Since we know that both the weekly and show price at supply right now (see above), our prime focus will be on shorting this pair today. To our way of seeing things, there are two ways in which we can approach this market:
1. Watch the H4 resistance at 1.1338 for a sell trade. Historically, this level has provided the EUR significant in the past, and considering the fact that it sits within both weekly and daily supply (see above) we believe it to be a nice base in which to look for shorting opportunities.
2. In the event that price fails to reach the above said resistance, we’ll then be looking for price to break below and retest 1.1300. This would potentially clear the rubble for a try at 14th April lows (1.1233), followed closely by H4 demand at 1.1168-1.1190 (sits within daily demand at 1.1143-1.1187).
Levels to watch/live orders:
• Buys: 1.1338 Tentative – confirmation required (Stop loss: dependent on where one confirms this level).
• Sells: Watch for price to consume 1.1300 and look to trade any retest seen thereafter (lower timeframe confirmation required).