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Quarterly Theory — NY Session Macro Model
The Quarterly Theory Model is a structured framework for analyzing intraday market behavior based on institutional activity and macro-level cycles.
It divides the New York trading session into four sequential “quarters” (Q1–Q4), each representing distinct phases of market participation, liquidity accumulation, and directional bias.
This model is designed for professional traders who aim to align their strategies with institutional flows, key liquidity zones, and market structure shifts.
It accommodates both AMDX (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion) and XAMD (reversal sequences) fractal patterns, allowing traders to adapt to varying market conditions.
Price action may expand early during Q1 in an XAMD sequence, representing an initial breakout or early liquidity sweep before the typical Q2 manipulation phase. Traders should be aware that Q1 can occasionally produce unexpected volatility or directional bias in such sequences.
Session Breakdown (New York Time)
Q1 – Accumulation
Time: 9:30 – 10:00 AM
Phase Characteristics: Early session positioning, initial liquidity sweeps, and false moves. Institutions build positions while retail participants often react to gaps and premarket activity.
Note: Price may expand early in an XAMD sequence, creating a short-term directional move before Q2.
Q2 – Manipulation / Expansion
Time: 10:00 – 11:30 AM
Phase Characteristics: The main directional move develops, often characterized by breaks of structure, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps. This is a prime area for trend initiation.
Q3 – Distribution / Retracement
Time: 11:30 AM – 1:30 PM
Phase Characteristics: Price consolidates and retraces into prior accumulation zones, reflecting profit-taking or redistribution by institutions. Market chop and sideways movement are common.
Q4 – Final Expansion / Repricing
Time: 1:30 – 4:00 PM
Phase Characteristics: The afternoon session often produces final liquidity sweeps, trend continuation, or reversals, setting the high or low of the day and completing the daily macro cycle.
Key Features of the Model
Fractal-Based Structure: Q1–Q4 cycles reflect institutional behavior at a macro level, scalable to other intraday or multi-day fractals.
Supports AMDX & XAMD: Allows for both standard accumulation → manipulation → distribution → expansion sequences and reversal patterns depending on market behavior.
Early Expansion in Q1: Recognizes that in XAMD sequences, Q1 may produce early directional moves or breakout activity.
True Open Q2 Line: Highlights the opening price of Q2 as a reference for trend validation and potential entry zones.
Dynamic Time Alignment: Fully synchronized with New York (ET) time zone, ensuring accurate representation of market cycles.
Professional Visualization: Optional labels and vertical markers for each quarter, supporting quick visual analysis and pattern recognition.
Integration with ICT Concepts: Compatible with Smart Money Techniques (SMT), Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Order Blocks (OBs), and Break of Structure (BOS) for enhanced trade planning.
Purpose and Application
Anticipates areas of liquidity accumulation and manipulation.
Identifies optimal entry and exit zones within institutional cycles.
Structures trades around probable trend initiation and continuation periods.
Aligns retail activity with institutional flow for higher probability setups.
Adapts to market variability through AMDX and XAMD fractal patterns.
Accounts for early expansions or breakout activity during Q1 in XAMD sequences.
By using the Quarterly Theory Model, traders gain a systematic, time-based framework to interpret market structure and maximize alignment with institutional participants.
The Quarterly Theory Model is a structured framework for analyzing intraday market behavior based on institutional activity and macro-level cycles.
It divides the New York trading session into four sequential “quarters” (Q1–Q4), each representing distinct phases of market participation, liquidity accumulation, and directional bias.
This model is designed for professional traders who aim to align their strategies with institutional flows, key liquidity zones, and market structure shifts.
It accommodates both AMDX (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion) and XAMD (reversal sequences) fractal patterns, allowing traders to adapt to varying market conditions.
Price action may expand early during Q1 in an XAMD sequence, representing an initial breakout or early liquidity sweep before the typical Q2 manipulation phase. Traders should be aware that Q1 can occasionally produce unexpected volatility or directional bias in such sequences.
Session Breakdown (New York Time)
Q1 – Accumulation
Time: 9:30 – 10:00 AM
Phase Characteristics: Early session positioning, initial liquidity sweeps, and false moves. Institutions build positions while retail participants often react to gaps and premarket activity.
Note: Price may expand early in an XAMD sequence, creating a short-term directional move before Q2.
Q2 – Manipulation / Expansion
Time: 10:00 – 11:30 AM
Phase Characteristics: The main directional move develops, often characterized by breaks of structure, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps. This is a prime area for trend initiation.
Q3 – Distribution / Retracement
Time: 11:30 AM – 1:30 PM
Phase Characteristics: Price consolidates and retraces into prior accumulation zones, reflecting profit-taking or redistribution by institutions. Market chop and sideways movement are common.
Q4 – Final Expansion / Repricing
Time: 1:30 – 4:00 PM
Phase Characteristics: The afternoon session often produces final liquidity sweeps, trend continuation, or reversals, setting the high or low of the day and completing the daily macro cycle.
Key Features of the Model
Fractal-Based Structure: Q1–Q4 cycles reflect institutional behavior at a macro level, scalable to other intraday or multi-day fractals.
Supports AMDX & XAMD: Allows for both standard accumulation → manipulation → distribution → expansion sequences and reversal patterns depending on market behavior.
Early Expansion in Q1: Recognizes that in XAMD sequences, Q1 may produce early directional moves or breakout activity.
True Open Q2 Line: Highlights the opening price of Q2 as a reference for trend validation and potential entry zones.
Dynamic Time Alignment: Fully synchronized with New York (ET) time zone, ensuring accurate representation of market cycles.
Professional Visualization: Optional labels and vertical markers for each quarter, supporting quick visual analysis and pattern recognition.
Integration with ICT Concepts: Compatible with Smart Money Techniques (SMT), Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Order Blocks (OBs), and Break of Structure (BOS) for enhanced trade planning.
Purpose and Application
Anticipates areas of liquidity accumulation and manipulation.
Identifies optimal entry and exit zones within institutional cycles.
Structures trades around probable trend initiation and continuation periods.
Aligns retail activity with institutional flow for higher probability setups.
Adapts to market variability through AMDX and XAMD fractal patterns.
Accounts for early expansions or breakout activity during Q1 in XAMD sequences.
By using the Quarterly Theory Model, traders gain a systematic, time-based framework to interpret market structure and maximize alignment with institutional participants.
Versionshinweise
Quarterly Theory — NY Session Macro ModelThe Quarterly Theory Model is a structured framework for analyzing intraday market behavior based on institutional activity and macro-level cycles.
It divides the New York trading session into four sequential “quarters” (Q1–Q4), each representing distinct phases of market participation, liquidity accumulation, and directional bias.
This model is designed for professional traders who aim to align their strategies with institutional flows, key liquidity zones, and market structure shifts.
It accommodates both AMDX (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion) and XAMD (reversal sequences) fractal patterns, allowing traders to adapt to varying market conditions.
Price action may expand early during Q1 in an XAMD sequence, representing an initial breakout or early liquidity sweep before the typical Q2 manipulation phase. Traders should be aware that Q1 can occasionally produce unexpected volatility or directional bias in such sequences.
Session Breakdown (New York Time)
Q1 – Accumulation
Time: 9:30 – 10:00 AM
Phase Characteristics: Early session positioning, initial liquidity sweeps, and false moves. Institutions build positions while retail participants often react to gaps and premarket activity.
Note: Price may expand early in an XAMD sequence, creating a short-term directional move before Q2.
Q2 – Manipulation / Expansion
Time: 10:00 – 11:30 AM
Phase Characteristics: The main directional move develops, often characterized by breaks of structure, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps. This is a prime area for trend initiation.
Q3 – Distribution / Retracement
Time: 11:30 AM – 1:30 PM
Phase Characteristics: Price consolidates and retraces into prior accumulation zones, reflecting profit-taking or redistribution by institutions. Market chop and sideways movement are common.
Q4 – Final Expansion / Repricing
Time: 1:30 – 4:00 PM
Phase Characteristics: The afternoon session often produces final liquidity sweeps, trend continuation, or reversals, setting the high or low of the day and completing the daily macro cycle.
Key Features of the Model
Fractal-Based Structure: Q1–Q4 cycles reflect institutional behavior at a macro level, scalable to other intraday or multi-day fractals.
Supports AMDX & XAMD: Allows for both standard accumulation → manipulation → distribution → expansion sequences and reversal patterns depending on market behavior.
Early Expansion in Q1: Recognizes that in XAMD sequences, Q1 may produce early directional moves or breakout activity.
True Open Q2 Line: Highlights the opening price of Q2 as a reference for trend validation and potential entry zones.
Dynamic Time Alignment: Fully synchronized with New York (ET) time zone, ensuring accurate representation of market cycles.
Professional Visualization: Optional labels and vertical markers for each quarter, supporting quick visual analysis and pattern recognition.
Integration with ICT Concepts: Compatible with Smart Money Techniques (SMT), Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Order Blocks (OBs), and Break of Structure (BOS) for enhanced trade planning.
Purpose and Application
Anticipates areas of liquidity accumulation and manipulation.
Identifies optimal entry and exit zones within institutional cycles.
Structures trades around probable trend initiation and continuation periods.
Aligns retail activity with institutional flow for higher probability setups.
Adapts to market variability through AMDX and XAMD fractal patterns.
Accounts for early expansions or breakout activity during Q1 in XAMD sequences.
By using the Quarterly Theory Model, traders gain a systematic, time-based framework to interpret market structure and maximize alignment with institutional participants.
Versionshinweise
Quarterly Theory — NY Session Macro ModelThe Quarterly Theory is a time-based framework for analyzing intraday market behavior during the New York session. It divides the session into four sequential quarters (Q1–Q4), each reflecting institutional activity, liquidity accumulation, and directional bias.
Q1 – Accumulation (9:30–10:00 AM): Early positioning, initial liquidity sweeps, and potential early breakouts (AMDX - XAMD patterns).
Q2 – Manipulation/Expansion (10:00–11:30 AM): Main directional move with structure breaks, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps.
Q3 – Distribution/Retracement (11:30 AM–1:30 PM): Consolidation, profit-taking, and market chop.
Q4 – Final Expansion/Repricing (1:30–4:00 PM): Trend continuation, reversals, and session high/low formation.
Key Features:
Fractal-based cycles scalable across intraday or multi-day timeframes.
Supports AMDX (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion) and XAMD reversal sequences.
Highlights early Q1 expansions, Q2 open reference, and critical liquidity zones.
Fully synchronized to NY time and compatible with ICT concepts (SMT, FVGs, OBs, BOS).
Professional visualization with optional labels and vertical markers.
Purpose:
Provides traders a systematic framework to align with institutional flow, anticipate liquidity accumulation, identify optimal entry/exit zones, and structure trades around high-probability intraday cycles.
Versionshinweise
Quarterly Theory — NY Session Macro ModelThe Quarterly Theory is a time-based framework for analyzing intraday market behavior during the New York session. It divides the session into four sequential quarters (Q1–Q4), each reflecting institutional activity, liquidity accumulation, and directional bias.
Q1 – Accumulation (9:30–10:00 AM): Early positioning, initial liquidity sweeps, and potential early breakouts (AMDX - XAMD patterns).
Q2 – Manipulation/Expansion (10:00–11:30 AM): Main directional move with structure breaks, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps.
Q3 – Distribution/Retracement (11:30 AM–1:30 PM): Consolidation, profit-taking, and market chop.
Q4 – Final Expansion/Repricing (1:30–4:00 PM): Trend continuation, reversals, and session high/low formation.
Key Features:
Fractal-based cycles scalable across intraday or multi-day timeframes.
Supports AMDX (Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion) and XAMD reversal sequences.
Highlights early Q1 expansions, Q2 open reference, and critical liquidity zones.
Fully synchronized to NY time and compatible with ICT concepts (SMT, FVGs, OBs, BOS).
Professional visualization with optional labels and vertical markers.
Purpose:
Provides traders a systematic framework to align with institutional flow, anticipate liquidity accumulation, identify optimal entry/exit zones, and structure trades around high-probability intraday cycles.
Geschütztes Skript
Dieses Script ist als Closed-Source veröffentlicht. Sie können es kostenlos und ohne Einschränkungen verwenden – erfahren Sie hier mehr.
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Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.
Geschütztes Skript
Dieses Script ist als Closed-Source veröffentlicht. Sie können es kostenlos und ohne Einschränkungen verwenden – erfahren Sie hier mehr.
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.