Hi guys, i want to explain to you why i'm going to short this pair if price pulls back a little bit more. As you may know audnzd has been moving upward without interruption: both in the daily and 4hr chart Rsi is in overbought condition, and this tells us that market is overextended and there's maybe some room to retrace and let the trend breath. Obviously i don't trade based off of only RSI, but it gives me a good indication of what the market could do. In this case we have different clues pointing in the same direction. First, we have structure at the black line level, together with a psychological threshold (1,0900): at this level you can see price has created a shooting star and then a nice engulfing candle. Also, there's a 618 retracement of the bigger daily leg that happens to be right at this level. With all those clues together i think there's no doubt. I'm going to short at the 1,09 level, with stops above the highs, and target1 at a 1,25:1 RR. Target2 to be determined more accurately. Good trading!
Feel free to comment below for any kind of questions or if you want to share your view. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
I have my sell POE for this pair at 1.07610. It's near a horizontal trend line that has not been broken yet, TPs between 1.050490 and 1.03823. My sl is at 1.09550