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Silver lining for bears in silver, breaches double top neckline

FX_IDC:XAGUSD   Silber / US-Dollar
225 1 12
Silver lining for bears in silver             , breaches double top neckline – Short via near month futures on both major and minor bearish trend:

Technical Inference:

On daily plotting, the double top pattern has occurred in silver             price chart with peak 1 at 18.485 (that is where Back to back “shooting star” candle patterns are traced out), peak 2 at 18.647 and neckline at 16.847 levels.

There has been constant slump below DMAs ever since the peak 2 occurred.

Consequently, ongoing bearish swings manage to break below the double top neckline, the current prices are well below DMAs for now.

We foresee more bearish rout on bearish DMA crossover (i.e. 7DMA crosses below 21DMA).

Most importantly, both momentum & trend indicators have been bearish bias.

RSI has been consistently converging downwards to the bearish swings that signal the robustness in the selling interests, while another leading oscillator stochastic has also been in line with this bearish stance, it has reached oversold region but no traces of %k crossover ( bullish crossover).

More evidently, MACD on this timeframe has also shown a bearish crossover that has triggered off bearish environment to prolong further.

While on monthly price behavior in consolidating phase doesn’t seem to be convincing so far and price bias towards southward direction as both leading as well as lagging oscillator signifies selling sentiments.

Well, to conclude, the short term trend has absolutely been bearish bias, the prices can take off only if it tests supports at 15.640 levels that would mean that bears likely to play their roles upto this level.

We don’t think it would be wise to expect a steep recovery in the long lasting bear trend that we've seen since October 2012.

Trade tips:

On speculative as well as hedging grounds, silver futures             for near-month delivery eased to $16.422 a troy ounce, traders on delivery basis can go short in the silver's mid-month futures contracts also for targets of 15.640 levels that could be entered at current juncture to leverage profits from a dip in the price of the underlying precious metal.
So lets wait to 15.640 .. and then go long?
thanks
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