Supertrend Breakout | Gold | ProjectSyndicate• ⭐ Still stuck with regular SuperTrend in 2026? Check out the new ST Breakout Algo.
• ⚙️ SuperTrend Breakout | Gold | ProjectSyndicate (Pine v6) — built for XAUUSD precision, and equally lethal on Forex + Crypto.
• 📦 Shift Zones (boxed consolidation after reversals) = clean, tradable structure (no noisy SuperTrend spaghetti).
• 📈 BUY STOP ▲ auto-plotted above bullish zones for breakout entries — no guesswork, just levels.
• 📉 SELL STOP ▼ auto-plotted below bearish zones for breakdown plays — instant clarity.
• 🧠 Adaptive spacing uses zone range % so stops scale with volatility (perfect for Gold’s swings).
• 🧭 Projection lines extend forward so you can plan the trade before price arrives.
• 🟩🟪 Dual color system + BULL/BEAR labels = zero interpretation lag when trend flips.
• 🧼 Box-only display keeps charts clean: zones + stops = actionable, minimal, fast decisions.
• ⭐ Bookmark this + add it to your TradingView chart — your breakout roadmap for Gold, FX, Crypto.
• 🚀 Make it your default overlay: spot consolidation → place stops → ride the expansion move.
• 📦 Enable/Disable BUY/SELL breakouts. For Gold you can use BUY only breakouts.
🩶 How to Support ProjectSyndicate
Thank you for using the Supertrend Breakout | Gold | ProjectSyndicate
If you find this tool valuable, you can support our work:
• 🌫️ Follow us on TradingView: Stay up-to-date with our latest script releases and updates.
• 🩶 Add to Favorites: Click the “Add to Favorite Scripts” button on TradingView to save it for easy access.
• 🐘 Explore our other scripts: We offer a range of free, high-quality indicators for the modern trader—specializing in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Support & Resistance Levels.
🩶 Your support helps us continue to develop and share powerful, free tools with the trading community.
ES M20 chart
EURUSD M20 chart
BTCUSD H1 chart
Rohstoffe
Adaptive Trend Flow (ATF)Adaptive Trend Flow (ATF) is a custom trend-following indicator designed to work reliably across all markets and all timeframes.
It uses an adaptive moving average that automatically adjusts to market conditions, combined with trend slope analysis and a volatility filter to reduce noise during ranging periods.
Unlike traditional fixed moving averages, ATF reacts faster during strong trends and slows down during consolidation, helping traders stay aligned with meaningful price movements.
🔍 How It Works
Uses an adaptive smoothing algorithm to track price efficiently
Confirms trend direction using trend slope
Filters out low-volatility and choppy conditions using ATR-based logic
Does not repaint — signals are based only on confirmed data
📊 Visual Interpretation
🟢 Green line / background → Bullish trend
🔴 Red line / background → Bearish trend
⚪ Gray → No clear trend (range / low volatility)
⚙️ Features
Works on Crypto, Forex, Stocks, Futures
Compatible with all timeframes
Optional trend-change signals
Optional background highlighting
Fully customizable inputs
Alert-ready
🎯 Best Use Cases
Trend filter for entries and exits
Directional bias for scalping, day trading, or swing trading
Strategy backbone when combined with price action or momentum tools
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Rainbow Rider Pro | ProjectSyndicate________________________________________
📖 Rainbow Rider Pro PS — The Definitive Guide
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✅ Executive Summary — 10 Unique Advantages
🌈The Rainbow Rider Pro PS isn’t a basic trend indicator — it’s a visual trading system built to show market momentum + volatility clearly and intuitively.
eur cad
1. ⚙️ Hybrid Momentum Engine
Combines EMA + WMA + VWMA into one triple-smoothed composite wave → responsive + smooth.
2. 🌈 Full-Spectrum Gradient
A 7-layer rainbow maps momentum strength across colors → more nuance than simple 2-color tools.
3. 📏 Adaptive Volatility Zones
Zones are ATR-driven, expanding/contracting with volatility → dynamic support/resistance behavior.
4. 👁️ Visual Momentum Mapping
Momentum shifts become color shifts → less reliance on separate oscillators.
5. ✨ Glow + Transparency (Dark Mode Optimized)
Transparency + glow improves clarity and reduces eye strain during long sessions.
6. 📈 Acceleration Detection
Tracks momentum direction + acceleration → early warning for strengthening/weakening trends 🚦.
7. 🎯 Clutter-Free Signals
💎 reversals + ⚡️ volatility spikes → clean, minimal overlays .
8. 🟣 Dynamic Background Ambiance
Background hue follows dominant momentum → helps you “feel” market mood instantly .
9. 🧵 Zero-Lag Smoothing Style
Triple-EMA smoothing hugs price action → smooth trend line without heavy lag .
10. 🌍🔁 Universal Applicability
Asset-agnostic logic works across FX 💱 / Crypto 🪙 / Commodities 🪙⛏️ / Equities 🏛️ on all timeframes ⏱️.
ltc usd
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⚙️ Anatomy of the Indicator
1) Momentum Wave (Core Baseline)
The wave is the primary trend + momentum reference.
Color Meaning
• Warm (Yellow / Orange / Pink) → strong bullish momentum 📈
• Cool (Cyan / Blue / Indigo / Violet) → strong bearish momentum 📉
• Green → neutral / transition (indecision)
Position Meaning
• Price above wave → generally uptrend
• Price below wave → generally downtrend
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2) Rainbow Volatility Zones (7 Bands)
Bands expand/contract around the wave and act like adaptive volatility envelopes.
• Expansion → rising volatility
• Contraction → falling volatility (often precedes breakout)
• Outer band touch (Pink / Indigo / Violet extremes) → move may be overextended → pullback/consolidation risk
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s&p e-mini
🎯 Signals & Markers
• Reversal Diamonds (💎)
Appear when price crosses the Momentum Wave with confirming conditions.
o 💎 below price → bullish reversal signal
o 💎 above price → bearish reversal signal
Best used as entry/exit warnings, not standalone trades.
• Volatility Lightning (⚡️)
Appears when ATR spikes → warns of unusually high volatility (erratic moves + wider spreads possible).
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📈 Sample Trade Setups (Hypothetical)
1) GBP/USD — H4 Swing (Trend Following)
• Trend: downtrend, wave blue, price below wave
• Setup: pullback to wave (dynamic resistance), wave shifts to cyan but fails to turn green, rejection + bearish 💎 above candle
• Entry: short at signal candle close
• SL: above swing high + upper zones
• TP: lower indigo/violet band, then historical support
• Exit early if: wave turns green OR bullish 💎 appears
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2) XAU/USD (Gold) — H1 Day Trade (Breakout)
• Trend: tight consolidation, zones contracting
• Setup: wave flat + green → indecision; breakout candle closes above bands; wave turns green → yellow → orange
• Entry: long at close or pullback to first upper band
• SL: below consolidation midpoint or below wave
• TP: ride upper bands; exit when price closes back inside bands OR wave cools (pink→orange etc.)
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3) BTC/USD — Daily (Reversal Trading)
• Trend: prolonged bullish, wave pink, price extended
• Setup: new high but momentum wanes; price closes below wave + bearish 💎
• Entry: short (smaller size; counter-trend risk)
• SL: above recent ATH
• TP: first major support; take profits aggressively
• Exit cue: support at lower bands + wave shifts toward neutral (blue→cyan/green)
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🛠️ Setting Templates (Ready-to-Use)
Template 1 — Scalper (M1 / M5)
• Goal: small, rapid moves
• Wave Length: 13
• Wave Source: HL2
• Volatility Multiplier: 1.8
• ATR Period: 34
• Logic: very responsive wave + tighter bands
Template 2 — Day Trader (M15 / H1) (Default-Style Balance)
• Wave Length: 34
• Wave Source: HLC3
• Volatility Multiplier: 2.5
• ATR Period: 50
Template 3 — Swing Trader (H4 / Daily)
• Wave Length: 55
• Wave Source: Close
• Volatility Multiplier: 3.0
• ATR Period: 100
• Logic: smoother trend focus + wider bands to avoid premature exits
Template 4 — Position Trader (Daily / Weekly)
• Wave Length: 89
• Wave Source: OHLC4
• Volatility Multiplier: 3.5
• ATR Period: 144
• Logic: filters noise → only major shifts trigger signals
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📊 Advanced Interpretation Guide
Reading the Rainbow (Color Psychology)
• Bearish (Cool): Violet → Indigo → Blue → Cyan
o Violet = most extreme bearish
o Cyan = bearish weakening → transition risk
• Neutral (Green): equilibrium / indecision → often ranges & consolidations
• Bullish (Warm): Yellow → Orange → Pink
o Yellow = early bullish
o Orange = strong established bullish
o Pink = extreme bullish (can be overextended)
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📊 Advanced Interpretation Guide
🌈 Reading the Rainbow: Color Psychology in Trading
The gradient is designed to be intuitive — each color is a “momentum temperature” cue:
• Bearish Spectrum (Cool Colors) 🟣🔵🧊
🟣 Violet → 🟦 Indigo → 🔵 Blue → 🩵 Cyan = declining momentum
o 🟣 Violet = most extreme bearish conditions
o 🩵 Cyan = bearish momentum weakening → transition risk
• Neutral Zone (Green) 🟢⚖️
🟢 Green = equilibrium / indecision
Common during consolidations or ranges → usually best to wait for clearer bias.
• Bullish Spectrum (Warm Colors) 🟡🟠🩷
🟡 Yellow → 🟠 Orange → 🩷 Pink = rising momentum
o 🟡 Yellow = early bullish shift
o 🟠 Orange = strong, established uptrend
o 🩷 Pink = extreme bullish conditions (often overextended)
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Volatility Band Dynamics
• Wide bands: high volatility (news / breakouts / acceleration) → consider wider stops
• Narrow bands: volatility squeeze → breakout risk rising
• Outer band breakout: momentum surge → often followed by reversion to inner bands/wave
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🎯 Trading Strategies (Combining Signals)
Strategy 1 — Trend Continuation (High Win Rate)
Entry
• Price above (long) / below (short) wave
• Wave color aligns (warm for longs / cool for shorts)
• Wait pullback to wave or first inner band → enter on bounce
Exit
• Close on opposite side of wave
• Wave turns green
• Opposite 💎 appears
Risk
• SL just beyond wave on the invalidation side
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Strategy 2 — Reversal Trading (High R:R)
Entry
• Strong trend extreme (pink or violet)
• 💎 appears + price closes opposite side of wave
• Wave shifts toward neutral (pink→orange, violet→indigo)
Exit
• Target opposite outer bands
• Or wave fully transitions to opposite spectrum
• Or counter-💎 prints
Risk
• Smaller sizing; SL beyond swing high/low
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Strategy 3 — Volatility Breakout (High Momentum)
Entry
• Bands contracting (squeeze)
• Wave flat + green
• Large candle closes beyond outer bands
• Wave shifts quickly from green to strong warm/cool
Exit
• Price returns inside main bands
• Wave cools
• 💎 appears
Risk
• SL at consolidation midpoint; consider trailing stop on big winners
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🧠 Best Practices & Pro Tips
• Timeframe Alignment: confirm higher TF trend before entries
• Avoid Neutral Zones: wave green + chop around wave = low probability
• Combine with Key Levels: horizontals / fibs / pivots improve confluence
• Respect ⚡️: volatility spike = spreads/slippage risk; tighten risk or wait
• Use Background Mood: warm = bullish bias, cool = bearish bias (avoid counter-trend)
• Adjust Gradient Intensity: reduce if distracting; increase if you want stronger visual pop
• Backtest First: learn behavior per asset/timeframe before going live
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⚙️ Parameter Reference
| Parameter | Default | Range | Description
|----------------------|---------|--------------------------|----------------------------------------------|
| Wave Length | 34 | 8 - 200 | Wave responsiveness (lower = more sensitive) |
| Wave Source | HLC3 | Close/HLC3/OHLC4/HL2 | Price input used for wave |
| Volatility Multiplier| 2.5 | 0.5 - 10.0 | Band width (higher = wider) |
| ATR Period | 50 | 10 - 200 | ATR lookback (higher = smoother volatility) |
| Gradient Intensity | 75 | 0 - 100 | Band fill opacity (higher = more opaque) |
| Show Momentum Wave | True | True / False | Toggle main wave line |
| Show Rainbow Zones | True | True / False | Toggle volatility bands |
| Show Trend Signals | True | True / False | Toggle 💎 + ⚡️ markers |
| Dynamic Background | True | True / False | Toggle background hue shift |
| Rainbow Colors | Custom | Any Color | Customize each rainbow color |
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🔔 Alert Configuration (TradingView Steps)
1) Click the indicator "More" (⋯) on the chart
2) Select "Add Alert on Rainbow Rider Pro PS"
3) Choose the condition in the dropdown
4) Set notifications (app/email/SMS/etc.)
5) Click "Create"
Available Alert Conditions
• Bullish Reversal → bullish 💎 appears
• Bearish Reversal → bearish 💎 appears
• High Volatility → ATR spike (⚡️)
• Extreme Bullish → momentum strength > 90
• Extreme Bearish → momentum strength < 10
PSP with Color ThemesPSP (Price State Parity) Indicator
This indicator identifies Price State Parity between the current trading instrument and a reference asset. It visually highlights candles where price movements show significant correlation patterns.
Key Features:
Dual Mode Operation:
Divergence Mode (Default): Highlights candles where current and reference assets move in opposite directions
Convergence Mode (Inverse): Highlights candles where both assets move in the same direction
Customizable Visualization:
Separate color selection for bullish and bearish PSP candles
Adjustable transparency for optimal chart visibility
Non-PSP candles remain unchanged for clear price action reading
Flexible Reference Asset:
Compare against any TradingView symbol (crypto, forex, stocks, indices)
Default: ETH/USDT for crypto correlation analysis
Use Cases:
Crypto Correlation Trading: Spot divergence/convergence between crypto pairs
Inter-Market Analysis: Compare stocks with sector ETFs or indices
Forex Pairs Correlation: Analyze currency pair relationships
Hedging Opportunities: Identify when correlated assets decouple
How to Use:
Select your reference symbol in settings
Choose between Divergence or Convergence mode
Customize colors to match your trading style
Watch for highlighted candles indicating PSP signals
Indicator Logic:
Bullish PSP: Current candle bullish + Reference candle bearish (or same in inverse mode)
Bearish PSP: Current candle bearish + Reference candle bullish (or same in inverse mode)
BuyLow SellHigh Bands | ProjectSyndicate________________________________________
📊 BuyLow SellHigh (BLSH) Bands
Comprehensive Trading Guide – by ProjectSyndicate
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🔰 1. Introduction
The BuyLow SellHigh (BLSH) Bands indicator is a powerful technical analysis tool designed for the TradingView platform. Works with any symbol. Gold/FX/indices/oil/crypto/stocks.
It provides traders with a clear, visual representation of:
• 📈 Overbought conditions
• 📉 Oversold conditions
This makes it easier to identify high-probability entry and exit points.
The indicator is built on:
• Dynamic price channels
• Fibonacci-based zones
• Color-coded market structure
💡 While the BLSH Bands can be used on Forex, Crypto, and Futures, this guide focuses on Gold (XAUUSD) using:
• M5
• M15
• M30 timeframes
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🧠 2. Core Concepts
The BLSH Bands structure is created using two key components:
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📐 Dynamic Price Bands
• Upper and lower bands are calculated using the highest high and lowest low
• Based on a user-defined lookback period (fiboPeriod)
• Reflects recent volatility and price range
This creates a self-adjusting channel that adapts to market conditions.
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🧮 Fibonacci Zones
The space between the bands is divided into six Fibonacci-based zones:
• 0.786
• 0.618
• 0.500
• 0.382
• 0.214
⚠️ These are not traditional retracements — they are used to grade price extremity within the channel.
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🎨 Color-Coded Zones Overview
Zone (Fib Level) Color Market Condition Interpretation
1.000 – 0.786 🔴 Red Extreme Overbought High reversal / pullback probability
0.786 – 0.618 🟠 Orange Overbought Selling pressure building
0.618 – 0.500 🟡 Yellow Mildly Overbought Bullish momentum weakening
0.500 – 0.382 🟢 Aqua Mildly Oversold Bearish momentum weakening
0.382 – 0.214 🔵 Deep Sky Blue Oversold Strong buying interest
0.214 – 0.000 🔷 Blue Extreme Oversold High bounce / reversal probability
🖤 Solid black separator lines ensure clean visual separation between zones for precise price location.
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🪙 3. Trading Strategies for XAUUSD (Gold)
Gold’s volatility and respect for technical levels make it ideal for BLSH Bands strategies.
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⚡ M5 Timeframe – Scalping Strategy
Designed for fast mean-reversion trades from extreme zones.
🟢 BUY Setup
• Price enters Extreme Oversold (Blue) zone
• Bullish confirmation candle appears:
o Hammer
o Bullish engulfing
• Enter BUY
🔴 SELL Setup
• Price enters Extreme Overbought (Red) zone
• Bearish confirmation candle appears:
o Shooting star
o Bearish engulfing
• Enter SELL
🎯 Take Profit:
• Median band (between Yellow & Aqua)
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Just outside the outer band
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📆 M15 Timeframe – Day Trading Strategy
Balanced timeframe for higher-probability reversals.
🟢 BUY Setup
• Price enters Oversold (Blue / Deep Sky Blue)
• Strong bullish reversal candle closes back inside bands
• Enter BUY after close
🔴 SELL Setup
• Price enters Overbought (Red / Orange)
• Bearish reversal candle closes back inside bands
• Enter SELL after close
🎯 Take Profit (Multi-Target):
1. Median band
2. Opposite extreme band
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Beyond high/low of confirmation candle
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🔄 M30 Timeframe – Swing Trading Strategy
Used for identifying major swing points.
🔍 Trend Filter
• Use 100 or 200 EMA
• Trade only in trend direction
🟢 Uptrend
• Buy pullbacks into Oversold zones
🔴 Downtrend
• Sell rallies into Overbought zones
📉 Confirmation:
• Band rejection
• RSI or MACD divergence
🎯 Take Profit:
• Previous structure levels
• Opposite band extreme
🛑 Stop Loss:
• Below / above recent swing high or low
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🚨 4. Alerts System
Alerts are disabled by default to keep charts clean.
✅ How to Enable
• Open indicator settings
• Check “Enable Alerts”
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🔔 Available Alerts
🔴 Overbought Alert
• Trigger: Price crosses above 0.786
• Message:
🔴 SELL SIGNAL: Price entered Overbought Zone – Consider selling or taking profits
🟢 Oversold Alert
• Trigger: Price crosses below 0.214
• Message:
🟢 BUY SIGNAL: Price entered Oversold Zone – Consider buying or entering long
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⏱ Alert Spacing Logic
• Default: 20/50 bars
• Prevents repeated alerts in choppy markets
• Filters for higher-quality signals
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⚙️ 5. Customization Settings
Adjust the indicator in the Settings panel:
🔧 Core Inputs
• fiboPeriod → Band sensitivity
• extremes → Price source (High/Low or Close)
🔔 Alert Controls
• Enable / disable alerts
• Separate control for overbought & oversold
• Alert spacing (bars)
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⭐ How You Can Support ProjectSyndicate (3 Steps)
1. ✅ Click “Add to Favorites” to save this script to your TradingView Favorites
2. 🔎 Check out our other scripts to complete your SMC toolkit
3. 👤 Follow ProjectSyndicate for the latest updates, upgrades, and new releases
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⚠️ 6. Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all traders.
This indicator is a decision-support tool, not a standalone trading system.
Always apply:
• Proper risk management
• Additional confirmations
• Sound trading discipline
📉 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
XAUUSD Lot Size Calculator1. What This Indicator Does
This tool is a Visual Risk Management System. Instead of using a calculator on your phone or switching tabs, it allows you to calculate the exact lot size for your trade directly on the TradingView chart by dragging lines.
It automates the math for:
Lot Size: How big your position should be to risk exactly X% of your account.
Take Profit: Where your target should be based on your Risk-to-Reward ratio.
Safety Checks: It warns you if your stop loss is too tight for the minimum lot size (0.01).
2. Visual Features
🔴 The Red Line (Stop Loss): This is your interactive line. You can grab it with your mouse and drag it to your desired invalidation point (e.g., below a support wick).
🟢 The Green Line (Take Profit): This line moves automatically. You cannot drag it. It calculates where your Take Profit must be to satisfy your Risk:Reward ratio (Default 1:1) based on where you placed the Red line.
⚫ The Info Table: A high-contrast black box in the corner that displays your calculated Lot Size, Risk amount, and Trade direction (Long/Short).
3. How to Use It (Step-by-Step)
Step 1: Initial Setup
When you first add the indicator to the chart, you need to tell it about your account:
Double-click the Black Table (or the Red Line) to open Settings.
Inputs Tab:
Account Balance: Enter your current trading balance (e.g., 10,000).
Risk %: Enter how much you want to lose per trade (e.g., 1.0%).
Contract Size: Keep this at 100 for Gold (XAUUSD) or standard Forex pairs.
Risk : Reward Ratio: Set your target (e.g., 1.0 for 1:1, or 2.0 for 1:2).
Step 2: Planning a Trade
Look at the chart and identify where you want to enter (current price) and where you want your Stop Loss.
Find the Red Line on your chart. (If you don't see it, go to Settings and change "Stop Loss Level" to a price near the current candle).
Click and Drag the Red Line to your specific Stop Loss price.
Step 3: Reading the Signals
Direction: If you drag the Red Line below the price, the table shows LONG. If you drag it above, it shows SHORT.
Lot Size: Read the big green number in the table (e.g., 0.55). This is the exact lot size you should enter in your broker.
TP Target: Look at the Green Line on the chart. That is your exit price.
Step 4: The "Orange Warning"
If you place your Stop Loss very close to the entry, or if your account is small, the math might suggest a lot size smaller than is possible (e.g., 0.004).
The table text will turn ORANGE.
The Lot Size will stick to 0.01 (the minimum).
The "Risk ($)" row will show you the actual risk. (Example: Instead of risking your desired $100, you might be forced to risk $105 because you can't trade smaller than 0.01 lots).
Gold Profit Target SystemGOLD PROFIT TARGET SYSTEM
Track Real Profits, Exit With Confidence
Best on Daily or Weekly - copy and mod as you see fit. Have fun!
WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOES:
This indicator tracks your gold position from entry and shows color-coded profit targets as the price rises. Instead of guessing when to exit, you see exact profit levels in real-time: 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, and 25%+.
Simple concept: BUY on the signal, SELL at YOUR chosen profit level.
HOW IT WORKS - 3 SIMPLE STEPS:
STEP 1: Wait for BUY Signal
• Green triangle (▲) appears below the composite line
• Triggered when inverse assets (DXY, rates, etc.) show strong correlation and are falling
• Entry price is automatically recorded
• Position tracking begins
STEP 2: Watch Profit Targets Appear
• As gold rises, color-coded symbols appear above the composite line
• Each symbol represents a profit milestone
• The info table shows your current profit
• You decide when to exit based on YOUR target
STEP 3: Exit at Your Chosen Level
• Conservative? Exit at 5-10%
• Moderate? Exit at 10-15%
• Aggressive? Hold for 20%+
• The indicator just shows the levels - YOU make the call
THE COMPOSITE LINE - WHAT IT MEANS:
The main line is a weighted composite of inverse-correlated assets:
• DXY (US Dollar Index)
• Real Interest Rates (10Y TIPS)
• US 10-Year Treasury Yield
• US 2-Year Treasury Yield
• Bitcoin (optional)
• Copper (optional)
Line Position:
• Below -30 (Bright Green): Very strong inverse correlation - excellent BUY conditions
• Below 0 (Green): Inverse correlation present - moderate BUY conditions
• Above 0 (Red): Inverse assets rising - neutral to bearish
• Above 30 (Bright Red): Strong inverse rally - bearish for gold
What Causes BUY Signals:
When the composite line is negative (inverse assets falling) AND shows strong correlation (>0.3), this suggests gold is likely to rise. The indicator records your entry and begins tracking profits.
COLOR-CODED PROFIT TARGETS:
EARLY PROFITS (Green Circles):
• 1% - Very Light Green (#c8e6c9) - First confirmation
• 2% - Light Green (#a5d6a7) - Building profit
• 3% - Green (#81c784) - Good profit
• 4% - Medium Green (#66bb6a) - Strong profit
• 5% - Dark Green (#4caf50) - Solid profit!
EXCELLENT PROFIT (Yellow Diamond):
• 10% - Yellow (#ffd54f) - Double digits, excellent trade!
OUTSTANDING PROFIT (Orange Diamonds):
• 15% - Orange (#ffb74d) - Exceptional profit, consider partial exit
EXCEPTIONAL PROFIT (Red Diamonds):
• 20% - Light Red (#ff8a65) - Rare territory, strong exit consideration
• 25% - Red (#f44336) - Extraordinary profit, very rare!
PEAK PROFIT (Purple Star):
• 25%+ - Purple (#9c27b0) - Once in a blue moon! The home run trade!
STOP LOSS (Red X):
• Default -5% - Protection against losses
• Position auto-resets if stop is hit
THE PROFIT BAR (Histogram):
Below the composite line, you'll see a colored histogram when in position:
Bar Color = Your Current Profit Tier
• Light green bar = 1-2% profit
• Green bar = 3-5% profit
• Yellow bar = 10% profit
• Orange bar = 15% profit
• Red bar = 20-25% profit
• Purple bar = 25%+ profit
• Red negative bar = Currently at a loss
Bar Height = Current Profit %
The taller the bar, the larger your profit. Negative bars extend downward when you're at a loss.
THE INFORMATION TABLE:
The table (top-right by default) shows everything at a glance:
Position: ✓ IN (green) or ✗ OUT (gray)
Shows whether you're currently holding a position
Entry Price: Your recorded buy price
Example: 2,100.50
Current Price: Gold's current price
Example: 2,142.75
Current P/L: YOUR PROFIT %
This is the most important metric - shows exactly how much you're up (or down)
Color matches your current profit tier
Example: +2.01% in light green
Profit Tier: Current milestone reached
Shows which profit level you've hit: "1%", "2%", "5%", "10%", etc.
Next Target: The next profit level to watch
Tells you what milestone is coming up next
Bars Held: How long you've been in the trade
Helps track holding time
Composite: Current correlation strength
Shows the underlying composite correlation value
REFERENCE LINES:
Zero Line (Gray):
The center line. Above = bearish for gold, Below = bullish for gold
Strong Bull Line (Green dashed at -30):
When composite crosses below -30, very strong BUY conditions
Strong Bear Line (Red dashed at +30):
When composite crosses above +30, strong bearish conditions
BACKGROUND SHADING:
Very Light Green Background:
You're in profit (position open and above entry price)
Very Light Red Background:
You're at a loss (position open and below entry price)
No Background:
No position currently open
SYMBOLS ON CHART:
▲ Green Triangle Below Line: BUY SIGNAL
Enter long position here. Entry price recorded.
● Small Green Circles Above Line: 1-5% Profits
Early profit targets. Light green to dark green progression.
◆ Diamonds Above Line: 10-25% Profits
Major profit milestones. Yellow → Orange → Red progression.
★ Purple Star Above Line: 25%+ Profit
The holy grail! Peak profit achieved.
✖ Red X Below Line: STOP LOSS HIT
Trade went against you. Position resets (if auto-reset enabled).
PROFIT-TAKING STRATEGIES:
Strategy 1: Fixed Target (Simple)
Pick one target (e.g., 10%) and always exit there.
Best for: Beginners, disciplined traders
Strategy 2: Scaled Exit (Advanced)
Exit in portions:
• 5% profit → Sell 25%
• 10% profit → Sell 25% (50% total out)
• 15% profit → Sell 25% (75% total out)
• 20%+ profit → Let final 25% ride
Best for: Risk management, maximizing upside
Strategy 3: Trailing Stop
• Hit 10%? Set stop at 5%
• Hit 15%? Set stop at 10%
• Lock in profits while letting winners run
Best for: Trend followers, bull markets
Strategy 4: Adaptive
• Strong uptrend → wait for 15-20%
• Choppy market → exit at 5-10%
• Weakening trend → exit at any profit
Best for: Experienced traders
SETTINGS YOU CAN CUSTOMIZE:
Profit Target Levels:
Change any profit % to match your strategy
• Conservative: Lower targets (0.5%, 1%, 2%, 3%, 5%)
• Aggressive: Higher targets (2%, 5%, 10%, 20%, 30%)
Assets to Include:
• Enable/disable Bitcoin
• Enable/disable Copper
• Toggle which inverse assets to track
Display Options:
• Show all targets or just current tier
• Show/hide profit bar
• Show/hide composite line
• Move table position
Stop Loss:
• Set your risk tolerance (default 5%)
• Enable/disable auto-reset on stop loss
Correlation Periods:
• Adjust for your timeframe
• Hourly: 14/30/60
• Daily: 20/50/100
• Weekly: 10/20/50
ALERTS AVAILABLE:
Set alerts for any profit milestone:
Critical Alerts:
• "BUY Signal" - Entry notification
• "5% Profit Target" - First major milestone
• "10% Profit Target" - Decision point
• "Stop Loss Hit" - Risk protection
Optional Alerts:
• 1%, 2%, 3%, 4% - Early confirmations
• 15%, 20%, 25% - Major milestones
• Individual levels for your strategy
BEST TIMEFRAMES:
Daily Chart (Recommended):
Best for swing traders holding 3-10 days
Use default settings (20/50/100 periods)
Target 5-15% profits
4-Hour Chart:
Good for active swing traders
Adjust periods to 14/30/60
Target 3-10% profits
Hourly Chart:
For day traders and scalpers
Use shorter periods (14/30/60)
Target 1-5% profits
Adjust profit levels lower (0.5%, 1%, 2%, 3%)
WHY THIS INDICATOR IS DIFFERENT:
Most indicators tell you WHEN to enter.
This one tells you WHEN TO EXIT with profit.
Most indicators use vague signals.
This one shows EXACT profit percentages.
Most indicators leave exit decisions to you.
This one gives CLEAR, COLOR-CODED milestones.
Most indicators don't track your P/L.
This one shows your profit in text you can't miss.
QUICK START GUIDE:
1. Add indicator to gold chart (XAUUSD, GLD, GC1!)
2. Wait for green triangle (▲) BUY signal
3. Watch your profit grow in the table
4. Exit when you hit YOUR target (5%, 10%, 15%, etc.)
5. Repeat
That's it. Simple. Effective. Profitable.
IMPORTANT NOTES:
• This is for LONG positions only - not for shorting gold
• Position tracking begins only after a BUY signal
• The indicator shows levels - YOU decide when to exit
• Always use stop losses (default 5% is reasonable)
• Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
• Not financial advice - use for educational purposes
PRO TIPS:
Tip 1: Don't get greedy - 10-15% is an excellent profit for most trades
Tip 2: Purple stars (25%+) are RARE - don't wait for them on every trade
Tip 3: The profit bar color change is your visual cue - green→yellow→orange→red
Tip 4: Combine with resistance levels - "10% profit + resistance = exit"
Tip 5: Set alerts for YOUR target level so you never miss it
Tip 6: The giant P/L number in the table removes emotion from decisions
EXAMPLE TRADE:
Day 1: ▲ BUY signal at $2,100
Table shows: Position ✓ IN | Entry: 2,100
Day 2: Current P/L: +1.8%
First green circle appears (1% target hit)
Table tier: "1%"
Day 4: Current P/L: +5.2%
Dark green circle appears (5% target hit)
Profit bar is dark green
Decision point: Exit 50% here?
Day 7: Current P/L: +10.5%
Yellow diamond appears (10% target hit!)
Table shows: +10.5% in yellow text
Decision point: Exit remaining 50%?
Result: Average exit ~7.5% over 7 days. Excellent swing trade!
WORKS ON:
• Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
• Gold Futures (GC1!)
• Gold ETFs (GLD, IAU)
• Any gold instrument
Inverse Assets Tracked:
• DXY (US Dollar Index)
• Real Interest Rates (TIPS)
• US Treasury Yields (2Y, 10Y)
• Bitcoin (optional)
• Copper (optional)
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Stop guessing when to take profits.
Start SEEING your profit levels in real-time.
The indicator shows you the targets.
YOU choose when to cash out.
That's YOUR edge.
Developed for traders who want clear, actionable profit targets instead of vague signals.
Gold Inverse Correlation TrackerGold Inverse Correlation Tracker - Professional Multi-Asset Analysis
What This Indicator Does:
This indicator monitors the real-time correlation between Gold and five key financial assets that historically move inversely (opposite) to gold prices. It displays these relationships across three different timeframes simultaneously, giving you both short-term trading signals and long-term trend confirmation.
The indicator tracks:
US Dollar Index (DXY) - Historical correlation: -0.63
Real Interest Rates (TIPS) - Historical correlation: -0.82 (strongest inverse relationship)
10-Year Treasury Yield - Nominal interest rate proxy
S&P 500 (SPX) - Equity market sentiment (variable correlation)
VIX - Volatility index (optional, flight-to-safety indicator)
Why Inverse Correlations Matter for Gold Trading:
Understanding inverse correlations is critical for gold traders because:
Predictive Power - When assets move opposite to gold consistently, you can use their strength/weakness to predict gold's next move
Hedging Opportunities - Strong inverse correlations let you hedge gold positions by trading the inverse asset
Regime Detection - When correlations break down, it signals a market regime change or increased uncertainty
Confirmation Signals - Multiple strong inverse correlations validate your gold trade thesis
Risk Management - Knowing what moves against gold helps you understand your portfolio's true exposure
The Science Behind the Numbers:
Real interest rates have the strongest inverse correlation to gold (approximately -0.82) because:
Gold pays no yield or dividend
When real rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases
Investors shift to interest-bearing assets when they offer positive real returns
When real rates go negative, gold becomes relatively more attractive
The US Dollar shows strong inverse correlation (approximately -0.63) because:
Gold is priced in US dollars globally
A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand
A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper internationally, increasing demand
Both compete as reserve assets and stores of value
Why the Indicator is Weighted This Way:
Three Timeframe Approach:
Short-term (20 periods) - Captures recent correlation shifts for day trading and swing trading
Medium-term (50 periods) - The primary signal - balances noise reduction with responsiveness
Long-term (100 periods) - Confirms structural correlation trends for position trading
Correlation Thresholds:
Strong Inverse (<-0.7) - Statistically significant inverse relationship; highest confidence for inverse trades
Moderate Inverse (<-0.3) - Meaningful inverse relationship; still useful but less reliable
Weak Inverse (<0.0) - Slight inverse tendency; correlation may be breaking down
Positive (>0.0) - Assets moving together; inverse relationship has failed
How to Use This Indicator:
For Inverse Trading Strategies:
When DXY shows RED correlation (<-0.7), consider shorting DXY when gold is strong
When Real Rates show RED correlation, rising rates = falling gold (and vice versa)
When multiple assets show strong inverse correlation, confidence is highest
For Regime Detection:
All RED = Classic gold market behavior; correlations intact
Mixed colors = Transitional market; be cautious
All GREEN/GRAY = Correlation breakdown; paradigm shift occurring
For Hedging:
Use assets with strong inverse correlation to hedge gold positions
When correlation weakens, reduce hedge size
When correlation strengthens, increase hedge effectiveness
Alert System:
The indicator includes built-in alerts for:
Individual assets crossing strong inverse threshold
Multiple assets simultaneously showing strong inverse correlation (highest probability setup)
Correlation breakdowns that may signal regime changes
Color Guide:
RED - Strong inverse correlation (<-0.7) - Best inverse trading opportunity
ORANGE - Moderate inverse (<-0.3) - Useful but less reliable
YELLOW - Weak inverse (<0.0) - Correlation weakening
GRAY - Weak positive (0.0 to 0.7) - Assets moving together
GREEN - Strong positive (>0.7) - Inverse relationship broken
Recommended Settings:
Day Trading (1H-4H charts):
Short: 14 periods
Medium: 30 periods
Long: 60 periods
Swing Trading (Daily charts):
Short: 20 periods (default)
Medium: 50 periods (default)
Long: 100 periods (default)
Position Trading (Weekly charts):
Short: 10 periods
Medium: 20 periods
Long: 50 periods
Pro Tips:
Watch for divergences - when gold moves but correlations don't confirm
Correlation breakdowns often precede major trend reversals
The Medium-term (50p) correlation is plotted on the chart as your primary reference
Use the Status column for quick assessment of each asset's relationship
Set alerts for "Multiple Strong Inverse" to catch highest-probability setups
Important Notes:
This indicator is designed for Gold charts only (XAUUSD, GLD, GC1!, etc.)
Correlations are not static - they change over time based on market conditions
A correlation of -0.82 means 82% of gold's price movements can be explained by real interest rates
Always combine with other technical analysis and fundamental factors
Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships
Based on Research:
The correlation coefficients used in this indicator are based on peer-reviewed research:
Erb & Harvey (1997-2012): Real rates to gold correlation of -0.82
World Gold Council (2024): US Dollar to gold correlation of -0.63
Multiple academic studies confirming gold's inverse relationship with opportunity cost assets
Use this indicator to trade smarter, hedge better, and understand the macro forces driving gold prices.
Gold/Silver Ratio with Supply ZonesGold/Silver Ratio with Supply Zones
Overview
Professional-grade indicator that tracks the Gold/Silver Ratio in real-time
Identifies potential market imbalances and rotation opportunities between precious metals
Features customizable threshold bands, moving averages, and automated trading signals
Built on Pine Script v6 for maximum stability and performance
Key Features
Real-Time Ratio Calculation : Automatically calculates Gold/Silver ratio using OANDA:XAUUSD and OANDA:XAGUSD price feeds
Dynamic Threshold Zones : Visual bands showing when silver or gold may be undervalued relative to each other
Moving Average Overlay : 20-period SMA to identify trend direction and momentum
Automated Buy Signals : Triangle markers appear when ratio reaches extreme levels
Live Information Table : Displays current ratio, moving average, individual metal prices, and market interpretation
Custom Alerts : Set notifications when ratio crosses your defined thresholds
Color-Coded Zones : Green zones indicate gold undervaluation, red zones indicate silver undervaluation
Trading Applications
Mean Reversion Strategy : Enter silver positions when ratio exceeds 90, enter gold when ratio falls below 70
Rotation Trading : Switch between metals based on relative value signals
Portfolio Rebalancing : Identify optimal times to adjust precious metals allocation
Divergence Analysis : Compare ratio behavior against individual metal price action
Default Settings
High Threshold : 90.0 (Silver undervalued zone)
Low Threshold : 70.0 (Gold undervalued zone)
Moving Average : 20-period SMA
Historical Reference : 80:1 ratio marked as long-term mean
How to Interpret
Ratio Above 90 : Silver is undervalued relative to gold - consider increasing silver exposure
Ratio Below 70 : Gold is undervalued relative to silver - consider increasing gold exposure
Ratio Between 70-90 : Neutral range - no clear relative value advantage
Rising Ratio : Gold outperforming silver
Falling Ratio : Silver outperforming gold
Signal Logic
Green Triangle (Bottom) : Ratio crosses above high threshold → Buy Silver Signal
Red Triangle (Top) : Ratio crosses below low threshold → Buy Gold Signal
MA Crossovers : Use 20-period MA for trend confirmation and entry timing
Visual Elements
Blue Line : Current gold/silver ratio value
Orange Line : 20-period moving average smoothing
Red Shaded Zone : Area where gold is relatively expensive
Green Shaded Zone : Area where gold is relatively cheap
Gray Dotted Line : Historical mean at 80:1
Info Table : Real-time statistics and market interpretation
Best Practices
Use on daily timeframe or higher for most reliable signals
Combine with volume analysis and individual metal technicals
Monitor Federal Reserve policy and USD strength as macro context
Consider industrial demand factors for silver (solar, EV, electronics)
Watch safe-haven flows during economic uncertainty for gold
Customization Options
Adjust threshold levels based on your preferred lookback period
Modify moving average length to suit your trading timeframe
Toggle bands on/off for cleaner chart visualization
Change data source tickers if using different brokers (FXCM, FOREXCOM, etc.)
Alert Conditions
Silver Undervalued Alert : Triggers when ratio crosses above your high threshold
Gold Undervalued Alert : Triggers when ratio crosses below your low threshold
Receive notifications via TradingView mobile app , email , or webhook
Who This Is For
Precious metals traders seeking relative value opportunities
Portfolio managers balancing gold and silver allocations
Macro traders using metals as inflation hedges
Swing traders capitalizing on mean reversion patterns
Long-term investors optimizing entry points
Important Notes
This indicator tracks price ratios , not physical supply data
COMEX warehouse stocks are not directly available in TradingView
Ratio analysis assumes historical mean reversion tendencies
Always combine with fundamental analysis and risk management
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Data Sources
Gold Price : OANDA:XAUUSD (spot gold in US dollars)
Silver Price : OANDA:XAGUSD (spot silver in US dollars)
Update Frequency : Real-time during market hours
Historical Data : Full TradingView historical coverage available
SuperTrend Filtered with Dash| Gold | ProjectSyndicate📘 ProjectSyndicate Filtered Supertrend M30 GOLD
✅ User Guide Optimized Settings for XAUUSD on M30
Indicator: Supertrend Filtered Gold
Version: 1.0
Author: ProjectSyndicate
Pine Script: v6
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1) 👋 Introduction
Welcome to ProjectSyndicate Filtered Supertrend, an upgraded, professional-grade Supertrend system built in Pine Script v6.
This version is designed specifically to help M30 GOLD (XAUUSD) traders reduce the most common Supertrend problem: false flips in chop / low volatility.
By adding 5 powerful filters (all optional + fully adjustable), this indicator aims to keep signals clean, selective, and trend-aligned — which is ideal for GOLD’s frequent fakeouts and liquidity sweeps. 🧠✨
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2) ⭐ Key Features What Makes It “Filtered”
✅ Pine Script v6 for speed and stability
✅ 5 Advanced Filters to reduce noise and false signals
✅ Full Customization (each filter can be turned ON/OFF)
✅ On-Chart Filter Dashboard to see what’s blocking signals in real time 📊
✅ Built-In Alerts (Buy / Sell / Direction Change) 🔔
✅ Conservative Defaults (high-quality signals out of the box)
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3) 🎛 Sensitivity Control Panel
This is where the magic happens. All enabled filters use AND logic meaning:
✅ A signal prints ONLY if every enabled filter passes.
If even one fails → signal is blocked 🚫
That’s why this system feels “smart” and selective (especially on GOLD M30).
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4.1) 📈 Trend Filter
Purpose: Blocks signals when price is drifting sideways (flat momentum).
How it works:
It checks the slope of a short-term EMA. If the EMA slope is too flat, the market is likely ranging → signals get blocked.
Recommended (M30 GOLD Optimized):
• ✅ Enable Trend Filter: ON
• ⏱ Trend Filter Period: 10
• 📏 Trend Strength Threshold (%): 0.05%
Tip for GOLD:
If you’re not getting signals during London/NY trend days, slightly lower the threshold (example 0.04%) to catch more moves. ⚡
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4.2) ✅ Signal Confirmation
Purpose: Stops “one-candle flips” and failed breakouts (very common on XAUUSD).
How it works:
It waits for the new trend direction to remain valid for X bars before confirming.
Recommended (M30 GOLD Optimized):
•✅ Enable Signal Confirmation: ON
•🧱 Confirmation Bars: 5
Behavior example:
• Confirmation = 5 → the signal prints on the 5th candle after trend changes
This reduces fakeouts, but signals appear later (more reliable, less early). 🎯
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4.3) 🌪 Volatility Filter
Purpose: Avoids signals during “dead” volatility phases (choppy micro-ranges).
How it works:
Measures percentage price movement over a period.
If movement is too small → no signals.
Recommended (M30 GOLD Optimized):
•✅ Enable Volatility Filter: ON
•⏱ Volatility Period: 20
•📉 Minimum Volatility Threshold: 0.25%
Tip:
If you trade only during active sessions (London/NY), you can raise this slightly to filter even harder (ex: 0.30%). 🔥
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4.4) 💪 ADX Filter
Purpose: Confirms the market is truly trending using ADX, a classic trend-strength tool.
How it works:
If ADX is below the threshold, the market is likely non-trending → signals blocked.
Recommended (M30 GOLD Optimized):
•✅ Enable ADX Filter: ON
•⏱ ADX Period: 14
•🎚 Minimum ADX Value: 25
Rule of thumb:
📌 ADX > 25 = trend conditions
📌 ADX < 20 = likely chop / mean-reversion
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4.5) 🧯 Signal Spacing Anti-Spam Filter
Purpose: Prevents overtrading by forcing a cooldown period between signals.
How it works:
It tracks bars since last BUY and since last SELL separately.
Recommended M30 GOLD Optimized:
•✅ Enable Signal Spacing: ON
•⏳ Minimum Bars Between Signals: 75
What 75 bars means on M30:
75 × 30 minutes = 2250 minutes = 37.5 hours
So this is intentionally strict (high quality / swing-style filtering). 🏦
If you want more signals:
Try 30–50 for active trend capture, still clean. ✅
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5) 📊 Filter Dashboard Read This First When Confused
The dashboard shows live status of each filter.
✅ PASS (Green) = filter condition met
❌ FAIL (Red) = filter is blocking signals
Dashboard also shows:
• 📏 Trend Strength (EMA slope %)
• 💪 ADX Value
• 🔁 Current Trend UPTREND / DOWNTREND
Pro Tip 🧠:
Not getting signals? Don’t guess. Look at the dashboard — it will instantly tell you which filter is failing.
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6) 🔔 Alerts Integration TradingView Alerts Ready
This indicator includes built-in alert conditions.
To set alerts:
1️⃣ Click Alert (top toolbar) or press Alt + A
2️⃣ In Condition, select Supertrend Advanced
3️⃣ Choose one:
📌 Alert Conditions
✅ SuperTrend Buy → Buy printed after all enabled filters PASS
✅ SuperTrend Sell → Sell printed after all enabled filters PASS
⚠️ SuperTrend Direction Change → raw Supertrend flip (ignores filters)
Recommended alert frequency:
✅ Once Per Bar Close (reduces noise + avoids repaint confusion)
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7) 🧠 Strategy & Best Practices M30 GOLD Focused
✅ Best Use Case
This Filtered Supertrend works best when GOLD is doing one of these:
•🏃 Strong session trend (London / NY continuation)
•🔁 Post-news directional expansion
•📈 Clean structure break + follow-through
🔥 Smart Trading Workflow (Simple + Effective)
✅ Use dashboard → wait for filters PASS
✅ Align with market structure (HH/HL for buys, LH/LL for sells)
✅ Use key zones:
•Support/Resistance 🧱
•Liquidity sweeps 💧
•Order Blocks / Supply-Demand (if you use them) 📦
🧪 Tune One Filter At A Time
When optimizing:
1.Reduce Signal Spacing first
2.Then reduce Confirmation Bars
3.Only then touch volatility / ADX / trend slope
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8) 🧩 Example Profiles Quick Presets
🥇 GOLD M30 “Optimized / Conservative” Recommended
•Trend Strength: 0.05%
•Confirmation Bars: 5
•Volatility Threshold: 0.25%
•ADX: 25
•Signal Spacing: 75
⚖️ Balanced More signals, still filtered
•Trend Strength: 0.05%
•Confirmation Bars: 2
•Volatility Threshold: 0.50%
•ADX: 25
•Signal Spacing: 10
⚡ Aggressive / Scalping Style
•Trend Strength: 0.03%
•Confirmation Bars: 1
•Volatility Threshold: 0.10%
•ADX: OFF
•Signal Spacing: 3
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🤝 Combining Filtered Supertrend + ProjectSyndicate Order Blocks Finder SMC Boost
For SMC traders, use Order Block Finder to map clean institutional supply/demand zones (bullish OB = last bearish candle before strong bullish displacement + BOS; bearish OB = last bullish candle before strong bearish displacement + BOS, with a displacement-strength filter and auto-cleanup) and then let Filtered Supertrend act as the “permission + timing” engine
✅only take Supertrend Buy signals when price is reacting from/returning into a bullish OB (demand) in an uptrend, and Supertrend Sell signals from a bearish OB (supply) in a downtrend; entries become higher probability because you’re stacking trend bias + institutional zone + confirmation filters, with clean risk defined by the OB boundary (stop beyond the box) and logical targets toward the next opposing OB or trend continuation
Order Block Finder | Gold | ProjectSyndicate
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9) 🧯 Troubleshooting
❓ “No signals are appearing”
Likely filters are too strict.
✅ Check dashboard → see which filter fails.
Try this order:
1.Lower Signal Spacing (75 → 50 → 30)
2.Lower Confirmation Bars (5 → 3 → 2)
3.Slightly reduce thresholds
❓ “Still too many signals”
Tighten filters:
✅ Confirmation Bars 3+
✅ Signal Spacing 100+
✅ Increase Trend Strength + ADX thresholds
❓ “Signals appear too late”
Reduce Confirmation Bars:
✅ 5 → 3 or 2
(earlier entries, slightly more risk of fakeouts)
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✅ Conclusion
ProjectSyndicate Filtered Supertrend turns a basic trend indicator into a high-control signal engine. On GOLD M30, where fakeouts and chop are common, the 5-filter AND logic + dashboard gives you a cleaner edge — especially when combined with structure and key zones. 📈💎
US Silver Coin Melt Value Lines (Spot-Based)This indicator calculates and plots the melt value of several historic U.S. silver coins based on the current spot price of silver. Each coin contains a known amount of silver, expressed in troy ounces. By multiplying the spot price by each coin’s silver weight, the script produces real‑time melt‑value lines that track the intrinsic metal value of each denomination.
Coins included:
- 90% Silver Dollar (Morgan/Peace)
- 90% Half Dollar
- 90% Quarter
- 90% Dime
- 40% Half Dollar (1965–1970)
- 35% Wartime Silver Nickel (1942–1945)
The indicator retrieves a dedicated silver spot symbol using request.security(), ensuring melt‑value lines remain correctly scaled regardless of the chart symbol. Each line is color‑coded and can optionally display a right‑edge label for quick identification.
Features:
- Real‑time melt‑value calculations based on spot silver
- Works on any chart symbol
- Optional right‑edge labels for each coin
- Clean, color‑matched visual layout
- Accurate silver weights for all included coins
This tool is intended for users who track bullion value, compare coin premiums, or study historical relationships between spot silver and U.S. coinage.
No external data sources, links, or promotional content are used.
ATR Supertrend [QuantAlgo]🟢 Overview
The ATR Supertrend indicator identifies trend direction and reversal points using volatility-adjusted dynamic support and resistance levels. It combines Average True Range (ATR) volatility measurement with adaptive price bands and EMA smoothing to create trailing stop levels that automatically adjust to market conditions, helping traders and investors identify trend changes, maintain positions during trending markets, and exit when momentum shifts across multiple timeframes and asset classes.
🟢 How It Works
The indicator's core methodology lies in its volatility-adaptive band system, where dynamic support and resistance levels are calculated based on market volatility and price movement:
smoothedSource = ta.ema(source, smoothingPeriod)
atr = ta.rma(ta.tr(true), atrLength) * atrMultiplier
The script uses ATR-based bands that expand and contract with market volatility, ensuring the indicator adapts to different market conditions rather than using fixed price distances:
if trend == 1
supertrend := math.max(supertrend, smoothedSource - atr)
else
supertrend := math.min(supertrend, smoothedSource + atr)
First, it applies optional EMA smoothing to the price source to reduce noise and filter out minor price fluctuations that could trigger premature trend changes, allowing traders to focus on genuine momentum shifts.
Then, the ATR calculation measures market volatility using the Average True Range over the specified lookback period, multiplied by the user-defined factor to set the band distance:
atr = ta.rma(ta.tr(true), atrLength) * atrMultiplier
Next, dynamic trend detection occurs through a state-based system where the indicator tracks whether price is in an uptrend or downtrend, automatically adjusting the Supertrend line position:
if trend == 1
if smoothedSource < supertrend
trend := -1
supertrend := smoothedSource + atr
The Supertrend line can act as a trailing stop that follows price during trends but never moves against the trend direction, i.e., it ratchets upward with price in uptrends and ratchets downward with price in downtrends.
Finally, trend reversal signals are generated when price crosses the Supertrend line, indicating a shift in market momentum:
bullSignal = trend == 1 and trend == -1
bearSignal = trend == -1 and trend == 1
This creates a volatility-adaptive trend-following system that combines dynamic support/resistance levels with momentum confirmation, providing traders with clear directional signals and automatic stop-loss levels that adjust to changing market conditions.
🟢 Signal Interpretation
▶ Bullish Trend (Green): Price trading above Supertrend line with indicator showing bullish color, indicating established upward momentum = Long/Buy opportunities
▶ Bearish Trend (Red): Price trading below Supertrend line with indicator showing bearish color, indicating established downward momentum = Short/Sell opportunities
▶ Supertrend Line as Dynamic Support: In uptrends, the Supertrend line can act as trailing support level that rises with price, never declining = Use as potential stop-loss reference for long positions = Price holding above indicates trend strength
▶ Supertrend Line as Dynamic Resistance: In downtrends, the Supertrend line can act as trailing resistance level that falls with price, never rising = Use as potential stop-loss reference for short positions = Price holding below indicates trend weakness
🟢 Features
▶ Preconfigured Presets: Three optimized parameter sets for different trading approaches. "Default" provides balanced trend detection for swing trading on daily/4-hour charts with moderate sensitivity. "Fast Response" delivers quick trend change detection for intraday trading on 5-minute to 1-hour charts, capturing moves early with increased whipsaw potential. "Smooth Trend" focuses on strong sustained trends for position trading on daily/weekly timeframes, filtering noise to identify only major trend shifts.
▶ Built-in Alerts: Three alert conditions enable comprehensive automated monitoring of trend changes and momentum shifts. "Bullish Trend" triggers when price crosses above the Supertrend line and the trend state changes from bearish to bullish, signaling potential long entry opportunities. "Bearish Trend" activates when price crosses below the Supertrend line and the trend state changes from bullish to bearish, signaling potential short entry or long exit points. "Any Trend Change" provides a combined alert for any trend reversal regardless of direction, allowing traders to be notified of all momentum shifts without setting up separate alerts. These notifications enable traders to capitalize on trend changes and protect positions without continuous chart monitoring.
▶ Color Customization: Five visual themes (Classic, Aqua, Cosmic, Ember, Neon, plus Custom) accommodate different chart backgrounds and visual preferences, ensuring optimal contrast for identifying bullish versus bearish trends across various trading environments. The adjustable cloud fill transparency control (0-100%) allows fine-tuning of the gradient area prominence between the Supertrend line and price, with higher opacity values creating subtle background context while lower values produce bold trend zone emphasis. Optional bar coloring with adjustable transparency (0-100%) extends the trend color directly to the price bars themselves, providing immediate visual reinforcement of current trend direction without requiring reference to the Supertrend line, with transparency controls allowing users to maintain visibility of candlestick patterns while still showing trend context.
QUARTERS THEORY XAUUSDThe “Quarter Theory XAUUSD” indicator on TradingView is designed to automatically plot horizontal price levels in $25 increments on your chart, providing traders with a clear visual representation of key psychological and technical price points. These levels are particularly useful for instruments like XAU/USD, where price often reacts to round numbers, forming support and resistance zones that can be leveraged for both scalping and swing trading strategies. By showing all $25 increments as horizontal white lines, the indicator ensures that traders can quickly identify potential entry and exit points, without the need for manual drawing or repeated calculations.
The indicator works by calculating the nearest $25 multiple relative to the current market price and then drawing horizontal lines across the chart for all increments within a defined range. This range can be customized to suit the instrument being traded; for example, for gold (XAU/USD), a typical range might extend from 0 to 5000, covering all practical price levels that could be relevant in both high and low market conditions. By using Pine Script’s persistent variables, the indicator efficiently creates these lines only once at the start of the chart, avoiding unnecessary resource usage and preventing TradingView from slowing down, which can happen if lines are redrawn every bar.
From a trading perspective, these levels serve multiple purposes. For scalpers, the $25 increments act as micro support and resistance points, helping to determine short-term price reactions and potential breakout zones. Scalpers can use these levels to enter positions with tight stop-loss orders just beyond a level and take profits near the next $25 increment, which aligns with common price behavior patterns in highly liquid instruments. For swing traders, the same levels provide broader context, allowing them to identify areas where price might pause or reverse over several days. Swing traders can use these levels to align trades with the prevailing trend, particularly when combined with other indicators such as moving averages or trendlines.
Another key advantage of the Quarterly Levels indicator is its simplicity and visual clarity. By plotting lines in a uniform white color and extending them to the right, the chart remains clean and easy to read, allowing traders to focus on price action and market dynamics rather than cluttered technical drawings. This visual consistency also helps in backtesting and strategy development, as traders can quickly see how price interacts with each level over time. Additionally, the use of round-number increments leverages the psychological tendencies of market participants, as many traders place stop orders or entry points near these levels, making them natural zones of interest.
Overall, the Quarterly Levels indicator combines efficiency, clarity, and practical trading utility into a single tool. It streamlines chart analysis, highlights meaningful price zones, and supports both scalping and swing trading approaches, making it an essential addition to a trader’s toolkit. By understanding how to integrate these levels into trading strategies, traders can make more informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and identify high-probability trade setups across various market conditions.
Breaker Blocks Finder | Gold | ProjectSyndicateProjectSyndicate Breaker Blocks Finder
📊 Overview
The ProjectSyndicate Breaker Blocks Finder (PS BB Finder) is a professional-grade Pine Script indicator designed to detect and display Bullish and Bearish Breaker Blocks based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology. This indicator is specifically optimized for XAUUSD (Gold) trading but works reliably across all symbols and timeframes.
Key Features
✅ Non-Repainting: Breaker blocks never change position after formation
✅ Multi-Timeframe Support: Optimized for M5, M10, M15, M20, M30, and H1
✅ Highly Customizable: 10+ user-configurable settings
✅ Visual Clarity: Color-coded boxes and labels for easy identification
✅ Performance Optimized: Handles 1000+ candles without lag
✅ Cross-Symbol Compatible: Works on Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices, and Commodities
✅ Displacement Detection: Uses ATR-based displacement to filter false signals
🎯 What are Breaker Blocks?
A Breaker Block is a failed order block that becomes a new support or resistance zone after being invalidated by price. It represents a market structure shift where institutional traders (smart money) have flipped their position.
Bullish Breaker Block
A Bullish Breaker Block forms when:
1 A bearish order block (resistance zone) exists
2 Price breaks ABOVE this zone with strong displacement
3 The former resistance zone now becomes SUPPORT
4 Price may retest this zone before continuing higher
Visual: Green box with "BB ▲" label
Bearish Breaker Block
A Bearish Breaker Block forms when:
5 A bullish order block (support zone) exists
6 Price breaks BELOW this zone with strong displacement
7 The former support zone now becomes RESISTANCE
8 Price may retest this zone before continuing lower
Visual: Red box with "BB ▼" label
⚙️ Default Settings
Setting Default Range Description
Lookback Period 1000 100-5000 Number of historical candles to analyze
Max Breaker Blocks 5 1-50 Maximum number of breaker blocks to display
Swing Detection Length 10 2-20 Bars on each side to confirm swing high/low. Higher = more significant swings
Use Displacement Filter true true/false Enable to filter breaker blocks by displacement size
Displacement Multiplier 2.0 0.5-5.0 Minimum move size as multiple of ATR. Higher = stricter detection
Invalidation Method Close Close/Wick Close = Conservative (candle must close beyond zone)Wick = Aggressive (wick touch is enough)
📈 Recommended Timeframes & Settings
This indicator is optimized for the following timeframes. Use these settings as a starting point.
Lower Timeframes (M5, M10, M15, M20)
These settings are designed to capture faster price movements and are the default settings for the indicator.
Setting Recommended Value
Lookback Period 1000
Max Breaker Blocks 5
Swing Detection Length 10
Use Displacement Filter true
Displacement Multiplier 2.0
Invalidation Method Close
Higher Timeframes (M30, H1)
For these timeframes, a less strict displacement filter is recommended to capture more significant, but less frequent, breaker blocks.
Setting Recommended Value
Lookback Period 1000
Max Breaker Blocks 5
Swing Detection Length 10
Use Displacement Filter true
Displacement Multiplier 1.0
Invalidation Method Close
🎓 How to Use
Step 1: Identify Breaker Blocks
Once the indicator is loaded, breaker blocks will automatically appear on your chart:
• Green boxes = Bullish breaker blocks (former resistance, now support)
• Red boxes = Bearish breaker blocks (former support, now resistance)
Step 2: Wait for Retest
The most reliable trading opportunities occur when price retests the breaker block zone:
• For bullish breaker blocks, wait for price to come back down to the green zone
• For bearish breaker blocks, wait for price to come back up to the red zone
Step 3: Look for Confluence
Combine breaker blocks with other SMC concepts for higher probability setups:
• Fair Value Gaps (FVG) within the breaker block zone
• Liquidity grabs before the retest
• Break of Structure (BoS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation
Step 4: Enter the Trade
Bullish Setup:
• Entry: At or near the bullish breaker block zone
• Stop Loss: Below the breaker block
• Take Profit: Previous swing high or higher
Bearish Setup:
• Entry: At or near the bearish breaker block zone
• Stop Loss: Above the breaker block
• Take Profit: Previous swing low or lower
🛡️ Non-Repainting Guarantee
This indicator is 100% non-repainting, meaning:
✅ Breaker blocks never change position after formation
✅ Historical breaker blocks remain in the exact same location indefinitely
✅ Backtesting results are reliable and consistent
🐛 Troubleshooting
Issue: No Breaker Blocks Appearing
Solutions:
• Ensure "Use Displacement Filter" is enabled.
• On M30/H1, try lowering the "Displacement Multiplier" to 1.0.
• Scroll back in history; blocks may not be present on the most recent bars.
Issue: Too Many Breaker Blocks
Solutions:
• Increase "Displacement Multiplier" to 2.5 or 3.0.
• Increase "Swing Detection Length" to 12-15.
• Decrease "Max Breaker Blocks" to 3-4.
Orion Time Matrix | ICT Macros [by AK]ORION TIME MATRIX | ICT MACRO SUITE
The Orion Time Matrix is a precision timing instrument designed to decipher the algorithmic "Heartbeat" and the timing of institutional order flow in US Index Futures markets, specifically Nasdaq (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES).
Inspired by the "Time & Price" teachings of Michael J. Huddleston (The Inner Circle Trader), this tool maps out the specific time windows where algorithms seek liquidity and price delivery is most efficient.
Custom Time-Range Breakout with 4x EMA Filter Time-Range Breakout Monitor with 4x EMA FilterThis indicator is a powerful tool designed to capture volatility during specific market hours (like London or New York opens). It monitors a custom price range (High/Low) and tracks whether these levels are breached, using a 4x EMA ribbon as a trend filter.Key Features:Adjustable Range: Define your own start and end time (hours and minutes) to mark the session range.Breakout Tracking: The indicator visually tracks if the High or Low of the session has been taken (Broken) and displays the status in a real-time dashboard.4x EMA Ribbon: Integrated trend filter with specific color coding for quick visual confirmation.Smart Alerts: Built-in alerts for both Bullish (Up) and Bearish (Down) breakouts.EMA Color Legend (Rafał's Setup):EMA PeriodColorRoleEMA 20GrayShort-term momentumEMA 50GreenMedium-term trend confirmationEMA 100YellowIntermediate support/resistanceEMA 200RedLong-term baseline (The "Trendline")How to Use:Set the Session: Input your target range in the settings (e.g., 09:00 - 10:00).Monitor the Dashboard: The top-right table shows "TAK" (YES) or "NIE" (NO) if the levels have been breached during the current day.Confirm the Trend: * Long: Price breaks above the range AND is supported by the Green (50) and Red (200) EMAs.Short: Price breaks below the range AND is trending under the Green (50) and Red (200) EMAs.Settings:Start/End Hour & Minute: Full control over the tracked time window.Alerts: Enable "Wybicie Górą" or "Wybicie Dołem" in the TradingView Alert menu.
Order Block Finder | Gold | ProjectSyndicate🥇 ProjectSyndicate Gold Order Block Finder
📌 Institutional Order Blocks for XAUUSD Built for Gold’s Volatility
The ProjectSyndicate Gold Order Block Finder is a professional-grade TradingView indicator engineered specifically for XAUUSD / Gold traders who want clean, high-probability institutional supply & demand zones on their chart.
Gold moves fast, sweeps liquidity often, and loves sharp displacement. This tool is tuned to match that behavior—so you can quickly spot the zones where smart money likely stepped in, and plan entries, targets, and invalidations with confidence. ✅
🚀 Why Gold Traders Like It
✅ Made for XAUUSD: Detection is tuned for Gold’s unique volatility and impulse structure
🏦 Institutional Zone Detection: Finds the last opposing candle before a true displacement + structure break
🧹 Auto-Cleanup (Mitigation): Zones automatically disappear when invalidated (no clutter)
📦 Clean Visualization: Professional OB boxes that extend into live price action
⚡ Pine Script v6: Built on the latest TradingView engine for stability and speed
🧠 Detection Logic Simple, Effective, Battle-Tested
📈 Bullish Order Block (Demand):
The last bearish candle before a strong bullish displacement that breaks market structure (BOS)
📉 Bearish Order Block (Supply):
The last bullish candle before a strong bearish displacement that breaks market structure (BOS)
💥 Displacement Filter Power Move Confirmation:
Zones are validated only when the impulse move meets a minimum strength threshold (default: 1.3× candle range)—helping filter out weak noise and low-quality blocks.
🛠 Recommended Gold Settings (XAUUSD)
Use these presets to match Gold’s typical behavior across higher-impact timeframes:
Timeframe | Swing Length | Displacement
M5 | 5–7 | 1.2 – 1.4
M10 | 5–7 | 1.2 – 1.4
M30 | 5–7 | 1.2 – 1.4
H1 | 7–9 | 1.3 – 1.6
H4 | 8–10 | 1.5 – 2.0
💡 Tip: If you want more signals, reduce Swing Length.
If you want higher quality only, increase Displacement.
✅ Best Use-Cases on Gold
🎯 Mark premium supply/demand zones without manual drawing
🧲 Wait for price to return to the OB for cleaner entries
🛡️ Use OB boundaries for clear invalidation + stop placement
📊 Combine with trend bias / liquidity sweeps / session levels for extra confirmation
LBMA London Gold Fix Times [Auto DST]## Overview
This lightweight indicator automatically marks the **LBMA Gold Price Fixing** times on your chart using vertical lines. It is designed specifically for **XAUUSD (Gold)** traders who need to monitor institutional liquidity and volatility shifts during the London session.
The indicator tracks the two key daily fixing moments:
* **AM Fix:** 10:30 (London Time)
* **PM Fix:** 15:00 (London Time)
## Key Features
* **🌍 Auto Daylight Saving Time (DST):** Built with the `Europe/London` timezone parameter. It automatically adjusts to British Summer Time (BST) and GMT, so you never have to manually change the UTC offset settings.
* **⚡ Minimalist Design:** Draws clean vertical lines without cluttering your chart with text labels.
* **🎨 Fully Customizable:** You can adjust the line color, width, and style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted) for both AM and PM sessions independently.
## Why are these times important?
The London Gold Fix (LBMA Gold Price) is the global benchmark for physical gold settlement. Major institutions, central banks, and mining companies settle contracts at these times. Consequently, **10:30** and **15:00** (London time) often witness:
1. Significant spikes in volatility.
2. Trend reversals or accelerations.
3. Massive volume injection.
## Usage Tips
* **Timeframe:** This indicator works best on **Intraday Timeframes** (1-minute to 30-minute charts).
* *Note:* It may not be visible on H1 (1-hour) charts or higher because the fix times (e.g., 10:30) occur in the middle of an hourly candle.
* **Setup:** Simply add it to your chart. No timezone configuration is required; the script calculates London time internally.
## Settings
* **AM Fix Color:** Default is Blue (London Morning).
* **PM Fix Color:** Default is Red (London Afternoon/US Morning overlap).
* **Line Style:** Choose between Solid, Dashed, or Dotted lines.
概述 (Overview)
这是一个轻量级的辅助指标，通过垂直线在图表上自动标记 LBMA 伦敦金定盘价（LBMA Gold Price Fixing） 的时刻。它是专为 XAUUSD（黄金） 交易者设计的，旨在帮助大家捕捉伦敦时段内机构流动性和市场波动的关键节点。
该指标会自动锁定每天两个核心的定盘时间：
上午定盘 (AM Fix): 10:30 (伦敦时间)
下午定盘 (PM Fix): 15:00 (伦敦时间)
主要功能 (Key Features)
🌍 自动识别夏令时 (Auto DST): 代码内置 Europe/London 时区参数。无论英国处于夏令时 (BST) 还是冬令时 (GMT)，指标都会自动精准对齐，无需用户手动调整时区设置。
⚡ 极简主义设计: 仅绘制干净的垂直线，不显示任何文字标签，避免遮挡K线或干扰视线。
🎨 高度可定制: 您可以独立调整上午和下午定盘线的颜色、粗细以及样式（实线、虚线或点线）。
为什么要关注这两个时间点？
LBMA 伦敦金定盘价是全球实物黄金结算的基准价格。大型金融机构、中央银行和金矿公司通常会在这个时间点集中进行合约结算。因此，在伦敦时间 10:30 和 15:00 前后，市场经常会出现：
波动率瞬间激增。
短期趋势的反转或加速。
巨量成交量的涌入。
使用建议 (Usage Tips)
适用周期: 建议在 日内分时图（1分钟、5分钟、15分钟或30分钟）上使用。
注意: 在 1小时 (H1) 或更大的周期上，线条可能无法显示，因为定盘时间（如 10:30）发生在整点K线的内部，无法被单独标记。
设置方法: 加载指标即可使用。无论您本地电脑的时间设置如何，脚本内部会自动计算正确的伦敦时间。
参数设置 (Settings)
AM Fix Color: 上午定盘线颜色（默认为蓝色）。
PM Fix Color: 下午定盘线颜色（默认为红色，此时往往也是美盘初期的波动高峰）。
Line Style: 线条样式选择（实线、虚线、点线）。
Gold Projection DivergenceGOLD PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Oscillator Companion for the Gold Macro Projection Model
OVERVIEW
The Gold Projection Divergence oscillator quantifies how far gold is trading from its projected fair value. While the main indicator shows where gold should be, this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is—providing precise timing signals for entries and exits.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator calculates the difference between actual gold price and the projected value, then normalizes it as a Z-score . This statistical measure shows how many standard deviations gold is trading away from its projected fair value.
Z > +2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations above fair value (extremely overvalued)
Z > +1 — Gold is moderately overvalued
Z = 0 — Gold is trading at projected fair value
Z < -1 — Gold is moderately undervalued
Z < -2 — Gold is 2+ standard deviations below fair value (extremely undervalued)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Histogram — Color-coded divergence magnitude
Yellow Line — Smoothed Z-score
Dashed Lines — +2 and -2 standard deviation levels
Dotted Lines — +1 and -1 standard deviation levels
Triangle Markers — Extreme crossover signals
Circle Markers — Zero-line crossings
HISTOGRAM COLORS
Dark Red — Z > +2 (extreme overvaluation)
Orange — Z between +1 and +2
Light Orange — Z between 0 and +1
Light Green — Z between -1 and 0
Green — Z between -2 and -1
Lime — Z < -2 (extreme undervaluation)
COMPONENT TABLE
The breakdown table shows divergence from each individual factor:
Silver — Is gold over/undervalued relative to silver?
M2 — Is gold over/undervalued relative to money supply?
DXY — Is gold over/undervalued relative to dollar strength?
Equity — Is gold over/undervalued relative to stocks?
TIPS — Is gold over/undervalued relative to real rates?
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation — Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation — Z crosses above +2
Moderate Undervaluation — Z crosses below -1
Moderate Overvaluation — Z crosses above +1
Divergence Turned Positive — Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative — Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both indicators together :
Main Indicator — Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator — Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator shows where gold should be; the oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Gold Macro Projection ModelGOLD MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Gold
OVERVIEW
The Gold Macro Projection Model estimates gold's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from silver , M2 money supply , the US Dollar Index , TIPS (real rates proxy) , and major equity indices , this indicator projects where gold should theoretically be trading—helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies :
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight)
Calculates rolling correlations between gold and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to gold's price scale.
Silver/Gold Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight)
The silver/gold ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects gold's implied price based on current silver prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight)
Gold tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between gold and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Silver — Strong positive correlation; precious metals move together
M2 Money Supply — Positive correlation; gold as inflation hedge
US Dollar Index (DXY) — Typically negative correlation; inverse relationship
TIPS ETF — Real interest rate proxy; gold responds to real yields
Equity Indices — Variable correlation; risk-on/risk-off dynamics
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Yellow Line — Actual gold price
Aqua Line — Projected fair value
Green Fill — Gold trading below projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill — Gold trading above projection (potentially overvalued)
Aqua Bands — Standard deviation envelope around projection
INFO TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time information panel showing:
Current actual vs. projected price
Divergence percentage and Z-score
Rolling correlations for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation
Buy/Sell signal based on divergence extremes
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
STRONG BUY — Z-score below -2 (extremely undervalued)
BUY — Z-score between -2 and -1 (moderately undervalued)
NEUTRAL — Z-score between -1 and +1 (fairly valued)
SELL — Z-score between +1 and +2 (moderately overvalued)
STRONG SELL — Z-score above +2 (extremely overvalued)
SETTINGS
Correlation Period — Lookback for correlation calculations (default: 60)
Regression Period — Lookback for mean/standard deviation (default: 120)
Smoothing Period — EMA smoothing for projection line (default: 10)
Auto Weights — Toggle between correlation-based or manual weights
Band Multiplier — Standard deviation multiplier for bands (default: 1.5)
ALERTS
Gold Extremely Undervalued — Z crosses below -2
Gold Extremely Overvalued — Z crosses above +2
Gold Crossed Above Projection
Gold Crossed Below Projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Gold Divergence Oscillator for timing
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Silver Projection DivergenceSILVER PROJECTION DIVERGENCE
Standardized Fair Value Divergence Oscillator
OVERVIEW
The Silver Projection Divergence oscillator is the companion indicator to the Silver Macro Projection Model. It quantifies the gap between silver's actual price and its projected fair value, displaying this divergence as a standardized z-score. This format makes it easier to identify extreme conditions and time entries/exits based on mean reversion.
HOW IT WORKS
The oscillator converts raw divergence (Actual Silver - Projected Silver) to a z-score by normalizing against its historical distribution:
Z-Score > 0 - Silver trading ABOVE projected value (overvalued)
Z-Score < 0 - Silver trading BELOW projected value (undervalued)
Z-Score > 2 - Extreme condition (2 standard deviations)
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Main Plot
Green line/histogram - Negative divergence (undervalued)
Red line/histogram - Positive divergence (overvalued)
Color intensity increases when divergence is expanding
Reference Lines
+2 sigma / -2 sigma (dashed) - Extreme zones
+1 sigma / -1 sigma (dotted) - Moderate deviation
Zero line - Fair value equilibrium
Signal Markers
Green Triangle (bottom) - Z-score crosses below -2 (STRONG BUY)
Red Triangle (top) - Z-score crosses above +2 (STRONG SELL)
Background
Light red background - Extreme overvaluation (Z > 2)
Light green background - Extreme undervaluation (Z < -2)
SIGNAL INTERPRETATION
Z > +2.0 - Extreme Overvaluation - STRONG SELL / Take profits
Z +1.0 to +2.0 - Moderate Overvaluation - Caution / Reduce exposure
Z -1.0 to +1.0 - Fair Value Range - Neutral / Hold
Z -2.0 to -1.0 - Moderate Undervaluation - Accumulate / Scale in
Z < -2.0 - Extreme Undervaluation - STRONG BUY signal
COMPONENT TABLE
The bottom-right table breaks down divergence by factor:
Gold Ratio - Deviation from gold-implied fair value
M2 Supply - Divergence from monetary-implied value
DXY Signal - Dollar strength bullish/bearish indication
Equities - Equity market positioning signal
OVERALL - Combined signal with Z-score
TRADING APPLICATIONS
Mean Reversion Strategy
Enter LONG when Z < -2 and begins rising
Enter SHORT when Z > +2 and begins falling
Use zero-line crossings for trend confirmation
Trend Following Filter
Only take long trades when Z < 0 (undervalued)
Only take short trades when Z > 0 (overvalued)
Divergence Confirmation
Bearish: Price makes new highs while Z-score makes lower highs
Bullish: Price makes new lows while Z-score makes higher lows
ALERTS
Extreme Undervaluation - Z crosses below -2
Extreme Overvaluation - Z crosses above +2
Divergence Turned Positive - Crossed above zero
Divergence Turned Negative - Crossed below zero
COMBINED USAGE
For best results, use both with Silver Macro Projection Model - indicator:
Main Indicator - Visual context of actual vs. projected on price chart
Divergence Oscillator - Precise measurement for timing decisions
The main indicator (Silver Macro Projection Model - ) shows where silver should be; this oscillator shows how extreme the mispricing is and when to act.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Market conditions can alter historical relationships. Always use proper risk management.
Silver Macro Projection ModelSILVER MACRO PROJECTION MODEL
Multi-Factor Fair Value Estimation for Silver
OVERVIEW
The Silver Macro Projection Model estimates silver's fair value based on its historical relationships with key macroeconomic drivers. By synthesizing data from gold, M2 money supply, the US Dollar Index, and major equity indices, this indicator projects where silver should theoretically be trading, helping traders identify potential overvaluation and undervaluation conditions.
HOW IT WORKS
This indicator employs three complementary projection methodologies:
Correlation-Weighted Z-Score Composite (50% weight) - Calculates rolling correlations between silver and each input factor. Factors with stronger correlations receive more influence. Each factor is normalized to a z-score, combined into a composite, then converted back to silver's price scale.
Gold/Silver Ratio Mean Reversion (35% weight) - The gold/silver ratio historically exhibits mean-reverting behavior. This component projects silver's implied price based on current gold prices and the historical average ratio.
M2 Money Supply Relationship (15% weight) - Silver tracks monetary expansion over long time horizons. This anchors the projection to the fundamental relationship between silver and the monetary base.
INPUT FACTORS
Gold - Strong Positive - Precious metals move together; silver amplifies gold
M2 Supply - Positive - Inflation hedge; expands with monetary base
DXY - Negative - Dollar strength pressures commodity prices
S&P 500 - Variable - Risk sentiment indicator
Dow Jones - Variable - Industrial/economic health proxy
Nasdaq 100 - Variable - Growth/risk appetite indicator
Russell 2000 - Variable - Small-cap risk sentiment
VISUAL ELEMENTS
Silver Line (Gray) - Actual silver price
Yellow Line - Model's projected fair value
Green Fill - Silver trading BELOW projection (potentially undervalued)
Red Fill - Silver trading ABOVE projection (potentially overvalued)
INFORMATION TABLE
The indicator displays a real-time panel showing:
Current correlation coefficients for each factor
Dynamic weight allocation based on correlation strength
Z-scores for each input factor
Actual vs. projected silver price
Percentage divergence from fair value
Signal classification (Strong Buy to Strong Sell)
SETTINGS
Lookback Settings
Correlation Period (default: 60) - Bars used for rolling correlations
Regression Period (default: 120) - Bars for z-score normalization
Smoothing Period (default: 10) - EMA smoothing on projection
Weight Settings
Use Auto Correlation Weights - Weights adjust dynamically based on correlation strength
Manual Weights - Override with custom factor weights
ALERTS
Silver Extremely Undervalued (Z < -2)
Silver Extremely Overvalued (Z > +2)
Price crossed above projection
Price crossed below projection
BEST PRACTICES
Use on daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Combine with the companion Divergence Oscillator for timing
Extreme divergences (>2 sigma) historically precede mean reversion
Consider macro environment as correlations shift during different regimes
Longer regression periods (150-250) for investing; shorter (60-90) for trading
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past correlations do not guarantee future relationships. Always use proper risk management.
