Evan_Moe_Money

Dow Jones Industrial Average an 200 Tage Linie

DJ:DJI   Dow Jones Industrial Average
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Es sieht aus technischer Sicht nach einer Entscheidung für den DJ aus.

Diese Entscheidung wird weitreichende Folgen haben können.

War Mr. President Donald Trump bisher für eine extreme Rally in den USA verantwortlich, könnte der Bruch der 200 Tageslinie dem Präsidenten einen rauen Gegenwind bescheren.

Bisher lief es für Trump relativ gut, auch wenn er wenig umsetzen konnte von dem was er so versprochen hatte, stiegen die Aktienmärkte in unerwarteten Höhen.

Da die 200 Tageslinie des DJ weltweit wohl eine der mistbeachtetsten Marken ist, könnte sich bei Durchbruch auf Tagesbasis ein starkes "Sell-Signal" ergeben.

Ic             bin allerdings vorsichtig in diesen stürmischen Zeiten.

Viel Erfolg und einen guten Wochenstart!
Meine Einstiegskriterien
Formation
Starker Trend
EMA200 bestätigt Trend
Nikkei @ 22k: Japan-USA-Gipfeltreffen Trump und Abe golfen um neuen Handelspakt

US-Präsident Trump und Japans Präsident Abe besprechen politische Themen am liebsten auf dem Golfplatz. Abe will nun nebenbei die Rückkehr zum Handelspakt TPP festzurren.
http://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/international/japan-usa-gipfeltreffen-trump-und-abe-golfen-um-neuen-handelspakt/21182658.html

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Wall Street rises, focus turns to earnings from geopolitics
U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the biggest boosts from technology and healthcare sectors as investors were optimistic about earnings season and appeared less worried about U.S.-led missile attacks in Syria.

The weekend's air strikes marked the biggest intervention yet by Western countries against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his ally Russia, which is facing further economic sanctions over its role in the conflict.
Stocks had ended lower on Friday on worries about Syria. But investors seemed less anxious about he potential for retaliation from Russia, an Assad ally, since there was none at the weekend.
"Geopolitical conditions calmed," said Tim Ghriskey, Chief Investment Strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. "There's a lot of anticipation about very strong earnings growth in the quarter. That may be attracting traders and even longer-term investors back into the market."
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/futures-rise-on-hope-syria-conflict-will-not-escalate-1396072
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Punktsieg für Trump:

Punktsieg für Trump

Liberale Wirtschaftspolitik China öffnet Autobranche für ausländische Firmen komplett
China macht einen Industriezweig für ausländische Konzerne attraktiver. Erst fallen Schranken für Elektroautos, dann für Lkw und 2022 für Pkw.
http://www.handelsblatt.com/unternehmen/industrie/liberale-wirtschaftspolitik-china-oeffnet-autobranche-fuer-auslaendische-firmen-komplett/21182402.html
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AAII SENTIMENT SURVEY: EXTREME FEAR

AAII Sentiment Survey: Pessimism Above 40% for First Time Since 2017

Pessimism among individual investors about the short-term direction of the stock market is at its highest level in more than year. The latest AAII Sentiment Survey also shows declines in optimism and neutral sentiment.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, fell 5.8 percentage points to 26.1%. Optimism was last lower on August 31, 2017 (25.0%). Bullish sentiment is below its historical average of 38.5% for the seventh consecutive week and the eighth time in 10 weeks.
http://blog.aaii.com/aaii-sentiment-survey-pessimism-above-40-for-first-time-since-2017/
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Cboe Intraday Put Call Ratio: "Extreme Fear"
During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 29.93% as investors make bullish bets in their portfolios. However, this is still among the highest levels of put buying seen during the
last two years, indicating extreme fear on the part of investors.

Last changed Mar 14 from a Fear rating

Updated Mar 28 at 10:45am http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/
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SPX @ 2.594: Sentiment-Indikatoren weiter auf "Crash Niveau - extreme fear".

Cboe Intraday Put Call Ratio: 1,37
http://www.cboe.com/data/current-market-statistics
Chart: End of Day Werte
https://ycharts.com/indicators/total_putcall_ratio

Fear & Greed Index: "6", realtime: http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

Euwax Sentiment: negativ https://www.boerse-stuttgart.de/de/boersenportal/wertpapiere-und-maerkte/euwax-sentiment/
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Update Bridgewater, 28.03.2018

US-Hedgefonds wettet auf Dax-Crash

Deutschland im Visier: Ray Dalio, Gründer des Fonds Bridgewater, setzt Milliarden auf einen Kollaps der Börsenskurse von Allianz, BASF, Siemens und Co. - allein die Wette, dass SAP abstürzt, ist Dalio fast eine Milliarde Dollar wert. http://m.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/dax-us-hedgefonds-bridgewater-wettet-auf-absturz-der-deutschen-boerse-a-1200219.html
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U.S., South Korea to revise trade pact with currency side-deal, autos concessions

The United States and South Korea agreed to revise their six-year-old trade pact with a side deal to deter competitive currency devaluation by Seoul and with concessions for U.S. autos and pharmaceutical companies, Trump administration officials said on Tuesday. https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/us-south-korea-have-agreed-in-principle-on-new-trade-deal-white-house-1365592
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FB @ 151: Facebook fällt in Bearmarket Territorry. Weg nach unten ist für FB frei. US Indices sollten weiter steigen - trotz Facebook.

Nasdaq drops 3%, Dow falls more than 400 points as tech shares roll over
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/27/us-stock-futures-dow-data-trade-and-politics-on-the-agenda.html
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Wall Street gains on easing trade war tensions

Wall Street was higher on Tuesday, building on strong gains from the previous session on waning fears of a trade war between the United States and China.

All the 11 major S&P sectors were higher, with financial and technology stocks topping the list.

U.S. stocks suffered their worst declines of the year last week after President Donald Trump moved to impose tariffs on Chinese imports of up to $60 billion, adding to the import restrictions already placed on solar panels, steel and aluminum. Those concerns have eased following reports the United States and China are willing to renegotiate tariffs and trade imbalances.
"There's going to be continued volatility in the short term and a lot of it will depend on how the fundamental news flow comes out," said Lisa Erickson, head of traditional investments at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Helena, Montana.
"Right now the biggest driver in the market seems to be around the trade news and it is looking more and more like some of these tariff discussions are negotiations rather than strong protectionist measures."
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stock-futures-up-as-uschina-trade-war-tensions-ease-1364005
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