Trend Prediction Meter [PointAlgo]The Trend Prediction Meter & Levels is a composite market-bias and volatility visualization tool designed to summarize trend strength, momentum, price positioning, and volatility into a single normalized score.
It provides a structured framework to interpret directional bias and probable price expansion zones during active market conditions.
Concept Overview
Markets often reflect multiple conditions simultaneously—trend direction, momentum strength, price location within a range, and volatility.
This indicator combines these elements into a unified Bullish Score (0–100), displayed as a meter and supported by projected ATR-based levels.
Rather than focusing on a single signal, the script aims to present context about current market conditions.
Bullish Score Composition (0–100)
The meter represents a weighted blend of multiple market factors:
1. Trend Strength (EMA Structure)
Uses a fast and slow EMA to assess directional bias.
The distance between EMAs is normalized into a trend strength score.
Strong separation indicates directional conviction; compression suggests balance.
2. Momentum Strength (RSI Blend)
Combines a short-term and mid-term RSI.
Helps capture both immediate momentum and broader directional stability.
Higher readings indicate sustained bullish pressure, lower readings indicate bearish pressure.
3. Position Within Recent Range
Measures where price is trading relative to its recent high–low range.
Values near the top of the range reflect strength; values near the bottom reflect weakness.
Mid-range positioning indicates equilibrium.
4. Volume Participation
Compares current volume against its recent average.
Acts as a minor confidence modifier rather than a primary driver.
Each component is normalized and combined using fixed weights to produce a final Bullish Score between 0 and 100.
Bias Classification
The Bullish Score is translated into descriptive market states:
Extreme Bullish
Very Bullish
Bullish
Neutral
Bearish
Very Bearish
These labels describe current bias, not future certainty.
Meter Visualization
The meter plot dynamically changes color based on the score range.
A dashed midline at 50 represents balance.
Background shading highlights strong bullish or bearish dominance zones.
Crossovers of the 50-level indicate shifts in directional control.
ATR-Based Projection Levels:
To provide volatility context, the indicator calculates ATR-based upside and downside reference levels:
Two potential expansion levels (TP1 and TP2) are projected above and below price.
The distance of these levels adapts based on current bias strength.
These levels are contextual reference zones, not fixed targets.
Prediction Dashboard
An optional side table summarizes key readings at the most recent bar:
Symbol
Current bias label
Bullish Score
Current price
ATR value
Upside and downside projection levels
Directional comment (Upside favoured / Downside favoured / Balanced)
This dashboard is designed to provide a quick structural overview without requiring manual calculation.
Signals & Alerts
Built-in alerts are available for:
Bullish bias conditions
Bearish bias conditions
Bullish Score crossing above 50
Bullish Score crossing below 50
Alerts are informational and reflect internal state changes only.
Customization:
Users can adjust:
RSI lengths
EMA lengths
Range lookback period
ATR parameters
Display options for the meter and dashboard
This allows adaptation across different instruments and timeframes.
Usage Notes
Best suited for analytical interpretation rather than standalone decision-making.
Designed to complement price action, structure, or other indicators.
Works across multiple markets where volume and volatility data are available.
Disclaimer :
This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes only.
It does not provide investment, trading, or financial advice.
All signals and levels should be validated with independent analysis and appropriate risk management.
Emastrategy
Kinetic EMA & Volume with State EngineKinetic EMA & Volume with State Engine (EMVOL)
1. Introduction & Concept
The EMVOL indicator converts a dense family of EMA signals and volume flows into a compact “state engine”. Instead of looking at individual EMA lines or simple crossovers, the script treats each EMA as part of a kinetic vector field and classifies the market into interpretable states:
- Trend direction and strength (from a grid of prime‑period EMAs).
- Volume regime (expansion, contraction, climax, dry‑up).
- Order‑flow bias via delta (buy versus sell volume).
- A combined scenario label that summarises how these three layers interact.
The goal is educational: to help traders see that moving averages and volume become more meaningful when observed as a structure, not as isolated lines. EMVOL is therefore designed as a real‑time teaching tool, not as an automatic signal generator.
2. Volume Settings
Group: “Volume Settings”
A. Calculation Method
- Geometry (Source File) – Default mode.
Buy and sell volume are estimated from each candle’s geometry: the close is compared to the high/low range and the bar’s total volume is split proportionally between buyers and sellers. This approximation works on any TradingView plan and does not require lower‑timeframe data.
- Intrabar (Precise) – Reconstructs buy/sell volume using a lower timeframe via requestUpAndDownVolume(). The script asks TradingView for historical intrabar data (e.g., 15‑second bars) and builds buy/sell volume and delta from that stream. This mode can produce a more accurate view of order flow, but coverage is limited by your account’s history limits and the symbol’s available lower‑timeframe data.
B. Intrabar Resolution (If Precise)
- Intrabar Resolution (If Precise) – Selected only when the calculation method is “Intrabar (Precise)”. It defines which lower timeframe (for example 15S, 30S, 1m) is used to compute up/down volume. Smaller intrabar timeframes may give smoother and more granular deltas, but require more historical depth from the platform.
When “Intrabar (Precise)” is active, the dashboard’s extended section shows the resolution and the number of bars for which precise volume has been successfully retrieved, in the format:
- Mode: Intrabar (15S) – where N is the count of bars with valid high‑resolution volume data.
In Geometry mode this counter simply reflects the processed bars in the current session.
3. Kinetic Vector Settings
Group: “Kinetic Vector”
A. Vector Window
- Vector Window – Controls the temporal smoothing applied to the aggregated vectors (trend, volume, delta, etc.). Internally, each bar’s vector value is averaged with a simple moving window of this length.
- Shorter windows make the state engine more reactive and sensitive to local swings.
- Longer windows make the states more stable and better suited to higher‑timeframe structure.
B. Max Prime Period
- Max Prime Period – Sets the largest prime number used in the EMA grid. The engine builds a family of EMAs on prime lengths (2, 3, 5, 7, …) up to this limit and converts their slopes into angles.
- A higher limit increases the number of long‑horizon EMAs in the grid and makes the vectors sensitive to broader structure.
- A lower limit focuses the analysis on short- and medium‑term behaviour.
C. Price Source
- Price Source – The price series from which the kinetic EMA grid is built (e.g., Close, HLC3, OHLC4). Changing the source modifies the context that the state engine is reading but does not change the core logic.
4. State Engine Settings
Group: “State Engine Settings”
These inputs define how the continuous vectors are translated into discrete states.
A. Trend Thresholds
- Strong Trend Threshold – Value above which the trend vector is treated as “extreme bullish” and below which it is “extreme bearish”.
- Weak Trend Threshold – Inner boundary between neutral and directional conditions.
Roughly:
- |trend| < weak → Neutral trend state.
- weak < |trend| ≤ strong → Bullish/Bearish.
- |trend| > strong → Extreme Bullish/Extreme Bearish.
B. Volume Thresholds
- Volume Climax Threshold – Upper bound at which volume is considered “climax” (unusually expanded participation).
- Volume Expansion Threshold – Boundary for normal expansion versus contraction.
Conceptually:
- Volume above “expansion” indicates increasing activity.
- Volume near or above “climax” marks extreme participation.
- Negative values below the symmetric thresholds map to contraction and extreme dry‑up (liquidity vacuum) states.
C. Delta Thresholds
- Strong Delta Threshold – Cut‑off for extreme buying or selling dominance in delta.
- Weak Delta Threshold – Threshold for mild buy/sell bias versus neutral order flow.
Combined with the sign of the delta vector, these thresholds classify order flow as:
- Extreme Buy, Buy‑Dominant, Neutral, Sell‑Dominant, Extreme Sell.
D. State Hysteresis Bars
- State Hysteresis Bars – Minimum number of bars for which a new state must persist before the engine commits to the change. This prevents the dashboard from flickering during fast spikes and emphasises persistent market behaviour.
- Smaller values switch states quickly; larger values demand more confirmation.
5. Visual Interface
Group: “Visual Interface”
A. Ribbon Base Color
- Ribbon Base Color – Base hue for the multi‑layer EMA ribbon drawn around price. The script plots a dense grid of hidden EMAs and fills the gaps between them to form a semi‑transparent band. Narrow, overlapping bands hint at compression; wider separation hints at dispersion across EMA horizons.
B. Show Dashboard
- Show Dashboard – Toggles the on‑chart table which summarises the current state engine output. Disable this if you only want to keep the EMA ribbon and volume‑based structure on the price chart.
C. Color Theme
- Color Theme – Switch between a dark and light style for the dashboard background and text colours so that the table matches your chart theme.
D. Table Position
- Table Position – Places the dashboard at any corner or edge of the chart (Top / Middle / Bottom × Left / Centre / Right).
E. Table Size
- Table Size – Changes the dashboard’s text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large). Use a larger size on high‑resolution screens or when streaming.
F. Show Extended Info
- Show Extended Info – Adds diagnostic rows under the main state summary:
- Mode / Primes / Vector – Shows the current calculation mode (Geometry / Intrabar), the selected intrabar resolution and coverage in bars ( ), how many prime periods are active, and the vector window.
- Values – Displays the current aggregated vectors:
- P: price vector
- V: volume vector
- B: buy‑volume vector
- S: sell‑volume vector
- D: delta vector
Values are bounded between ‑1 and +1.
- Volume Stats – Prints the last bar’s raw buy volume, sell volume and delta as formatted numbers.
- Footer – A final row with the symbol and current time: #SYMBOL | HH:MM.
These extended rows are meant for inspecting how the engine is behaving under the hood while you scroll the chart and compare different assets or timeframes.
6. Language Settings
Group: “Language Settings”
- Select Language – Switches the entire dashboard between English and Turkish.
The underlying calculations and scenario logic are identical; only the labels, titles and comments in the table are translated.
7. Dashboard Structure & Reading Guide
The table summarises the current situation in a few rows:
1. System Header – Shows the script name and the active calculation method (“Geometry” or “Intrabar”).
2. Scenario Title – High‑level description of the current combined scenario (e.g., “Trending Buy Confirmed”, “Sideways Balanced”, “Bull Trap”, “Blow‑Off Top”). The background colour is derived from the scenario family (trending, compression, exhaustion, anomaly, etc.).
3. Bias / Trend Line – States the dominant trend bias derived from the trend vector (Extreme Bullish, Bullish, Neutral, Bearish, Extreme Bearish).
4. Signal / Consideration Line – A short sentence giving qualitative guidance about the current state (for example: continuation risk, exhaustion risk, trap‑like behaviour, or compression). This is deliberately phrased as a consideration, not as a direct trading signal.
5. Trend / Volume / Delta Rows – Three separate rows explain, in plain language, how the trend, volume regime and delta are classified at this bar.
6. Extended Info (optional) – Mode / primes / vector settings, current vector values, and last‑bar volume statistics, as described above.
Together, these rows are meant to be read as a narrative of what price, volume and order‑flow are doing, not as mechanical instructions.
8. State Taxonomy
The state engine organizes market behaviour in three stages.
8.1 Trend States (from the Price Vector)
- Extreme Bullish Trend – The prime‑grid price vector is strongly upward; most EMAs are aligned to the upside.
- Bullish Trend – Upward bias is present, but less extreme.
- Neutral Trend – EMAs are mixed or flat; price is effectively sideways relative to the grid.
- Bearish Trend – Downward bias, with the EMA grid sloping down.
- Extreme Bearish Trend – Strong downside alignment across the grid.
8.2 Volume Regime States (from the Volume Vector)
- Volume Climax (Buy‑Side) – Strong positive volume vector; participation is unusually high in the current direction.
- Volume Expansion – Activity above normal but below the climax threshold.
- Neutral Volume – No major expansion or contraction versus recent history.
- Volume Contraction – Activity is drying up compared with the past.
- Extreme Dry‑Up / Liquidity Vacuum – Very low participation; the market is thin and prone to slippage.
8.3 Delta Behaviour States (from the Delta Vector)
- Extreme Buy Delta – Buying pressure dominates strongly.
- Buy‑Dominant Delta – Buy volume exceeds sell volume, but not at an extreme.
- Neutral Delta – Buy and sell flows are roughly balanced.
- Sell‑Dominant Delta – Selling pressure dominates.
- Extreme Sell Delta – Aggressive, one‑sided selling.
8.4 Combined Scenario State s
EMVOL uses the three base states above to generate a single scenario label. These scenarios are designed to be read as context, not as entry or exit signals.
Trending Scenarios
1. Trending Buy Confirmed
- Bullish or extreme bullish trend, supported by expanding or climax volume and buy‑side delta.
- Educational idea: a healthy uptrend where both participation and order flow agree with the direction.
2. Trending Buy – Weak Volume
- Bullish trend, but volume is neutral, contracting or in dry‑up while delta is still buy‑side.
- Educational idea: price is advancing, yet participation is thinning; trend continuation becomes more fragile.
3. Trending Sell Confirmed
- Bearish or extreme bearish trend, with expanding or climax volume and sell‑side delta.
- Educational idea: strong downtrend with both volume and order‑flow confirmation.
4. Trending Sell – Weak Volume
- Bearish trend, but volume is neutral, contracting or very low while delta remains sell‑side.
- Educational idea: downside continues but with limited participation; vulnerable to short‑covering.
Sideways / Range Scenarios
5. Sideways Balanced
- Neutral trend, neutral delta, neutral volume.
- Classic range environment; low directional edge, suitable for observation and context rather than trend trading.
6. Sideways with Buy Pressure
- Neutral trend, but buy‑side delta is dominant or extreme.
- Range with latent accumulation: price may still appear sideways, but buyers are quietly more active.
7. Sideways with Sell Pressure
- Neutral trend with dominant or extreme sell‑side delta.
- Distribution‑like environment where price chops while sellers are gradually more aggressive.
Exhaustion & Volume Extremes
8. Exhaustion – Buy Risk
- Extreme bullish trend, volume climax and strong buy‑side delta.
- Educational idea: very strong up‑move where both participation and delta are already stretched; risk of exhaustion or blow‑off.
9. Exhaustion – Sell Risk
- Extreme bearish trend, volume dry‑up and strong sell‑side delta.
- Suggests one‑sided selling into increasingly thin liquidity.
10. Volume Climax (Buy)
- Neutral trend, neutral delta, but volume at climax levels.
- Often associated with a “big event” bar where participation spikes without a clear directional commitment.
11. Volume Climax (Sell / Dry‑Up)
- Neutral trend and neutral delta, while the volume vector indicates an extreme dry‑up.
- Highlights a stand‑still episode: very limited interest from both sides, increasing the sensitivity to future impulses.
Divergences
12. Divergence – Bullish Context
- Bullish or extreme bullish trend, but delta has faded back to neutral.
- Price trend continues while order‑flow conviction softens; can precede pauses or complex corrections.
13. Divergence – Bearish Context
- Bearish or extreme bearish trend with a neutral delta.
- Downtrend persists, but selling pressure no longer dominates as clearly.
Consolidation & Compression
14. Consolidation
- Default state when no specific pattern dominates and the market is broadly balanced.
- Educational use: treat this as a “no strong edge” label; focus on structure rather than direction.
15. Breakout Imminent
- Neutral trend with contracting volume.
- Compression phase where energy is building up; often precedes transitions into trending or shock scenarios.
Traps & Hidden Divergences
16. Bull Trap
- Bullish trend, with neutral or contracting volume and sell‑side delta.
- Price appears strong, but order‑flow shifts against it; often seen near fake breakouts or failing rallies.
17. Bear Trap
- Bearish trend, neutral or contracting volume, but buy‑side delta.
- Downtrend “looks” intact, while buyers become more aggressive underneath the surface.
18. Hidden Bullish Divergence
- Bullish trend, contracting volume, but strong buy‑side delta.
- Educational idea: price dips or slows while aggressive buyers step in, often inside an ongoing uptrend.
19. Hidden Bearish Divergence
- Bearish trend, volume expansion and strong sell‑side delta.
- Reinforced downside pressure even if price is temporarily retracing.
Reversal & Transition Patterns
20. Reversal to Bearish
- Neutral trend, volume climax and strong sell‑side delta.
- Suggests that heavy selling appears at the top of a move, turning a previously neutral or rising context into potential downside.
21. Reversal to Bullish
- Neutral trend, extreme volume dry‑up and strong buy‑side delta.
- Often associated with selling exhaustion where buyers start to take control.
22. Indecision Spike
- Neutral trend with extreme volume (climax or dry‑up) but neutral delta.
- Crowd participation changes sharply while order‑flow remains undecided; treat as an informational spike rather than a direction.
Extended Compression & Acceleration
23. Coiling Phase
- Neutral trend, contracting volume, and delta that is neutral or only mildly one‑sided.
- Extended compression where price, volume and delta all contract into a tightly coiled range, often preceding a strong move.
24. Bullish Acceleration
- Bullish trend with volume expansion and strong buy‑side delta.
- Uptrend not only continues but gains kinetic strength; educationally, this illustrates how trend, volume and delta align in the strongest phases of a move.
25. Bearish Acceleration
- Bearish trend with volume expansion and strong sell‑side delta.
- Mirror image of Bullish Acceleration on the downside.
Trend Exhaustion & Climax Reversal
26. Bull Exhaustion
- Bullish or extreme bullish trend, with contraction or dry‑up in volume and buy‑side or neutral delta.
- The move has already travelled far; participation fades while price is still elevated.
27. Bear Exhaustion
- Bearish or extreme bearish trend, with volume climax or contraction and sell‑side or neutral delta.
- Down‑move may be approaching a point where additional selling pressure has diminishing impact.
28. Blow‑Off Top
- Extreme bullish trend, volume climax and extreme buy delta all at once.
- Classic blow‑off behaviour: price, volume and order‑flow are simultaneously stretched in the same direction.
29. Selling Climax Reversal
- Extreme bearish trend with extreme volume dry‑up and extreme sell‑side delta.
- Marks a very aggressive capitulation phase that can precede major rebounds.
Advanced VSA / Anomaly Scenarios
30. Absorption
- Typically neutral trend with expanding or climax volume and extreme delta (either buy or sell).
- Educational focus: large participants are aggressively absorbing liquidity from the opposite side, while price remains relatively contained.
31. Distribution
- Scenario where volume remains elevated while directional conviction weakens and the trend slows.
- Represents potential “selling into strength” or “buying into weakness”, depending on the active side.
32. Liquidity Vacuum
- Combination of thin liquidity (extreme dry‑up) with a directional trend or strong delta.
- Highlights environments where even small orders can move price disproportionately.
33. Anomaly / Shock Event
- Triggered when the vector z‑scores detect rare combinations of price, volume and delta behaviour that deviate from their own historical distribution.
- Intended as a warning label for unusual events rather than a specific tradeable pattern.
9. Educational Usage Notes
- EMVOL does not produce mechanical “buy” or “sell” commands. Instead, it classes each bar into an interpretable state so that traders can study how trends, volume and order‑flow interact over time.
- A common exercise is to overlay your usual EMA crossovers, support/resistance or price patterns and observe which EMVOL scenarios appear around entries, exits, traps and climaxes.
- Because the vectors are normalized (bounded between ‑1 and +1) and then discretized, the same conceptual states can be compared across different symbols and timeframes.
10. Disclaimer & Educational Purpose
This indicator is provided strictly as an educational and analytical tool. Its purpose is to help visualise how price, volume and order‑flow interact; it is not designed to function as a stand‑alone trading system.
Please note:
1. No Automated Strategy – The script does not implement a complete trading strategy. Scenario labels and dashboard messages are descriptive and should not be followed as unconditional entry or exit signals.
2. No Financial Advice – All information produced by this indicator is general market analysis. It must not be interpreted as investment, financial or trading advice, or as a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
3. Risk Warning – Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Always perform your own analysis, use appropriate position sizing and risk management, and consult a qualified professional if needed. You are solely responsible for any decisions made using this tool.
4. Data Precision & Platform Limits – The “Intrabar (Precise)” mode depends on the availability of high‑resolution historical data at the chosen intrabar timeframe. If your TradingView plan or the symbol’s history does not provide sufficient depth, this mode may only partially cover the visible chart. In such cases, consider switching to “Geometry (Source File)” for a fully populated view.
300/200 EMA Spread HeatmapHighlights the difference between 300 and 200 EMA to indicated potential over extensions in breakout structures.
Best MA Pair Finder (Crossover Strategy)This indicator automatically identifies the optimal pair of moving averages (MAs) for a crossover strategy using all available historical data. It offers several MA options—including SMA, EMA, and TEMA—allowing users to select the desired type in the settings. The indicator supports two strategy modes: “Long Only” and “Buy & Sell”, which can be chosen via the options.
For each MA pair combination, the indicator performs a backtest and calculates the profit factor, considering only those pairs where the total number of trades meets or exceeds the user-defined "Minimum Trades" threshold. This parameter ensures that the selected optimal pair is based on a statistically meaningful sample rather than on a limited number of trades.
The results provided by this indicator are based on historical data and backtests, which may not guarantee future performance. Users should conduct their own analysis and use proper risk management before making trading decisions.
Support Resistance Pivot EMA Scalp Strategy [Mauserrifle]A strategy that creates signals based on: pivots, EMA 9+20, RSI, ATR, VWAP, wicks and volume.
The strategy is developed as a helper for quick long option scalping. This strategy is primarily designed for intraday trading on the 2m SPY chart with extended hours. However, users can adapt it for use on different symbols and timeframes. These signals are meant as a helper rather than fully automated trading bots.
One of the key elements is its pivot-based calculation, driven by my integrated indicator "Support and Resistance Pivot Points/Lines ". It enables multi-timeframe pivot calculations which are used to generate the signals and offers customizability, allowing you to define rounding methods and cooldown periods to refine pivot levels. The pivots, in combination with EMA crossovers, VWAP trend, and additional filters (RSI, ATR, VWAP, wicks and volume), create an entry and exit strategy for scalping opportunities that is useful for 0/1 DTE options with an average trade time of six minutes with the default setup for SPY. Option trading should be done outside TradingView. At this moment of release there is no option trading support.
All parameters used in the strategy are tweaked based on deep backtests results and real-time behavior. Be mindful that past performance does not guarantee future results.
The strategy is designed for intermediate and advanced users who are familiar intraday option scalping techniques.
How It Works
The strategy identifies entries based on multiple conditions, including: recently above pivot, recent EMA crossovers, RSI range, candle patterns, and VWAP uptrend. It avoids trades below the VWAP lower band due to poor backtesting results in those conditions. It creates a great number of signals when it detects an uptrend, which entails: VWAP and its lower/upper band slopes are going up, and the number of next high pivot points is greater than the number of lower pivot points. This indicates that we hope it will keep going up. In historical testing, this showed favorable results. This uptrend criteria runs on 15m charts max (where up to the VWAP effectiveness is the greatest).
The strategy also checks for candle and volume patterns, identified in backtesting to improve entry levels on historic data. Which include:
A red candle after multiple green ones, hoping to jump on a trend during a small pullback
Zero lower wick
Percentage and volume is up after lower volume candles
Percentage is up and the first and second EMA slopes are going up
Percentage is up, the first EMA is higher than the second, the price low is below the second EMA and price close above it
The VWAP uptrend overrules the candle and volume conditions (thus lots of signals during those moments).
The above is the base for many signals. There is a strict mode that adds extra checks such as:
not trading when there is no next low or high pivot
requiring a VWAP uptrend only
minimum candle percentages
This mode is for analyzing history and seeing performance during these conditions. It is worth it to create a separate alert for strict mode so you are aware of these conditions during trading.
When no stop has been defined, exits will always happen on pivot crossunder confirmations. If a stop is defined (default config), the strategy exits a position when:
the position is negative or no trail has been set
at least 1 bar has past
OR no stop has been defined (overrules previous)
trail has not been activated
The second exit condition happens when the close is below first EMA(9 by default) and when:
the position has been above first EMA
the gap between close and last pivot isn't small
the position is negative or no trail has been set
OR no stop has been defined (overrules above)
trail has not been activated
There are some more variations on this but the above are the most common. These exit conditions are a safety net because the strategy heavily relies on and favors stops. The settings allow changing stops, profit takers and trails. You can configure it to always sell without the conditions above.
The script will paint the pivot lines, trailing activation/stops, EMAs and entry/exits; with extra information in the data panel. For a complete view add VWAP and RSI to your chart, which are available from TradingView official indicator library. The strategy will not rely on those added indicators since VWAP and RSI are programmed in. You can add them to track the behavior of the signals based on these filters you have configured and have a complete view trading this strategy.
As mentioned earlier, the default settings are built for SPY 2m charts, with extended hours and real-time data. Open the strategy on this chart to study how all input parameters are used. If you don't have real-time data you need to adjust the minimum volume settings (set it to 0 at first).
The backtest
The default backtest configuration is set up to simulate SPY option trading.
Start capital is set to 10,000 and we risk around 5% of that per trade (1 contract)
Commission is set to 0.005%. The reason: at the time of this publication the SPY index price is approximately $580. Two ITM 0/1 DTE options contracts, each priced around $280, which is approximately $560. The typical commission for such a trade is around $3. To simulate this commission in the backtest on the SPY index itself, a commission of 0.005% per trade has been applied, approximating the options trading costs.
Slippage of 3 is set reflecting liquid SPY
The bar magnifier feature is turned on to have more realistic fills
Trading
In backtesting, setting commission and slippage to 0 on the SPY 2m chart shows many trades result around breaking even. Personally, I view them as an opportunity and safety net to help manage emotional decisions for exits. The signals are designed for short option scalps, allowing traders to take small profits and potentially re-enter during the strategy’s position window. It's advisable to take small potential profits, such as 4%, whenever the opportunity arises and consider re-entering if the setup still looks favorable, for example price still above ema9. Exiting a long position below ema9 is a common strategy for 2m scalping.
The average trade duration is approximately 6 minutes (3 bars). The choice between ITM (in-the-money), ATM (at-the-money), or OTM (out-of-the-money) options will depend on your trading style. Personally, I’ve seen better results with ITM options because they tend to move more in sync with the underlying index, thanks to their higher delta.
It’s important to note that the signals are designed to be a helper for manual trading rather than to automate a bot. Users are encouraged to take small profits and re-enter positions if favorable conditions persist. Be mindful that past performance does not guarantee future results.
For the default SPY setup the losses will mostly be 4-10% for ITM options. Be mindful of extreme volatile conditions where losses may reach 30% quickly, especially when trading ATM/OTM options.
The following settings can be changed:
8 pivot timeframes with left/right bars and days rendered
Here you can configure the timeframes for the pivots, which are crucial. The strategy wants that a crossover has happened recently (so it might enter after a crossunder if the crossover was recent) or the price is still above the crossed pivot.
When you decide to use a pivot timeframe higher than your chart, make sure it aligns the same starting point as the chart timeframe. As stated in the 43000478429 docs, there is a dependency between the resolution and the alignment of a starting point:
1–14 minutes — aligns to the beginning of a week
15–29 minutes — aligns to the beginning of a month
from 30 minutes and higher — aligns to the beginning of a year
This alignment also affects the setting of rendered days. I recommend a max value of 5 days for 1-14 minutes timeframes.
Also make sure a higher pivot timeframe can be divided by the lower. For instance I had repaint issues using 3m pivots on a 2m chart. But 4m pivots work fine.
Please look up docs 43000478429 to make sure this information is still up to date.
Pivot rounding
The pivot rounding option is used to add pivots based on a rounded price and limit the number of pivots. While this feature is disabled by default it can be useful with tweaking strategy variations, because many orders are placed at rounded levels and tend to act as strong price barriers.
There are multiple rounding methods: round, ceil/floor, roundn (decimal) and rounding to the minimal tick.
The next feature is a powerful extension called "Cooldown rounding":
Pivot cooldown rounding
This rounds new pivot levels for a cooldown period to keep the previous pivot line instead of adding a new line when they match the rounded value within the cooldown period. The existing line will be extended. This feature is useful because it makes sure the initial line is added to the exact high/low pivot level but any future lines within the rounding will just extend the existing line. This limits the number of pivots while still having precise levels (which normal rounding lacks) and allows more precise pivot trading.
This feature also helps ensure that the number of rendered lines will not exceed 500 too much, which is the render limit on TradingView.
You can set a maximum minutes for the cooldown. The default is 3 years which will enable the cooldown rounding permanently on the intraday (due to the max bar limit).
Pivot always added when new higher/lower pivot
When using cooldown rounding, one may find it useful to override this behavior when a new lower or higher pivot level has been reached. When enabled the new level will be added despite the fact that they may be rounded the same in the cooldown check. This is a good balance between limiting pivots but also allowing preciser trading.
VWAP bands multiplier
This is used to tweak the inner VWAP working for the upper and lower band. The default VWAP multiplier (0.9) is set based on backtesting since it performed better on historic data (the strategy does not trade below the lowerband). When you add the VWAP indicator from the TradingView library to the chart, make sure it uses the same multiplier setting as within this strategy so you have a correct view of the conditions the strategy acts on.
ATR EMA smoothing length
Used to tweak the ATR EMA smoothing. By default it is set up to 4 based on deep backtesting historic data.
EMA lengths
Changing the EMA length allows you to fine tune the EMA crossing behavior. By default the strategy is set up to EMA 9 and 20 which are considered commonly used values on the 2-minute chart.
Trading intraday time restrictions
For intraday charts you can configure when the strategy starts trading after market open and when it stops, including a hard sell. This makes sure there are no open positions left for the day during backtesting and can also aid in your trading style. For example some scalpers will not trade in the first two hours. Having no signals during this time can be beneficial. It is possible to configure these settings based on the number of bars or minutes.
Not trading on days the market closes earlier
By default the strategy does not trade on days the market closes earlier in the US. This makes sure there are no open positions left open during backtesting. Make sure to change it when using it on such a day. The days are: day before independence day, day after thanksgiving, Christmas eve and new years eve.
Not trading below VWAP lowerband
Backtesting has shown poor performance when trading below the VWAP lowerband but you are free to allow it to trade in such conditions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Minimum volume
A minimum volume can be set up. The current value is based on better deep backtest results for SPY using real-time data (48000). When you do not have a data plan for SPY, please set it to 0 and tweak based on backtests.
Minimum ATRP
The strategy has shown during my trading that it is sensitive to higher ATRP values and more volatile market conditions. There is more chance the index moves and we can profit from this during option scalping (if it moves in your favor). The default is based on SPY backtesting (0.04%), as a balance to have a lot of trades but also capture minimal movement.
RSI range
A RSI range can be set using a minimum and maximum value so we can limit trading during overbought/oversold conditions. Backtesting for SPY has shown the strategy performs better on historic data within a tighter range, so a default range has been set to 40-65.
Allow orders on every tick (no effect on stop/profit/trail)
This setting is used to allow orders on every tick. The strategy has been developed without trading on every tick but you can change this, for example when you have configured a setup different than the default configuration that you know works well with this. The default setup will not work well with it due to too many constant signals.
Stop percentage + ATRP threshold
One of the most important settings for managing the risk. I recommend setting a stop percentage first and later the ATRP threshold where the stop is calculated based on the current ATRP value. The calculated value will only be in effect when it is greater than the normal stop--the normal stop acts as baseline. The default stop is low (0.03). With a default ATRP threshold stop of 1.12, the calculated value overrules the normal stop when the value is greater. 0.03 acts as a minimum value but in reality the stop will most likely be higher on average for SPY with the default ATRP threshold.
For the default SPY setup the losses will be around 4-10% for ITM options. Be mindful of extreme volatile conditions where losses may reach 30% quickly, especially when trading ATM/OTM options.
Profit taker percentage + ATRP threshold
Same principles as the stop percentage above, but for profit taking. There is a very high ATRP threshold of 4 set by default. Backtests showed that trailing stops perform better on historic data.
Trailing stop
Used to set up a trailing stop. A useful feature to secure profit after a run-up, or get out with a small loss after initial activation. It is important to not use too tight values because they will give unrealistic backtest results and trigger too fast in real-time. Both the trail activation level and trail stop itself can be configured with a percentage value and ATRP value. I recommend setting up the ATRP last. By default the values are 0.05 for activation and 0.03 for the stop based on SPY real-time behavior.
Always sell on pivot crossunder confirmation
The strategy includes pivot crossunder confirmations as sell condition. By default it will not sell on every crossunder confirmation but checks for different conditions (explained in detail earlier in this description). You can change this behavior.
Always sell below first EMA when position has been above
The strategy sells below the first EMA when the position has been above it. By default it will not always sell but checks for different conditions (mentioned earlier in this description). You can change this behavior.
Buy modes pivot
By default the strategy buys between pivots as long as there has been a pivot crossover and EMAs crossover recently or price is still above it. You can change the behavior so it only buys on pivot crossovers or pivot crossover confirmations. Backtesting on the default setup shows decreased performance but for other strategy variations and pivot setups this feature can be useful since many scalpers do not buy between pivots.
Strict mode
There is a strict mode that adds extra checks such as not trading when there is no next low or high pivot, requiring a VWAP uptrend only and minimum candle percentages. This mode is for analyzing history and seeing performance during these conditions. It is worth it to create a separate alert for strict mode so you are aware of these conditions during trading. The deep backtests improved with these setting but past performance does not guarantee future results.
In the strict mode section you can override the stop, minimum ATRP, set up a minimum percentage, only trade VWAP uptrends and to not trade candles without a wick.
A summary and some extra detail
At the time of release only long trades are supported
The strategy is meant for quick scalping but one might find other uses for it
Enable extended hours on intraday charts so it captures more pivots
It does not trade extended hours (pre and post market) since options do not trade during those times
real-time data is recommended and required if a symbol has delayed data by default
You can configure that it trades minutes after market open and hard sells minutes after market open
The entries have a specific label text, example: "833 LE1 / 569.71 / P:569.8". This means: / / . The condition number is only for development/debug purposes for me when you have an issue.
The strategy cannot be tweaked to work on multiple symbols and timeframes with a single config. So you will have to make a config for every timeframe and symbol. I recommend using the Indicator Templates feature of TradingView. This way you can save the settings per timeframe and symbol
The strategy is per default config very dependent on (trailing) stops because it trades between pivots too. It wants that a pivot and EMA crossover has happened more recently than a crossunder. But you can change this behavior to always force crossover buys and crossunder sells.
It’s recommended to set up alerts to notify you of entry and exit signals. Watching the chart alone might cause you to miss trades, especially in fast-moving markets.
Only a max of 500 lines can be rendered on the chart, but the strategy will function with more under the hood. When you exceed 500 you will notice the beginning of the chart has no pivots, but beneath everything functions for backtesting.
Changing settings
Changing the settings for a different symbol and/or timeframe can be a challenging task. Here's a how-to you could use the first time to help you get going:
Set commission and slippage to 0. I prefer to do this so it is more clear whether you are balancing on break-even trades
Enable the pivot timeframe equal or above your chart timeframe. Avoid repainting as discussed earlier by choosing timeframes that align with the same timeframe
Set all volume, ATR, stop, profit takers and trail values to 0
Make sure strict mode is disabled at the bottom of the settings
You now have a clean state and you should see the backtest results purely based on pivot and EMA conditions
Tweak the stop and profit taker, beginning with the simple values and then ATRP threshold
At the last moment tweak the trailing stops. Tight trailing stops create an unrealistic backtest so you will need to tweak them based on real-time behavior of the symbol you're using which you will have to monitor during signals while the market is open. The default values are low (2m intraday SPY). Only with the bar magnifier feature it is somewhat possible to tweak realistic with history data. The tighter they are, the more unrealistic your backtest results. As a starting point, set the trailing stop low and find the highest activation level that doesn't change the results drastically, then increase the stop to the value you think reflects real-time behavior.
Keep refining by testing it during real-time behavior. Does it exit too early according to your own judgment? You need to increase the stop and maybe the activation level.
I hope you will find this useful!
DISCLAIMER
Trading is risky & most day traders lose money. This indicator is purely for informational & educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Dysmen signalsDysmen Signals Indicator
The "Dysmen Signals" indicator is designed to provide clear buy and sell signals based on the crossover of various Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). This indicator employs a combination of short-term and long-term EMA crossovers to identify potential trading opportunities, while also highlighting significant market movements through specific signals such as the Golden Cross and Death Cross.
Indicator Components
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
- EMA 14: A short-term EMA calculated over 14 periods.
- EMA 20: Another short-term EMA calculated over 20 periods.
- EMA 50: A mid-term EMA used as a trend filter.
- EMA 200: A long-term EMA representing the overall trend.
2. Buy and Sell Signals
- Buy Signal: This is triggered when the EMA 14 crosses above the EMA 20 and the closing price is above the EMA 50. This suggests a bullish trend in the market.
- Sell Signal: This is triggered when the EMA 14 crosses below the EMA 20 and the closing price is below the EMA 50. This indicates a bearish trend in the market.
3. Golden Cross and Death Cross
- Golden Cross (GC): Occurs when the EMA 50 crosses above the EMA 200. This is a strong bullish signal indicating a potential long-term upward trend.
- Death Cross (DC): Occurs when the EMA 50 crosses below the EMA 200. This is a strong bearish signal suggesting a potential long-term downward trend.
4. Signal Visualization
- Buy and Sell signals are marked on the chart with green and red triangles respectively. These signals help traders identify potential entry and exit points.
- Golden Cross and Death Cross signals are indicated with yellow and purple diamonds respectively, providing insight into major market trend shifts.
5. Candle Coloring
- Candles are colored green if a buy signal is active and red if a sell signal is active. This visual aid helps in quickly identifying the prevailing market sentiment.
6. EMA 200 Plotting
- The EMA 200 is plotted as a white, semi-thick line on the chart. This line serves as a reference for the overall long-term trend.
Detailed Code Explanation
- EMA Calculations: The script calculates the EMA for 14, 20, 50, and 200 periods using the ta.ema function.
- Crossover Conditions: It uses the ta.crossover and ta.crossunder functions to detect when the EMAs cross each other, triggering buy and sell signals.
- Plotting Signals: The plotshape function is utilized to display BUY and SELL signals as well as Golden Cross and Death Cross signals on the chart.
- Candle Coloring Logic: A variable direction is used to store the current market direction based on the latest signal, which then determines the candle colors using the barcolor function.
- EMA 200 Display: The plot function is used to draw the EMA 200 line on the chart with the specified color and thickness.
By employing this indicator, traders can gain valuable insights into potential market trends and make more informed trading decisions based on the crossover of key EMAs.
Long EMA Strategy with Advanced Exit OptionsThis strategy is designed for traders seeking a trend-following system with a focus on precision and adaptability.
**Core Strategy Concept**
The essence of this strategy lies in use of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential long (buy) positions based on the relative positions of short-term, medium-term, and long-term EMAs. The use of EMAs is a classic yet powerful approach to trend detection, as these indicators smooth out price data over time, emphasizing the direction of recent price movements and potentially signaling the beginning of new trends.
**Customizable Parameters**
- **EMA Periods**: Users can define the periods for three EMAs - long-term, medium-term, and short-term - allowing for a tailored approach to capture trends based on individual trading styles and market conditions.
- **Volatility Filter**: An optional Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility filter can be toggled on or off. When activated, it ensures that trades are only entered when market volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold, aiming to filter out entries during low-volatility periods which are often characterized by indecisive market movements.
- **Trailing Stop Loss**: A trailing stop loss mechanism, expressed as a percentage of the highest price achieved since entry, provides a dynamic way to manage risk by allowing profits to run while cutting losses.
- **EMA Exit Condition**: This advanced exit option enables closing positions when the short-term EMA crosses below the medium-term EMA, serving as a signal that the immediate trend may be reversing.
- **Close Below EMA Exit**: An additional exit condition, which is disabled by default, allows positions to be closed if the price closes below a user-selected EMA. This provides an extra layer of flexibility and risk management, catering to traders who prefer to exit positions based on specific EMA thresholds.
**Operational Mechanics**
Upon activation, the strategy evaluates the current price in relation to the set EMAs. A long position is considered when the current price is above the long-term EMA, and the short-term EMA is above the medium-term EMA. This setup aims to identify moments where the price momentum is strong and likely to continue.
The strategy's versatility is further enhanced by its optional settings:
- The **Volatility Filter** adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy to market movements, potentially improving the quality of the entries during volatile market conditions.
The Average True Range (ATR) is a key component of this filter, providing a measure of market volatility by calculating the average range between the high and low prices over a specified number of periods. Here's how you can adjust the volatility filter settings for various market conditions, focusing on filtering out low-volatility markets:
Setting Examples for Volatility Filter
1. High Volatility Markets (e.g., Cryptocurrencies, Certain Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: Setting the multiplier to a lower value, such as 1.0 or 1.2, can be beneficial in high-volatility markets. This sensitivity allows the strategy to react to volatility changes more quickly, ensuring that you're entering trades during periods of significant movement.
2. Medium Volatility Markets (e.g., Major Equity Indices, Medium-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: 14 (default)
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier of 1.5 (default) is often suitable for medium volatility markets. It provides a balanced approach, ensuring that the strategy filters out low-volatility conditions without being overly restrictive.
3. Low Volatility Markets (e.g., Some Commodities, Low-Volatility Forex Pairs):
ATR Periods: Increasing the ATR period to 20 or 25 can smooth out the volatility measure, making it less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. This adjustment helps in focusing on more significant trends in inherently stable markets.
ATR Multiplier: Raising the multiplier to 2.0 or even 2.5 increases the threshold for volatility, effectively filtering out low-volatility conditions. This setting ensures that the strategy only triggers trades during periods of relatively higher volatility, which are more likely to result in significant price movements.
How to Use the Volatility Filter for Low-Volatility Markets
For traders specifically interested in filtering out low-volatility markets, the key is to adjust the ATR Multiplier to a higher level. This adjustment increases the threshold required for the market to be considered sufficiently volatile for trade entries. Here's a step-by-step guide:
Adjust the ATR Multiplier: Increase the ATR Multiplier to create a higher volatility threshold. A multiplier of 2.0 to 2.5 is a good starting point for very low-volatility markets.
Fine-Tune the ATR Periods: Consider lengthening the ATR calculation period if you find that the strategy is still entering trades in undesirable low-volatility conditions. A longer period provides a more averaged-out measure of volatility, which might better suit your needs.
Monitor and Adjust: Volatility is not static, and market conditions can change. Regularly review the performance of your strategy in the context of current market volatility and adjust the settings as necessary.
Backtest in Different Conditions: Before applying the strategy live, backtest it across different market conditions with your adjusted settings. This process helps ensure that your approach to filtering low-volatility conditions aligns with your trading objectives and risk tolerance.
By fine-tuning the volatility filter settings according to the specific characteristics of the market you're trading in, you can enhance the performance of this strategy
- The **Trailing Stop Loss** and **EMA Exit Conditions** provide two layers of exit strategies, focusing on capital preservation and profit maximization.
**Visualizations**
For clarity and ease of use, the strategy plots the three EMAs and, if enabled, the ATR threshold on the chart. These visual cues not only aid in decision-making but also help in understanding the market's current trend and volatility state.
**How to Use**
Traders can customize the EMA periods to fit their trading horizon, be it short, medium, or long-term trading. The volatility filter and exit options allow for further customization, making the strategy adaptable to different market conditions and personal risk tolerance levels.
By offering a blend of trend-following principles with advanced risk management features, this strategy aims to cater to a wide range of trading styles, from cautious to aggressive. Its strength lies in its flexibility, allowing traders to fine-tune settings to their specific needs, making it a potentially valuable tool in the arsenal of any trader looking for a disciplined approach to navigating the markets.
Bollinger Bands + EMA 9A 1 minute scalping strategy.
Uses Bollinger Bands (no basis line) and a 9 period EMA.
Waits for price to close below the lower Bollinger Band and the next candle to close bullish above the lower Bollinger Band but below the 9 Period EMA.
If all conditions are met, the script enters a long position with TP at the 9 Period EMA.
