no World War 3 - better be long MOEX
Aktualisiert
hi fellow traders,
since very long time that such a simple theme popped on my radar and it is so easy to lay down the reasoning.
all is based on a single geo-political fact, war world 3 to happen or not, if happens I assume that all stock markets will free fall, crash, and get demolished. including MOEX.
if world war 3 will not start, we have the MOEX as attractive long for the following reasons:
1- commodities rally of recent months to serve MOEX and the Russian Ruble very well, they are going to cash the commodities rush.
2- the Russian Ruble is heavily oversold, its handling by the Russian central bank is very healthy and offers great nominal carry reward, MOEX is quoted in Rubles.
3- if we get off the headlines of the "news" institutions/organizations, Russia is definitely a young tiger wishing to turn into a great tiger.
remember, central bank with positive real yields is strong signal for very healthy macro policy running the economy.
in case you are interested, I have list of specific listed companies that are on my buy and hold list, the investment theme includes calculation made for future dividends and in general it is a theme for the next 3-10 years with clear targets for scale-out / scale-in activities during the journey every 8/21 weeks cycle depends on each specific listed stock within the theme. for that you need to contact me directly.
so, risk is world war 3 and reward is best available investment in a currency and stock index directly exposed to commodities bull/boom/flight cycle.
the ideas are mine, the decision is yours!
good luck
since very long time that such a simple theme popped on my radar and it is so easy to lay down the reasoning.
all is based on a single geo-political fact, war world 3 to happen or not, if happens I assume that all stock markets will free fall, crash, and get demolished. including MOEX.
if world war 3 will not start, we have the MOEX as attractive long for the following reasons:
1- commodities rally of recent months to serve MOEX and the Russian Ruble very well, they are going to cash the commodities rush.
2- the Russian Ruble is heavily oversold, its handling by the Russian central bank is very healthy and offers great nominal carry reward, MOEX is quoted in Rubles.
3- if we get off the headlines of the "news" institutions/organizations, Russia is definitely a young tiger wishing to turn into a great tiger.
remember, central bank with positive real yields is strong signal for very healthy macro policy running the economy.
in case you are interested, I have list of specific listed companies that are on my buy and hold list, the investment theme includes calculation made for future dividends and in general it is a theme for the next 3-10 years with clear targets for scale-out / scale-in activities during the journey every 8/21 weeks cycle depends on each specific listed stock within the theme. for that you need to contact me directly.
so, risk is world war 3 and reward is best available investment in a currency and stock index directly exposed to commodities bull/boom/flight cycle.
the ideas are mine, the decision is yours!
good luck
Trade ist aktiv
I am into the position with 8% of my portfolio, and holding.I know why I went into this theme. means that total wipe is possible.
let us see what some moons further will do to that.
again, an INVESTMENT as shared in advance, not a trade!
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