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jjfrost
11. Jun. 2016 18:52

Very good indication of BIG move in VIX coming Long

CBOE Volatility IndexCBOE

Beschreibung

VIX 9EMA crosses over 20 EMA + UVXY closes above 20 EMA = BIG move in VIX
Short SPY long VIX

Kommentar

So far this has proven 100% since 2013 (I didn't check further back). Returns have been a min of 8.5%. Today was a huge and took profits.
Kommentare
Algyros
BTW, I looked at 2011. Using VXX as a proxy for UVXY, it was a challenging year.
Algyros
Could you share some thoughts about how best to take profits on a VIX spike? In other words, what indicator do you look at to ascertain that the VIX spike is over? Thanks.
jjfrost
Thanks. Watching UVXY, sell when the 20 EMA crosses the 9 EMA on the 5 min or 15 min time frame. Watching for convergence/divergence on RSI also helps.
Algyros
I've been playing around with your charts and have ascertained that if you go long UVXY when the conditions you describe are met and then go short UVXY the rest of the time, the results are excellent. Thank you for a terrific idea.
Algyros
Terrific chart. Thanks.
jjfrost
VIX went up everytime a min of 8.7% since July 2012, the farthest back I checked.
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