Bund is after contract changing on the down move with little corrections. 161,00 / 160,00 is minimum for me. I don't wonder when we see a low 158,50/00 and than up. And look at the option on eurex. There you can read the way (when you understand it). Good luck for all. The big fall is not yet. Cause the Draghis buy mor till next year. Than we can look in the first - second quater where the markets fall. And i mean a big fall!
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The options looks like down to 161,50 - 160,50 around. The DE10y is now at 0,405. The resistant for me is 45 and 50. So that confirmed my thouthts.
Now we are on the way to 160,24 and more down. Look at the bigger timeframe. Today are doubled put option buyer than call buyer. They play but they dropped to 159,00/158,00. Good luck for your own plan.
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be carful today 13,45 h german time its draghi time. very volatil i think.
@pring look at this site maybe.
quandl.com/collections/futures/eurex-euro-bund-futures The rollover ist every 4 month in the BUND. That's why.
I have no time now for more explanation. But for me we haven't a confirmation for long. So wait for the right structure.Good luck and trade only your own strategy. Cause i'm a privat.
powerseller
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@powerseller, @pring sorry i write it wrong. 4 time a year so on March, June, Okt. Dez. that means every 3 month.
pring
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Please update because i wonder when i will be long on the fgbl. There is a lot of put contract on the option but i think the drop will be limited.
I search the timing for open a long position.
What you think of it ?
pring
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"On an other chart where the roll over is adjusted we have some other Fibos.
Tradesignal Online Chart "
Hi, i wonder me what is the roll over gap : where it comes from ?
how can adjust the chart in order to use the fibo ?
I use instead of that the DE10y chart.
I trade only FGBL (and a little CAC 40) and i am happy that you share your knowledge with me.
The resistance that you mentionned on DE10y are the 50% and 61.8% fibo i think.
Another question : when you look at the options on Eurex, you look at the first term oct 17 ?
Too many put versus call with strike higher OI like goal.
Is it the ratio put/call important because it use volume and not OI. Do you use a very high ratio like indicator overbought/sold ?
Where i can find a chart of OI on future FGBL because chart of OI on option doesn't exist with too many strike ?
I have many questions but i stop here ... I think is not interesting for you...
Thanks
pring
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Hi,
where are the option on Eurex and how you understand it ?
Thanks for your help.
powerseller
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@pring,
Hi,
you find them here: eurexchange.com/exchange-en/products/int/fix-opt/government-bonds/Options-on-Euro-Bund-Futures/15566 For the Dax the have the same called ODAX.
To understand i can't explain it in a few minutes. You must look at the web. You must look for the contracts and the O.I.(open interest). But the tricky thing is you dont't know for what diretion the O.I. ist interested.
That's the learning process and can help you with your own strategie where the market moves. Good luck.
pring
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@powerseller, thanks a lot.
You are very helpful and friendly with quick response !
look at this site maybe.
quandl.com/collections/futures/eurex-euro-bund-futures
The rollover ist every 4 month in the BUND. That's why.
I have no time now for more explanation. But for me we haven't a confirmation for long. So wait for the right structure.Good luck and trade only your own strategy. Cause i'm a privat.