If you read all this ideas published here in December 2016 you might see that nothing happened "suprisingly" in Europe.
But everybody even the chart will tell you another story. But whatever you might hear isn´t true. The "German Angst" and the fears over Italy have been well over done.
Germany´s larges Stockmarket Newspaper asked 5.000 Investors about there sentiment for 2017. The avarage expectations for the end of 2017 for the DAX is 10.950 or more than 3% lower as we are right now.
Shorterm based only 19% expecting the DAX to rise more until End of 2017. So where we are right now? If you follow my trading ideas first off all you have a net gain of allmost 1.000 points in the DAX. The Stockmarket is going rocket like straight up and not down, as more than 85% off all investors expected.
Where we are excatcely? The DAX is now at 11.300 Points. This might be a kind of resistance line but it is based only on one "point" from November 2015. If the DAX cross this line than the next resistance line ist the former All Time High.
What does this mean?
If the DAX could start tommorrow or in the following days above 11.300 than there is nothing what can prevent the german stockmarket from further gains.
On Monday morning the DAX startet the pre trading at 10.275 but was sold off in less than 5 Minutes. Tommorrow the german stockmarket will try to get higher once more. Even the DAX might fail tomorrow again than watch any following day if the Market can go higher to trigger a new bull market ----> followed by most European Stockmarkets. What we might see early as tommorrow is a brought based rally all over Europe and a not single Event in Germany or the DAX.
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
If you open this chart ...
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... you can get a better idea about what´s going on in Germany. Sunday night the DAX was traded ETF based above 11.300 and as you might know still sold off in a few minutes from 08.00 until 08.05 Monday morning. I added manuel the pre trading numbers and this show´s a kind of "cup & handle" pattern. This makes sense - the reason for this pattern ist the last key resistance at 11.300. You can see this if you open the next chart:
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930e888ea91284a71b0e...3886ac6bba7415df.png
... you can get a better idea about what´s going on in Germany. Sunday night the DAX was traded ETF based above 11.300 and as you might know still sold off in a few minutes from 08.00 until 08.05 Monday morning. I added manuel the pre trading numbers and this show´s a kind of "cup & handle" pattern. This makes sense - the reason for this pattern ist the last key resistance at 11.300. You can see this if you open the next chart:
930e888ea91284a71b0e...0cf7343a8ce1852d.png
Trade ist aktiv:
Watch this amazing chart ....
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.. and you see that the DAX runs like expected. On the other hand the widely expected stockmarket crash after the Italian Referendum never occurs. The DAX jumped directely above the key resistance line at 10.800 and cross the 11.000 without any problems.
After all do you believe that German Retail Investors getting ethusiastic now?
You are still wrong. The avarage expectations by end of the year 2017 is 10.950. The DAX hat been today at 10.326 points or almost 400 point higher than the average investor expect by next years end (!). After todays FOMC Traders try to short the DAX Future once more. They failed to pass by 11.200. For the upcomming december options exparations day on friday the expectations are clear - and high. The German DAX is expected to have kind of "flash crash" at least back to 11k or probably 10.800.
After all you have learned about this rally in wich almost all investors missed day by day any up move - what you guess might happen thursday and friday with Germany´s DAX?
Nobody knows what will happen in the future. But if ever 80% of all Investors telling the market to go down than is form all what we learned about stockmarket less likely that this might occur.
So come back on Monday and let us discuss again, what has happened until than and maybe what we might had known before.
Once more.
930e888ea91284a71b0e...f1a1eee8f4c70070.png
.. and you see that the DAX runs like expected. On the other hand the widely expected stockmarket crash after the Italian Referendum never occurs. The DAX jumped directely above the key resistance line at 10.800 and cross the 11.000 without any problems.
After all do you believe that German Retail Investors getting ethusiastic now?
You are still wrong. The avarage expectations by end of the year 2017 is 10.950. The DAX hat been today at 10.326 points or almost 400 point higher than the average investor expect by next years end (!). After todays FOMC Traders try to short the DAX Future once more. They failed to pass by 11.200. For the upcomming december options exparations day on friday the expectations are clear - and high. The German DAX is expected to have kind of "flash crash" at least back to 11k or probably 10.800.
After all you have learned about this rally in wich almost all investors missed day by day any up move - what you guess might happen thursday and friday with Germany´s DAX?
Nobody knows what will happen in the future. But if ever 80% of all Investors telling the market to go down than is form all what we learned about stockmarket less likely that this might occur.
So come back on Monday and let us discuss again, what has happened until than and maybe what we might had known before.
Once more.
Trade ist aktiv:
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Come back on monday and press the "start" button on the chart above.
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For now the meantime watch this chart: The DAX will reach the former ATH soon ....
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.... and guess how many traders or analyst have predicted this?
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No one. But you could read it here for quite a while that excately this will happen. The European Stockmarkets started a new bull market excactely on december 5th. Do you remember? This was the day when Italiens Banks should have collapsed followed by a total melt down of the Euro and finally the European Union.
You could not had read in any chart what has happend now only few trading days after December 5th. But you could clearly read this in any investors mind.
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Come back on monday and press the "start" button on the chart above.
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For now the meantime watch this chart: The DAX will reach the former ATH soon ....
.
930e888ea91284a71b0e...be4c0045cbb9e30f.png
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.... and guess how many traders or analyst have predicted this?
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No one. But you could read it here for quite a while that excately this will happen. The European Stockmarkets started a new bull market excactely on december 5th. Do you remember? This was the day when Italiens Banks should have collapsed followed by a total melt down of the Euro and finally the European Union.
You could not had read in any chart what has happend now only few trading days after December 5th. But you could clearly read this in any investors mind.
Trade ist aktiv:
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Open this link
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and try to "invert" this chart.
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Than ask yourself:
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If ever you would see a tremendous downtrend like this, would you bet on a friday afternoon all your availabe money to buy calls? Because a "support line" based on a single point only will stopp this move?
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Would you advice your clients to do so? Would you advice your friends to --> buy this? Now guess what German Stockmarkets analysts telling all over the last trading days. And guess what 80% of German Retail Investors are betting on at the beginning of this week.
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But - guess again, what has happened as well. Right now the numbers are changing. There are no more 80% betting on falling DAX. Now it´s 60%. Not maybe 90% of Stockmarket Analyst telling to short this market. It is maybe 70-80%. A change in sentiment at this point means ----> NOW money is comming into the market.
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So let´s see what might happen next week and in the final trading days of 2016.
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Maybe i am wrong about the furhter direction and the market takes a breather: Than take profit and enjoy your christmas holidays with a net gain of allmost 1.040 points if you followed the published trading idea to buy the dax on dec. 5th (at 10.360).
Open this link
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930e888ea91284a71b0e...33158fcaa2b8d984.png
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and try to "invert" this chart.
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Than ask yourself:
.
If ever you would see a tremendous downtrend like this, would you bet on a friday afternoon all your availabe money to buy calls? Because a "support line" based on a single point only will stopp this move?
.
Would you advice your clients to do so? Would you advice your friends to --> buy this? Now guess what German Stockmarkets analysts telling all over the last trading days. And guess what 80% of German Retail Investors are betting on at the beginning of this week.
.
But - guess again, what has happened as well. Right now the numbers are changing. There are no more 80% betting on falling DAX. Now it´s 60%. Not maybe 90% of Stockmarket Analyst telling to short this market. It is maybe 70-80%. A change in sentiment at this point means ----> NOW money is comming into the market.
.
So let´s see what might happen next week and in the final trading days of 2016.
.
Maybe i am wrong about the furhter direction and the market takes a breather: Than take profit and enjoy your christmas holidays with a net gain of allmost 1.040 points if you followed the published trading idea to buy the dax on dec. 5th (at 10.360).
Trade ist aktiv:
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DJIA: Set Up ---> ready ...
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This will be the final leg "up".
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DJIA: Set Up ---> ready ...
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930e888ea91284a71b0e...784826b26dc9ae33.png
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This will be the final leg "up".
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Trade ist aktiv:
US 30 YT: Weekly Reversal Pattern likely
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Euro Bund Future: Rocket Straigh Up
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Euro Bund Future: Rocket Straigh Up
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Trade ist aktiv:
It´s not only the DAX:
Still on the rise. The CAC has already built in the last recent days a "ramp"
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Watch the CAC Wednesday or Thursday for a possible huge spike to the up side to last until Dec. 30th.
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Still on the rise. The CAC has already built in the last recent days a "ramp"
930e888ea91284a71b0e...66c50eecee3fa0d3.png
Watch the CAC Wednesday or Thursday for a possible huge spike to the up side to last until Dec. 30th.
930e888ea91284a71b0e...89f07dd23305402f.png
Trade geschlossen: Stop wurde erreicht
Trade wurde manuell geschlossen
weekly
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