX above 10 indicates sufficient momentum to justify entry.
Average True Range (ATR) for Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Description: 14-period ATR with multipliers of 2.0 for Stop Loss and 4.0 for Take Profit.
Role in the Strategy: Adjusts exit levels based on current volatility, enhancing risk management.
Resistance Identification and Breakout:
Description: Analyzes the highs of the last 20 candles to identify resistance levels with at least two touches.
Role in the Strategy: A breakout above this level signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Time Filters and Market Conditions:
Trading Hours: Operates only during the opening of the German market (8:00 - 12:00) and US market (15:30 - 19:00).
Panic Candle: The current candle must close negative, leveraging potential emotional reactions in the market.
Avoiding Entry During Pullbacks:
Description: Checks that the two previous candles are not both bearish.
Role in the Strategy: Avoids entering during a potential pullback, improving trade success probability.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
Long Entry:
The price breaks above the identified resistance.
The market is in a lateralization phase with low volatility.
The price is above the 10 and 200-period EMAs.
RSI is above 30, and ADX is above 10.
No short-term downtrend is detected.
The last two candles are not both bearish.
The current candle is a "panic candle" (negative close).
Order Execution: The order is executed at the close of the candle that meets all conditions.
Exit from Position:
Dynamic Stop Loss: Set at 2 times the ATR below the entry price.
Dynamic Take Profit: Set at 4 times the ATR above the entry price.
The position is automatically closed upon reaching the Stop Loss or Take Profit.
How to Use the Strategy:
Application on Volatile Instruments:
Ideal for financial instruments that show significant volatility during the target market opening hours, such as indices or major forex pairs.
Recommended Timeframes:
Intraday timeframes, such as 5 or 15 minutes, to capture significant post-open moves.
Parameter Customization:
The default parameters are optimized but can be adjusted based on individual preferences and the instrument analyzed.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Backtesting is recommended to evaluate performance and make adjustments if necessary.
Risk Management:
Ensure position sizing respects risk management rules, avoiding risking more than 1-2% of capital per trade.
Originality and Benefits of the Strategy:
Unique Combination of Indicators: Integrates various technical metrics to filter signals, reducing false positives.
Volatility Adaptability: The use of ATR for Stop Loss and Take Profit allows the strategy to adapt to real-time market conditions.
Focus on Post-Lateralization Breakout: Aims to capitalize on significant moves following consolidation periods, often associated with strong directional trends.
Important Notes:
Commissions and Slippage: Include commissions and slippage in settings for more realistic simulations.
Capital Size: Use a realistic trading capital for the average user.
Number of Trades: Ensure backtesting covers a sufficient number of trades to validate the strategy (ideally more than 100 trades).
Warning: Past results do not guarantee future performance. The strategy should be used as part of a comprehensive trading approach.
With this strategy, traders can identify and exploit specific market opportunities supported by a robust set of technical indicators and filters, potentially enhancing their trading decisions during key times of the day.
Custom Buy BID StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward trends in the market using the Average True Range (ATR) as a core component of the analysis. The script provides the following features:
Customizable ATR Calculation: Users can switch between different methods of ATR calculation (traditional or simple moving average).
Adjustable Parameters: The strategy allows for adjustable ATR periods, ATR multipliers, and custom time windows for executing trades.
Buy Signal Alerts: The strategy generates buy signals when the market shifts from a downtrend to an uptrend, based on ATR and price action.
Profit and Stop-Loss Management: Built-in take profit and stop-loss conditions are calculated as a percentage of the entry price, allowing for automatic position management.
Visual Enhancements: The script highlights the uptrend with green lines and optionally colors bars to help visualize market direction.
Flexible Timeframe: Users can configure a specific date range to activate the strategy, offering more control over when trades are executed.
This strategy is ideal for traders looking to automate their buy entries and manage risk with a straightforward trend-following approach. By utilizing customizable settings, it adapts to various market conditions and timeframes.
Ichimoku Crosses_RSI_AITIchimoku Crosser_RSI_AIT
Overview
The "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy is a technical trading strategy that combines the Ichimoku Cloud components with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to generate trade signals. This strategy leverages the crossovers of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines of the Ichimoku Cloud, along with RSI levels, to identify potential entry and exit points for long and short trades. This guide explains the strategy components, conditions, and how to use it effectively in your trading.
1. Strategy Parameters
User Inputs
Tenkan-sen Period (tenkanLength): Default value is 21. This is the period used to calculate the Tenkan-sen line (conversion line) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
Kijun-sen Period (kijunLength): Default value is 120. This is the period used to calculate the Kijun-sen line (base line) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
Senkou Span B Period (senkouBLength): Default value is 52. This is the period used to calculate the Senkou Span B line (leading span B) of the Ichimoku Cloud.
RSI Period (rsiLength): Default value is 14. This period is used to calculate the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
RSI Long Entry Level (rsiLongLevel): Default value is 60. This level indicates the minimum RSI value for a long entry signal.
RSI Short Entry Level (rsiShortLevel): Default value is 40. This level indicates the maximum RSI value for a short entry signal.
2. Strategy Components
Ichimoku Cloud
Tenkan-sen: A short-term trend indicator calculated as the simple moving average (SMA) of the highest high and the lowest low over the Tenkan-sen period.
Kijun-sen: A medium-term trend indicator calculated as the SMA of the highest high and the lowest low over the Kijun-sen period.
Senkou Span A: Calculated as the average of the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Senkou Span B: Calculated as the SMA of the highest high and lowest low over the Senkou Span B period, plotted 26 periods ahead.
Chikou Span: The closing price plotted 26 periods behind.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
3. Entry and Exit Conditions
Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
The Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen (bullish crossover).
The RSI value is greater than or equal to the rsiLongLevel.
Short Entry:
The Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen (bearish crossover).
The RSI value is less than or equal to the rsiShortLevel.
Exit Conditions
Exit Long Position: The Tenkan-sen crosses below the Kijun-sen.
Exit Short Position: The Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen.
4. Visual Representation
Tenkan-sen Line: Plotted on the chart. The color changes based on its relation to the Kijun-sen (green if above, red if below) and is displayed with a line width of 2.
Kijun-sen Line: Plotted as a white line with a line width of 1.
Entry Arrows:
Long Entry: Displayed as a yellow triangle below the bar.
Short Entry: Displayed as a fuchsia triangle above the bar.
5. How to Use
Apply the Strategy: Apply the "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy to your chart in TradingView.
Configure Parameters: Adjust the strategy parameters (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, Senkou Span B, and RSI settings) according to your trading preferences.
Interpret the Signals:
Long Entry: A yellow triangle appears below the bar when a long entry signal is generated.
Short Entry: A fuchsia triangle appears above the bar when a short entry signal is generated.
Monitor Open Positions: The strategy automatically exits positions based on the defined conditions.
Backtesting and Live Trading: Use the strategy for backtesting and live trading. Adjust risk management settings in the strategy properties as needed.
Conclusion
The "Ichimoku Cloud Crosses_AIT" strategy uses Ichimoku Cloud crossovers and RSI to generate trading signals. This strategy aims to capture market trends and potential reversals, providing a structured way to enter and exit trades. Make sure to backtest and optimize the strategy parameters to suit your trading style and market conditions before using it in a live trading environment.
ETH Signal 15m
This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator combined with RSI to generate buy and sell signals, with stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) conditions based on ATR (Average True Range). Below is a detailed explanation of each part:
1. General Information BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Strategy Name: "ETH Signal 15m"
Designed for use on the 15-minute time frame for the ETH pair.
Default capital allocation is 15% of total equity for each trade.
2. Backtest Period
start_time and end_time: Define the start and end time of the backtest period.
start_time = 2024-08-01: Start date of the backtest.
end_time = 2054-01-01: End date of the backtest.
The strategy will only run when the current time falls within this specified range.
3. Supertrend Indicator
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that provides buy or sell signals based on the direction of price changes.
factor = 2.76: The multiplier used in the Supertrend calculation (increasing this value makes the Supertrend less sensitive to price movements).
atrPeriod = 12: Number of periods used to calculate ATR.
Output:
direction: Determines the buy/sell direction based on Supertrend.
If direction decreases, it signals a buy (Long).
If direction increases, it signals a sell (Short).
4. RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
rsiLength = 12: Number of periods used to calculate RSI.
rsiOverbought = 70: RSI level considered overbought.
rsiOversold = 30: RSI level considered oversold.
5. Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Supertrend gives a buy signal (ta.change(direction) < 0).
RSI must be below the overbought level (rsi < rsiOverbought).
Short Entry:
Supertrend gives a sell signal (ta.change(direction) > 0).
RSI must be above the oversold level (rsi > rsiOversold).
The strategy will only execute trades if the current time is within the backtest period (in_date_range).
6. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Conditions
ATR (Average True Range) is used to calculate the distance for Stop Loss and Take Profit based on price volatility.
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod): ATR is calculated using 12 periods.
Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated as follows:
Long Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close - 4 * atr (current price minus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close + 2 * atr (current price plus 2 times the ATR).
Short Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close + 4 * atr (current price plus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close - 2.237 * atr (current price minus 2.237 times the ATR).
Summary:
This strategy enters a Long trade when the Supertrend indicates an upward trend and RSI is not in the overbought region. Conversely, a Short trade is entered when Supertrend signals a downtrend, and RSI is not oversold.
The trade is exited when the price reaches the Stop Loss or Take Profit levels, which are determined based on price volatility (ATR).
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading in cryptocurrency, stocks, or any financial markets involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of profit can be made. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this strategy is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following this strategy. All trades are executed at your own risk.
HFT V.2 EnhancedTitle: HFT V.2 Enhanced - ATR Dynamic Stop-Loss & Take-Profit
Description:
The HFT V.2 Enhanced strategy is designed for high-frequency trading with dynamic trade management and robust entry/exit logic. This strategy uses simple moving averages (SMA) for trend identification and the relative strength index (RSI) for momentum confirmation. In this enhanced version, the strategy also incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the Average True Range (ATR), offering better adaptability to market volatility.
Features:
Moving Average Crossover: Uses a fast and slow SMA to capture trend reversals and generate trade entries.
RSI Confirmation: Ensures momentum is in the direction of the trade by incorporating the RSI threshold for both long and short entries.
Dynamic Stop-Loss and Take-Profit: Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the ATR, allowing the strategy to adjust its exit points according to market volatility. This helps manage risk more effectively and capture larger trends.
Auto-Close Opposing Positions: Automatically closes any open long positions when a short entry is triggered, and vice versa.
Once-Per-Bar Execution: Ensures that a position is entered only once per bar, avoiding multiple trades within the same bar.
Parameters:
Fast MA Length: Defines the length of the fast-moving average.
Slow MA Length: Defines the length of the slow-moving average.
RSI Length: Sets the period for the RSI indicator.
RSI Threshold: Controls the RSI level for confirming momentum (50 by default).
ATR Length: Determines the period for the ATR calculation.
ATR Multiplier for Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: Adjusts the sensitivity of the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on ATR.
How it Works:
Long Entry: The strategy opens a long trade when the fast SMA crosses above the slow SMA, and the RSI is above the user-defined threshold. A dynamic stop-loss is placed below the entry price, and a take-profit target is set based on ATR.
Short Entry: The strategy opens a short trade when the fast SMA crosses below the slow SMA, and the RSI is below the inverse threshold. A stop-loss is placed above the entry price, and a take-profit target is set using ATR.
Risk Management: The strategy adapts to changing market conditions by dynamically adjusting its stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring it remains responsive to market volatility.
This script is ideal for traders looking for a high-frequency strategy with advanced trade management, including dynamic exits and volatility-based risk management.
Disclaimer: Always backtest and optimize the parameters to fit your trading style and risk tolerance before using the strategy in live trading.
Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-TradingRelease Notes
Strategy Name: Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-Trading
Purpose: This strategy is designed to capture entry and exit points in the market using the Trend Magic indicator and three moving averages (EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180). Specifically, it uses the perfect order of the moving averages and the color changes in Trend Magic to identify trend reversals and potential trading opportunities.
Uniqueness and Usefulness
Uniqueness: The strategy utilizes the Trend Magic indicator, which is based on price and volatility, along with three moving averages to assess the strength of trends. The signals are generated only when the moving averages are in perfect order, and the Trend Magic color changes, ensuring that the entry is made during established trends. This combination provides a higher degree of reliability compared to strategies that rely solely on price action or single indicators.
Usefulness: This strategy is particularly useful for traders looking to capture trends over longer periods. It is effective at reducing noise in the market, only providing signals when the moving averages align and the Trend Magic indicator confirms a trend reversal. It works well in both trending and volatile markets.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 > SMA90 > SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from red to blue.
Signal: A buy signal is generated, indicating the start of an uptrend.
Short Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 < SMA90 < SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from blue to red.
Signal: A sell signal is generated, indicating the start of a downtrend.
Exit Conditions
Exit Strategy:
This strategy automatically enters and exits trades based on signals, but traders are encouraged to manage exits manually according to their own risk management preferences. The strategy includes stop loss and take profit settings based on risk-to-reward ratios for better risk management.
Risk Management
The strategy includes built-in risk management by using the SMA90 level at the time of entry as the stop-loss point and setting the take profit at a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio. The stop-loss level is fixed at the entry point and does not move as the market progresses. Traders are advised to implement additional risk management, such as trailing stops, for added protection.
Account Size: ¥100,000
Commissions and Slippage: Assumes 94 pips for commissions and 1 pip for slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity (adjust this based on personal risk tolerance)
Configurable Options
Configurable Options:
CCI Period: Set the period for the CCI used to calculate the Trend Magic indicator (default is 21).
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR used in the Trend Magic calculation (default is 1.0).
EMA/SMA Periods: The periods for the three moving averages (default is EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180).
Signal Display Control: An option to toggle the display of buy and sell signals on the chart.
Adequate Sample Size
To ensure the robustness and reliability of this strategy, it is recommended to backtest it with a sufficiently long period of historical data. Testing across different market conditions, including high and low volatility periods, is also advised.
Credits
Acknowledgments:
This strategy is based on the Trend Magic indicator combined with moving averages and draws on contributions from the technical analysis and trading community.
Clean Chart Description
Chart Appearance:
To maintain a clean and simple chart, this strategy includes options to turn off the display of Trend Magic, moving averages, and entry signals. Traders can adjust these display settings as needed to minimize visual clutter and focus on effective trend analysis.
Addressing the House Rule Violations
Omissions and Unrealistic Claims
Clarification:
This strategy does not make any unrealistic or unsupported claims about its performance. All signals are intended for educational purposes only and do not guarantee future results. It is important to note that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes, and proper risk management is crucial.
TASC 2024.10 Adaptive Oscillator Threshold█ OVERVIEW
This script introduces a more dynamic approach to generating trading signals using the RSI indicator and a threshold that adapts to price trends and dispersion. This methodology comes from Francesco Bufi's article "Overbought/Oversold Oscillators: Useless Or Just Misused" from the October 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
According to Francesco Bufi's observations, an oscillator-based buy signal should have a threshold that varies with the trend direction: higher during uptrends and lower during downtrends. Additionally, the level should decrease as the distance from the price to its mean increases to reduce signals in volatile conditions. Accordingly, Bufi proposes a formula for an adaptive buy level whose value is proportional to the trend (linear regression slope) and inversely proportional to the typical distance between price and its mean (standard deviation). Traders can apply this method to any oscillator to add adaptivity without modifying the oscillator's calculations, as it's simply an adaptive technique for interpreting the calculated values.
This script demonstrates the application of Bufi's Adaptive Threshold (BAT) in a simple RSI-based strategy and allows users to compare its performance to the traditional fixed-threshold approach. Bufi's observations suggest that using the BAT instead of a static threshold can help improve the backtest performance of oscillator-based systems.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading systems outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Strategy Framework: 37 Strategies Unified with RM & PS BTCEURStrategy Framework: 37 Strategies Unified with Risk Management and Position Sizing
This comprehensive framework integrates over 37 independent strategies into a single, powerful trading system. Each strategy contributes its unique market perspective, culminating in a holistic decision-making process. The framework is further enhanced with sophisticated risk management and position sizing techniques.
Key Strategies Include:
• Moving average analysis
• Market structure evaluation
• Percentage rank calculations
• Sine wave correlation
• Fourier Frequency Transform (FFT) for signal composition analysis
• Bayesian statistical methods
• Seasonality patterns
• Signal-to-noise ratio assessment
• Horizontal & Indecision levels identification
• Trendlines and channels recognition
• Various oscillator-based strategies
• Open interest analysis
• Volume and volatility measurements
This diverse array of strategies provides a multi-faceted view of the asset, offering a clear and comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
Optimization and Implementation:
• Each strategy is designed for easy optimization, with a maximum of 4 parameters.
• All strategies produce consistent signal types, which are aggregated for final market direction decisions.
• Individual optimization of each strategy is performed using the Zorro Platform, a professional C++ based tool.
• All strategies are tested to work by themselves with Walk-Forward back testing
• Strategies that don't enhance market regime definition are excluded, ensuring efficiency.
Two-Tiered Approach:
1. Market Regime Identification: The combined output of all strategies determines the market regime, visually represented by a color-coded cloud.
2. Trade Execution: Based on the identified regime, the system applies different entry and exit rules, employing trend-following in bull markets and mean reversion in bear markets.
This framework is optimized for cryptocurrencies, including BTC and ETH and others, offering a robust solution for trading in these volatile markets.
The color of the cloud encodes the market regime as determined by the 37 strategies, guiding the application of distinct trading rules for bull and bear markets.
This invitation-only TradingView script represents a culmination of extensive research and optimization, designed to provide serious traders with a powerful tool for navigating the complex cryptocurrency markets.
The strategy comes pre-configured with optimized parameters by default, so there's no need to make any adjustments. However, it’s important to use the timeframes and exchanges selected on screen . Also, a Premium account with 20.000 bars is needed since since starting points are important for the parameter optimizations. If you have any questions or concerns about the strategy, feel free to reach out.
For automation, I recommend using a tool like Autoview . The strategy is fully compatible with automated trading; you just need to select your exchange and set the maximum order size you're comfortable trading.
Free Month for Testing:
You are eligible for a free one-month trial to test the strategy before committing. This allows you to fully explore its capabilities without any immediate cost.
________________________________________
Important Information:
This is a premium script with access granted on an invite-only basis.
To request access or if you have further questions, please send me a direct message. There is a free month allowance for testing purposes.
Please note that this script involves complex calculations, and on rare occasions, you may encounter an error message from TradingView stating, "Calculation Takes Too Long." This is usually due to a temporary issue with server resources. If this happens, simply modify any parameter of the indicator and revert it back—this should resolve the issue.
________________________________________
General Disclaimer:
Trading stocks, futures, Forex, options, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, or any other financial instrument involves significant risks and rewards. You must be fully aware of the risks involved and be willing to accept them before participating in these markets.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This communication is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument.
No guarantees are made regarding potential profits or losses from any account. Past performance of any trading strategy or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
ICT Indicator with Paper TradingThe strategy implemented in the provided Pine Script is based on **ICT (Inner Circle Trader)** concepts, particularly focusing on **order blocks** to identify key levels for potential reversals or continuations in the market. Below is a detailed description of the strategy:
### 1. **Order Block Concept**
- **Order blocks** are price levels where large institutional orders accumulate, often leading to a reversal or continuation of price movement.
- In this strategy, **order blocks** are identified when:
- The high of the current bar crosses above the high of the previous bar (for bullish order blocks).
- The low of the current bar crosses below the low of the previous bar (for bearish order blocks).
### 2. **Buy and Sell Signal Generation**
The core of the strategy revolves around identifying the **breakout** of order blocks, which is interpreted as a signal to either enter or exit trades:
- **Buy Signal**:
- Generated when the closing price crosses **above** the last identified bullish order block (i.e., the highest point during the last upward crossover of highs).
- This signals a potential upward trend, and the strategy enters a long position.
- **Sell Signal**:
- Generated when the closing price crosses **below** the last identified bearish order block (i.e., the lowest point during the last downward crossover of lows).
- This signals a potential downward trend, and the strategy exits any open long positions.
### 3. **Strategy Execution**
The strategy is executed using the `strategy.entry()` and `strategy.close()` functions:
- **Enter Long Positions**: When a buy signal is generated, the strategy opens a long position (buying).
- **Exit Positions**: When a sell signal is generated, the strategy closes the long position.
### 4. **Visual Indicators on the Chart**
To make the strategy easier to follow visually, buy and sell signals are marked directly on the chart:
- **Buy signals** are indicated with a green upward-facing triangle above the bar where the signal occurred.
- **Sell signals** are indicated with a red downward-facing triangle below the bar where the signal occurred.
### 5. **Key Elements of the Strategy**
- **Trend Continuation and Reversals**: This strategy is attempting to capture trends based on the breakout of important price levels (order blocks). When the price breaks above or below a significant order block, it is expected that the market will continue in that direction.
- **Order Block Strength**: Order blocks are considered strong areas where price action could reverse or accelerate, based on how institutional investors place large orders.
### 6. **Paper Trading**
This script uses **paper trading** to simulate trades without actual money being involved. This allows users to backtest the strategy, seeing how it would have performed in historical market conditions.
### 7. **Basic Strategy Flow**
1. **Order Block Identification**: The script constantly monitors price movements to detect bullish and bearish order blocks.
2. **Buy Signal**: If the closing price crosses above the last order block high, the strategy interprets it as a sign of bullish momentum and enters a long position.
3. **Sell Signal**: If the closing price crosses below the last order block low, it signals a bearish momentum, and the strategy closes the long position.
4. **Visual Representation**: Buy and sell signals are displayed on the chart for easy identification.
### **Advantages of the Strategy:**
- **Simple and Clear Rules**: The strategy is based on clearly defined rules for identifying order blocks and trade signals.
- **Effective for Trend Following**: By focusing on breakouts of order blocks, this strategy attempts to capture strong trends in the market.
- **Visual Aids**: The plot of buy/sell signals helps traders to quickly see where trades would have been placed.
### **Limitations:**
- **No Shorting**: This strategy only enters long positions (buying). It does not account for shorting opportunities.
- **No Risk Management**: There are no built-in stop losses, trailing stops, or profit targets, which could expose the strategy to large losses during adverse market conditions.
- **Whipsaws in Range Markets**: The strategy could produce false signals in sideways or choppy markets, where breakouts are short-lived and prices quickly reverse.
### **Overall Strategy Objective:**
The goal of the strategy is to enter into long positions when the price breaks above a significant order block, and exit when it breaks below. The strategy is designed for trend-following, with the assumption that price will continue in the direction of the breakout.
Let me know if you'd like to enhance or modify this strategy further!
TPS Short Strategy by Larry ConnersThe TPS Short strategy aims to capitalize on extreme overbought conditions in an ETF by employing a scaling-in approach when certain technical indicators signal potential reversals. The strategy is designed to short the ETF when it is deemed overextended, based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages.
Components:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Purpose: Acts as a long-term trend filter. The ETF must be below its 200-day SMA to be eligible for shorting.
Rationale: The 200-day SMA is widely used to gauge the long-term trend of a security. When the price is below this moving average, it is often considered to be in a downtrend (Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll, "The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging Into the Latest Indicators").
2-Period RSI:
Purpose: Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought conditions.
Criteria: Short 10% of the position when the 2-period RSI is above 75 for two consecutive days.
Rationale: A high RSI value (above 75) indicates that the ETF may be overbought, which could precede a price reversal (J. Welles Wilder, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems").
Scaling-In Mechanism:
Purpose: Gradually increase the short position as the ETF price rises beyond previous entry points.
Scaling Strategy:
20% more when the price is higher than the first entry.
30% more when the price is higher than the second entry.
40% more when the price is higher than the third entry.
Rationale: This incremental approach allows for an increased position size in a worsening trend, potentially increasing profitability if the trend continues to align with the strategy’s premise (Marty Schwartz, "Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader").
Exit Conditions:
Criteria: Close all positions when the 2-period RSI drops below 30 or the 10-day SMA crosses above the 30-day SMA.
Rationale: A low RSI value (below 30) suggests that the ETF may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound, while the SMA crossover indicates a potential change in the trend (Martin J. Pring, "Technical Analysis Explained").
Risks and Considerations:
Market Risk:
The strategy assumes that the ETF will continue to decline once shorted. However, markets can be unpredictable, and price movements might not align with the strategy's expectations, especially in a volatile market (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable").
Scaling Risks:
Scaling into a position as the price increases may increase exposure to adverse price movements. This method can amplify losses if the market moves against the position significantly before any reversal occurs.
Liquidity Risk:
Depending on the ETF’s liquidity, executing large trades in increments might affect the price and increase trading costs. It is crucial to ensure that the ETF has sufficient liquidity to handle large trades without significant slippage (James Altucher, "Trade Like a Hedge Fund").
Execution Risk:
The strategy relies on timely execution of trades based on specific conditions. Delays or errors in order execution can impact performance, especially in fast-moving markets.
Technical Indicator Limitations:
Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical data and may not always predict future price movements accurately. They can sometimes produce false signals, leading to potential losses if used in isolation (John Murphy, "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets").
Conclusion
The TPS Short strategy utilizes a combination of long-term trend filtering, overbought conditions, and incremental shorting to potentially profit from price reversals. While the strategy has a structured approach and leverages well-known technical indicators, it is essential to be aware of the inherent risks, including market volatility, liquidity issues, and potential limitations of technical indicators. As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting and risk management are crucial to its successful implementation.
Larry Conners SMTP StrategyThe Spent Market Trading Pattern is a strategy developed by Larry Connors, typically used for short-term mean reversion trading. This strategy takes advantage of the exhaustion in market momentum by entering trades when the market is perceived as "spent" after extended trends or extreme moves, expecting a short-term reversal. Connors uses indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and price action patterns to identify these opportunities.
Key Elements of the Strategy:
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The strategy looks for extreme overbought or oversold conditions, often indicated by low RSI values (below 30 for oversold and above 70 for overbought).
Mean Reversion: Connors believed that markets, especially in short-term scenarios, tend to revert to the mean after periods of strong momentum. The "spent" market is assumed to have expended its energy, making a reversal likely.
Entry Signals:
In an uptrend, a stock or market index making a significant number of consecutive up days (e.g., 5-7 consecutive days with higher closes) indicates overbought conditions.
In a downtrend, a similar number of consecutive down days indicates oversold conditions.
Reversal Anticipation: Once an extreme in price movement is identified (such as consecutive gains or losses), the strategy places trades anticipating a reversion to the mean, which is usually the 5-day or 10-day moving average.
Exit Points: Trades are exited when prices move back toward their mean or when the extreme conditions dissipate, usually based on RSI or moving average thresholds.
Why the Strategy Works:
Human Psychology: The strategy capitalizes on the fact that markets, in the short term, often behave irrationally due to the emotions of traders—fear and greed lead to overextended moves.
Mean Reversion Tendency: Financial markets often exhibit mean-reverting behavior, where prices temporarily deviate from their historical norms but eventually return. Short-term exhaustion after a strong rally or sell-off offers opportunities for quick profits.
Overextended Moves: Markets that rise or fall too quickly tend to become overextended, as buyers or sellers get exhausted, making reversals more probable. Connors’ approach identifies these moments when the market is "spent" and ripe for a reversal.
Risks of the Spent Market Trading Pattern Strategy:
Trend Continuation: One of the key risks is that the market may not revert as expected and instead continues in the same direction. In trending markets, mean-reversion strategies can suffer because strong trends can last longer than anticipated.
False Signals: The strategy relies heavily on technical indicators like RSI, which can produce false signals in volatile or choppy markets. There can be times when a market appears "spent" but continues in its current direction.
Market Timing: Mean reversion strategies often require precise market timing. If the entry or exit points are mistimed, it can lead to losses, especially in short-term trades where small price movements can significantly impact profitability.
High Transaction Costs: This strategy requires frequent trades, which can lead to higher transaction costs, especially in markets with wide bid-ask spreads or high commissions.
Conclusion:
Larry Connors’ Spent Market Trading Pattern strategy is built on the principle of mean reversion, leveraging the concept that markets tend to revert to a mean after extreme moves. While effective in certain conditions, such as range-bound markets, it carries risks—especially during strong trends—where price momentum may not reverse as quickly as expected.
For a more in-depth explanation, Larry Connors’ books such as "Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work" provide a comprehensive guide to this and other strategies .
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Reflected ema Difference (RED) This script, titled "Reflected EMA Difference (RED)," is based on the logic of evaluating the percentage of convergence and divergence between two moving averages, specifically the Hull Moving Averages (HMA), to make price-related decisions. The Hull Moving Average, created by Alan Hull, is used as the foundation of this strategy, offering a faster and more accurate way to analyze market trends. In this script, the concept is employed to measure and reflect price variations.
Script Functionality Overview:
Hull Moving Averages (HMA): The script utilizes two HMAs, one short-term and one long-term. The main idea is to compute the Delta Difference between these two moving averages, which represents how much they are converging or diverging from each other. This difference is key to identifying potential market trend changes.
Reflected HMA Value: Using the Delta Difference between the HMAs, the value of the short-term HMA is reflected, creating a visual reference point that helps traders see the relationship between price and HMAs on the chart.
Percentage Change Index: The second key parameter is the percentage change index. This determines when a trend is reversing, allowing buy or sell orders to be established based on significant changes in the relationship between the HMAs and the price.
Delta Multiplier: The script comes with a default Delta multiplier of 2 for calculating the difference between HMAs, allowing traders to adjust the sensitivity of the analysis based on the time frame being analyzed.
Trend Reversal Signals: When the price crosses the thresholds defined by the percentage change index, buy or sell signals are triggered, based on the detection of a potential trend reversal.
Visual Cues with Boxes: Boxes are drawn on the chart when the HullMA crosses the reflected HMA value, providing a visual aid to identify critical moments where risk should be evaluated.
Alerts for Receiving Signals:
This script allows you to set up buy and sell alerts via TradingView's alert system. These alerts are triggered when trend changes are detected based on the conditions coded in the script. Traders can receive instant notifications, allowing them to make decisions without needing to constantly monitor the chart.
Additional Considerations:
The percentage change parameter is adjustable and should be configured based on the time frame you are trading on. For longer time frames, it's advisable to use a larger percentage change to avoid false signals.
The use of Hull Moving Averages (HMA) provides a faster and more reactive approach to trend evaluation compared to other moving averages, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking quick reversal signals.
This approach combines the power of Hull Moving Averages with an alert system to improve the trader’s response to trend changes.
Spanish
Este script, titulado "Reflected EMA Difference (RED)", está fundamentado en la lógica de evaluar el porcentaje de acercamiento y distancia entre dos medias móviles, específicamente las medias móviles de Hull (HMA), para tomar decisiones sobre el valor del precio. El creador de la media móvil de Hull, Alan Hull, diseñó este indicador para ofrecer una forma más rápida y precisa de analizar tendencias de mercado, y en este script se utiliza su concepto como base para medir y reflejar las variaciones de precio.
Descripción del funcionamiento:
Medias Móviles de Hull (HMA): Se utilizan dos HMAs, una de corto plazo y otra de largo plazo. La idea principal es calcular la diferencia Delta entre estas dos medias móviles, que representa cuánto se están alejando o acercando entre sí. Esta diferencia es clave para identificar cambios potenciales en la tendencia del mercado.
Valor Reflejado de la HMA: Con la diferencia Delta calculada entre las HMAs, se refleja el valor de la HMA corta, creando un punto de referencia visual que ayuda a los traders a observar la relación entre el precio y las HMAs en el gráfico.
Índice de Cambio de Porcentaje: El segundo parámetro clave del script es el índice de cambio porcentual. Este define el momento en que una tendencia está revirtiendo, permitiendo establecer órdenes de compra o venta en función de un cambio significativo en la relación entre las HMAs y el precio.
Multiplicador Delta: El script tiene un multiplicador predeterminado de 2 para el cálculo de la diferencia Delta, lo que permite ajustar la sensibilidad del análisis según la temporalidad del gráfico.
Señales de Reversión de Tendencia: Cuando el precio cruza los límites definidos por el índice de cambio porcentual, se emiten señales para comprar o vender, basadas en la detección de una posible reversión de tendencia.
Visualización con Cajas: Se dibujan cajas en el gráfico cuando el indicador HullMA cruza el valor reflejado de la HMA, ayudando a identificar visualmente los momentos críticos en los que se debe evaluar el riesgo de las operaciones.
Alertas para Recibir Señales:
Este script permite configurar alertas de compra y venta desde el apartado de alertas de TradingView. Estas alertas se activan cuando se detectan cambios de tendencia en función de las condiciones establecidas en el código. El trader puede recibir notificaciones instantáneas, lo que facilita la toma de decisiones sin necesidad de estar constantemente observando el gráfico.
Consideraciones adicionales:
El porcentaje de cambio es un parámetro ajustable y debe configurarse según la temporalidad que se esté operando. En temporalidades más largas, es recomendable usar un porcentaje de cambio mayor para evitar señales falsas.
La utilización de las medias móviles de Hull (HMA) proporciona un enfoque más rápido y reactivo para evaluar tendencias en comparación con otras medias móviles, lo que lo convierte en una herramienta poderosa para traders que buscan señales rápidas de reversión.
Este enfoque combina la potencia de las medias móviles de Hull con un sistema de alertas que mejora la reactividad a cambios de tendencia.
Varanormal Mac N Cheez Strategy v1Mac N Cheez Strategy (Set a $200 Take profit Manually)
It's super cheesy. Strategy does the following:
Here's a detailed explanation of what the entire script does, including its key components, functionality, and purpose.
1. Strategy Setup and Input Parameters:
Strategy Name: The script is named "NQ Futures $200/day Strategy" and is set as an overlay, meaning all elements (like moving averages and signals) are plotted on the price chart.
Input Parameters:
fastLength: This sets the length of the fast moving average. The user can adjust this value, and it defaults to 9.
slowLength: This sets the length of the slow moving average. The user can adjust this value, and it defaults to 21.
dailyTarget: The daily profit target, which defaults to $200. If set to 0, this disables the daily profit target.
stopLossAmount: The fixed stop-loss amount per trade, defaulting to $100. This value is used to calculate how much you're willing to lose on a single trade.
trailOffset: This value sets the distance for a trailing stop. It helps protect profits by automatically adjusting the stop-loss as the price moves in your favor.
2. Calculating the Moving Averages:
fastMA: The fast moving average is calculated using the ta.sma() function on the close price with a period length of fastLength. The ta.sma() function calculates the simple moving average.
slowMA: The slow moving average is also calculated using ta.sma() but with the slowLength period.
These moving averages are used to determine trend direction and identify entry points.
3. Buy and Sell Signal Conditions:
longCondition: This is the buy condition. It occurs when the fast moving average crosses above the slow moving average. The script uses ta.crossover() to detect this crossover event.
shortCondition: This is the sell condition. It occurs when the fast moving average crosses below the slow moving average. The script uses ta.crossunder() to detect this crossunder event.
4. Executing Buy and Sell Orders:
Buy Orders: When the longCondition is true (i.e., fast MA crosses above slow MA), the script enters a long position using strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long).
Sell Orders: When the shortCondition is true (i.e., fast MA crosses below slow MA), the script enters a short position using strategy.entry("Sell", strategy.short).
5. Setting Stop Loss and Trailing Stop:
Stop-Loss for Long Positions: The stop-loss is calculated as the entry price minus the stopLossAmount. If the price falls below this level, the trade is exited automatically.
Stop-Loss for Short Positions: The stop-loss is calculated as the entry price plus the stopLossAmount. If the price rises above this level, the short trade is exited.
Trailing Stop: The trail_offset dynamically adjusts the stop-loss as the price moves in favor of the trade, locking in profits while still allowing room for market fluctuations.
6. Conditional Daily Profit Target:
The script includes a daily profit target that automatically closes all trades once the total profit for the day reaches or exceeds the dailyTarget.
Conditional Logic:
If the dailyTarget is greater than 0, the strategy checks whether the strategy.netprofit (total profit for the day) has reached or exceeded the target.
If the strategy.netprofit >= dailyTarget, the script calls strategy.close_all(), closing all open trades for the day and stopping further trading.
If dailyTarget is set to 0, this logic is skipped, and the script continues trading without a daily profit target.
7. Plotting Moving Averages:
plot(fastMA): This plots the fast moving average as a blue line on the price chart.
plot(slowMA): This plots the slow moving average as a red line on the price chart. These help visualize the crossover points and the trend direction on the chart.
8. Plotting Buy and Sell Signals:
plotshape(): The script uses plotshape() to add visual markers when buy or sell conditions are met:
"Long Signal": When a buy condition (longCondition) is met, a green marker is plotted below the price bar with the label "Long".
"Short Signal": When a sell condition (shortCondition) is met, a red marker is plotted above the price bar with the label "Short".
These markers help traders quickly see when buy or sell signals occurred on the chart.
In addition, triangle markers are plotted:
Green Triangle: Indicates where a buy entry occurred.
Red Triangle: Indicates where a sell entry occurred.
Summary of What the Script Does:
Inputs: The script allows the user to adjust moving average lengths, daily profit targets, stop-loss amounts, and trailing stop offsets.
Signals: It generates buy and sell signals based on the crossovers of the fast and slow moving averages.
Order Execution: It executes long positions on buy signals and short positions on sell signals.
Stop-Loss and Trailing Stop: It sets dynamic stop-losses and uses a trailing stop to protect profits.
Daily Profit Target: The strategy stops trading for the day once the net profit reaches the daily target (unless the target is disabled by setting it to 0).
Visual Markers: It plots moving averages and buy/sell signals directly on the main price chart to aid in visual analysis.
This script is designed to trade based on moving average crossovers, with robust risk management features like stop-loss and trailing stops, along with an optional daily profit target to limit daily trading activity. Let me know if you need further clarification or want to adjust any specific part of the script!
Trading TP SL### Detailed Explanation of the "Trading TP SL" Indicator:
#### 1. **Main Purpose of the Indicator**:
This Pine Script strategy is designed to automate trading decisions by using predefined Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels for both buy and sell orders. It allows for visual representation of these levels on the chart through lines and labels.
---
#### 2. **Key Variables**:
- **Candle_length**: Specifies the number of candles used for calculating the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
- **Quantity_of_deals**: Defines the number of consecutive price conditions needed to trigger a trade.
- **SLbuy and SLsell**: Inputs for setting the stop loss level for buy and sell trades.
- **TPbuy1 - TPbuy4 and TPsell1 - TPsell4**: Inputs for specifying up to four take profit levels for buy and sell trades.
- **show_SL_buy and show_TP1_buy (and others)**: These options control whether the lines and labels for the specified levels are shown on the chart.
---
#### 3. **Buy Logic**:
- The script calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) using the number of candles specified by **Candle_length**.
- A condition is checked to see if the current price is above the SMA (**bcond = price > ma**).
- If this condition holds true for a number of candles equal to **Quantity_of_deals**, a buy trade is triggered with the command: `strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long)`.
- The stop loss and take profit levels are calculated based on user inputs (in ticks).
##### Example:
- If the price is above the 50-period SMA, and this happens for 30 consecutive candles, a buy order will be triggered, with the corresponding SL and TP levels plotted on the chart.
---
#### 4. **Sell Logic**:
- The opposite logic applies for sell trades. If the price is below the SMA (**scond = price < ma**) for a number of candles equal to **Quantity_of_deals**, a sell trade is triggered using: `strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short)`.
- Stop loss and take profit levels are calculated and displayed in the same way as for buy trades.
---
#### 5. **Displaying Lines and Labels**:
- Lines and labels are drawn on the chart to represent the SL and TP levels using the `line.new` and `label.new` functions.
- The visibility of these lines and labels is controlled by options like **show_SL_buy**, **show_TP1_buy**, **show_SL_sell**, etc.
##### Example:
- If **show_SL_buy** is enabled, a red line and label for the buy stop loss will appear on the chart, labeled "SL".
- The same applies for the take profit levels (TP1, TP2, etc.) and the sell orders.
---
#### 6. **Color Customization**:
- The script allows for customization of colors for different components:
- **SL_1**: The color of the buy stop loss line (red).
- **TP_1**: The color of the first take profit line for buy orders (green).
- **short1**: The color of the sell order line.
---
### Advantages:
- Full control over profit and stop loss levels.
- Flexibility to define the number of conditions required to trigger a trade.
- Options to show or hide levels on the chart, providing visual clarity.
---
### Conclusion:
This strategy is built around using the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to identify entry signals for both buy and sell trades. The stop loss and take profit levels are user-defined, with significant flexibility to customize and visualize them on the chart.
### شرح تفصيلي لمؤشر "Trading TP SL" المكتوب بلغة Pine Script:
#### 1. **الهدف الأساسي للمؤشر**:
المؤشر مصمم كاستراتيجية تداول مبنية على أوامر الشراء والبيع مع إعدادات خاصة بأهداف الربح (TP) ومستويات إيقاف الخسارة (SL). يتم تحديد هذه المستويات بشكل يدوي عن طريق المدخلات، مع إمكانية إظهار الخطوط والملصقات على الرسم البياني لتوضيح تلك المستويات.
---
#### 2. **المتغيرات الأساسية**:
- **Candle_length**: عدد الشموع المستخدمة لحساب المتوسط المتحرك البسيط (SMA).
- **Quantity_of_deals**: عدد الصفقات المطلوبة قبل تفعيل إشارة الدخول.
- **SLbuy و SLsell**: مستوى إيقاف الخسارة للشراء والبيع.
- **TPbuy1 - TPbuy4 و TPsell1 - TPsell4**: مستويات الربح المستهدفة (TP) للشراء والبيع.
- **show_SL_buy و show_TP1_buy (وما إلى ذلك)**: هذه الخيارات تظهر أو تخفي الخطوط والملصقات على الرسم البياني لكل مستوى من المستويات المحددة.
---
#### 3. **المنطق وراء الشراء**:
- يتم حساب المتوسط المتحرك البسيط (SMA) باستخدام الشموع المحددة في المتغير **Candle_length**.
- يتم التأكد مما إذا كان السعر الحالي أعلى من هذا المتوسط المتحرك البسيط (**bcond = price > ma**).
- إذا تحقق هذا الشرط لعدد من الشموع يساوي **Quantity_of_deals**، يتم تفعيل صفقة شراء باستخدام أمر: `strategy.entry("BUY", strategy.long)`.
- يتم حساب مستويات إيقاف الخسارة وأهداف الربح بناءً على القيمة المدخلة من المستخدم (القيمة بالنقاط).
##### مثال:
- إذا كان السعر الحالي أكبر من المتوسط المتحرك لمدة 50 شمعة، وحدث ذلك على التوالي لـ 30 شمعة، سيتم تفعيل صفقة شراء مع مستويات إيقاف الخسارة وأهداف الربح المعروضة على الرسم البياني.
---
#### 4. **المنطق وراء البيع**:
- يحدث العكس في حالة البيع. إذا كان السعر أقل من المتوسط المتحرك البسيط (**scond = price < ma**) وتحقق هذا الشرط لعدد من الشموع يساوي **Quantity_of_deals**، يتم تفعيل صفقة بيع باستخدام أمر: `strategy.entry("SELL", strategy.short)`.
- يتم حساب مستويات إيقاف الخسارة وأهداف الربح وفقًا للقيم المدخلة من المستخدم، وتظهر هذه المستويات على الرسم البياني.
---
#### 5. **إظهار الخطوط والملصقات**:
- يتم رسم الخطوط والملصقات على الرسم البياني لإيضاح المستويات (SL و TP) باستخدام دوال `line.new` و `label.new`.
- يمكنك التحكم في إظهار أو إخفاء هذه الخطوط والملصقات عن طريق الخيارات **show_SL_buy**, **show_TP1_buy**, **show_SL_sell**, إلخ.
##### مثال:
- إذا تم تفعيل خيار **show_SL_buy**، سيظهر خط إيقاف الخسارة للشراء على الرسم البياني بلون أحمر مع ملصق يُظهر "SL".
- يتم تكرار نفس الشيء لأهداف الربح (TP1, TP2, إلخ) وخطوط البيع.
---
#### 6. **ألوان المكونات**:
- الألوان لكل مستوى يمكن تخصيصها. على سبيل المثال:
- **SL_1**: لون إيقاف الخسارة للشراء (أحمر).
- **TP_1**: لون هدف الربح الأول للشراء (أخضر).
- **short1**: لون صفقة البيع.
---
### المزايا:
- التحكم الكامل في مستويات الربح والخسارة.
- إمكانية تخصيص عدد الصفقات المطلوبة لتفعيل إشارة الدخول.
- إظهار أو إخفاء المستويات على الرسم البياني وفقًا لرغبة المستخدم.
---
### الخلاصة:
هذه الاستراتيجية تعتمد على المتوسط المتحرك البسيط (SMA) لعدد معين من الشموع كإشارة دخول، سواء للشراء أو البيع. يتم تعيين مستويات الربح والخسارة يدويًا، مع توفير مرونة عالية في إظهار الخطوط والملصقات على الرسم البياني.
Bidirectional Trend Reversal StrategyBidirectional Trend Reversal Strategy
This strategy aims to identify potential trend reversals and execute trades accordingly, focusing on both long and short positions. It uses a crossover of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with price action as a key signal. When the price crosses above the SMA and the previous period was bearish (closed lower than it opened), the script opens a long position ("o-Long"). The exit ("e-Long") occurs when the target or stop-loss levels are hit, which are dynamically set using the ATR (Average True Range).
For short trades, when the price crosses below the SMA and the previous period was bullish (closed higher than it opened), the script opens a short position ("o-Short"). The exit ("e-Short") follows the same ATR-based logic for stop-loss and take-profit.
All settings, including SMA and ATR parameters, are fully customizable, allowing users to adapt the strategy to different market conditions and personal trading preferences.
This approach provides a systematic way to capture trend reversals and manage trades with clear entry and exit signals based on market momentum and volatility.
Example Setup:
Market: Forex
Pair: USD/GBP
Order size: 100,000 Contracts (1 Lot)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
SMA: 93
ATR Length: 15
Stop-Loss (ATR Multiplier): 7
Take-Profit Multiplier: 2
Experiment with different settings to achieve the best results for your trading style and market conditions.
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell OptionsStrategy Name:
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell Options
Description:
The Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy is a trend-following strategy designed to capitalize on market trends by utilizing the smoothness of Heikin Ashi candles. This strategy provides flexible options for trading, allowing users to choose between Buy Only (long-only), Sell Only (short-only), or using both in alternating conditions based on the Heikin Ashi candle signals. The strategy works on any market, but it performs especially well in markets where trends are prevalent, such as cryptocurrency or Forex.
This script offers customizable parameters for the backtest period, Heikin Ashi timeframe, stop loss, and take profit levels, allowing traders to optimize the strategy for their preferred markets or assets.
Key Features:
Trade Type Options:
Buy Only: Enter a long position when a green Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a red candle appears.
Sell Only: Enter a short position when a red Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a green candle appears.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Customizable stop loss and take profit percentages allow for flexible risk management.
The default stop loss is set to 2%, and the default take profit is set to 4%, maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe:
Traders can select the desired timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle calculation (e.g., 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for a 1-hour chart).
The strategy smooths out price action and reduces noise, providing clearer signals for entry and exit.
Inputs:
Backtest Start Date / End Date: Specify the period for testing the strategy’s performance.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe: Select the timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle generation. A higher timeframe helps smooth the trend, which is beneficial for trading lower timeframes.
Stop Loss (in %) and Take Profit (in %): Enable or disable stop loss and take profit, and adjust the levels based on market conditions.
Trade Type: Choose between Buy Only or Sell Only based on your market outlook and strategy preference.
Strategy Performance:
In testing with BTC/USD, this strategy performed well in a 4-hour Heikin Ashi timeframe applied on a 1-hour chart over a period from January 1, 2024, to September 12, 2024. The results were as follows:
Initial Capital: 1 USD
Order Size: 100% of equity
Net Profit: +30.74 USD (3,073.52% return)
Percent Profitable: 78.28% of trades were winners.
Profit Factor: 15.825, indicating that the strategy's profitable trades far outweighed its losses.
Max Drawdown: 4.21%, showing low risk exposure relative to the large profit potential.
This strategy is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders who are looking to follow trends and avoid market noise by using Heikin Ashi candles. It is also well-suited for traders who prefer automated risk management through the use of stop loss and take profit levels.
Recommended Use:
Best Markets: This strategy works well on trending markets like cryptocurrency, Forex, or indices.
Timeframes: Works best when applied to lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) with a higher Heikin Ashi timeframe (e.g., 4-hour candles) to smooth out price action.
Leverage: The strategy performs well with leverage, but users should consider using 2x to 3x leverage to avoid excessive risk and potential liquidation. The strategy's low drawdown allows for moderate leverage use while maintaining risk control.
Customization: Traders can adjust the stop loss and take profit percentages based on their risk appetite and market conditions. A default setting of a 2% stop loss and 4% take profit provides a balanced risk/reward ratio.
Notes:
Risk Management: Traders should enable stop loss and take profit settings to maintain effective risk management and prevent large drawdowns during volatile market conditions.
Optimization: This strategy can be further optimized by adjusting the Heikin Ashi timeframe and risk parameters based on specific market conditions and assets.
Backtesting: The built-in backtesting functionality allows traders to test the strategy across different market conditions and historical data to ensure robustness before applying it to live trading.
How to Apply:
Select your preferred market and chart.
Choose the appropriate Heikin Ashi timeframe based on the chart's timeframe. (e.g., use 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for 1-hour chart trends).
Adjust stop loss and take profit based on your risk management preference.
Run backtesting to evaluate its performance before applying it in live trading.
This strategy can be further modified and optimized based on personal trading style and market conditions. It’s important to monitor performance regularly and adjust settings as needed to align with market behavior.
Tian Di Grid Merge Version 6.0
Strategy Introduction:
1. We know that the exchange can only set a maximum of 100 grids. However, our grid strategy can set a maximum of 350 grids.
2. We have added the modes of proportional and differential warehousing.
3. It should be noted that we have not set any filtering conditions, which means that when the price falls below the grid, we will execute a buy action at the closing price, and when the price falls above the grid, we will execute a sell action;
4. We suggest limiting the trading time cycle to 5 meters, as sometimes errors may appear on TV due to the dense grid or the inability to draw so many grids;
5. Please ensure that the minimum spacing between each grid is not less than 0.1%, as this is extremely difficult to profit from, and on the other hand, it may not function due to excessively dense spacing;
6. The maximum number of grids is 350, and the minimum number is currently 3;
matters needing attention:
Don't choose to go long or short together, and don't choose to go even short or short;
Closing position setting: It is recommended to select it to avoid order accumulation;
Unable to trade: If unable to trade normally, switch to a 1m cycle;
Number of cells: Calculate it yourself, 350 is just the maximum number of cells that can be adjusted;
Grid spacing: minimum 0.1%, below which no profit can be made;
Position value: default is 100u, which is the amount already leveraged;
Multiple investment: The order amount for each order is the same, and there is no need for multiple investment;
Open both long and short positions: You can open multiple positions for one account and open one position for one account. Do not open both long and short positions for the same target at the same time
Liquidity strategy tester [Influxum]This tool is based on the concept of liquidity. It includes 10 methods for identifying liquidity in the market. Although this tool is presented as a strategy, we see it more as a data-gathering instrument.
Warning: This indicator/strategy is not intended to generate profitable strategies. It is designed to identify potential market advantages and help with identifying effective entry points to capitalize on those advantages.
Once again, we have advanced the methods of effectively searching for liquidity in the market. With strategies, defined by various entry methods and risk management, you can find your edge in the market. This tool is backed by thorough testing and development, and we plan to continue improving it.
In its current form, it can also be used to test well-known ICT or Smart Money concepts. Using various methods, you can define market structure and identify areas where liquidity is located.
Fair Value Gaps - one of the entry signal options is fair value gaps, where an imbalance between buyers and sellers in the market can be expected.
Time and Price Theory - you can test this by setting liquidity from a specific session and testing entries as that liquidity is grabbed
Judas Swing - can be tested as a market reversal after a breakout during the first hours of trading.
Power of Three - accumulation can be observed as the market moving within a certain range, identified as cluster liquidity in our tool, manipulation occurs with the break of liquidity, and distribution is the direction of the entry.
🟪 Methods of Identifying Liquidity
Pivot Liquidity
This refers to liquidity formed by local extremes – the highest or lowest prices reached in the market over a certain period. The period is defined by a pivot number and determines how many candles before and after the high/low were higher/lower. Simply put, the pivot number represents the number of adjacent candles to the left and right, with a lower high for a pivot high and a higher low for a pivot low. The higher the number, the more significant the high/low is. Behind these local market extremes, we expect to find orders waiting for breakout as well as stop-losses.
Gann Swing
Similar to pivot liquidity, Gann swing identifies significant market points. However, instead of candle highs and lows, it focuses on the closing prices. A Gann swing is formed when a candle closes above (or below) several previous closes (the number is again defined by a strength parameter).
Percentage Change
Apart from ticks, percentages are also a key unit of market movement. In the search for liquidity, we monitor when a local high or low is formed. For liquidity defined by percentage change, a high must be a certain percentage higher than the last low to confirm a significant high. Similarly, a low must be a defined percentage away from the last significant high to confirm a new low. With the right percentage settings, you can eliminate market noise.
Session Range (3x)
Session range is a popular concept for finding liquidity, especially in smart money concepts (SMC). You can set up liquidity visualization for the Asian, London, or New York sessions – or even all three at once. This tool allows you to work with up to three sessions, so you can easily track how and if the market reacts to liquidity grabs during these sessions.
Tip for traders: If you want to see the reaction to liquidity grab during a specific session at a certain time (e.g., the well-known killzone), you can set the Trading session in this tool to the exact time where you want to look for potential entries.
Unfinished Auction
Based on order flow theory, an unfinished auction occurs when the market reverses sharply without filling all pending orders. In price action terms, this can be seen as two candles at a local high or low with very similar or identical highs/lows. The maximum difference between these values is defined as Tolerance, with the default setting being 3 ticks. This setting is particularly useful for filtering out noise during slower market periods, like the Asian session.
Double Tops and Bottoms
A very popular concept not only from smart money concepts but also among price pattern traders is the double bottom and double top. This occurs when the market stops and reverses at a certain price twice in a row. In the tool, you can set how many candles apart these bottoms/tops can be by adjusting the Length parameter. According to some theories, double bottoms are more effective when there is a significant peak between the two bottoms. You can set this in the tool as the Swing value, which defines how large the movement (expressed in ticks) must be between the two peaks/bottoms. The final parameter you can adjust is Tolerance, which defines the possible price difference between the two peaks/bottoms, also expressed in ticks.
Range or Cluster Liquidity
When the market stays within a certain price range, there’s a chance that breakout orders and stop-losses are accumulating outside of this range. Our tool defines ranges in two ways:
Candle balance calculates the average price within a candle (open, high, low, and close), and it defines consolidation when the centers of candles are within a certain distance from each other.
Overlap confirms consolidation when a candle overlaps with the previous one by a set percentage.
Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Highs or Lows
These options simply define liquidity as the previous day’s, week’s, or month’s highs or lows.
Visual Settings
You can easily adjust how liquidity is displayed on the chart, choosing line style, color, and thickness. To display only uncollected liquidity, select "Delete grabbed liquidity."
Liquidity Duration
This setting allows you to control how long liquidity areas remain valid. You can cancel liquidity at the end of the day, the second day, or after a specific number of candles.
🟪 Strategy
Now we come to the part of working with strategies.
Max # of bars after liquidity grab – This parameter allows you to define how many candles you can search for entry signals from the moment liquidity is grabbed. If you are using engulfing as an entry signal, which consists of 2 candles, keep in mind that this number must be at least 2. In general, if you want to test a quick and sharp reaction, set this number as low as possible. If you want to wait for a structural change after the liquidity grab, which may require more candles, set the number a bit higher.
🟪 Strategy - entries
In this section, we define the signals or situations where we can enter the market after liquidity has been taken out.
Liquidity grab - This setup triggers a trade immediately after liquidity is grabbed, meaning the trade opens as the next candle forms.
Close below, close above - This refers to situations where the price closes below liquidity, but then reverses and closes above liquidity again, suggesting the liquidity grab was a false breakout.
Over bar - This occurs when the entire candle (high and low) passes beyond the liquidity level but then experiences a pullback.
Engulfing - A popular price action pattern that is included in this tool.
2HL - weak, medium, strong - A variation of a popular candlestick pattern.
Strong bar - A strong reactionary candle that forms after a liquidity grab. If liquidity is grabbed at a low, this would be a strong long candle that closes near its high and is significantly larger compared to typical volatility.
Naked bar - A candlestick pattern we’ve tested that serves as a good confirmation of market movement.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) - A currently popular concept. This is the only signal with additional settings. “Pending FVG order valid” means if a fair value gap forms after a liquidity grab, a limit order is placed, which remains valid for a set number of candles. “FVG minimal tick size” allows you to filter based on the gap size, measured in ticks. “GAP entry model” lets you decide whether to place the limit order at the gap close or its edge.
🟪 Strategy - General
Long, short - You can choose whether to focus on long or short trades. It’s interesting to see how long and short trades yield different results across various markets.
Pyramiding - By default, the tool opens only one trade at a time. If a new signal arises while a trade is open, it won’t enter another position unless the pyramiding box is checked. You also need to set the maximum number of open trades in the Properties.
Position size - Simply set the size of the traded position.
🟪 Strategy - Time
In this section, you can set time parameters for the strategy being tested.
Test since year - As the name implies, you can limit the testing to start from a specific year.
Trading session - Define the trading session during which you want to test entries. You can also visualize the background (BG) for confirmation.
Exclude session - You can set a session period during which you prefer not to search for trades. For example, when the New York session opens, volatility can sharply increase, potentially reducing the long-term success rate of the tested setup.
🟪 Strategy - Exits
This section lets you define risk management rules.
PT & SL - Set the profit target (PT) and stop loss (SL) here.
Lowest/highest since grab - This option sets the stop loss at the lowest point after a liquidity grab at a low or at the highest point after a liquidity grab at a high. Since markets usually overshoot during liquidity grabs, it’s good practice to place the stop loss at the furthest point after the grab. You can also set your risk-reward ratio (RRR) here. A value of 1 sets an RRR of 1:1, 2 means 2:1, and so on.
Lowest/highest last # bars - Similar to the previous option, but instead of finding the extreme after a liquidity grab, it identifies the furthest point within the last number of candles. You can set how far back to look using the # bars field (for an engulfing pattern, 2 is optimal since it’s made of two candles, and the stop loss can be placed at the edge of the engulfing pattern). The RRR setting works the same way as in the previous option.
Other side liquidity grab - If this option is checked, the trade will exit when liquidity is grabbed on the opposite side (i.e., if you entered on a liquidity grab at a low, the trade will exit when liquidity is grabbed at a high).
Exit after # bars - A popular exit strategy where you close the position after a set number of candles.
Exit after # bars in profit - This option exits the trade once the position is profitable for a certain number of consecutive candles. For example, if set to 5, the position will close when 5 consecutive candles are profitable. You can also set a maximum number of candles (in the max field), ensuring the trade is closed after a certain time even if the profit condition hasn’t been met.
🟪 Alerts
Alerts are a key tool for traders to ensure they don’t miss trading opportunities. They also allow traders to manage their time effectively. Who would want to sit in front of the computer all day waiting for a trading opportunity when they could be attending to other matters? In our tool, you currently have two options for receiving alerts:
Liquidity grabs alert – if you enable this feature and set an alert, the alert will be triggered every time a candle on the current timeframe closes and intersects with the displayed liquidity line.
Entry signals alert – this feature triggers an alert when a signal for entry is generated based on the option you’ve selected in the Entry type. It’s an ideal way to be notified only when a trading opportunity appears according to your predefined rules.
DCA, Support and Resistance with RSI and Trend FilterThis script is based on
script from Kieranj with added pyramiding and DCA
The buy condition (buyCondition) is triggered when the RSI crosses above the oversold threshold (ta.crossover(rsi, oversoldThreshold)), the trend filter confirms an uptrend (isUptrend is true), and the close price is greater than or equal to the support level (close >= supportLevel).
The partial sell condition (sellCondition) is triggered when the RSI crosses below the overbought threshold (ta.crossunder(rsi, overboughtThreshold)) and profit goal is reached, the trend filter confirms a downtrend (isUptrend is false), and the close price is less than or equal to the resistance level (close <= resistanceLevel).
Full sell will be triggered if trend is broken and profit goal is reached
With this implementation, the signals will only be generated in the direction of the trend on the 4-hour timeframe. The trend is considered up when the 50-period SMA is below the 200-period SMA (ta.sma(trendFilterSource, 50) < ta.sma(trendFilterSource, 200)).
Pyramiding should be activated, values like 100, so every DCA step should be around 1%
i have best results on 5 min charts
