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FieryTrading
30. Sept. 2021 13:16

🔥 Bitcoin: Statistical Analysis Of Q4-2021 Long

Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX

Beschreibung

With the fourth quarter of the year starting tomorrow, I'd like to give a short overview of the historical returns of the fourth quarter.

Quarter / Returns
4-2010 / 384.7%
4-2011-8.1%
4-2012 / 9.0%
4-2013 / 421.0%
4-2014 / -16.7%
4-2015 / 81.4%
4-2016 / 59.2%
4-2017 / 220.4%
4-2018 / -43.8%
4-2019 / -13.7%
4-2020 / 168.9%

Average results per quarter:
1 / 68.5%
2 / 216.9%
3 / 9.2%
4 / 114.7%

Looking at the data, we can deduce a couple of interesting things.

Over the last 11 fourth quarters, only 4 ended up with negative returns. This means that, historically, 63.6% of all fourth quarters ended up green.
Another interesting find is that the average fourth quarter loss is equal to -20.6%, whereas the average forth quarter gain is equal to an immense +192.1%.

Assuming that historical data can be indicative of the future, we can safely say that the fourth quarter will be, at the very least, better than the third quarter.

Where do you think that the fourth quarter of 2021 will bring us?
Kommentare
JAKY1
Look at the funding rates for btc back in march of 2020 until aug of that year and compare it to what we have now since may we've been having negative funding rates, not to be overly optimistic, but i do believe the worst is behind us (july).
basson007
Yes, its worth noting the spike in returns of the fourth quarter after the year where there was halving...
MonoCoinSignal
Nice setup
Savvythe1
Thanks for the information and your hard work!
CobraVanguard
Good job 👍
CobraVanguard
very well this is brilliant
xbenjaminsx
:)
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