BBtrade618
Short

IBM major levels to watch (end of April 2017)

NYSE:IBM   INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP
192 1 3
IBM             has made an important low in the beginning of this year 2016. And since then it has been rising, with minor pullbacks.

Since I am recording validations of short scenarios in monthly and weekly timeframe my investigation started on this stock.


Analysing the major tops and bottoms of IBM            
Low: nov 2008
Top: mar 2013
Low: jan 2016

Uptime: 1080 bars
Downtime: 717 bars
Total cycle: 1797 bars which is 4.99 times the 360degrees of a circle
Ratio down:up: 0.666 with offset of 2.28 days which is one degree on the Gann Wheel.

As seen in the harmonic pattern , price retraced 0,666 and made the Jan 2016 low (point B in red). Drawing an harmonic relation only from the down wave, gives an allignment in point D around 189euro would be ideal scenario to short.
However the major cycle triggers shorts at an early level of 183euro (point C in red) and sets the date at 20th of April 2017.

It is possible to estimate the cyclical time more linear with an average cyclical time near 20 weeks is also providing and underlyning Gann estimates in time.

I have sets alerts on my candle patterns detection and volume pattern screener, if time and price allign.......a trade is possible towards 29th of November 2017 (which is 9 years and 10.5days after the nov 2008 low.) If 10.5days i divided by a year 365 days, you get the disponantions effect of a square in a wheel of 2.28. And yes this is also very close to fibonacci extension 2.276.

Although those projection in time&price have some offset, and can only be traded well with money&risk management rules in place, it displays the cause of market movement. And not the effect, which is an outcome with hindsight!

The price target got hit with 98% of the projection in price, after that IBM is in a down move on 10th of April 2017 a close of 171.20

This means from the projection you could have taken 13.5 points long in IBM and already 12 points in the short. The IBM cycle seems to be left-handed overall not really bullish.

If you need more of those analysis, please feel free to mail us: tradingecology@gmai.com

Best to your trading!
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