Swing Trader-Pro V2

14. Aug. 2021

The strategy- what is it?

This indicator is designed from a theory created by myself in order to distinguish a correction from an impulse. This comes down to the ability to compare "x" range of candles to "y" range of candles and highlight key differences to then correctly portray that the most recent move in price will be (or is) a correction.

Following this theory, we all understand that corrections don't go with the trend right? So this means at some point, there is a high probability of a rejection somewhere in this most recent move, that will ultimately push price higher or lower as it continues back with the trend. Therefore, through extensive quantitative research and back-testing, we are able to highlight areas of high-probability rejections within these supposed corrections.


How does it work?

Firstly, we need to establish a high and low point (using pivots ) that help us decide what the state is of the recent move between the high and low (we call this "point A" and "point B"). So we can only consider whether the recent move in price was an impulse or a correction until the move from "point B" to "point C" is made. But before that, once we have identified "Point A" and "point B", we use 2 (supposedly) strong levels which help integrate a box onscreen and thus, indicate this area of high liquidity. This box will continue to adjust according to the change of pivots (if price keeps creating HH's & HL's or LH's & LL's depending on market trend). But if we establish a strong high and low and price stays within this range, then the box will remain in place.

The default color of the box is red; the only time the color of the box will change is when:
- Price retraces from the high/low back to the box (price has to touch the box)
AND
-If any of our confirmations indicate a successful correction based on our theory.

So the box color varies:
- Red = very weak (or) no entry = no confirmations were made
- Yellow = weak entry = some but not all confirmations were made
- Green = strong entry = all confirmations have indicated that the move from "point B" to "point C" (remember that "point C" is where the box is) is a correction when compared with the move from "point A" to "point B"

These confirmations are all validated on the same candle during live candle activity (not when the candle has closed on the box). As this happens, the confirmations will determine the state of entry quality as soon as price touches the box.

In this time, we will see a new orange label highlighting what indicators have confirmed a successful correction and what haven't.
The label shows the different confirmation indicators in which we have provided different names (as this is the secret we intend to keep). So we have:
- "CC"
- "B1/B2"
- "B3"

Usually, we will see either an "OK" or "NOT OK" next to each confirmation indicator. This just tells us whether they have confirmed or not. Please note that this "point C" label does not stay permanently, regardless of the state of entry quality. The label will in fact stay on the screen until the next box has been generated, which is usually a few candles after the entry has been triggered.


Entries, SL's and TP's

This indicator shows the user an area of high-probability rejection. So in terms of specifying a precise entry, you're completely free to enter on the following:
- the moment price touches the box (depending on what color it is of course)
- the other end of the box (if you would like to catch a "sniper entry")
- or if price pierces the entire box and is still green, you can wait to see if price comes back through the box (which indicates a false breakout).

As for Stop-losses, i would recommend:
- Long entries: set your SL at the recent low (this should be "point A")
- Short entries: set your SL to the recent high (this should be "point A" as well, because if you're switching from the "long entry" setting to the "short entry" setting, the indicator labels flip around and are the opposite of what they are for long entries).

For Take profits, this is entirely up to the user. Because some entries will allow you to have great RR ratios depending on how you manage the active trades. Some recommendations below:
- Set TP to "point B" pivot
- Use trailing stop function or something similar if available
- Add other indicators such as the RSI and close when price reaches key levels
- When price shows signs of exhaustion or early stages of reversal then just close


Additional information and recommendations

- This works on any time frame and on any financial market, whether you prefer Forex, stocks, crypto, commodities , etc.

- In regards to trade direction, you can change in the settings to look for either long or short positions in the market. I would recommend using it in favor of the overall trend of the markets because you will find a lot better entries. Although, this does work against the trend at times as well. Additionally, this tool also works in consolidating markets which is beneficial.

- After becoming used to the script, i would say to apply it twice to your screen and have one looking for Long entries and the other looking for Short entries.

- As the user, you have the ability to remove the labels in the parameter settings (because it does look quite messy onscreen, especially if you have both long and short entries on at the same time). I would only personally show the labels when price hits the current box to see what confirmations have been identified.

- I will also provide the best parameters to use. You will only need one set of parameters for each long and short setting, as these parameters are universal for any time frame and any financial market.

FIRST UPDATE

After extensive back testing using our first version, we found that in fact, there are some great opportunities being wasted as the entry box stays red. This is due to some series of market structure that don't always fit our theory of continuations within the market. We found that although our theory is accurate, the amount of times the market fits this is more rare than times when price follows sequences. When we look for sequences in the market instead of specifying differences between impulses and corrections, we actually see areas of serious repetitiveness, thanks to how our indicator initially generates. Not how it confirms. So, understanding this new theory through one component of our previous indicator, we are still able to keep boxes at the same area yet accurately confirm more profitable entries external to our full previous strategy.


Moving towards the practical side of things:

-Make sure "add extra confirmation" parameter is selected, as this will allow the indicator to search for more valid entries rather than just our normal confirmations. (this is a tick box).
- Default parameters are already set for both C1 and C2


In a simple sense, this update is added to find more confirmations to turn more red boxes into green boxes based on other theories outside of our original one. How we do this exactly is part of the mystery.

SECOND UPDATE

- Fibonacci based moving average: using elements of the Fibonacci sequence and its relevance to being a hot-spot in price activity, we have integrated this into a moving average which is stronger than your usual MA. Here, you will notice it showing stronger signs of rejecting price, especially when trending. Hence, this is extremely useful to implement into your strategy as part of the trend identification. When price is consolidating, depending on how volatile or close-in the waves are during these periods, the FMA is similar to your typical MA, so therefore not so good. But the overall intention of this is to enhance your conclusion to whether price is trending and whether price is bullish or bearish.

- This is now a strategy, not just an indicator: So now we can choose from a huge variety of parameters in accordance to what ones work best with what pair, or time frame. The typical parameters to change would be the entry points, stop losses and take profits. We have also added in a "SL to entry" option. ALL PARAMETERS ARE FIBONACCI LEVELS AS THIS MAKES IT UNIVERSAL TO ANY PAIR/ TIME FRAME.

- Move the entry boxes: So this is very useful for certain pairs and mainly to help the user understand key sequences on a quantitative level. Sometimes we can notice that pairs spike higher than the typical entry (0.618) so we have allowed flexibility to the point where you can alter the box appearance to either the 0.618 level (default), 0.786 and the 0.9 level.

- Back-testing: Now the user can back-test the strategy and see the performance within any financial market you add this to! Please note that according to the strategy, once a trade is placed, it wont enter any more trades when the current one is still active. I have requested to change this, but it is out of our development team's reach. However, this doesn't discredit what the system can help you achieve, as you will still be able to find profitable parameters within the financial markets.

Strategy default properties

Backtest start: this date is when you would like to start the backtest, however, the indicator will go as far as the data can be read
Backtest end: choose your date to end the back test.
Trade session: choose the trading session you want this strategy to work on.
Filter by session: you can filter the backtested results depending on whether you want the strategy to take trades within the chosen trading session.
Filter by Fibonacci moving average: select this if you would like for the back tested results to consider whether the valid trade setups are in accordance to what the FMA displays (Bullish or Bearish). This is deselected.
Fibonacci Moving Average Timeframe: here you can select what timeframe you would like the FMA to work on, default is the “same as chart” button/ option.
TraderDirection: choose whether you would like LONG or SHORT entries for the indicator to find.
Max risk per trade: choose the risk setting per trade, i would suggest lowering this to 1% ((MODERATOR) This is the default setting!)
EntryFib: choose between the options as to where you would like the strategy to enter positions, the default is the 0.618 zone which is the closest side of the box to price. You will also see that when you choose to change this, the boxes on your screen will move accordingly. A very helpful function!
StopFib: choose your Stop Loss based on the same Fibonacci level as what you choose for your entry, remember that the higher the fib level, the higher (or safer) your Stop Loss is from price spiking. It all comes down to preference.
TakeProfitFib: choose your Take Profit based on the same Fibonacci level as what you choose for your entry, remember that the lower the fib level, the higher your Take Profit is again, It all comes down to preference.
BreakevenFib: the default setting is on “disabled” however when you select a certain Fibonacci level, once price reaches there during the active trade, your Stop Loss will be set to entry, this function is designed to stop volatile price fluctuations rendering your in-profit trade result to hitting your Stop Loss and losing when it closes out.