whoisthelorax
Short

The Bear Case for BTC

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / Dollar
If we calculate the total move as a macro wave 3, starting from the bottom of the Mt gox collapse, $140ish on Coinbase, to 20K, we can find the fib retracement levels of this entire Wave 3.

because we are now assuming wave 3 is done and wave 4 is in place AND this is a macro wave 4, we have many more weeks of bear activity.

Considering a macro wave 4, it would make sense that we have 5 elliott waves down. It appears we are in wave 3 of 4 downwwards and $7.5k is the target.

We will bounce up again for wave 4 of 4. whether we get to the resistance line, i dont know. The fact that we didn't this time makes me think this will be the final bull trap before wave 5 of 4 down.

We can see that the .786 fib of the ENTIRE wave 3 from 2016-2017 provides the PERFECT bounce point for a gentle upwards trendline that will keep btc             bullish long term.

(keep in mind this wave 4 can drop as far as $1300 and be above the macro wave 1 before the Mt gox collapse and still be bullish . Not excited about that though...)

hope you get rekt shorting
Antworten
whoisthelorax DukeDinhd6
@DukeDinhd6, please provide bull case.
Antworten
I think taking the waves back to Mt. Gox collapse is too far back in crypto land. I see what you're trying to show here but I don't think an asset as immature as BTC allows that case to fit. I could be wrong but I think it's a bit of a stretch.
Antworten
slightly differen fib retracements if you start the macro wave 3 at $891 (when we dumped hard at ETFs not going through about 12 months ago)



not enough to change much. inch your buy orders up a bit.
Antworten
if buyers too lucky they will see .618..BTC would not go less than 8000 USD I feel :)
Antworten
the .618 and .786 targets look too good to be true in terms of trend line support.
Antworten
DE Deutsch
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
SV Svenska
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
AR العربية
HE עברית
Startseite Aktien-Screener Devisen-Screener Krypto-Screener Wirtschaftskalender So funktioniert es! Chartmerkmale Hausregeln Moderatoren Webseite & Brokerlösungen Widgets Stock Charting Bibliothek Feature-Anfrage Blog & Nachrichten FAQ - Häufige Fragen & Antworten Hilfe & Wiki Twitter
Profil Profileinstellungen Konto und Abrechnung Meine Support Tickets Support kontaktieren Veröffentlichte Ideen Followers Ich folge Private Nachrichten Chat Abmelden