botje11

Big H&S for Bitcoin, Target around 12K now

Long
botje11 Aktualisiert   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
The break out was with conviction this time. Most exchange show a big volume during that break out, so thats a positive thing. The target is difficult to predict now, but it should be around 12K. However i don't think it will be that easy to reach, but this break of the 9K is a first big step!.
Whatever happens, it should stay above the 8400! But actually above the 8800/9000!
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Now we could see a test of the 8900/9100 levels (difficult to say where it could go). nothing wrong with that, if it just go on, than it's even more bullish for the short term at least
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I think it will rally up from this pont, but we could see a small correction to complete this small H&S
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It's looking very strong now, it did not even make a normal flag after the break of the 9K today, it was flagging upwards, now another small up spike wich is flagging as we speak. Should see 9800/9850 any minute now. There i will close some. The 10.000 level will be a resistance, but as it is moving now i think it will be taken out very easily
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This analysis still counts, it's almost the exact same thing that is happening now, the consolidation fase only took a little bit longer. If this happens, this means we should turn somewhere 9800 and 10500 i think. But thats a pure guess. For now we have a very strong outbreak, the inverse H&S has a target around 12K. So if we wont hear any negative news that could turn everything around, than expect at least 11K.
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I have closed half now
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We could see another small drop, making a flag on the hourly chart, i will probably add again the ones i closed at 9800
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I have closed the remaining longs. Think we can go sideways now and go below the 10k again, I will wait for a new entry to go long again. Nice trade again with an average of 900 points :)
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have a feeling, that we could be making a h&s again. The same as we did at the 13.000 top a month ago, the h&s I called a week before it happened. The sideways action is almost identical, between the 10.800 and 12.000 back than, same as the 7.800 and 9.000 now. Than a rally towards the 13.000 just like now. Something to keep in mind! You can see it in the chart of my previous update
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I am shorting it at 10125 now, with a stop 10250, my target is around 9800/9500. good risk reward. Could be making a double top now for the coming hours.
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Something like this
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Already 120 points profit, i have lowered my stop to my entry level for a free trade!
The green line is an important support level now, if it drops below, than you have to assume the double top is set and we could go towards the 9700/9500 again
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Thats to bad, went through my stop, good thing i lowered my stop. it could still make a double top though. I think this rally is getting a bit exhausted and needs a healthy correction in time and price. I have shorted it again at 10210
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I have added at 10250, i think there is a small H&S in the make, i thought the low at 9500 would be the neckline, but i was afraid that one would be to big. This one would be perfect, with a target around 9500. Would be a perfect play, 9500 is a good support level of the resistance it had a few weeks ago. It is looking strong though, so i could be wrong of course :). I have increased my stop to around 10.400 now
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Looks (almost) like the first sign of weakness now
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I have closed the ones at 10250 at 10001 :)
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I think its making a flag now, with a target around the green area (the neckline of the H&S i was talking about. It's falling into place now.
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Posted a new chart

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