What I found most accurate which proved it self.
There is a hint between the price of each markets exchange and their change % .
The volatility price change between CEX AND COINBASE for instant paints a vivid picture of the demand/supply /“current buying stake”
For example @ Coinbase price of 14500 per 1 btc =@ cex price of 15600 per 1 btc . The 1100 dollar difference shows you how well the price will maintain its solid grounds. So looking at around 3k just below you see that that’s where the kicker came from. Of course taking under consideration the market got bigger etc. I will say 3-4 k but nearly has to hit another low of 3k in order to proof it self . Take a note . 3K is still very high price and that’s about 1000% increase from its mother grounds