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ORB Strategy W/ Confluence

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This is an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy designed for intraday trading on futures or indices (e.g., MNQ, MES, ES). It identifies the opening range (default 30-minute session from 9:30-10:00 ET) and enters long on a bullish breakout above the range high (ORH) or short below the range low (ORL), with optional daily bias filtering. Targets are set as multiples of the range width (default 50% per level), with partial profit-taking at each hit level. Stop-loss is dynamically set based on a factor of the range width (default 1.0x full range). Optional confluence filters (RSI >70 for long/<30 for short, price above/below 200 EMA, Williams Vix Fix above/below 0.3, or following previous day's close color) can be enabled for entry confirmation. Position sizing is fixed (default 10 contracts), with an option to double after a losing day. Entries are restricted to a user-defined session (default 8:00-17:00), and all positions close at a specified time (default 16:00 ET) to comply with prop firm rules.
Key Parameters to Test:

Instrument/Timeframe: Test on 5-min or 1-min charts for MNQ/MES/ES futures (e.g., tick value 0.5 for MNQ, 1.25 for MES).
Core Settings: OR timeframe=30m, Target %=50, SL Factor=1.0, TP % Remaining=20 (for partial closes). Enable/disable bias ("Daily Bias" for conservative entries).
Filters: Start with all off; test enabling RSI (len=14, level=50, offset=20), EMA (len=200), WVF (period=22, thresh=0.3), and Prev Day Trend individually/combined to see impact on win rate/false signals.
Risk/Sizing: Fixed contracts=10; test double sizing after loss. For risk-based sizing, adjust to use equity risk % (e.g., 1%) and tick value.
Time Rules: Entry session=0800-1700, Exit=16:00; test on NY session data.

Expected Behavior & Test Focus:

Entry Logic: Long signal on close crossover ORH (or ORH + target1 if bearish bias); short on crossunder ORL. Expect 1-2 trades per day, filtered by confluence to reduce whipsaws.
Exits: SL at ORL - factor*range for long (vice versa for short); partial TP at each target level (e.g., 20% of position at T1, reducing thereafter). Full close at 4 PM if open.
Backtest Metrics: Aim for >50% win rate, positive expectancy over 1-2 years (e.g., 2023-2025 NY session data). Monitor drawdown (<10%), profit factor (>1.5), and Sharpe ratio. Test sensitivity to volatility (e.g., high-vol days may hit more targets but risk larger SL). Visuals: OR box, dashed targets/SL lines, signals (▲/▼).
Edge Cases: Test on low-vol days (tight range, fewer breakouts); gaps; after news events. Ensure no over-entries (pyramiding=0) and daily reset works.

This setup emphasizes disciplined intraday breakouts with risk control—backtest on historical data to validate profitability before live use.

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